Enjoy your final year of peace, mutt-anons. Looks like you will all be getting drafted next year https://x.com/FaytuksNetwork/status/2006067160083284154
>IT'S HAPPENING>somebody somewhere says something may or may not happen at some undetermined point in the future
>>524657148>2027Yeah, I call bullshit. IF they get their lithographic machines in order Taiwan at some point will beg to be part of China>>524657246wise manIf they are going to invade it is going to be next year. Otherwise they will develop technology by 2027 and Taiwan will be siting duck.
>>524657148>2 more yearswhat is it with 2
>>524657317Any invasion of Taiwan would require significant military build up beforehand, so the invasion is not going to be in 2026.
TWOMOREYEARS
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>>524657425So it will not happen. Taiwan has protection of the West due to being bottleneck regarding electronics. But if that will be taken out of the picture, USA will not be able to commit and Taiwan will have to rely on Japan. And while Japan can hurt Chinese fleet like hell, they do not have industrial capacity to prevent China from ultimately taking Taiwan.
>>524657403>https://x.com/FaytuksNetwork/status/2006067160083284154Maybe in a hot war Taiwan folds very quickly. We don't really know how resilient the people are, which is something most talking heads did not account for with the Ukranians.
CCP won't do shit. They have no confidence in their own military outside suppressing their own people.
>>524657681>China blockades island>Island is entirely dependent on food, fuel and medicine imports Yeah no. Its literally over in less 30 days. No shots fired
Corona>>524644269
>>524657657>they do not have industrial capacity to prevent China from ultimately taking Taiwan.Correct. Even if Chinese military is a quarter of as good as China claims it to be, I think they will still be able to take Taiwan. People always compare Taiwan to Ukraine, but invading an island is much easier. At worse, the Chinese Navy can blockade the island for a year or two and it will run out of food. Also, the supply of weapons like in Ukraine won't be possible if PLA blockades it.
>>524657148It's a good thing that woke died so that White men could join the military again.
In a hot war the USA blows all the factories in Taiwan as it runs away. The Taiwanese Samson Option--but it's not Taiwan's choice whether it gets activated or not. The declared policy of the USA that it'll go Scorched Earth on those factories that make Taiwan so globally important.
>>524657403Came here to post this.
>>524657874>invading an island is much easierwhy are you people so retarded? do you take pride in being wrong all the fucking time?
>>524658604Its easier than Ukraine. NATO delivered millions of artillery shells into Ukraine via land. Without a constant supply of weapons, Taiwan is not going to last over 4 years like Ukraine did.Thats assuming PLA actually manages to land troops on the island and secure a beach head like allies did on d-day.
>>524658858im sure they'll just waltz on into taipei in a 2 day special operation, no biggie.
>>524657148>U.S. Intel just flew over my house
>>524658948Depends on the scale of invasion China is able to pull off. If they try to do an invasion with 200,000 men like Putin tried in 2022, the war will take years. If they go in with a millions of men, the war would last a couple months.
the chinese elite remain terrified of internal rebellion and will never launch such a possibly catastrophic ground invasion. at most they will launch a blockade and back off once the us intervenes.
>>524659156Every single Chinese person I met absolutely hated Taiwan, like they showed genuine anger when the topic was brought up. Its like they were indoctrinated from a young age to prepare for a war against Taiwan, kind of like how Hitler Youth hated the jews and communists.
>>524659137>just move a million men onto the island all at once bro
>>524657838Like I said, it depends on how resilient the Taiwanese population is and whether their government has actual plans for the potential blockade.
HOLLYBERG right on schedule
>>524657148>U.S. INTEL BELIEVES CHINA WILL INVADE TAIWAN IN 2027Makes sense. Russia invaded Ukraine exactly one year after they did the test run, with tent cities in Belarus and all. Why would another communist shithole's military come up with something different.
>>524659405Whatever. It would definitely be boring as fuck if China ended up failing an invasion. I hope WW3 is more like WW2 and less like the snoozefest of WW1 trench warfare.
>>524659609China will invade in the next 1-3 years. They want to do pull it of at the same time Russia is fighting NATO or Ukraine, that way US response will be half as efficient. I also think Turkey will invade Israel if China and Russia are fighting US at the same time.
>>524659137>If they go in with a millions of men, the war would last a couple monthsThey will load millions of soldiers on hundres of commercial ferries and choke Taiwan's nave with tens of thousands of fishing vessels. The scale of it will be asolutely staggering, Taiwan doesn't have enough ammo or man-hours to deal with such a huge number of targets. Taiwan, as a sweetener when faced with such a large force, will get offered a deal like Hongkong - mostly peaceful transition, the rich families get to keep their money, then gradual tightening and improsinment of pro-democracy activists. Trump will compel Taiwan to take the deal and be done with it.
>>524659722i doubt they will invade at all. seems counter productive to everything they've achieved so far.
>>524659156>back off once the us intervenesUS under Trump will support China and ask Taiwan to surrender. There is no way Trump will not chicken out.
>>524659137I thought they had like 2.5 million dudes in their army just in peace time. Its going to be crazy
>>524657148Im in my late 20s with a child. I doubt I will be drafted. Even if I was I wouldnt fight
>>524659823You lost me with the Israel stuff.
>>524660178They have like 1,5 billion people. If they mobilize 10% of the population (same percentage US mobilized in WW2) that's 150 million men. No one except pajeets can match that number.
>>524660410it doesnt matter if they have a billion men if they cant cross the strait. do you think theyre just gonna swim across???
>>524657148Jokes on you, I'm too fat to fit in anything but a C130 cargo bay. Long live the Chairman
>>524659137>Depends on the scale of invasion China is able to pull off. If they try to do an invasion with 200,000 men like Putin tried in 2022, the war will take years. If they go in with a millions of men, the war would last a couple months.>Taiwanese chipped drones will take longer to kill 200,000 than 2,000,000 standing in the same amount of space[x] Doubt
>>524660532All of their civilian ships are built to military standards. Every ferry they have can also carry a tank, their fishing boats can be converted for military use fairly quickly/guns glued to them etc etc. I dont doubt they can get across.>>524660410Man, think of the casualties. 1 missile takes out 500 guys but theres another 500 just lined up and ready to go. Its going to be fucking insanity if they try to invade and Taiwan doesn't surrender.
Taiwan can fight, but should not.
>>524657148If that happens...well, if you thought ram prices where bad now due to AI holy shit are they(and gpus/cpus) going to be bad if China invades Taiwan. Electronics in general could be fucked for 5 or more years if Taiwan falls.
>>524657681>We don't really know how resilient the people arethe people will crumble. they are soft. it would be a very bad place to have street fighting, or a guerilla war as islanders try to kill PLA who control the island.a war ruins the mainland economy which means the CPC is over and outed. if the KMT win the next elections and there's a KMT president then negotiations over partnership will begin as taiwanese people would benefit from closer economic integration and no chinaman benefits from a war.
>>524657148Thanks, keep us posted you ugly brown fucking retard, at least there will be fuckable Asian women instead of inbred brown filth.
>>524660532People ITT are assuming that US or at least US Navy and Air Force are going to defend Taiwan if China invades but I doubt this will happen. Just look at Ukraine, there were so many ways for US to intervene to stop that war. But at the end of the day, NATO isn't even shooting down Russian missiles over Ukraine, nor is it creating a no-fly zone, because Putin threatens nukes every time. I expect to same to happen with China. The threat of nuclear war is going to significantly limit US involvement.There will be intelligence sharing, sanctions and the other shenanigans as usual but you won't see US navy sinking Chinese ships or USAF conducting air raids on Chinese troops. And without US help, Taiwan won't be able to put much of a resistance.
>>524661074>People ITT are assuming that US or at least US Navy and Air Force are going to defend Taiwan if China invades but I doubt this will happen.I thought Japan and Korea signed a pact that if china invades Taiwan they will both get involved, if Japan by itself got militarily involved then the USA would have to intervene, let alone with Korea also joining the party.
>>524661396Japan would need US permission to engage, but you're correct. A Japan China war would mean US China war. So I don't think US would give permission for Japan to fight China, the same way how NATO isn't letting Poland to fight Russia in Ukraine.
>>524661522I got ya. That makes sense. I was hoping to see the Samurai spirit rise again xD In Taiwans darkest hour, at the height of the fighting, a Divine Wind swept over the battlefield...
>>524660906Mainland Chinese hand typing detected.
>>5246571482 more years!
>>524659137China should put RGB LED light strips on all their air craft carriers
>>52465714852 MORE WEEKS
China's stated plan is for the war to be over before the beginning of 2027.That means, even in a best-case scenario for them, they would have to begin now.Xi is increasingly unpopular with both his people and the generals and is trying to keep General Zhang at bay by going along with this plan, even though he knows it will be the end of the CCP.The first time a bomb is dropped on Taiwan, every nation on Earth except Russia applies total sanctions. We will make it so expensive for them to invade Taiwan that they will bankrupt themselves trying.By the way, Taiwan will have thermonuclear capability and won't hesitate to kill everyone in Fuzhou.
chinks are not gonna blow up taiwans chip factories as long as they're reliant on them7 years minimum
The other thing is that Japan is commited to providing air defense to Taiwan. China has clear plans to attack air defense installations operated by the Japanese. The U.S. and Japan have a mutual defense pact.They invade Taiwan and the the entire world is going to show up at their doorstep and is going to be taking a refund for every cheap, plastic piece of Chinese junk they were sold in the past 50 years out of China's ass.
>>524658142>In a hot war the USA blows all the factories in Taiwan as it runs away. The Taiwanese Samson Option--but it's not Taiwan's choice whether it gets activated or not. The declared policy of the USA that it'll go Scorched Earth on those factories that make Taiwan so globally important.lmao, China will unironically be "defending" Taiwan too, to make sure that doesnt happen>welcome to CLOWNWORLD>no refundsnordstream was a live 'threat' at TSMC too
>>524662453>They invade Taiwan and the the entire world is going to show up at their doorstepzero chance you faggot niggerand China is never going to invade taiwanthere is no "nato" there is no "entire world"everything they had was decimated in ukraine, all of itits completely over for global (offensive) expantionary alliances
>>524663199>everything they had was decimated in ukraine, all of itukies got everyone's old and outdated shit
2 0 2 7 AD027BUCKLE UP NIGGERS
>2 more years>2 more weeks>nothing ever happensyawn. xi is a confirmed pedophile homosexual
>>524657148
>>524657657How did Best Korea do it?
>>524663247>ukies got everyone's old and outdated shitnigger fucking please, /k/ NIGGER PLEASEa 36+ nation coalition threw the combined GDP of europe, and 50+ years of their state of the art nato-procurements at Russia, got them obliterated in less than 4 years, leaving them completely demiliatarized and castrated as a result europe will be geopolitically irrelevant and subserviant for the next century (minimum)ukraine recieved the totality of europes STATE OF THE ART technology and STILL got its ass prolapsed by Russia>himars+advanced missiles>patriot+advanced interceptors>modern tanks with state of the art equipment>stormshadow/scalp, other state of the art missiles>every AD system in production>every state of the art SPG/artillery+ammo>most modern IFV's in europeit goes on and on and onukraine got ALL of europes state of the art military shit, all of it
>>524657148>2 more years
>>524657148I mean it's kinda obvious when Japan has been trying to shift public opinion to be more aggressive against China, Vietnam and Philippines had been arming up and getting weapons from Japan and India, etc. Something's gonna happen. Not sure if it's gonna be a full-blown invasion or just some skirmish.
>>524661808thats a practical approach, so they find them faster on the bottom of the sea.And torpedoes do not need to be fired from a submarine, I think people somehow missed this important point. An invasion will never happen in our lifetime.
>>524657148>2 days>2 weeks>2 years It never ends
It would be trillion fpv dronesAnd billion rocket drones It's over for taiwan
>>524661074US cant defend Taiwan because no mutt nigger jew would want to go die there just like in oinkraine, quite opposite of what re**it and nafo imbecils thought they are down to Colombian mercs and even those went drySecond, USA recognised Taiwan as part of China, attacking Chinese fleet would mean nuclear warJapan and SK would get glassed 3rd time but this time that would be end of the island so no, Japs wont do shit Only EU will shoot itself in head like usual following US orders but thats the usual from them
>>524660906Street fighting and guerilla war is EXACTLY how you fight a State Military. But yes, whether the Taiwanese have a resolve and strong separate identity to the Chinese will be ultimately tested when that day comes. But hopefully they make breakthroughs through alternative sciences in chip manufacturing and we don't need WW3.
>>524657148>U.S. INTEL>BELIEVESsage
>>524657148sooo 12 or 23 months left?
>>524663613>STILL got its ass prolapsed by Russia
I understand that most of /nu-pol/ prefers memes to monographs and struggles with anything longer than a tweet. Bless your double digit IQ hearts. For those capable of engaging with primary sources, here is the newly released 2025 Department of Defense report on Chinese military power.https://media.defense.gov/2025/Dec/23/2003849070/-1/-1/1/ANNUAL-REPORT-TO-CONGRESS-MILITARY-AND-SECURITY-DEVELOPMENTS-INVOLVING-THE-PEOPLES-REPUBLIC-OF-CHINA-2025.PDFI read it in full last night in my study.
>>524669380
>>524669528the US and China are literally never going to war not everthats 100% nuclear warnot bullshit ukraine war meat grindingbut literal actual nuclear war and it could never be any other way how fucking stupid are you nigger shills>gif relatedit should be you and ever /k/ nigger
>>524660276I see people say this all the time. The average age for Ukrainian and Russian men fighting right now is like 40. Guys with children and grandchildren. Do you think the Government is going to blow it's whole load going "all-in", putting it's entire power structure on the line, and look at its population of men and think, "This one is a Dad, he'll stay". They'll probably lure you fags out with promises of working in the back lines and millions of you good goys will take it hook line and sinker. They'll offer you a contract with retarded bogus amounts of money (that is already fake right now) (and won't be worth anything in the future, if they pay you at all). Fighting aged men (18-50) will be barred from working regular jobs if they are in the "drafted" status.These are things happening RIGHT NOW. Pay attention PLEASE. You can only take preventative measures, once they got you, you're as good as dead.
>>524657148yeah and Iran will nuke israel in 2 more weeks!
Better get those gaming computers during this year nerds
>>524657148US plans to clean up Venezuela in first half of 2026, deal with Iran in second half of 2026, and have full schedule available for 2027
>>524670040Its almost already too late, jackass.
>>524670245It will be worse
>>524669609
Taiwan deserves it for their expensive DRAM bullshit.
>>524657148My fucking cock is getting hard LETS GOOOOO CHINNNNAAAAAAAAAAA YINGYANG MOTHER FUCKER
>>524657148>>524671527Why would it need to invade taiwan?America's gonna collapse before 2029(apophis)."Never interrupt your enemy when he is making a mistake." - Napoleon
