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Previous: >>524438478


Day 1,403 – Daily assessment: understandingwar.org/analysis/russia-ukraine/#research

▶Latest
>russians have started using horses for meat assaults due to running out of armour.
>Ukraine said it used British Storm Shadow missiles to attack the Novoshakhtinsk oil refinery
>russia admits the loss of Kupyansk and nearby villages
>putin confirms that russia is ready to import unlimited amounts of indians to make up for all the dead russian soldiers
>Zelenskyy revealed for the first time 20 points of the basic document on the end of the war. Among them: Ukraine's sovereignty will be reaffirmed; The number of the AFU will remain at 800k in peacetime; The US, NATO and European signatory states will provide Ukraine with security guarantees (automatic sanctions+military response) that will reflect Article 5; Ukraine confirms that it will remain a nuclear-free state; russia will enshrine a policy of non-aggression towards Europe and Ukraine in all necessary laws and all necessary ratification documents
>On December 18, Gerasimov presented even more exaggerated reports than Belousov did on December 17, suggesting that russian military officials may be competing with each other to present putin with optimistic reports - ISW
>General Staff of Armed forces of Ukraine had confirmed withdrawal of Ukrainian defense forces from Sieversk, claims Ukrainian military still upheld fire control over the town


>NEW DEAD rUSSIAN GENERAL: Fanil Sarvarov


▶Telegram
rentry.org/telosint2023
t.me/ukr_pics

▶Intel
t.me/DeepStateEN
odin.tradoc.army.mil/WEG (equipment explorer)
ukr.warspotting.net (visually confirmed losses)

▶Maps
www.deepstatemap.live/en
liveuamap.com/en

▶DISPOSABLE SOLDIER (diary of a RU mobik)
TOURS 1-4: files.catbox.moe/mpcw7p.zip

▶12 min of TZD in one ditch (Pokrovsk area) - 28 killed
files.catbox.moe/sxbxfb.mp4
>>
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TZD
>>
Hot
>>
>>524451101
Don't get "In-jerd"

;)
>>
Mortar ziggers
>>
Kick ziggers
>>
>>524451101
This is a no leaf(nigger) zone.
>>
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>>524451101
It's so fucking over
>>
What does /uhg/ think about Israel?
>>
>>524458066
Fuck israel
>>
>>524458066
a gangster state. not unlike russia, really. run by a bunch of corrupt fuckheads that rule through intimidation and coercion, and think nothing of invading and brutalizing their neighbors with military force.

in fact, theres a fair amount of literal russians (jewish ones, but still) in positions of power in israel. i think itd be a stretch to call it a russian exclave, but theyre certainly overrepresented in the country, and esp the govt
>>
>>524458066
I hate Israel but being a single issue anti Israel poster while supporting Russia is very brown coded
>>
>>524458066
don't care that exists, it should exist, all jews should go live there, they should fuck off out of usa's politics, but we should also continue trading and selling weapons with them that they use to kill mooslams. also exterminate paleshites
>>
>>524458615
Well in truth, the Soviets allowed the Vor to emigrate to Israel.
>>
TzD
>>
Punt ziggers
>>
>>524460034
as i understand it, israel and the red mafia both have a kind of "parallel" origin story. when israel got created, all the jews stalin gulagged (as well as a lot of just literal russians who pretended to be jews) used israels birthright citizenship policy to get out.
so they went there and helped found israel. and then the mossad got founded, so some of the jews (and the """jews"""") got new passports and went back to the USSR to start the red mafia, then set about taking over the cunt.
>>
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NEW TOTAL RUSSNIGGER DEATH URRAA CHARGE THAT GOT DECIMATED AND TURNED INTO COMMIE NIGGER PULP KEKAROOO

https://files.catbox.moe/zgq5mn.mp4
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New(ish) copelord dropped
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TZD
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LOL....LMAO EVEN
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TZD
>>
It would be better to let Russia annex eastern Ukraine if it meant the war could end.
You are anti-white if you disagree.
>>
>>524460904
post the guy who had like -100k pretty please
>>
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>>524460875
KEKAROOOO! He's officially sunk Kupyansk with that little diddy. OH YA BUD LMAO
>>
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>>524460904
>January 31 is 40% already
It used to be over 60% last week kek
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He bought in another 20k on Myrnohrad KEKAROOOOO
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>>524460874
music always remind me of the video
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LMAOOOOOOOOOOOO
>>
>>524451101

When will the pigkraine stop losing?
>>
>>524460948
Let the white people get subjugated. You're anti white if you disagree
>>
>>524460874
wow thats a full video of what a typical assault looks like, charge the treeline and then hope to get to tree cover before being blownup
>>
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>please surrender
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>>524460874
>>
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>>524461080
And that's just to get to the ditch of russnigger death KEKAROOO
>>
>>524460956
I'm genuinly convinced the man is cursed.
No one can be wrong THIS consistently and not just wrong in a general way, but hitting the exact opposite of the truth every single time.
>>
>>524461002
a walking suicide right there
>>
>>524458066
It is the only presence of white civilization in the Middle East. Everything else is filled with psychopathic brown creatures. I support white people, so I support Israel.
>>
>>524461069
The people in occupied territory mostly identified as Russian, no?
Are people here actually of the opinion that they deserved ethnic cleansing?
That way you entirely legitimize the invasion.
>>
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>>524461180
nigga this is just the average zissy delusion, I've seen way funnier than that
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>>524461124
>>524461080

Oh btw boys, the reason the russniggers turned back into the field is because that line was occupied by Ukis according to TG KEKAROOOOOOOO. So it was either run into automatic fire or run around like headless chickens in the fields KEKAROOOOO.

Absolutely zero fucking recon about where they're charging LMAO
>>
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>>524460874
So they take 3 Ladas, only 2 of which reach the designated dismount field, so these 2 blacker than the Ace of Spades Ladas stop in the middle of a snow-white (literally) field, they dismount in the middle of it instead of close to the treeline, they walk to the treeline, which 2 of the ziggers manage to approach, then 3/4ths of the way they decide to walk back.
Make it make sense.
>>
>>524461242
Your english is too broken to argue with
>>
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>>524461242
Guess who cleansed those "ethnic russniggers" during 2022-2023 KEKAROOOOO
>>
>>524461258
this new?
>>
>>524461042
Ifs even funnier they keep buying back in at high odds so even if they were eventually able to win they wouldn’t come close to recouping their total loss
>>
>>524460948
the problem is that theyll just do it again
thats basically what happened in 2014. russia occupied crimea, they were not removed, and then ~8yrs later, they went in for the rest
id like to see this absurd amount of death stop too, but you also cant just let pidors do whatever they want here with no repercussions

>inb4 but they only want the eastern/russian speaking part
ok then why have they been sending 100s of thousands of mobiks to die trying to invade the rest of the cunt for the past 4yrs or so?
ill tell you why, its cuz its not about denazification, re-unification, or anything like that. russia wants its old soviet breadbasket back, and it wants the shiny rocks underneath the bread basket. literally everything else is, at best, secondary, and at worst, literally just political posturing
>>
>>524461298
You just copped out, pussy

>>524461302
I don't know, I'm not chronically invested in this bullshit war. I just wish it would end because it's terribly sad for everyone involved. I really look down on everyone laughing at the situation from the safety of their homes.
>>
>>524461002
>>524461042
You know, with the obvious outcome, if anyoen should bet on this, they should use the profits to fund ukraine getting more drones and etc.
>>
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>>524461314
Ya, it's about 5? Days old. Lotta good kino coming out the past month, mostly from Magyar/425th(they're in Pokvorsk) and the 10th Mountain, the amount of russniggers they're killing right now is unprecedented. 14th Army Corps also killing tons of russniggers, but their footage is way more boring, just thermal shit 90% of the time which doesn't give me enough visceral joy. They seem to be highly equipped, like Azov.
>>
>>524458066
Israel and Ukraine are both fighting antisemitism at home and abroad. I will always support both.
>>
>>524461042
The value of the bet falling means that Polymarket thinks it becomes more likely for ziggers to capture Myrnohrad, right? Does this happen because more people bet on Yes?
>>
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>>524461508
why would Ukraine need to be denazified if they're fighting antisemitism? Makes no sense
>>
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>>524461559
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Ziggers watched Russia systematically mobilize all the men of the DPR/LPR into poorly equipped meatwave assault units at the start of the war, and they still turn around and start unironically complaining about Ukrainians "genociding" them, when the "genocide" they're referring to is 10-20 people a year dying from stray artillery rounds between 2015-2022.
>>
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>>524461525
Ya, because the russniggers said that the Ukis have created a corridor to evacuate them from Myrn. I haven't personally kept up on Myrn, so not sure if there's any truth to that. That's why this particular counter-attack is important, since it's directly North of Myrn and NorthEast of Pokvorsk. So it's clear that the Ukis are doing something there.
>>
>>524461559
The truth is that the whole Nazi thing is just Putin projecting, as Russians love to do. It's obvious that Russians are the real Nazis.
>>
>>524461632
Yup and the shitskins don't even wanna acknowledge it, but I remember and no shitskin with a vpn is gonna rewrite history while I'm here KEKAROOOO
>>
Reminder: russniggers genocided the donbabwe niggers and sent them into war with mosin nagants KEKAROOOO. The shitskin vpnigger is trying to pretend it never happen, but I save...EVERYTHING KEKAROOOO
>>
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>>524460874
Beautiful
>>
>>524461589
ukrainians are simultaneously gay, jewish and nazis.

Few things in this world are as gay and jewish as ukraine. You only need to look at their obscenely gay and jewish funded nazi groups.

Also, if the point needs to be driven home further, nothing is a fake, jewish, and gay as a bunch of poofters who come on pol, larp as natsoc's, and pretend ukraine is cool.
>>
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>>524461258
Successful recon under fire!
>>
>>524461801
>happen
Happened*
>>
>>524461801
arent you supposed to be banned?
>>
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>>524461656
Why would the real Nazis gift jews a whole autonomous oblast? It would be like Hitler creating Israel, makes no sense
>>
>>524461865
how about you get it right the first fucking time?
>>
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>
>>
>>524461842
>Few things in this world are as gay and jewish as ukraine
Russia
>>
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>>524461242
can you tell he where the azov brigade was founded?
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>>524461925
Cry moar shitskin KEKAROOO
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why is ukraine on the outskirts of pokrovsk and not inside?
>>
>>524461996
how was your christmas?

I bet you were here the whole time.
>>
>>524460874
Good mortars(?)
>>
Rumours are that the high command is ammassing troops in the northern part of Pokrovsk to launch a counter offensive and retake the whole city, this is done despite the harsh weather.
This is still not confirmed, maybe the harsh weather could be used as an advantage? Only time will tell.
>>
>>524461898
Anon, please don't be fooled. Russia has never treated jews kindly. There's a reason why their jewish population plummeted from 5 million to under 90k. There's also a reason why ethnic Russians make up the vast majority of the population in the jewish autonomous oblast.
>>
>>524462077
>rumours are
k keep me posted in 5 minute intervals
>>
GREGGPOSTING

Update 27.12.2025

During the night of December 27, Kyiv and its surrounding areas were subjected to the most concentrated air attack since the beginning of the war.
What distinguished this attack from the large offensive on December 23 was not only its scale, but how, where, and for how long it was carried out.

For the first time, we saw an attempt to concentrate practically the entire attack volume against the capital.
No major secondary targets, no clear diversionary attacks in other regions. Everything was directed at Kyiv and its immediate surroundings.
This in itself constitutes a clear strategic message.

The second decisive factor was the number of aerial targets.
Russia attempted something that has long been theoretical but rarely fully executed in practice:
>to concentrate drones and missiles into a single, directed saturation attack against one urban target area.

The third aspect was the duration.
The attack lasted over ten and a half hours, which is extreme even by today’s standards.
This was not a shock strike, but a test of endurance, an attempt to wear down air defense systems, personnel, sensors, and repair capacity.

The fourth and perhaps most interesting element was the attack pattern:
>missiles – drones – missiles – small groups of drones
Wave after wave, with a clear intention to force air defense to operate continuously without recovery.

There were impacts.
That cannot be denied.
But once again, strategically decisive damage failed to materialize.
>>
>>524461525
theyre binary options
the price is set by the price that ppl are willing to buy/sell the contracts at
ie if you were to buy a shit ton of those at 75c, it would eventually make them worth more like 80c. if youre right, you get the difference up to $1. since options contracts are 100x, that means youd get between $20-$25 per contract. additionally, if the market is still liquid (aka ppl are trading it still) you can buy/sell out the contracts you have/are short on and get profit/loss depending on the diff between the contracts price when you first entered the trade
thing is, options have expiries. this one is dec 31. so good luck trying to buy/sell a large amount of them now, as there has to be enough ppl willin gto sell out (and why would they? theyre winning rn)
>>
>>524462077
>maybe the harsh weather could be used as an advantage?
yes, ukies are properly equipped and rusniggers are freezing
>>
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>>524462077
Doubltful, they're pushing Northeast and have retaken Rodynske. Droning russniggers South of the Railway has become far too effective. The commie niggers simply can't maintain a foothold.
>>
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>>524451101
>putin confirms that russia is ready to import unlimited amounts of indians to make up for all the dead russian soldiers
Reminder you could round up and deport the entire vatnikstan population, down to the very last vatnik, and deport them all to pajeetia. End result is that Pajeetias population would rise from
>1.4 billion
>to 1.55 billion
and zegroid like to brag and pretend they are some unstoppable asiatic horde lmao
>>
>>524462161

A clear example was the attack on the waterworks and dam in Vyshhorod.
From the outside, the damage may appear severe, but in practice it amounted to a partial hit.
Three missiles were shot down, and the fourth struck the edge of the roadway near the bridge.
The blast wave was powerful and knocked down walls around the transformers, but they were not destroyed.
They were not turned to ash.
The infrastructure could be saved.

The situation strongly resembles earlier experiences, including when my own house was hit by blast waves.
The destruction looks dramatic — but technical functionality can often be restored quickly.
In this case, we have been promised that electricity supply will be restored within a day.

Two factors clearly coincide.

First: politics and diplomacy.
The attack was carried out at the same time President Zelenskyy was facing new contacts with the West, including talks in the United States.
It is difficult to interpret this as anything other than a show of force.
The message is simple:
>Russia wants to set the framework for every discussion by demonstrating that it can escalate against the capital at any time.

Second: the winter war against civilian society.
Disruptions to electricity and heating in Kyiv in the middle of winter are not a military mistake, they are a deliberate method.
Cold, darkness, and uncertainty are weapons.
The goal is not necessarily total collapse, but attrition: of the economy, healthcare, industry, and psyche.
>>
>>524460948
If.
That's the problem, this war, not a potential outcome of the war, is the goal for pypa. The war would continue because it preserves the internal political state of Russia to Putin's liking
>>
>>524461467
>muh communism!
>we're next!
Putin won't live to see the inevitable end of the Russian federation if he dares to risk a direct war with NATO. That's why he's bombing Ukraine, not Brussels. Putin doesn't even want a real war. But yes if he is given the opportunity to conquer some territory he will take it, within manageable risks.
I think it's nothing more complicated than this.
>>
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>>524462332
Reminder: russniggers ran out of armour while shitskin turdies keep saying this isn't a real war KEKAROOOOO
>>
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>>524460874
Drone drops are terrifying
>>
>>524462294

Ukraine’s air defense once again demonstrated very high effectiveness.
An overwhelming majority of incoming targets were neutralized through shoot-downs or electronic warfare.
That is a fact. Additionally, six draggers were neutralized, last time they hit nothing, and this time they were taken out.

But the night’s attack also reveals an uncomfortable truth:
>in a saturation attack, it is enough for a small fraction to get through to create significant civilian consequences.
When the targets are heating, electricity, water, and residential-adjacent infrastructure, the effect becomes disproportionately large relative to the military effort.
That is exactly why Russia continues with this type of attack despite heavy losses in the air.

Kyiv is not only a military target.
It is a political and psychological target.

Striking the capital is about:
>showing that it is not beyond reach
>dominating the news cycle
>pressuring both the Ukrainian leadership and its international partners
In that sense, last night’s attack was as much a message to the West as it was to Ukraine.

What matters now is not only what happened last night, but what happens next:
Will the pattern be repeated with one or two additional mass-attack nights or will Russia revert to low-intensity reconnaissance strikes?
How quickly are electricity and heating stabilized in Kyiv, and do secondary effects emerge affecting water, transport, or healthcare?
Are there signs of increased strain on air defense through more penetrations, more fires, or silent sectors?

That is where the next answer lies not in the headlines, but in the patterns.

To that extent, last night’s attack affected me personally in that our battery was hit by falling debris and destroyed.
I spent the entire day searching for a sufficiently powerful generator and acquiring a Starlink connection.
Everything was up and running by the afternoon.

SLAVA UKRAINI
>>
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>>524460904
I shit you not, the guy who kept crashing out for days because he lost his hard earned money betting that ziggers would capture pokrovsk doubled down at bet even more on ziggers capturing KUPIANSK. He did so specifically AFTER Zelensky visited. Unfathomable retardation.
>>
>>524462332
>Putin doesn't even want a real war
couldve fooled me

>within manageable risks
well gud thing he doesnt give a solitary fuck about how many russians he gets killed. makes it much easier to "manage the risk"
>>
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>>524462054
cockroaches don't celebrate christmas, they aren't even human
>>
>>524451101
I just wanted to come say thank you for being warriors for the LGBTQ+ community. When russia made us illegal, you guys stepped up to fight for us. Thank you so much. xoxo
>>
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>>524462593
KEKAROOOOO
>>
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>>524462679
>made illegal
KEKAROOOOO
>>
>>524461467
Tbh I don't see what Ukraine does about Crimea even in an optimistic scenario where there's a full Russian withdrawal of forces to 1991 borders after they finally get fed up of mulching through millions of pidors and Total Zigger Death. Crimea is full of vatniggers who would likely kick up at least half as much of a fuss as occupied Ukrainians do right now in the other wartorn oblasts.
And even if there is a Russian withdrawal from Crimea they probably at least entrench themselves in the Sevastopol naval base which was never under Ukrainian control at any point in the last 30+ years. The Ukrainian navy was relegated to Odesa even before 2014.
I dunno if this is a fair comparison but look at what happened in Syria December. Russia didn't lift a finger to help out the Syrian regime's forces twelve months ago but they notwithstandingly held onto their two naval bases.
>>
>>524461002
omg lol, he's gonna have to sell his kidneys soon. Watching ziggers commit financial suicide on polymarket will never not be funny
>>
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>>524462679
they only made it illegal so they could feel dirtier when they do it
>>
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>>
>friend lives in georgia (from russia originally)
>got perma residency there
>went to visit family for xmas (in january)
>got pulled aside and questioned at airport in moscow
lmao
>>
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>>524458066
I think we should glass the whole Middle East, people go fucking crazy there for no reason. Must be something in the water.
>>
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ukraine has not won a single battle since 2022
>>
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>>524461279
Elite military strategy
>>
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>>524458066
>>
ukraine didnt win a single battle in 2025
>>
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>>524463045
Battle of Kupyansk beige nigger? KEKAROOOO
>>
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>>524463116
>mentions an ongoing battle
>>
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>>524463195
>ongoing
KEKAROOOO
>>
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>>524462680
Is right before or after gay rape?
>>
>>524461180
I believe nostradumbass is actually on Ukrainian side and just tries to provoke rusniggers to do the dumbest and funniest shit ever. If a person takes a multiple choice test with 100 questions, it is humanly impossible to get all 100 wrong, unless it is intentional.
>>
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hell in rostov's morgue

>1/2
>>
>>524463264
>this is supposed to be proof that theres no more fighting there
>>
>>524462175
Thanks, I get it. I thought Polymarket sets up the initial odds and they adjust to the volume of people buying each option.
>>
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>>524463371
>2/2
>>
>>524461632
I’m not sure what they aim to achieve anymore. It’s no longer even confusing. It’s just noise that obfuscates nothing of the reality of things.
>>
>>524451101
TZD
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>>524463395
Saved
>>
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alex parker
>>
>>524463371
>>524463395
So trad
>>
>>524463116
And here we go! They are already fabricating their Dolchstoßlegende!
>>
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THE BATTLE OF DEAD PIDORS, DECISIVE UKRAINIAN VICTORY
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>>524462425
It's a territorial dispute artificially prolonged by international support without which Ukraine would have long surrendered. Because of all the foreign aid it starts to look like a proxy war but it's war mongering faggots virtue signaling where each billion tax euro's resembles one gay Western "fuck putler".

>>524462630
We can say it's unethical and I think many Russians would feel the same, but this is still a low risk war. They have the numbers to keep up the invasion and occupation, even if they have to be coerced and lied to go forward.
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>>524463554
No one believes your retarded cope you disgusting jeet nigger.
>>
ukraine hasnt had a single victory since 2022
but ukraine supporters count temporary tactical success in ongoing battle as victory
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>>524463395
>>524463371
literally not my problem
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>>524463594
What exactly do you disagree on and why are you angry at me? Can you answer like a rational (white) person?
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>>524463699
Reminder: My personal dead russnigger folders have more dead russniggers than the entire Vietnam war, while this jeet nigger has to read his shitskin script. Sorry nigger, you're talking to White Men, not your shitskin pals in mumbai KEKAROOOO
>>
>>524463395
>bodies from the Afghan war
Seriously? No fucking way
>>
>>524463643
You guys are really butthurt today
>>
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