Found this wall of text on Twitter and it got me thinking: Will any open source models ever be able to do this eventually? I'm not talking about models that are open source on paper like the trillion parameter Kimi models or storage and memory behemoths like deep-seek. I'm talking about shit you can run on your consumer grade hardware (double digit or ~ hundred B range type stuff). Yes I'm aware He's a likely only pretending to give a shit about "safety" to maintain a mud but I'm curious as to whether or not this could actually be the case at some point. We already know creating malware with sufficiently powerful models is not only possible but done on a regular basis now, governments will absolutely use them as weapons If they are capable of using it as such or are allowed to (in the case of the pentagons recent hissy fit regarding anthropic's "morals"). So I wonder if this will ever be doable on someone's shitrig one day. I see people saying "We need a new architecture" or "transformers doesn't scale well" or "transformers is a flaming pile of dog shit" etc etc. But I think we shouldn't forget that data quality and training methods are important too. Could someone theoretically trade a model to do things like this with structured synthetic data they created themselves be automation? Could they do this on even data sets They can download from hugging face? https://xcancel.com/i/status/2040067095199625473
>>108524435No because we are at least decades away from agi and we aren't even sure it can be done on silicon.
i don't know. i think doomers/safetyists will have a huge influence over AI regulations after the 2028 elections.they might stop AI progress, so it's possible we'll never get "AGI at home". depends on if they make international treaties that also handicap china.
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>>108526856The investments that have been necessary every year to keep Moore's law alive have also been growing exponentially
Genocide man was talking about this 15 years ago.
>>108524435The software was readyWe will always need new hardware, but we will never get it because society and politicians are always fighting over current resources. Such hardware exists with new materials, possibly from other planets. It's possible that we already exausted our mishmash of electrons for what we know, but big pharma corp Eli Lilly is trying to see what's left to mix and mash, with their version of AI>https://www.genengnews.com/topics/artificial-intelligence/lilly-grows-ai-footprint-with-up-to-2-75b-insilico-collaboration/