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https://www.wsj.com/finance/investing/the-well-timed-trades-made-moments-before-trumps-policy-surprises-36e6963a

President Trump has moved markets with sudden shifts in policy, from tariff U-turns to military strikes. On several occasions, unusual trades hit the tape ahead of his announcements.

Most recently, there was a mysterious flurry of trading activity in oil and S&P 500 futures about 15 minutes before Trump de-escalated tensions with Iran with a Monday morning post on Truth Social, which sent oil prices tumbling and stocks rallying.

Critics of the president promptly inferred that someone was profiting from advance knowledge of the post. “Who was it? Trump? A family member? A White House staffer? This is corruption. Mind blowing corruption,” Sen. Chris Murphy (D., Conn.) said on X.

There is no evidence of leaks or insiders making trades ahead of Trump’s post on Monday, or in any of the previous incidents. In a statement, White House spokesman Kush Desai said, “All federal employees are subject to government ethics guidelines that prohibit the use of nonpublic information for financial benefit. However, any implication that Administration officials are engaged in such activity without evidence is baseless and irresponsible reporting.”

Still, some market veterans believe news is trickling out from Trump’s orbit ahead of official announcements. Here is a rundown of episodes where well-timed trades happened ahead of Trump-triggered swings:

March 23, 2026: Early Monday, Trump announced in a Truth Social post that he was postponing strikes on Iranian power plants thanks to “productive” talks with Iran.

About 15 minutes before the post, a sudden burst of activity hit the oil-futures market. During the two-minute period from 6:49 a.m. to 6:51 a.m. ET, more than $760 million worth of Brent and West Texas Intermediate oil futures changed hands, according to Dow Jones Market Data. A similar burst of activity took place at the same time in S&P 500 futures.
>>
There was no clear catalyst for the sudden spikes in trading volume. Oil prices dipped slightly during the 6:50 a.m. ET volume spike. After Trump’s post, oil immediately sank and stock futures soared.

Feb. 28, 2026: Soon after U.S. and Israeli forces began to strike Iran, blockchain analytics firm Bubblemaps identified a group of “suspected insiders” who made $1.2 million by wagering on a U.S. strike through Polymarket, a crypto-based prediction market.

Most of the accounts had bet on a strike by Feb. 28, which turned out to be the exact date of the operation, Bubblemaps said. The firm later found evidence linking one of them to another Polymarket account that had made profitable bets on the U.S. striking Iran’s nuclear facilities last year.

Earlier this week, Polymarket said it was beefing up its rules against insider trading, prohibiting users from trading on stolen confidential information or illegal tips.

Jan. 2, 2026: At 10:46 p.m. ET, Trump ordered the U.S. military to proceed with its operation to capture Venezuelan leader Nicolás Maduro. The world would learn about the mission later that night, when explosions hit Caracas.

A series of Polymarket trades raised suspicions that someone cashed in on advance knowledge of the operation. In late December and early January, a mystery trader placed about $34,000 on Venezuela-related bets, mainly on contracts that would pay off if Maduro lost power by the end of January. The final wager was placed at 9:58 p.m. ET on Jan. 2, less than an hour before Trump’s order.

The trader walked away with more than $400,000 in profits. Their identity remains unknown. A few days later, some Democrats in Congress introduced a bill to ban federal officials from using nonpublic information to trade on prediction markets.
>>
Oct. 10, 2025: Upset about China’s rare-earth restrictions, Trump dialed up his trade threats, culminating in a late afternoon Truth Social post in which he vowed an additional 100% tariff against Beijing. Stocks slid.

This time, well-timed trades took place on Hyperliquid, a cryptocurrency exchange. Ahead of the selloff, two accounts placed enormous bets that bitcoin and ether would fall. By day’s end, the positions were closed for $160 million in profit.

The last of those trades was placed just one minute before Trump’s post, prompting speculation that somebody had been tipped off. But there were other explanations. For instance, the bets could have been a reaction to the Chinese export restrictions that prompted Trump’s tariff threat.

October’s windfall also proved fleeting: In January, one of the Hyperliquid accounts lost more than $128 million on an ill-fated bet that ether would rise.

April 9, 2025: At 1:18 p.m. ET, Trump abruptly reversed the brutal stock-market selloff unleashed a week earlier by his “Liberation Day” tariffs. In a Truth Social post, he announced a 90-day pause to tariffs on dozens of countries. The S&P 500 surged.
>>
Market watchers zeroed in on trading activity from just after 1 p.m. ET in options tied to a popular exchange-traded fund that tracks the S&P 500, known by its ticker SPY. The trades were in short-dated, bullish call options that would pay off only if the index closed sharply higher that afternoon. “Insane, someone knew,” tweeted Unusual Whales, a data provider whose X account often highlights activity with hallmarks of potential insider trading.

Some traders suggested a more mundane explanation: The options transactions came just after a 1 p.m. ET auction for 10-year Treasury notes went off better than expected, easing worries that the turmoil was spreading into U.S. government debt.

Still, Democratic lawmakers called for an investigation. The president’s allies dismissed their concerns; one called it an example of “Trump Derangement Syndrome.”
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>>1500838
Most blatantly corrupt administration in US history.
>>
>>1500838
>>1500905
It’s so brazen too. Not only this stuff but the crypto stuff and all the stuff his kids have been making money from. There’s so much I guess they’re thinking they’ll get away with some of it, bound to, I’m not so sure I think it’s a job for AI to figure it all out quickly
>>
>>1500948
The fact the insider trader was so obvious too
>>
>>1500949
>>1500948
They got away with the Epstein stuff. They'll figure that even if they lose power, they won't face repercussions. Media consolidation, lobbying and campaign financing, congressional gridlock, and court capture insures we're basically in an electoral dictatorship at the federal level already. Dems have to fight up hill, and if they win, they won't get much done even IF they want to. There's only one direction this country moves, and that's towards wealth and power concentration at the top as the prosperity of posterity is looted.
>>
>>1500838
Fake news. The democratic party has plenty of insiders in the white house, why does the mainstream media (known for historical anti-trumpism) not report the reasonable and realistic chance that the leaks were from the Democrats in the government. The blatant bias of this reporting instinctively makes anyone with over triple digit IQ question the veracity of this articles claims. Either way, this administration still has to clean up the immense corruption that the Briben and Obongo administration allowed.
>>
Anyone else notice lately that the only people talking about this Epstein nonsense are poor people? These people have no lives, they spend every minute of every day focused on social media and internet conspiracy theories. Seriously, start working on yourself and maybe your lives wouldn't be so miserable that you see pedophile conspiracy everywhere you look.
>>
>>1500963
Do you know what Epstein was convicted for?
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>>1500948
The people who don’t care Trump is a corrupt rapist are the same people who either lose money to these bets or pretend polymarket and crypto aren’t being used to launder money to Trump and his friends
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>>1500965
>Biden administration released no files
>Trump administration looked at the files, found nothing, and under intense pressure decided to release them (something Briben didn't do). The files reveal nothing damning and it turns out the entire case was a nothingburger.

2 administrations that despise each other and both saw the files as potential ammo against the other BOTH looked at the files and found nothing. Any seething about it at this point is conspiracy nonsense.
>>
>>1500969
please don't touch any more kids ok
>>
>>1500969
So wait. If you're claiming nothing was in the files and they were a giant nothing burger...............

Let it sink in, he doesn't know he's fucking dead yet............

So what you're saying, in essence...... is that BIDEN WAS RIGHT NOT TO RELEASE THE EPSTIEN FILES, and TRUMP CAVED TO PRESSURE TO RELEASE THEM LIKE A BITCH.

Okay, cool. Hard disagree, but I know you're fucking allergic to the idea of Biden doing something right, way too stupid to have thought thru that implication, and just can't wait to see the mental gymnastics here.
>>
Don Jr will make a fine president, and Stephen Miller will be his chief of staff.

Happy days are here again!
>>
Dying for a billionaire's fraud scheme must be the only thing more shameful than dying for Israel.
>>
>>1501115
Critical thinking isn't their strong point
>>
>>1500969
Trump repeatedly demanded they release ALL the files and now that he can make that happen he doesn’t want to and says there’s nothing in them. Trump said he wasn’t in the files but he is, so he was lying about that. Why would he lie about it if he did nothing wrong?
>>
>>1500969
refer to >>1500965 and try answering in the context of >>1500963 instead of predictably deflecting to muh Biden
>>
>>1500838
Polymarket needs to be shut the fuck down. Like it's getting to the point that they're actively threatening journalists in the hopes that they change their articles to something friendlier to their particular side of the bet.
In particular, an Israeli journalist started getting texts and calls en masse demanding that he rescind an article where he said that one missile hit the ground in Israel (and was allowed to do so because the defence operators saw it was going to land in an uninhabited area) because a lot of them had placed quite a lot of money on NO missiles hitting the ground that day.
These retards are betting on the day-to-day happenings of wars, with people's lives on the line, and that is just downright insulting.
>>
>>1501125
There are two positions to take:
Betting on anything is allowed.
Betting only on sports and sport-like things and price/financial/market reports. Which would be a restriction against anything where a person might be harmed, such as war bets like will Russia take control of some landmark by a certain date in Ukraine.

Personally I don't gamble ouside of stock options.
>>
>>1501127
You shouldn't be able to bet on anything you can directly influence. In terms of war you can literally have someone on one side bet on an action they're about to undergo, and since Polymarket and shit is anonymous you cannot trust how many people are able to influence actions.
>>
>>1501121
You do know that Democrat have access to ALL the files and if there were something in there you would've known a long time ago.
Or are you retarded? You're probably literally retarded.
>>
>>1501176
Cool so ignoring Trump, why aren't they going after all the other criminals and pedophiles in the files?
>>
>>1501176
>have access to ALL the files
Wrong. They have access to the unredacted versions of the already released files. There are still a lot more locked up. And obviously the pedophiles aren't releasing the actually damning files.
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>>1501190
>Conspiracy theories!!!
I'm annoyed that you're attempting to connect Trump to this and participating in a cover up.
So far we have Gates, a UK Labour poltician, and a Norwegian commie.
There's probably tons of good shit in there, but you stupid fucking fagggts don't want a repeat of Pizzagate so you're trying to get Trump.
Just fucking quit dedicating your life to this horseshit you fucking piece of crap.
>>
>>1501189
Who is in the files and why aren't Democrats saying anything about them?
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>>1501195
They are, everyone from Alan Dershowitz to Prince Andrew. You just don't hear about it because your newsfu is shit and Democrats aren't in charge of anything...
>B-b-but Bill Clinton
Everyone already knew he was a horndog and no one cares anymore. Besides, James "I'm obsessed with Hunter's Penis" Comer already made him and Hillary testify before Congress over it.
>>
>>1501197
I thought democrats were in charge for like 4 years after the Epstein files
Wasn't their president or attorney general asked about the files like Trump and Pam Bondi?
>>
>>1501204
Reminder the files were initially handled by Trump's DOJ and then sealed until literally last year because Maxwell's appeals hadn't been fully rejected yet.
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>>1501205
Why would you seal Epstein's files while trying Maxwell?
What prevented prosecutors from pursuing the pedos in the files while Maxwell was on trial?
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>>1501176
>muh democrats
STFU you’re trying to deflect again and I’m not having it. Why doesn’t Trump, the POTUS, demand all the files be released right now like he said he would? You literally have nothing
>>
>>1501207
>what prevented prosecutors
You're forgetting the original prosecutor was Trump's first Secretary of Labor.
>>
>>1501208
>You literally have nothing
We have twenty years of dems gaslighting America into thinking that billionaire jews running the United States and eating people was a conspiracy theory. And now they're pretending like we need to give a fuck because Trump was mentioned in passing, glossing over all of the other shit.
Admit pizzagate was real or nothing you say should be taken seriously.
>>
>>1501207
>Why would you seal Epstein's files while trying Maxwell?
Are you fucking stupid?
>Man why would the files on the leader of the pedophile ring be sealed when they're filing charges against the literal second in command
>They're basically unrelated cases
>>
>>1501214
Retard. Why doesn’t Trump release ALL the files like he said he would?
>>
>>1501214
>Admit pizzagate was real
It literally wasn't. That actual pizza place had nothing to do with it. Meanwhile you don't wanna talk about the fact Trump was the one who had it covered up and was best friends with the mastermind behind it to the point his kids were visiting him well after they were supposed to have "lost contact".

Oh, and Trump also campaigned on releasing the files then said they didn't exist, only to be forced to release them anyway and got caught censoring the names of actual pedos, including himself.
>>
>>1501214
>billionaire jews running the United States
>but Trump somehow isn't one of those despite Jared Kushner being his son in law
Your cognitive dissonance is showing again
>>
>>1501209
Well thank you Trump for prosecuting and bringing Epstein to justice
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>>1501219
Is Jared Kushner a billionaire?
He's Jewish but is he a billionaire jew
>>
>>1501221
>Jared Kushner’s net worth is estimated to be just over
$1 billion as of late 2025, driven by his private equity firm, Affinity Partners, and his stake in Kushner Companies. His wealth has grown significantly from around $324 million before joining the White House in 2017, partly due to investments from Middle Eastern sources.
>>
>>1501223
I didn't know
But it makes a lot of sense that his money comes from private equity, given what that is a euphimism for. As a close advisor to the president you have a lot of opportunities to gain equity abroad.
>>
>>1501216
Maxwell's trial cast doubt that Epstein was the leader of a pedophile ring, with Maxwell as a second in command.
Ghislaine Maxwell was convicted in December 2021 on five federal charges, including sex trafficking of a minor, for her role in grooming and procuring young girls for Jeffrey Epstein. She was found guilty of conspiracy to entice minors, sex trafficking, and related offenses, resulting in a 20-year prison sentence. There was no conspiracy charges related to the distribution of CP, or "running a pedophile ring"
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>>1501218
>That actual pizza place had nothing to do with it.
I guess the pizza store owner was posting pictures of kids taped to tables on his facebook page ironically or something
>Meanwhile you don't wanna talk about the fact Trump was the one who had it covered up
No, we've been talking about this shit for years, but you never give a fuck unless it affects people you personally dislike.
You're unironically claiming pizzagate was fake and gay whilst simultaneously alluding to a series of files that haven proven Epstein was traveling with human jerky in child-sized freezer bags. You are not a serious person.
>>
>>1501228
>muh pizzagate
it’s another deflection. Trump should release the whole Epstein files like he promised he would
>>
>>1501229
Why do you care about the files if you obviously don't care about what's in them or who they implicate?
>>
>>1501229
It's hilarious that you dismiss pizzagate, which was an obvious and undeniable part of it, but things like Trump blowing a horse are completely real to you
>>
>>1500967
true
>>
>>1501234
it's hilarious that you shill for pedophile billionaires and get essentially nothing in return
>>
>>1501239
You're doing damage control for pedophiles that were exposed a decade ago.
>>
>>1501240
you're projecting again esl shill
>>
>>1501232
Trump should be a man of his word
>>
Is it weird how this thread about insider trading has been derailed by Epstein?
>>
>>1501270
That’s the strategy. Distract, distract, distract.
I question it’s viability when the stuff they’re distracting with are also extremely bad, though. I guess it’s more familiar territory?
>>
>>1501270
Biden not releasing the Epstein files as a distraction from Trump corruption, alleged insider trading and etc. The first distraction was Biden
>>
>>1501281
god you're esl
>>
>>1501282
I esl your mom hahaha
>>
>>1501376
>ITT the world's lamest flame war.
"esl" spammer has returned from a ban, and it's mom taking it's phone away because it was caught generating furry AI prons.
Or the liggeral tard got BTFO again and is butthurt.
Whichever. Ignore, mark, move on.
>>
This was all foreshadowed by Trump not releasing his tax returns when he first won office
>>
>>1501388
>We created a strawman to attack
This is the modern Democrat.
There's no reason to capitulate to people who only seek to harass.
>>
>>1501395
How is that a strawman? Trump is hiding his personal wealth and income, now there’s clear evidence of massive corruption
>>
>>1501397
You do know that the federal government has access to his tax returns and if I remember right some Dems got their grubby hands on his tax returns and it was a nothing burger.
Your whole resistance is strawmanning bullshit.
>>
>>1501382
Now this is what you call projection
>>
>>1501398
You don’t know what strawmanning even is
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>>1501408
I do. The tax returns were a strawman set up for Democrats to attack.
Just because true believers thought it was real doesn't mean the overlords who professional wag you like a dog didn't know.
>>
>>1501408
This is a common thread. The conservative morons have been making strawmen and getting called out for it lately. Expect these stupid bastards to be misusing it a lot as they try to figure out what it means.
>>
>>1501411
The point was that Trump refused to go along with the usual protocols of revealing his tax returns like every president has done since (iirc) Reagan. It’s indicative of Trump being cagey and either hiding things or pretending he’s hiding things, like Epstein files. There’s no presentation of any argument in these statements and because of that there’s no strawman, and you don’t understand what a strawman is because you’re an idiot and a retard and you aren’t clever enough to either go look it up yourself before you try making points about things you clearly don’t understand or else just shut up. The dumbest thing you can do is keep replying, anonymously, and arguing about something you literally do not know the meaning of
>>
>>1501423
Yeah, like I said a strawman for you to attack.
This particular strawman was burned and it's ashes put to rest back in 2022.
https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/donald-trump/trumps-tax-returns-released-house-committee-years-legal-battles-rcna62408
It was nothing.
> It’s indicative of Trump being cagey
No, it was yet another bullshit rallying cry that was designed to get you riled up and it worked.
>4 other presidents did it so why didn't Trump!!! It's a fucking standard!!!
Probably because assholes looking to harass don't deserve to be cooperated with. And as this was, after 20 other ridiculous strawman scandals you believed and cried over why the fuck would any rational person play along with your shit?
>>
>>1500838
It’s too many to be a coincidence and this 15 minutes prior to whatever announcement is conspicuous. It can’t be that many people know that Trump is going to post something 15 minutes before he posts it
>>
>>1501438
In this case Trump not releasing his tax returns is a real fact and if that real fact is attacked it’s not a strawman.
A strawman is attacking someone for a position that they don’t actually hold, Trump holds that he doesn’t have to release his tax returns and that’s what he’s being attacked on, not a strawman and you are a thrice proven retard
>>
>>1501452
>A weak or sham argument set up to be easily refuted.
You're right, I'm using the term wrong, kind of.
This is the actual definition. So, I change it from strawmanning to windmill chasing.
Whatever the case, it was bullshit and proven to be back in 2022. I'm not sure why you'd even bring up ANOTHER failed retarded plot to attack dRumpf.
>>
>>1501562
Not him but you're a retard who purposely omits facts you don't like. Trump's tax returns proved he was committed multiple instances of tax fraud, as was extensively reported at the time in multiple outlets. Did you think people just forgot?
>>
>>1501176
>>1500969
Why do pedophile repubs deflect when they can't address their own disasters?
trump was in the files and raped multiple women, and is now covering it up.
Those are all facts.
>>
>>1501125
It wont be long till one of these countries hit them with a drone strike directly
>>
>>1501562
It’s a known example and proof that Trump will hide his personal wealth to cover up things he doesn’t want the public to be aware of. If he’s guilty of massive corruption now as president then we can expect him to try to cover it up in the same manner, what he did with the tax returns he played it down said there’s nothing to see and it’s no big deal not even worth looking into. He’s said exactly the same things about the Epstein files
>>
>>1501447
And the WSJ has pointed out at least three times this has happened since his second term started. No wonder his children are all suddenly billionaires now (so is he).
>>
>>1500969
>>1500963
>>1501194
>Multiple politicians in foreign countries arrested
>the literal crown prince of England disowned and arrested
>Multiple instances in the files of bankers and politicians, still walking free, bragging about how much they love underaged pussy and white meat
>Multiple victims in the files never seen again after their mention in the files
>Only their remains found under mysterious circumstances
>That multiple police, law enforcement, FBI, and government bodies deemed not worth investigating

>This survived three administrations
>None of them decided to tell the other governments they were being ruled by possibly murderous pedophiles
>Only reason they came out was because the only administration stupid enough to keep bringing them up came into power and was forced to, no other reason
>they genuinely only did it because they believed it was like Hunter Biden's laptop all over again

>US is still the only state that has not arrested anyone implicated aside from people blood related to Epstein
>The only arrest has landed the person named in the files for kidnapping thousands of people in minimum security prison.


>Nothingburger
Serious question: When can we just nuke Russia and India and put subhumans like you out of our misery? I'm serious. I'm sick of Ivan and Poopjeesh flooding /news/ and 4chan in general with the most incompetent, malformed attempts at human communication that your 60 IQ fetal alcohol syndrome brains can come up with in some sad attempt at gaslighting what is literally news from less than six months ago.
Even Miggers aren't delusional enough to claim the files are "nothingburgers". Though, I do agree with them that there should come some point where people need to vote to put a fat fucking slug right between the eyes of "people" like you who sold your soul for money, not even that much money, like 200 rubles worth of money.
>>
>>1501693
>he got mad
kek, i won
daddy putin is going to give me a fat 500 ruble bonus for this
>>
>>1501693
>>1500963
All this and you forgot the best part

>Irrefutable evidence that a foreign government has most of the US Political class over a barrel with blackmail of extremely illicit crimes, that are only prosecuted when they step out of line and stop supporting Israel and taking AIPAC money like what happened to Weiner

but yeah,
nothingburger lol
>>
>>1501695
Once again, our enemy shows his true face.
>>
>>1501693
>the literal crown prince of England disowned and arrested
Andrew's not the crown prince, he's really far down the pecking order, but yeah. Fascinating how Europe started taking down these pedos but America just pretended it was all fine.



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