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File: Smokey.jpg (179 KB, 1280x960)
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Previous: >>535092697

Day 1,541 – Daily assessment: understandingwar.org/analysis/russia-ukraine/#research

▶Latest
>putin has launched an emergency rescue plan for russia's failing economy involving platitudes and hand waving.
>russia's Spring offensive has been deemed a failure, at the cost of 100 000 troops.
>Ukraine has liberated Stepnohirsk
>Ukraine has partnered up with Norway to produce 155mm artillery,
>Netherlands Reignites Debate Over €210 Billion in Frozen Russian Funds for Ukraine
>Ukraine raises its eyebrow and all is known. Ukraine will allow russia to have their gay pride parade in exchange for 1000 PoW's including those from Mariupol.
>1st Azov Corps Begins Destroying Russian Logistics With AI-Powered Hornet Drones in Mariupol
>The Kremlin revoked the previously issued accreditation for foreign journalists to the Victory Parade
>The immortal march has been cancelled due to security concerns - peskov
>Hungary returned money seized by orbán-government to Ukraine
>Ukraine liberated Andriivka and Bilytske
>Kirishi joins the proud list of SNIFFers.
>Cheboksary flamingo'd
>putin fears drone assassination attempt + coup, t. Euro intel
>Ukraine hits 2 russian shadow fleet vessels near Novorossiysk port
>Canada to provide additional $200M for Ukraine weapons procurement
>Ukrainian Defense Forces hit Karakurt-class corvette and oil infrastructure at Primorsk port
>Strikes at Su-57 and Su-34 aircraft at the airfield in Chelyabinsk region - General Staff of AFU
>Another wave of smooooking accidents at the Tuapse and Perm oil refineries
▶Telegram
rentry.org/telosint2023
t.me/ukr_pics
▶Intel
t.me/DeepStateEN
odin.tradoc.army.mil/WEG (equipment explorer)
ukr.warspotting.net (visually confirmed losses)
▶Maps
deepstatemap.live/en
liveuamap.com/en
▶DISPOSABLE SOLDIER (diary of a RU mobik)
TOURS 1-4: files.catbox.moe/mpcw7p.zip
▶12 min of TZD in one ditch (Pokrovsk area) - 28 killed
files.catbox.moe/sxbxfb.mp4
>>
How many sniffings today?
>>
>>535114137
TZD, ENTER SEAGUL
>>
Ryazan received another sugar shipment??????
>>
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Damn, Ryazan sniffs good!
>>
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>>535114326
>SNIFFFF
>>
>>535114311
it's a simple smoking accident, nothing out of the ordinary
>>
https://files.catbox.moe/aesg9j.mp4

SNIFFAROOOOO
>>
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TOTAL
Zigger
DEATH
I hate the so called russians so fucking much
>>
>>535114137
REVENGE!!
>>
>when pidors get their daily dose of sniffing
>>
>>535114271
The much awaited sequel to Fire Down Below... Fire Up Above.
>>
I still don't understand the point of this war
It's like Russia just wanted to to see a lot of people die for no reason
>>
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>>
>>535114701
That's how it is with russia for some reason. There is a reason why none of their neighbors like them.
>>
>>535114609
They don't thank Zelensky for some reason for it.
>>
>>535114701
>it’s like Russia just wanted to see a lot of people die
Once you realize Russians don’t even value their own lives their actions make perfect sense.
>>
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mosque regime is bombing BPR again
>>
>>535114701
People stopped taking russia seriously and that made putin sad
>>
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Even with all the weapons that NATO & America gave Ukraine, not to mention the billions of dollars in aid. Ukraine still couldn’t hold onto their own territories. Zelenskyy has to resort to drone warfare because his armies are completely ineffective.
>>
>>535114137
TZD bomb the ziggeria
>>
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>>535114609
what a chad
>>
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>>535115618
youre still in donbas 12 years later, is the russian army completely impotent?
>>
>>535114609
sulfur is good for the lungs )))
>>
>>535116496
the wheezing means it's working
safe&effective
>>
>>535114701
USA has been using Rusia as a boogieman to justify obscene expenditures on the defense sector, and Monke believed their lies.
>>
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Cobbie. Morning snacks. Radio. Comfy wagie prep. Texting about planned evening shenanigans with the gf. Dropping a zigger-hating shitpost to round up the mood. Happiness and regular old life. All the things ziggers will soon only be able to reminisce, but never again experience.
>>
>>535117178
based bloomer
>>
>>535115456
VOOOOOSIM LEEEEEEEEEEEET
>>
>letting a 1pbtid memeflag bake
śmh 2bh fám
>>
>>535114701
The vatniks believed they would be welcomed as liberators within three days. In the first waves of troops that rode in (on trucks with rotted tires that they had sold all the fuel out of so they could have money for vodka), they literally had groups loaded down with marching band uniforms and musical instruments.

The reason the highest levels of the Russian military believed this shit is because their spies in Ukraine told them this. And the reason their spies told them this is because the spies liked getting paid money but didn't want to bother doing the work of buying off Ukrainian military commanders so they just lied about how great things were and how many colonels and generals they'd paid off to let them roll in unopposed.

A few generals actually did get subverted, which is how southwestern Ukraine got overrun -- the general who was supposed to blow up bridges took the money from Moscow and ordered his troops not to blow up the bridges. He later got captured by Ukraine (crossdressing and trying to pretend he was an old lady), who inexplicably traded him to Russia where he lives now. Ukraine should have just shot him in the head for treason, but I guess they didn't want to look le bad to the EU pansies.
>>
>>535114137
SLAVA UKRAINI

15.05.2026
Tanks — 11935 (+4)
Armored fighting vehicle — 24569 (+12)
Artillery systems — 42085 (+32)
MLRS — 1788 (+1)
Anti-aircraft warfare — 1379
Planes — 435
Helicopters — 352
Ground robotic systems — 1388 (+7)
UAV — 291458 (+1780)
Cruise missiles — 4626 (+41)
Ships (boats) — 33
Submarines — 2
Cars and cisterns — 96540 (+185)
Special equipment — 4184 (+1)
Military personnel — aprx. 1346390 people (+1150)
>>
>>535114137
TZD
>>
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>Less than 0.5ppm
What happen?
>>
>>535114701
Oh, oops, I forgot the point.

The point was, Putin wanted to take over all of Ukraine so he could make progress on rebuilding the USSR (he calls the dissolution of the USSR a great tragedy). And he was dumb enough to believe his spies, which is why he failed. And because he's terrified of being acked if he pisses off the public too much, he didn't mass enough troops to do it if they weren't welcomed as liberators, and he hasn't done a general conscription because he doesn't want Russians to throw a fit over it. So the whole mess has been a giant fucking meatgrinder where he buys up alcoholic mongolian rape babies from his Central Asian territories, and offers amnesties for criminals in his prisons, and tells them to go forth and rape Ukrainians and generally do as much damage as possible to terrorize Ukraine into surrendering.

Why he thinks this is a good idea is because he's a KGB freak who knows that was how the whole USSR was held together, and he knows that if he just kills enough people everyone else will fall in line.
>>
TzD
>>
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today's emoji toll
>>
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>>535114547
VENGEACE
>>
>>535117750
frankly /uhg/ became less necessary with the board having become very ukropilled and /k/ adjacent, ziggers simply aren't here in large numbers anymore, leaving us with a lot of quiet
it's still the most wholesome war thread though, or at least it will be until it's time for the Russia happening and/or civil war generals which will be sooner than later
>>
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>>535114137
How did Ukraine become so cringe when it used to be so based? In 1998, by far the largest party in Ukraine was the Communist Party. Other parties that were popular were also left-wing and pro-Russian. As late as the early 2010s Ukrainians overwhelmingly had a positive opinion of Putin and hated NATO as much as Russians if not more so. How was Ukraine so successfully psyopped into being a European version of Israel?
>>
When will the pidors stop sniffing?
>>
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>>535117552
better than a fucking jeet or talking monkey baking like i see in the cope thread
>>
>>535117972
the internet "psyopped" a great deal of Ukrainians into realizing Moscow scammed them out of national independence thrice in one century.
>>
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>>535117813
>>
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>>
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2 aircraft on today's SBS scoreboard
>>
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>>535117955
>/uhg/ became less necessary
Awww, I just started having fun.
>>
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>>535114137
TZD
>>
>>535118193
It's an old general by any measure. And ziggers haven't changed the strategic nature of the fighting in a very long time. I trust things will get moving soon, either through political upheavals in the mosque sow or extreme Donbabwe-Crimea suffering. By then we'll probably miss the current slowness.
>>
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pozzia will develop a sniffing addiction like this
>>
>>535118405
ballistics are coming this year
>>
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>>535118445
ryazashkvar
everyone's getting touched by the gay rain
>>
>>535118405
>current slowness.
The russian ground forces have taken exceptional losses of equipment and men in tha last three months and Russian oil, gas and industrial targets as well as naval and air force get hit daily by long range srikes
>>535118405
>current slowness
not so much
>>
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>>535118405
>I trust things will get moving soon
Isn't that what anons been saying since the first year, I still remember the TEMPO TEMPO TEMPO and NIGHT OF NIGHTS cringe.
That was very funny.
>>
>>535118445
what is more important in a war? bombing refineries or bombing apartment blocks?
>>
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>>535118568
bomb MIC, bomb refineries THEN move to apartment blocks because fuck ziggers
>>
>>535118023
The bombing also probably didn't help.
>>
>>535114547
Ukraine should be revenging more often.
It's not like they need excuses to bomb strategic assets that contribute to russia's war economy.
>>
>>535117972
they realized they were wrong, something only people are capable of doing so you dont have to worry about it, commie shitskin
>>
>>535117178
This may be the single most wholesome thing I've ever seen, anywhere on this site.
>>
>>535118566
back then most of us didn't expect the zigger economy to last, but since then we realized all that has to happen for total hohol triumph is a wait for puccians last leg in the war of economic+materiel+personnel attrition
we're getting closer to that scenario and on better progress than anticipated
>>
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>>
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Things /ugh/ believed in 2022:
>Putin said that he can take Kiev in 3 days
>Ghost of Kiev
>Russian MoD claims that Moskva returned to port
>Epic Snake Island showdown
>Biden will be re-elected
>>
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>>535117972
>How did Ukraine become so cringe when it used to be so based? In 1998, by far the largest party in Ukraine was the Communist Party.
nu/pol/ in two sentences.
>>
>>535119155
Cope.
>>
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>>535119155
>>
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true!
>>
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>>535119155
Awww is the commie shitskin coping again? LMAO
things you stinky pakijeet thought:
>2 more weeks
>2 more weeks
>2 more weeks
>2 more weeks

FOR GOING ON 5 YEARS YOU NIGGER ANIMALS
>>
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>>535118908
Well ackshually the reason those commiefaggot russnigger parties were so popular was mainly due to insane amounts of corruption and economic ruin
In fact, the 1990s in Ukraine birthed quite a lot of far-right movements such as the Social-National Party of Ukraine and even fascist militias such as UNA-UNSO which fought against the russnigger menace in Chechnya
>>
>>535119186
>>535119198
>>535119209
Post nose, kikes.
>>
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Other shit russniggers believed

>hato biolabs
>Kherson was russniggerland forever
>MUH MOSKVA MADE IT TO PORT
>w-we can fix the Kerch bridge in a week
>The fall of Bahkmut would end the war
>HATO SOLDIERS ARE INVADING KURSK
>t-the submarine went out to do exercises, it'll come back any minute!

AND A MILLION OTHER NIGGER COPES KEKAROOOOO

>>535119246
>A FUCKING MEMEFLAGGOT
KEKAROOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO
>>
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You lost commie niggers, time to noose LMAO
>>
>>535118040
Sumy?
>>
>>535119155
>ghost of kyiv not real
>5 years later russians still have no air superioritity
really makes you think
>>
>>535119124
is this belgorod
>>
>>535119316
ryazan (temporarily inhabited)
>>
>>535118040
why are pidors so bad at war, they are losing ground even on areas where the conflict was frozen.
>>
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>>535119287
Kharkiv
>>
>>535118568

Ukraine's military reportedly launched a large-scale drone attack overnight on May 15,striking Russian military and energy infrastructure in multiple regions of Russia, Russian Telegram media channels reported.

Photos and videos posted on social media purports to show a massive fire emanating from what appears to be the Ryazan oil refinery amid a Ukrainian drone attack. Large plumes of smoke were seen over the city into the morning hours following the attack.

Local residents of the city of Ryazan reported several drones flying overhead before hearing multiple loud explosions in the area of the refinery.

Considered one of the largest oil refineries in Russia, the Ryazan Oil Refinery, which produces upwards of 17.1 million tons of oil per year, has been a regular target of attack given its role in fueling Russia's war machine.

Ryazan Oblast Governor Pavlo Malkova said that drone debris had struck an unspecified enterprise in the region, as well as several residential buildings.

The Russian governor further claimed that three people were killed and 12 were injured as a result of the Ukrainian attack.

pic
A massive fire is seen emanating from what appears to be the Ryazan Oil Refinery on May 15, 2026 amid a large-scale Ukrainian drone attack. (Exilenova_plus)
>>
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>>535119338
It's getting real bad in the Zapo/Kherson sector, russniggers either have to accept limited logistics or fall back to more advantageous positions a.k.a gesture of goodwill KEKAROOOOO
>>
>>535117972
>communist
>based
>>
Elsewhere in Russia, Telegram media channels, citing local resident accounts, reported that smoke was seen rising from a military airfield in the community of Yeysk in Russia's Krasnodar Krai overnight following air defense operations in the region.

The Kyiv Independent cannot immediately verify reports of the attacks nor claims made by Russian officials. Ukraine's military has not yet commented on the reported strikes.

Ryazan is located and about 450 kilometers (280 miles) from Ukraine's northeastern border with Russia along Sumy Oblast, and 180 kilometers (120 miles) southeast of Moscow.

Moscow Mayor Sergiy Sobyanin reported that five Ukrainian drones were downed while approaching the Russian capital just before midnight on May 14. Moscow's Domodedovo and Sheremetyevo airports faced temporary ground halts amid the attack.

Explosions were also heard in Yevpatoria and Saky in occupied Crimea amid a drone attack on the region, the Telegram channel Crimean Wind reported.

Local public channels reported “oil raining down” in Ryazan. Residents also claimed electronic warfare countermeasures were in use.
>>
How is Ukraine bombing so fucking much lately?
>>
>>535120421
They figured out it's the most efficient way to get things done
>>
>>535120421
unlike stockpiles, the military industrial base doesn't disappear once active
>>
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GOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOD MOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOORNING the ukraine! Kalibrations WILL continue until winning improves comrades lmaooooooooo!
>>
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>>535120421
increasing degrees of moderation.
machine translator's notes: "russian-style dinner" is meant to be "russicide"
>>
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shitskin commie niggers are BURNING KEKAROOOOO
>>
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Apparently refinery wasn't the only thing
>>
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>>535120655
Absolutely fucking BASED, KILL THE COMMIE NIGGERS KEKAROOOOO
>>
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oooh here it is, encoding :DDD
>>
>>535120655
video's out
https://t.me/robert_magyar/2354
can't be arsed to ffmpeg it tho
>>
>>535114137
>ukroshills are seething n pissing and shitting
troonkraine lost
nazis lost
>>
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LMAO
AZOV IS SUPER, SUPER!
>>
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>"Be-200" amphibious plane
>>
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>>535120719
While true, this isn't even news anymore comrade: they always do lmaooooooooo!
>>
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>>535120756
What's commie nigger AD doing? KEKAROOOO
>>
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>Ka-27
>>
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still no hangars
>>
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>>535120800
this part addresses your question

>1x Tor-M2
>1x PantSIR-S1
>>
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>>535120807
LMAO I recognize that commie nigger helo!
>>
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>>535120841
Z stands for commie nigger trash KEKAROOOO
>>
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and some ship in Berdyansk, claimed as carrying ammo
>>
>>535120421
Your daily reminder snownigger.
>>
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>Even with all the weapons that NATO & America gave Ukraine, not to mention the billions of dollars in aid. Ukraine still couldn’t hold onto their own territories. Zelenskyy has to resort to drone warfare because his armies are completely ineffective.
>>
>>535120890
Zapped any dogs or cats today anon? Can you post something from animal abuse folder?
>>
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reminder to filter the paid shills
>>
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>>535120921
What a pathetic nigger country, they can't even protect their own trash LMAO
>>
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Sorry pakijeet nigger, you're gonna have to try a bit harder to get (You)s.
>>
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>>535120923
Your daily reminded shumadian pig
>>
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>>535120923
I gotta give it to him, at least the guy said USSR and not just russia. Even the biggest russian nationalists know russia can't win wars alone
>>
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>>535120947
But anon, the pakijeet niggers say I'm CIA, paid personally by Trump to post dead russniggers. I can't filter myself ;(
>>
>>535120890
he looks pretty calm, all things considered
>>
>>535120497
>>535120504
>>535120639

But how? Have they invented new drones or is russian ad to badly degraded they can't defend refineries anymore?
>>
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>>535121022
True, really in their element :)
>>
>>535121036
Yes
>>
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>>535121015
They act as if CIA isn't controlled by orange cuck and that's kinda funny. Lazy niggers couldn't come up with something new
>>
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>>535121036
Have you not noticed the amount of AD the commie niggers poured into Crimea to try to defend assets there? Not even taking into account mosquew. They simply do not have the AD required to cover their nigger nation and they're paying for it bigly ;)
>>
>>535121036
Drones are cheap even compared to cheap air defense. Russia is just a big country and the logistics plays no favors for air defense.
>>
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>>535121036
The last attack to the ryazan refinery in Nov2025 had like one successful hit, this one was much more catastrophic. Looks like the AA culling is paying dividends.
>>
And looks like the prisoner exchange is happening, but it's 205 for 205 prisoners
>>
>>535121106
even vatnik bots have hard time comprehending that America is now ran by pro-russian retards lmao
>>
>>535121196
yep, just watched madyar's interview and he said exactly that
one funny thing, he mentioned that ziggers took some AD system designed for ships and mounted it stationary in some field in Luhansk region
peedor is having issues with air defense
>>
>>535119410
>the Ryazan Oil Refinery, which produces upwards of 17.1 million tons of oil per year
Oil refinery bingo chart status?
>>
>>535121358
To be fair, they've been doing this for at least 2 years now.
>>
>>535114137
bumping to help ruin the site
the white race will go extinct
>>
>>535121414
Even if all refineries get destroyed like in Ukraine war will still go on so idk what's the point, it's just the "feel good" news for r3ddit and twitter upboats.
>>
>>535121470
Reminder that /uhg/ is the only White bastion left on /pol/ and anywhere else is filled with disgusting subhuman niggers like (You). And that's why you niggers constantly seethe here LMAO

/uhg/ WON
Ukraine WON
THe White Man WON

/chug/niggers LOST
the global nigger south LOST
russia LOST

KEKAROOOO
>>
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>>535121500
What do you think russia uses their oil for you retarded commie nigger. If they can't refine oil or move crude, where's the budget gonna come from? Your commie nigger fantasies? LMAO
>>
>>535114701
>I still don't understand the point of this war
Goal was quick regime change to bring Ukraine back to puppet state status as it was under Yanukovych.

I know people shit a lot on the puccians, but, while it's true that their invasion was poorly planned with all sorts of coordination and corruption issues fucking shit up, I think that they actually did come pretty close to pulling it off successfully. They did make it to the outskirts of Kyiv; if they'd been just a bit more competent or even just a bit more lucky, if Zelensky decided to flee rather than publicly make a stand, etc., I think their invasion could have worked. Like yeah, they fucked it up and planned it badly, but it wasn't, overall, a dumb strategic move; if they'd done it more competently or just gotten lucky they'd be in a very good position today since Germany and France didn't want to decouple their economies from puccian oil anyways.
>>
>The share of Russian citizens who allow mass protests due to a decline in living standards in the country has reached 20%.

>Compared to November measurements, the number of those who believe in the possibility of economic protests increased by 4 percentage points (from 16%)
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>>535120756
That's sad, Be-200 is a nice plane. However it is a good idea to eliminate firefighting planes before summer so then the forest fires happen.
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>>535121603
I mean ukraine has no oil and no working refineries so all this droning does nothing and is just coperaging since zelenski can't do shit on actual battlefield.
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>>535120800
>r****n with hole in skull
>No visible brain

What could this mean?
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>>535121707
As soon as the VEH DEH VEH niggers got killed at Hostomel, the entire invasion was ogre, the funny thing is putin coulda offramped back to russniggerland and barely have anything change for russia. Instead they doubled, tripled, quadrupled down and now they're facing the end of the Uki barrel KEKAROOOOO
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>>535121500
You're right, if the Russian leadership is some combination of stupid and desperate.
I'll rephrase your genius logic
>if Russia loses everything, what does Russia have to lose????
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>>535121766
Instead, they have 90 Billion Euro provided from russnigger profits to spend to kill russniggers lmao. The West is funding total russnigger death, who's going to save russia? chinks? KEKAROOOOO
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>>535121500
>even without arms and legs russia will continue its aggression against Ukraine because it's the smart thing to do
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>>535121707
>They did make it to the outskirts of Kyiv; if they'd been just a bit more competent or even just a bit more lucky, if Zelensky decided to flee rather than publicly make a stand, etc
The problem is that the entire logic here stinks. Zelensky (or his potential successor) making a stand was entirely foreseeable by anyone who would've just stopped and thought about it for a while. It was a plan based on fantasy logic.
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>>535121927
russians believed their own propaganda, that's the reason for this nonsense invasion, they assumed that elite vedeve super soldiers will easily overcome any resistance and capture the capital after which entire Ukraine would surrender because nobody in their sane mind would dare to continue fighting against such giga powerful army as the russian one
>>
yeah
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>>535121500
the puccner has collapsed from fiscal megadeath before
we have the power to make it happen again
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>>535122041
I remember during invasion week the VEH DEH VEH niggers being file by AP news and they were just huddled together at the corner of some street for HOURS. Just doing nothing, gave me serious Blackhawk Down vibes. It's pretty funny that all those faggots that I saw in that broadcast are now worm meat, lmao. And the best part? russniggers made some faggy strat game where it's retconned as some fucking grand victory KEKAROOOOO
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>>535122041
On the flipside, Russian power wasn't entirely made up either. Russian material and manpower are what enabled them to stay in a war with such an abhorrent plan. When you have enough shit, you can afford to miss the wall a few times.
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>>535122127
yeah russian army turned out to be so fucking incompetent its unbelievable, just imagine what would happen if WW3 actually kicked off and they had to fight NATO instead of a single relatively poor European country
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>>535121707
>if if if if if
who cares? If i had a billion I'd be rich
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>>535122269
Europe has to actually get to growing some balls though, actually the West in general, we've become too comfortable and it's obvious as day that this is just the start of global instability.
>>
They are doing the prisoner exchange after all. 205 people currently.
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>>535122215
I think its mostly western leaders to blame not the actual russian resilience, if sanctions were actually harsh and support to Ukraine came in actually significant number from day 1 then this war would have been over long time ago but western politicians were faggots afraid of muh eskalashun so instead they tiptoed for years dripping the support in laughable numbers after months of deliberations (I still remember how much endless talk there was about sending western tanks and in the end Ukraine got just few dozen of them)
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>>535122109
Based comrade Krasnov, I knew his hearth was thumping for the right side of history lmaoooooooooooooooooooo!
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>>535122354
oh yeah absolutely, its now or never, if Europe doesn't become strategically independent and self reliant then its over, crazy times have only just began I fear so we need to be prepared
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>>535122471
Just add Canada to Europe and we'll add a few more pages to the Geneva convention :)
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>>535119206
A burning russian flag. Poetic.
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>>535122514
Ewwwwww comrade, you will never be a gayrapean. You have no culture, you have no history, the canada isn't even a real country, you better forget about this whole idea alltogether lmaoooooooooooooooooooo!
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abloo abllooooooo ablloooooo. KEKAROOOOO
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>>535120825
Brother how hard is it to put up a corrugated steel shed over these things ?
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>>535120921
>broad daylight
>0 machine guns even trying to down the thing
What a fucking shitshow



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