Last: >>525948510Daily discussion of the ongoing situation in Iran.Jan 13:>Trump in meeting with national security team>No water and power>Trump: I have cancelled all meetings with Iranian Officials until the senseless killing of protesters STOPS. HELP IS ON ITS WAY. MIGA... PRESIDENT DONALD J. TRUMP>Iran has just announced the seizure of a huge shipment of Starlink>China, USA calls for it's citizens to evacuate from Iran. More countries suddenly follows.>ESTIMATED: 20.000+ DEAD / ~3500 ISLAMIC FORCES>MASS PUBLIC EXECUTIONS SET FOR TOMORROW ACROSS THE NATION>STARLINK STILL DOWN, BLACKOUT HOLDSJan 12:>internet still blocked after 100+ hours>Heavy govt crackdown in Isfahan tonight, live ammunition being used - FOX>Trump leaning towards military strikes, with Vance leaning towards talks - WSJ>protests again tonight in Tehran>pro-govt rallies were organized todayJan 11 and before:>protests have reached over 180 cities total>every major city has or is experiencing protests>Lowshan was "in the hands of the people" until yesterday when the military showed up in force and violently dispersed the protests -BBC Persian>at least 500+ dead according to activists - AP>estimated thousands of protestors dead, unverified source says over 20k likely dead>dozens of police dead during clashes, Islamic regime using machine guns to surpress crowds>complete network blackout cell/internet>Govt is cracking down on satellites and starlink terminals.Iran Newshttps://www.aparatchi.com/iran-live-tv/farsi-irib-tv/shabakeh-khabar-liveXitterhttps://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumphttps://x.com/khamenei_irhttps://x.com/WW3_MonitorMapshttps://www.flightradar24.com/airport/thrhttps://iran.liveuamap.com/https://geoconfirmed.org/iran
Get in here and discuss!
>>525965402>Trump: I have cancelled all meetings with Iranian Officials until the senseless killing of protesters STOPS.Yup....that'll show 'em!
>>525965509you're banned
They are better off it's a war footing. Protest is useless. Either war or perish. Hope they are good at it.
>>525965434>tonightIt's currently 10:47 AM in Tehran. Looks like the Ayatollah is wearing the "Brown Ring" of his ass.
>>525965434oh I'm just shaking in my boots!
>Trump vows to strike if Iran massacres citizens>Then moves goalposts to if Iran hangs arrested protesters.>No indications of any redeployment of US forces whatsoever. Cool, cool.
>>525965402I can see a lot of spam and seething from zog shills. I really start to believe that Iran might ride this one victorious (again)>>525966279Iran was an empire when your ancestor mom was still whoring herself in the forest (and still do)>>525966520As if we didn't have 4k videos of you shaking you ass when iranian missiles went through your iron cope lmao
>>525966685Peculiar, will he eventually go in?
>>525966739Iran is done for buddy, it can take a few days or a few weeks, the Islamic regime has no chance of survival, they destroyed the economy spending billions arming groups that got absolutely destroyed by Israel, then they got completely humiliated in a 12 days war, one by one they lost the ring of fire they took decades to build around the jews, they have no allies left, and when people rightfully showed indignation for the situation they found themselves in, the regime responded by gunning down their own people, they can't ride this one, not possible, pure incompetence, as expected from brown people.
>>525966739>As if we didn't have 4k videos of you shaking you ass when iranian missiles went through your iron cope lmaoIt was so sexy watching those missiles hit hell-aviv. I saved all of them! BOOM BOOM TEL-AVIV
>>525966811He just locked himself in now, israel would really now start pissing themselves if he doesn't show up. They'll order him to do something soon enough and he will obey.
>>525966739Go back home....sandnigger. You're not welcome in my country.
>>525967080But enough about the US.
Alright time for some actual discussion. I know I know, old school as fuck.Iran is doing executions tomorrow. This is also a direct challenge to Trump and a power move. Trump said he would punish Iran if they kill protestors. Tomorrow the Ayatollah will execute countless young people, look at the camera and say "what now, faggot?".If Trump backs down he is done for. His entire foreign policy bluster will be exposed as empty threats and ineptitude. Venezuela will resume their hostile US stance and start bombings to free Maduro (they don't actually want him back, they just want to kill Americans in revenge).China will laugh their asses off and tell the world that Trump has gone mad and is powerless, declaring the US a Chinese tributary state and just taking Taiwan in less than a day. Europe will forcibly close American bases there and arrest GI's, orienting themselves towards China as their master.In short, if the emperor is ever found to have no clothes, his reign will end very quickly. We allow dishonesty. We do not allow weakness.This means Trump has to missile Iran tomorrow either before or VERY shortly after the executions. If he wants to stay president. This might also be the last chance to destroy the muslims there (and in a reduced manner world-wide). The next window won't come for another decade, if at all. If Trump does not act tomorrow, Gulaghomo has won.
>>525966739No Iranian missile hit anywhere near my city abdul, I was chilling on the living room sofa whenever your cousins got uppity
>>525967257>the Ayatollah will execute countless young people, look at the camera and say "what now, faggot?"He threatened to "end Israel tonight"....if he was gonna say "what now faggot" then why did he cuck out yet again? The last time he was gonna end Israel was just after Trump bombed his nuke facility...lol.
>>525967255Let's be honest with ourselves brics sissies, until a short time ago I was team russia, but one must remove himself from the shackles of propaganda and just accept reality as it is, Russia is an incompetent slav shithole, chinks are insectoids that only know how to copy shit and care about themselves, and brown are barely human, things are going incredibly good for the US and bad for everyone else, that's just how the world is.
>>525967257I'm unconvinced that the situation politically is that dire, but I do agree with the general thrust and I do think he's going to bomb. The concern is just how many people will be dead before the bombs are dropped. There are no carriers in the region right now, and while regional bases can get some shit done, I'm not sure how much. It's going to be incredibly retarded if the Israelis don't take this opportunity to knock off more of the Iranian government. Long term even if they manage to suppress this round of protests, they're cooked. Healthy societies don't degenerate to this level of dysfunction, and it's even worse because the people who hate the government this much are the educated class that are necessary for Iran to actually function as a modern non-agrarian state. >>525967571I'm not sure I'd call things 'good' for the United States but definitely a lot less bad than everyone other than China. China still has plenty of potential but a lot of it will hinge on; A) Are they stupid enough to start a war they might lose over Taiwan? B) Can they defuse their truly cataclysmic demographic bomb? Russia is indeed however, a wildly incompetent, authoritarian shithole that has spent itself grinding down a former satellite state.
>>525965434lol how predictable.
Vance says talks? What the hell is there to talk about? Hey, killing young people is bad mmk. What does Rubio say? Bureaucrats and their talk. The world has gone to hell while mic holders talk. It is time for humans to understand that not all humans deserve a chance to keep existing here. A great many of them.
>>525965402Allah AkbarDeath to IranDeath to KhameneiDeath to shiismCurse on the magiVictory to Sunni Islam!
>>525966685Trump is just stroking the flames. He does not have any intention of actually doing anything, which is probably smart in the situation.
>>525967571>Have you seen The ICE protests!! US is literally collapsing!!
>>525967671I hope the chinese are smart enough to recognize the recent paterns and just continue what they're doing, just pure pragmatic trade and economy, but I'm almost sure they're gonna make a bad decision on the level of russia
>>525967709The isolationist faction in the Republican party is geopolitically and economically illiterate, and also utterly bereft of moral conviction. I'm a faggot leaf so I don't exactly love Trump, though I don't hate him either, but Vance comes across as a genuine coward that has all the worst parts of Trump with none of the redeeming qualities.
>>525966811He's Jan 6'ing them lol
>>525967508He hasn't said that. Some Iranian faggot did and it was broadcasted around on X. So the Ayatollah's political career and Izzat is not tethered to "destroying Israel" anytime soon.Trump on the other hand was very vocal about telling Iran what they can and can't do. And what HE will do if they disobey. Those tweets were broadcasted around the world on all media outlets for days now.Well, it looks like Iran will disobey. You will find that people very quickly remember the Epstein Files if Trump looks weak.
>>525967438I'm glad you guys got more territory out of the late unpleasantness. Unironically. Am yisrael chai.
>>525967750Man I follow DD geopolitics just for the fun of it, that bitch acting like the US is collapsing and is on a civil war, comparing that shit to Iran, and saying shit like portland SMO or minneapolis SMO is the funniest shit, those people are completely broken, disconnected from reality
>>525967845>I hope the chinese are smart enough to recognize the recent paterns and just continue what they're doing, just pure pragmatic trade and economy, but I'm almost sure they're gonna make a bad decision on the level of russiaXi has done a lot to distance himself from the policies of Deng Xiaoping and the other chairmen that patented the strategy of 'Do nothing and win'. He has staked his legitimacy on reunification at any cost, and spent over a decade whipping up a nationalist frenzy in the form of the Chinese wolf warrior retards, who themselves, and the Chinese government's own foreign policy pivots, have been disastrous for international relations in the region. When you look at China's standing in the world they've lost quite a few allies in the last 15 years, certainly more than they've gained, and it all traces back to that kind of ultra nationalist retardation. With a domestic market of well over a billion people, a massive manufacturing sector, a rapidly growing intellectual class; all they need to do is 'do nothing' and find a way to raise their fertility rate, and they'd be set to inherit the title of primary super power in a couple more decades almost guaranteed. But, like you said, it's almost certain that they're going to gamble everything on a war over an autistic spat with the former nationalists. Maybe the USA stays out of it, maybe Japan stays out of it, maybe it goes well. Or maybe it goes very, very badly. Either way it's a huge risk for totally marginal payoff, which is exactly the kind of risk that only ultra nationalists would ever roll the dice on.
>>525967671I think I agree that Iran is dead either way.Muslims or not, the country is just fucked beyond repair no matter who comes out on top.The question for me is if Trump will capitalize on that or embarrass the US by not doing anything.I think the smartest move would be:>Prepare a large scale missile strike (this should have already happened)>Wait until the broadcasted executions start>Launch all missiles during the broadcast and raise hell across Tehran>Trump claims a few minutes later he did it because of the barbarity going on there and to help Iranians (this will shield him from congressional bullshit as no one could fault him for trying to save Iranians about to be executed).This would make the uprising keep going for a while longer as Iranians think the US has their backs. Obviously we don't but it's nice to keep Iran in a state of dysfunction for as long as possible. Perhaps we are lucky enough to see them bomb Israel too!
>>525965434I want to clear one thing, Iran say they attacks “back” if they are attack first Iran never attack anyone fist, it always Israel and USA pigs bully them Total jews and their golem death, fucking bullying piece of shit. I hope Pakistan help Iran, brown united!!!
>>525968104And considering Taiwan is much more armed than Ukraine when the war started, that crossing will be a nightmare, China doesn't have the capacity to make a complete blockade around taiwan, and the US will close off the south china sea, even without direct intervention it's very likely China would fail and implode, but i don't think they'll invade because it would tank the global economy, they're probably gonna bet on reunification, which won't happen either
>>525965434>Iran makes threats>nothing happensName a more iconic duo
>>525966811There is no other option but a regime change war. He said “remember the names of the killers” so that the next government can purge the current mullahs. That directly confirms the intention is to prop up a new government and if Trump fails in this task America will be humiliated.
>>525965434The fact this tweet has no date attached means it could have been posted at any time in the past 20 years.
>>525968250Yes, even if they weren't facing horrible internal turmoil, other actors in the region like Israel will do everything they can to make sure they don't recover as long as the mullahs are in charge. >The question for me is if Trump will capitalize on that or embarrass the US by not doing anything.I think that Trump had a very bad plan for what he wanted to do this term. (Disengage from Europe, appease Russia, monopolize influence in South America, disengage from the middle east)But he's ironically been handed golden opportunity after golden opportunity. Putin is rapidly proving himself to be intractable which pisses Trump off. Venezuela didn't take the threats seriously, and horribly underestimated how badly they were mismatched. Iran is falling apart all on its own. He'd be stupid not to go all in on all of this stuff, but everything happening at once stretches resources. See: all carriers in the middle east are redeployed right now. But yes, I'm inclined to agree that at some point here he will have to drop ordnance. Where and who is complicated though. The regular Iranian army has some moderates because of conscription, whereas the IRGC are the true believers you want to try and kill as many of as possible.>>525968441Maybe they'll develop the capability to make it happen, or maybe they'll sufficiently demoralize Taiwan such that they don't fight, but attempting a rapid seizure is an enormous gamble yes. Which means that the 'safe' approach is a blockade, which is also the option which has the highest risk of war with the United States and Japan. I do think they're going to opt for blockade. You can see the signs in their subsidies for example. Chinese electric cars are so good because they build them at a loss. They build them at a loss because they want as many people driving them domestically as possible. They want that because it means they need less oil, which makes it easier to ration what they do have for critical industry, while blockaded.
>>525965402This thread couldn’t be more troon coded if OP tried
>>525968464They have just raised the mauve flag of nothing, and rumors persist that he has donned the null ring of Islamic gayness.
THE GREAT SATAN IS BACKING OFF
>>525965434Oh shit Ayatollah Khamenei is sliding in the black buttplug of total war. It's over.
All it took was the raising of the Purple Flag of Epstein Files and Trump ran away scared.
>>525968250There’s 0 chance America won’t strike Iran tomorrow during or after the executions. The rebellion isn’t organized and likely won’t succeed but they need them to persist nonetheless and buy time to figure out what to do next. If America and Israel walk away now they’ll look really pathetic.
Uh oh mossadbros... why did things not go as planned?
>>525968544>>525968250jeez louise, lads. It's nice seeing some hyper literate anons educated in geopolitics have a discussion instead of faggot redditors. having a great time reading your posts
There's a major Shia holiday next week, the regime would want to turn it into a triumph, it'll be interesting to see what happens by then
>>525969131Today they're executing someone right? A protesting youth
>>525968868Lose the foreskin hold the L, that's how life works.
>>525969635>A protesting youthadd it to the list
>>525966739>As if we didn't have 4k videos of you shaking you ass when iranian missiles went through your iron cope lmao
>>525966811Didn't one of his goons just kill a protestor in Minnesota? Is he going to use the military to overthrow himself?
>>525970078Oh wow a bullshit chart, were you even watching it fucking happen?
Five major Iranian banks, including the major bank Sepah, are on the verge of collapse.https://archive.is/20260114024627/https://www.wsj.com/world/middle-east/bank-collapse-iran-protests-83f6b681Iran is in quite the pickle when it comes to finances
>>525970197Yes I was and you niggers were celebrating every single hit like it was another Christmas, because you were fucking retarded
The Shah was fucking corrupt, why would you want him back?
