>predicted World War II 20 years before it happened>predicted end of European colonialism due to third world population growth>predicted that China would industrialise and surpass Europe economically>predicted white demographic decline due to declining birth rate and immigration>predicted rise in Islamist terrorism against the westI'm reading through this genuinely trying to find where he was wrong and other than his obsession with Japan (which made sense at the time) I can't find anything. Truly prophetic.
>>25130114Ok, and?Those are all good things.
>>25130114Never even heard of this, but his name looks like AI generated text.
>>25130140I wonder why they don't name children Lothrop anymore? Should make a comeback imo. Along with Gerbert.
>>25130114Anyone could predict all of this would happen. The Ottoman Empire fell around the time this was written, everyone knew Jim Crow was breeding black resentment and there were already a ton of immigrants (albeit Eastern Europeans/Meds/irish) moving into America and the UK
>>25130118shalom rabbi
>>25130228But most people didn't. Think of how many geopolitical and demographic predictions have aged like milk over the years.Paul Erlich was way more mainstream that Stoddard ever was, and his predictions of overpopulation and mass starvation were completely wrong. The best geopolitical analysts of the present day were completely unable to predict any of the current wars.Everyone who makes predictions is basing it on the data available to them, but they still usually end up mostly wrong. To have this many correct predictions that saw so far ahead and to have been dismissed by more intellectuals is insane.
>>25130228He does say a lot of things that did not really come true, but some things are scarily accurate. Like he claims that if Europe retreats from Africa then Asians will take its place and start exploiting Africa for resources. That didn't start coming true until the 21st century.
>>25130433Whether a work in human sciences (let alone current events) becomes a mainstream narrative or framework has about zero relation with its predictive capabilities. By the time it becomes clear the work was wrong it has either been forgotten after its honeymoon at the top of academia and media (such as Erlich that you cite) or its remaining cheerleaders go on increasingly insane interpretative tangents to pretend it was actually right (Marx for instance).
>>25130114Also predicted the dominance of anti-colonialism and thrid worldism as a political force. And predicted the strategy of keeping Asia divided (China vs Japan) to prevent Asian world supremacy. And predicted the rise of Islam as thiord worldist political force.It's a text well worth reading, and 95% could be published today as a left-leaning academic essay. Certianly not vulgar or chud racism (that was Madison Grant).>>25130467True. The book is even more modern today now that racial issues and globalisation have replaced the ideologicial conflict of the Cold War.
>>25130520Honestly I was expecting basically an early 20th century /pol/-tier schizopost like Lovecraft or Houston Stewart Chamberlain (who Stoddard actually criticizes) but if you just swapped out all of the normal-for-the-time eugenicist and scientific racist rhetoric with celebratory anti-colonialist and anti-racist rhetoric I think this book would be taken extremely seriously as a work of political science.But because it frames itself in this fearmongering way it gets dismissively labeled a "conspiracist" book despite containing no conspiracy theories whatsoever. There's not even any antisemitism which is surprising.
>>25130581>There's not even any antisemitism which is surprising.iirc there is casual antisemitism but it wasn't close to a TKD level, I could just be misremembering my reading of him though.
>>25130114most importantly he gave a perspective to see how unstable the reign of white people over the world was. This was written at the very peak of european domination, yet he accurately showed that this was only a head start that would quickly crumble if whites were unable or unwilling to defend their positions. Most illustrative for me was the example of South Africa and Algeria as dikes against the colored flood and the severe consequences should they be lost
>>25130467>That didn't start coming true until the 21st centuryIt's been happening since at least 500 BC. Europeans exploiting Africa were the outlier.
>>25130600There are a few passing mentions to Ashkenazi Jews as being descended from Khazars (which was considered a mainstream historical hypothesis at the time) and being classified as "Asiatics" (arguably not even wrong) but there is no hint of any Jewish conspiracy against the white race or to promote Bolshevism or other ideologies, which were already becoming popular back then so it's surprising they don't even get a mention. That would probably have made the book be taken less seriously at the time, not that its absence has made it any more accepted today.
>>25130623He's speaking specifically of East Asians, like how China now has a neocolonial relationship with many African countries. He recognises that the influence of "brown peoples" (i.e. Arabs) on Africa goes back centuries. He even predicts that in the future Africa will be evenly divided between Christians and Muslims, which has also now come true.
>>25130118Tel Aviv is being reduced to rubble and Haifa is next.
>>25130118How?Deuteronomy 28:43-45
>>25130114>>predicted World War II 20 years before it happenedlike that was hard
>>25130581100% agree.
>>25130114infographic
>>25130114>predicted WW2 right after WW1Holy guacamole, who could have possibly seen that coming?
>>25130114My copy has a certain design which make it seem like its an anti racist book.
>>25130981>>25131807The war was widely predicted from the moment of Versailles but hindsight is 20/20. A lot of other people thought war could be avoided or that Germany had been neutralized, or were more worried about the Soviet Union. The fact that he got that correct on top of everything else is impressive.
>>25131904The designer of that cover knew exactly what he was doing kek.It works perfectly because if you take out the "threat" part the title is 100% in the language of progressive antiracism.In fact if a book contained all the same information but just framed it as a good thing instead of a bad thing it would be considered completely uncontroversial.
