oil edition>Latest developments on the illegal and unconstitutional US strikes against Iranhttps://iran.liveuamap.com/https://x.com/sentdefender>Some helpful links to numb the painhttps://findahelpline.com/https://www.nvidia.com/refunds/https://www.whitehouse.gov/refundshttps://jlingz.com/>European indiceshttps://live.euronext.com/enhttps://www.justetf.com/en/how-to/invest-in-europe.html>Educational sites:https://www.investopedia.comhttps://www.khanacademy.org/economics-finance-domain>Financial TV Streams:https://www.newslive.com/american/cnbc.htmlhttps://www.livestreamy.net/bloomberg/>Charts:https://www.tradingview.comhttps://www.finscreener.comhttps://www.portfoliovisualizer.com>Screeners: so you feel like in the movieshttps://finviz.com/https://etfdb.com/>Gambling:https://www.optionsplaybook.com/options-introduction/https://www.optionsprofitcalculator.comhttps://optionstrat.com/https://www.optionistics.com/quotes/option-prices>Pre-Market and Live data:https://www.investing.com/indices/indices-futureshttps://finance.yahoo.com/>Calendarshttps://www.marketwatch.com/economy-politics/calendarhttps://www.earningswhispers.com/calendarhttps://www.cmegroup.com/trading/interest-rates/countdown-to-fomc.htmlhttps://www.mortgagenewsdaily.com/data/building-permits>Boomer Investing 101: so zoomers with meme stocks can outperform youhttps://www.bogleheads.org/wiki/Getting_startedhttps://www.sec.gov/search-filings>Misc smg:https://www.financialjuice.com/homehttps://finance.yahoo.com/trending-tickershttps://market24hclock.com/https://www.dividendchannel.com/drip-returns-calculatorhttps://brokerchooser.com/https://www.chathamfinancial.com/technology/us-market-ratesprevious smigger thread>>62754834
is the nword vydia co. sqozzling?
hold my big juicy bags
My SPY $800c 12/2027 are up bigly
NVAX is up 20% on no newsInsiders are moving
Is this proof that gypsies (romanians) are pajeets?
Fuck me, my NVAX calls are up 3000%
Yea I think I broke $300k, what to do for celebration? I want a model Y bros.
>>62755518If its good enough to printscreen its good enough to sell?
>>62755518Is it because of the Russian plague? kek
Is this chart good or bad.
>>62755508>>62755523
SpaceXSI?
Can't fucking believe it. Is the US really pulling this off? Are they WINNING by Stranglement on the rugheads?LMAO never BET against the JEWS.
Hello operator get me David Soxl
Witness these digits, SPY (and inflation) 1000% EOY
>>62755545Here's the catch: Iran doesn't give a fuck about their own peopleThey'll gladly make them starve by the millions as long as they can defeat their ideological enemies in the US and religious enemies in Israel
>>62755556>kike projection
>>62755514>no newsthe news was Russians released the plague or some bullshit. you are super late and don't even know what the fake and gay news was.
>>62755556That what happened to bangladesh though.
>>62755556Literal mossad propaganda.
>>62755555fart
>>62755556You sound like an absolute fucking Eastern European descended Yahudi Kike.Oil is going to $200-300 until the Orange Messiah comes begging the Ayatollah for forgiveness.
>>62755559>>62755562>>62755572if you weren't complete retards you would see that I think that Iran is winningholy low IQ
the last 2 months have sucked. of course we're right next to ATH out of nowhere. they kept me sidelined intentionally.
>>62755521>what to do for celebration?set a real milestone like $500k or $1m. congrats anyways tho
>>62755559>>62755561How much pol do you need to rot your brain with till you think the religious fundamentalist kleptocrat is the good guy?I really hope you are Iranian shills and not schizos this retarded. You dont have to fall for every false dichotomy.
>>62755572>the people that tell you eugenics isn't real and that they are gods chosen people look like thisactually cursed by god devil worshipping inbred tribe on murdering pedophiles is the strongest lobbying group on earth. amazing.
>>62755581you are spiritually a black person
>>62755578Who sidelined you?
>>62755545>The guy in team red is saying that team red is winningNo fucking way bro
>>62755594trvth. the most niggerish trait is being angry/jealous at others doing well. that you would rather everyone suffer than anyone in your community transcend poverty
Remember pattern day trading?
>>62755521Iran doesn't give a shit about the tiny amount of oil it exportsthey're in a war economy.
>>62755601?
>>62755521> i hit an arbitrary number with my gains! Better spend it on Pajeeta / Ling Ling's favorite car
>>62755600
>>62755594i'm financially white tho
>>62755545Iran has had accelerating inflation for quite some time, because the government has been boosting funding to the military by using the money printer to supplement tax revenue. Recent events have demonstrated that, although unpopular, it was nonetheless a wise decision that saved the country from being turned into a failed state.
>>62755556>you don't care about us starving your people enough!
>>62755601>we aren't going to allow goyim to trade too frequently its dangerous and you should just hold shares goy>50% of volume is 0dte giga leverage optionsits a funny world
>>62755606>Ling LingMy nigga
>>62755603Of course they care. Selling oil brings in foreign currency. This foreign currency can be used to import components that can be used to make arms. Alternatively, foreign currency can be used to import civilian goods which frees up domestic factories and labor to instead produce arms.
>>62755577No, you're a complete fucking idiot who can't read the situation. It's beyond your grasp.Stick to niggerball or Minecraft or whatever the fuck it is creatures at your IQ level occupy themselves with.
>>62755622You cant have any money. Why are you here?
>>62755609that's exactly what a spiritually black person would say >but im rich nigga!
>>62755572>Oil is going to $200-300.No it isn't, unless Trump decides to actually carry out "bridge and power plant day". Demand for oil is quite elastic these days because of China's heavy investment into oil substitutes, so a modest loss of oil supply lost won't cause prices to reach $200
>>62755556well, they were attacked and are defending themselveswhat do you suggest, that they should just give up?
Just like that nothing happened to bonds
I'm bullish on cryptomost of the world is either already in a high inflation regime,to about to enter one. The next decade or two will be a period of financial repression. Including in America and Europe.We'll reach a point when there's less than a few dozen countries with inflation below 5%that's bullish for cryptoas a store of valueit's bullish for gold and commodities as welland commodity producerslike 20% of my portfolio is:gold, crypto, commodities, and commodity producers, and energyand, for my equity investmentsI'm in predominately in companies with high pricing power. Very little staples and utilities. I don't have a whole lot of consumer discretionary either. For financials, I'm at about SP500 allocation. My only real weakness is growth and industrials. I am overweight industrials, and I have considerable growth. Next to no real estate. I understand real estate is bullsih from inflation but fuck that.
>>62755637hu?theyve reached new lows today
>>62755634YesLiving in US colonies like Europe, the gulf states, japan and korea is way better than living in Iran lmao
>>62755581I already broke $500k combined this is just my fidelity account.
>>62755631Lolno.China has no substitutes. They were drawing down their reserves, but they're back in the market and bidding up everything now.There is no solution but for the Orange Orangutan to drop to his knees and beg the Ayatollah for forgiveness.
>>62755634It has a pretty good track record?
>>62755643eth is the transition currency before we enter the love economy
>Iran hit 5 tankers in 1 day>oil go downHow do they do it?
>>62755647>>62755651if you like to live among niggers, then yes, because thats exactly what US culture is
WHAT WHAT WHAT NO NO NO
Just a healthy end of day sell off
Why SPCX pumping all of a sudden sars.
>>62755651>either literally needed to be bombed into ruins to fail, or dissolved by singular acts of their own leadersNot the hottest argument against it to be fully honest
>>62755655the more tankers they hit, the less there are to hitsame with rates, the more they hike, the more they could cut (bullish), the more they cut, the less they could cut (bearish)
>>62755657Would you rather live in the US colonies of Europe, the gulf states, japan and korea or ... Iran (lol)?
>>62755643How would you allocate 180k. I got a lawsuit with a Curicco casino, expect a bitcoin payout. Not sure what to do next with it. I wouldnt mind having a tiny bit as a hedge.Just bitcoin, etherium, and Monero?
>tips are climbing to 4%
Feels good to wake up to this. My best day in the market ever. To the one guy that joined me (you said dont overthink it, I Bought ewz, ewzs and 10 adrs kind of overthought it could have just bought EWZ) and maybe a few PBR/PBRA guys(pbra is better) congrats. To the hurr durr Brazil goys and the incel spammer of /smg/ eternal SEETHE
Nigger market.
>>62755669I would prefer to live amongst my own people
>>62755655They can literally print molecules, anon
>>62755655>>62755668the market is pricing in there being less mines in the strait. if we send just a few more Indian boats it will be clear in no time
>>62755646It got a last hour pump.
WHY IS IT COLLAPSINGALLL GOING TO ZEROKEVIN KEVIN
>>62755673To the victor go the spoils. I debated throwing 100k into a 3x but LULU trippeled the market to his credit so not sure it can repeat the last Bolsonaro surge.
put buyers will inherit the earth
>>62755686Kek, I feel you miss JPow.
10yr bond is looking good
IT LOOKED LIKE IT WAS GONNA KEEP GOING UP
Damn /smg/ ya’ll done me dirty like dat, you pulled the seed right outta me ong!
>>62755668I fucked an Iranian immigrant chick for a while and she hated Iran. she told me her family made secret booze and that they would probably get killed for it if the government found out. seems like a textbook very low trust brown society where the only people that do well rule by fear and violence like African warlords. I dont know what loser here would say its not a shithole.anyways we should nuke Israel and wrap this shit up already. I think Iran would come to terms with us if we dropped a nuke right on tel aviv
>>62755691The GOAT
SpaceX?Any theories?
>>62755698
>Nows?
My SPCX doin a lil sum
>AAOI
I'm expecting blue wave to hit SpaceX and AI stocks after midterms, could be great time to buy.
>>62755655I guess the Ameri-kikes have figured out a way to pour WTI futures contracts into your fuel tank and run your engine on them.
>>62755663the last two weeks was good news on top of good newsinstitutions and hedgefunds got mad and hot and bothered about it and wanted to build up a moat before the next unlock
>>62755709Ill be watching Anthropic. 1T would interest me.
DING DING DING DING DINGHow did it go today?!?!
Pump for no reason, dump for no reason
>>62755556Then they all starve to death (they won't).
>>62755649China's stock drawdown was about 640kbpd in August.https://www.reuters.com/commentary/reuters-open-interest/china-draws-crude-inventories-august-refinery-runs-rise-2026-09-15/Oil imports were down 25% in August 2026 compared to August 2025, about 3 mb/day (13mt/month) lesshttps://tradingeconomics.com/china/crude-oil-importsSubstitutes:* Increasing use of coal, ethane and propane as chemical feedstock instead of naphtha* Increasing utilization of electric/LNG vehicles and trains at the expense of petrol/diesel vehicles and aircraft* Using hybrids in electric mode more often
>>62755706I have no clue why you wouldn't buffmaxx as a billionaire, you have all the free time in the world and access to the best nutrition/drugs and training programs. Elon would be way cooler if he was jacked
>>62755697Itsthattimeagain.jpg
>>62755715-1.28%That's what I get for being so heavily into RAM. Oh well, at least everything else is doing well. I still feel like I need to increase my cash position prior to midterms
>>62755663>Why SPCX pumping all of a sudden sars.SpaceX launched three rockets in under 13 hours on Friday, including a record-fast crewed mission to the ISS and deployments supporting Starlink and Google's AI satellite initiative. The stock rose 7.4% to $158.96 on heavy volume. That followed Starship reaching Earth's orbit for the first time and deploying 26 Starlink V3 satellites, which matters because Starlink is the biggest business and cheaper launch means more capacity. There's also a financial catalyst: an Alphabet deal worth $920 million per month over 32 months for AI computing services, which ramps up in October, on top of a separate Anthropic contract. Morgan Stanley's Adam Jonas reiterated Outperform with a $300 target in a note titled "SPCX $159: Cheap and Getting Cheaper." He argued investors only have a few weeks to buy ahead of some big milestones. The stock was up roughly 6-7% on the news.
>>62755663Spacex is going to be the next nvidia. The moment starship starts working it's +1000%.
>>62755715poopoo, mostly another debugging day
>>62755720getting buff doesn't really require muh best ingredients, it's literally just consistency and calorie surplus lolevery retard can do it
posted this on stocktwats and one dude blocked me and another dude liked my postdont think it made much impact though
>>62755720I have no clue why you wouldn't buffmaxx as any male. physical appearance is the only thing that matters in America. there are more millionaires than dudes with visible abs and visible abs will get you further in life than a million dollars willthis is serious financial advice
>>62755715+4.53%
>>62755715-0.20%37.5% MU
>>62755719Yeah, that's very cute, but demand for crude oil is growing YoY almost every year, both in China and globally, and there are no substitutes with the same energy density on this planet until a working fusion reactor is built.
>>62755671No. Don't go all in on crypto.10% crypto is reasonable, and if you go anything beyond that you better have unshakeable conviction. Under no circumstances do you go over 20% crypto. 5% crypto is sweet spot imo. Large enough to matter, but not large enough to cripple your portfolio is crypto dumps.how you allocate it depends on what you want to do with itfor someone very risk averse, a simple portfolio I'd recommend would be>70% VT, 30% RAAX/RLY, or replace VT with VOO if you just hate the world outside of America but I don't recommend that. then just tack on 5% in a separate portfolio
>>62755725It's probably going to drop under 150$ after midterms. Then it's all the way up for like 3 years.
>>62755728Aren't you just paper trading?
>>627557151.08% (+$33,886.76) TodayTemps AI, and Merdolibra for the 9% win. Also my CROs bounced back. Not sure why bio was on down last week?
>>62755715correctedToday: +1.26%This Month: +3.18%This Year: +37.23%New Peak: +0.44%12 Months: +15.19%
>>62755663>Why SPCX pumping all of a sudden sars.just buy slow and steady, its a young stock, volatile, but Elon is a massive contractor for DOE/intelligence and also savy business dood. Good chance SPCX hits $1,000 end of next year or sooner. Their Falcon 9 is a workhorse delivering shit to space on the regular, massive spacecock Starship had a 'successful flight' and delivered working V3 Starlink sats. SPCX firing on all thrusters captain.
>>62755715eatin good but no deal on prime cuts today
>>62755715+0.36% today, not bad not terrible.
>>62755731Complete bullshit. Missiles that can hit sats are crazy fucking expensive. Shooting down 50 starlinks would be the annual budget of russian army.
Klarnabros???
100% gain on PBRA this year <cvx down today sorry bro>. All the idiots with polbrain (I SEE YOU INCEL SPAMMER OF smg) hurrdurr monkey soup, at least you have your incel folders to goon to. Incredible move for a $ hundred billion company, but its still trading at 25% of the valuation of US majors
>>62755715+1.22%
>>62755715-.6tomorrow will be better
>>62755729I wasn't saying it does (I was an amateur /oly/ lifter previously), but e.g hypertrophy is more difficult with age and Musk is in his 50s.
>>62755753the purpose, admittedly was for fuddoesnt matter if its trueplus the entire eastern brics bloc would participate in the endeavor
>>62755725Interesting thanks. I do worry about the temporary nature of the AI revenues though.
>>62755722fuckin' amazing picture, man larry was thin back theneveryone is so old now :c
>>62755715+0.78
>>62755741Yes but wanting to go live ASAP, I was hoping today would be the first day but it didn't pan out
>>62755761What makes you think it is temporary?From my perspective it's going into orbit with no brakes.
>>627557150.3%
I got major cash (for me) for deployment but the bank wants it there to give me a mortgage. Fucking jews.>>62755768Don't hide, just buy.
>>62755545>allows its people to suffer while pouring resources into terrorismHe talking about America or Iran?
>stock price moves more after hours than it did the entire day
>anon told me to put everything into SPCX>it poomps 7.5% today>I didn't buy
>>62755545I just read front page news about his credibility and track record plummeting lol
>>627557150.05%Because I’m cash gang
>>62755780When will the KOPSI hit 9000?
>>62755736A fusion reactor would certainly be a large centralized power plant. Oil is mostly used for small decentralized engines. I don't see how they are comparable.Oil demand displaced by electric vehicles in China was almost 1 mbpd in 2025 and increasing rapidly, according to the IEA. The 2035 projection is that about 4.6 mbpd will be displaced.For the whole world the figures are about 1.5 mbpd and 9 mbpd respectively.https://www.iea.org/data-and-statistics/data-tools/global-ev-data-explorerChina is building about 4,000 km of railways per year, including about 2,500km of high-speed rail. In addition, coal-to-chemicals capacity is being expanded. So I think China has probably already reached peak oil demand.
>>62755768dont go fully live just yetninjas on here are screaming about bonds and earnings is this month another hike is coming etc
>>62755771I have to be able to trust and control it when afk and it means there's still some work to do, like setting up ssh from my phone into a web app like pic rel. And that work lead to down time today so it didn't really trade.Mostly running a short vol strategy, and these tend to work until they don't and you blow up. But I think it manages that part decently enough to survive. Waiting on a bunch of data to finish downloading from Databento and I'll have a better idea how it does during volatile periods like that crash-then-rally from earlier this year.
>>62755785Im telling man, just hold voo for cash. If it drops 20% you'll still hsve 80% for cheapest. If you are wrong and it goes up uou are ahead.I get playing conservative, I even get 1/3rd cash but full port cash?
>>62755753If they did it, they would use some kind of cluster munition, or a radiation weapon (= specially designed nuke), or poison orbital planes with sand or something. They wouldn't use one missile per target, that's not economically doable.
>>62755651In this comparison, the USA is closer to Imperial Japan than Iran is. They bombed Pearl Harbour because the US cut off all oil exports to the Japs and they thought they could extract a quick defeat from the Americans after a huge tactical victory
>>62755700Don't hide.Just buy.
>>62755791I intend to model expectations vs outcomes around both fed interest and earnings and other macro data so it can survive this or at least back off when it's unable to demonstrate any skill. Not there yet though trying to focus on going live on purely market data first, no exogenous stuff
>>62755792Look, I don't understand your picture and I don't wanna bother with it. Just buy NVDA, GOOGL, AAPL and MU and don't look at it again until 2030.
>>62755798The meme is about autocrats >>62755583
>>62755789most of chinas power grid is fucking coal dude. they are replacing oil with coal and you are talking about it like a giant leap forward lmao
Do not be afraid, come here little fella, itll be okay, you can buy, you dont have finna gotta be scared no mo.
>>62755700itll start going down absolute earliest wednesdaymost likely a hedgefund front run starting thursday like the last time shares unlocked and a guaranteed down day on fridaythe news that the company keeps putting out is solid so as long as the war in ukraine does escalate into space, spcx is shaping up to be a solid company even if they dont get earthians on mars or the moon even within the next 50 years
>>62755807the meme is about people that opoose the USthe US has no problems with autocrats
>>62755812It's a leap forward for China because China has a lot of coal and not much oil, so it decreases import dependence.
>>62755769Well they're renting it out to other AI Labs aren't they? Tbh, I don't know maybe the labs are fine with that arrangement, but I would have thought they'd want their own infrastructure.
>>62755715decent
>>62755804Overall, the thing I've been running has been averaging around 2%/day during live sessions, with conservative capital use, so I think it's better than what you suggested.. But obviously won't last forever.
>>62755817Correct, like Franko, whos on the meme but you haven't read enough history to get it.
+1.5% todayI feel emptyalmost sereneI don't care anymore
>>627557153%
>>62755819the US has already made it abundantly clear that if china fucks around we are just going to blow up the three gorges dam in China and instantly flood millions of people and cripple their powergridrunning their plastic electric cars made out of oil is just so the bureaucrats don't have to breath smog in the cities anon
>>62755715-0,35%One of my big% Euro holds was heemed at the very end on no news, probably just to fuck with weak hands. At least my CDR and GOOG and KLAR (???) are propping me up today.
>>62755823Well when did you start? Do you mean to say you have an 80% return in one month?
>>62755782Remember the idiot of a few days ago (the incel spammer of pmg) guaranteed that spacex would fall because of the unlock?
>>62755715>+1.08%
>>62755503>Over FactoryIt's unironically over
>>62755826then what is the meme even about?youre just throwing shit against the wall
>>62755829What "fucking around" is it that you expect from China and why is it relevant to the discussion of oil demand? China probably wants to decrease oil dependence even if for no other reason to avoid suffering the negative consequences of the US fucking around in the Middle East and other parts of the world.I'm not aware that the US government has communicated any threat to China regarding the Three Gorges Dam, and in any case, it's probably relevant to note that China has an estimated 620 nuclear warheads, of which about 500 are on missiles with the range to reach CONUS.
pay up zoomies, that 2nd home mortgage doesn't take care of itself
>>62755845I’m 40 and when I was a kid the boomers were all like>hehehe social security isn’t gonna exist by the time you can claim it pal
>>62755845Fuck boomers. Except my nan, she's lovely.
>>62755844Not sure what that anon was on about but china makes up a large amount of the demand for oil, if they decide to tap their reserves instead, which nobody knows how large their reserves actually are, global demand goes way down and so do oil prices, which was exactly what brought oil down earlier this year
>>62755845just use the part of my taxes that goes to the kikes
Explain to me how Nasdaq hits a new ATH everyday while gas and yields soar and on the brink of WW3
>>62755845I'm curious when the first politicians will run on a platform of specific austerity for boomers. People always called it the "third rail" of politics to cut their benefits, but at a certain point they aren't going to have the political power to stop it.
>>62755845Based boomers. Agree.
>>62755556How do you defeat the US as Iran? Hide while they blow up your shit until they get bored and leave? Emerge from the rubble and claim you have defeated the great satan?
>>62755844>fucking aroundcurrently they mass import fentanyl to the US to try to destabilize the country. its one of the biggest sticking points in every negotiation.>they don't talk about three gorgesits been openly discussed for years. china already said they would view it as nuclear aggression retaliation act. the US is actively building fucking space lasers and military bases in Greenland to intercept ICBMs dude. you can larp its all fanfiction but its actually discussed and being acted upon... a lot of your civilian companies like SPCX and CAT are going to succeed because they are a branch of the military and you niggers don't even understand what you are buying most of the time
>>62755845Gerontocracy. Already happening in places with worse birthrates. Britain is an old and brown people reserve.
>>62755866they basically destroyed all US bases close to Iranand they brought fuel and diesel prices to record levelstheyre trying to make the war as costly as possible
>>62755836Over 80% yes, and I'm aware of what that implies. That was over approx one month of OPRA data, with training done on several years of SPY SIP/BBO data. I'm waiting on more OPRA data to see how it does during more times when realized volatility exceeds implied.
>>62755866Defeating and destroying are different thingsYou can destroy your enemy and still fail to accomplish your strategic objectives, ie: your win condition
>>62755862Ever heard about peak euphoria before a depression? This is it.It happens because at this point, the only people left trading are euphoric retards bumping prices up with each other. Much like two Pokemon card traders artificially bumping up the price of their stupid cardboard shit that is worth nothing.
>>62755845>>62755854its a ponzi based on having increasing numbers of children and no one has children anymore. boomers never understood that part but they definitely all were taught to repeat that it would go insolvent within their lives
>>62755866Depend on whether or not Iran still want to coexist with its neighbors. Iran can very easily destroys all oil infrastructure in the ME. That would push oil to $300 per barrel and plunge the entire world into a depression. The economic reality will force the US into a concession. If they want to escalate further, they can nuke the desalination plants. Literally millions dead in a month, at least. The downside is obvious. They will make everyone into their enemies, even China. Qatar has been very friendly toward Iran and is a hub for them to launder money and trade with the world. Even the Houthi will die if they do that.
>>62755845Get to waging alphoids!
>>62755866The same way Vietnam did. And Iran is succeeding at it, at a fraction of the cost, both in money and in lives.
>>62755877Well that's really good, hope it works out. Me, I'm a brainlet so I'll just follow a buy and forget strategy going forward.
>>62755503Deflating M2 (>>62755805) out of diesel fuel shows a potential future of $15/gal diesel, if the fuel supply squeeze gets priced like diesel was back in 2008 in M2-adjusted terms.Ready your anguses! Maybe buy some [calls in] VLO to hedge your edge.
>>62755885>millions will dieis that good or bad for XOM tho?
>>62755866Wars have strategic goals. If you as an aggressor do not accomplish your goals then you have, by definition, lost the war. A defendant literally only has to stop the aggressor from accomplishing those goals.
>>62755881>peak euphoriaI think they could easily do like a +15% blowoff top from here just to buck break every bear and get the most stubborn person to fomo the top before the great niggering 1 day after elections or some shit
>beet idaww sheeeit
>>62755761The temporary nature is to SPCX's benefit. They can cut their customers off with short notice if they need that capacity for their own initiatives.I've said it before, and I'll say it again. SPCX's future is tied to Tesla's Optimus and digital Optimus succeeding. Selling that compute to others is merely the backup plan/stop gap.
POL FAGS KILL YOURSELF THEN GET THE FUCK OUT
>>62755894Kinda bad. The US will impose an export ban and print money at the same time. Long story short, oil and diesel prices in the US will be suppressed but will rocket in the rest of the world. XOM and CVX will just have to eat it up because they are American.
>>62755890Yeah, it tends to pay until you get hit with volatility, and then you lose everything you made and more, though. It's basically like getting paid to sit on a bomb and hoping it won't explode. If I can sit on it long enough without exploding I'll get off and diversify into something safer.
>>62755903No.
>>62755881dont forget democrats and socialists sweeping the midterms, which noone has even priced in yetthe market is oblivious to the real world
>>62755903I dont see your id in the responses to the Dingdingding anon
>>62755895>obtained 0 resources or land>leadership is still dead/broken, still won't try and unite because tribe A thinks is muhammad is a bitchin name while tribe B thinks mohammed sounds cooler than muhammad>other countries don't have any faith in a Iran controlled strait to the point even their own allies are just keeping quiet and looking for other places to send their shit>lose your only competitive advantage (cheap oil) because u wanted some gibs me dat and to larp as saudi arabia>US still exists and will keep giving free bombs to Israel so the bombing problem isn't even solvedThat should shut the thirdies up. Anyway, what stocks should I buy tomorrow?
>>62755887thats a good comparison
>>62755903if we kill ourself aren't we already fucking off?
The war is caused by Big Oil btw. They are funding both sides
>>62755914tribe A killed brown jesus' entire family tree and tribe B wants to genocide all of tribe A
>>62755913I'm >>62755409 (there are countries outside of the US fyi).>>62755916That's the joke. Like a "I'm gonna kill you and then bury you alive kinda thing".Anyway buy stocks never sell.
>>62755914Regime is still in control and nothing has been done about the nooks. US might get that done in the end but so far, that's two objectives not completed so far.Though I understand you want to pretend they never were objectives to begin with.
>>62755919yes, some anon here admitted yesterday, that US shale oil would be unprofitable with the Iran war
>>62755919TTE shareholder here, I absolutely love Patrick. God tier CEO.
>>62755926*without the Iran war
>>62755728>Says he's short vol>Loses money on a green dayI think you're doing it wrong anon
>>62755926Without you mean?You're right if it goes under ~70, correct, shake becomes less profitable
>>62755921>Anyway buy stocks never sell.Only works as long as M2 keeps marching up and leverage is ≤ 1.M2 is the driving force of that strategy, see chartsrel.
>>62755934yes, exactly
>>62755933I don't think you know what short vol means
>>62755945they wont ever stop printing but they will have to keep coming up with more and more creative excuses to nigger print infinity trillion dollars.they doubled the money supply for a fake and gay coof they released and that shit didn't even last 5 years before they are fiending like crackheads trying to get more.
>>62755949Damn are you triggered? VIX is down anon and you didn't make money
>>62755715+1.7%
>>62755959VIX is the premium of SPX options, not a measure of volatility or RV vs IV. VIX being higher would mean IV is richer..And it doesn't matter that it didn't make money today, it was only active for the last hour or so, and all things considered it did well not losing more in that sudden cliff.
>>62755890>strategy mentionBullish >>62755715Like 4% or something thanks
>>62755968>VIX being higher would mean IV is richerHow does implied volatility being higher not mean volatility is up>Not a measure of IV vs RVThat's not short volatility though that's short the spread on IV vs RV then
Ya’ll honkies buyin dem stonks ova here?
>>62755983>How does implied volatility being higher not mean volatility is upBecause IV != RV. IV is just the expectation of future volatility. >That's not short volatility though that's short the spread on IV vs RV thenThat's what short volatility is; betting RV < IV.
>>62755999>That's what short volatility is, betting RV < IV Then what do you call betting that RV will fall