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Rapid CFR overs in about 20 minutes

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My model's next games
Overs, even picks who wins
Rapid - CFR 3-3
Liverpool Leeds depends who starts
Need young inexperienced wildebeest in defence
And firepower up front. Gakpo, Aaronson these kind of guys.
Always ready - Bolivar 5-4
Club America - Santos Laguna 4-2
Toluca - Necaxa
overs somehow someway
U Cluj - Botosani
isn't played in cluj for the music festival untold. Both teams can score
2-2 4+
And FCSB Farul is always goals
Especially cause it's punished FCSB after mighty Auda, now being banter fc , and they look bad but Farul so inexperienced themselves but able to pose danger cause being THE football academy of the country with Alibec up front and mostly all good with the ball, FCSB also will bite back with Birligea, Tanase, Tavi Popescu, Cisotti. so here again a 5+er

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Liverpool

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And bolivar bets

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And here come the rebacks
This game looks really good lads
Unload

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These lineups are literally made in heaven for goals

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How is this a football player?

This guy is unironically the worst fullback to ever exist. Every attack he jogs around, when the ball gets passed to him he hands it over to his midfielder running towards him to collect it, and then Cristopher Braun hides behind opponent players. So he excludes himself out of the attack. His teammates weren't even acknowledging him, he was out of the ecuation. He wasn't even interested to receive the ball. And when he had to handle any situation, he gave it away. How the coach didn't see that, the portuguese "porto youth" coach, to take out cristopher fucking braun
CFR had to attack cause Rapid wasn't interested in going forward any longer and that guy Petrila was literally scared af on the pitch and lost the ball at least 4,5,6 times on the counter. So quite in the literal sense of the word, the failure of CFR to find the second and third goal are caused directly by the participation, or better said lack or participation of cristopher braun

See how i betted in burst of 3?
This is a way guerilla bettors do
Deposit 350 units.
100 go on this one
100 go on this
100 on this
And 50 for live bets. And that you can try to snowball and all ins 4,5 times.
But never all in
In theory, if you never go all in, you cannot lose.
As a general rule, never go more than 50 units
50% - LIFE Bet . So you put your life on the line, but you're still not actually all in. That's so freaking cool desu.
20-25% - A House bet . You risk one of your 4-5 houses.
15% - Monster bet . A monster bet, a special bet that reached 15 units
10% - ~ Special stake~
most popular kind of wager, and for good reason. Several specials landed in a row and you really propel your bankroll forward
5 % - BIG bets -
3% - Large -
2% - med -
1% - small -
0.5% - Tiny -
you need to manage well the small med big bets
Then speshuls
And on free money house bets life bets
So never more than half your bankroll
Ultra agressive style but never all in
Best feeling? reaching the line at 4+ and 5+ 6+ 7+ super overs going online

FRITZ VS JODAR WHO IS WINNING?!

if you want a good tip then bet on all 2 year olds running on turf with billy loughnane as the jockey. he always has a great record with 2 year olds, especially ones trained by george boughey.

I suspect all of his rides are worth watching and he is ahead in the jockey championship and surely he will win.

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Bills will lose the games they play in these

lines are crossed on this yanaki milev vs oriol roca batalla tennis match, sportbooks have batalla the big favorite, but polymarket has milev as the heavy favorite.

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>>157225559
Results

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Model's next picks for goals

>>157237472
USG i dont like
Im trying the Charlotte and Tigres matches in Leagues cup for goals

>>157237499
Model's wild prediction: Sparta P. v Lyon 0-5. But i feel Sparta will put a fight at home so probably it's potential for goals here. Will investigate the rest of the games to see what this ultra advanced computer program is on about

>>157237592
Interesting matchup i might tail for >1.5FHG

UFC picks?

15:00 Ffos Las - Perfect Nation - 2.75 to win

>>157244036
easy win and a nice profit for the afternoon.

you're all betting on billy loughnane's rides today, right?

>>157234112
>>157244828
My bookie doesn't have horses unfortunately. How did it go?

>>157245276
really well - winners at 2.62, 11.00, 1.66
three winners out of five was good.

he is probably going to win the jockey championship, so i suspect he will be extra motivated.

he is riding two 2 year olds tomorrow and I would recommend betting them to win as he has an excellent record with 2 year olds on turf. If you blindly put £1 on all of his 2 year old races since January you would be in profit for £21.

loughnane / boughy 2 year olds on turf bring in a positive return.

eduardo rodriguez under 3.5 strikeouts @ 2.25

>>157245740
randy vasquez under 3.5 punchouts @ 1.66
randy dobnak under 2.5 punchouts @ 2.15
freddy peralta under 5.5 strikeouts @ 1.66

>>157245820
sorry that should be randy vasquez under 2.5 strikeouts

>>157245276
for some reason bookies don't have horses here either. Betsson even has some thing called "gaelic sports" but not horses.

>>157237849
I’m the UFC anon. This card is the worst betting card in years. Lots of flushed and low skill fighters who aren’t trustworthy. I’ll keep an eye out for props later in the week, but it’s likely I won’t make any bets for this dog shit card.

>>157237499
>usg the best goal game baka

whitecaps probably not as big of a favorite as the moneyline thinks. highly rotated squad. not sure if they will even take this tournament seriously since they get an easy path to the concacaf champions league by winning the canadian fa cup. but i literally know nothing about the mexican team they are playing.

youve been so good to me this season baseball but now there are less than 2 months left

>>157245981
>>157245276
Here too horse betting was the last thing i did before quitting betting life
Since last year the bookies here erased the horse category i think its because its the only form of bet where the bettor can make money off the bookie either that or its because the horse fifa dont bow down to the bet mafias

>>157237499
Damn, tigres had such a promising start

Any bets for the week?

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Put 1st map Nongshim here LIVE

League of legends

>>157251733
Yeah i am primarily betting first half tho so that leg actually hit.
I think its time for a break desu might disappear for a while

any ufc bets?

>>157252769
See you later bro

cathy mcnally live bet for a comeback @ 3.25

Patriots week 1 seahawks got worse and injured so

>>157258874
letting it ride but i think this will be a 3 setter

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Here it is. THE bet

mathys erhard vs damir dzumhur over 8.5 1st set games @ 1.63
juncheng shang under 12.5 player games @ 2.00

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>>157253159
I lied (to myself)
New York City and Chicago fire for FHG tomorrow

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Ajax 5+
Twente 4+
@3

titouan droguet under 11.5 player games won @ 1.83

i need another run in this pirates game

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potential overs
mls team v liga mx

Forget it's a friendly. When you make a model you have to consider where they play. So each game belongs to a scenario. Ajax at home? Or ajax in bulgaria on a potato field.
I always wondered why some games end 6-4 (france england) while other games end 0-0 neman grodno (belarus) - balzan (malta) . We used to laugh about it
It was ... a meme. That you take your girl to watch a game and it's neman balzan 0-0
Who plays? We have to know what kind of game it is:
- where it's played
- day/night , the ambiance, fans
- how teams play. news. lineups. subs
- load the overs | pick winners
- reback hs
*hs - high stakes . these are usually the specials . 10%
The point is they can score in friendlies

1) first draft (laying out the games highlighted by the model)
2) bet when the game begins. before or during.

I mean you don't need to fortune tell. You can watch the game and know what should happen. UNLESS the odds aren't already busted

have the lineups have the stream

now what you do after the initial bet prematch (which could be overs or winner) is wait for the second half of the game and take one more goal, in essence

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What do we like here?
Not even the program knows. You see, the algorythm needs information. Just like us. Unless it has answered these 4 questions the model doesn't predict.
so : setup
lineups
how it's actually played/ subs coming up
- feeling
so not stats. The model actually watches the game

It likes club brugge to win and overs potential so quite interesting
Tigres game by default lmx mls
Rapid most in form team in the country, but away at a difficult ground against a rather solid team, so just to keep an eye on.
As it was highlighted bayern's friendly with aston villa
Let's see who plays first shall we

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Program for a week

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as i mentioned, all selected by the model

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our job is to pick the corect approach for each game. assisted by the ultra advanced model

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If only we can get it running

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Feed it some information. Some games are there just to be mentioned, like boca juniors. I guess...
The model highlighted them

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Johor Chelsea ofc it had to be there
Celtic away is very sus tho
Ajax very strong i like
You know what? I think i'm starting to like this model's picks

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Palmeiras at home
Porto maybe late live
Craiova
Thun very weak so basel 1.85
Zenit live
Liverpool monaco
overs ... or pass?
That's the question a bettor has to answer each time. Do i play this one? How?

is it degenerate to bet on preseason games?

You like anything?

>>157269142
You have to bet for one year. So yes, you begin with preseason games sometimes, sure. Is it degenerate? Most definetly

>>157269102
dont really see anyway benfica doesnt just hammer viseu. they have already played european qualifying games and looked decent. against a newly promoted side at home game will be over by half time.

also the j league switched its season schedule to match the european calendar now. its actually starting this weekend.

I need to 6x my money in two days
Throw me some parlays bros

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>>157269142
Yes but do it

alex michelsen live line comeback @ 3.50

>>157279256
might be locked in now, still might even be worth it at 2.00ish

Cincinnati should wreck this Mexican team right?
Cincinnati 6-UNAM 1 imo

>>157282983
Dammit so close

karlsruher vs arminia bielefeld btts - yes + o2.5 @ 1.80

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horses...

12:58 Deauville - Tenability win @ 4.00 (b365)
16:07 Deauville - Poker EW @ 9.50 - current price, but I would wait until later before placing a bet.

Newmarket 1:55 Graceful Song win @ 2.25
Newmarket 2:30 Mysterious Times win @ 2.62

Got the doyers at +200 and those dipshits go on to lose to a 2 run walk off homer.

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put this on a few days ago. If I put it on now, 50 would return 200 instead of 220

WHEN this comes in, I'm going to slap that extra 20 down on a 50/1 bet - and I'm willing to throw in random legs to get it up to 50/1 if anybody wants to suggest some (I will be researching the selections to make sure I'm not being trolled)

UFC anon thoughts on gamrot vs. salkilld?

>>157288012
not him but Gamrot is a high level pressure chain wrestler who goes in low on single legs, but he likes to strike (but isn't good at it). Gamrot struggles with tall, rangier guys who aren't dog shit on the mat. Gamrot also gets hit way too much

Salkilld is a tall, rangier guy with power, but he actually has a BJJ base and he likes to grapple. He negates Gamrot's grappling advantage and has the ability to sleep a Gamrot who gets hit too often

Gamrot does obviously have the experience advantage, and he's faced the better competition and proven his level -- but I believe his level is well established, and it's below the elite. Salkilld is way more raw, but physically and striking wise he should have too much for Gamrot (in my opinion)

I actually think Salkilld finishes Gamrot, probably by KO but a submission really isn't out of the question

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Juliana Miller loses to good WMMA fighters, but she's a demon with BJJ. She submitted Bia Mesquite in BJJ. And she gave Carli Judice tough moments in her last UFC fight, and Judice is a quality prospect. Ravena Oliveira however is fraudulent - of her 7 pro wins, 6 of them came against women with a combined record of 1-2. That's right. She beat 6 women who altogether had 1 win and 2 losses before fighting her. Oliveira has no upside here, it's a spot for Miller to finish. (Because Miller "needs a win", I don't think she'll strike, and just hunt for the sun and get it)

Sousa is a bit of a tard but he's a physical beast who swings very hard and has submission ability. Miranda is okay but takes too long to get going and has zero finishing potential in comparison. Miranda might win minutes/a round or two with his wrestling, but after two rounds 3 KOs in a row, Sousa has proven his power carries throughout a fight, and I think he chins Miranda at some point.

Ty Miller is a far superior striker to Billy Ray Goff, who leaves himself wide open to getting punched in the face. Ty should KO Goff, and even if Goff does stifle him in parts with clinching, I think it's probably a matter of time before Goff gets finished. But he is tough, and it wouldn't be the shock of the century if Miller wins a decision.

Guilherme Pat is shit, low volume, a d not a dawg. Steven Asplund should box his face off. I can see a KO here, but Asplund can easily just win a decision via volume.

>>157288012
I’m not betting this card but I agree with most of what Britbro said above me. I think Gamrot needs to have early wrestling success and wear Salkilld out. If Gamrot fails to hold Salkilld down for significant chunks of the first 3 rounds he’s getting chinned

>>157259787
You got a terrible line. Montanha is +175 on some books

>>157246027
Only bet I’m making today is Sousa-Miranda fight doesn’t go distance. Sousa swings hammers, i think he wins via heem but also possible he gets taken down and exposed on the mat

>>157290886
Should have said - i see it as a binary fight. Gamrot by decision or Salkilld KO. Fanduel in the USA is offering that at -125, i like that bet if youre wanting to gamble on the fights tonight

Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 Run Line +125

Variance of this ball game is way up there, but Scherzer on the mound and that Blue Jays lineup that just rolled out? TRASH

fuck sparta prague

>>157292359
your logic isn't bad. i think i even agree with it. but it also requires trusting both nola and the phillies lineup. a point in favor is all their good hitters are lefthanded.

>>157288199
>>157290886
thanks anons

>>157290906
Lost this one excruciatingly

Glad I didn’t bet anything else today. Pretty sure I’d be 1-5 so far on totals and moneylines

yoshinobu yamamoto under 5.5 strikeouts @ 1.95

League Cup

Inter Miami / Monterrey O3.5 -132

Public and chalky but I dont care
Goals

some value to arthur fils @ 2.10 on bet365 most books have this line closer to a 50/50 split. probably tightens down to 1.90-2.00 by match day.

porto to win to nil @ 1.86

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Starting the day with 10 ron. All in on DK from 0-1 down

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Next : 5-fold @7.60

You see at the top of the screen: active coupon.
Placed the winnings 26.50 on this 5-leg coupon.
FearX from LoL is me pick
then in City v Pathetico, as you can see patheti "trolled the draft" so took city to score twice.
wanted to take Dinamo Moscow to win but since it doesn't have early payout at 2 up, just took them to "lead anytime"
Johor v Chelsea. if it's played on sultan's stadium in malaysia gonna be expecting a show, but instead of trusting johor to score and take overs, took chelsea 2+ instead, even if they play reserves, which i'm sure they will, but they'll still have quality at a different level. even thou, be wary, johor is that kind of team that never losses in the league so pride is high, meaning they play with courage
and last time i watched this fixture, in that 0-0 this summer, was the worst football game i've seen in my life , early hour just like this, hot sun in the daylight. both teams drained of energy and neither wanting to play. Is it gonna be different this time? I believe so, and Ajax gets the win. let's say a completely different game of football. 1-4

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two for today

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>>157287807
this bet won, as did a couple of other

this one was probably the pick of the bunch but all in all I staked under 150 and got a return of around 650.. and I made a couple hundred more profit from slips at my local bookies. Will try and post predictions for UFC events in here going forward (I did it a few times ages ago and did okay, but my methodology is better now)

City are so gay. Should've been 4-0

Delap was 1 v 1 with the keeper and couldn't lob. He shot directly at the gk. What a wood

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Have access to an autist that does projections for the biggest DFS company in the US
For as smart as he is he leaves open his CSV file for anyone that has ever had access without paying
Probably won't post props here since no one will bet them, but he gets excellent CLV on spreads/totals

Early season variance is always a factor to be mindful of

That 17 y.o gazelle Ouzane is losing every ball and somehow Berghuis is subbed off and he's still in

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I knew i'd cash out when they make 0-1

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Look at this bankroll

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1-1 min 70 over 2.5

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Craiova
Palmeiras
combo

Would be foolish to go all in again. Probably will at some point though

I'm taking this run very serious
27 ron is 10%

All in over 1.5 @1.28
Craiova - Arges

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Craiova should've scored 5 so far

It hurts so much now, with the ball hitting the post and the nigger missing the 1 v 1 with the keeper. I might never recover. I might actually hurt myself bad tonight

>>157304722
you can't win bets if you hurt yourself

cs2 groundzero gaming map spread -1.5 @ 2.10

>>157300723
Nice hit
Favorites have been winning nonstop the last few cards. Something like 35-5 last 40 UFC fights for favorites

UFC 330 Saturday 8/15

Got a busy week so posting early. Kind of a weak card for a numbered event but should be some good fights. No props out yet, will probably add a few bets later in the week.

>Njokuani vs Alvarez over 1.5
I think Alvarez is badly overrated. He relied on size and reach at 155, now he's at 170 and doesn't have those advantages. I see this as an exciting fight that probably goes the distance or at least gets past halfway.

>Johnson -210 vs McConico
Parlay piece. I don't think Johnson is very good, but McConico is even worse. Chinny, low volume, and isn't great on the ground. Johnson should win easy, whether by KO or 30-27.

>Charles Johnson +300 vs Ochoa
Johnson does the opposite of what everyone expects. He's getting old and doesn't have the durability he used to, but I think Ochoa is way overpriced here. Give me Johnson to survive an early blitz and win 29-28.

>Gore -140 vs Luque
Luque is one of my favorite fighters...he just doesn't have it anymore. Suffered a terrible brain injury a few years ago against Neal and hasn't been the same fighter. His durability was legendary, now it's below average and he pulls Anthony Smith turtle/guard shit when he takes damage. Gore wins ITD most likely.

>Turner -168 vs Fernandes
Kaue is a calf kick merchant. Could potentially be trouble if he lands a bunch of leg kicks early, but I like Turner to figure out the cadence and counter effectively. Huge power difference between these two, Turner can crack. Turner should get Kaue out of there quick

1/2

>>157308262

>Ribovics vs Barboza over 1.5 -115
Barboza's durability is gone, but I don't see Ribovics getting him out of there quickly. Ribovics has a reputation as a power puncher, but he only has 1 KO in UFC and it was a head kick against chinny McKinney. I see Barboza circling and kicking early, trying to get into the back half of the fight.

>Robertson +240 vs Dern
Wrestler vs BJJ player. BJJ fighters often struggle against strong wrestlers. Robertson will land takedowns and have a good amount of top control. She'll need to be sharp to avoid getting caught in a sub. I think this is a 50/50 fight and love this price.

>Islam -325 vs Garry
Another parlay piece. Garry is probably a better pure kickboxer, but Islam's fight IQ is too high to stand at kickboxing range for 25 minutes. He'll mix in takedowns and win comfortably. Just not enough danger coming back from Garry. Islam has 80% of the finish upside IMO, wouldn't be surprised to see him GnP TKO or find a choke.

Sonny Gray Over 4.5 Total Strikeouts -110

Tecnico-Runa O2.0 goals @ 1.775

winning bets:
Randy Vasquez under 2.5 ks @ 1.66 - 1 = 0.66
Randy Dobnak under 2.5 ks @ 2.15 - 1 = 1.15
Freddy Peralta under 5.5 ks @ 1.66 - 1 = 0.66
Cathy McNally comeback @ 3.25 -1 = 2.25
Karlsruher vs Arminia Bielefeld btts + o2.5 @ 1.80 - 1 = 0.80
Porto to win to nil @ 1.86 - 1 = 0.86
Groundzero Gaming map spread -1.5 @ 2.10 - 1 = 1.10

units gained from winning bets = 7.48

losing bets:
Eduardo Rodriguez under 3.5 strikeouts @ 2.25, -1 unit
Iitouan Droguet under 11.5 player games won @ 1.83, -1 unit
Alex Michelsen live line @ 3.25, -1 unit
Yoshinobo Yamamoto under 5.5, -1 unit

units lost from losing bets = 4.0

net profit = 7.48 - 4.0 = +3.48 betting units
3.48 betting units/11.00 wagered units = 31.6% roi

>8 day old thread
>only 120 replies
why is /bet/ so dead

>>157316615
Because gamblers, even sports betters lose money over time. The few who consistently make money, get limitations on their accounts, and then eventually they get banned. It’s simply not very interesting.

>>157316615
betting and even being a consistent winner doesnt make the game more interesting or give you any feeling of satisfaction. i called that 3.25 comeback, and ive bet on and posted other long odds here, and when the person or team actually manages to pull of the "upset" result my first thought immediately is why didnt i bet more money. no satisfaction at all that in reality i made a "good" bet or that you possibly even watched some amazing comeback or upset, your only focus is the result of your bet. so the sport ends up becoming secondary while you are either left feeling like you have to chase losses because you are now in debt, or feeling some sort of grief because you didnt bet enough. there is nothing good that comes from sports betting.

>>157316615
no one tails anything

you could have verifiable proof that you are a time traveler correctly picking 100 winning tickets in a row and the retards here would just bet super euro league soccer overs

>>157316615
Probably because nothing is going on and everyone is on vacation

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Today’s pick

cleveland guardians vs detroit tigers run scored in the first inning yes @ 2.25

>>157319370
UFCanon must be up 30 units this year. Almost no one tails his picks

>>157327005
bases loaded before the first out of the game why didnt i bet more

Just bet against the Mariners until they inevitably fire their manager. That team is in free fall.

>>157333312
NOBLETIGERs happen

for tomorrows game
chicago cubs vs washington nations, chicago cubs +0 after 5 innings @ 2.05

>>157333326
based

Anyone gambling on the dota 2 international?

>>157339920
Just the players

I really dislike the concept of bonuses and rollovers
I already know I'm dumb I don't need a reminder

>>157342156
Online casinos and sportsbooks have insane rollover requirements. Don’t ever accept the deposit bonuses

>>157333326
>bet against seattle today
>they win one of the only 1-0 games in new yankee stadium history
just heem me bro

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>>157344265

payton stearns over 12.5 player games won @ 2.20

Ian garry has been performing the art of war on islam this week take him for the upset hes a live dog

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I'm back to betting

>>157360705
I'm not. The world cup started great for me, climbing up hhe ladder with winning streaks then came one or two big losses and everything came crashing down. It's always like this. Overconfidence is a slow and insidious killer

>>157361396
WC is nice but it doesn't compare to watching a Fortuna Dusseldorf x Hoffenheim II to at 1pm on a Saturday to see who has the momentum, or to check flashscore every 2 minutes to see which games have started or how they are going

why cant anyone in the hungarian league convert a penalty?

>>157308262
>>157308298
Not adding any bets. This card kinda blows for gambling

Forgot to put the number for Chidi-Alvarez over is -135

another disgraceful austrian slurper

Paranaense vs Bragantino | Paranaense to win at 2.01

Newells Old Boys vs Deportivo Riestra | Old Boys to win at 2.60

Belgrano De Cordoba vs Independiente Rivadavia De Mensoza | Belgrano to win at 4.00

Total odds at 20.90

>>157366178
>Paranaense vs Bragantino | Paranaense to win at 2.01
this looks good.
Live bet is @ 2

fucking orolbai fucked my parle

tampa bay rays moneyline @ 1.80 for tomorrows game

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How did I do?

Patriots week 1. Superbowl i assumed mcdaniels and vrabel would have the requisite knowledge to protect drake maye against the 4 rush of Seattle but I then forgot its a fake league and the seahawks were bring sold. But look what they ate extensively running in the preseason

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>>157375061
Shieeet this is it

UFChads literally cannot lose

can we stop recalling Kyle Hart from the minors please

Cubbies SUCK

>>157375061
Pats are a gigafraud. Beat up on the weakest schedule ever then got a bye in the AFC title game.

Pats are losing 9 games. Cap this.

Anyone using chatgpt/python routinely to organize data?

>>157388981
No but i've always been curious about it, not necessarily organize that but to come up with a model
I've toyed with it but left it alone, it's too much work and i'm dumb. Organize data might be a better use for it desu

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fuck off

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Palmeiras (1.41) and Flamengo (1.34) to qualify
both 1-1 in the first leg

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Gonna root for Real Madrid this season. and by root i mean trust them as a reliable team to bet on. I never understood why some people don't rate Mou anymore. Now that he finally has a good squad my belief is he'll prove them wrong, and probably even win the CL. All the big guns of Los Blancos look motivated and eager to start under Mourinho. Plus, he got rid of all the spanish npc's. I don't get why the man who burried Liverpool so many times is considered a big signing thou: Konate. Probably won't even start. But all in all they look great. Best GK in the world, defence looking better with Cucurella and Dumfries, midfield and attack on fire etc et. Let's see if they win their first game. Espanyol away @1.5

>>157388568
The league isnt real b the patriots threw last year's owl for the seahawks sale and Kraft will get his cope win against the new jeet owner who will also be undergoing his requisite humiliation ritual into the league. Patriots camp news is also all about how aj brown is elevating the entire team with his fire and brash antics ao expect a galvanized pats squad to punch a weakened Seattle team in the mouth

Petrolul v Rapid @2.20
I consider petrolul one of the weaker sides of the league, while rapid candidates to win the title. Some value on away win in my humble opinion

These teams should advance in Europe
Craiova @1.33 v Ararat Armenia
Crvena Zvezda @1.60 v Plzen
Twente @1.47 v Qarabag
Panathinaikos @1.28 v Hradec Kralove
Rangers @1.30 v Jablonec
Dinamo City Tirana v Pafos @1.25

Robocop will deport fluffy this weekend

Liga MX Soccer
Necaxa / Leon O2.5 Goals

Parlay of great success
Gregory Rodriguez
Kennedy nzchukwu
Jackson mcvey
Josh van
Patriots cowboys week 1

3:15 Chepstow - Talamon - 12.00 EW

fuckin useless

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New run

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unibet limited my account max 5 EUR /bet/s, i think because i won too much (~550 EUR in two months)
this ever happened to any of you?

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Aaaaand imo Fenerbahce Lyon has potential for goals

>>157400750
That sucks but unibet is an awful bookie

The low stakes are cause i quit my job and lost the last salary in one day. Threw my phone at the wall, hit my head. These last 20 bucks were literally unironically for food. Not that i can buy much with that. Reminds me of high school, had 5 ron (1€) and instead of buying sth to eat i was saving them for a CL accumulator. I'm betting with me back against the wall. Hungry. No more deposits, swim or sink innit

>>157400987
Please stop /bet/ting, my head hurts reading this
>>157400863
not many options here in NL, its very regulated

LAD @ COL Over 11.5 Total Runs
Tales of the Dodgers' offensive demise were wildly exaggerated. It's nothing but go here at altitude, and the weak spot of the Dodgers' rotation on the other side makes their numbers untenable

Cleveland Guardians -1.5 Run Line +120
Quite sure that Giants lineup that just rolled out is the most horrendous thing I've ever seen in my life

zagreb-viking O2.5+BTTS? it's @ +100

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>>157401001

>>157401058
2-0 in 10 mins :)
I like overs but never btts. Reminds me of thun young boys 0-6 . Only guys left in the chat were the ones with btts

>>157401167
;-)

i figured if they conceded to a lithuanian side, viking would get at least one past them.

When medvedev losses after having 3 match points i will lose my mind

This feels like hell . Lost my time, should've cashed out 90/95 .... whatever

AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAA

Concacaf Central American Cup
Cartagines / Verdes O4.5
Super grease but like the spot. 5-0 , 5-1 type game

NYY @ BAL Over 9.5 Total Runs +100
This line is nonsensical

MLB Pittsburgh Pirates -0.5 Run Line 1st5 -110
Extra rest for Skenes? Yeah

>>157409352
>Extra rest for Skenes? Yeah
two straight walks to start the game

>>157410029
he used extra energy to plow livvy dunne

Goals all around
5+ nec bodo
4+ celtic lask
3+ hapoel sabah
2+ 3+ 4+ 5+ 6+ 7+ team goals nec nijmegen . 7+ nec @ 100

>>157410167
not a good bet. he's not been shutdown for like 75% of the season at this point

Seeing a lot of downward energy building with the Mystic and upward with Toronto Tempo. Got alt line +9.5 Tempo +300. I'm envisioning a Toronto moneyline win but I'm just taking the massive cushion

UFC Sacramento Saturday 8/22

Not a ton of name value but this will be a fun card IMO. Looking forward to it

>Barbosa vs Kuse over 1.5 +250
In all likelihood Barbosa sparks Kuse quick. I can't pass on a huge plus money o1.5 at 145lbs. Divisional average is like 65% of fights starting round 3. Kuse's best path is a boring wrestle-heavy lay n pray approach. If he can get a couple minutes control time early he can survive to halfway.

>Dorsainvil +130 vs Young
Purely a fade on Gauge Young. He's a boring DWCS cookie cutter wrestlepuncher with very little finishing ability. I will bet against him every time. Dorsainvil is high pressure, all action, and mixes grappling with striking pretty well. Fun prospect.

>Reed vs Dyer FGTD +150
Women's strawweight. Reed is horrible and could def get finished again, but Dyer isn't some killer. I see Dyer winning 30-27. Plus money fight goes is rare at women's 115.

>McVey -180 vs Schultz
These guys both suck, Schultz sucks more. He's a one trick pony submission artist with garbage standup and poor durability. McVey should stand at range, but more likely he'll clinch and soften up Schultz with knees and elbows until Schultz quits.

>Padilla -105 vs Haqparast
Haqparast suffered one of the scariest KOs in UFC history last time out. I question his durability at this point...that was the kind of KO that changes your career. Padilla is very durable and hits harder. Haqparast is pitter patter tap tap tap, Padilla does damage. This should be a fun fight in the pocket as long as it lasts.

>Douglas by KO -180 vs Emmers
I hate this price but it's a winning bet. Douglas is p4p one of the hardest hitters in the sport. He most likely puts Emmers away in the first couple minutes.

1/2

>>157414251

>Gaziev vs Nzechukwu over 1.5 -130
I think these guys both suck. This should be a low volume boring fight that gets past halfway. Potential for a late finish when someone tires, but I want no part of a moneyline here. Betting on boring heavyweight overs has been profitable this year.

>Judice by KO +160 vs Chaves
Chaves is tough, that's about it. Badly outgunned by Judice. Chaves has taken a ton of damage in her DWCS/UFC fights against weak competition. Watch her DWCS fight against Montenegro...one of the bloodiest women's fights ever. Judice has weapons on the feet, I think she puts Chaves away without much of a sweat.

>Mederos +220 vs Jones
I'm a big fan of Jones. He's a dog, never quits. Problem is he's super easily hittable and takes too much damage. Mederos is low volume and can be frustrating to bet on, but there's no world Jones should be -300 against anyone with a pulse. Jones gets put in bad spots in every fight. I could see Mederos catching him and putting him away, or winning a damage-based decision with Jones cut up and leaking all over.

>RDR by KO +600 vs Dolidze
Roman is getting old. He used to be very durable, not so sure he has it anymore. He's an excellent grappler so I see that canceling out against another elite grappler in RDR. This will be a stand up and clinch fight. I see RDR putting him away with clinch knees (like he did to Nickal) or big elbows. Wouldn't be surprised to see Dolidze call it a career after he gets finished.


>Robocop +140 vs Fluffy
I'm a Fluffy denier. He has a grinding style, wears guys down with cardio and relentless output. Problem with Fluffy is he's always injured. He's also extremely soft to the body and gets hurt constantly from body shots. Robocop isn't known for having great fight IQ, but I'll take a shot on him here at plus money knowing he has fantastic power and mixes up his targets well. I see him landing a rip or a kick to the body and folding Fluffy with the finish shortly after.

2/2

>>157413010
lel

>>157414421
9 seconds left some cunt decide to ruiin my life. I covered so whatever

>>157414251
idk who any of these prelim fighters are, and I watch a decent amount of ufc

esport world cup cs2 legacy map spread +1.5 @ 1.90

Hamilton 18:45 Vantheman EW @ 7.00

>>157430392
came 5th, but it was a decent 5th and very close race.

La Liga Soccer
Betis / Sociedad O2.5 -118

looks like another slurper season in the eerste

flavio cobolli over 10.5 player games won @ 1.83

toronto blue jays vs ny yankees under 7.5 total runs @ 1.83

>>157414389
fluffy will dominate rodriguez
rodriguez has 5 minutes of cardio

August 22, 2026
USL Championship
Loudoun United FC v New Mexico United

New Mexico United ML (+115) bet365

They're the hottest team in the USLC at the moment with a 6 game winning streak and unbeaten their last 11 matches. They have one of the better defenses in league. A win tomorrow marks their 100th league win.

>>157433625
Robo has gotten better with his tank and fluffy wont be able to stand with him

>>157433717
Fucked up the odds.

New Mexico United Moneyline is +200. Double chance is -150.

13:31 Deauville Rosberg EW @ 6.50

>>157441115
nice easy win for a handsome £80 profit

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8-legger
FURIA @1.44 v FUT (cs)
Spirit @1.30 v Legacy (cs)
Fnatic @1.18 v Shiters (lol)
MKOI @1.20 v SK (lol)
Dortmund Bayern 4+ @1.90
Fenerbahce @1.31 v Konyaspor
Sporting @1.23 v Alverca
Espanyol v Real Madrid @1.47
Total : @12.25
GL

there is an interesting Japanese entry in the City of York Stakes today. Satono Reve is the horse and odds are currently 13.00. Bet365 are doing EW extra for 7 places and the odds are 6.75, although I suspect they will drift out before the off.

I think it's worth a bet. I'm sure the horse wouldn't have been sent over from Japan if it wasn't in with a chance. Trouble is that it's up against some really good horses. Joao Moreira is the jockey and the issue there is that he's pretty much an expert in Hong Kong and doesn't do a lot of racing outside of there.

La Liga: Bilbao ML -135
EPL: Ipswich Tie No bet +100

disappointing performance from satono reve!

red card in the 5th minute and sittard-AZ still sitting on ZERO goals

jessica pegula under 11.5 player games won @ 1.83

>>157430932
Match day 2 only had one game under 2.5

>>157444010
Red cards kill goal action in my experience.
If i could live bet easily I would bet on under goals after red cards regularly

Is this dortmund Bayern super cup final is going to be a stupid goalfest right? Ill try something dumb

espanyol real madrid both to score

Race 10 Saratoga - Sunlit Uplands EW @ 5.25

del mar race 9 - green carrera EW @ 5.00
del mar race 10 - Finger EW @ 9.00

>>157448465
nice - glad i placed the ew bet. another bit of profit. hopefully green carrera and finger will do the business later.

Yet another BIG winning night for UFChads

Have fun losing soccer bets fags!

>>157414251
>>157414389
Very good night. Five plus money hits including a big on on RDR KO

EPL Soccer
Man City / Bournemouth O.75 Goals First 30

Serie A Soccer live bet
Juventus / Frosinone O2.5

Jets week 1 theyll smoke the titans

Not gonna do UFC picks this week. Taking the week off. This is one of the worst cards of the year and it starts at 2am my time. Hard pass both watching and betting

BIG week ahead. Prepare your bankrolls

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Not sure if my ban is up in time for these games
But goals goals goals 100% in all
all try up to 7+

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If not, it begins with this one tomorrow
Johor Darul Takzim vs Kelantan Red Warrior
Kelantan new promoted team, never traveled here. Gonna be 13-0 . no odds yet tho