Under what conditions is absence of evidence equal to or not equal to evidence of absence?>Example:You are given an urn with balls, and told, by a known liar, that there are 9 red balls and 1 green ball in the urn. Furthermore, you can see some of the balls inside the urn, and all the balls you see are the same color. You can't see all the balls in the urn, as some balls are blocking the view. You begin drawing balls, with replacement, and, after 1000 draws, you never get a ball of different color than the ones you see.How do you determine that the absence of evidence of a green ball is evidence that a green ball is absent? How do you incorporate the possibility that you were lied to about the number of red and green balls? How do you incorporate the possibility that you have spontaneously developed red-green colorblindness?
Personal belief
>>16811614You open the jar, or what is formally referred to as doing an antisemitism.
>>16811614Look up a book on hypothesis testing nigga.That's what it's for.
>>16811614>evidence of absenceNo such thing.>the possibility that you were lied toNow that is an actual state of affairs that you can gather evidence for in the normal way.
>>16811614See Warrant Canary.
>>16812097I know the basics of hypothesis testing, but I want to know if there's a theoretical answer to my question. The example is mostly for goofs.
>>16811614>proudly ownwhat is the purpose of adding "proudly"?garbage propaganda shit
>>16811614It's a function of strength and importance of a claim.>I own a tennis ballI don't care. Even if you don't own one you easily could within an hour. No need to prove it. I'll take your word for it. >I play tennis professionally A bit more impressive. In isolation I might take your word for it. But if it's being used to support a separate dubious claim of yours then I'll need you to back that shit up with something.>I invented tennis.Nigger, show me the fucking time machine. Then explain why you would use it to invent fucking tennis of all things.
>>16812124>what is the purpose of adding "proudly"?To indicate that streetshitters are guilty of the sin of pride, which justifies taking their gold away and putting it to more civilized uses in the West.
>>16812122Hypothesis testing provides that answer(probabilistic)?What other answer are you hoping for?>>16812101>>evidence of absence>No such thing.There is. In absolute terms- Exhaustive search provides evidence of absence.Generally, it's the same as any other evidence in statistics, repeated testing pulling nothing provides a high degree of certainity towards the hypothesis that the thing you're searching for is absent.>>16812124>what is the purpose of adding "proudly"?To say that they're proud of it? What's incomprehensible about this?
>>16812135This comment is deeply profound and severely underrated.Mods please sticky.Liked & Subscribed!
>>16812174>Exhaustive searchProvably exhaustive, yes? NTA, but you're just shifting a goalpost or converting a unit here.So, we've covered all finite sets, but they were already done, so we didn't gain much here, did we?
>>16811614https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Checking_whether_a_coin_is_fair>but this isn't a coinsame idea.
>>16812183You can be exhaustive over some infinite sets too.>we didn't gain much here, did we?We gained that evidence of absence can exist. That is can always exist for all sets/hypotheses was never a point.
>>1681213510 generations ago, my ancestor invented baseball.
>>16812189Induction and recursion are pretty much a given too. Not seeing any gain in rhe definition change other than for clarity.That's all.
>>16812188Just flip the coin twice and reject HH and TT. This ain't rocket surgery.
>>16811614Just check the colors of the apples in your kitchen. Every green apple is evidence that all the balls in the urn are red.
Indians are so obnoxious they make me puke. Disgusting roaches on this planet, most of them at least.
>>16811614https://www.readthesequences.com/Absence-Of-Evidence-Is-Evidence-Of-Absence
>>16812460https://youtu.be/HZGCoVF3YvM
>>16812312Are you a professor
>>16812625Don't ask him that. He's very sensitive to that topic.
>>16811648you lost tranny