His silence is deafening.
Ching chong wing wong ding dong
>>529498419Grabbing the great milkers of the sky
>>529498419>Capitalists are better at decapitation strikes because.... oh uhhhh... uhhhhh... uhhhh... they gonna lose out in the end anyway.
>>529498419>https://youtu.be/7y_hbz6loEo?si=-mYQqXXC9Uu9C8BR&t=1274>Massive invasion force... 100k US troops land, 200k Saudi troops land to attack TehranThings couldn't have turned out more differently.
>>529499043bugman cant comprehend not sending manpower and only drones.
>>529499043It hasn’t really begun. Just wait. Boots on the ground soon, a false flag. Iran is still Iran, they just took out some 86 year old guy. The show hasn’t even started yet
It's the satanic epsteinite white christians who are responsible. The west is demonic. Israel is an American-occupied government where a cult of white nazi christians employ christian eschatology to mindbreak the poor innocent jews. Being antisemitic and blaming Israel for this plays right into their nazi 5D chess. We should help the jews of Israel and liberate it from the false nazi-imposed zionist psyops, and then have them join us in the final invasion of Europe to rid the world of eschatological nazism once and for all. The satanic west will pay dearly for their oppression of Gaza and Iran.
lmao
>>529499601The premise in the video up until that point is that's the opening strike and the predictions are based on previous military strategy.What he didn't consider is that the US is not using the same military strategy as 30 years ago, and the political goal isn't occupation by continuously killing new military leaders through intel and air strikes.Also... where are the 200k Saudi invasion? They're not even involved so far.
>>529499785A Saudi invasion of any country, even the poorest shithole would be a disaster for Saudi Arabia. Just look at Yemen.
>>529499785Your government is using their strategy towards Iran designed over a decade ago. These are the opening stages. Attempting to launch a colour revolution was a step they were going to take before invasion. Invasion is a last resort which your government will take. This has all been openly published.I don't see how your government isn't using the same military strategy. He also didn't say that America would try to occupy Iran. It can't.
>>529500050I'll concede when Saudi sends 200k troops and proves him right, but I'm pretty sure that's not going to happen. His entire prediction assumes the US hasn't already deleted their supreme leader.
>>529500234Yes. He says the US will open the strike with 100k on land from the south along with 200k Saudis and then get bogged down by the mountainous region which limits logistics while they get surrounded by the IRGC.See: >>529499043
>>529500234I mean, America can pretend to lose like it pretended to lose in Afghanistan.America pretends to lose all the time, it's almost a national past time at this point.
>>529500166Oh it did? I don't remember. The problem is that if Iran suddenly collapses before an invasion the US government will attack China which will be an even bigger disaster for everybody.
>>529500430Yeah I linked it the exact video and timestamp in this thread already. Give it a watch, you'll see how wrong it is compared to the real events unfolding right now.
>>529500350That's not what he says. Give it another listen.
>>529500746https://youtu.be/7y_hbz6loEo?si=-mYQqXXC9Uu9C8BR&t=1274He literally says:>Massive invasion force... 100k US troops land, 200k Saudi troops land to attack Tehran
>>529500811Ok, now quote him verbatim
>>529500845>Massive invasion force is sent to Iran in the south, 100k US troops land maybe 200k Saudi Arabia troops land OK? Maybe you have 200k to half a million troops in Iran. And they're about to strike Tehran in the north. In the south the US and its allies have established a foothold, they have a huge presence in the country and they're about to attack Tehran.Ok that's verbatim.
want my opinion?i don't care, here it is anyways:this is already over with. iran was nothing but a LARPshitting pottymouth regime and all they did accomplish in the end was shouting "death to america, death to israel" in their parliament whilst getting obliterated within days the burgers actually did shit.
>>529500957So he didn't say that Saudi Arabia and US troops would attack. He said maybe Saudi Arabia would.That can still happen. According to US strategy that can only happen after they've exhausted all other options. The US government is speed running through them right now.
>>529499191How precisely are you going to gain control of the country like that?
>>529498419He made a total bullshit video.about communism spectre and lost a.lot of.credibility.https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=axqDLhWs93QSo he is rethinking how to get out of this.
>>529500166What do you think killing their supreme leader would do anon? Just curious.
>>529501118This is the opening strike he's predicting, using the 2003 Iraq War as military doctrine. However, we've long gone past the opening strike. We'd already decapitated their leader and been doing air strikes only. Also, Israel is playing a much bigger role than he predicted.
>>529498419This guy said that china saved the world during the great financial crisis. If you take anything he says seriously you might be an indian.
>>529499043things are far from finished it's increasingly obvious killing Khamenei didn't lead to the popular uprising Trump wished for. Now what? You think he's going to be able to just menace and bribe people like they did in Venezuela? the amount of bomb sent today says otherwise. at some point you guys are going to have to stop pretending and admit it didn even start
>>529501302It would cause the next person who claims leadership to yield some concessions. If the concessions are not enough, a next leader will be forcefully chosen (by further decapitations).
>>529501457I don't run a channel called "Predictive History" so I don't really know. I just know that he's wrong so far.
>>529501256The video is true, communist is an invention of jewish money, liberals and conservatives, all for show. He said the truth, again. It's all hideous materialism and relativism in the end.
>>529501545fair enough I tihnk we both agree it can still happen even if the more time goes by the less likely it is
>>529501492Anon that's a religious head, you're talking about killing their pope and think they're going to negotiate with you again after you've used negotiations twice now to attack them. Why would they negotiate with you? They're still hitting you, and everyone can see what they've done to your bases in just a few hours.
>>529501457>things are far from finishedLMAOmaplepoo, it's fucking OVER
>>529501620We can assume so far that, 2003 US military doctrine no longer applies. We aren't landing thousands of troops and doing "shock and awe" blitzkriegs anymore.
>>529501632We aren't trying to negotiate. I think that point is clear when we just killed the guy without warning. We're telling them, concede or your leader will keep dying.
>>529501665fine but changing a regime can't be done from a drone so it's going to happen at some point if they want to concretize their goals. the counterattack today proved a level of coordination and undeniable leadership They didn't successfully decapitate the Iranian leadership and they can keep trying to do it hell they can redo that operation every week.At some point they have to go inside Iran to enforce it.
>>529501492So nothing because the US doesn't want any concessions>>529501374I don't think he's aware of the US strategy against Iran but it does end in invasion like he is predicting.
>>529501727And you're hoping that they're going to concede before they destroy all your infrastructure in the middle east and they don't start using the exact same tactic against you?
>>529501818You're making the convenient assumption the average Iranian population is absent from this conflict and their approval rating of the regime isn't highly negative, and if the claims are correct, that the regime recently killed up to 30k civilians. Whether that's true or not is unknown, but if the Iranian public believes that then it may be enough.>>529501873Well, the concessions have been denied by the existing leadership. The concession obviously being about nuclear weapons.
>>529501938Yes, obviously we can't fight forever. And if a carrier gets destroyed it's pretty much over for the Trump leadership and nobody will take him seriously ever again.
>>529499043Nothing has proven him wrong so far.He said iran will defeat america in years. it made the argument that iran will be a new vietnam where the US won't be able to stop sinking money in it and it will lead to a civil war next presidential term, because america is an empire with hubris.it predicted this btw, he even said khamenei could be a martyr. people in iran don't want to fight for america. now the US will use some new 9/11 to start a new gulf war together with the european countries like 2003. why do you think iran his hitting the arab countries? it's for them to put pressure on the US to invade it's territory, because kushner is very close to the saudis and there's oil interests.Once the 12 day reserves of the pentagon in the middle east end (their words) america will be forced to do this and send troops.
>>529501973Uh they never built nuclear weapons and did not intend to. They also agreed to not enrich uranium above 3.5% and send the highly enriched uranium to a third country for disposal so that's everything you could have asked for. But you still attacked. What concession could they hope to give?
>>529501973Except there was already a nuclear deal that Trump ended for no reason. That means that the US wants nothing except the subjugation or Iran.
>>529502068His prediction on America's loss in Iran is based on America's land invasion with the Saudis. Without the land invasion, Predictive History's entire scenario does not even occur. When we see 100k Americans and 200k Saudis invade from the south, we can consider his scenario.
>>529501973>You're making the convenient assumption the average Iranian population is absent from this conflict and their approval rating of the regime isn't highly negative,You're making the assumption the Israeli propaganda about the support for a regime change is real and not made exclusively by bots from Unit 8200 and the Iranian diaspora not actually living inside Iran but who get to profit financially.Iran population is 92 million. Think about that number properly when you talk about "Iran population" I highly doubt you know or understand what the majority of the population currently living inside and around Iran really want. If the regime was that unpopular to begin with it would have never survived for that long. The repression they cry about in the media is probably asked for by the population themselves. It's like that in every other Muslims country allied with the West like Qatar or Saudi Arabia.
>>529502170>people in iran don't want to fight for america. now the US will use some new 9/11 to start a new gulf war together with the european countries like 2003. >why do you think iran his hitting the arab countries? it's for them to put pressure on the US to invade it's territory, because kushner is very close to the saudis and there's oil interests.>Once the 12 day reserves of the pentagon in the middle east end (their words) america will be forced to do this and send troops.
>>529502170Well there's no other way to get there, as there is no friendly nation willing to act as a land bridge into Iran. So the US will have to do a beach landing if they want to get in.
>>529502170That's true
>>529502288Well, maybe Predictive History isn't so good at predicting things and you should start a YouTube channel talking about the topic instead.
>>529502381I'll take it into consideration, thank you.
>>529502381Or maybe you're going to have to put boots on the ground. If you genuinely believe there will be a popular uprising against the regime, you're a bit delusional.If you believe Iran is going back to the negotiation table. You're delusional. I know you guys think today's operation was flawless, but it was really far from the case. Yes, Khamenei is dead, but no Iran didn't lose its will to fight and proved they are able to do real damage. Now the US can keep doing precision strikes but they're bound to put boot on ground sooner than later. Maybe Predictive History just accepted it's the only logical conclusion to the US/Israel objective. And rightly so.
>>529501612it is not true. It is total bullshit. You can read the comments where way more educated and knowledgeable people debunk his total bullshit.
>>529503114I don't try to make a lot of assumptions like you're doing right now. What I can do is think logically, what can Iran do in response to having their heads of military continuously chopped off. If you're the next guy, and the previous guy got killed for not agreeing to everything Israel and the the US is asking for, you might make a couple more concessions than the last guy. Now if this repeated decapitation does not do anything and we cut off every new supreme leader's head over and over, say 50 times, and they keep popping up. Then yeah, I think it's not working. Which is when we might consider massive land invasions with tanks and humvees, or more likely, just going back with our tail behind our legs. Like I said, losing an aircraft carrier is going to end Trump and republicans. Killing their head of state, then going back home and pretending you won for now and delayed their nuclear build up is a lot better than losing 10k troops and in the worst case a damage aircraft carrier.
>>529501256>He made a total bullshit videoHe does this often and I'm shocked he doesn't get called out for it. He loves mixing facts with literal made up bullshit it's clear he's just a propagandist backed by CCP. The entire classroom is likely fake, in all of his videos his students are very careful not to ask questions that might catch him on his bullshit.
>>529503137Trust the experts?
>>529503523>What I can do is think logically, what can Iran do in response to having their heads of military continuously chopped offRight now they're systematically dismantling your military bases and radar in the whole Middle East for about 12 hours nonstop. Here's the last one they just bombed. And they closed the Strait of Hormuz which is going to butt-fuck your economy so hard you're going to think the last great depression was a bar mitzvah. >If you're the next guy, and the previous guy got killed for not agreeing to everything Israel and the the US is asking for, you might make a couple more concessions than the last guy.It's fucked up how just like that the average American citizen accepted to be ruled by the mobs. You're describing a mafiosi idea of "negotiation">I kill your leader until your country accept lol I personally don't think that's a solid plan. For now Iran looks like it's trying to avoid US military casualties, which makes me think they don't want the war to escalate to a full-scale war. The problem is thing might degenerate in the Middle East because of it. Iraq is already boiling. Pakistan is going ot have a hard time holding their own population. Turkey, who were just called the next in line for a regime change is very probably not going to stay there doing nothing. Real powder keg and I which for the best case scenario, but Predictive History might not have been as far as you think from a very possible scenario.
>>529503523jiang starts from the fact (and it's a fact) that US foreign policy is guided by AIPAC and christian zionists united for israel (trying to fulfill prophecies by using each other). the second thing is that they feel powerful so there's hubris. they're not logical. if you think religious billionaires at the top of the world can be logical and rational then this channel is not really going to work for you.iran logical move is to try to bait the US into sending troops because their land is hell and if you didn't know it, tanks and humvees are useless. That's the only way they can kill the empire, by making itself a sink for american money and be the next vietnam/ukraine, because no way in hell they can win a traditional war with all the shit the US has.The US has no logical move. this war has no logic to start with. it's based on phropecies and on "fuck it we're powerful let's do it", and ukraine made the pax americana lose a lot of credibility so they need to save face. Just like vietnam, US will never pull back because of credibility and hubris.
he's been on a break for the entire February because of chinese new year.peculiar timing though, certainly.i went to check on his channel and you can see he posted that he'll be on break on the 'post' section.
>>529498419I was with him for a while but when he said it's a woman's job to use their body to fuck men on both sides of an argument to make them more agreeable I started laughing.He has some understanding of things though.
>>529504110>they're not logicalYou're misunderstanding. I'm not they're logical. I'm saying I can apply logic to predict their behavior. I'm aware we have different value systems. But humans can form hypotheses and make assumptions for what motivates another man. You make assumptions based on what you think can motivate them to do what you want and make concessions.>tanks and humvees are uselessExactly, and why do you think we are not seeing that happening? I think most logical people will come to the conclusion that a land invasion is retarded given the current options on the table.The most logical option is, if the current objective of regime change cannot occur, to make it so that their nuclear development is further delayed until another chance comes. The damage to reputation for Trump from losing thousands of troops is much more severe than pretending he won with the current state.
>the new hero of /pol/ is a retard chink high school teacherKek the absolute state
>>529504095You're still making a lot of assumptions while ignoring the most important factor, the Iranian leadership. Why do you keep avoiding thinking about them? Why deflect and say, "oh well you know the US base is attacked"?I'm playing a very simple logical game in my head -- if I'm the Iranian guy who's next in line, what is my choice? Make 1 more concession to see if it's enough to appease Israel and the US? Or die while firing missiles at empty American bases?
>>529502288Are you anti-america or pro Iran? Is it true that south Africa gets it's oil from Iran and south african companies like MTN are heavily invested there and that the Afrikaner minister steenhuisen visited Iran last year
>>529504498>You make assumptions based on what you think can motivate them to do what you want and make concessions.i mean yeah, that's the point of game theory. list all the possibilities and come down to the most likely conclusion.>I think most logical people will come to the conclusion that a land invasion is retarded given the current options on the table.See? You think they're logical!AIPAC wants iran to be conquered, just like the saudis do. They don't want a new venezuela. Christian zionists want iran to attack israel. Air strikes are not enough to conquer iran, and they thought the population would revolt, but i bet they wont.They literally said this is going to be a multi-week operation. If they wanted to stop like you think they do, they wouldn't say that, would they?
>>529504737what you call assumption are just logical conclusion of hypotheses. they're not just assumption they're conclusions built on a logical hypothesis >the Iranian leadershipI don't ignore it I concluded the decapitation hit was not successful, and the leadership of Iran is still fully functional. >I'm playing a very simple logical game in my head -- if I'm the Iranian guy who's next in line, what is my choice? In real life that's called being a simpleton. Not a logical genius. You ignore easy-to-make conclusions to ask a stupid question. That very flawed logic could work in Venezuela because they are ultra-low IQ and not fanatically religious. Plus a lot, a lot, of work from the CIA. It's ludicrous to think it's going to work even after you assassinated so many of their leaders. >Or die while firing missiles at empty American bases?I don't think you understand the situation you are in.
>>529505102>>529505137Guys, we all know what an assumption is. I'm saying you two are making assumptions that are not based on the current state of affairs.The scenario presented, where we amass 100k Americans and 200k Saudis to get surrounded in Iran is exceeding unlikely. The state of affairs may change over time, which is when we have new assumptions.Based on the current assumptions, I am asserting that the focus is still on seeing what we can do with surgical strikes on the heads of state while striking military infrastructure through spamming drones.>>529505137>I don't ignore it I concluded the decapitation hit was not successful, and the leadership of Iran is still fully functional.It's "fully functional" minus the supreme leader and the top 40 guys. Let's not exaggerate what fully functional means. It remains functional to a certain degree. The ongoing step is to further reduce that functionality by repeating the process of what has already occurred.Why can I make this assumption? Because it already occurred. And 40 leaders were already removed. We can make a safe assumption that the demonstrated pattern will continue.What is making an assumption that is not realistic is immediately talking about land invasions with 100k Americans and 200k Saudis. We are nowhere near that sort of desperation yet.
>>529502170well i guess we will have to wait and see whether that happens
>>529498419I told you guys his takes were midwit. /pol/ will eat any garbage fed to them so long as it has an anti establishment, anti semitic take even if it comes from non whites (or perhaps especially if it does)
>>529505475>I am asserting that the focus is still on seeing what we can do with surgical strikes on the heads of state while striking military infrastructure through spamming drones.that's absolutely true though, all i'm saying is that it's too early to say "lol he was wrong" and that eventually the strategy will likely need to change once it's not effective anymore and military assets are scarce in the middle east.
>>529505475>top 40Yeah it didn't work when you killed martin Luther king or Jesus; you have to take your enemies out root and branch like we did with the witches before and will again with those downstream of epstein all the way to rotarians and toastmasters
>>529505708His prediction already started off incorrect. I don't have high hopes. His whole prediction is assuming the US repeats what it did in 2003 in Iraq. It's been 23 years since then and technology and military doctrine has changed dramatically. Not to mention the objectives are different.
>>529505730Yeah his videos are kinda entertaining to listen to but they're also full of bullshit
>>529505788Yeah, it's too early to say ALL his predictions are off, but they have already started off wrong, so at this point we can just salvage what is left of his remaining predictions and pick apart pieces that do match.I think the main issue with his prediction is he really did not give Israel enough thought. He glossed over Israel and said they just gave intel, and Saudi and Americans just go in like retards with tanks.
>>529500350We now posses the ability for orbital drops. You people have no idea what we’ve whipped up since the GWOT.
>>529505831>IraqThat was expensive theatre. Since then total societal destruction was achieved on the cheap by funding and arming various factions like in Libya and Syria. Is Iran not too homogeneous for that?
>sit in the video for 5 min.>Iran is a fortress of mountains>You need 3-4 million soldiers to defeat Iran...Well what we see today.
>>529505813Well you could also just remove their ability to attack you, which is what is currently happening on both sides. We'll see who runs out the ability to disable each other first.
>>529498419Last I saw this chinaman he got it wrong about "zionists" by arguing they're not alone by pointing to "wallstreet" and "city of london." "jews aren't alone, they also have jews and jews!" 0/10
>>529506114>remove their ability to attack you,Sure you can infiltrate the churches and write dispensationalism into their bibles but somehow the Truth keeps winning. Can't you see that the big reveal of the last 7 years has ended your system of lies
>>529506102There are many parallels with 2003 Iraq (regime change, WMDs/nukes), but some key differences.The key difference demonstrated so far:>No immediate ground invasion like Iraq>No indication of occupation like Iraq>Complete western led regime change in Iraq vs "handing it to the people" (not sure how this can happen unless the Iranian people do go in and start executing the IRGC)
>>529506660>the Iranian peopleThat's a bit vague. Have you even funded some regional warlords or established some Open Society networks? There aren't even different flavors of Islam to play against each other
>>529506657I mean physically removing their ability to attack you. Destroying their anti-air defense, missile launchers, etc.If you're following the current state, according to the IDF (grain of salt), 2/3 of Iran's visible surface launchers have been destroyed. Now, we can assume over a few more days, they can get the last 1/3. Once that happens, it is a lot lower risk to remain in the region and continuously chop of leaders' heads.
>>529506811I primarily mean the people who reside in Tehran.
>>529506164The federal reserve was not created solely by jews
>>529506850>remain in the region and continuously chop of leaders' headsSo a sustained bombing campaign. Didn't the Iraq war start out that way, and Indochina. By the way, how things going in Yemen
>>529507103>Didn't the Iraq war start out that wayNo, we started with a land invasion in Iraq, and occupation was the immediate goal. We do not have a land invasion currently in Iran, and demonstrably there is no occupation as there is no land invasion.
>>529498419Does he ever "Expose" China or Russia interests?
>>529506660Was there an immediate ground invasion of Iraq? They were bombed in the 80s. They were attacked in 1991 and sanctioned. They were bombed again in the late 90s. And then they were invaded.
>>529507040The people I met on wall street were Etonian scions of Greek shipping magnates and high cast chinks married to American heiresses; I figure the movie boiler room gives an accurate ethnic but not class mix
>>529507178>No, we started with a land invasion in Iraq,That's a lie or bad training data. First Iraq was softened up with sanctions and bombings in the "no fly zone". Immediately before the ground boots there was two weeks of surgical strikes knocking out air defences and power stations
>>529507265his qrd is basically this:china has zero geopolitical skills and is not a warlike cultureputin is fighting for "russia's soul" to fight back western values of consumerism making russians depressed by being in a state of perpetual war, and to weaken america's credibilityi don't agree with the china outlook but make your considerations
>>529507309Immediate ground invasion is most obvious in 2003, which is the context of discussion in relation to Predictive History's predictions.>>529507421I believe you're thinking of 1991, not 2003.
>>529507309Why are you hating greater Israel with facts? Read your Schofield bible and stop with this toxic competence
>>529506164bro you can’t blame somebody who isn’t American for not knowing the ins and outs of jewishness (kikeness)Americans have more jewtelligence than any other country. America is objectively more jewish than Israel
>>529507501>I believe you're thinkingThat is subtle and nuanced sophistobottery. No, 1991 was wacking them with Azrael the puff the magic dragon Hercules gunship then burying them alive with bulldozers driving up to uncle saddams door, playing a song on the boombox, then going home
>>529507314That's interesting but there are jews in wall street. I don't think they go to Eton
>>529507498He said China is in a terrible position geopolitically. They are surrounded and rely on imports for food. Sea trade is the domain of America, Japan and Britain. If Russia backstabs them they are fucked.
>>529507885i might rewatch those videos because i didn't completely understand them to be honest
>>529507767>That is subtle and nuanced sophistobotteryYou called it the "Iraq War" yourself: >>529507103The "Iraq War" is the official name of the 2003 conflict. The 1991 conflict is named the "Gulf War". I believe it is fair for me to assume when responding to you we were discussing 2003, not 1991.In 2003 it was an immediate ground invasion. Straight up. If you're talking about 1991, yes there is a period of softening them up prior to the ground invasion. But you called it the "Iraq War" and were talking about 2003 the whole time this thread.
>>529505831wtf are you talking aboutwe only just got startedyou sound like an ass-licking retard
>>5295075011998 bombing campaign by America and Britainhttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1998_bombing_of_IraqThe US is just rushing through these stages right now against Iran. I agree that Jiang is not aware of this strategy but his overall prediction is probably right.
>>529508018Predictive History's mentions the 2003 military doctrine is his basis for his prediction. He says the US will amass 100k troops along with 200k Saudis south of Iran, and go in with a ground invasion like 2003. We did not get that. And we have yet to amass 100k troops on the ground.
>>529501179Keep bombing military instillations and killing their officers.Remaining military personnel has 2 choices, Surrender or die. Allow Civilian authority to take over and work with Shah to rebuild Iran.
>>529508051I think basing things on the past is already flawed. We already saw different approaches in 1991 and 2003. Why does Predictive History expect us to do the same thing as 2003 if in 2003 we didn't do the same thing as in 1991?
>>529508121he mentions a lot of shitwe did not get? do u think it's over? this is just another gay little missile meme match except they made a martyr this time, anything could happen in the futureur acting like everything has already happened but it has only just begun to happendumb faggot
>>529498419disinfo commie chink paid to encourage collective schizophrenia, ur retarded if you dont realize this by now
the moment he said we just picked a scapegoat (the jews) as if the jews arent the actual source of all the world's problems I dropped him
>>529508121>He says the US will amass 100k troops along with 200k Saudis south of Iran, and go in with a ground invasion like 2003No? He literally said iraq was 100% shock and awe by the elite will and the pentagon wanted a traditional invasion instead, but it only worked because of one time factors like iraq being a barren desert.not to be that guy, it's always me, but you should rewatch the video
>>529508184This strategy has been published publicly and is being followed closely. Do you know what the Brookings institution calls these airstrikes? The "Osiraq option". Literally named after the airstrikes of Iraq in the 1980s. It's just a fact that the US is following the same strategy.I already said this.
>>529508218You're making a lot of assumptions. I think it's more logical to look at what is the current state of affairs and make predictions based on that, rather than what some Chinese guy said over a year ago without the context we have right now.
>>529508328We are doing that. They are following the same strategy.
>>529508302He did say the US will amass 100k troops along with 200k Saudis south of Iran for the initial strike. Quite literally almost verbatim.See: >>529499043>>529500957
>>529508297Why do British men constantly fight for jews throughout history? At some point you have to judge them.
>>529508442ThisI hate the bloody britishers
>>529507783>jews in wall streetI only knew one, no family money, Princeton undergrad then prop trading for Goldman. I knew a few bright goys, poles, Americans went post PhD to the firms. The Etonians were more into the burden of old family money. Jewish patronage networks no doubt leverage control of the banks and fed and pension funds, but total jew assets maybe 20%
>>529508381You are making a lot of assumptions there. If we didn't follow the same strategy in 2003 as in 1991, you are placing a lot of faith that we will follow 2003, which was not the most successful operation by far.
>>5295084931991 was not an invasion of Iraq. The US leaves invasion to last.This is all outlined in their published strategy paper. If you want to criticise it you have to read it.I know they are following the same strategy because they have been doing everything they said they would.
>>529508442The overt Jews are the ones vain and venal enough to rub their hands in the open. They are designed to be scapegloats. The rest of the iceberg of lies is secret society
>>529508493You are spinning out into vague word salad. Please call a supervisor to reinstate your routine
Has there been a single instance of successful regime change with repeated decapitation of heads of state and without boots on the ground?
>>529508716No.Closest example of bombing working is Serbia but Serbian troops were fighting Bosnian and Croatian troops at the same time
>>529508606You can claim that the US is following military doctrine from 1991 in another country, with another geography, and have never considered the disadvantage of fighting in such a geography. But I think that's pretty farfetched. I believe the government is aware that a ground invasion in Iran is less viable than a ground invasion in Iraq.And to get back on topic, Predictive History's claim are based on a 2003-style military doctrine, of an initial ground invasion.
>>529508773The fact that you aren't addressing the strategy paper I'm referring to is suspicious
>>529508716To be fair, we are witnessing new military doctrine in real time. Maduro was kidnapped, so that's now on the table for Predictive History to use in the future.
>>529508716If you mean American boots, then yeah, Rwanda; and by boots I mean overt not covert boots.
>>529508863Mind quoting the line that is relevant to the discussion from said paper then? I'm not interested in reading "a paper" this evening which I do not even know the title of or where to find it.
>>529508931Rwanda? I thought it was invaded by France after the genocide.
>>529508893>kidnapping is newOtto skorzney rekidnapped Mussolini. Over 900 nigger kangs were kidnapped by boers. Your training data is very limited. Reinstantiate
>>529509058Which Path to Persia? Options for a New American Strategy Toward Iranhttps://www.brookings.edu/articles/which-path-to-persia-options-for-a-new-american-strategy-toward-iran/The US is following this policy paper to the letter so we know that this is the strategy. Invasion is the last step before containment. They will use it last like the invasion of Iraq in 2003. No, not 1991.
>>529509189>>kidnapping is newWhere did I say kidnapping is new? Quote the exact part where I said "kidnapping is new".Oh right, I didn't say that and you're just trying to be a smart ass and take my words out of context.
>>529509082Nope, it was french until a group of jew niggers backed by Ugandan army backed by america turned it into American client state and great lakes banking center. I think all the info is scrubbed now and I had to get the spark of understanding from irl conversation
>>529509371Which years was that?
>>529509420'96. I haven't watched it but I imagine "hotel Rwanda" is a perfect inversion of the truth
>>529509284Here are some highlights I've found after skimming it:>"Iran is more than three times the size of Iraq, and its population is nearly three times as large. Moreover, Iran's terrain is much more difficult than Iraq's... An invasion of Iran would be a massive military undertaking, likely requiring a force of several hundred thousand troops.">"The principal disadvantage of an invasion is that it would likely cause many Iranians who otherwise dislike the regime to rally to its defense out of a sense of nationalism. In this sense, an invasion could actually be counterproductive to the goal of achieving a stable, pro-Western regime.">"The costs of a full-scale invasion and subsequent occupation of Iran would be staggering in terms of blood and treasure... Given the current state of the U.S. military and the national debt, it is difficult to see how the United States could sustain such an effort for the decade or more that would likely be required to stabilize the country.">"A popular revolution that results in a democratic government would be the most sustainable and legitimate form of regime change. The U.S. role should be to facilitate this change by neutralizing the regime's security forces, not by replacing them with an American occupation."So in your linked paper, it says it does NOT want a ground invasion and does NOT want occupation.Can you quote some parts that suggest ground invasion and occupation is a core strategy?
>>529508161You realize we don't have infinite bombs, right?
>>529499601haven't even seen the BLMOD yet
>>529509582Based on US behaviour they will have to invade. Its not ideal but it is part of the strategy. Because it is written by warmongering libtards they do lie in it and paint the US as benevolent, but they make it clear what they will do.They already did the nuclear deal which was just a ploy to buy time. They don't spell out the fact all the diplomacy is disingenuous but you can understand that from US behaviour.
>>529509582But if you bring Iranians freedom and democracy, won't they meet you in the streets cheering. Isn't the regime oppressive and unpopular? What about Arab allies, can't they help with nation building boots?
>>529509792>Its not ideal but it is part of the strategy.It seems more like it's saying invading is a bad idea, and you're making an assumption despite that.
>>529498419This guy was such an obvious CCP shill. He's just a pseudo-intellectual. I've watched many of his videos and his level of understanding of history, philosophy, and international relations are cursory at best. Looks impressive to the average normie but it's clear he doesn't really know what he's talking about.
>>529509932Are you saying America couldn't invade Iran even if it really really wanted to? Does that mean they have to turn it into a destabilized shithole like Libya and Syria
>/pol/ falls for some Chinese glownigThe absolute shame, this board is trash and is filled to the brims with China shills.
>>529509932It is a bad idea but you can see it is part of the strategy nonetheless. They have followed every preceding step up to now and they detail what the costs, advantages, goals and disadvantages are for each one.That's how we know that this is the strategy.
>>529510158>>529510127I am a China shill
>>529498419OH FUCKThere was a bug on my screen. Nevermind I got it.
>>529510273I think it's incorrect to say it's part of the strategy, but rather it has been considered in the strategy, that a ground invasion would be a strategic and tactical mistake.
>>529501179I don't think murricans want to take control. They want a regime change and iranians to do the dirty work. Which is fair, in my opinion. what's the gain in that - you might ask? Obviously pulling iran out of russia's influence and potentially gaining another ally in middle east
>>529501256>Communism was an tool of Capital / materialism etcOne of his best videos. Of course, he mostly left out the Zionism angle (Marx was of course a Zionist). But it's still way better than the horseshit pushed out by Regime Gatekeeper Professors in the West (who are not much better than criminals and pederasts).He also said he was taking a month off. Presumably for Chinese New Year reasons.
>>529510434And Jiang is basically predicting that the US will be provoked into an invasion deliberately.Interestingly they write that the US would have to invade Iran from the south with a marine force.
>>529498419*** He's about two weeks into a month long break ***
>>529511566He published an article yesterday on his substack
>>529499601> A false flagWhy would Trump need a false flag lmao. He literally does what he feels like. Dude openly admitted Venezuela operation was to privatize their oil.
>>529511555You'd think Predictive History would've considered the paper you linked, that a ground invasion is not the recommended strategy.To be fair to him, it is his agenda, and he has to start with the assumption that America will fail. So given that, even if he could predict what America would do, he would not express it given that he doesn't want America to succeed.
I watched this guy on a sneako stream and he mentioned something about saudi arabia that rubbed sneako the wrong way (i guess hes muslim or something?) so he pressed him on it.i swear on my life this guy said verbatim he has no evidence for anything he says and he simply uses history, logical analysis, and predictions.if you take ANYONE on these pixel machines seriously, especially if they represent themselves as a (((professor))) you should actually kill yourself and your below cattlethank you- god
>>529511786>Dude openly admitted Venezuela operation was to privatize their oil.yeah call it what you want but that was an interesting move to just tell us the truth like that
>>529512119I'm sure it wasn't recommended in Vietnam and Afghanistan either. I don't see why it matters.
>>529509602What's going to run out first, Iranian high-value targets or American bombs?
>>529512331It only matters insofar as this thread matters, which is a discussion about the incorrect predictions of Predictive History.
>>529509602Bombs aren't exactly a scarcity
>fail another regime change in 26>already trying to walk away from itSorry but all your bases are burning
>>529512433It's probably faster to build a bomb than it is for them to decide on a new replacement for a leader. The limitation is probably more on cost than manufacturing. If it costs $50M to kill each new supreme leader, that can easily rack up if they can produce 100 supreme leaders (unlikely).
>>529512512This is just word salad
>>529512943>Pretending you can no longer understand basic EnglishOh ok
>>529498419He literally said he'd be off for a month for chinese new year break in China.Also he's completely correct so far.He said US would be using shock and awe in Iran, which is what the US is currently trying to do with the decapitation strikes.He didn't say these decapitation strikes weren't going to kill leaders, he said that they would not be enough to take down the regime.
>>529498419Lol Chinaman is silent, on the background, doing nothing, just letting it play out... like they always do. Smart
>>529499785>US is not using the same military strategy as 30 years ago, and the political goal isn't occupation by continuously killing new military leaders through intel and air strikes.This is just shock and awe. Jiang predicted it.
>>529498419The anti-Western CCP fake Nostradamus was wrong again? Color me surprised. You're so desperate for a counter-narrative you just embrace these snake oil Chinese salesmen unquestioningly.
>>529513035Ok. Try responding to what I wrote next time.
>>529513372I did. I responded to your statement>I don't see why it matters.You can feign loss of English comprehension again. I'm already used to it.
>>529513318>Jiang predicted it.See: >>529499043He apparently didn't predict very well as we have yet to see a ground invasion brewing, and his whole prediction hinges on the US starting with a ground invasion, and losing in a ground invasion.
>>529513356He hasn't been wrong so far with respect to Iran.
>>529507535Kek
He has a paywalled substackhttps://predictivehistory.substack.com/p/world-war-iii-beginsanyone wanna do the needful and paste it here?
>>529513598I've seen all his videos, what you're saying is misinterpreting what he said.He said that 1. Trump and the MIC are reluctant to put boots on the ground because they know this strategy is unviable and that long term this will spell the end of the American empire and empire control on the middle east because they get bogged down, lose the people's mandate back home in the US from civil unrest etc.2. Israel really wants the US to put boots on the ground because it will take out US and Iran in one fell swoop, allowing them to inherit all the US materiel and bases in the region for when US inevitably pulls out.The fact we see Trump so reluctant to out boots on the ground and delaying it with the carrier groups idling in the region proves that Jiang is correct about the lack of viability of the boots on the ground option. It's not just him saying it, the top military brass of the US are also saying it to Trump, we have it on record.
>>529513955Nah
>retarded niggers or shills still defend him ITTA sad sight to see, what have we become /pol/?Fucking tell me.Remember when /pol/ made fun of Q? Remember?
>>529514019He's saying that eventually IF the US capitulates to Israel's demands to put boots on the ground, they will get bogged down etc/it will mark the end of the US empire when they eventually pull out like Afghanistan (which took decades to play out, so you and I would both have one foot in the grave when we see whether this is confirmed or not), and the next few centuries will be Pax Judaica.
>>529514235For >>529513598Also
>>529498419hu?
>>529514235No, he said the US will descend into civil war if the invasion gets bogged down which would happen quickly
>>529514019I could've told you no one wants to invade Iran with the anorexic state of western militaries without any need for arguing over some chink. We simply do not have the troops to do this, same as we did not have them to be able to garrison ukraine hard enough to deter a russian intervention. Nato glowies are still coping about it to this day so no one asks why we can barely pull 350,000 combat troops at any given time if needed. That's such a massive decline from desert storm era US military power it should be setting off alarm bells in peoples heads, same as with our atrophied nuclear arsenal inching towards MAD no longer even being a thing under the guise of the Obama administrations 'nonproliferation act as. Warheads were scheduled for disposal by the thousands because they rotted in leaky, poorly maintained underground silos that were eventually abandoned and auctioned off after the soviet union fell.>TL;DR gubmint stopped doing its job and went rogue robber barons starting as early as the Clinton admin, military no work good no more
>>529498419Litellally hu?
>>529498419I pray and send good vibes that his prediction about usa collapse in 2026 comes to life.I don't even care about politics I just want to see mutts collapsing into infighting with mass casualties and jewsrael losing it's grip on the world at least a little bit.Also losing paid jeets and aipac workers here would be nice too.
>>529514528He says civil war is happening for many other reasons, not Iran in particular, but a ground invasion of Iran will further cause tensions among people. He actually said multiple times that the civil war in the US is already covertly happening with Melissa Hortman killing, Blackstone shooting, Minnesota killings of Good and Pretti.The civil war is also something Trump wants (so he can unlock statutory powers by declaring a state of emergency, martial law, etc), and is something Israel also wants since it dilutes the public opinion turning against them.
>>529515306Overextension of empire etc
>>529515306Right. I'm saying its a catalyst. I don't remember him saying that it will happen when they pull out after a long time.
>>529498419He predicted the Iran war over two years ago. He also predicted no land invasion. He doesn't need to say anything, she was right.
>>529513955Broke ass bitch. Pay the toll you fucking jew
>>529501457Why can't he just continue to blow up each new leader until they fall in line?
>>529516453Because they need to destroy Iran. They're running out of time.
>>529505475> Based on the current assumptions, I am asserting that the focus is still on seeing what we can do with surgical strikes on the heads of state while striking military infrastructure through spamming drones.How ironic, ZOGnald has ended up being Obama.
>>529501179how precisely do you keep control of a country like that?
>>529512133>Midwit is complaining bitterly about insufficient authority behind opinions and ideas.Listen up everybody! A midwit is complaining!
>>529498419Knowing who this is confirms you are a chinese PRC shill
>>529518498Yes.
>hurr durr chinese new yearrelax guy I was just being funny
I wrote about this in /sg/ years ago but all the brown people there just called me a shill and did not listen.
just another windbag soothsayer
>>529498419he posted a substack on the 28th but its for paid members
is that the retard who uses jewish sources like the bible instead of impartial latin or greek sources? trying to promote jew worship scholarly but no one takes him seriously because he sounds like an asshole
>>529513607hes just been wrong about every aspect of jewish historyso odds are hes gonna be right about something otherwise the whole 80:20 formula falls apart and jews wouldnt be promoting him
