If AI is going to replace every job in the world, why are there more software engineers now than ten years ago? Everyone says AI is best for coding, so why aren't we seeing unthinkable unemployment? If you correct for the negative interest rate hiring spree in 2021 software engineering is in a better place than it's ever been
>>108146310stop asking questions
>>108146320Why can't AI answer my questions
there's a lot of inertia in business, you can't imagine how inefficient most companies areand we might also get the effect that making software easier to make increases the demand for it
>>108146310because it's a scam for the linkedinese and the retards in management, shelled by the pajeet
america had its highest population of horses around the time that cars were just starting to become popular, also technology and society move faster now
>>108146401why does everyone use the same analogyam i even interacting with different people or is this some dead internet theory type shit
>>108146401wouldn't be surprised if we have even more horses now. bigger population to feed
>>108146310You guys have No Idea What's Coming
>>108146434https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7Pq-S557XQU which used to be called "humans need not apply" or something popularized itwho had the original idea, i don't know
The core analogy popularized by **CGP Grey** in his 2014 video *Humans Need Not Apply* (originally titled *Automation: How Humans Became Horses*) was first proposed by the Nobel Prize-winning economist **Wassily Leontief**.### The OriginIn **1983**, Leontief wrote about the impact of technological change on labor. He famously argued that human labor would eventually be displaced by technology in the same way that the **internal combustion engine** displaced the horse.Before the car, horses were essential to the economy for transport and farming. When "mechanical muscles" arrived, it didn't just mean horses had to find "new jobs"; they became **economically irrelevant** for labor. Leontief used this to warn that "mechanical minds" (computers and AI) could do the same to humans.### Why the analogy stuck:* **The "Luddite" Fallacy:** People often argue that new technology creates new jobs. Leontief pointed out that while this happened for humans in the past, it didn't happen for horses—and there is no "law of economics" stating it must happen for us.* **Mechanical Muscles vs. Minds:** CGP Grey expanded on Leontief’s "mechanical muscle" concept to explain why AI is a different kind of threat than the steam engine or the tractor.It’s a bit of a sobering thought, but hey, at least we haven't been replaced by digital glue yet.**Would you like me to find some of the counter-arguments economists have made against Leontief's horse analogy?**
it's funny you mention dead internet theory, because as according to gabriel torch, over 50% of internet traffic is driven by bots, and over 50% of content is written by bots
>>108146595that was a while ago, we're probably at 80%+ by now
in 2026, so it's no longer a theory now
>>108146310Because they called coding = programming, now programming = software engineering
>>108146310>better tools means fewer workersto do the same job perhapsin reality better tools means the same number of workers can do more difficult thingsthere may be a rush to hire anyone competent enough to do things that were previously impracticalas precedent:>prediction: machine guns mean fewer soldiers>reality: machine guns mean bigger wars
>>108146458Good morning sir
>>108146310Don't worry, it's just starting now. Layoffs should start ramping up later this year.
>>108146310Jeffrey Katzenberg said that, by 2026, animated films would be done in 6 months on a team of 50 people instead of 500 people working for 5 years, but that shit never happened.
>>108147072>haven't written a single line of codethis is to hype investors lolthis could mean as little as using a model to tweak formatting or identifiersi could technically claim i haven't written a single line for my current project because clang-format produced every file
>>108146310>why aren't we seeing unthinkable unemploymentYou might want to visit the local unemployment thread
>>108146310Bubble goes pop pop
>>108146310>Questioning the narrativeHey man, cool it with the antisemitism.
>>108147128It's been like that for a decade, they have literally always argued the job market was wonderful two years ago
>>108147072Didn't the CEO of salesforce say he was going to fire everyone at the company and run it all with AI
