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CITE LACK OF DEFECTIONS OF KEY IRGC MEMBERS AND NO CIVIL UNREST/PROTESTS AS EVIDENCE THAT THE REGIME WILL STAY INTACT

>Reuters reported earlier that Central Intelligence Agency assessments presented to the White House in the weeks before the Iran attack concluded that if Khamenei was killed, he could be replaced by hard-line figures from the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps or equally hard-line clerics, two sources said.

>One U.S. official with knowledge of internal White House deliberations said IRGC officials are unlikely to voluntarily capitulate in part because they have benefited from a vast patronage network designed to maintain internal loyalty.

>The CIA assessments followed at least one report from a separate U.S. intelligence agency which noted that there had been no IRGC defections during a massive round of anti-government protests in January that was met with brutal force by Iranian security forces.

>U.S. officials have also debated the extent to which Khamenei's death or ouster would deter the country from rebuilding its missile or nuclear facilities and capacities, said those officials, who requested anonymity to discuss sensitive internal conversations.

>Following the January protests, Steve Witkoff, Trump's special envoy and a key ally, spoke several times with Iranian opposition figure Reza Pahlavi, the exiled son of Iran's last shah, raising questions about the extent to which the administration would support his installment should Iran's government fall, two officials said.

>But in recent weeks, senior U.S. officials have become increasingly pessimistic that any opposition figure backed by Washington would realistically be able to control the country, those officials added.
>>
So, this was all for nothing then? All our military bases in the region went up in smoke, so we could kill an 86 year old man, and replace him with another sandnigger?
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>>529595559
They seem to be trying to fuck up.
They had their rebels do the rebellion weeks early and now they are all likely dead or jailed.
Anyone who would have organically joined likely joined while they thought something was happening.
Now all that's left is the people who will not join any rebellions.
Plus your bombing them now so they will tend to band together against the outsiders
>>
If Iran was still good to go, they wouldn't be spazzing out and firing the rest of their arsenal at everyone around them. The death rattle of a beast, lashing out in anger as it comes to an end.
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>>529595559
No refunds
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>>529595559
Of all fucking news sources in the world you would listen to fucking Reuters, just how fucked is Australia?
>>
thought the Iranian people were happy?
what happened to the celebrations in the streets?
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>>529596204
This. The only reason Iran is fighting back is because it's collapsing. A stable Iran wouldn't fight back.
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>>529597769
A stable Iran would fight back in a way that wasn't so fucking retarded.
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>>529595719
Hey, we got to watch fire rain down on Tel Aviv.
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>>529597897
No, it wouldn't fight back at all. Fighting back is what unstable countries do. Iranians are so unstable right now. They're being emotional.
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>>529595559
>CITE LACK OF DEFECTIONS OF KEY IRGC MEMBERS AND NO CIVIL UNREST/PROTESTS AS EVIDENCE THAT THE REGIME WILL STAY INTACT
and golly gee we've also know shown them that the U.S. is completely untrust worthy and unless you have nuclear weapons like Best Korea you are absolutely subject to getting bombed whenever the zogUSA feels like it
>>
>But in recent weeks, senior U.S. officials have become increasingly pessimistic that any opposition figure backed by Washington would realistically be able to control the country, those officials added.
The designated opposition puppet for Venezuela was dropped by Trump in favor of a local puppet, that's not a problem.
>>
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Are there really fully grown adults in positions of power that unironically thought they just kill one old guy and they win the game instantly for Iran?

Did they not consider maybe they just get someone else to replace him?
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>>529597943
Nigga do you know how much tax money we just burned through in the last two days alone? I can guarantee it's more than 10 billion atp.
>>
>>529597769
>>529597897
A stable Iran would fight back. This isn't fighting back though. It's throwing a tantrum.
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>>529595559
>>The CIA assessments followed at least one report from a separate U.S. intelligence agency which noted that there had been no IRGC defections during a massive round of anti-government protests in January that was met with brutal force by Iranian security forces.
Get fucked shills confirmed no major support for current regime
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>>529595559

>when you let kikes run your intel gathering

lmao
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>>529595559
Why the fuck would you, as an IRGC member, capitulate to this? You would KNOW that you're either going to get the Nuremberg ball-breaking treatment, the CIA waterboarding treatment, or the public humiliation treatment. Probably all 3.

You think the jews are just gonna bury the hatchet and let bygones be bygones for IRGC members? Hahahaha
>>
so is the US just going to back off then? seems unlikely. boots on the ground lol
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>>529598790
>It's throwing a tantrum.
Nice projection, Donald.
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>>529598723
Well worth it considering pissraelis died lol
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>>529598723
How much is worth Israel getting egg on its face?
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>>529595719
remember Afghanistan?
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>>529598643
No, there is not anyone that thinks that. News agencies constantly make shit like this up to sell papers. Like 90% of all news media out there is this sort of speculative bullshit created by a board of editors.
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>>529599687
You're giving boomers and miggers far too much credit.
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>>529595719
an even worse one to send more amerigoys to their sand graves yeah
>>
What Iran needs to do is:

Blow up Bahrain and UAE's oil and gas sectors, but not their electricity grids.

Blow up Jordan's parliament and electricity grid.

If KSA or UAE reacts aggressively, blow up their water desalination plants.

Target US and UK military assets in South Cyprus.

Iran needs to focus their efforts on this. Focusing on Israel and US bases is a massive waste of resources and lacks leverage.
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>>529597897
Look at the strike against their nuclear facilities last year. They offered only token retaliation, because it made sense to de-escalate rather than escalate a fight you can't possibly hope to win.

Now they're not just picking that fight, but also dragging more and more bystanders into that fight and stacking the deck more and more against them. You behave like this when you don't care about the outcome, because there's no tomorrow.
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>>529595559
People that thought Iran would immediately collapse after taking out the supreme leader are retarded. That's not how their system works. And now what was probably expected to be a 1-2 day thing is now 4 weeks or more. Big fuckup.
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>>529595559
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>>529598790
It's hard to tell if this is a bot post, or just a 85 IQ DEI glownigger post
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>>529595559
Weren't they saying this before bombing them?
>>
The Iranian conclusion from this might be
>We didn't want nukes
>We tried everything to prove this
>We made an agreement that should have shown everyone this (JCPOA)
>The US broke the agreement
>The US bombs us no matter what we agree to, up to and including murdering our leadership
>This was never about nukes, they just want us poor and ruined like every other country they touch
>There's nothing to gain from talking, and nothing to lose from fighting
>Whoever takes leadership needs to be fucking hardcore because he will be dodging murderbots literally 24/7
>If the US could have knocked us over with a color revolution, they would have
>If the US could hit us harder than they did, they would have
>Countries around us hosting US weapons and spy bullshit that they use to murder our clerics need to understand that there's a physical cost to doing that.

Maybe some of the countries they blasted say to the US 'hey love u guys, love ur money, but this is uhhh too hard, I can't do it, please gtfo' and they now have a face saving reason to tell the US to fuck off, which their general public would probably be happy with.
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>>529599954
What exactly do you think the gulf monarchies can do that the US and Israel can't already? These "neutral bystanders" host US military bases and air defense systems that shoot down their missiles.
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>>529597943
Based silver lining anon
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>>529595719
At least you voted for the no more war guy who really liked Israel
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>>529595719
We get to see Tel Aviv and hopefully Jewsa get fried.
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>>529595559
You break it, you buy it. More humiliating defeat than Afghanistan awaits.
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>>529595559
hezbollah tried the same strategy but theyre dead and defeated. houthis tried the same strategy but theyre dead and defeated too.

one nice thing about hardliners is they dont surrender when defeated so you get easy kills.
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>>529600587
the last round of US demands was to basically demilitarize the whole country by disarming all their conventional missiles. It may as well have been the same approach as a year ago when they bombed them under the guise of negotiations, so why would they ever want to negotiate again
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>>529595559
>sponsor fake protests as evidence of a desire for change
>launch an expensive invasion on the premise that the people want change
>surprised that actually there was no real support for change
>turns out everyone really hates israel
the jews have really kiked themselves into a corner the last decade, absolute disregard for their 6000+ years of persecution, the retards actually think that expulsion #1057 was the last one and that it'll never happen again.
this time the hatred is global, it will be 109 country and 1 planet.
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>>529600849
>houthis tried the same strategy but theyre dead and defeated too
Citation needed
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>>529600876
Whenever someone's planning a genocide, the first thing they do is 'try to get their guns away from them'.

The Iranians probably believe that if they'd actually capitulated and given up their missiles, they would have gotten it worse.
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>>529595559
They can do regime change or die, simply as.
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>>529595559
Americans don't understand what it's like to have heroes, so they don't understand why martyring heroes will strengthen resolve not destroy it.
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>>529595719
>sandnigger

Whiter than you, Tyrone Pajeet Gonzáles.
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>>529600963
good old Bab-el-Mandeb open for business
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>>529596204
Kike. Iran is attacking more vunerable targets to make sure the vassals feel the pain and the counter defenses get dispersed across the region instead of concentrated. US law also ensures that they will always be less defended than israel's defensive infrastructure.
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>>529596099
They’re stupid. We weren’t in the area when they decided to sperg out. We were in the Caribbean after Venezuela situation. We didn’t move in until we had an actual military presence near Iraq which takes time
>>
This "war" is pointless if there are no boots on the ground.
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>>529595559
So let the new guys get settled in then do it again and repeat as necessary.
>>
Just going to point this out now: This is like day 2 of this. We have four more weeks of munitions minimum.
That said, the number of deaths we're going to cause won't even be half of what the government did to their own citizens just a month or two ago.
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>>529601444
tell that to all the boots on irgc graves
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>>529600447
They have no choice. Either they fall in line or we’ll just continue bombing Iran into oblivion
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>>529601444
>This "war" is pointless if there are no boots on the ground.
Lmao. Tell that to the crippled Hezbollah after they got their cock and balls off B*lgarian. All your country can do is whine and lose at counter strike.
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>>529595559
It's been two days ffs.
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When will the world finally be fed up with kike shit?
>>
"Biggest power in the world" btw

lmao
>>
Trump is fucking retarded kek
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>>529601669
Nah you would know pretty quickly how well things are going. If there’s no breakdown of leadership in a few days then US/Israel have effectively failed
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>>529595559
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>>529601383

> we were in the carribean

you know the US has 10 different battlegroups, right? fucking retard
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>>529601444
This
You cant force regime change through airstrikes only. Especially not in a populous and mountainous country like Iran
>>
Holy shit bros is something happening....
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>>529601845
None is them where anywhere near Iran. We had like two ships at the time they rioted. We left after we bombed them
in June
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>>529596204
hey faggot, you notice anything different since 2020
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>>529596204
Low I.Q. take. Iran isn’t “sperging” out at all. They aren’t doing the 12-day war strategy of unleashing hell since they know that this time it’s for keeps. They are playing the Fabian tune of trying to draw this out as long as possible. They know one thing is for certain, nobody in the U.S. actually wants to go on indefinitely. And neither does Trump. There’s no public support for this and even Trump is lukewarm on a drawn-out conflict. So the Iranians hit here and then hit there. A few hours later, over there. Maybe in UAE, maybe in Jordan, maybe in Iraq, maybe in Israel, maybe against a naval unit. An important tower, an oil refinery, an electrical grid, a major population center. Sporadic, unpredictable, but constant and continual. The goal is to force the native populations of those involved to clamor for this madness to stop. Which, if it does, leaves the Iranian regime in power. They hold the cards as they have more will to continue that the U.S. Only boots on the ground could kill this regime for good and realistically that’s not going to happen.
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>>529600849
>Both Hezbollah and Houthis shooting rockets at Israel
Lmao nice "defeat" retard

Afghans are even starting to be sympathetic to Iran despite being enemies
You turned all of the middle east into Iranian sympathizers
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>>529601899
No shit. Iranians need to do it. We’re not going to do it. If we have to do it then it’s our country and oil now
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>>529601899
Tell that to Japan
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>>529601980
Absolute correct take and knowing post
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There is only two options. Either Iranians step up and we’ll help or there won’t be an Iran anymore
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>>529595559
Clearly the objective is to completely dismantle the IRGC. Trump even said as much, so I'm not sure what this journalist's confusion is. Seems like he's framing in a dishonest and faithless way.
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>>529601320
>>529601980
Which gemstone ring would the glorious leader have worn to call for a 'strategic' chimpout? Beryl? Amethyst? Maybe a rose diamond? Please, they're just launching rockets wildly while they shit their diapers in impotent rage.
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>>529597769
Kek, sounds like a Norm joke, god I miss him.
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>>529600187
So you’re mad that she’s currently in charge of U.S. Intelligence.

That’s a potentially funny scenario: Generals taking Israeli intelligence and also taking whatever Pete Hegseth and Tulsi Gabbard feed them.

Dunno, gas prices didn’t jump like I thought. Maybe the Trump regime is genuinely retarded and bad at everything it does.
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>>529602272
So the goal is to dismantle a decentralized network of guerrilla cells that build their own drones and missiles? These guys are the ones that will be the last ones fighting if there is ground invasion.
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>>529601537
Dawg nobody cares if authoritarian regimes kill their own people. That’s your biggest fucking problem, Jew. Same thing at home, nobody cares if niggers kill niggers, etc. It’s called racialism, tribalism. It is the most basic human thing, and Jews hate it when other groups stand by it.
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>>529602272
So destroying an entire army? Air strikes aren’t enough for that
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>>529601980
Fascinating, I haven't heard of this strategy before.
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>>529602564
You disable power, food, water. You ain’t going to last long. Why Israel did to the Palestinians. They’re expects at it
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>>529597897
You need a proper invasion to stop them. Put your boots on the ground. This isn't working.
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>>529600518
Yes. Iran is a theocracy. You can't just kill one guy and overthrow the entire system. Everyone already knew that.
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>>529595719
you thought they didnt have successors lined up for an 80+ old leader?
lol
lmfao even
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>>529602532
Nobody cares about those regimes killing their own people... except y'know, those people. Kind of the whole point of us crippling the leadership and military. We're not conquering, we're getting their people the alley-oop.
Probably what's going to happen in Cuba as well, since they're also an oppressed people.
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>>529602706
So you'll back off now and then come back in 6 months for more airstrikes because the regime change didn't work.
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>>529602789
Nope gonna leave it like this to prove out what the people actually want.
Also you do realize what fucking century this is right?
>Boots on the ground
Are you a boomer?
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>>529595559
Shia - a sect of islam that explicitly doesn’t believe in democracy or elections is resisting regime change? I’m shocked
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>>529602880
The shahs family has only run Iran for 40 years. It's not a traditional royal family or anything. They have to be forced into the seat of power. This regime will never collapse like this. You can back off if you want and come back when the Dow is over 55k or something. Everyone will laugh because nothing was accomplished though.
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>>529595559
This idea that Iranian leadership was one man was always flawed and misunderstood the command structure. It's like thinking killing JFK would make America collapse it actually probably helped us come together.
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>>529598543
Yeah this. Trump will choose a compliant regime member and that will be that
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>>529595719
Reuters is a Canadian company paid by Carnival Barker Carnie to make America look bad... Usually in a passive aggressive tone.
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>>529602954
>this to prove out what the people actually want.
The people don't actually like the shah, and this isn't enough to force a regime change.
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>>529600447
People don't know anything about Iran. Most aren't even aware that Iran has an elected President, or that it's minority Muslim.

The structure that it has is a lot more stable than golemutts are hoping for.
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>>529595719
when will goy learn?
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>>529603047
And the Titanic was the unsinkable ship. Never say never.
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>>529595559
Claim your enemies killed you so they stop trying to assassinate you. Run the war in a secret bunker with zero downtime. Do we have a body? Can we see it?
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>>529595719
why retarded whiteys keep worshipping brown prophets
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>>529603061
> It's like thinking killing JFK would make America collapse it actually probably helped us come together

I don't think that was the motivation.
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>>529595559
Do we know if these officials even exist? Reuters can just be pulling this out of their ass and, like the rest of the lying MSM, expect us to just trust them.
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>>529595559
>Wait, you mean a country doesn't just tip over if you kill the big bad?
Do think tanks hire only retards or something?
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>>529603047
>come back when the Dow is over 55k or something.
kek
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>>529595559
Wait is Reuters really using an AI image of a woman holding an AI image of Khamenei? lmao.
>>
It's almost as if they probably already had a plan for when the 90 year old in charge of the country died.
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>>529595719
are you tired of winning yet, mutticus?
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>>529603864
Even the missiles are outlining Trump's face
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>>529599954
>stacking the deck more and more against them
The gulf nations are fat arabs who can't fight and have to hire mercs. Saudi Arabia were getting their asses kicked by the Houthis several years ago. They have no real power except for air.

There isn't going to be regime change without ground forces. So Iran can keep this going and turn up the pressure until either the US and Israel either stop or the US goes in and it turns into a guerilla war.
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>>529595559
>WE DIDN'T WIN IN 48 HOURS IT'S LITERALLY OVER FUCK FUCK FUCK
go fuck a goat retard
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>>529606607
it wouldn't be one of those 'succession' plans would it? I've heard about those
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how does this help my grocery bill
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>>529610170
48 hours? woah woah woah, we ment 1488 days!
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>>529601980
This war is going to last until whoever has more ammunition. If AA capabilities in Israel dies, shit hit the fan. If Iran no longer has power to strike, it's over for them. Iran is doing good by attacking everything around, since you divide the need for AA to operate in certain areas.
Who is more important, kikes or petrol Arabs? We know who is, but would a UAE like the answer?
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>>529595719
Get ehat you voted for?
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>>529595559
Wait, so killing a 86 year old spiritual leader and his relatives, including 14-month granddaughter, and striking a school full off little girls doesn't work???
This doesn't make any sense! We should have pro-american regime already?
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>>529611910
this. iran has the edge tho they just need to not cuck out and accept a deal like the 12 day war they were about to hammer kikes hard but they accepted , they still have a chance now if they keep the war sustained and out-produce the enemy , china is master of cheap mass production hope the chinks help iran with their underground facilities they dont have to enter the war directly



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