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>Today: SPHEREx analysis of 3I/ATLAS likely places diameter at 28.6mi instead of 7mi
>t. Avi Loeb

A 28.6mi 50/50 ice water/silicate object sublimated from 2.5au to 0.8au produces 300,000 0.25mi fragments. ~0.1% to 1% of objects are likely to strike, so 300 to 3,000 fragments.

At a velocity of 66km/s when passing within a MOID < 0.015au, each object has a force of ~26,627 megatons TNT. 8m to 80m megaton TNT impact likely. Affected zone leaves 300 to 3,000 14 to 20 km wide craters spread across 7% to 70% of Mars. Planet-wide bombardment possible with a scarred area of 150,000 km2 to 3,000,000 km2. Secondary craters likely affecting 100% of Mars Surface, ejecta rays visible by amateur astronomers, regolith churning.

Potential permanent thickening of atmosphere by 10%. Sunlight reduction could reduce temperatures by 5 to 50 degrees celcius. Paradoxically, the impact heat could trigger a greenhouse effect, leading to transient lakes and hydrothermal systems.

>This event has never been detected in the history of the Solar system. The closest "analogy" known is Shoemaker-Levy 9, but scaled up x270 more energetic with a x143 affected zone.
>>
>>514690033
Jesus
>>
You’ve essentially described a hypothetical catastrophic encounter between a fragmented interstellar object (like 3I/ATLAS) and Mars, and you’ve run through some very interesting back‑of‑the‑envelope energetics. Let’s break this analysis down and sanity‑check the numbers against planetary science expectations:
1. Size and Mass of 3I/ATLAS

Diameter given: 28.6 miles (~46 km).

Assuming 50/50 ice and rock mix bulk density ~1.5 g/cc or 1500 kg/m3.

Mass (M) ≈ 1.5 × 103 kg/m3 × (4/3)π(23,000 m)3 ≈ 3.6 × 1017 kg.
Comparable to a mid‑sized asteroid like Hygiea fragments, but much smaller than Ceres.

2. Fragmentation Yield

You suggest 300,000 fragments of ~0.25 mi (~400 m) diameter.


Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance (MOID) <0.015 AU Mars indeed becomes vulnerable.

If 0.1–1% of fragments collide 300–3000 impacts is plausible.

For context, Shoemaker‑Levy 9 produced 21 direct plumes on Jupiter from ~2 km fragments. You’re scaling this up by x100+.

4. Energetics

At 66 km/s, KE = 0.5mv2.

Single 400 m fragment: ≈ 1.1 × 1020 J = ~26,000 megatons TNT equivalent (your figure is correct, in SL9‑comparable terms per
Over geologic timescales, Mars’ atmosphere would still escape to space, but the geological scars would last forever.

Net Takeaway:
Your scenario is consistent with a multi‑order‑of‑magnitude scaled‑up Shoemaker–Levy 9, but targeted at a terrestrial planet. It’s essentially a "compressed Late Heavy Bombardment in one event," leaving Mars globally cratered, atmospherically perturbed, and transiently habitable in places.

Would you like me to run comparative models versus Earth impact probability and survivability? That could highlight why Mars is uniquely vulnerable to this type of interstellar fragmentation event.
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>>514690033
Shit nigga. Good thing im not a dirty Martian
>>
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3I/ATLAS IS A NASA SCAM

In this previous report of the same object, there is an interesting passage:

>However, what could greatly complicate these efforts is the Trump administration's plan to deal a devastating blow to NASA's science directorate. The White House proposed slicing the agency's science budget roughly in half, an existential threat that undermines dozens of important missions and thousands of jobs.

Looks like this is about budget for the Cabal, NASA being one of the sources, similar to USAID or Kennedy Center or NGOs or the Museums etc. From this point of view, this seems to be chatter about alternate funding sources for the Cabal.

>https://futurism.com/interstellar-visitor-3i-atlas-center-solar-system-ancient
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Nothing burger
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>>514690033
>My final message: AVI LOEB ALIEN PROBE URANUS!
>Goodby-ACK!
>>
>>514690931
Better to go out with style than with a whimper
>>
i hope it's a space nuke and it kills this fag planet
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>>514690033
This can only mean good things, yes?
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>>514691553
I hope the epicenter is your house, bro.
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>>514691514
>Aliens thought we lived on Mars already but we were behind schedule because of HR Stacey sufferage
Grim.
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>>514690931
I forgot what ever darlecs say but probably along those lines.. DISINTEGRATE! IMMOLATE!!
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>>514691582
I don't live on Mars
>>
The climate was always suppose to be desert with giant pits of oxygenated growth. It’s the only way to remove salt.
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>>514691751
Move to Mars so that the epicenter has a higher chance of being your house.
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>>514690033
>JUSTed by a once in a solar system event
Man, that's uh...Uhm...
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>>514690033
This thing is producing pure nickel without iron. This can only be achieved through industrial processes and not natural ones and the clean CO2 emissions is strange as well.
Also what are the chances to pass with 5% deviation of the ecliptic plane and so close by 3 planets...

Ayylmaos probably want to avoid passing or being observed by Earth as much as possible because they know we are assholes and may try to bring them down
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>>514692497
>Nickel
That was 2I/Borisov, and even that wasn't "pure nickel".
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>>514690033
Any chunks from atlas or the mars bombardment going to hit us?
No?
Ok I'm going back to sleep
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>>514690181
thank you chatgpt
>>
>>514690033
numbers and it hits my house
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>>514691944
yeah imagine if he just colonized Mars!
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>>514693063
https://avi-loeb.medium.com/a-steeply-rising-production-of-cyanide-and-nickel-without-iron-in-the-gas-plume-around-3i-atlas-536e20674303
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>>514690033
OH MY SCIENCE!
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>>514693731
This is my question too
0.8AU seems dangerous potentially?
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>>514695104
Now that I think about it more, maybe our atmosphere shields us even if any fragments are in our path due to their composition.
>>
>>514694552
If it was discharging that many Ni atoms at 4au, everything inside that ship is long dead.
>Its exhaust brah
The discharge of Ni irons would be comstant regardless of distance to the Sun. Avi Loeb Alien Probe Uranus.
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>>514690181
yes, please run comparative models versus Earth impact probability and survivability.
>>
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>>514690033
>globohomo narrative enjoyer
>shill

https://youtu.be/m7ZpvLu_tFE
https://youtu.be/0514L2QwOBE
https://youtu.be/lKg-yn86zp4
https://youtu.be/p-BFmn2S_jU
https://youtu.be/BVJgObFHLY4
https://youtu.be/ru5fdfovkGI
https://youtu.be/74KRZt5oJME
https://youtu.be/tdwy-hxS-ts
https://youtu.be/UAx5cl9VpTE
https://youtu.be/JlFnJPFjcc0
https://youtu.be/XetG30_YOeo
https://youtu.be/ziVLbEoQ4Sc
https://youtu.be/7H_1ZbuA9HI
https://youtu.be/UbYtkrTquXE
https://youtu.be/1WHIr-IFqAo
https://youtu.be/WcqKUhU0WDc
https://youtu.be/wPrDg0CtWnk
https://youtu.be/hoGTBdu7dMc
https://youtu.be/mcLwr86emds
https://youtu.be/U_bJYXS9p4A
https://youtu.be/JOqc63Pp9OA
https://odysee.com/@probablyalexandra:6/an-inconvenient-history:b
https://youtu.be/X-w8acuxF6w
https://youtu.be/nGLJ5XJP3uE
https://youtu.be/olbyJDou4qQ
https://youtu.be/0Q18iSz6mus
https://youtu.be/aFFM3YJAs4Q
https://youtu.be/Stft_t48Hxc
https://youtu.be/QWa7lTxhrKI
https://youtu.be/Zc_J2k4Cdp8
https://youtu.be/DdLLamniSyg
https://youtu.be/udjk_FB80kM
https://youtu.be/4nKIN_eHYxw
https://youtu.be/fDBRhxryfZM
https://youtu.be/-rmDj1MJyaY
https://youtu.be/Kv9-JuLRpg0
https://youtu.be/7Eeo-82Eac8
https://youtu.be/0Vv62PFFsNU
https://youtu.be/CDG4oiCx_is
https://youtu.be/wz68Q2Nz05A
https://youtu.be/WffliCP2dU0
https://youtu.be/uUuTAflN1rU
https://youtu.be/lkmY_4PKMlY
https://youtu.be/McdMMmclGVc
https://youtu.be/Cm7fBZq-8T4
https://youtu.be/4SlRsbQ3nfM
https://youtu.be/Z36Ns7KUYHw
https://youtu.be/XhIwZuPGfss
https://youtu.be/CATklVkPEMw
https://youtu.be/eJK1gLHbOxA
https://youtu.be/WXaXnAvEpB8
https://youtu.be/gWnFMWqDRQE
https://youtu.be/EvnrD49RmAY
https://youtu.be/3wU8_jT61eE
https://youtu.be/lMhheDWThxE
https://youtu.be/hG_sv5SWi3Y?t=507
https://youtu.be/UOLLMkAHHQI?t=2477
https://youtu.be/d_h5tupEdn8
https://youtu.be/jDKfJROVHJE
https://youtu.be/maBf0H3UNJI
https://youtu.be/Jm7nBn7RxhU
https://youtu.be/BEV2SAL8z5g
https://youtu.be/Qse5Jc8jgSk
https://youtu.be/zMAa5Ir7IHU
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>>514690033
kino. hopefully zion don didn't cut the budget for satellites to take hi res video of this
>>
>>514690033
>t. (((Avi Loeb)))
kys kike.
>>
>>514695425
Worse than Chicxulub 66m years, Vredefort 2b years ago or Sudbury 1.8b years ago at same megaton due to spread out nature.
A.K.A. dead planet, try again later.
>>
>>514690033
All this fake? Hype just to be nothing, like always... just one world.

NIGGER
>>
https://neal.fun/asteroid-launcher/
>>
>>514690033
I bet the target was Mars and we came from Mars but whatever celestial or divine intervention snuck us to earth and that's why life fucking sucks cause we're hiding out until the attack clears and once it's over the government will take us back to Mars and reveal the elaborate and beautiful cave systems that provide infinite fresh water and air and gold and everyone lives for free and instead of paying taxes you get 5 grand a month for the rights to the gold you live on top off

Also Jews and blacks aren't invited and cant survive the inner cave systems because they're originally from this garbage planet and they have to stay
>>
>>514695746
I bet this too, but even mid men receive big booty catgirls from the government lab centers. Our catgirl harems are waiting eagerly for us manlets to become Martian citizens.
>>
Things like this probably pass through all the time. We have only had the technology to see them for a few years. Nothing burger.

You doomsday faggots will move on to the next doomsday conspiracy theory, and the next one, and the next one, and never admit you were wrong once. I absolutely hate people like you. Ynilder brother is like this.
>OMG Y2K!
>I think in 2006 the planets aligned in some way that was supposed to be the end according to him.
>2012 and the Mayan calendar
>Large Hadron Collider was going to open a black hole
>1I/ʻOumuamua was an alien ship and going to conquer Earth
He won't admit he was wrong about any of them. Just endless handwaving and deflection.
>>
>>514695989
>Ynilder brother
My older brother
>>
>>514693731
Please stay asleep, Burger. Sleep eternally.
>>
>>514691553
No. Mars first. We pass through its tail later. Raining blood. And dust from fucking mars
>>
>>514695586
Closest Approach to Earth

In the period between January 1, 2000 and December 31, 2099, the closest approach of comet 3I/ATLAS (C/2025 N1) to Earth will happen on Friday 19 December 2025 at a distance of 1.797478 Astronomical Units, or 268,898,938 kilometers:
Date
Friday 19 December 2025
>>
>>514695685
Please just use the brain if you have one. I don't know what race you are, but surely you have a brain. Please don't just think that things are bullshit because you can't comprehend them. Open your eyes
>>
>>514690033
>t. Avi Loeb
This shit is going to be 6.000.000mi before long. Make my words
>>
>>514695491
>https://youtu.be/lKg-yn86zp4
>What is relativity?
A list of literal midwits lmao
>>
I remember a couple of years ago, some astronomy fag working at an intergovernmental space observatory in I think some latin american country posted a thread here on 4chan, either /pol/ or /sci/, blowing the whistle about this object and posted actual data from his workplace. He posted/leaked it because he was mad that the higher-ups and governments were wanting to suppress the information at the time. In typical 4chan fashion, it was largely derided as fake and gay. I can't be fucking bothered but if anybody here cares enough it might be worth trawling through the archives.
>>
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>>514700715
SIX MILLION?
>>
>>514700464
He was saying to run the numbers as IF it hit Earth.
>>
>>514690033
Nothingburger
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>>514701491
suppress what information
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>>514701862
the existence of the object and the non-trivial probability of it impacting earth
>>
>>514690033
There’s no greenhouse effect unless you mean latent heat capacity if temporarily trapped upper atmosphere h2O
>>
>>514701491
It was this object or a generic larp about some object
>>
>>514702177
it wasn't a generic larp, the material posted was definitely legit and im pretty fucking sure it was referring to this object 3I/Atlas but it was called something else then. I'm also pretty sure the guy who leaked it was in Chile. It was at least a year ago, within the last couple of years, and it was definitely well before its existence was public knowledge.
>>
>>514701942
dont we already know its projected course though? its passing around the sun while we're on the other side, its not coming close to us
>>
>>514690033
its for terraforming
>>
>>514702760
yeah idk this was pretty early on because it was posted around two years ago? obviously facts, circumstances and calculations change with time. It may well be a nothing burger but I thought i'd mention the post in case anybody cares enough to try and find it. I distinctly remember the thread though and it was definitely hard data and discussion about it well before it entered the public arena
>>
>>514690033
GAYLIENS SOLVE GLOBAL WARMING CHECK
>>
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>Some fragments might hit Jupiter too
Not only is it LIKE Shoemaker-Levy 9 x270 on Mars, but you might get ANOTHER Shoemaker-Levy 9 on the way out of the solar system for stuntin' rights.
>>
>>514691944
Uh uhm uhhh what uhm uhh is it uhMm ehh SCHMELON?
>>
>>514690033
Doubles for a fragment to wipe out Tel Aviv.
Trebles for a fragment to wipe out Tel Aviv and Jerusalem.
Quads for a fragment to wipe out all Israel.
Rolling for quads.
Check em'
>>
>>514690033
It's not going to hit Mars, and if it does, it would be good for us in the long run (atmosphere thickening).
It's not going to fragment.
It's not an alien mothership.
Fuck science happeningsfags.
>>
>>514691700
DALEKS SAY
>SEETHE AND DILATE! SEETHE AND DILATE!
>>
>>514695989
He was right about you being a whiny little faggot though.
>>
>>514703259
roll
>>
>>514690033
>Sunlight reduction
They will strike when the weather cools
>>
>>514704096
>Mars, Planet of War, Rod welding
>Jupiter, Planet as King of the Gods, Kings wear rings
>Jupiter is Mars' father
THE ROD AND THE RING WILL STRIKE
>>
I used to get dreams, government asked us to take cover, got dark, all these small asteroids falling all over the place, but, Australia survived the worst of it and got lucky. We all came out cheering. If it breaks apart after the sun pass, that is what would happen. Maybe, this is the once every 25000 year rooms day comet that always sheds on its way past fucking us again and again.... Or a bigger planet sized one is coming. These are just ahead of it. If so. Gay gay times ahead.
>>
>>514703259
Rollin'
>>
>>514704767
Read Ezekiel, change in your head Israel to Christians. Shit makes sense at that point. This could do what it says there. That it ends Jewish rule.. cause it gets directed at the ones who have us as slaves for so long. The ones that say they are gods chosen but are converts from Europe 500 years later.
>>
So will this shit hit the earth or not?
>>
nothing ever happens
>>
>>514701774
yes i know, i am posting dates as to when amateur astronomers may get the best view, as it leaves.
>>
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>>514706234
>So will this shit hit the earth or not?
Literally zero chance it will hit anything major in the Solar System
If it's incredibly lucky it might take out an asteroid in the asteroid belt
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>>514695746
Boy that would be awesome..
>>
>>514690033
how about the epstein files though?
>>
>>514695104
1 AU is the distance from earth to the sun I think. So it would be around 60 million miles away which isn't anywhere close to earth
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>>514703442
/thread
>>
>>514690033
Is your comet schizo cult that interesting? Sounds really boring to me.
>>
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>>514690033
>28.6mi
That’s not a ship. It’s a whole damn invasion fleet.
>>
>>514690240

It’s just 5 times wider than Mount Everest is tall.
>>
It's not even going to cross earth's orbit, wtf are you talkikng about?
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>>514703259
rollan
>>
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>be ayy lmao
>get weird radio signals from solar system
>dark forest
>assume they are on mars, since it's in the best spot of the habitable zone
>destroy mars, completely missing the monkeys
>>
>>514690033
if the hand of God (aliens) literally terraform Mars for us the moment we get Starship up and running, every single ensouled individual MUST make it their life goal to eliminate as many non-whites as possible



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