OH N-
seems ai slop sir
>>2214418452026 isn't over, how can they know
>>221441845>the next taiwanese generation is going to be one-quarter the size of the one before itDamn.
>>221442120Typically, with stats like this they use YoY metrics, then take historical seasonal monthly data and make forecasts while updating the yearly prediction as new numbers are released.
Shit like this is why the pension system will definitely be abolished in the future and people will have to pay for their own retirenment fund. You can't support so many old people when the fertility rates are shit and not enough new workers are entering the workforce. Immigration also only solves the issue temporarily and actually makes the problem worse in the long run
>>221441845China is probably higher, if the rumours are true that there is 200 million less 25-40 yos than officially stated. Doesnt change the overall kids number but would explain why CCP isn't fully panicking, outside the retirement wave.
>>221441845Not surprised about Taiwanese
This is because white women dont love us
>>221442509Actual interesting theory but i would sound like a schizo telling it to people
>>221442509no shot, China is extremely digitized. Their census is accurate.
oh nigger
>>221441845I know Japanese men make Korean women have babbies, they are trying to hide it back at home with their waifu.
BKC will take over China, Singapore, Thailand and Taiwan
>>221443040>That means China's real population is not 1.41 billion (the official figure) and could be even smaller than 1.28 billion. It also means that China's economic, social, foreign, and defense policies ― as well as those of the United States and other countries toward China ― are based on erroneous demographic data.https://www.koreatimes.co.kr/opinion/20220728/leaked-data-show-chinas-population-is-shrinking-fast>The researcher cited the Chinese statistics bureau's earlier reports that there had been about 203 million births between 1991 and 2000 and 79 million deaths, putting its population estimate at 1.27 billion for the turn of the century. The 2000 census came up short, so officials launched a campaign to add tens of millions of "missing" people, bringing the official population close to initial estimates, Yi said.https://www.newsweek.com/china-hiding-population-secret-1926834
>In another data point, China reported 13.79 million children under the age of one in 2000. Yet the 2010 census claimed there were 14 million 10-year-olds. But the magical appearance of a quarter-million children had expanded by 2014, when the number of ninth-graders (a direct analogue to age 14) was reported as 14.26 million. >At every level of China’s government, there is every incentive to fake population numbers. Local governments are highly dependent on fiscal transfers from the central government. Higher populations mean more money. https://thehill.com/opinion/international/5300578-china-economy-fraud-population/>In 2013, official data said there were 260 million school-age children, but vaccination records showed only 100 million kids between eight months and 16 years. That’s a huge gap, suggesting that official numbers don’t match reality.>The 2013 Nationwide ID Audit. One of the biggest revelations Lei discusses is a 2013 nationwide audit. China’s Ministry of Public Security deployed 500,000 police officers to review ID records. They found 350 million fake or duplicate IDs among the 1.3 billion officially recorded people.https://cadevirradt.medium.com/has-china-been-lying-about-its-population-a-dissidents-perspective-349418aac185
>>221443444>13.79>14>14.26Those are tiny rounding errors, also immigration is a thing
>>221443574>ignores the rest like a schizo
>>221441845niggas be having an ultra low fertility off
>>221441845Hanguk has risenZhongguo has fallenSiam has fallenFormosa has fallen
So all China has to do is outlast Taiwan and roll into a completely depopulated empty island?
meanwhile in nigeria
>>221443793Xi was big about pushing for Taiwan acquisition but he will be dead soon. Who knows what his successor will want and even if they will have another centralizing figure like that in the near future.
>>221441845>0.65 Holy molly, Taiwan sisters are you doing okay???
What do you think will be the correct long term method to fixing the demographic decline crisis?Mass investment in robotics, or mass import of third worlders?
>>221441845i don't blame them, asian women look frail, yellow, skinny, there's nothing about them that makes you want to put a baby in it
>>221443883Artificial wombs, government children
>>221443851Chinese youth are more in favor of military intervention in Taiwan than Chinese elders who would prefer peaceful assimilation through diplomatic and economic cooperation.
Do that many people really give a shit about fertility rates or are you just copying one another?
>>221443924Very Jew Answer
>>221444114Very brown post
>>221442460why should we pay for the old in the first place?they have families to support them, if not they did a bad job parenting
>>221441845>>221442070Crazy if truewhy us
>>221442120This is just a projection. We wouldn’t even be able to get last year’s actual numbers until we’re 9 months removed from 2025
>>221441845zainichi did this
>>221442609being Bolivian this stat fucking destroyed me
>>221443821based and culturally rich I say
>>221442120All babies that will be born in 2026 were already conceived
>>221444047I'm not concerned about the falling fertility rates in developed countries. I am very concerned that it coincides with high fertility rates in dumpster shitholes though.
>>221441845Taiwan isn't a country
>>221443883It depends on what the root cause of the problem is.If it's a mouse utopia thing and people inevitably stop having sex and children when life becomes lavish enough, then it can't be helped and we were wrong to ever set up our institutions this way. Socialized pensions and maybe even fractional reserve banking, fiat money and other bankster bullshit will have to go.If it's artificially created, then you have to put the people who are responsible for it behind bars and undo the shit they've done. This is the more likely cause considering the Jaffe memo exists and even if it wasn't taken seriously, it indicates that people actually making the world go round know what causes population decline and are still purposely doing it.Personally I think we could use a bit of both.
>>221443883My opinion is that>more people are afraid of having children because they feel infantilized>more people are afraid of having children because they feel their parents mistreated them and they don't want to be bad parents themselves>more people are afraid of having children because they feel life isn't inherently good (caused both by perceived bad quality of life and decline of religions with happy afterlives)>more people are afraid of having children because they think any person, and thus also children, need to have increasingly larger amounts of wealth, resources, education, talents, motivation, intelligence, connections etc in order to thrive or even stay independent>people on average have more technological entertainment and so spend less time socialising with humans, thus value human interaction less and tech interaction more>...therefore children are both less rewarding (as potential for socialising) and more costly (by cutting into entertainment time)>people >in a roundabout way, work has become a bigger burden on peoples lives and so they have less time for the demands of children and thus want everyone around them to be independent (mostly in that modern work demands unbroken attention for 8+ hours, whilst historical work allowed very frequent breaks and distractions to tend to children that were kept nearby)It's a long list, but it's all fixable if anyone cares (sees any money to be made)
>>221448276you forgot they'll grow up in increasingly brown shitholes
>>221448907That comes under point 2 (prior generations didn't act in their interest) , 3 (poorer life quality) and 4 (need to be rich to live away from proles)
>>221443883The world is still overpopulated. It has been since the Industrial Revolution.
>>221441845Korea has sex near replacement level, confirmed
>>221441845>0.65Impressive
