In political circles across Ukraine, Europe and Asia, a quiet consensus is forming: President Trump has lost control of his own coalition. The sense on the inside is that he has not only lost the MAGA base, he has alienated mainstream Republicans, donors and the international partners who once tolerated his unpredictability. What was whispered in January is now spoken aloud in April: Trump is politically exhausted, strategically adrift and increasingly isolated.Several foreign diplomats describe the situation in the same blunt terms. They say Trump is entering the most dangerous phase of any presidency, the moment when the world stops taking a leader seriously long before his term is over. His credibility is eroding faster than his administration can manufacture talking points, and his decision making appears detached from both political reality and global interests.The expectation in Washington and abroad is equally harsh. A political tsunami is coming in the midterms, and it is likely to wipe out the Republican majority entirely. This is not partisan analysis, it is survival logic. Republicans know that tying themselves to Trump now is the fastest way to lose their seats, their influence and their future inside the party. The first quiet repositionings have already begun, and the calculation is simple. If they want to be in Congress next year, they cannot afford to be in Trump’s shadow this year.And here is the part that foreign capitals talk about the most. No one is going to help Trump push through an unfair deal or a last minute political stunt in the months before his final and increasingly irrelevant year in office. Not Europe, not Asia, not the global institutions he keeps trying to strong arm. The world sees what is happening. They know the clock is running out. They know the next administration will be forced to rebuild credibility from scratch. Backing Trump now would only guarantee that the damage lasts longer.
