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The war in Iran has sparked a global energy crisis that has rocked markets and sent oil prices surging to their highest level in four years. The chances of a quick resolution appear to be deteriorating as the conflict escalates, as do hopes that the U.S. economy might escape unscathed. The swings have already caused gasoline prices for U.S. drivers to rise.

Oxford Economics uses a standard rule of thumb to estimate the economic impact of pricier oil: Every time oil gets $10 more expensive for a sustained period—determined to be around two months—it amounts to a 0.1% decline in GDP due to higher inflation and slower growth. If oil price remain high the economy will surely enter a recession.

“There are mild contractions in the Eurozone, the UK, and Japan, while the U.S. nears a temporary standstill and layoffs push up the unemployment rate, leaving it close to a recession,” the report’s authors wrote.

Under this worst-case scenario, U.S. inflation would likely peak at around 5% in the second quarter of 2026, up from 2.4% currently, according to Oxford Economics’ modeling. This would be the highest inflation since March 2023. Stagflation is a considerable possibility in the near future.

https://fortune.com/2026/03/16/us-economy-at-a-standstill-if-oil-prices-stay-high-iran-conflict-oxford-economics/
>>
>RULE OF THUMB
VOODOO ECONOMICS
>>
>>1497909
But enough about trickle down economics, which shills here are still pretending doesn't exist.
>>
you're projecting again, esl shill
>>
>>1497913
Don't you mean "else shill"?
lol
>>
esl shill can't even spell esl opinion discarded
>>
>>1497909
Stagflation is here and its going to get worse.
>>
>>1497958
>Stagflation
Ooh the new buzzword boogey man is back oh no not the dreaded stagflation. We are at war, economic concerns are secondary to absolute victory which is being achieved ahead of schedule
>>
>>1497960
it's been a word since the nixon era, esl shill
>>
>>1497967
you're projecting again, esl shill
>>
>>1497990
i really broke you didn't i
>>
I don't think the US is going to be in any trouble

We have the largest economy in the world.

We can afford to have a few hiccups

There's no way the rest of the world would function without America it would be a complete disaster

American leadership makes the world what it is

We won world war 2 singlehandedly saving Europe and the Jewish people

Now we have more billionaires than anyone else

It's pretty straightforward whoever has the power makes the rules and America will continue to have all the power for the rest of our lifetime at least

It's not really worth being mad about it's just how things are

If there's an economic problem we have ways to fix it because we have the smartest economy and the smartest government

We don't have to worry about anything

Other countries have to worry about things all the time but in America we get to do what we want when we want even if your country doesn't want us to

Even if we run into trouble we can always just cancel our debt it would be so simple to do we already do it sometimes but we could do more

Everytime this op makes a thread he makes an ms paint meme and they're all really boomerish

Im not worried about the economy at all because I'm rich and diversified

America will be just fine. It's the other countries of the world that need to look out
>>
>>1497960
Its not a new boogeyman word. Its a well understood economic phenomena where prices continue to increase, wages remain flat and unemployment increases.

We're already in a stagflationary environment. Bullshit games the billionaires play with the stock market isn't real economic prosperity.
>>
I have never heard of stagflation before 2012

It's just a stupid buzzword and no economics class teaches it only news anchors with glitzy graphics

There's nothing to worry about the us economy is super strong and resilient

Even a poor American lives like a king compared to communist countries

Don't forget our standard of living is so far above everyone else's that even if it went flat for a while we are still miles ahead

Other nations have to worry about getting enough to eat

Americans have so many choices at the grocery store our main concern is not eating too much

We also have the right to bear arms which is crucial to protect our economy

As long as Americans have their freedom they will continue to innovate

We invented the internet and we invented quantum computers and we invented ai

Ai is going to be the new Internet and america owns it all

No one cares about news anchor buzzwords no matter what decade they are from the only thing that matters is the numbers.

The numbers look really good for america and that's not going to change any time soon

People who say the stock market isn't the economy are engaging in strawman arguments and they probably don't own stock

Stocks are a great way to make free money. The big companies never fail and they will do anything to make their stock go up

All you have to do is have some extra money lying around and you can put it to work until your money is working and you are retired

The American dream is alive and well as long as you are not an idiot

That's why so many people want to come live here because the standard of living and the economy is so high and strong respectively

A single Mexican income in america can feed a family of 30 back in mexico

We are the strongest nation in the world and nothing will change

That is just how things are
>>
>>1497960
>We are at war, economic concerns are secondary to absolute victory which is being achieved ahead of schedule
Victory means nothing if it makes affordability impossible. Empires have killed themselves doing similar quagmires.
>>
Theres no concern about affordability

Affordability to Americans is do I get a new car this year or wait until next year

Affordability to Americans is do I order an extra cocktail with my dessert or do I wait to have a nightcap at home

Affordability in other countries is "omg I'm starving"

You literally can't starve in America you get free food if you're too broke to buy it yourself

That's why we are the envy of the world. That and our massive armed forces

Anytime we need more money we just print more money because the world uses our currency

The American government and american economy are totally fine and there is nothing doom and gloom shills can do about it

Yes things are a bit more expensive but the good news is even if the war doesn't end soon the price shock will

War especially surprise war like this one spooks markets

But soon they will adjust and realize that there are plenty of ways to make money, even more so during war than during peace

And smart people will get rich while iran burns just like they did when Iraq burnt

If you're too broke to invest you shouldnt be wasting your time on a site like this you should be out working a job

It's easy if you know how to make money with your own money

Economies have ups and downs but there's nothing you can do to keep an economy down

Especially one like america's

We are just too big to fail and the rest of the world does what we want it to because they use our currency and our language

No one in america has to learn a foreign language or use foreign money when we travel abroad all the foreigners speak English and prefer dollars to their native money

That's because America is the strongest and best economy in the world because we are the best organized country no one else comes even close

Our resiliency is our strength. Any time you feel like worrying about the American economy, zoom out on the graph and you will see that all we do is win in the long term

Investing in America is free money
>>
>>1498060
A pointless war started by a fool in order to distract the public from his colossal failure at fixing the affordability crisis he promised he'd fix.

And his alcoholic advisor Susie Wiles can go croak. That witch is behind 99.99% of the failures of Trumps 2nd administration. Shes a no good drunk just like her daddy was.
>>
>>1498056
>I have never heard of stagflation before 2012

Try reading a book sometime. Stagflation was the defining characteristic of the 1970's economy.

We're knee deep in stagflation, probably because Susie Wiles was feeling nostalgic for the 70's during one of her drunken benders.
>>
You can lie about it all you want there's no such thing as stagflation it's a made up word entirely

Someone glued stagnant to inflation but it's not a real word its just a pretend one

Susie wiles isn't in charge of monetary policy and even the part of the government that is in charge of it can't actually do that much to change things

Every once in a while things get more expensive that's what happened with the Iran war

But the price hikes won't last forever they never do

It's easy to predict and make money during war especially during a war that involves major commodity production

Just because someone in 2012 said the 70s were stagflated doesn't mean it's a real word or that people in the 70s would have used it

Real economists know that word is fake

America will be stronger than ever and the economy will be too I'm not worried in the least

The entire world system is built on our shoulders because we are the strongest

And we are the strongest because the entire world is built on our shoulders

That's why we run things and our people can afford to go to war. Weak nations can't afford to go to war it cripples them

All we have to do is pay slightly more at the gas pumps for a little while.

It will go back down it always does

That's because economies are cyclical. There's no such thing as eternal growth, sometimes profits have to come down

The good news is that we already killed the leadership of Iran and eventually the people will demand that the new leaders show themselves

As soon as they do the new leaders will be assassinated

Then a new group of smarter leaders that don't want to die will sue for peace

They will lie and say they want it but they won't America will force them

That's all it will take for the economy to recover it will be very straightforward

If I was younger I'd be taking out a loan to start manufacturing drone parts but I will leave that to the next generation

The economy will recover it always recovers
>>
>>1498129
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Stagflation

>The term, a portmanteau of stagnation and inflation, is generally attributed to Iain Macleod, a British Conservative Party politician who became Chancellor of the Exchequer in 1970. Macleod used the word in a 1965 speech to Parliament during a period of simultaneously high inflation and unemployment in the United Kingdom.

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-03-16/why-the-iran-war-and-higher-oil-prices-are-reviving-us-stagflation-fears

https://www.deccanchronicle.com/world/stagflation-risk-in-us-nobel-laureate-stiglitz-warns-of-economic-threat-1944275

https://www.bbc.com/reel/video/p0n6h6hv

https://www.cnbc.com/2026/03/17/stagflation-and-your-money.html

Yes, it sure looks like the word and concept stagflation is a brand new term only being applied to Trumps terrible economy. Kek.
>>
Yes stagflation is a new buzzword that they made up just for trump

It's ok they make up lots of words for trump he is a great man and great men reshape the world

No one has ever heard of stagflation before the recent push to try and damage the trumpian economy

But my portfolio is doing just fine

Im even encouraged to ride my bike more which is great for my health

There is no such thing as stagflation the issues with the economy are temporary and entirely due to the Iran war

We all know it

Anyone with a brain can see that the issues started when the war started

After iran lashed out and attacked oil refineries of its neighbors which no one expected them to do

In the markets expectations are factored in months ahead of wars like this one

But they didn't expect the iranians to bomb oil depots

So that surprise has a shock and that's what we are living with right now.

But as the markets start to factor in the new reality everything will calm down and return to normal

Probably sometime shortly after irans complete and total surrender

They have no choice but we might have to go through a few more mullahs before they accept that they have no choice Muslims are notoriously hard headed from banging their head on the ground five times a day

Once they accept the reality and surrender we will take all the oil they make and sell it for them making sure they never misbehave again

We will charge a reasonable commission we are neither cruel nor communist

Anyone who isn't broke can easily absorb the short term cost increases of this war it's not hard

No matter how many words they make up to try and insult trump they just look stupid

Trump doesn't need to make up words he speaks simply clearly loudly and directly to the people

Thats why they all hate trump because he tells it like it is and he tells it to our face

Nothing about the seething will prevent trump from being trump

Iran has already stopped firing drones and missiles waves victory is imminent
>>
>>1498231
> Yes stagflation is a new buzzword that they made up just for trump

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Stagflation

>The term, a portmanteau of stagnation and inflation, is generally attributed to Iain Macleod, a British Conservative Party politician who became Chancellor of the Exchequer in 1970. Macleod used the word in a 1965 speech to Parliament during a period of simultaneously high inflation and unemployment in the United Kingdom.
>>
I don't care how many wikipedia articles you post

Anyone can edit wikipedia

There's no such thing as stagflation it's just a buzzword made up by head voodoo economists

Trump is leading this country to be great again and he will continue to lead even if you hate him for it

Because that is Trump's cross to bear

He is showing the world that America isnt to be messed with

If you can't handle a little supply shock at the gas pump then you must be broke

My net worth has gone up about 6% since the start of the war and it's climbing every day

It's easy money. He said he was going to do it. He carefully positioned all the troops. We all saw the flights bringing them in and the boats moving into position

If you didn't invest before he pulled the trigger I don't know what to tell you except haha stay broke

Look at it this way

If you bought in February and he did not invade then you only lose out if oil gets cheaper but why would it get cheaper they aren't making any more of it

So they only thing that could ruin that investment is if opec decided to open the floodgates for some reason or if they discovered a giant new oil field in Texas or something

If on the other hand trump, the most honest president we have ever had, did exactly what it looked like he was going to do, you would be laughing at everyone else just like I am right now

The best part about war profiteering is that wars do not start or stop on a dime

There's plenty of on ramps and plenty of off ramps if you're not a retard

Even broke boys like you will be fine though.

The American economy is resilient and can weather any storm

Just relax and allow smarter and better men than you to run the world

You're clearly not up for it

Oops now it's 7%

I may retire early off this war hahaha wow

You're definitely not going to hear any complaints from me

Trump is the greatest president since Lincoln who was also a Republican

God bless the usa

God bless trump

God bless idiots like you even
>>
>>1497886
>There's a scenario where oil prices could bring the US economy to a ‘standstill'
Didn't read the article, but given history, I'm going to say it involves voting for Democrats.
>>
>>1498274
>Namefag false flag can't even spell ESL properly
Please, tell us more
>>
Bring it on. In some ways, that'd rule.
>>
>>1498275
I am being deported to where there is no Internet. I am retiring shilling.
>>
it's sad what i've reduced you to, esl shill
>>
>>1498269
How do you make 7% off a war while the rest of the economy stagfellates?
>>
>>1498274
Nope just worried about stagflation
>>
>>1498412
>Samefagging
Lmao I see you
>>
Can I get lots of people to reply to me if I ask chatGPT for a reply and then double space it so it's obnoxious to scroll past?
>>
I don't know, my stocks are up, job is fine, and gas is cheaper than 80% of the world
>>
I'm sort of disappointed that John Maynard Keynes never considered the possibility of stagflation, though that disappointment is not with him. He couldn't think of any natural event that could disrupt a critical input so sharply, and he held man in such high regard that he didn't think anyone would be so stupid to cause it intentionally. To live in a world where that were true...
It's bad enough the first time it happened, during the oil crisis in 1973. That was almost understandable; Arab nations used it as a way to get back at the US after things they disagreed with. But now? The US is causing its own stagflation with its Iran dealings. My homeland stepped on the biggest, most painful rake it could find. It's even trickled down to the nation that I have sought refuge in.
>>
Today on new words for /news/ we have "stagflation", a made up concept that no serious economist endorses. This is a word coined by the media to help make complicated economic realities palatable for their sheep viewers, there is no such thing.
>>
>>1498432
>Today on new words for /news/ we have "stagflation", a made up concept that no serious economist endorses

https://finance.yahoo.com/news/stagflation-risk-us-quite-high-164640736.html
>The war in the Middle East has put the United States at high risk of falling into stagflation, Nobel Prize-winning economist Joseph Stiglitz told AFP on Monday.

>Even before the war erupted on February 28 with a barrage of US and Israeli strikes on Iran, Stiglitz said the US economy was already "close to stagflation" -- a troublesome blend of high inflation and anaemic growth.


ok
>>
>>1498447
He doesn't write papers using that word he does media briefings using that word. You just proved my point for me, thanks kiddo
>>
I don't see why anon is so steadfast and adamant that stagflation isn't real when this would be the second time it's happened to the US alone. We were calling it stagflation back in the 70s, too.
>>
>>1498460
It's a real buzzword it's not a real economic concept. Hope that helps!
>>
>>1498456
>>1498432
Coming from the same gas lighting minds who claim trickle down economic isn't real even though republicans have been forcing it for hte past 45+ years
>>
>>1498465
gaslighting isn't real, esl shill
>>
>>1498471
>t.retard



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