POV: you have over 4.5 goals
>the same guy literally 1 minute later
This sequence describes betting perfectly , it's why i chose it for OP (until this thread dies after the CL final)
I'm on Sporting to win the cup fyi
Pff
If you had a Youtube channel you'd get 40 views after 1 year
>>154832130Who, me?
still think there is value to the golden knights winning the cup even @ 2.40. maybe colorado wins game 4 to prevent the sweep and gives us another chance to get the golden knights to win the cup >2.60, but the hurricanes are only the heavy "favorite" if you believe in xg and that sort of analytical bullshit that had the avalanche as heavy favorites against the golden knights in the first place.
betting fucking sucks
>>154845709I saw your post in the previous thread. Yeah if they qualify to the final i'll put sth on them>>154845832AgreeEverybody predicts Dinamo will qf over FCSB in the conference league playoff on friday @1.90. We'll see
took O3.5 kongsvinger-stabaek
padres @ 2.05, fairly big pitching mismatch lets go with the stud in the pitcher friendly ball park as the books dog.
>>154850690actually the padres seem to be going with a different starting pitcher for this game than initially listed. now the probable starter is griffin canning instead of randy vasquez, philies arent too good right now but not sure if you can trust canning. i cashed out the bet early.
Some losing picks for the first round of RG:Walton to win a set against Medvedev @2.65Arnaldi to beat Griekspoor @1.7Norrie to beat Vallejo @1.95Altmaier to beat Auger-Aliassime @3.8Eala to win a set against Jovic @1.8Vandewinkel to win a set against Keys @2.9
>>154853948>Norrie to beat Vallejo @1.95i'm guessing you already know but just in case:https://www.bbc.com/sport/tennis/articles/czx24x76v1qo
>>154858492Yes, but I expect it to be a smaller injury which is also reflected in the odds because otherwise Norrie would probably be a favourite. Players really like to withdraw from these smaller tournaments before a slam even if they're not that badly affected by some physical issue. I just think it can't be that bad if he still shows up to play and doesn't retire. Expect Vallejo to win 3-1 anyway because I picked Norrie to win.
It's probably a good idea to bet against older players with the current heat conditions in Paris this week. Especially for day matches. Cilic struggling seems pretty obvious in retrospect. He was a @1.3 or so favourite. Got the Medvedev set loss at least. His odds were inflated based on the performance in Rome with rainy conditions.
>>1548539482 wins, 3 losses and a push. Norrie did in fact retire. Guess it was a bigger issue than I had assumed but I was considering the retirement to be an option as I said. The Walton set and the Norrie retirement doing some heavy lifting here to have this not be a completely terrible day. Arnaldi winning helps as well of course. But had some bad WTA calls. Also a rough beat with Altmaier. His odds were definitely too lopsided in these conditions but he couldn't close it out. He even had a lead in the deciding set.Wednesday picks:Cina to beat De Jong @2.1Trungelliti to win a set against Khachanov @1.55Navone to beat Mensik @2.1Golubic to beat Parks @1.8Snigur to beat Stearns @2.8I would also like to fade Djokovic since he plays a day session match in this heat but I don't quite trust Royer to keep it close enough. I imagine it will be in Djokovic's interest to end the match as quickly as possibly to get off the court.
>>154867379You think pcb will beat kokkinakis?
>>154870522pcb has unquenched hatred of all australians after he was dogged that year at the AO vs nishikori
>>154870522Probably but don't think the odds are worth it
>>154867379I'm an idiot for not fading Rybakina in this weather. Jodar was also too much of a favourite but was too scared to trust Duckworth on clay. Had to go with disappointments like Navone or Cina instead.
psyched myself out of betting on borges because i thought the odds were suspiciously high
>>154879739Every time, happens so often
>>154879991yeah... i mean why the fuck was kecmanovic of all people a 1.5 favorite ON CLAY
UFC Macau Song vs Figuriedo This card sucks, keeping it light>Lookboonme +110 vs Amorim Low level WMMA = bet the underdog. Loma is tiny but has better striking and better wrestling than Amorim. Loma will need to avoid the grappling/BJJ early. If she doesn’t get subbed in the first 7 minutes she’ll win on the scorecards. >Hill +175 vs XiongAngie fights are always close. Take plus money every time. Take “fight ends by split decision” if you can get it +400 or longer >Ding vs Henrique u2.5 rounds -145 These guys are both big and they both suck. Someone gets knocked out pretty quick. Also taking u1.5 +135 >Perez wins ITD +350 vs Sumudaerji I won’t bet this until i see Perez on the scale, he’s had a ton of weight problems. If he makes weight and doesn’t look like death, take him to win by finish. I am not high on Sumudaerji, I think Perez is levels above him. >Gurule +190 vs Tsuruya Gurule is very small and I don’t see Tsuruya having much luck wrestling. In a standup fight Gurule kills him. Tsuruya is a one trick pony with grappling and BJJ. Gurule keeps it mostly standing and pieces him up Don’t like most the main card, staying away this week. Lines are too wide.
>>1548791572 wins and 3 losses in total. Golubic won 2-0 and Trungelliti sneaked in a set win. Cina and Snigur got completely destroyed. Navone put up a fight but ultimately it wasn't quite enough.Thursday picks you should all fade:Diaz Acosta to win a set against Tien @1.5Kouame to win a set against Vallejo @1.5Vekic to beat Osaka @3.4Grabher to beat Anisimova @5Osorio to beat Putintseva @1.65
I can already tell that this will be the quickest Tien 3-0
Absolutely insane Sinner loss. Will probably ramble a bit more about this later.
