They are selling dollars for cents right now on Kalshi/Polymarket. As a longtime political bettor I don't know why they keep doing this, but they do>pretend like every solid red state is actually a "tossup" in the polling>actual vote comes>it's R+10>rinse and repeatPaxton at 39% and Hinson at 55% are utterly criminal odds. There is your double money glitch, take it or leave it. I made $15k in 2024, $8k in 2022, and $5k in 2020. I just do this same thing every single time. There are always obvious safe red states that they pretend are coinflips, TX and IA are the equivalent of Illinois and New York, not fucking purple lmao. I will ride this train into the ground.Remember political betting isn't like sports, there isn't randomness and parity. It's about demographics and margins. They can't invent another 2 million bodies out of nowhere, in a doomsday D+9 national scenario the red moat would still hold in TX/IA.
>>62726548It’s like free money. Betting on politics isn’t gambling at all. I haven’t needed to work in almost a year. Now I just need to figure out a fake job to tell my friends and family I have, because I don’t want to tell them I do this. Seriously, why doesn’t everybody do this?
>>62726623Damn, that race is still going on? Yeah establishment LA Dems aren't letting some meme outsider win it. They will "find the votes."
>shilling prediction markets in the big '26
>>62726647idk man, it's just free money. It keeps being free money. Idk why the odds are so lopsided. This is like the 5th straight cycle I've found free money markets and I'm considering making it my job now.It's like the biggest shit test because every single time right around now you have a horde of institutional faggots screaming at you that this time is different and you're wrong but you're not you make money then they conveniently forget and do it again. I think they're paid to lie.
>>62726548MY GOVERNMENT BLOCKED ACCESSI found out minutes before i wanted to make the prediction that germany fails vs paraguay, it was 15 cent.
>>62726548Until one of them gets shot or something and you catch every single bag on the way down because there are no stoplosses
>>62726801It doesn't really matter because if someone offers you a price of 50% on a bet with 97% implied odds you take it every single time. Every single time. You'd be a trillionaire if you could compound that more routinely.Never bet more than you can lose still, but always take the free money if it exists.
>>62726801Shut up dude don’t scare me like that. When someone texted me that “Trump got shot” back in 2024 I literally started screaming. When I heard he was okay I started sobbing, like actually crying. This is a sickness, you know. Gambling.
