Anonymous There's a scenario where oil p(...) 03/16/26(Mon)13:22:48 No. 1497886 The war in Iran has sparked a global energy crisis that has rocked markets and sent oil prices surging to their highest level in four years. The chances of a quick resolution appear to be deteriorating as the conflict escalates, as do hopes that the U.S. economy might escape unscathed. The swings have already caused gasoline prices for U.S. drivers to rise. Oxford Economics uses a standard rule of thumb to estimate the economic impact of pricier oil: Every time oil gets $10 more expensive for a sustained period—determined to be around two months—it amounts to a 0.1% decline in GDP due to higher inflation and slower growth. If oil price remain high the economy will surely enter a recession. “There are mild contractions in the Eurozone, the UK, and Japan, while the U.S. nears a temporary standstill and layoffs push up the unemployment rate, leaving it close to a recession,” the report’s authors wrote. Under this worst-case scenario, U.S. inflation would likely peak at around 5% in the second quarter of 2026, up from 2.4% currently, according to Oxford Economics’ modeling. This would be the highest inflation since March 2023. Stagflation is a considerable possibility in the near future. https://fortune.com/2026/03/16/us-economy-at-a-standstill-if-oil-prices-stay-high-iran-conflict-oxford-economics/ >>
Anonymous 03/16/26(Mon)15:09:54 No. 1497909 >RULE OF THUMB VOODOO ECONOMICS>>
Anonymous 03/16/26(Mon)15:12:16 No. 1497911 >>1497909 But enough about trickle down economics, which shills here are still pretending doesn't exist.>>
Anonymous 03/16/26(Mon)15:15:00 No. 1497913 you're projecting again, esl shill >>
Anonymous 03/16/26(Mon)15:17:16 No. 1497915 >>1497913 Don't you mean "else shill"? lol>>
Anonymous 03/16/26(Mon)15:21:30 No. 1497917 esl shill can't even spell esl opinion discarded >>
Anonymous 03/16/26(Mon)16:30:02 No. 1497958 >>1497909 Stagflation is here and its going to get worse.>>
Anonymous 03/16/26(Mon)16:35:03 No. 1497960 >>1497958 >Stagflation Ooh the new buzzword boogey man is back oh no not the dreaded stagflation. We are at war, economic concerns are secondary to absolute victory which is being achieved ahead of schedule>>
Anonymous 03/16/26(Mon)16:50:44 No. 1497967 >>1497960 it's been a word since the nixon era, esl shill>>
Anonymous 03/16/26(Mon)17:43:58 No. 1497990 >>1497967 you're projecting again, esl shill>>
Anonymous 03/16/26(Mon)17:45:34 No. 1497994 >>1497990 i really broke you didn't i>>
Anonymous 03/16/26(Mon)17:55:43 No. 1498002 I don't think the US is going to be in any trouble We have the largest economy in the world. We can afford to have a few hiccups There's no way the rest of the world would function without America it would be a complete disaster American leadership makes the world what it is We won world war 2 singlehandedly saving Europe and the Jewish people Now we have more billionaires than anyone else It's pretty straightforward whoever has the power makes the rules and America will continue to have all the power for the rest of our lifetime at least It's not really worth being mad about it's just how things are If there's an economic problem we have ways to fix it because we have the smartest economy and the smartest government We don't have to worry about anything Other countries have to worry about things all the time but in America we get to do what we want when we want even if your country doesn't want us to Even if we run into trouble we can always just cancel our debt it would be so simple to do we already do it sometimes but we could do more Everytime this op makes a thread he makes an ms paint meme and they're all really boomerish Im not worried about the economy at all because I'm rich and diversified America will be just fine. It's the other countries of the world that need to look out >>
Anonymous 03/16/26(Mon)19:13:22 No. 1498049 >>1497960 Its not a new boogeyman word. Its a well understood economic phenomena where prices continue to increase, wages remain flat and unemployment increases. We're already in a stagflationary environment. Bullshit games the billionaires play with the stock market isn't real economic prosperity.>>
Anonymous 03/16/26(Mon)19:22:52 No. 1498056 I have never heard of stagflation before 2012 It's just a stupid buzzword and no economics class teaches it only news anchors with glitzy graphics There's nothing to worry about the us economy is super strong and resilient Even a poor American lives like a king compared to communist countries Don't forget our standard of living is so far above everyone else's that even if it went flat for a while we are still miles ahead Other nations have to worry about getting enough to eat Americans have so many choices at the grocery store our main concern is not eating too much We also have the right to bear arms which is crucial to protect our economy As long as Americans have their freedom they will continue to innovate We invented the internet and we invented quantum computers and we invented ai Ai is going to be the new Internet and america owns it all No one cares about news anchor buzzwords no matter what decade they are from the only thing that matters is the numbers. The numbers look really good for america and that's not going to change any time soon People who say the stock market isn't the economy are engaging in strawman arguments and they probably don't own stock Stocks are a great way to make free money. The big companies never fail and they will do anything to make their stock go up All you have to do is have some extra money lying around and you can put it to work until your money is working and you are retired The American dream is alive and well as long as you are not an idiot That's why so many people want to come live here because the standard of living and the economy is so high and strong respectively A single Mexican income in america can feed a family of 30 back in mexico We are the strongest nation in the world and nothing will change That is just how things are >>
Anonymous 03/16/26(Mon)19:26:24 No. 1498060 >>1497960 >We are at war, economic concerns are secondary to absolute victory which is being achieved ahead of schedule Victory means nothing if it makes affordability impossible. Empires have killed themselves doing similar quagmires.>>
Anonymous 03/16/26(Mon)19:36:09 No. 1498066 Theres no concern about affordability Affordability to Americans is do I get a new car this year or wait until next year Affordability to Americans is do I order an extra cocktail with my dessert or do I wait to have a nightcap at home Affordability in other countries is "omg I'm starving" You literally can't starve in America you get free food if you're too broke to buy it yourself That's why we are the envy of the world. That and our massive armed forces Anytime we need more money we just print more money because the world uses our currency The American government and american economy are totally fine and there is nothing doom and gloom shills can do about it Yes things are a bit more expensive but the good news is even if the war doesn't end soon the price shock will War especially surprise war like this one spooks markets But soon they will adjust and realize that there are plenty of ways to make money, even more so during war than during peace And smart people will get rich while iran burns just like they did when Iraq burnt If you're too broke to invest you shouldnt be wasting your time on a site like this you should be out working a job It's easy if you know how to make money with your own money Economies have ups and downs but there's nothing you can do to keep an economy down Especially one like america's We are just too big to fail and the rest of the world does what we want it to because they use our currency and our language No one in america has to learn a foreign language or use foreign money when we travel abroad all the foreigners speak English and prefer dollars to their native money That's because America is the strongest and best economy in the world because we are the best organized country no one else comes even close Our resiliency is our strength. Any time you feel like worrying about the American economy, zoom out on the graph and you will see that all we do is win in the long term Investing in America is free money >>
Anonymous 03/16/26(Mon)21:27:44 No. 1498124 >>1498060 A pointless war started by a fool in order to distract the public from his colossal failure at fixing the affordability crisis he promised he'd fix. And his alcoholic advisor Susie Wiles can go croak. That witch is behind 99.99% of the failures of Trumps 2nd administration. Shes a no good drunk just like her daddy was.>>
Anonymous 03/16/26(Mon)21:29:28 No. 1498125 >>1498056 >I have never heard of stagflation before 2012 Try reading a book sometime. Stagflation was the defining characteristic of the 1970's economy. We're knee deep in stagflation, probably because Susie Wiles was feeling nostalgic for the 70's during one of her drunken benders.>>
Anonymous 03/16/26(Mon)21:41:47 No. 1498129 You can lie about it all you want there's no such thing as stagflation it's a made up word entirely Someone glued stagnant to inflation but it's not a real word its just a pretend one Susie wiles isn't in charge of monetary policy and even the part of the government that is in charge of it can't actually do that much to change things Every once in a while things get more expensive that's what happened with the Iran war But the price hikes won't last forever they never do It's easy to predict and make money during war especially during a war that involves major commodity production Just because someone in 2012 said the 70s were stagflated doesn't mean it's a real word or that people in the 70s would have used it Real economists know that word is fake America will be stronger than ever and the economy will be too I'm not worried in the least The entire world system is built on our shoulders because we are the strongest And we are the strongest because the entire world is built on our shoulders That's why we run things and our people can afford to go to war. Weak nations can't afford to go to war it cripples them All we have to do is pay slightly more at the gas pumps for a little while. It will go back down it always does That's because economies are cyclical. There's no such thing as eternal growth, sometimes profits have to come down The good news is that we already killed the leadership of Iran and eventually the people will demand that the new leaders show themselves As soon as they do the new leaders will be assassinated Then a new group of smarter leaders that don't want to die will sue for peace They will lie and say they want it but they won't America will force them That's all it will take for the economy to recover it will be very straightforward If I was younger I'd be taking out a loan to start manufacturing drone parts but I will leave that to the next generation The economy will recover it always recovers >>
Anonymous 03/17/26(Tue)12:04:38 No. 1498225 >>1498129 https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Stagflation>The term, a portmanteau of stagnation and inflation, is generally attributed to Iain Macleod, a British Conservative Party politician who became Chancellor of the Exchequer in 1970. Macleod used the word in a 1965 speech to Parliament during a period of simultaneously high inflation and unemployment in the United Kingdom. https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-03-16/why-the-iran-war-and-higher-oil-prices-are-reviving-us-stagflation-fears https://www.deccanchronicle.com/world/stagflation-risk-in-us-nobel-laureate-stiglitz-warns-of-economic-threat-1944275 https://www.bbc.com/reel/video/p0n6h6hv https://www.cnbc.com/2026/03/17/stagflation-and-your-money.html Yes, it sure looks like the word and concept stagflation is a brand new term only being applied to Trumps terrible economy. Kek. >>
Anonymous 03/17/26(Tue)12:32:12 No. 1498231 Yes stagflation is a new buzzword that they made up just for trump It's ok they make up lots of words for trump he is a great man and great men reshape the world No one has ever heard of stagflation before the recent push to try and damage the trumpian economy But my portfolio is doing just fine Im even encouraged to ride my bike more which is great for my health There is no such thing as stagflation the issues with the economy are temporary and entirely due to the Iran war We all know it Anyone with a brain can see that the issues started when the war started After iran lashed out and attacked oil refineries of its neighbors which no one expected them to do In the markets expectations are factored in months ahead of wars like this one But they didn't expect the iranians to bomb oil depots So that surprise has a shock and that's what we are living with right now. But as the markets start to factor in the new reality everything will calm down and return to normal Probably sometime shortly after irans complete and total surrender They have no choice but we might have to go through a few more mullahs before they accept that they have no choice Muslims are notoriously hard headed from banging their head on the ground five times a day Once they accept the reality and surrender we will take all the oil they make and sell it for them making sure they never misbehave again We will charge a reasonable commission we are neither cruel nor communist Anyone who isn't broke can easily absorb the short term cost increases of this war it's not hard No matter how many words they make up to try and insult trump they just look stupid Trump doesn't need to make up words he speaks simply clearly loudly and directly to the people Thats why they all hate trump because he tells it like it is and he tells it to our face Nothing about the seething will prevent trump from being trump Iran has already stopped firing drones and missiles waves victory is imminent >>
Anonymous 03/17/26(Tue)13:34:04 No. 1498263 >>1498231 > Yes stagflation is a new buzzword that they made up just for trump https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Stagflation>The term, a portmanteau of stagnation and inflation, is generally attributed to Iain Macleod, a British Conservative Party politician who became Chancellor of the Exchequer in 1970. Macleod used the word in a 1965 speech to Parliament during a period of simultaneously high inflation and unemployment in the United Kingdom. >>
Anonymous 03/17/26(Tue)13:45:20 No. 1498269 I don't care how many wikipedia articles you post Anyone can edit wikipedia There's no such thing as stagflation it's just a buzzword made up by head voodoo economists Trump is leading this country to be great again and he will continue to lead even if you hate him for it Because that is Trump's cross to bear He is showing the world that America isnt to be messed with If you can't handle a little supply shock at the gas pump then you must be broke My net worth has gone up about 6% since the start of the war and it's climbing every day It's easy money. He said he was going to do it. He carefully positioned all the troops. We all saw the flights bringing them in and the boats moving into position If you didn't invest before he pulled the trigger I don't know what to tell you except haha stay broke Look at it this way If you bought in February and he did not invade then you only lose out if oil gets cheaper but why would it get cheaper they aren't making any more of it So they only thing that could ruin that investment is if opec decided to open the floodgates for some reason or if they discovered a giant new oil field in Texas or something If on the other hand trump, the most honest president we have ever had, did exactly what it looked like he was going to do, you would be laughing at everyone else just like I am right now The best part about war profiteering is that wars do not start or stop on a dime There's plenty of on ramps and plenty of off ramps if you're not a retard Even broke boys like you will be fine though. The American economy is resilient and can weather any storm Just relax and allow smarter and better men than you to run the world You're clearly not up for it Oops now it's 7% I may retire early off this war hahaha wow You're definitely not going to hear any complaints from me Trump is the greatest president since Lincoln who was also a Republican God bless the usa God bless trump God bless idiots like you even >>
else shill 03/17/26(Tue)13:52:20 No. 1498274 >>1497886 >There's a scenario where oil prices could bring the US economy to a ‘standstill' Didn't read the article, but given history, I'm going to say it involves voting for Democrats.>>
Anonymous 03/17/26(Tue)13:53:19 No. 1498275 >>1498274 >Namefag false flag can't even spell ESL properly Please, tell us more>>
Anonymous 03/17/26(Tue)13:58:54 No. 1498278 Bring it on. In some ways, that'd rule. >>
else shill 03/17/26(Tue)14:01:14 No. 1498279 >>1498275 I am being deported to where there is no Internet. I am retiring shilling.>>
Anonymous 03/17/26(Tue)20:25:29 No. 1498363 it's sad what i've reduced you to, esl shill >>
Anonymous 03/17/26(Tue)20:42:55 No. 1498384 >>1498269 How do you make 7% off a war while the rest of the economy stagfellates?>>
Anonymous 03/17/26(Tue)21:24:07 No. 1498412 >>1498274 Nope just worried about stagflation>>
Anonymous 03/17/26(Tue)21:31:15 No. 1498414 >>1498412 >Samefagging Lmao I see you>>
Anonymous 03/17/26(Tue)21:32:44 No. 1498415 Can I get lots of people to reply to me if I ask chatGPT for a reply and then double space it so it's obnoxious to scroll past? >>
Anonymous 03/17/26(Tue)21:43:42 No. 1498422 I don't know, my stocks are up, job is fine, and gas is cheaper than 80% of the world >>
Anonymous 03/17/26(Tue)22:28:51 No. 1498424 I'm sort of disappointed that John Maynard Keynes never considered the possibility of stagflation, though that disappointment is not with him. He couldn't think of any natural event that could disrupt a critical input so sharply, and he held man in such high regard that he didn't think anyone would be so stupid to cause it intentionally. To live in a world where that were true... It's bad enough the first time it happened, during the oil crisis in 1973. That was almost understandable; Arab nations used it as a way to get back at the US after things they disagreed with. But now? The US is causing its own stagflation with its Iran dealings. My homeland stepped on the biggest, most painful rake it could find. It's even trickled down to the nation that I have sought refuge in. >>
Anonymous 03/17/26(Tue)22:52:25 No. 1498432 Today on new words for /news/ we have "stagflation", a made up concept that no serious economist endorses. This is a word coined by the media to help make complicated economic realities palatable for their sheep viewers, there is no such thing. >>
Anonymous 03/17/26(Tue)23:27:50 No. 1498447 >>1498432 >Today on new words for /news/ we have "stagflation", a made up concept that no serious economist endorses https://finance.yahoo.com/news/stagflation-risk-us-quite-high-164640736.html>The war in the Middle East has put the United States at high risk of falling into stagflation, Nobel Prize-winning economist Joseph Stiglitz told AFP on Monday. >Even before the war erupted on February 28 with a barrage of US and Israeli strikes on Iran, Stiglitz said the US economy was already "close to stagflation" -- a troublesome blend of high inflation and anaemic growth. ok >>
Anonymous 03/17/26(Tue)23:59:52 No. 1498456 >>1498447 He doesn't write papers using that word he does media briefings using that word. You just proved my point for me, thanks kiddo>>
Anonymous 03/18/26(Wed)00:06:06 No. 1498460 I don't see why anon is so steadfast and adamant that stagflation isn't real when this would be the second time it's happened to the US alone. We were calling it stagflation back in the 70s, too. >>
Anonymous 03/18/26(Wed)00:08:34 No. 1498461 >>1498460 It's a real buzzword it's not a real economic concept. Hope that helps!>>
Anonymous 03/18/26(Wed)00:13:14 No. 1498465 >>1498456 >>1498432 Coming from the same gas lighting minds who claim trickle down economic isn't real even though republicans have been forcing it for hte past 45+ years>>
Anonymous 03/18/26(Wed)00:30:05 No. 1498471 >>1498465 gaslighting isn't real, esl shill>>
Anonymous 03/18/26(Wed)00:37:41 No. 1498476 >>1498471 >t.retard
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