Is it true trannies cannot comprehend the correct answer to this problem?
1:2?
fuck this dumb fuck fuck fuck you dumb fuck question fucking dumb
50%, right?
50% you either get it or you don't
oh god this is like monty hall or something isn't it? it's 2/3 or something weird like that even though you'd think it would be 1/2. but i am bad at math and i don't like british people
>>43221510>>43221518>>43221521>>43221522Oh... I guess it is true...
>>43221527This nona accidentally got it right (it's 2/3) but she doesn't comprehend it so I can't offer full marks.
>>43221538so it is the monty hall problem. i used to know the math(s). but anyone can look it up in "the curious incident of the dog in the nighttime," which i had to read in 7th grade
>>43221553I mean it's as simple as there being 3 equally likely options once you've picked one gold ball. The box with two silver balls effectively disappears and you're left with two gold balls and one silver ball. 2/3 vs. 1/3
>>4322149650%any other answer is bad math
>>43221591ok, i see that. thanks fren. this will help me play games that involve probability
>>43221597Any mathematician who has studied this problem will tell you it's 66%. If you're confident you have an explanation for why it's 50% I'd encoded you to call your local university and try to get funding. If the answer truly is 50% you'd revolutionize the field of probabilistics.
Box A = (G1,G2)Box B = (G3,S)Box C = (S,S)If you drew G1 or G2, it came from Box A. If you drew G3 it came from Box B. If you drew G1 or G2, the probability that the other ball is gold is 100%. If you drew G3, the probability that the other ball is gold is 0%.2/3.
>>43221674You're absolutely correct anon. I'm assuming you must either be a pooner or cis.
>>43221690Close: I have autism
>>43221668so...i pass?
>>43221496less than 50% idk I'm not gonna do the math but you're more likely to pick up silver
>>43221710As trans? Yes. The answer? No, it's 66%.>>43221706I've actually found autistic people tend to struggle more with this problem because of rigid thinking.
>>43221674i dont get it
>>43221714Oh wow, now this is interesting. You're wrong, but I really do want to know how you arrived at that.
>>432214963 boxes: GG, GS, SSIf you picked gold. You have either picked GG box or GS box. (SS box is out of equation)You have an equal chance to have picked GG or GS at this point, you have no idea which, so you can think of them as the same pool: GGGS.Since you took one G out of the pool, you have: GGS.Your chance of picking another G is 2/3t. ranny
>>43221775theres only two boxes tho :(
>>43221718>As trans? Yes.thanks
>>43221714>Me when I add 20 boxes full of silver balls and that changes the probability when you draw gold somehow.
>>43221785I mean after you draw you can ignore the SS box but there are 3 literally in the picturet. baited
>>43221668>if 2 minus 1 was 3 you'd revolutionize mathematics
>>43221728If you pick a gold ball, box 3 is automatically eliminated as there are zero gold balls.The question is the likelihood of picking a gold ball from the same box NEXT.The options are:If you picked ball 1, box 1, you have to pick ball 2, box 1.If you picked ball 2, box 1, you have to pick ball 1, box 1.If you picked ball 1, box 2, you can only pick box 2, ball 2, which is silver.Picking any of the silver balls first is not an option so you have eliminated box 3 from the outset, and you wouldn't have collected ball 2 in box 2
>>43221775You’re not reaching into a pool though you’re reaching into the same box you pulled from. This feels like an issue with abstraction and probabilistic thinking, once you pull a ball from the box there is only one of two options left for that box
>>43221821I mean... yeah, it would. It makes no fucking sense. If it somehow did make sense then all of math as we know it would be wrong.
>>43221864No, there's three options for what could be in that box. Two of those three options happen to be gold balls.
>>43221864>If you picked ball 1, box 1, you HAVE to pick ball 2, box 1.>If you picked ball 2, box 1, you HAVE to pick ball 1, box 1.>If you picked ball 1, box 2, you can ONLY pick box 2, ball 2, which is silver.Picking any of the silver balls first is not an option so you have eliminated box 3 entirely from the outset, and you wouldn't have been able to have collected ball 2 in box 2 as the presupposition is that you have already picked up a gold ball
>>43221714hey wait I'm retarded actually, thought it was a potential pool of all the balls, did not consider the only two boxes with gold available
>>43221496you never heard this and this is a low post>look at this solved problem retards debate!!>lgbt related because i mentioned troons for no reason!!
>>43221496fuck you we already had this thread like a year ago39956982 in your archive of choice
>>43222173I know we did, anon.I posted it.
>>43221496The probability is 2/3I am a genius tranny. Mensa level. Kneel to me cis scum.
>>43221527>>43221538doesn't the monty hall problem imply you have the ability to switch options, and that one (bad) option is removed?
>>432214962/3. there’s three scenarios where you pick a gold ball. in a and b, you picked the leftmost box, so the other ball is also gold. in c, you picked the middle box, so your other ball is silver. each scenario is equally likely
Okay if there are any 50% brainlets still reading, I'm wondering if this explanation will help you understand why the 2/3 answer is actually correct.Consider that in the two boxes with gold balls, there are 3 gold balls and 1 silver ball. One box has 2 gold balls and one has 1 of eachIf you have already picked out a gold ball, that means its more likely that you picked it out of the box that has more gold balls in the first place. Meaning it's more likely that the same box will have another gold ball.You can more easily visualize this if you change some numbers. Consider the 3 boxes, but instead they have 2 silver balls, then 1 silver ball 1 gold ball, and then the third box has 500 gold balls and 1 silver ball.Now think about it. If you grabbed a gold ball from the silver box, that was only a 50/50 chance, but if you grabbed it from the 500 gold ball box it was a 100% chance. Its more likely that your gold ball came from the all-gold box, thats why its not a 50/50 chance that your next choice is silver.
>>432214962/3 chance it is gold. there are three possibilities for the first step with equal probability. you pick the first gold ball, the second gold ball, or the third gold ball. if you picked the first or second gold ball then you will get another gold ball when you take the other ball from the box. if you picked the third equally likely outcome you will have a silver ball. two of three equally likely outcomes get you a gold ball. aren't trannies generally smarter than the average population because the people who are retarded and also have the tranny gene tend to never transition and because estrogen is a neuroprotectant (i.e. makes neurotransmitters more efficient)
>>4322149630-33%?
>>43222372The funny thing is in my experience people who think of themselves as intelligent tend to get the problem wrong more often. My boomer parents both got it right.
>>43221496I’m so used to measure theory now that I can’t understand how I was ever confused about stuff like this and the Monty Hall problem.
>>432215301:2 is not the same as 50%
the probability the moment you realize its gold is 50/50the probability if the question is rephrased as the probability if you repeat, putting the silver ball back if you grab one, is 2/3.the way it is phrased is 50/50, the answer intended if the phrasing was corrected is 2/3.
>>43221496I was going to say 2/5
>>43222943Explain
2/3t. boymoder who teaches math
>>43221496but i don't have 3 boxes?
>>4322149650/50I'm either gonna get the ball, or I won't
>>43221496I'll just trust my gut lowkey. If I manifest another gold ball in my mind maybe I will get a gold ball on the second draw.
>>43221496dumb fucking question but i'll bite. i guess 2/3? you pick a random ball, whether it's silver or gold most likely it will have come from the corresponding color's pure box. even if you 'remove' it, it doesn't change the odds of their location since you're picking from the same box, a.k.a the first roll determines the second's outcome. is that it? the dumb fucking trick is that you're supposed to think the equation hasn't been decided yet and the ball is just a part of the problem, but the actual 'chance' was determined when the first ball is chosen and now you're just making basic observations as to what the consequence of that is. LIKE HOW DOES IT FUCKING MATTER IF YOU CAN SEE INTO THEM OR NOT???? THE ROLL IS PREDETERMINED!!! EXPLAIN YOU FUCKING CLOWNalso shut the fuck up you post this shit on /g/ and the entire thread is gonna be dipshits arguing over there being a secret red ball
>>432214962/3, the number of gold balls decreased by 1.You don't need box probability because you already chose it.You don't need ball probability because there is only one ball left in the box.So the only thing left is the chance on whether the next ball is a gold ball, which is 2/3 since you already removed 1 gold ball.Give me full marks.
>>43223931but im not a tranny,
You are more likely to have picked box A it's pretty simple
>>43223983that’s not what the q is asking tho
1/3 though right?? Because there's 3 boxes total
