How does this look?
>>155546195like you live in romania
>>155546283Why?
Won my BTTS all-in on Netherlands vs Sweden.On hindsight, that was way riskier than I thought.
>+2.5>BTTS>Holland winsCOMBO/bet/bois we eating good tonight!small payout but a bigger put so it makes up for the cucking i got from paraguay last night and a good start to this betting session
Whatcha guys got going on for tonight? I got:SWEDEN BBTS checkedGermany to winEcuador to win and +3.5Japan to win@10feeling preetty confident on this
>>155549656Germany to score first half/germany to win/+2.5
Ivory Coast +1 AHBTTS & over
What's the point of sharing your tips when you're all net losers
>>155546195Kek the last one might be the killer
>>155546195Good picks Zeus. Let it run, it is a free bet anyway.
>>155549656I really like Japan, will bet on some decent goal combos similar to the Canada match.I’ll do Ecuador with Yeboah scoring also. Ecuador should be able to score a lot also
>>1555509691111111111
Completely forgetting to put my bet in for the NED/SWE match until it was too late and instead deciding to put one in for this current match will certainly not come back to haunt me. Especially since it was my first bet since getting my heart slaughtered by Switzerland last week that I only just now semi-recovered mentally from.
>>155555555bet on 1-1 now
>>155555792Already had BTTS & Draw @6.20 pre Prepare for the Germans to play like Turks in the 2nd
do i cashout for my stake back for germany win or do i trust in the process
I'll be doing laps of my flat if it ends 1-2 or 2-2
>>155558393i would if i could but now i just have to TRVSTand post NEVER DOUBTED if they win
I trusted.
NEVER DOUBTED
UFC picks >>155538909
I TRUSTED
>>155558393>>155558936I NEVER DOUBTED FOR A SECOND DEUTSCHLAND UBER ALLES
>>155558721Get goingI did BTTS over as well, good shit.Now its Ecuador time
>>155560941Nice one.
>>155560941Based
in the end, it was the priority 4 and 5 horses that landed a nice profit.
>>155560974Eh, i'd rather if Ivory Coast won 2-1 since i had them +1 on the asian lineBig push on that, but all other wagers won, happy days
>>155560941gzyou trowing some on that on yeboah1 and ecuador to win im guessing
>>155552047Will tail japan to win then as well
>>155560494cheers UFCanon followed the first twoboth easy wins
thought the next game would be on in an hour, have to go to bed as i'm working a shift tonight, do i stay up and wait for lineups or just smack Ecuador -2 AH and sleepDo not want to live in a world where it loses desu
>>155552020It's from a new gambling site here called superbet(they are Romanian) and they literally spam gambling ads before, during and after the livestreams on the public TV and they have some decent offers like 350 0.1€ free spins without wagering, and several free bets which you can split like and they're like 15€+30€+30€ if you make a couple deposits and redeem some of their points
>>155561767>wait for lineupsDoes it actually matter?
>>155561886almost certainly notbut i rarely place a bet before lineups are out
>>155561771I wrote a full guide on how to trick them at registration. Don't know if you have this offer available in greece. Is there an offer when you sign up that you will receive like ~100€ in "casino bonus" ?
>>1555104031 win and 3 losses. Pegula won but the rest didn't work. Rough beat on the Fritz bet since he won the match but of course had to lose the first set. Not sure why I didn't just go for Fritz to win the match. Had to sabotage myself.Picks for Sunday:Pegula to beat Noskova @1.55Navarro to beat Bouzkova @2Samsonova to beat Siniakova @2.35
Superbet is the best [soft] bookie and they are extending to a bunch of countries. Brazil i saw, poland, now greece, also serbia, and belgium i heard. and they give a lot of bonuses like we are getting those "super drops".
>>155551770to celebrate together when we win and laugh at each other when we loose i guesssounds like you dont even gamble
>>155562557He comes here once every 6 months and makes a salty comment like that
>>155537272o7Have an estrellas on me or whatever spaniards drinkNow we do nothing rest of the day, my only maybe picks would be Kape by KO and Japan spread on a terrible Tunisia squad
So what you wanna do is sign up with them and choose the "casino bonus" when they send you the email. Here it was for 500 ron. So they say "you deposit 500 real money, we give you 500 bonus for casino". Why their promotion is so great is cause to convert it's not 35x like other bookies, it's 1x. Meaning if you play slots for 1 ron/ spin , after one spin , win or loss, that 1 ron is converted into real money. So after you succesfully signed up and verified your identitiy and method of payment, you make the deposit and you will have in your sport section 500 (real money) and if you switch to casino you'll have 1000 (500 real + 500 bonus). And you want to play the 500 bonus. The trick is, written in t&c, that first will be taken your real 500 until you access the 500 bonus. Meaning if you play slots for 10 ron you'll use real money, then when you return to sport section you'll only gonna have 490. We don't wanna do that. So what you wanna do is put the 500 real on a game in ...2 weeks , (so the odds don't change). Then you return to casino, and you'll see only 500 (the bonus). You play slots with them , i recommend buying 5 specials of 100 each at gates of olympus. OR play roulette (cause if you play a hand for ..10.. you'll receive 20) . After you played the full bonus 1x time, and converted it, say you're left with... 640. You return to the sport section, and cashout the bet. And have 1140. I did this with my uncle, we won 1500 in slots. Then he brought an alcoholic friend of his and we tried to do it again but we didn't receive the bonus. And i emailed support. And they said that i used the same device for registration (my laptop) and we tried to abuse their bonuses so he's not gonna receive anything (they blamed me)
>>155562016No I don't think soAfter registration and KYC they give like 350 0.1€ spins which gave me 53€, 15€ free bets and 100 free 0.1€ chips on rouletteAfter the first deposit they give some of these free spins which I included above and 10€ free bet, then in the second deposit if it's 30€ or above the give another 30€ bet and you can also collect some points by playing on roulette or slots which you can then redeem for either football jerseys, free bets or spins, I got a 30€ free bet from this one and I haven't made a second deposit yet to get the 30€ from the second deposit
>>155563520Oh the 30€ from the second deposit says that it's for mundial, you probably can't use it for other games
>>155562016They literally spam ads here before and after the games and it's annoying but whatever, they must spend by far the most money on ads from all the betting companies here
Valencia1/+3.5/BTTS@6
>>155563520Dude #3 isn't for casino for up to 500€? So exactly what i described? But you already deposited so it's wasted i guess
>>155561690Kek as soon as I started to follow all the short priced picks are losing baka
Anyways, it only works if the rollover is 1x and i've just read that they updated their software recently so they might detect you. If you do wanna try by signing up someone else, don't use a family member if you are on the same adress on the ID card. GL
World Cup Ecuador / Curacao Ecuador Goal in Both Halves -132 Ecuador can't be messing around here I think they score in both halves
Bet Germany moneyline around minute 60 when they were down 1-0, that ending nearly gave me a heart attack
>>155563651This 100% bonus has to be wagered like either 12.5 or 25 times which almost never works out so
on Ecuador team total 1H o1.5 @2.65
It may be a bit retarded but fuck it we ball, I'm already up $160 on WC games and another $80 if Japan does the job tonight
There's no way Ecuador will not be winning at half time
I winned some moneys
I went with enner Valencia to score @-140 and this motherfucker Is doing everything to make sure I lose my money
>>155564458>0.95 xg>0 goals at the drinks breakAh. Good. 2 incoming
UFCanons Fili pick looks good rn
>>155565954lol no KWAB
Jesus how bad is Ecuador
>>155566164Ow
>>155565846Fuck me I stayed away from Tunisia Japan because of the recent coach change. Looks like I chose the wrong game to bet on
>>155565596their attack is poor. i dont think they scored much in qualifiers either
>>155566244I dont think a coaching change where the team does not play regularly to begin with is much of a help
>>155566374They look so iffy going forward and Ueda looks so alone. Doan is playing way too far back and Tunisia are a defensive team first and foremost. Maybe I'm overthinking it but I just didn't want to bet against Renard especially considering how his Saudi Arabia side performed
>>155566510true but even still they put 2 away on the netherlands, which is definitely one of the top defenses. tunisia also basically needs a win to progress also
>>155561527Bet $75 on it being a O3.5 game, despite Ecuador's weak attack, and cashed out at 30 minutes for $45.
>>155565954>has the guy dying against the cage>just stopsLol fili sold
>>155565596KekCommentator just said some absurd stat that Ecuador hasn’t scored an open play goal for over 10 hours, hopefully they figure it out in the 2nd half
it's over ecuadorbros
>>155565596there is always a way
>>155566664I get where you're coming from but both Japan goals came from a screen and a deflection. Renard has barely been in charge for a few days but you already know what you're getting from him when his back is against the wall and until I see Japan play against a side like that I can't feel confident in betting in their favor. Maybe Japan first goal @-215 but that's it
Who's betting on curacao at this point
>>155566774Lmao I wish I knew thatThe way they were losing the ball at some point at 35-40min was so pathetic
Why did noone warn me about how bad Ecuador actually is
This doesn't make any sense. Fuck this.
Yeah enner Is washed lmao I just didn't know it
Tunisian here.Past coach for no good reason changed our goalkeeper to chamkh. Renard is bringing back aymen dahman this game, if we lose we wont be conceding many goals like before. Our defense went shit ever since Lamouchi became the coach. He kept trying bizarre formations players never tried before, he didn't even use a 9 past game. Renard will play a classic 4-3-3 we are used to and will prioritize players who played together before. Add to that all the anger online and the new coach, there will be a strong reaction from the players. We have to win this game. All in all, we will play much better than the Sweden game don't expect the same poor performance.
>>155569168Lmao I should've known. My fault for betting on a defensive team on scoring
>>155569327do you think they will play a low block or be more open
>>155570115low block. coach doesn't have time to try anything else.
Japan is very organised and it sounds like they are playing a disorganised team.I like Japan to win
>>155563864Sorry friend. Aswell was a bad bet. I can’t believe Lima lost to Borjas. C-Rod and Kape saved the day
>>155546195Έναν γύρο, παρακαλώ.
alright I didnt want to flat out tell you what to do but fuck it.bet tunisia winning , >2.5 and <4.5 goals per game. digits confirm
>>155546195>MAKE IT HAPPEN JAPAN>PREDICTS?> ANY TIPS FOR BETTING ON TUNISIA-JAPAN?
World Cup Japan / TunisiaJapan Team Total O1.5 Goal -162Japan ML + Belgium ML +103 I actually think Tunisia isn't terrible but regardless Japan should be too much here particularly with the scoring chances. Hopefully set up Belgium tomorrow who also need 3 points
>>155571192Nah youre good your writeups are always helpful
Betting Japan vs Tunisia BTTS even though I have had terrible luck with these Islamic countries.
>>155569327>>155571486conflicting takes
CAM ON TUNISIA AND JAPAN SCORE SOME FUCKING GOALS
>>155572042tunisia gettin caved in
gone heavy in japan to make up for ecuador
fuck yeah cashed out of the 2-0 as theyre clearly going tos core more
>>155564976Update jfc lmao
>>155571940
Bang JapanAlso had 3FHG Japan @14 andUeda hattrick/japan win both halves @101 which just missed. Also worth noting you should never listen to someone talking up their own country for bets as the Canadian/tunisian just demonstrated
curacao vs ivory coast over 2.5 goals @ 1.61 and over 3.5 goals @ 2.62 not bad odds.
>>155579654Based
Belgium Uruguay
>>155580358Tomorrow looks slurpy to me, think ill go underdog handis and under 2.5 for the first 3 matches and then BTTS over for the kiwi match, maybe some silly bets on that also
>>155580430I don't want approval (cause that doesn't help) but do you believe in any of the potential overs i posted in the previous thread? turkey usa, norway france, switzerland canada ? What other games have goals? I also think portugal 7-0 ubzekistan
My gut feeling with todays fixtures is Uruguay might struggle to break Cape Verde down. Maybe a narrow win, they'll cheat, and probably have just enough offensively to get it over the line. Spain will put 2 or 3 goals past Saudi Arabia. Belgium are very unpredictable and not a great side, wouldn't be surprised if they win by a goal or a few.
>>155561228How do you pick your horses. Thats no small list for a weekend
>>155580541Anon don’t overthink it trying to make a hero bet. Uruguay is going to fucking destroy Cape Verde, likely 4-0 if not worse. The game will not be competitive. Fucking Cape Verde isn’t pulling another miracle
Spen vs Saudi Agaybia. I feel like Spain is going to destroy them, but then I thought that about every other seemingly slam dunk victory. Are the Saudi's defensive GODS? Are Spain going to cuck out again?
>>155580515I like norway France but not sure why turkey would suddenly be capable of scoring especially since they are eliminated anyway. Same with Switzerland i dont believe in them and Canada will probably be passive. Portugal i want to see lineups because Ronaldo is fucking them up at this point. I think we can find better ones like Panama Croatia on ‘Tuesday or South Africa Korea for goals.Im taking it day by day atm because there is a lot to think about.
>>155580900Saudis have always impressed me defensively over the past few years so im feeling another Spanish slurp fest
>>155580985>Im taking it day by day atmYeah sorry
>>155580998Just rewatched the Spain vs Cape Verde highlights, grim stuff. Could this be a Saudi Arabia and draw bet?
>>155581243Personally im just doing under 2.5 for these first 3 matches there is not enough value in a Spain beatdown even if it happens imo. Draw is 11x and Saudi win is 23x so you could take them for the meme value but im not betting on that. Spain 1-0 is 10x id prefer that as unexciting as it is
>>155580900Spain and Portugal have both looked awful so far.Uruguay isn't exactly convincing either, so I don't really understand why the odds are so heavily in their favor. Group G and Group H have basically done nothing but draw matches. Sure, there's more pressure now to actually get a result, but weren't they already trying to do that in the first two games?I honestly have no idea what to bet here. Right now I'm taking a punt on Spain–Saudi Arabia finishing 0-0 and then I'll reassess from there.I also threw a small bet on all four matches ending in draws at @874, which is ridiculous but kind of tempting given how these groups have gone so far.To cover myself in case I'm overreacting to Spain and Portugal's opening performances, I've got another combo on Egypt, Belgium, and Uruguay to win.Maybe someone will post something interesting that changes my mind, but I'm drawing a blank at the moment. With much better matches coming up, I'd probably skip these games altogether if I wasn't such a degen.
>>155581459>4 draws is 874
Spain/Saudi Arabia : less than 2.5Belgium/Iran : less than 3.5Reasonable ?
>>155581611I approve fwiw>inb4 6-0 Spain and we look stupid
>>155581650Sounds unlikely but yes I would look really retarded. I'm putting 50€ on this baby, it better yield something
Spain to score both halves and Belgium to winI think Spain will send a message this game, they were the butt of many jokes after the first game. Iran with the whole war thing, not having the same conditions as other teams do, have to travel back and forth from the US, just an overall weaker team than what they usually have, i see Belgium winning this game especially after their draw first game
>have curacao not to qualify in my accaEcuador let me down by failing to btfo Curacao. Now I need to rely on Ivory Coast to do it but they might not bother since they only really need a draw.
today's horse picks.
>>155580900Did you watch the match?The Cabo Verde GK turned into a beastAlso Spain had that faggot playing in Yamal's position for like 70 mins and he still managed to miss a sitter and another 2 clear chances that the rest of the team could have scored, that match should have been 3-0 in Spain's favour by the end of the first half, it was only a slurper when the second half began and they panickedIf he starts they will absolutely destroy them but even without Yamal they have more than enough to beat them because even Uruguay could have won by a shit load of goals against the SaudisAll it takes is one goal for the saudis to stop parking the bus because a defeat here will essentially eliminate them
>>155546195I would not bet on 1.4 or lower
stop letting the thread die you dumb addicts
>>155562557>>155562634You don't celebrate together. Everyone wants to be special here. Especially the Romanian perennial loser
World Cup Parlay +309Spain Team Total O2.5 Goals Belgium Team Total O1.5 Goals Egypt Team Total O1.5 Goals
>>155585840I feel bad. Did a bettor fucked your mother, your sister, or you?
my hailmarry from hell
What makes it worse is this was the 2nd day in a row missing a moonshot.
World Cup Spain / Saudi ArabiaOver 1.5 1H Goals -116Spain comes out aggressive after the debacle vs Cape Verde
>Lamine startingyeah spain wins here
>>155583728Do you bet winner or top 3, im guessing winner
>>155587027Reckon Belgium will fuck you lad. They’ll find a way to 0-0 or 1-0
>>155587898just scored lol
>>155581650Don’t think Spain are capable of scoring a bunch of goals. They possess 75% of the game yet create relatively few great chancesLol as I type this Lamal scores
>>155581459If you just bet unders in Portugal matches you’re printing money. They’re the kings of under 2.5. Plus CR7 is a liability at this point
>>155587994yea, i bet winner always. I suppose betting top 3 would make a profit on some days, such as today, but I don't think it's worthwhile in the long run. To answer your earlier question - I look at a mix of recent form, official ratings, speed figures, course and distance record, going, weight, draw, days since the last run, and trainer/jockey form. I also compare each horse with the others in the same race rather than looking at them in isolation.
>>155588650best leagues for betting unders are some of the argentinian leagues. the majority of games finish < 2.5.
Am I crazy for saying Cape Verde is going to win? It's 8,45 in return.
>>155586748You can't insult your way out of your deeply negative betting record
MLB PIT / COL Over 11.5 Total Runs -105 Jones + Lorenzen combo
>>155551770Im legit 10/12 on ufc main cards this year
I've got Spain to win to nil @-215 on a parlay and I'm sorta worried rn. Spain is being too cocky
>>155590905They'll score like 2 more goals lol
>>155590404>negative betting recordThat's what YOU want to believe
CIN-NYY U8.5 runs @ +105
I lost 50€ because of Spain. I need to make it back
>>155594049What did you bet?
uruguay vs cape verde, uruguay -3.0 asian corner spread @ 1.80. dont really see cape verde trying anything other than having all 10 guys in their own box playing for a tie again.
>>155594471less than 3.5 goals
What do we think about Argentina - Austria tomorrow?More Messi magic??
Allright i got this for tonightBelgium to win / +1.5 / -3.5Uruguay BTTS NOegypt -2.5/ egypt to win
Belgium ML, Belgium o1.5 goals, Lolkaku 1+ sot @2.10
>>155594049>>155594695Same. I would have sold on the second goal, but I went to the bathroom and they already had 3.
>have lelkaku>have de bruyne>still struggling against a team at war
this game is going to end 0-0 isnt it
>>155598702looks like it. i'm just hoping for a couple goals and even money cashout at this point
well there it goes my £20
I only have myself to blame for this >>155595671knew this was going to be 0-0 but bet anyway for some reason
fuck thisbelgium to tieegypt to tieuruguay to tie@46
should anyone from this group even be at this world cup?
>>155602488come on two more ties and we golden lol
>>155594500nice juiced line just need uruguay to deliver now
World Cup Cape Verde / Uruguay Belgium stopped a nice run so time to start a new oneUruguay 1H ML -120Love Cape Verde but tall task to once again stop a team far superior even for a half
>>155605142they probably glowing with the fact they force parked spain so they will 100 percent try to do it again and try to get a win vs the saudis later 100 percent tie
uruguay team total corners over 6.5 @ 2.10.
Yeah Uruguay went scoreless in 4 of their final 6 qualifiers so they are definitely used to doing nothing , I’m sticking with unders
>>155605429>>155605541You are both wrong
uruguay cape 1-1egypt nz 1-1
>>155605536i think i like this more than trying to figure whether somebody's bus parking will work or not.
>>155551770I’ve absolutely killed World Cup bets so far, up almost $1000 betting mostly $50 per game. Don’t know why euros suck so much at betting your only sport LOL
>>155605638Cape Verde will not score Uruguay will destroy them 3-0 minimum, 5-0 more likely Europeans literally do not understand your own sport
>>1555621101 win and 2 losses. Samsonova won 2-0. Pegula and Navarro lost 2-1. Rough past 2 days but thankfully the odds on Samsonova were pretty high at least. Surely things will go better with the start of a new week.Picks for Monday:Martinez to beat Virtanen @5Houkes to beat Djere @3.7Marozsan to beat Molcan @1.7Arango to beat Joint @2.3
Uruguay TT o1.5 @1.70Uruguay corners o6.5 @2.10Corners o9.5 @2.20
Uruguay o2.5 goals @ 3.00
>>155606471I don't trust CONMEBOL shitters to be big on scoring, but i hope this hits for you lad x
>>155605961>Cape Verde will not scorebruh
>>155605961>Cape Verde will not score
>>155607994>>155607903they jumped out of the way of the ball
>>155607903>>155607994Absolute fluke and you both know it Hit that same strike 100 times and you score once Wall failed Uruguay 5-1 faggots
>>155605723in hindsight, i wish i put more on it. 4 already.
>>155608268the commentator just remarked the last time uruguay came from behind to win a game after conceding the first goal was in the 1940s lol
>>155608268I hope they can at least tie otherwise my bet goes bye bye
allright time to cash out the 1-1 and let the tie run
>>155605961>an american well and truly BTFO's himself many such cases
>>155605142never a doubt
>>155609863Sorry bud I said 5-0 and it will be 5-1 on a fluke free kick. I was way off. The quality difference is staggering and you’re a complete retard if you can’t see it
God I fucking hate Australians The most uppity cunts on the planet
>>155610182quiet yank you're still in mogged status>>155610242this is a /bet/ thread - unless you can place a wager on us ozzies being uppity, stay on topic
>>155608489Until tonight.
should i cash out o2.5 goals uruguay for 2.00 payout or trust and go for 3.00 payout
>>155610379>never post winning bets >chat shit about everyone else Many such cases amongst Aussies Worthless nation Have fun being replaced by Chinese
>>155610446Trust. They will score 2 more if not 4 more. Cape Verde already exhausted
All you Cape Verde betting retards, the draw/win odds are +650/7.5. Let’s see those bet slips! Back your squad! I’m sure you’ll all do it since you’re so sure Uruguay were a bad bet. You’re not cowards, are you?
>>155610465he is chinese
>>155610691nigga everyone knows uruguay is going to winit's just that is hilarious that you made that post about cabe verde not scoring and them scoring soon after lol
>>155610891I’ll accept that But you know it was a fluke lad
>>155610465I'm better than you
>>155611128You’re not.
>>155611193your rebuttal is unsubstantial
>>155610182kwab
Don’t want to hear itTwo generational fluke goals Fuck off You’re all retards Uruguay 5-2
lollmaoing even at this yank
LOL the self-humiliation continues
seething at COPE verde lol
I won over $150 on that goal faggots :) How much did you all win?
>>155611791you're becoming a true anti-signal. what's your prediction for the new zealand / egypt game so I can bet against it?
>Cape Verde already exhausted
they could have gotten ahead right before Nunez coming inthat shitter loves to miss the easiest set ups
>>155612209I have $500 on over 2.5Don’t bet too much though. I don’t want you struggling to pay rent
>>155612536cool i'll bet on under 2.5i don't pay rent
Best part of this game is I’ve already guaranteed profit lol I’ll lose $100 if Uruguay don’t win but I hit $150+ on the over so it doesn’t matter Meanwhile you all seethe and didn’t even bet Cape Verde. Embarrassing!
>>1556063413/3Going to bed x
>>155613575gnight cunt
>>155613542buddy called a 5-0 scoreline but only bet on the over 2.5
>>155613723And Uruguay ML My betting app didn’t have handicaps
>>155613723he is not gonna post his actual losses lol
>>155613983I won I literally won on this game Be upset all you want. I won
Funny how literally none of you have posted a Cape Verde bet lmao Good job guys!
i had o2.5 for uruguayi want to kms
>>155602488fifa insider?
the cape verde forwards have some nice skills, bet the house on beating the arabs
>Cape Verde will not score>Uruguay will destroy them>I have $500 on over 2.5
i took the corners bet. very happy. my original bet was uruguay -1.25
>>155614358Im taking over soccer bets from the >yuros
^
World Cup Egypt / New Zealand Marmoush Anytime Goal +180 Egypt O.5 Goals 1H -150Not my favorite game in the world but 1H Uruguay was a miracle
>>155614358I genuinely believe someone has offed himself
>>155614748I respect this No one posts slips. They just troll like faggots. Respect anon
>>155614984Romgod?
>>155614984Like I said, I won money on that game despite being wrong about Uruguay winning You must have won too, since you’re being such a smarmy cunt. Good job anon!
i lost
>2.3 to 0.84 expected goals >euroanons still chatting shit despite not betting on CV I’m sorry you’re all poor and too cowardly to back your sides
I personally guarantee this will win
I just signed up for DK and have just been betting random pick 6's on sports I don't even follow. Is this a good strategy?
>>155615771if you have promos maybei raped pick 6 a few years ago when the player pools were P2P they changed it because people were taking other peoples money that wasn't them
odds for egypt climbing quickly the fix must be in
>>155615854Yeah it's free picks for soccer and stuff. I only signed up for golf betting
>>155615889hard to be -ev with promos
Here you go faggots Ridicule me all you want if this loses I have the balls to post a bet pregame. You don’t. Faggots.
>>155615995Post it again once you can't cash it out for free
>>155615995if they still let you cash out you must not be winning very much.
>>155615995Bet365 is the most jewish book when it comes to limits They won't let me get more than $0.75 down on even the biggest MLsBookies love you sadly (gl tho)
>>155615995Idk about that one
>>155615872tempted to cash out of the triple tie but nah we balling
My dad told me to never bet the under. Is this true?
>>155616095retards only bet overs unironically
>>155616095is your dad the president of fifa?
>>155616060Seems unlikely because I’m up lifetime on bet365
>>155615995>Ridicule me all you want if this losesyou know we will
>>155616167it was more from props but they don't let you win for long thereits as much about CLV as it is winning though
>>155616223I made a big (for me) bet on a UFC fighter next week that has already moved 90 points of CLV. Worried I’ll get limited now
>>155616284depends on the volume was beating them up on wnba and nba props would have 30-40 bets there a night got 10k off them though
>>155615995It's not much but i'm all in. The edge I have is knowing you'll lose
>>155615995>>155616415this should be interesting...
>>155615995lost your marbles mate
>>155616671I reckon he's cashed out like a little puss
>>155615995>>155616415>final score: NZ 1, Egypt 1.5
>>155616797>And in an incredible worlds first, the FIA have credited Egypt with HALF A GOAL! >In other news, an Australian and an American have an hero'd in their bedrooms
got roasted this weekend on the betting.made £200 first week of the world cup, all gone in the last 4 matches.
>>155617070you can probably make it all back in the england argentina france matches combo all that shit on winning and mbape messi kane
>>155580541Not far off. I knew Spain would click at some point in this tournament. I knew Uruguay would have problems with Cape Verde although it was more open than expected. Belgium have been unpredictable for years, even their golden generation was unpredictable, the squad is shit now.
>>155617307theres no shot that works 2 rounds in a row
>>155616415Ausbro I respect you posting your bet The rest of these anons are cowardly fags Enjoy the game brother
Lmao these stupid fucking faggots don’t understand betting I win again no matter what happens Cope and seethe!
>>155618587Before any of you retarded faggots complain, I have a profit guaranteed. You’re a moron. I keep winning.
>>155616081I would have reloaded the draw multi had I woken up for the start of the 2nd match, good luck you have a great shot
>>155618587based middleanon
>>155618717i think so too my biggest worry was new zealand not being able to score but hopefully egypt will tie second half and bam
>>155618587it was paying $7 to have under 2 goals at half time? or is that the entire match?
FUCKcash out for @20 or let it roll for the original @46 im afraid nz will slip anytime and wont be able to come back
fuck im donethats enough soccer for today im out
Belgium you faggots
Everyone in this thread can stuck my 8” circumcised cock except the Australian who was brave enough to post his under bet
>>155619810dammit i lost to a circumcised chode
Kiwis in shambles
belgium fucked my 20 accumulator that was halfway through flawless. FUCK THEM
Reminder all Europeans are destitute and only American picks matter. Euros are betting pennies while we bet real money. Do not treat Europeans as equals
>>155615995unbelievably based. FUCK Europeans
Euros and Aussies suddenly silent lol. Absolute fucking broke cowards who won’t back their convictions
>>155621555BTFO
>>155615995Genuinely hope all Europeans ITT kill themselves in the immediate future. They’re so poor and unimportant it literally doesn’t matter
>>155621555What have you got tomorrow?
>>155621704Let me guess. You're just mad cause europeans are shagging american women...
>>155621555Bet i could rizz ur mum
>>155620648this
i hate the 4-5am matchesi cant be fucked to stay up and what i "think" is going to happen ends up happening
>>155624272Me too. I can't sleep because I'm thinking about my bet and not being able to cash out is destroying me financially.
>>155624603cash out is almost always bad in terms of value anywaywhy do you think bookies offer it in the first placetrve stvds trvst in the bet
>>155624994Not gonna lie, I spite baghold more often than I should. Sometimes it pays off though >>155560941
>messi to score or assist @$1.45I hate betting big but this seems like such a lock to me
>>155625312There has been very little chatter on Argentina vs Austria and it makes me think it'll be a slurper.
>parlay for all group winners>seems good across all groups so far>except BelgiumI hate Belgium...
>>155625974I'd cash out if I were you.I fully expect Belgium to go out at this point.
>>155626776
>>155626870Rangnick is a fraud. I wasn't going to bet on the game but this makes me really want to take Argi ML
fuck marozsan
>>155626870Fix bros... Is it in?
>>155626870Kind of an odd thing for a national team manager to say.
>>155626967I think an apology is due. No, but seriously. Bad match by both. So many bad second serves by Marozsan. Molcan really had to dig deep in order to somehow lose this one.
>>155627582it was that game in the 3rd set where he went down 40-0. he 100% looked like he was going to choke it.
>>155627668Yeah, plenty of wasted break points by Molcan. He should have finished it in the second set already. Can't believe a choke is going my way for once.
>argentinamessi anytime gsover 2.5 goals>norwayhaaland shots on target over 1over 1.5 goals>francempabbe shots on target over 1over 1.5 goals@4.5
What could possibly go wrong
I know rangnick prepared for Argentina but I'm not convinced by what I saw from them against Jordan. They look slow and their defense backed up whenever Jordan's forwards came at them which could work on Lautaro given that he often makes mistakes when given space to advance with the ball by himself. Rangnick's signature high line pressing will be punished if they get the ball through their midfielders. I'm guessing he's going to mark Messi, press the backline into playing long balls to Julian and Lautaro or forcing Messi to come closer to their back line. Tldr keep Messi as far away from goal and lock up the midfielders. I don't think Argentina is gonna be comfortable in this game but Austria's offense isn't great neither unless sabitzer is allowed to make it to near their box. Highly defensive game from Austria and we've already seen how Argentina struggled with Paraguay's low block in the qualifiers. Tackles: 2+ Laimer (tends to overcommit and come of his line). I want to go under 2.5 but I can see this tactic backfiring on rangnick. He'll probably try to copy what Renard did last world cup but he doesn't have the speed up front for it. Argentina being only @-225 but Austria or tie being @+170 has me suspicious. It's almost the same split between Belgium and Iran yesterday. I'm putting most of my money on France win and O2.5 @-300 and I might just make a bullshit parlay with Austria or tie. I think they're tipping their hand in this one
>>155628969i feel like messi shots on target is the safer call considering bet365 superboosted messi to score or assist @ 2.00the rig is in
>>155629076>Tackles: 2+ Laimer2+ is -400.
World Cup Argentina / Austria Weird slate today but going to get it started with what I think will be a competitive game Austria +1.5. -170Little juicy but I could see this game being sluggish and a potential draw. Little cushion and if Austria can just score then should be in good shape here
Two bets for ARG v AUS, both boosted odds revolving Messi and one with Romero.The other is for FRA V IRQ
Messi TSMbappe TSHalland TSKane TSSimple as
not all books have this line but if you can find it, france to be leading at half time to nil @ 1.55
brazil vs scotland, a penalty in the match - no @ 1.50, bit of value there line should be closer to 1.40 or 1.33ish
if this doesn't go o1.5 i will kms
the france vs iraq game is going to be played when there are thunderstorms in the area. under FIFA protocols, if lightning strikes within 15km of the stadium, play must be suspended for at least 30 minutes. this has happened with phillies and eagles games in the past if i remember correctly. this game could very easily face a couple hour interruption.
>>155639289>if lightning strikes within 15km of the stadium, play must be suspended for at least 30 minutesThat's a bit fucking overkill, is it not?Has a player ever even been killed by lightning? I'm pretty sure they have a higher chance of dying from a sudden heart attack.
>>155639289shit game with no real angles anyways don't feel like eating chalk w/ all the vig
MESSI I WILL FUCKING EAT YOUR SHIT AND SUCK YOUR DICK
>>155629076I was right on the U2.5. should've stuck to that
gay
>>155639195>>155639990Damn. Saved by the goat.
>>155640214literally saved my lifei had the rope ready
>>155638469How do you determine that there's value in a match not having a penalty?
Fuck /bet/ no one makes money here. I was gonna put it on Messi but >>155629096 found it sus
>>155640703welcome to the messi-anic cultMESSI>MESSIMESSI>MESSIMESSI>MESSIMESSI>MESSIMESSI>MESSIMESSI>MESSIMESSI>MESSIMESSI>MESSIMESSI>MESSIMESSI>MESSIMESSI>MESSIMESSI>MESSIMESSI>MESSIMESSI>MESSIMESSI>MESSIMESSI>MESSI>>155641268>>155632852not to late to go hard on mbape and france to wincombo that shit with kane and halland we got big striker coming in!
>>155641268>Fuck /bet/ no one makes money here4chan dissuaded them from taking overs in netherlands sweden because they said it was gonna be a "slurp". But i'm only blaming myself. Always trust your gut more than anything
>>155642243What are you saying for France Romanian anon? >>155641538Surely not all gets a goal in right?
>>155642349What everybody thinks. That france will score a lot. I don't like the odds though. The line to beat would be 4+ at 1.83 . Is it worth it? I can't tell.
>>155642243Regarding gut feeling. I believe you have to be " in synch with nature" . Meaning if you do things that you know should be doing it's like you'll have a voice in your head that guides you. And it gets more powerful the more disciplined you are. You just have to listen to it then. The opposite is when you do what you shouldn't be doing, and then GUILT instills, which leads to doubt, which leads to mistakes.
>>155642349def worth to place some messi scored and player got a big ego so the runner up to most goals mbape is sure to go and try and make 3 which leads me to >>155642438irak letting norway 4 and sneaking a cheeky 1 for them makes the idea of a 3.5+ on this match very good value that im certainly taking
>>155546195Ask AIThey're great for gamble, I use them all the time and never lost a penny
Well Messi paid off so I’ll try thisAlso doing France 4/5/6-0 correct score
World Cup Bitter end to Austria France / Iraq O3.5 -122 Norway / Senegal BTTS Yes Haaland Anytime Goal +100France just seemingly can't keep a clean sheet , while I think Senegal also finds one in the other game. Norway and Haaland absolutely should be scoring so I don't worry about that side of it.
/bet/bros this one almost killed memessi had to do it himself his teammates are all worthless inside the box
>>155641268I make money
>>155642882AI lost all credibility to me when i asked if babytard isn't the most beautiful baby on earth
>>155643281KekYou betting today rom?
>>155643414Yes, you convinced me to take 4+ >>155642859>>155642884
>>155643502What's your entire bet look like
France -2.5Mbappe 2 Gs (most confident)Haaland 2 Gs Picked Cape Verde to win ahead of time before the odds move
>>155640961i dont make bets on what i think ought to happen, i compare implied probability from softbooks like bet365 to sharp books like pinnacle or circa, and when i see the softbooks offering a line that is 5-10%+ better implied probability than what the sharps are offering i make the +ev bet. so in this bet,1/1.33 = 0.7519EV = (0.7519 * 1.50)-1EV = +12.78%there is a lot of juice from the softbooks compared to pinnacle or circa.
>>155643566>France -2.5would love to hear the reasoning behindthe other can see happening but im not that confident in halland getting two in
>>155643563>>155643563Only this selection. Btw i lost yesterday quite a bit on belgium and uruguay. Today i recovered half of it with argentina boosted odds at 2.50 max stake 250, so now i'm a bit complacent
>>155643748>complacentWhat are you, a poet now?
>>155643614you dont really even need to know any math for this either. the sharp books are saying there is about a 75% chance of there being no penalty, but the softbooks are offering us a price where they think a penalty doesnt happen 66% of the time. that sort of discrepancy between the books monte carlo models is where you can find good picks.
>>155643824What's your story again? You started with 20€ and made several hundred?
ya'll aare yapping so much, thhis is the freest money I have ever made
>>155643824so if the payout from a sharp book is significantly lower indicating more probabilty to a better payingsame bet on a softbook there is value in taking that bet
>>155644088The leaf is the only one of us that's gonna make it big cause he's constantly taking value and has a staking strategy as well, as opposed to us pure hunch bettors. He's also the only one who got limited with a bookie (365)
Mbrap, Olise or Dembele scores (or their subs) @2
Really didn't want to bet into this match as my model has it correctly priced, but i'll have a speculative/interest wager on France -1.5 1H @2.35
>>155644467Boost, no? Limited to 10€?
>>155644088yes, but for soccer its quite rare to find opportunities like this. ive mainly been using this process with baseball, basketball, tennis, etc., types of sports where they play more frequently and there is less time for the lines to tighten.
>>155641268you should have just bet it if you actually read what i put was a mememy reasoning was completely superstitious - based on the fact it was a bet365 superboost
>>155644748I've had many an account nuked for betting tennis lines on aussie shitbooks that were out of line with pin/asiaNeed to get a gf again for more accounts lmao
>>155644467don't post giganiggaboosted bets in this generalit does nothing for anyone
>>155643705I think Iraq and Senegal just arent fair matchups, I dont see slow Iraq slowing down an Mbappe looking to keep pace with Messi on goals. Haaland more of a meme pick, Senegal is very fast and almost beat US before the cup started but I think that pace makes more close chances for Haaland. Cape Verde more of a meme pic, Saudis just look terrible and not motivated, Cape Verde coming off a strong tie with a better on paper Uruguay.
>>155638108i kneel leaf, any more +ev's?
Really need France to score over 3.5 goals but I think the rain is gonna fuck me.
give the cubbies a chance
>>155646414Took this
so what does /bet/ say are we getting cucked by rain or will the match resume?Any phillie insider can help me so i can BET ON ITI MUST GAMMBLEEEEE
>>155647791>>155649037The rain delay is good for us
>>155649440Why? For whom?
>>155649526For goals. What the hell, over 2.5 is 1.70? Shouldn't we hammer this?
>>1556060172 wins and 2 losses. Already talked about Marozsan winning and Arango won 2-0. The two longshots with Martinez and Houkes unsurprisingly didn't work.Tuesday picks:Altmaier to beat Kovacevic @1.85Dzumhur to beat Kopriva @2Jones to beat Fruhvirtova @2.1Hruncakova to beat Sramkova @2.35Siegemund to beat Bejlek @1.8
I did.I rebacked 3+ @1.704+ @3.10And 5+ @6.25
>>155649694>over 2.5 is 1.70?they shoulve got 2 in the first half this is looking like a 2-0
Let's say until min 54' dembele 2-0Min 62' mbappe 3-0And then some substitutes, cherki or someone, until the end 4-0 5-0 Now they're there in the lockerroom doing tactical analysis on how to break down the iraqi defence
>>155650001I'm gambling that is one of those games with explosive second halfs. If you're invested in 4+ already, reback now the 3+ also
>>155650135im adding some on dembele TS but i got the -3.5 at @1.7 so no need to touch that
>>155650312Only to be resumed already. I don't like to rely on either of these players: mbappe, dembele and especially olise. But i'm willing to take the risk that they score more against irak. Ffs, mbappe vs irak
>>155649924How much did you bet?
>>15565041850€
>>155650492For each or in total?
>>155650550In total. But it's all i had in my account
This rain delay could take another hour or more. I'm not staying up anymore cause i need to go to work in 4 hours
A mosquito...
Senegal 0 AH @2.16 smallWanted the +0.25, but it got snapped up by all the shrewds earlier
CAM ON FRANCE ONE MORE FAKKIN GOOOOOOAL
>>155650036I KNEEL
>>155632852come on halland youre the one i got the most doutbs abouttt
