A closely watched market valuation gauge long favored by billionaire investor Warren Buffett is flashing its strongest warning yet as 2026 begins.The indicator, commonly known as the Buffett Indicator, compares the total market value of publicly traded U.S. stocks to the nation’s gross domestic product.It is designed to show whether the stock market is growing in line with economic output or racing ahead of it. When the ratio moves far above its historical norm, it suggests investors are paying increasingly high prices for each dollar of economic activity, raising the risk of sharp corrections or recessions.According to the latest data, the Buffett Indicator has surged to roughly 224%, the highest level on record. This means the total value of U.S. equities is now more than twice the size of the U.S. economy, an extreme divergence that has historically preceded periods of significant market stress.What makes the current signal especially concerning is that the rise has occurred despite slowing growth signals in parts of the real economy. When market capitalization accelerates faster than GDP for prolonged periods, it implies expectations embedded in stock prices may be overly optimistic. Historically, the adjustment back toward economic reality has tended to come through falling asset prices rather than rapid economic expansion.The warning is emerging as many economists caution that the risk of an economic downturn is rising. Some analysts, including Henrik Zeberg, have pointed to increasing vulnerability to a prolonged market correction, citing slowing indicators such as labor market trends and weakening momentum across parts of the economy.https://finbold.com/warren-buffetts-recession-indicator-flashes-2026s-first-major-warning/
>>1476405Biden printed trillions of dollars during COVID. Did you guys really think we could just do that with no consequences?
>>1476427Who was in power during the first year of the pandemic?
>>1476436JOE BIDEN printed TRILIONS of dollars of aid money so fat RETARD leftists like you could sit on your ass and not work, meanwhile conservative blue collar workers had to keep your fucking electricity running. You are now reaping the fruits of LEFTIST economics!
>>1476441The fuck do you think the Trump-signed checks were?
>>1476441This. DemoCRAPs are ruining the economy and then they started the Epstein HOAX to try to get people to stop supporting Israel.
>>1476441Muh 3 baby mommas gits welfare and so do muh 7 kids. I gets welfare to. Ise also sells a lil candys on da sides. 2 of muh daughters is lookin' fine and sells t&A and I gets muh cuts.I got my Cadillacs and my 70.3 in screen TV and muh gold veneers teeth. And I does a lil blow every night and gits muh dick blowed a lots every night.Thank you tax payin' whitey!!
>>1476460>Trump-signed checksDem Trump-signed checks wuz sweeeeeets!
>>1476494>Trump-signed checksEven though I think that all of you should be neutered, Imust agree with you black man about the Trump-signed checks.Those checks help me keep up my pickup truck payments.I hope that President Trump gives out more in the summer of 2028 and I will vote for him for sure then!
>>1476441Nice bait, very believable. Almost hard to tell these days, given the amount of legitimate retards that we get flooded with these days.
>>1476436Uuuuuuh...... Tronald Dump was........
>>1476496>1200 dollars helping anythingpoorfag
>>1476427>>1476441>TRILLIONSYou actually believe that, don't you?
>>1476405we are long overdue for a pullback. i hope jpow pulls the rug
>>1476552You actually don't?
>>1476427Fbwp you fuckers are stupid
>>1476581It's not nice to talk about Democrats that way, even though it's true.
>>1476405Causes that should be acknowledged:>Inflated investment in residential housing and land as an asset by big equity. Australia has this problem, housing market is now a Ponzi scheme, propped up by the federal government. >Theory of mass migration as a perpetual positive effect on GDP is false.>Tulip bulb/ponzi markets like Bitcoin crashing as well as fiat currencies as that is what people hope to liquify it into.
>>1476693Could just say jews and save yourself a mouthload of sentences
>>1476696True, and their faggy masonic black mail cults of all ilks, shades and creeds. But, if one can articulate it for the masses and not just an echo chamber, the message rings farther and clearer. In that case, "they" can't get you with their anti them laws, **wink wink, nudge nudge** Hold tight anon, learn self sufficiency and how our elders survived during great depression and before modern conveniences. Then, adopt it to our modern times, so not to be a total ludite like uncle Ted. I have had to do this for a while, after learning how animals panic during hard times during COVID.Keep sheltered, fed and watered. We will overcome the scum, in time.
>>1476460Trump Bux, you didn't spend all your already... did you? That $1,200 is a lot pf money to poors like you... it was suppose to last you 30 years
>>1476427>>1476441It's because of Biden that we're going to be forced to take Greenland by force. If you're angry that Trump is president again, it's the left's fault. You people forced us to vote for Trump.
>>1476888Kek. Are you high or retarded?
>>1476405tl;drsummarize this boring doomershit
>>1476436Joe Biden first month in office: Hundreds of thousands of Covid Deaths.Donald Trump first month in office: 0(ZERO, NIHIL, ZIP, ZILCH, NADDA) Covid deaths.
>>1476427>>1476436The economy is on fire and all we can focus on is pointing fingers at who started it. Neither of those people are in control of the market, despite what they say or think. It is the market that controls them.>>1476985gottem>>1476405We're already in a recession, the stock market just hasn't caught up. You can see it in needs-based assessments of the american public.I guess it doesn't really matter though until the wealth of the rich starts evaporating.
>>1476888The truth is the alternatives to Trump were a senile old pedophile and an abrasive and shrill low IQ HR lady. Leftists fucked themselves.
>>1476995The fed printing trillions of dollars of currency and injecting it into the economy for short term benefit is what has caused this.
>>1476996Maybe if they'd picked someone like RFK or Manchin or Fetterman, they would have stood a chance. Kamala was a completely loony far leftist corpoglobalist, and we're sick of it. Trump is the MODERATE option in this world, that is how far left we have moved as a country!
>>1476441You've never had a job and live with your mom.
>>1477005Retard
>>1477005>retarded tourist announces how much they love mods
>>1477005>fettermanSo how was your hanukah?
>>1477007Why are you guys arguing about ancient history?"Trumps Recession™" is here so get used to it. Prices are higher than ever and even if inflation is lower it just means things are getting more expensive at a slightly lower rate.Its not like your wages are automatically increasing so we're all fucked anyways.
>>1476550Its the truth.
>>1477112>even if inflation is lower it just means things are getting more expensive at a slightly lower rateThis sounds so stupid.Personally I enjoy Trump's 2.5% inflation versus biden's 9% inflation, I guess that's just me though, your opinion I guess is different because of reasons and stuff
>>1477188why would anyone believe you're american esl shill
>>1476405Since when has Warren Buffett known anything about the economy? Is what i would say if i were MAGA.
>>1477188It's 2.7% based on the data we have. For some reason the White House doesn't want economic data published.An index tracking the price of meat, poultry, fish and eggs has jumped by 3.9 percent over the last year, and the cost of restaurant bills is up 4.9 percent. Consumers are paying 6.7 percent more for electricity compared to a year agoand 10.8 percent more for gas utilities, according to the government.
>>1477225>An index tracking the price of meat, poultry, fish and eggs has jumped by 3.9 percent over the last year, and the cost of restaurant bills is up 4.9 percent. Consumers are paying 6.7 percent more for electricity compared to a year agoand 10.8 percent more for gas utilities, according to the government.Probably why Trump is desperate to talk about anything OTHER than the economy
>>1477225And no one cared under Biden. The propaganda machine told us everything was fine. The people said, "No" and voted the fuck against Dummycraps.
>>1477333>DummycrapsWhy do you people talk like this? You sound like children.
>>1477337Considering I'm usually talking to people with a childlike mentality, it's appropriate.Also you're smelly
>>1477333The propaganda machine is still telling us everything is fine while we say, "no." Obviously Trump isn't the miracle worker he claimed, or perhaps the "chosen people" on his admin are putting Israel first and Americans dead last.
>>1477005Exactly
>>1477006Nice projection lil bro
The economy is in worse shape then we thought, the Fed quietly gave half a trillion dollars to the banks in the last few months alone.https://jacobin.com/2026/01/federal-reserve-wall-street-bail-out
>everything bad is Trump's fault. So much as thinking otherwise is just projection by MAGAtsIt's nice to talk about Republicans that way, even though it's a fact, 1476584.
>>1477443You're poor :(
