Previous: >>533936335Thread Theme: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ncYEjxBw_7gDay: 18 of the 14-day Ceasefire™ with IranDay: 57 of the 1-day "Special Military Operation™ to decapitate Iran"Day: 9 of the 10-day Ceasefire™ with Lebanon▶RECENT:>Iran tells mediators it will not negotiate on its nuclear program or Strait of Hormuz until the war ends.>Lloyd's List: At least 26 Iranian shadow fleet vessels bypass US blockade.>Iranian official: If our oil wells are damaged due to the blockade, the oil wells of countries supporting the US will be damaged.>Israel’s Defense Minister Israel Katz: “Israel is prepared to resume the war against Iran — We are awaiting a green light from the United States — first and foremost to complete the elimination of the Khamenei family and to push Iran back into a dark age. This time, the strike will be different and far more lethal, delivering devastating blows at the most sensitive points — ones that will shake and undermine its very foundations".>NBC article on the true extent of damage done to US bases in the Middle East: archive.md/zHIWI>Iran is prepared for the 'largest missile launch in history' at the occupied territories and some Arab countries allied with the US as soon as it sees signs of any strike.>Iran has prepared POW camps in the event of a ground invasion.>POTUS "canceled" negotiations with Iran, "We have all the cards!...If they want to talk, all they have to do is call!!!">POTUS announced he ordered the U.S. Navy to "shoot and kill any boat... that is putting mines in the" Strait of Hormuz.>Senior Israeli official says preparations are underway for approval from the US administration to resume hostilities — Channel 13>The UK Maritime Trade Operations Center reported a security incident 83 miles southeast off Somalia.>Somalia announces a ban on all Israeli ships passing Bab Al-Mandab.▶WARNING:>Do not trust any "happenings" or posts without link/proof>Uкraine / Яussia discussions belong in uнg or cнug
>>533944012▶Oil:https://oilprice.com/oil-price-charts/▶Kino:https://rentry.org/pig-kino▶X Accounts:https://rentry.org/irxacc▶Iranian Newshttps://rentry.org/irnews▶Live-streams:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4E-iFtUM2kkhttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TdcrT5OcS9chttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=53G-Oy4r6M4▶Telegram Channels:https://rentry.org/tgnews▶Israel Rocket Alerts:https://www.tzevaadom.co.il/en/▶Air Traffic:https://www.flightradar24.com/https://flightaware.com/livehttps://globe.adsbexchange.com/▶Maritime Traffic:https://www.marinetraffic.com/https://www.vesselfinder.com/https://hormuztracking.com/
>>533944054this is a Psyop by passport bros anon
>>533944012I don't think the rest of the world would really notice much of an effect if any 1 of the countries involved in this conflict would get deleted.
irannys are so effeminate and performative, definitely one of the countries that needs a genocide to humble them
>>533944012>>Uкraine / Яussia discussions belong in uнg or cнugJust a reminder.
>>533944244>the rest of the world won't mind 30% of the worlds oil supply suddenly going offline for a decade or two.
>>533944244I can't disagree.
>>533944324I am showing restraint.
>>533944353We need to get off oil anyway. Uncle Ted was right.
>>533944407There are two entire generals for that business, /pig/ is mostly comfy
>>533944431The only way to do that is de-industrialization. No more plastics, no more cheap medicines, no more cheap heating and stoves, no more cheap travel...you know what that's probably not so bad in the long run.but do you think that's what these countries actually want? whether it'd be good in the "long term" or not?
>>533944353No, not really. We would just look at our energy bill, go "hmm that's a little high", and build some nuclear power plants and more electric stuff. No big deal, really.
Hezbollah killed 2 injured 10, 1 helicopter 1 tank down most are injured badly what happen is the tank broke down hexballah struck, 2 medic helicopter came hezballah struck again idf chimped on random Lebanese as usual>pic one of the dead kike
M
>>533944374owo is this the migger thread!?
>>533944012I think with the strait being closed it just proves how much of a bullshit move it was. The markets are fine and gas hasn't even gone up that much. Inflation isn't even that bad right now.
>>533944544Try building a nuclear power station during an oil shortage..
>>533944407>I am showing restraint.thanks anon. If you see someone randomly spamming pro-Russian stuff without context in pig, then yeah, absolutely, call them out and ask them to post in uhg and if I'm around, I'll back you up.
>>533944407Show more or fuck off to r/uhg
>>533944590That's not him. Same name but the one that died was 19.
also till when we will be in this tweets war?>>533944590the other dead one
>>533944652it takes time for the effects to actually hit western countries.asian countries are in dire straits at the moment.also>trusting futures markets to be accurate representations of realityit's rigged gambling
>>533944652>The markets are fine and gas hasn't even gone up that much. Inflation isn't even that bad right now.Past performance does not indicate future price.
>>533944652>and gas hasn't even gone up that muchIt was under $3 here a few months ago now it's around $4.80.
>>533944681Kiss my hairy hole you dog fondling pakijeet.
>>533938798IRAN WAR HAS DRAINED U.S. SUPPLIES OF CRITICAL, COSTLY WEAPONS>The Pentagon’s rush to rearm its Mideast forces makes it less ready to confront potential adversaries like Russia and China, administration and congressional officials say.>Since the Iran war began in late February, the United States has burned through around 1,100 of its long-range stealth cruise missiles built for a war with China, close to the total number remaining in the U.S. stockpile. The military has fired off more than 1,000 Tomahawk cruise missiles, roughly 10 times the number it currently buys each year.>The Pentagon used more than 1,200 Patriot interceptor missiles in the war, at more than $4 million a pop, and more than 1,000 Precision Strike and ATACMS ground-based missiles, leaving inventories worrisomely low, according to internal Defense Department estimates and congressional officials. The Iran war has significantly drained much of the U.S. military’s global supply of munitions, and forced the Pentagon to rush bombs, missiles and other hardware to the Middle East from commands in Asia and Europe. The drawdowns have left these regional commands less ready to confront potential adversaries like Russia and China. “At current production rates, reconstituting what we have expended could take years,” Senator Jack Reed of Rhode Island, the top Democrat on the Armed Services Committee, said this week. >Since the war started, the military has used about 1,100 JASSM-ER missiles, which cost roughly $1.1 million apiece, leaving roughly 1,500 in the military’s inventories, according to internal Pentagon estimates. Tomahawks, which cost about $3.6 million each, are long-range cruise missiles that have been widely used for U.S. warfighting. A C.S.I.S. study estimated the remaining Tomahawk stockpiles to be around 3,000 missileshttps://archive.md/7XDwT
>>533944714thanks fern
>>533944528Idk about the rest of the world man, I just want to homestead and chill
>>533944745kek yesterday japan celebrated tanker with oil arriving from USA.ENTIRE TANKER, so fucking funny
>>533944590SO IS THE MEMEFIRE OVER
>>533944864It's absolutely crucial that Congress approve Trump's "Make America Pay For It, Stupid Idiots Anyway" $1.5 trillion Pentagon budget for 2027.
>>533944864>1,000 Precision Strike and ATACMS ground-based missiles,Wtf? I heard they maybe fired a few but 1000?Where are they firing from?
>>533944652Give it time.
>>533944906well good news for you, that's probably going to be one of the better things to do for the forseeable future, so your prospects are looking bright!
>>533944652In Europe they are paying 2.75 euro per liter for gas
>>533944818Pot, kettle. Try and control yourself, you spastic
>>533944986There's a fuck load of tankers heading to the USA right now after trump promised to pick up the slack. Shit will hit the fan when they find out he can't.
>>533944773It was ~$4.20 here while the war was hot, since the ceasefire it's been stuck at $3.99
>>533944968>>1,000 Precision Strike and ATACMS ground-based missiles,>Wtf? I heard they maybe fired a few but 1000?>Where are they firing from?I agree, seems sus. I didn't think they had that much PRSMs in total or that they fired all that many ATACMS salvoes
>>533945074At this rate it's going to be a long time before the strategic petroleum reserve gets low.https://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/hist/LeafHandler.ashx?n=PET&s=WCSSTUS1&f=W
>>533944934lolsoon enough, the US wont be able to export due to lacking the raw oil needed to refine anything, and it's only gonna keep getting worse
>>533944942expect hezballah never strike north with missles expect twice singular strikes
>>533944012Nigger
>>533945002Asian countries are already paying 200$ per barrel.
>>533945070In a world that was built on reason, maybe. However, this is clownworld and the kikes have an infinite array of slimy tricks to fuck with prices. So, we'll see
>>533945189So the SPR isn't even drawing down 1mbpd
>>533944934I don't think the US understands how badly the've fucked East Asia with their war for Israel. Even in the best of situations where this wraps up immediately and we assume they forgive the economic damage already caused and yet to come, it has become apparent to everyone in the region that it may be time to rethink their assumptions about energy security and the wisdom of being a US client state.
>>533945208Well it's """officially""" supposed to end tomorrow, but the kikes were never really serious about it to begin with so I wouldn't be shocked if it ends early. I just wonder if everyone else will join in the fun
>>533945302you can't fuck with actual oil actually existing like you can numbers on a ledgertrump did sign an EO on the 20th to expedite oil refining and i believe natural resource refining in the USA, but those projects wont be up and running for several years
I am nuking 30 million sand niggers tonight and turning Iran into a zombie apocalypse. This should help. We will be shooting radiated sand niggers off the walls of sand nigger kingdom for a long time. Life is good patriots. Donald.
>>533945190yeah I don't know where they got this idea but US is clearly an importer of oil, not exporter.trump is so fucking stupid
>>533945302+20% swaps on all strategic release barrels and shorting futures is going to bite trump in the arse and bollocks at the same time. I've been day trading a 3x WTI etp on and off since the war started and it's been Jewish tricks personified. I'll catch the big move though. I buy every open and I don't use stops.
>>533945415Indeed, I thought so too, however I've been waiting for prices to creep back up for a week now and nothing has happened. Something is fucky
>>533945015what's the context?/ where is this?>>533945228>Norway pumping >iran >you canyon else benefiting from this?>>533945393I really hope for missles back
on Iran's painful and slow rejection of moderates
>>533944012>Iranian official: If our oil wells are damaged due to the blockade, the oil wells of countries supporting the US will be damagedThis tells me Iran is feeling the pain from the blockade. There may be tankers getting through but the US probably wanted them to get through to avoid a spike in the oil prices. I believe this will be a game of chicken going forward where there won't be a resumption of hostilities but possibly false flag attacks from Israel and the UAE as well as Hezbollah vs Israel. But I believe the main phase against Iran is done and now the sides wait it out in a dual blockade to see who capitulates.
I miss the excitement of Trump posting allahu akbar and promising the plant day.He's just a showman who can't deliver
>>533945495Keep us posted, glad you're taking advantage
>>533945370They could be fucking with the figures since they have 'swapped' any release for a 1-1.2 return. On paper they could actually claim it's going up by .2 for every 1 discharged.
>>533945371I'm a large supporter of idea that it's done by design.Trump might not understand this and their feeding him fairytales but destroying asian markets is something that greatly affects China in a negative way, which exactly what US wants.
>>533945518>I really hope for missiles backYou and me both sister
>>533945520The translation is fucked, I can't make sense of this
>>533945466They export products post refining. That doesn't help anyone as there aren't enough specialist loading docks, ships or storage to deal with that. The world needs crude going to refineries. Not refined products going to nations without the capabilities to transport, offload or store them.Trump is indeed retarded.
>>533945553The gulf countries are in the same position though so the game of chicken has many players.
>>533945553I don't think Iran is feeling it that badly. I subscribe to the idea that they anticipated the blockade coming much earlier actually. I can't believe they wouldn't have contingencies for the idea considering the main power projection the USA has is through its navy, along with how prepared they've been for everything else that's transpired thus far.That this is now the new stage is probably true, mostly because Trump is getting bored with the war since he can't get any good TV moments out of it.But every second the US doesn't do something is one more second Iran's position improves.Saw another anon put it perfectly along the lines of "Iran is winning and they're not even getting bombed while doing so. they must be laughing their asses off."
>>533945518Norway is a small fish. In the end everyone loses because of economic crash.
>>533945495Having no stops on a 3x leveraged product means one bad day can wipe out months of being right on the thesis — the move you're waiting for won't matter if you're already blown out. Even a small stop gives you the ability to reload when the real catalyst hits.
>>533944281>suggests immediately resorting to extreme measures rather than coming to a compromiseYour thinking is womanlike in the extreme. This sort of thing is exactly what we were warned about by those who argued against allowing women into government. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pdGrZUnjPbU
Why is everyone acting like the Gulf accounted for 90% of crude oil? It did not.And every day that passes, the world will adapt to the new normal, exactly like Russia adapted to sanctions.The idea that Russia and Iran are so clever that they can magically adapt to any sanction, but the rest of the world somehow cannot, makes no sense.
>>533944652>Inflation isn't even that bad right now.Well if you look at every tacker and if you even look at the futures market you can see that even the coping gambling table that it is hasn't gone back down to the pre war levels, shit is still completely fucked and you can see that the first shortages are happening and it will continue to spread, even if the wat was to pop out of existence right now prices will rise for the rest of the year
>>533945588Just another post a thread or two back was pointing out how millions how much is being 'loaned' to the EU. Indeed they are cooking the books. They're emptying the barn of horses while telling everyone in the market that so far none have left the barn at all. This shit has a way of catching up the longer the war goes on.
>>533945912There's a lot of oil over there. Maybe other places can increase production to make up for it for a while, but then they will run out sooner.https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_proven_oil_reserves
>>533945832I'm day trading with a thousand pounds. I can afford to lose it and did once already. My main oil play is a struggling north sea oil company who are down because of starmers green drilling restrictions. I expect things to get bad enough he will have to U-turn and I stand to make a tidy sum.I'm also in a palm oil grower as it can be turned into synthetic diesel. That just keeps going up. I've covered my bases.
>>533945912That's what happens with fake & gay economies that rely on complex trade networks to keep status quo vs an insular economy that focuses inward and actually produces things for themselves
>>533945912When you remove the marginal barrel of oil the price action is crazy because the demand is consistent and relatively inelastic
>>533946017Well good luck bud, I hope you make it. I'm making a move tomorrow if you're intetested
>>533944864>long-range stealth cruise missiles>Stealth cruise missiles???
>>533946020the whole point of an economy is to transfer goods all over you fuicking nigger
>>533946006That chart should make it very clear why Trump deposed Maduro in Venezuela before attacking Iran.
>>533945466This came up a week ago. The US produces a surplus of Sweet Crude, which has its own purposes. The SPR is full of mostly Sour oil that has other uses. We import the stuff we don't have and export the stuff we do produce.Marking out the difference between the crude types answers this.
>>533946006selling or using oil reserves right now is absolutely terrible idea and an act of desperation like in japans case.
>>533945987No doubt they expect they will be balls deep in death and destruction by the time the piper needs paying and nobody will notice the massive hit.
this war is boring, can we go back to bombing them?
>>533946072cloaking technology supplied by the aliens
>>533946072>>long-range stealth cruise missiles>>Stealth cruise missiles>???yup, they're supposed to be low-observable (small RCS)
>>533946077ok? how about you read what i wrote a bit more carefully or articulate your issue a bit more clearly
>>533945912Tldr Arabian oil was premium oil most countries set up infrastructure to accommodate whereas other oil sources aren't as good and need their own infrastructureAlso you lose a lot of biproducts and can't use the crude to make things like ship oil or kerosene
>>533946164youre a nihilist and a retard
>>533946182thank you for your contribution. what a wonderful interaction.
>>533945815I agree with this position. To further the point, if a blockade was an effective strategy the US would have implemented it day one.
>>533946062I'm interested. I'm in RTX, BAE, HBR (FTSE) AEP (FTSE)and a bit of gold was supposed to counterbalance but it's like a rock round a swimming niggers neck ATM.
>>533946077Maybe. Seems like the point of an economy is to concentrate wealth and waste energy as fast as possible.>>533946123Yeah I'm pissed that Trump is selling US oil to other countries at all. It should stay locked up until the entire rest of the world runs out first.
>>533946142Will happen soon if Iran doesn't capitulate
>>533946017>I'm day trading with a thousand pounds.You're day trading with two miggers?
>>533946145Thank you anon, was a good chuckle.>>533946150The fucking little cars you control with controllers? How is that stealthy thats radio waves.
>>533946237nigger waht do you care if elon musk's wealth is 6 billion or 6 trillion. he literally shmoozed his way into the government where they print infinite money and still did it more morally than the bank jews did with bill clinton and they got a bail out for it because le money printer money printer money printer money printer do i make myself clear? money printer
>>533946081USA needs to import heavy oil to refine it into products at home.The volumes of that process are greater than US light exports of oil, therefore US is net importer of crude oil.
>>533946181One of the biproducts from fertiliser (which is made from gas and oil) is carbon dioxide. We are already seeing shortages. So much so they are desperately opening a facility that was shut down a few years ago.Carbon dioxide shortages impact the food chain as fresh foods are packed in it to retain shelf life. Without it the farm-supsrmarkwt just in time delivery system collapses. This just a TINY part of what to expect.
>>533946237as I'm aware he never restored the reserves after Biden sold them to China to stabilize the market after santions on Russia.
>>533946289>The fucking little cars you control with controllers? How is that stealthy thats radio waves.RCS is radar cross-section
>>533946280One and a half maybe..
>>533944012
>>533946233"Long XLE calls July expiry, IWM puts for equity downside hedge. SPR burning at 4000k/week masking a structural shortage, Pape Day 60 catalyst Wednesday, Iran walked from talks and hardened Hormuz red lines today. The big move is coming, just has a date now."
>>533946345He doesn't have that much wealth, it's all hypothetical because it's tied up in shares. And no he shouldn't have it. What's he doing with his power? Bringing in more H1B jeets and chinks and ripping off young American graduates with very low salaries. I mean the USA has a lot of problems but Elon isn't helping at all, he's making everything a little worse.
>>533946020>an insular economy that focuses inwardNigga those oil economies rely on oil exports for the majority of their government revenues...
>>533946396Trump thought Venezuela was capable of replacing gulf oil for that purpose but that's at least a decade of development and no doubt Venezuela won't be Americas friend by then anyway and will have nationalised the industry again. Trump is incredibly stupid.
>>533946427All that as everyone is normally planning to stock up in crude for the winter and instead have to dump all the strategic reserves
>>533946471Alright now it makes sense to me. Thank you I've never fucking had anybody give me shorthand for radar cross section before.
>>533946460You're right, he didn't.
>>533946072The JASSM has some RCS reducing features which are mostly a meme. It's actually got a fairly comparable RCS to a Shahed drone for instance. Shaheds do have fairly small radar cross sections, about the size of a small bird, because it turns out that materials like rubber and styrofoam have rather low radar reflectivity, and the shape of the Shahed is naturally unlikely to reflect radar waves back at the transmitter.>>533946289>The fucking little cars you control with controllers?RCS stands for Radar Cross Section. Basically radars work by shining a beam of light you can't see into the air, so if it's shaped in a way that doesn't reflect the light back at the radar, the radar won't see it. If you're interested here is an article that does a good job of explaining the concept to a layman. The author was actually involved in the F-117 nighthawk shootdown during the Yugoslav wars.https://bmanalysis.substack.com/p/behind-the-stealth-understanding
I just want to see Iranian ground forces fully mobilizing and duking it out with the Americans in the Zagros.
>>533946519I was talking about Iran, not the gulfies.They've been operating mostly under international sanctions for 5 decades.In order to survive as a nation they've had to ensure they could defend themselves, and procure the means to do so domestically.And you can see the fruits of this with how they've basically given the finger to the current global hegemony without crying uncle in any way.
>>533946494Appreciated.
>>533946494>The big move is coming, just has a date now.Are you permitted to share said date, or is that esoteric knowledge?
>>533946519GCC are not real countries
>>533946041>the price action is crazyYeah, but not *that* crazy.People were having wild predictions a few weeks ago.And now they've moved on to a new narrative, that somehow there is a global conspiracy to suppress oil prices...
>>533946567>Trump is incredibly stupid.
>>533946594now he's going to sell even more of these reserves to get short-term profits and celebrating how smart he is, just watch kek
>>533946575Once the refineries shut down we will see shortages in everything. The byproducts are as important as the actual petroleum products. Fertilizers, chemicals, plastics....It's going to be carnage. And just to add to the fun. It's el nino this year so expect crop failures.
>>533946709I'm talking about Russia and Iran.Both countries rely on oil for most of the government revenue.
>>533946618Iran is likely to be the best prepared for this globally. The rains returning just add to their advantage too.
>>533946816It's el nino for the next ~10 years, as the cycle goes
>>533946721That chart is stupidly optimistic. Are they expecting the developing countries like India and Africa and China to steadily use *less* energy over the coming decade?
>>533946721WTI and Brent are the prices for crude at a specific date range and location. It makes sense that it would take a while for the prices to skyrocket because there was an inventory glut before the war.
>>533946900I did not know that.
>>533944012A lot of the happening fags were pretty uncharitable towards the nothing ever happens fags -- and the reverse is not true. "Nothing ever happens" is just a cold take. I feel like some apologies would be good karma.
>>533946816>el ninoGod yeah I heard, summer has already started here, I'm going to have to buy shaders for my whole garden otherwise all my plants are going to burn if things are going to keep getting hotter, can't imagine how bad it's going to be if we have to deal with all that at once
>>533946816>Once the refineries shut down we will see shortages in everything.But why would the refineries shut down?Again, you retards are acting as if the Gulf is the only place in the world producing oil.Saudi Arabia was acting as a low anchor for the price of oil, because they are the country with the lowest marginal cost of extraction. It's the reason why the US propped them up for decades.If they're out of the picture, it sends a signal to everyone else that pumping out might become profitable again.In fact, if anything those countries are waiting for the blockade to go on for longer. Iran could help by destroying Gulf infrastructure further, to make it clear that even if they reopen, production won't restart. Right now there is still a risk that it reopens and Saudi Arabia ruins to oil market for everyone else again.
>>533946906I think the logic is that birthrates are fucked everywhere except for africa, therefore less energy will be used because less people. Even india is below replacement rate.
>>533946833They're still shipping out their oil to China I believe over railroad, and through the """blockade""".
>>533946598>interested in layman termsConsidering the fact I didn't even know what RCS stood for until you and the other anon explained it. I think i'mma enjoy this article even more with it being from the guy involved with the nighthawk during the ''peace keeping''
>>533946906>That chart is stupidly optimistic.That chart is the current market consensus, reflected in futures prices.It's the price resulting from trading between oil producers and oil consumers (oil companies, maritime transport companies, etc.)That's what they, collectively, think the price will be.
>>533946946This is the forward curve going all the way to 2037...
>>533947083If you're interested in the shootdown of the nighthawk he wrote a whole book about it, along with an article that gives the real story instead of the lies we get told in the US. Here's a link to the article.https://bmanalysis.substack.com/p/shooting-down-the-stealth-fighter
>>533946677Its AI translating my thoughts. Its referencing a paper on substack by Robert Pape
>>533947058>therefore less energy will be used because less peopleMaybe however as those places become more developed their per-capita energy usage goes way up. I guess the market doesn't think that's going to happen for some reason.
>>533947056Nobody is opening anything because futures are being artificially held down. Trump has shit himself in the foot. Twice.
>>53394695310-15 year cycle. I've noticed the climate change crowd harp on their topic an awful lot during la nina and then quiet down during el nino when things go back to "normal." I don't know about you gentleman, but where I am we actually had a winter with quite a lot of snow this year, a windy march, a rainy april, and generally the kind of weather we grew up expecting from Spring. Thus I have concluded that the climate change dooming is just grifting off the cycle as it affects us here. For perspective: during the last ~10 years (la nina) we had relatively warm and wet winters with no real Spring to speak of with hot and dry summers that everyone would harp about climate change over. I imagine no one will mention it at all for a while now. Just a theory of mine.
>>533947215And if you think that is in anyway 1:1 factual with reality, you are retarded.
>>533947002You've had years, we've had a month, just let us have this.
>>533947425I believe in climate change but only as a normal and natural cycle. We've also had a 'normal' winter and spring here now you point it out. Our ski industry thrived this year and April showers are abound.
>>533946221>The US knows what they're doing.It's obvious they had zero planning and thought they could pull a quick capitulation like Venezuela and that's why they didn't think of a blockade at the time. I saw on that Sal shipping youtube that Iran is starting to use a derelict tanker to store oil which indicates they may be running out of places to put it.
There's a critical concept in economics, it was reduce to two short words by Ludwig von Mises (but note that I am not necessarily promoting Austrian economics as a whole, here; just that his point is valid): HUMANS ACT.Humans act. Whenever there is a change in conditions of supply, demand, storage, transport, etc., humans act, to serve their interests. There are millions of intermediaries, traders, speculators, financiers, moguls, hustlers, etc. whether they are Chinese, Russian, Turkish, French, Singaporean, African, Australian, English or Maltese, ready to organize things to keep goods and services flowing and make a profit. Ready to invest, buy, sell, merge, de-merge, takeover, etc.That's the reason the Russian economy did not collapse after the sanctions. Russians (and their trade partners) acted.That's the reason the Iranian economy did not collapse after the sanctions. Iranians, and their trade partners, acted.And that's the reason why the world economy is not about collapse now that Iran is trying to sanction it.If you believe one, but not the other, you are not serious.
>>533947372>>533947056The way the Invisible Hand™ of the Free Market™ would solve this is that prices would increase linearly, to both incentivize new production and reduce demand until the production can come online. Instead we’re in the timeline where supply is abruptly lowered, demand stays constant, and production does not increase to compensate. As another anon said, oil price increases are the economic equivalent of the check engine light. We’re ignoring it and the consequences will not be good
>>533947586The market will adapt, in fact it’s been even better at adapting to Iran than it did with Russia.
>>533947448This is literally the global oil market.Who knows best about that market, I wonder, the qualified people who buy oil for airlines, or who sell it for oil companies, or various schizos or pajeets on Twitter?This curve is just the average anticipation of future oil prices, reflected in the price of contracts at various expiration dates. Obviously some people think it's going to be less, and some people think it's going to be more.But in aggregate that's effectively what the market is thinking, right now, about future prices.
>>533947538>I believe in climate change but only as a normal and natural cycle.As do I. I'm referring to the day to day grift, i.e. (((politicians))) hyping it up and people buying it thanks to the obvious shifts caused by a very natural and relatively regular cycle that has major effects on the seasonal changes, at least here.
>>533946833you're comparing two different things.Russia circumventing the sanctions on transporting and selling our oil versus shutdown, physical blockade and even destruction of gulf energy facilities.
>>533947693In my opinion, the market is going to have an ugly correction based off the difference in paper and physical.
>>533947726Spurdo’s point is that futures are fake and gay and do not reflect reality (source: look at the actual “I need a barrel of oil right the fuck now” prices), and therefore any charts built on top of those futures are even faker and gayer
>>533947750never forget that 10 years ago all the coasts of the world were supposed to be undersea according to those people
>>533947586The world cannot take the double whammy of russian oil and gulf oil becoming scarce at the same time which is exactly where we are.I agree we are an industrious bunch but nothing happens overnight and it's the timeframe that's going to kill us.We just don't have the time to react and building ANYTHING during shortages is going to be a shit show.Never mind In an inflationary environment with zero buffer.
>>533947561>It's obvious they had zero planning and thought they could pull a quick capitulation like VenezuelaYes I agree, but I'm skeptical about believing the narrative around them being hurt by this at all. Their tankers are still getting through and they will always have land routes, which I know are not as effective, but if their tankers are getting through it's a non-issue.
>>533947653>We’re ignoring it and the consequences will not be goodIt's not being ignored. It's being deliberately manipulated lower. The ramifications are scary.
>>533947586Acting works both ways. When Germany was blockaded in WW1....they acted. And then Starved. Acted some more, starved some more.When both sides are acting to make economic hell for the other party we're not dealing with bog standard economics anymore.
>>533947653>demand stays constantDemand does not stay constant though. Why would it?
>>533947926Because prices are not rising far enough to create demand destruction. Which they should.
>>533947884>>533947866You’re overblowing Iranian leverage. Some economies will be affected more than others but there are a lot of sources for oil and those have scaled to meet the demand in places like North America. We still haven’t seen prices close to Ukraine invasion levels let alone 2008 prices.
>>533947828Exactly my point. To tie it in, we are at the tail end of an ice age (glacial cycle) no matter what way you slice it, but that's a gradual shift and in no way an 'end of the world' scenario. Furthermore, the concept that the amount of carbon we are putting into the atmosphere is going to kill the planet is ludicrous when you understand that all of this "trapped" carbon was already in the atmosphere at some point in Earth's history. Even if they were right and things got warmer, it would be fine. literal "sky is falling" hysteria.
kek things are going great for zog
>>533947726Markets are a game all in themselves, I don't think they are strongly attached to the real world.
>>533947586Actual Misesians realize that capital goods are finite and there was already a severe problem of misallocation of capital due to the manipulation of credit by central banks, which is core to the ABCT. This supply crunch will trigger a severe correction in a market which was already due for a bad one. You actually sound more like a Keynesian than a Misesian given that you are ignoring the role of capital goods in the economy.https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eY5w7LhVCjU
>>533948171That defeats the whole point which is to disarm Iran and prevent them ever having nukes.
>>533948000You keep saying this, but the other shoe hasn't dropped yet, and yes there is copious amounts of market manipulation going on here.
>>533948171netanyahu... do what needs to be done... shoot his other ear as a sign that he needs to continue this war
>>533948000Right now the US is meeting additional demand by drawing down inventory, not by increasing production.Increasing production requires years and lots of capital investment
>>533948000CheckedPrice is being artificially down. That's a massive problem. Most of the supposed USA excess comes from shale. They aren't going to start fracking until prices spike. It's an expensive and long term investment.
>>533948000That’s only because of futures manipulation and countries (the US mostly) emptying their strategic reserves. A significant fraction of the global oil supply is gone. At some point we will get either price increases until demand falls or actual physical shortages because it turns out you cannot in fact just print more oil
>>533948171>Axios reports
>>533947726>the qualified people who buy oil for airlines, or who sell it for oil companiesHave you forgotten about picrel?
>>533948247What do you think the banquet shooter was for?
>>533948022The more co2 in an environment, the faster plants grow and produce more oxygen. The CO2 mania is codswallop. t. Weed grower extraordinaire.
>>533948052https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3xWZB1SoWE8
>>533944736>Sgt FooksFooked aroundFound out >>533945189They've only just started, we'll see but its probably not needed, demand destruction has already happened and 200k is as low as the military will probably let them getJust like missiles going to zero isn't an option
>>533944652It took two years for inflation to spike after COVID.
>>533948000Dated brent already reached $141, it's currently at $132, you're a clueless mutt
>>533948171>AxiosFutures open.... They never fail.
>>533947830I hope you are wrong. I don't think you are.
>>533945371Everyone here has a lot of reserves though.I was buying some flights a week ago and was quite surprised how little the war premium isI think the west is a bit more fucked for jet fuel and diesel then here
>>533948435>>533948319Well they shorted it right before dropping that again but could only push it down $1 this time compared to much much larger swings before
>>533948426>brentWTI is what affects me. Like I said different economies will be affected differently
>>533948096>You actually sound more like a Keynesian than a MisesiaAnd you sound like a 2010s redditor if you think people fall only into only those two categories...
>>533948366Indeed. The real travesty is deforestation, in my opinion. It's not a world ending threat, but it does diminish our beautiful world. Which is why I'm a conservationist, like Theodore, not an 'environmentalist' like Gore.
>>533948522WTI can, did and will again swing above brent during this war because there's a shitload of hungry tankers lined up along the gulf of mexico
>>533948455CheckedI hope I'm wrong too but I also don't think I am. I'm stacking food quietly and tempering my children's expectations of the future a bit. It's not a pleasant time. I've cancelled one holiday with my daughter and postponed one I should have booked with my son. Shit sucks.
>>533948329No, but I don't see what difference it does make to my argument.
>>533948522The world doesn't revolve around you.
>>533948366>The more co2 in an environment, the faster plants grow and produce more oxygen.You should see the flora on Venus...
>>533948619Nobody wants to accept it but the best way to store food (to a point) is as body fat. You can live a long time on a few extra pounds of flab.
>>533948537>And you sound like a 2010s redditor if you think people fall only into only those two categories...You were the one who brought up Mises. Also I quite frankly don't give a fuck which specific brand of wrong you are. The Austrian explanation of the business cycle is the most correct one.
>>533948455I hope he's right. Accelerate.
>>533948619Girlfriend and I are flying to key west in a week. She doesn't understand this may be the last vacation we get. Vegas in the fall may not happen
>>533948504When it's live on national news that a tanker has arrived you should be paying attention lad. That doesn't happen when everything is fine.Jet fuel is bought in advance. The price shock comes later.
>>533948522Nations will get their oil from the US driving up the price of WTI, which is exactly what's currently happening which is why the price of WTI has risen, dumb migger
>>533948685>I hope he's right. Accelerate.Accelerationism rarely gets us where we want though. There are a lot of bloody steps along the way.
>>533948521The law of diminishing returns.
>>533948679>reduce your life expectancy by a few years for a chance to survive a few more months in an event with 0.01% probabilityYou, sir, are a genius. They call you The Genius in fact, am I correct?
>>533948648So I should piss and shit myself because some SE asian shithole can afford brent crude?
>>533948770Momentum is the only way we escape the black hole of ZOG.
>>533948546If co2 goes wild things grow rapidly. Like during the dinosaur era. There's a reason they grew so big. Abundance of food.
>>533948808>sacrifice potential distant future years for guaranteed nutrition in the near futureYes. Problem, skinny?
>>533948843Won't work since they're going to block out the sun with "anti-global warming" dust sprayed into the atmosphere and/or mirrors in orbit.
>>533948546I'm a permaculturist. I also do a bit of Roddy bashing (removing invasive rhodedendrans) I'm a conservationist too but not a loony green.
>>533948677I'm sure you know that's not how it works.
>>533947586No one said it was going to be like a nuke that kills us all, if anyone said that they are insane. It's just going to be a very rough time and even rougher on poorer countries. Countries that aren't that poor are going to have to ration gas and deal with stagflation which happened globally in the 1970s and it was a really rough time then. This will be even rougher. Every example you listed was not exempt hardship. Consider all of the pain North Korea and China went through despite heavy sanctions and they got through it and are thriving now. You left those out.
>>533948679That sounds miggerish.
>>533948690
>>533948504Japan has reserves for 8 months. Market will not stabilize itself in that period of time.
>>533948690I've got flights to London next month, should be fine. Not so hopeful for my Berlin in September though.
>>533947586those were artificial localized scarcities, not real scarcities which is what we are facing on a global scale
>>533948843Quite, though sauropsids are capable of larger sizes than mammaliaforms due to some quarks of physiology as well, namely lighter bones among others things. Did you know the Earth was completely ice free for most of its history? Antarctica used to be a temperate rainforest
In other news, just this month Australia has opened its first oil field in 50 years.This is not something that was done because of Hormuz, this is something that was planned for many years.But we're finally starting to exploit our domestic oil reserves (again).Right now it's just producing 200 barrels a day, but that's because proper production has not started yet (this is just the output from appraisal wells).It will still require more investment from oil companies, but that could be a thing if that little kerfuffle in Hormuz persists.https://statements.qld.gov.au/statements/104861
>>533948171>bricsnews citing axios>fake jewish source cites fake jewish sourcemany such cases
>>533948986yeah I was just being a smartass.(I'm not a believer in man-made global warming personally, and I think it's a big mistake we're making here, taking it seriously)
>>533948938>but not a loony green.That's why I make the distinction between conservationist, ala Tolkien, and 'environmentalist' which I consider the loony greens
>>533949180I wish I could live long enough to see it again but alas. I've got ten years of I'm lucky.
>>533948843Plants need time to adapt to the extra CO2, some species are already suffering problems with saturation and high temp damage.
>>533949189>we're finally starting to exploit our domestic oil reservesWill it benefit Australia or commie china?Have you seen who will profit the most from it?
>>533949189You don't have much refinery capacity though, especially with one offline. That's what your government needs to get building.
>>533949013miggers are actually 9000d chessing us and planning on inheriting the earth with their massive girth, after they create this crisis
Abowaffen...
>>533949309Yep, there will be losses but that's the beauty of the adaptability of nature.
Everyone knows this war can only end with Israel's complete destruction. Let's go
>>533949379great way to get off the streets
>>533949371The sneaky Jews.
>>533949283>I've got ten years of I'm lucky.But you'll miss all the good bits
>>533949333Yep.But it's hard to do anything because of fucking greentard mentality.
>>533949379based aboriginal frank hassle
>>533948319even if this report is half-true US will never agree on reparations and withdrawal of forces.Also by "opening hormuz" they most likely mean "opening of Iran-controlled hormuz with toll booth and removal of US naval blockade"Basically, nothing changed except for compete removal of nuclear issue off the table which makes it even less acceptable for US.
>>533949409Love that video.
>>533949322Assuming it all goes through and we build refineries to match its output, it will benefit us by shielding us from global market disruptions like the one we're currently facing.But even if we exported some, it still benefits us, that's how trade works.
>>533949379That passes as an Abbo? Looks like a typical mutt...
>>533949379abos are white?
>>533949502That's what it means and more importantly IMO, they are not even interested in discussing uranium at this point. So trump has to concede that just to negotiate again.
>>533949189>In 2000, Australia produced and refined more than 560,000 barrels of domestic oil a day, meeting 98% of its needs. Now, 26 years later, most Australian refineries have closed and major domestic oilfields are running out. The nation produces just 5.6% of the crude oil it consumes each day.What went wrong?? why did you stop producing and went import only?And what happened to the Stuart field near Gladstone?? (20 billion tonnes of shale oil – bigger than the enormous North Sea field)https://theconversation.com/is-there-really-untold-oil-wealth-in-queenslands-taroom-trough-heres-why-scepticism-is-warranted-280707
>>533949379Kek, the jewish psyop with abos is starting to backfire.
>>533949525lmfao, based HFI research
>>533949574You didn't know?
>>533944012>We are awaiting a green light from the United States — first and foremost to complete the elimination of the Khamenei family and to push Iran back into a dark age.These are not mere kikes, but demons.
>>533949457Same here lad. Same here.And it looks like we are about to vote for the cunts properly for the first time.I despair.
>>533949611>What went wrong?? why did you stop producing and went import only?Like most of the world we fell for the globalization meme a bit too much. This era is coming to an end.
>>533949452Hoping for a grandkids or two in that time. I'll go happily.
>>533944544Dipshit, look at the oil shock of 1973 and reevaluate your life.
>>533949710You just said the same thing twice, I don't understand
>>533949756Good on ya mate, you'll get to meet them.
>>533949596and even if Trump agreed on anything, which is unlikely, it will never pass the congress.
>>533949753>This era is coming to an end.I hope so.
>>533949502Axios came from nowhere just in time to drop these market manipulation 'scoops' at strategic levels. It's probably a mossad/CIA joint venture.And I'm as far from a schizo as you'll ever see.
>>533949807
>>533944652Markets are all betting on a peace deals and yet oil prices are still super high.
>>533949611Same as UK north sea I bet. The greens shut it down?
>>533949807Iran is totally fucked, that's why they keep ghosting negotiations. They're so afraid of the USA they're even afraid of the negotiators.
>MES telegram seriously reposting Axiosthis nigger's channel is MOSSAD now lol
>And I'm as far from a schizo as you'll ever see.
>>533944544Your not wrong about the global need for significantly increased nuclear capacity, but building them isn’t exactly an overnight venture, they take time to build and highly skilled personnel to operate. The worst thing i can imagine is a bunch of reactors built on shifty contracts snd staffed by jeets.
>>533949804It'll be like having kids again but I don't have to tell them to behave.
>>533949937kek'd
>>533949972I hear, I wouldn't know, but I hear kids are fine but grandkids are a treasure
>533949902that's the opposite of what someone who's terrified would do
>>533949753>we fell for the globalization meme Ahh, dang.>>533949898Asked GPT and apparently it's shale oil, so not really worth it
>>533949953>and staffed by jeetsBut anon, this is clownworld
>>533950050>that'sthejoke.jpg
>>533949953Coal is where it's at.We still have plenty of coal underground, the plants are much easier and cheaper to build than nuclear, and we can now manage the air pollution much better than old plants. Coal can be stored easily and it doesn't require going through choke points in the middle east.Only reason we're not building them now is because of the global warming meme.The only thing better is hydro. All nations should hydromaxx. For some it's going to be the only thing they need, but obviously some countries don't have enough hydro capacity regardless of what they build.
>>533949934he's just posting the quote and knows his audience knows it's bullshit, look at the emojis
>>533949371>after they create this crisisThis retarded war was a long time coming between dems and republicans though. Trump just started it very stupidly because he wants the credit for getting it done when no one else did before him. Now here we are. Also if there is some kind of dem plan to impeach Trump after midterms to finally "solve" this war, think again. For starters, we don't have until November before the economy feels this, secondly dems mostly want this war and are basically scrambling to find a way to excuse it. It's all going to depend on how bad the US feels the coming stagflation and how desperate the jew lobbie dems are.
>>533950104my bad I missed the one poster who isn't one of the retarded miggers who actually believe shit like that
>>533950081>apparently it's shale oil, so not really worth itThat's what trump is betting on to make up the global shortfall. US shale.
>>533950136If things get bad enough Trump will be removed and Vance will end the war, putting all the blame on the former.
>>533950232the US can't just 'end the war' without opening the strait.
>>533950111Pumped hydro is where it's at. Using wind and solar to pump when available but it's topography dependent. We have a lot here in Scotland. We still have a lot of coal but thatcher didn't just close the mines. She capped them with concrete to ensure they couldn't be reopened. Just to bust up the unions.
>Iran FM Araghchi arrives in Russia following short visit to Islamabad, Pakistan
>>533950136I know, it was a joke
>>533950232This time maga would bring guns to the capitol.
>>533950277>the US can't just 'end the war'you can stop right there, because everything flows from that.the instant they "stop the war" is the instant USA stops being taken seriously internationally.right now what seems likely is them continuing the blockade, while slowly supply shortages ramp up and everyone outside of Iran eats shit.
>>533950314He's got such aura
>>533950337MAGA will do nothing. They are mere golems.
>>533950337Not sure how many MAGA these days are young whippersnappers full of piss and vinegar
>>533950337They don't have the numbers they did then. Trump lost nearly all of his support with this war, don't let the migger shills fool you. It's just kikes and boomers left in his camp.
>>533950422They are angry, self entitled golems. Don't underestimate them.
>>533950449>>533950462I agree there's only a hardcore left. That's what makes them dangerous.
>>533950337The last "riot" was fabricated outrage. Speciously low security and Trump encouraging them to storm the capital. In a real riot scenario, they would have all been fucked up before they even got to the stairs.
>>533950471they are above all cowards
>>533950124dunno, wasn't he hacked.He seems to be much less sceptical now about western media and thats not even the first time he done this.
>>533944483That's a big problem. I want to see dead zogbots in 4k.When will Trump stop cucking out?
A senior and professional Russian commentator talks about the drone incident:"Oleg Blokin (another Russian commentator) published a video showing IDF soldiers gradually sinking into the reality of a new type of warfare - exactly the kind of war we have been conducting since early 2023.Drones have turned what was once absolute military superiority - which included massive artillery, air power, missile systems, and armored forces - into something much less decisive. While they haven't exactly turned that power into a pumpkin, they have significantly leveled the playing field and reduced the huge gap in capabilities between the world's leading armies and those that were not previously considered serious rivals.A person can hold a dozen and a half strike groups of aircraft carriers, thousands of fighter jets, and a whole armored corps; but in ground combat, you will quickly witness how your ground forces' combat power is weakened by the relentless attacks of what were, until recently, just toys. Meanwhile, your soldiers - who today are more valuable than the equipment they operate - are destroyed before they even have a chance to fire a single shot at the enemy.Now, UAVs and drones operated by skilled operators have become a critical component in warfare - a component accessible to almost any nation on Earth, as well as to rebel factions, or - more frighteningly - jihadist gangs. Therefore, the war in Ukraine has opened a new chapter in the art of warfare. Until anthropomorphic or zoomorphic combat robots appear en masse - along with active protection systems for armored vehicles - bold armored breakthroughs will remain nothing more than a dream in the desert. The same goes for armored columns that used to move easily on open roads."
>>533950505Geriatrics aren't too dangerous and the kikes are just using him
war war war war war war war
>>533949611Shut down by global warming faggots (literally funded by Saudi arabia and Russia lol)
>>533950766he should've said "an ice cube in the desert"now baking
>>533950742
>>533950208Prices have to rise in order for shale to be a thingIf everyone is ok with $5 a gallon like 2007. Being it on I guess. Knew some lads who were making $200,000 To shovel dirt onto a conveyor in North Dakota back in those days. But all those operations shut down back in 2009
https://xcancel.com/DropSiteNews/status/2048518167513710673deep state kikes are admitting defeat...its truly over
>>533945015>sand peepo don' season dey clothes
>>533950766Didn't Hezbollah defeat the kikes back in '06?
NEW!!!!!!Breaking 12IDF: 4 soldiers were injured in an operational accident at a base in the south of the country, one of them in serious condition
>>533950975>>533950975>>533950975fresh bread
>>533950977Pressure's on Donnie, their guy won't miss next time
>>533946006Today I learned that Leafs are middle eastern...
>>533950962>Prices have to rise in order for shale to be a thingWhile trump is keeping them down with strategic truths, axios intervention, strategic reserve manipulation and I suspect downright naked shorting at times.It's amplifying a calamity into a disaster.
>>533951056I wonder if they got ran over by one of those big aircraft tankers at this air base.
>>533949567Pretty much anyone can claim abo heritage (if you have no self-respect). You can get gibs from the government if you do. I've swear I've seem more gingers claiming to be kooris (victorian clan abos), than actual darkie stereotype coons.
>>533951250Can I be an abo and get my neetbux?
>>533951503Yep, just gotta get some form of aussie id first, that's literally all you need, then you just tick the box on the form claiming Aboriginal and/or Torres Strait Islander heritage.
>>533944528Not true. Electric cars, biodiesel, and Fischer-Tropsch fuels would mean we would never need to remove a single barrel of oil from the ground ever again. We could power it all with solar and nuclear energy.
>>533951617I'm from the long lost amerigumgum clan, here to get my reparayshuns
>>533951738>power itok but the manufacturing? do you realize how much of the components of all those things are sourced from oil? not to mention everything else that is.
>>533951798Kek, I know it's a joke, but goddam I swear I've seen some just as dodgy claims.It's like that congresswoman in America (can't remember her name), white as all fuck yet she claimed to be American Indjun.
>>533948351The Epstein ballroom
