If the US invaded Cuba the US would easily win.>In a scenario increasingly discussed among defense analysts, a full-scale U.S. invasion of Cuba in 2026 would likely result in a swift and decisive American victory, underscoring the stark imbalance between the two countries’ military capabilities.>While political and legal barriers make such an operation unlikely, military experts say the outcome on the battlefield is far less ambiguous.>“The disparity is overwhelming,” said one senior defense analyst. “In conventional terms, this would not be a close fight.”A Gap Measured in Orders of Magnitude>The United States Armed Forces maintain the world’s most powerful military, ranking first globally in overall capability, while Cuban Revolutionary Armed Forces rank far lower, with largely outdated equipment and limited modernization.>Cuba’s armed forces rely heavily on Cold War-era systems, including aging Soviet-built platforms such as MiG-21 fighter aircraft, T-62 armored vehicles, and legacy surface-to-air missile systems.>By contrast, U.S. forces would deploy advanced systems including the F-22 Raptor and F-35 Lightning II, supported by precision-guided munitions, satellite intelligence, and carrier strike groups positioned within close range of the island.>A War Measured in Days, Not Months>Analysts envision a rapid campaign beginning with air and naval strikes to neutralize Cuban air defenses, led by units such as the 1st Fighter Wing and 388th Fighter Wing.>Some estimates suggest that critical military targets — including command centers, radar installations, and air bases — could be disabled within hours.>Geography also plays a decisive role. Cuba lies just 90 miles from Florida, allowing the U.S. to project force rapidly and sustain operations with minimal logistical strain.>“The proximity alone changes everything,” said one former military planner. “This isn’t Iraq or Afghanistan, it’s right off the U.S. coastline.”
Cubans would take to the jungle and fight guerrilla warfare. it would be become a nightmare like Vietnam
>Limited Ability to Respond>Cuba’s military doctrine emphasizes territorial defense and mass mobilization, often referred to as a “people’s war.”>But analysts say that strategy is designed for prolonged resistance — not to stop an initial high-tech assault.>A rapid decapitation strike targeting leadership, communications networks, and command nodes could severely limit Cuba’s ability to coordinate a defense in the early stages of a conflict.>The Likely Outcome>In this scenario, U.S. forces would likely achieve:>Air superiority within hoursNaval dominance in surrounding watersControl of major cities and infrastructure within days>Units such as the 82nd Airborne Division and 26th Marine Expeditionary Unit could be deployed to seize key airfields and ports early in the operation.>Casualties in the initial phase would likely be limited compared to larger modern conflicts, given the imbalance in technology and training.>The Complication Beyond Victory>Even with a rapid battlefield success, experts caution that military victory would not guarantee long-term stability.>Cuba’s doctrine of widespread civilian resistance could still lead to an insurgency, particularly in dense urban areas like Havana, complicating any occupation effort.>And as recent reporting shows, even the discussion of U.S. military action in Cuba has triggered political backlash and concerns about executive war powers in Washington.>In purely military terms, analysts agree on one conclusion:>A 2026 U.S. invasion of Cuba would likely end in a rapid American victory.>But as history has repeatedly shown, winning the war is often easier than securing the peace.
Does Cuba have missiles that can reach Florida?
>>533799943OK, you defeated them and now what? That’s what the US never thinks about. How do you walk away? It’s just going to be worse off.
>>533799524I don't care if we would "win". i don't want to invade anyone. I don't want my nation to be invaders. Fucking stay home.
Can't wait to see the progress 4 years into the 3 day special liberation mission
>>533799887The problem with that line of thought is that the Cuban Army is INCREDIBLY small, most of its soldiers only signed up for better living (the soldiers are given more than the citizenry), and most of the citizens fucking despise them. Most of the soldiers would give up in short order because there's fuckall to fight for.
>>533799524Cuba is not iran. The civilians would likely invite any foreign power, except that power would just be worse in hindsight in 20 years
>>533799524> drones your refineries
I'm sure that US could crush Cuba quickly, but why the fuck tho? What is expected to gain from it? Cuban resources are utterly minimal, a couple more acres of sugar cane or tobacco wouldn't make a difference in supply chains.Cuba also isn't a threat to US control of the mexican gulf since it has jackshit power projection, another Cuban missile crisis can't happen again unless China goes ultra hardcore international communism which is unlikely...So can mutts enlighten me what can be archived by defeating Cuba beyond bragging rights?
>>533799524>If the US invaded Cuba the US would easily win.If the US invaded China would the US easily win?
>Initial resistance is expected to draw from elements of the Fuerzas Armadas Revolucionarias (FAR) and the Ministry of the Interior (MININT), alongside localized mobilization networks associated with the Committees for the Defense of the Revolution (CDR). Analysts also note that non-state opposition groups such as UNPACU (Unión Patriótica de Cuba) and the Damas de Blanco would be unlikely to function as coordinated armed actors, instead remaining politically oriented under such conditions.>On the opposing side, stabilization operations would be led through U.S. Southern Command (SOUTHCOM), with rotational deployments involving formations such as the 82nd Airborne Division, the XVIII Airborne Corps, and expeditionary elements of the 26th Marine Expeditionary Unit, supported by joint special operations assets under JSOC.>The prevailing assessment holds that the combination of maritime isolation, disruption of command structures, and sustained intelligence-driven targeting would rapidly degrade the cohesion of armed resistance networks. Within this framework, analysts project that organized insurgent activity would lose operational capacity within weeks.
>>533799887>it would be become a nightmare like VietnamYeah, it was horrible nightmare for the VC and the NVA; who were beaten countless time by the US military.
>>533800517>>533799943>>533799524taking from everything, if the US invaded cuba the US would likely win easily, and since cuba is a island and the people dislike the goverment, the resistance would probably die out.
>>533800627US could also invade Haiti and have a decisive victory in hoursThe question remains WHAT THE FUCK IS THE GOAL BEYOND WINNING
>>533799524>hydrogen bomb would defeat coughing babyOK?
>>533800484The thing the US is probably afraid of is a bunch of shahed type drones being snuck into Cuba. They’d have enough range to hit anywhere in the southeast US.
>>533800846There's absolutely nothing in the southeast worth attacking
>>533799980I guess we'll find out.
>>533800484> What is expected to gain from it? Its a matter of dominance and getting rid of opposition to the us power. The same reason they will intervene in Nicaragua like they did in Venezuela and probably will in Colombia. > China goes ultra hardcore international communism Latinx are truly mind broken by the red scare propaganda huh? >>533800846 > shahed type drones being snuck into Cuba Sounds like a good idea not to touch them then. Hopefully the russians did this already if they are smart.
>>533800846>drones have enough range to hit anywhere.Nope, drones are weak and useless in warfare; these fucking weak weapons can only try to look useful in some occasions, against putin's SAM and AD strategy, which are well-known for not working properly and being retarded.
>>533801054Cuba is literally within shahed range of where the US does final assembly for its F35s. Tons of weapons manufacturers are all over the southeast and Cuba is close enough to hit places like DFW with shaheds
>>533801172>Sounds like a good idea not to touch them then.Nope, drones are weak; there are absolutely no issues with attacking or destroying them; only putin was moronic enough to not destroy them during the first month of 2021.
>>533801533US bases in the Middle East were getting lit up by shaheds
>>533800772Trump would win because he gets more support in the midterms
>>533801533> drones are weakYes and are slow but that makes it hard to detect and intercept and that makes them perfect fir sabotage operations like attacking refineries and equipment on the ground. See operation spiderweb.
>>533799524>Guantanamo bay is a thingYeah no shit the Judeo-CIA puppet regime is tossing their no-longer-needed assets like they did Maduro and the SPLC. I wonder what the heroic cover-story and suspicious Polymarket winnings would look like for this one?
I would just nuke Haiti
>>533799887the Vietnamese communists won because they had a supply line of weapons from the USSR and China its not clear if they could supply cuban rebels on a island that could be blockaded. But there is no oil or natural resources in cuba making a trump attack less likely. But trump is also a narcissist and ego maniac who might be willing to get people killed so he could go into the history books as the guy who took cuba back into the US sphere of influence. He could build a huge trump resort and golf course in Havana.
>>533799524With the advent of FPV Cuba doesn't even need to import Shahed's, if Cuba, or rebels just build some improvised FPV's which can get a few hits in on ships travelling between Cuba and the Yucatan or Cuba and the Florida Keys they can effectively shut down or significantly cut down shipping into the gulf. There are also more idealogues in Cuba than Venezuela so even if they government falls, low level insurgency is still a possibility. Trump is a retard though, and Marco Rubio's life mission is basically just to take over Cuba so they will probably still do it.
>>533800772
>>533799524I don't get it. Cuba has no oil. Does Israel want a private island?
>>533799980I think this is actually one of the best arguments TO invade right now.Massive stocks of Shaheed style drones should be expected essentially everywhere that China can put them within 10 years, and with them Cuba could bomb over a quarter of the US.Even Venezuela could reach into the US with them.The REAL problem is if Cartels were to start firing them from random boats in the ocean just to fuck our infrastructure, or even just from random spots in Mexico. Without a massive instant response the US would crumble to this type of attack that can't readily be blamed on a specific nation. Cheap long range drones absolutely fuck the last centuries military doctrine and people are not prepared for how bad it can become.
>>533799524Yeah, it's obvious
AmazingI can beat up my 12 year old neighbor too, pretty impressive even if I say so myselfThat's why I'm the most respected person on my block, by far
>>533801796No he wouldn'tCubans in Florida are already lifelong Republican voters who are hyper anti-communistsMiggers hate communism but they already turn out to vote for Trump anyway, they're not going to get super hyped about Cuba to recruit a whole lot of non-votersEveryone who is not a Cuban rightist or migger is sick of Trump's shit and won't see this as a win but rather a wate of billions and a new problem to worry aboutThe only upside I see is that Marco Rubio gets made governor of Cuba and is on TV less often
>3 day SMO to liberate Cuba
>>533803175US global power projection depends on logistical nodes that are vulnerable to drone strikes. The only way for the US to remain relevant as a great power in the long run is to secure its local geography and implement the same kind of A2AD fortress strategy that countries like China already implemented.
>>533800600You lost mutt.
>Cuba lies just 90 miles from Florida, allowing the U.S. to project force rapidly and sustain operations with minimal logistical strain
If it is so easy why the USA hasn't done it before? Is it because after the fall of the Soviet Union Cuba stopped being a possible threat to the USA so they didn't care?
