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Previous: >>543122185

Day 1,673 – Daily assessment: understandingwar.org/analysis/russia-ukraine/#research

▶Latest
>Samara refinery strike
>Ufa refinery strike
>Mosquew authorities didn't initiate alerts during the raid to "ensure election attendance"
>Ukraine launched over a thousand drones at mosquew, setting the refinery ablaze and killing at least 3 rusniggers
>Ukraine’s 3rd Army Corps Recaptures 125 Sq Km in "Operation Vivaldi" in Donetsk Region
> The Third Army Corps paralyzed the Russian elite unit "Rubicon" in Lyman
>Ukraine reveals 'Operation Vivaldi' counterattack near Lyman
>In Rostov - the destruction of an An-12 aircraft, two An-26s, and three more helicopters
>US House passes Graham's Russia sanctions bill
>Belarus reactivates signal relays
>Ukraine repatriates bodies of 252 fallen citizens
>Two S-400 launchers struck in Bryansk
>Yaroslavl oil refinery struck again
>Russian general Grunis killed weeks after being awarded Hero of Russia
>Russian general Milchakov killed in August drone strike
>In 2026, a Russian refinery was hit by drones on average every three days t. IEA
>World’s First Naval Drone Duel: Ukrainian Victory
>Strike Destroys Molniya Drone Production Facility and Fuel Tanks at Taganrog Airfield
>Russian Drone Strike Narrowly Misses Boris Johnson, Carl Bildt and Ex-CIA Chief David Petraeus

▶Telegram
rentry.org/telosint2023
t.me/ukr_pics
▶Intel
t.me/DeepStateUA
t.me/DroneBomber
t.me/Exilenova_Plus
odin.tradoc.army.mil/WEG (equipment explorer)
ukr.warspotting.net (visually confirmed losses)
▶Maps
deepstatemap.live/en
liveuamap.com/en
▶russian confirmed KIA
hochuvernut.com
200.zona.media/
poteru.net/en/
▶An illustrative article for understanding the "kill zone" in Ukraine's front lines
reuters.com/graphics/UKRAINE-CRISIS/KILL-ZONE/znpnojmknvl/
▶/uhg/-approved vidya
deepstatemap.live/arcade/
▶DISPOSABLE SOLDIER (diary of a RU mobik)
TOURS 1-4: files.catbox.moe/19avc9.zip
>>
>>543131802
TZD
>>
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No point checking his early life, you already know

Russian Interior Ministry (MVD) General Andrey Krayushkin was recently appointed by the Russian leader Vladimir Putin to manage the seized local operations of Western retail and food giants Auchan, Nestlé, and Lemana Pro.

According to the independent Russian outlet Agentstvo News’ report on September 22, Krayushkin’s family maintains deep personal and financial ties to two major Russian real estate billionaires.
>>
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Ukraine and Syria have signed an intergovernmental agreement aimed at strengthening cooperation in humanitarian mine action, including land clearance, specialist training, and the use of Ukrainian technologies for detecting explosive hazards, Ukraine’s Ministry of Economy and Environment reported.

The agreement was signed in Damascus by Ukraine’s Deputy Minister of Economy and Environment Ihor Bezkaravainyi, who is visiting Syria, and Syria’s Deputy Minister for Emergency Situations and Disaster Management Mustafa Munir.
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The Security Service of Ukraine (SBU) has arrested an operative working on behalf of Russia’s Federal Security Service (FSB) who was preparing to assassinate a prominent Russian opposition figure in Kyiv, the agency reported on September 22.

The target, who currently leads an all-Ukrainian non-governmental organization and works as a kickboxing coach in the capital.
>>
Kindersoldaten when?
>>
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Former Belgorod mayor and former regional deputy governor Konstantin Polezhayev has been killed while serving in Russia’s war against Ukraine, after signing a military contract following his conviction in a multimillion-ruble bribery case.

According to Belgorod-based outlet Fonar on September 22, Polezhayev’s relatives confirmed his death but did not disclose when, where, or under what circumstances he was killed. The outlet said he had served in Russia’s 1st Assault Battalion of the 272nd Motorized Rifle Regiment and was killed outside the Belgorod region.
>>
>>543131840
Thank you for a new channel find, btw. Any more good shit?
>>
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And slowly turns the grinding wheel
IN THE COURT OF THE CRIMSON KIIIIIING
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Ukraine’s repeated strikes on Russia’s Black Sea Fleet have created a growing maintenance problem for Moscow, leaving damaged warships with few safe places where they can undergo lengthy repairs without becoming stationary targets.

According to Ukrainian Navy spokesperson Dmytro Pletenchuk on September 22, Russia is struggling to conduct full-scale maintenance at its Novorossiysk base, while its primary repair infrastructure in temporarily occupied Crimea has become increasingly difficult to use because of Ukrainian strikes.
>>
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Ukraine's Unmanned Systems Forces (SBS) have disabled 300 vessels of Russia's so-called shadow fleet across the Azov and Black seas over 11 weeks, the force reported on September 22.

Robert "Madyar" Brovdi, commander of the Unmanned Systems Forces, announced the milestone in a Facebook post marking the latest stage of Operation "MoLoChKa," which began on July 6. Ukrinform relayed his statement the same day.

"300 shadow fleet vessels have been hunted and taken out of self-propelled condition in the Azov (134 boats) and Black (166) seas by SBS Birds," Brovdi wrote.
>>
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>>543131829
i hope they don't hang putin
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Ukrainian forces struck a Russian storage and launch site for attack drones in Russia’s Oryol region, damaging five launchers and several storage facilities, Ukraine’s General Staff reported on September 22.

According to the General Staff, the strike was carried out on September 21 against a facility near the settlement of Tsymbulova, which was used by Russian forces to store, prepare, and launch attack drones.

At least three drone storage facilities were hit, resulting in fires at the site. The strike also damaged a launch area used for jet-powered UAVs, as well as five drone launchers.

The General Staff said Ukrainian forces systematically target facilities used to store, prepare, and launch Russian attack drones as part of efforts to reduce Moscow’s ability to conduct strikes against civilian targets in Ukraine.
>>
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>>543131802
Why is NATO so gay, and why Ukraine trusts them lmao
>>
What did this donetsik child get droned for ?
>>
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Ukraine and France have signed a contract for the supply of air defense radars and interceptor missiles, French President Emmanuel Macron announced on September 22.

“We are strengthening its [Ukraine’s] air defense by signing a contract for the supply of radars, as well as the supply of interceptors,” Macron wrote on X.

The French president did not specify the types or number of radars and interceptor missiles covered by the agreement, nor did he provide a timeline for their delivery.
>>
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>>543131991
>>
>>543131991
>die Linke

These are your nuthuggers, Stepashka.
>>
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TZD
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Ukraine’s Third Army Corps destroyed a fuel pipeline that supplied around half of the daily diesel requirements of Russian forces in the temporarily occupied Luhansk region, forcing Russian troops to move fuel supplies farther from the front.

According to Militarnyi on September 21, the pipeline ran from Russia’s Voronezh region into the temporarily occupied Luhansk region and served Russian forces operating in the area.

The Third Army Corps said Ukrainian forces targeted both the pipeline’s initial and final fuel reception points, as well as Russian fuel trucks involved in the supply network.
>>
TZD
>>
>>543131908
>King Crimson mentioned
gigabased
>>
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A fire broke out at the Kuibyshev Oil Refinery in Samara following an overnight Ukrainian drone attack on September 22, with preliminary analysis indicating that one of the facility’s processing units was hit, according to Russian media outlet ASTRA.

Residents of Russia’s Samara region reported hearing explosions overnight. An analysis of eyewitness footage by ASTRA indicated that the Kuibyshev refinery had been struck, with a fire subsequently breaking out at the facility.

Samara region Governor Vyacheslav Fedorishchev confirmed the attack, saying that an industrial facility had been targeted.

“The enemy targeted industrial enterprises. Civilian facilities were also damaged, including private homes and vehicles,” Fedorishchev said.
>>
Ukraine is heading into what UN development chief Alexander De Croo calls the "toughest winter" since Russia's 2022 invasion, with officials warning of a possible "humanitarian catastrophe" as Russia systematically targets energy infrastructure alongside civilian sites like shopping malls and petrol stations, leaving crews racing to repair the power grid—often under active bombardment—before temperatures drop as low as -20C threaten heating, water, and sewage systems; the warning comes amid intensifying aerial attacks from both sides, including Russia's newer jet-powered drones, deadly strikes on Ukrainian cities and a Ukrainian drone attack on Sochi, even as US-brokered talks between Trump's envoys and the Russian and Ukrainian leaders continue.
>>
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Communist Party leader Gennady Zyuganov stated that Russia will ultimately face defeat if its current political course remains unchanged and Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine continues, The Moscow Times reports.

Speaking at a press briefing following the State Duma elections, Zyuganov called for a left-center shift toward policy based on justice, friendship, and socialism.
>>
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The Russian Finance Ministry was forced to delay a portion of scheduled government expenditures to later periods to maintain its "everything for the front" priority and keep the budget balanced.

Finance Minister Anton Siluanov announced these measures during the Moscow Financial Forum, as reported by The Moscow Times on September 21.
>>
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Moscow’s primary oil processing facility suspended crude operations after Ukraine’s drone strikes triggered blazes across its primary distillation units on September 20, as reported by Reuters.

Three industry sources confirmed that the plant, owned by Gazprom Neft, completely halted processing following retaliatory long-range strikes carried out in response to ongoing Russian attacks against Ukraine during Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine.
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Satellite imagery published on September 21 indicates that Ukrainian drones pierced protective bunkers and damaged hangars at Russia’s Tsymbulova droneport in the Oryol region.

Militarnyi reported the damage on September 21, citing satellite imagery published by the Telegram channel Absolutely Reliable.

The Tsymbulova site, near the village of the same name in Russia’s Oryol region, is a dedicated base for storing, preparing, and launching Russian strike drones.

Construction of the facility began in August 2024, and investigators believe the first drone launches may have taken place as early as that autumn.
>>
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>>>>>543131802
In this infinite-mercy of Culśanś-Hermes-Neptune-Polaris-Pleiades-Ogdoad-Sol-Uranus-Slaanesh-Ares-Selene-Abrasax-2020-Amalek-Februus-Enlil-Ilu-Europa-Yehoodah-Jupiter-Ploutos-Inari-Hotei-Ebisu-Daikoku-Earth-Saturn-Discordia,
Bless those who bless Ukraine; Curse those who curse Ukraine. Ahmeyn; So mote it be. [ 8-8-8 ]
>>
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A severely wounded Russian soldier left without evacuation shot himself after telling his commander he could no longer endure his injuries, according to an intercepted conversation released by Ukraine’s military intelligence.

Ukraine’s Defense Intelligence (HUR) published the recording on September 21, saying the soldier served with Russia’s 348th Motor Rifle Regiment of the 35th Motor Rifle Brigade operating in the Oleksandrivka direction.
>>
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>>>>>543132316
>>>>>543131802
God bless those Ukrainian war-criminals; God curse The Russian Federation. Ahmeyn; So mote it be. [ 8-8-8 ]
>>
>>543132322
Thank you for your effort posts


>>543131908
Kekekek, zizters
>>
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In mid-September, Third Army Corps commander Andrii Biletskyi announced a counteroffensive in the northern Donetsk region. Ukrainian forces cleared Novoselivka, Oleksandrivka, and Yarova, and secured the outskirts of Korovii Yar while liberating and securing Serednie. The operation was conducted under an information blackout, which is why details had not previously been made public.

The operation was dubbed Vivaldi, after Antonio Vivaldi’s The Four Seasons. When Biletskyi first revealed it, he emphasized that the cycle has four seasons—and that Ukraine had disclosed only Season one.

Season two has now followed.

Ukrainian forces liberated Shandryholove and Derylove and established full control over nearby Drobysheve in the Lyman sector of the northern Donetsk region. Across the first two seasons of Operation Vivaldi, Ukrainian forces have brought 125 square kilometers of territory under their control, including 50 square kilometers liberated from Russian occupation.

The Third Army Corps says Russian forces have suffered more than 3,000 soldiers killed and wounded during the operation.

What matters more than the Vivaldi metaphor is what the operation demonstrates: Ukrainian forces are conducting successful offensive operations in the very region Russia has spent years trying to bring fully under its control. Ukraine is pushing Russian forces back and regaining territory in the Donetsk region.

It is yet another indication that Russia’s offensive war is stalling—and that giving away Ukrainian territory for nothing is the worst possible strategy.
>>
>>543131829
>>543131967
R0LL
>>
>Due to difficulties at Russia's southern ports, farmers are stuck with millions of tons of grain prepared for export. The goal is to export approximately 60 million tons of wheat and other grains. The obvious solution of rerouting them to Northwestern ports is looming large and is being actively discussed at the highest levels. However, so far, only tears have reached the Gulf of Finland, which does little, or rather, nothing, to solve the underlying problem. Bureaucracy is compounded by technological limitations, leaving St. Petersburg port workers and southern Russian farmers penniless.

Oh no, thats unfortunate!
>>
>>543131802

When will the uraine stop coping?
>>
Russia launched a major overnight missile and drone barrage across Ukraine that continued into Thursday morning, with explosions still audible in Kyiv. Russia's defense ministry called it a strike on military related targets, including industrial sites, refineries, logistics hubs, and port infrastructure, in nine Ukrainian cities, but civilian buildings were hit too. The attack killed at least two people, a 78 year old woman in Zaporizhzhia and one person in Kharkiv, and wounded at least 14 more.

Four districts of Kyiv were hit, damaging residential buildings, a school, and a medical facility, though no casualties were reported there. In Odesa, an attack lasting more than seven hours damaged a 16 story apartment building, two educational facilities, and a grain elevator, with train delays of more than 17 hours following. In Kherson, glide bombs destroyed generating equipment at a combined heat and power plant ahead of winter. Russian drones also hit distribution centers for a toy store chain, a confectionery company, and an electronics retailer, part of what appears to be a pattern of targeting Ukrainian businesses. Ukraine's air force said it shot down or suppressed seven Russian ballistic missiles.

Ukraine kept up its own long range drone campaign into Russia during this period, striking Russian command posts near Donetsk and hitting logistics facilities belonging to Ozon, Russia's second largest e-commerce company, following earlier strikes on warehouses belonging to Wildberries. Russia claimed its air defenses shot down 267 Ukrainian drones over the same stretch.

Zelenskyy called for more Western air defense support, particularly Patriot missiles and ballistic missile defense packages, and was expected to visit Moldova on Thursday for its independence day. That visit came amid rising regional unease after several drones briefly entered Moldovan airspace overnight.
>>
>>543132611
Checking that dűbs-get btw


>>543132660
Pressing F for those civvies once more
>>
1/2

U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio said Russia cannot win a decisive military victory in Ukraine and that the war will end in a negotiated settlement.
Speaking to WABC radio on Sept. 22, Rubio said the conflict “is not good for either side,” that Russian forces “are not doing well,” and that stopping the fighting “makes all the sense in the world.” He added that “in foreign policy … sometimes what makes sense isn’t necessarily what happens.”
“It’s not going to end through some overwhelming military victory by one side or the other. It will end through a negotiated deal. And the sooner that happens, the less people have to die and the less destruction there’s going to be,” Rubio said. He said President Donald Trump’s administration would keep looking for openings to narrow the gap between Kyiv and Moscow but that the two sides remain far apart.
Trump and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky met for about 40 minutes in New York on Sept. 22 on the sidelines of the U.N. General Assembly. Trump said there were chances of a deal and that “the time has come” to end the war, without describing terms. Zelensky said both capitals want the “senseless Russian war” finished before winter and that they discussed de-escalation steps that could open a path to diplomacy.
>>
>>543132804
2/2

Zelensky said Washington would pass Moscow a Ukrainian proposal for a reciprocal energy truce: Kyiv would halt strikes on Russian oil refineries and energy infrastructure if Russia stopped attacking Ukraine’s power, heating and water systems. He said he hoped the United States could still bring the parties to talks.
Western officials cited by The New York Times in August assessed that if Russia cannot seize the rest of Donbas by autumn 2027, the likelihood of negotiations would rise. Moscow’s condition for ending the fighting includes Ukrainian withdrawal from the parts of Donetsk region it still holds. Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov has said Russia will continue operations until it achieves its goals on the battlefield and until the West makes concessions.
>>
Russian authorities are discussing a new passenger levy to help pay for leasing and operating domestically built airliners meant to replace Boeing and Airbus jets.
Sources told Kommersant that the Transport Ministry, Industry and Trade Ministry and Rostec are examining a surcharge of up to 500 rubles on domestic tickets and 1,000 rubles on international ones. One source put the possible rates higher, at 700 and 2,000 rubles. Using 2025 traffic of about 81.5 million domestic and 27.4 million international passengers, the levy could raise 68–84 billion rubles a year. No decision has been taken on the rate or how it would be collected.
Part of the money would go to lessors to close the gap between production cost and the discounted price offered to airlines. Part could go to carriers to offset higher early operating costs, including fuel, on Russian types versus Western ones.
Kommersant has previously put the production cost of the first MC-21s at 8.9–11 billion rubles, against 3.9–4 billion for a Boeing 737-800 and 3.4–3.6 billion for an Airbus A320-200. It put the SJ-100 at 5.4 billion versus about 3 billion for an Embraer E190, the Tu-214 at 8.9 billion and the Il-114 at 4 billion. Since 2022, Western aircraft have entered Russia only through unofficial channels at a premium.
The industry program that once envisaged more than 1,000 domestic airliners by 2030, and dozens of SJ-100s, MC-21s, Il-114s and Tu-214s in airline hands by 2026, has been repeatedly delayed. Serial output remains thin.
Andrei Kramarenko of the HSE Institute of Transport Economics said the source of funds for the early, loss-making years of the new types is still unresolved. The federal budget is tight and airlines have little spare capacity. Higher fares would cut demand, traffic, airline and airport revenue, and tax receipts, he said.
>>
Russia’s financial-intelligence service has proposed a new ground for freezing bank accounts: a partial match between a customer’s details and those of a person already subject to an asset freeze.
Draft amendments to the anti-money-laundering and counter-terrorist-financing law (115-FZ), posted on the official legal-information portal, would let banks suspend operations for five working days when client data partly coincides with a listed name. Access would be restored unless the restrictions are extended. Rosfinmonitoring would set the matching criteria. The stated aim is to close evasion through variant spellings of names. The explanatory note says that as of Feb. 1, 2026, more than 800 people on the agency’s list had several recorded versions of their data.
Banks already must freeze accounts of people on the Rosfinmonitoring terrorism and extremism register within a day of listing. That register has long exceeded 15,000 names and, by mid-2026 counts, stood above 21,000. Public discussion of the draft ends on Sept. 24. If adopted, the changes would take effect 270 days after official publication.
Lawyers warned of more false hits. Artur Leer of Lex Alliance said freezes could rise by about 20% and that banks still lack a working fast-unfreeze process. Ekaterina Kosareva of VMT Consult said automatic AML systems already fire incorrectly in 90–95% of cases because they follow formal markers. Alexei Rodin of Rodin.Capital said an appeals route is needed; unfreezing can take more than a week. Financial analyst Alexei Krichevsky said banks should tighten algorithms so a namesake in another city and occupation is not frozen because of someone on the list.
>>
>>543131802
Why is russia still pretending to be a democracy?
>>
>>543132929
because the audience was never you, swedebro. russian elections aren't a vote, they're an inventory count.

>kremlin sets turnout + United Russia targets, regions get graded on hitting them
>state employers appoint "brigade leaders" to track who voted. teachers in yakutsk had to report which PARENTS voted, every 2 hours
>result: "record" 59.32% turnout, ~58% for UR. the state's own pollster VTsIOM exit-polled them at 49.4
>kremlin strategist told meduza the numbers go "in the president's folder". even he called 58% unconvincing
>A Just Russia sat at 4.96%, under threshold. putin sent a "signal", by midday it was exactly 5
>16 districts "set aside" for the tame opposition, zyuganov discussed 2nd place with putin personally

so why keep the costume on?
1. legitimacy is cheaper than terror. "the people chose this" costs less than running full north korea
2. loyalty test. a governor who can herd his teachers to the polls can herd them for anything
3. the "opposition" is a pressure valve that votes with the kremlin anyway
4. they need it for the "zelensky is illegitimate" line. ukrainian law bans elections under martial law. russia has had its OWN martial law in the occupied oblasts since oct 2022 and held "elections" there anyway. 70%+ turnout kek

the USSR held elections too, 99-point-something every time. the form survives because the form is the point.
>>
>>543132929
Humiliation ritual that shows that tzar will rig them blatantly and openly and you can do nothing about it
If you vote you're a cuck because tzar will do what he wants anyway
If you don't it shows you're a cuck who won't even go out to vote
It's to dominate and humiliate cattle into submission
>>
>>543133026
What's also incredulous with the most recent """"elections"""" is that the Communist Party of the Russian Federation is the second most voted political party.
>>
>>543133238
It's an anti-coup move. Putin thinks it will dissuade assassination since it will seem that if he gets deposed someone worse will take his place
>>
>>543132929
1: Humiliation ritual for the krepostniks
2: A veneer of legitimacy for when said krepostniks start bitching about the bottle in their ass - literally "You voted for this".
>>
I had a neighbor who was a complete drunk. Constant whining at the walls, clinking of bottles, and when he opened the door in the stairwell there was just a fucking stench of booze fumes.

One day it got suspiciously quiet... At first I thought he’d croaked, or maybe he did croak at that point, lol. I waited a week. Then I got to talking with a neighbor, and the neighbor said he was already fucking sick of it. A district cop had come to him and most likely hinted that he could wipe out all his debts in an instant — all he had to do was sign at the bottom of the page. Well, and then it was the classic, like in that meme about the psych ward.

Now I live in silence and peace.
>>
>>543133444
Hilarious if true


>>543133330
Interesting...
>>
Okay. Maybe Russia doesn't have democracy. But if you look at what the west has earned thanks to democracy? Immigration, wokeism, crime, no national pride, country becomes a museum, loss of international reputation. Maybe Russia is doing just fine without democracy.
>>
>>543133565
In the Russian Federation, the president is a tsar. He can dissolve parliament (Article 84 of the Constitution) and issue decrees that replace laws - there is nothing like this in any European republic or in the USA. Electors and hereditary ties are peculiarities, but they do not give the American president the right to overturn Congress’s decisions or appoint governors.

An optimal and stable political structure of society should not ensure that the best politicians come to power, but prevent its monopolization by the worst of them. Authoritarian regimes, by definition, are not protected from these risks: many of them (especially personalist autocracies) lack a “foolproof” safeguard. The dispersion of economic growth rates among democracies is always far lower than among authoritarian regimes, and long-term growth trends on the whole always favor democracies.

In Russia, power has never passed from hand to hand after freely contested elections: 1905, 1917, 1991 - all through violence and the destruction of the state.
>>
>>543133565
...I'm sorry, but what is your caste again?
>>
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>>543134170
>Don't allow the invasion of your homeland
That's right.
>>
>>543134218
I was talking to the white people in the thread, Shitpreet.
>>
>>543134241
But you aren't white.
>>
>>543134170
lmao sure thing bro and most importantly don't oppose the kremlin right?
>>
>>543134170
What is it with you an your unending fascination with rape? You keep bringing up unprompted. Are you shitskins really so sexually dissatisfied that even masturbation doesn't help?
>>
>>543131991
>die linke
Are pro russian.
>>
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>>543134241
You pork you disgusting brown nigger lmao.
/chug/niggers larping as Whites, it never stops being funny.
>>
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>>543134382
>you
post*
>>
>>543133565
>Immigration, wokeism, crime, no national pride, country becomes a museum, loss of international reputation.
Now which of these doesn't apply to russia? Just replace "wokeism" with "commie-nostalgia".
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>>543133565
Go ahead and point out the White men in this utopian nigger russia you keep speaking of LMAO
>>
>>543132929
Same reason every western democracy (where you can vote for mass migration, mass migration, or mass migration) does. VOOOOOOTING lets the people pretend there's a non-violent solution to their problem so they don't have to face the uncomfortable reality that violence (or the credible and long-term threat thereof) is the only way to effect change.

puccia's just incompetent at it mainly because they try to keep the same dude in charge rather than swapping him out occasionally for someone from the exact same socioeconomic class, in the west we do it a lot better.
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the puccian language will always sound incredibly adorable to my ears, like kawaii energy that puts even Japanese to shame, also Irinas understand casual relationships
I cannot stop puccia diving, it is hopeless, they are my heroin
still, total pidor death
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>>543133330
Your daily reminder snownigger



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