What are the odds Democrats win all of these swing states to beat JD Vance in 2028? 2026 might be dire for Republicans, but 2028 is a presidential election year.
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This is also assuming there isn't a mid-census reapportionment of electoral college votes, because if there IS one, then Democrats could win every single one of those states and still lose. Republicans would gain 10 solid red EV votes putting them at 273. Democrats would have to win those 7 swing states as well as picking up one of Arizona, Georgia, or North Carolina.