Monday Night Football tonight
>Purposely stayed away from anything Saquon-relatedBoy, I sure felt smart when he pulled up on that run.
IG @1.64 vs Lyon (league of legends)
wow!! betting ine astern europe looks so cool!
Ironic since physical agencies are getting closed here, you can only play online. Ofcourse there are still high end casinos for the (((rich))) since only (((they))) have rights and the rest of subhuman goycattle don't have any rights besides paying taxes for Israel and Ukraine
>>158383384the few times i place bets, i never bet more than a euro, and even then they ask for your id!! they put you on the government lists!!! why????
>>158383563Tel Aviv needs to know every single aspect about your life so they can ruin in it later on. They see you as a potential shabbos goy to blackmail. For example if you get a high end promotion or something similar they will blackmail you with your habits. That's why jews got every single politician by the balls. Epstein was a clear example
>>158383683chat is this true
>/pol/tard lurking again
>>158383809Retarded gypsoid gambling is illegal in Israel while they push it onto goyimshttps://iclg.com/practice-areas/gambling-laws-and-regulations/israel/
zandschulp choking
>>158383934fuck this loser
ty based claude
*Alert*It's a doggy dog world today.Tonight, underdogs rise up...*Alert*
Venezia v Inter 1.36
CFR v U Cluj Derby 3+ @1.83 4+ @3.10 5+ @5.50 6+@11 7+ @23I'm dead serious
Bayern Magdeburgaiming 8+ @7.90with 'parachute' 5+ @1.90
Liverpool Chelsea 3+ @1.504+ @2.205+ @3.606+ @6.507+ @138+ @279+ @60
>In the meme cup
Al Shabab Al Ahli3+ @1.54 ...5+ @4.00 ... 7+@14
Kifisia v Olympiakos 1.44
Ajax Alkmaar 7+ @10 / 4+ @1.90
>Como 1.34 v Venezia and some goals 4+ @2.007+ @10And reback on Como goalsover 2.5 @1.92over 3.5 @3.35over 4.5 @6.30How does that sound?
Dinamo @1.68 v UTA
Sonderjyske v FC Copenhagen 1.44
>>158389421>>158389366>>158389324>>158389284>>158389284>>158389268>>158389234>>158389171this but the opposite
free money on bet365moussa diabate under 9.5 points @ 1.90moussa diabate 10+ points @ 2.55dont get a gift from the book like that very often
Sharing 3 Heuristics that I have 20xed with in tennis:Slavs do not come back they give up. If something goes bad they lose if they are up normally they winAsians win in Asia. Always underpricedIf you haven't heard of them but youve heard of their opponent and they are favored then bet them
>>158395325tari eason under 6.5 rebounds @ 2.00tari eason 7+ rebounds @ 2.25
>>158395916Sounds legit
>>158398033i wonder how good the bots are at arbing on prediction markets with full api trading testing maker and taker programs with claude with all historical data from kalshi and prop markets they dont limit so if you can beat them you make good money
thank you based claude for making me money
This should workI like the Emmen match the most
>>158399954luck tends to be logarithmic growth while paying a fee tends to be the domain of the curve. there is a reason only 1% of people always end up winning no matter if its a traditional book or things like kalshi/polymarket.
>>158389234Damn almost
>>158406084At 5-1 min 73 thought it'd hit for sure
Konyaspor v Galatasaray @1.67lol, tremendous odds
Rapid @1.30 beats Csikszereda, sure
>>158406063Fuck ok emmen match 5+goals then
>>158406071its not hard to beat sports books but with limits it always comes to an end because they are criminals prediction markets with no limits are what you should be trying to beat (plus their fees) right nowif you can find and prove and edge you can automate your bets with full api trading insane money to be made but obv everyone is trying to do this so its quite sharp (at least kalshi) i have access to every historical bet ever made on kalshi so that's what im working now but i haven't been able to prove i can beat it yet using ai simulations of every game 10K+ times has proven it can get insane CLV and im using it daily to prove it works with small betting amounts
where are we at with TNF?
>>158411239Looks like an ugly game tbqfh Bet the under 16-15 slopfest
ty claude about to scale this up
>>158411567Winner lol thank God that 2pt failed and green bay was too inept to ice it with a field goal
UFC Moicano vs Nolan Saturday 10/31I've been cold lately. Fade if you want, hopefully one of us wins money >Szabova wins ITD vs Lisboa -140Lisboa is old and hasn't fought in a year. She quit last time vs Croden. This has to be her last UFC fight. She's a quitter and will look for the door if she's in a bad spot against a younger prospect.>Klein vs Kropschot over 1.5 -115These guys are not UFC level. Klein has dogshit cardio, Kropschot isn't a finisher IMO. I think this gets past halfway then maybe there's a finish late. >Reese vs Gall over 1.5 +140These guys both suck. I'm a big fan of plus money over 1.5 bets, like 70% of UFC fights get past halfway. Gall should want to clinch and grapple and waste time here. Give me the over.>Sezinando vs Berggren over 1.5 -145Berggren survived into round 2 against Donchenko. He's not a finisher at the UFC level. I think this gets past halfway. >Hope +3.5 -110 vs MarshallMarshall is not the kind of guy you like to back as a solid favorite. Thin margin fighter, likes to grapple and wrestle. Gets hit too much for my liking. Hope can win a round. JPL -278 vs HasanovI'm buying JPL as a legit fighter. Dude is good. Well rounded and far more dangerous on the feet than the wrestle-heavy Hasanov. JPL wins easy.>Smith ITD -160 vs BrownThis is my favorite bet in a while. Could Brown fraud check Smith? Sure. Jacobe has been fighting tomato cans. Still, I think he manhandles Brown and finishes him on the ground. Brown does not handle adversity well. I have 5U on this one. >Nolan vs Moicano under 2.5 -135Moicano gets it to the mat and finishes Nolan early or he dies trying. Renato ain't going 5 rounds at this point in his career.
I'm feeling luck. Tell me in what to bet on EU bros, I need to make 100 bucks
>>158419769i took the over in krakow-motor
>>158419954hit before half time
>>158415990getting about the same clv today but scaled it up finally using kelly criterion betting about $700 spread over ~150 bets and if i can keep beating it will scale further until i hit liquidity issues and then figure that out
>>158422493Sorry but what exactly are you doing?
>>158422682built a tool that does simulations for nba games it sims every NBA game 10,000 times to get a hit rate for each player prop. When the sims say a prop hits more often than the books price implies, i bet it at whichever book pays the most and track it
>>158422733How does the model do the simulation?
>>158422817project each player’s minutes and per-minute production (role, match up, pace, injuries), then play the game out 10,000 times with realistic randomness, so you get a full distribution for every stat, not just one projectionthen based on those numbers devig from sharp books and find where the market is off both the sims and the sharp books and place the bet there
>>158422838That's cool
zack werenski 1+ assist @ 2.00nikita kucherov 1+ assist @ 1.71
>>158419769>asking euros who lose 80% of bets what to bet on kek
>>158416455finally a good event. Winning night locked up already
rombro got any good cs2 bets for iem? mongolz @ 2.10 looks tempting
Idk guys Gambling is bad
cheers ufcanon followed four and won three so far
>>158438569First, CS is imo the worst sport to bet moneylines on, up there with NHL for unpredictability. But i would say : Falcons Betboom, Aurora aaand Parivision
A tip to honor a bolivian friend>Guabira Bolivar away win 1.85
and also in BoliviaU de Vinto v Always Ready @1.78
>>158415990nice bounce back yesterday on lower volume after i had a losing day the one before on the 1st real kelly criterion betting pretty close to full sending this - think the edge is real although the ROI is lower than expected around 2% not taking assists at the moment as they have been fucking me - paper tracking them for now ran testing all night and there appears to be an edge on betting unders on NFL rec yards/catches
>>158444335>i had a losing day the one before on the 1st real kelly criterion bettingDon't worry, it was just the /bet/ curse in effect
>>158444384if the data/edge is real the /bet/ curse won't work overtime unless the curse messes up math
>>158438817>gambling is badNo shit
free money
>Hooked by Jordan Mason>Hooked by Jordan Addison>Hooked by Brenton Strange>Hooked by Sam LaPorta>Hooked by Tyler Higbee>Hooked by Garrett Wilson>Commanders not scoring a TD on that drive confirms I'll be hooked by Jayden Daniels on one and Rachaad White on anotherIt was always Week 9
>>158463658Oh good, the defeatism worked.
mongoooooooollllzzzz
took sassuolo-fiorentina O3.0 @ 1.95
anyone like BTTS in deportivo-osasuna?
I was 'certain' Al Sadd (qatar) v Al Ahli (saudi) will have goals, cause they're that kind of arab teams with foreigners in attack who arrived here for big bucks, like Firmino on one side and Trincao, Galeno, Spertsyan, Ivan Toney on the other. Instead , the uzbekistan team conceided 6 times to Joao Felix. How do you predict this? How can you tell which game is the 8 goals circus, or the 0-0 sluuurp. Is everything decided in the opening minutes? A chance that breaks the game open? I mean let's say there's two teams like PSV and Alkmaar and you think goals. And it's 2-1 around the 65 min and PSV starts defending the lead. I understand that they simply stopped going forward, while protecting their goal at the same time. But then they win 6-2 against Groningen. And Groningen even manages to get the 8th goal, cause it's 6-1 and PSV just doesn't care about defending in 90+5. Maybe it's time to walk away from the overs "meta" cause ... at least prematch... it seems impossible to predict.OR , if it is impossible prematch ... you know how the meta is for picking winners? 100 on the win prematch at ... 1.60 , and reback LIVE on them to score at 1.30 ;Same here, could be that you take the overs 3+ to 7+ .. and IF the game starts slow, say it's 0-0 or 1-0 at HT, you also reback the overs ... the 2+ , the 3+Maybe 4+ is out of the reach at 0-0 in min 65' , but 1 goal at 1.40, two goals at 2.20 they can get. Meanwhile Copenhagen, like all the other moneylines on soccer ... hit
>>158469161>Meanwhile Copenhagen, like all the other moneylines on soccer ... hitBut why? Because it respects the rule of betting on what the teams aim for (the win)
We're watching the game and the goal was scored in 76, but it was an extremely long VAR, the play only resumed in 81. You won't believe the number of extra time minutes? 5 (five). So without the VAR 'review' would've just ended at 90:00? What about the subs, the wasted time? The time referee spent talking to the guys on the bench, educating them on how to behave?
>>158469161serie a has been good for goals this season
>>158469433>retarded gambler cries that he lost moneyIt always makes me happy
>>158470587I said i was watching the game, not that i have betted on it.
I wanted to say that nothing compares to the Johor game where the goalkepper stayed injured for 10 minutes but couldn't find my post.
It's the Penang Johor game. 0-4 only gave 6 mins extra time
I knew he stayed injured for around 10 minutes but those subs from 78 and 85 didn't make sense cause i was sure the play resumed in 89'
Live bet Seattle Seahawks ML
But i found the post and i explained what happened. And yes, i got the goal in the end (which makes me FORGET what they do, but not forgive)
>>158470642>>158470674Who the fuck bets on shit like this?
The romanian /pol/turd HATES my gut since this i made this post
>>158470725It's not just one and yes he is right you are a broke gambling addict loser. You only lose kys
and the results
You literally lost all that money dumb gambling addict. You are a loser
>>158470734>It's not just oneI had my doubts. >You only lose kysI lose what? Over 2.5 in Como ? There's levels of confidence for bets and the last time that i said that i will never bet if i lose the bet was the election. Which is all that matters. I betted with my bettor's licence ON THE LINE. Not only that, had the bollocks to share it here with 100% confidence that there is value on those odds of 2.00 on Nicusor Dan , and he won by ~10% , as i predicted. I promised to my family to never bet again if that losses and we all had money on it. That's betting
>>158470777You lost stfu nobody cares about your $2 wins you are broke dumb addict loser kys
Stupid MNF TD scorer parlay >Swift>JSN>Loveland Pays +1100
>>158471279got JSN TDDarnold o1.5 TDCharbonnet o24.5 rushing +425
roman josi 1+ assist @ 2.30
>>158471279Close but they kept going to swift at the goal line instead of Loveland
>>158471413>charbonnet >6 carries for 23 yards This is why we shouldn't bet parlays lol
For tonight this is my tip>IG @1.65
Champions League SoccerGalatasaray / Stuttgart O1.5 1H GoalsVillarreal Double Chance (same as +.5) +115
>>158444335claude made up some rule and got me killed 2 days ago betting unders for no reasongot most back yesterdaycut assists bets since they just never win for this model going back to 2023 kalshi is quite sharp as well as novigbeen getting down ~1K a night and going to keep it that way and get another week of data before scaling up
>>158479547
In 40 minutes be here to bet league of legends worlds quarterfinalsEven thou i said IG win, we're gonna bet each map individually maybe(most likely), based on draft and/ or how the game develops.
Tomorrow we do damage in the league.Real, maybe 0-3 2-3, you seem them scoring much more. Maybe ?But insist on that 5+. ... 2.72 BleahFenerbahce LiverpoolThis is it, boysFener were very poor against PL opposition. But can hurt liverpool at home. 2-6 ? 6-2? 4+ @2.00 @-@5+ @3.206+ @5.65 with large stake7+ @108+ @22And then overs on all 6Dortmund betis sure 4+ @2.20 smedPorto napoli 3+ @1.75 medLens como 4+ @2.30 BIG and 5+ @4.0 6+ @7 , 7+ @15PSV Club Brugge 6+ @5 smallLeipzig city 4+ @1.80 BIGSlavia arsenal 4+ @2.35 medOr sth like that First fener liver circus. .......it's gonna be 1-0 isn't it? Penalty min 14' & defending the leadOr the 6-2 6+ @5.65 you don't get that very often
Anyone else good on lol?
IG map 1 @1.53 min 9:00
Rebacked 1.72 min 11:02
We won at the fight min 15-17you can cashout for 99% and bet on the comeback for map 1 @5.65
So have IG win match @1.65 >IG map 1 @1.53 and reback @1.72 cashed out 99%And now comeback TES map 1@5.65 That's how the strategy goes
Reasoning is there's a lot of comebacks in games from huge gold leads (what swings the odds) This one seems pretty done but that's the only bet to make.IG to win map 1 paid. Now they're 1.02 ; only playing for comeback is the possible bet. And if they comeback, we cash out and bet the other side. And on and on, if the game swings.
CBBVirginia Tech -30.5New Orleans +27.5North Florida +11.5
Ok, it seems TES are picking an early game draft, while IG want to go late.
IG win map 2 hard @1.60
But here's the trick. You can make two bets. Both sides. Cause the odds on TES will drop, and you can cashout. Cause they will lose . Or even if they don't lose, you cash that [2.07] out at 50% .So you have two bets . Both sides of the coin.
One guy bets 2.07, the other 1.60. Omfg
Ok, listen. IG are winning this map. Now 1.60->1.33When it's 1.10 cashout and we hope TES turn it around
Or vice versa. Cauee soon it's gonna be a deciding fights. There are like 4 turning points in a game
Only this matters. To have the money leaning towards them. And the levels (top left. - i apologize if i explain like for retards sometimes. it's not the intention)
Still haven't cashed out anything
Now min 19
Cashed out TES for stake cause i'm sure IG wins this map, and rebacked 1.62
Cause Yunara (Jiaqi) will carry late with Viktor (rookie) and i also like wukong (wei) vayne(theshy) . And lulu (meiko) is OP
Was unlucky to have the baron stolen so they're still 1.53.One more reback now and after the baron push.They win late!!
Rebacked 1.62 during baron pushas expected, odds go upAfter this, IG smoke them
We have 3 dragons
Power spikes for Top . We want to go late
And now bazooka hit @2.90Happy bday
Min 35
We need more time
Here we go. Deciding fight
We almost lost the game
We could've won but didn't. At least we took the soul . This is huge
>>158484935369 saved the game....Maybe for 10 seconds the odds were 1.01
Min 45Oh it went late baby
Lost
They were 4 v 1 pushing for the end and 369 jumped and killed 2 in an instant. Here it was 1.01 on IG, but odds disappeared (we got jewed). I didn't even bet, i'm [self]-banned from 16 different bookies. Not that i have any money. But i'm just testing stuff. Leaf or claude anon , help me with a script. Look, even if i hadn't cashout TES, i could've cash when they were >>158484913 1.01So it swinged on 1.01 on both sides before TES won the game
And we also have the bet on IG prematch @1.65That would've been cashed out at 2-0 as well. So we lost that much on the 2nd map. Let's see the draft for map 3
And you know what the beauty is ? Sometimes it jumps on 1.01 on both sides multiple times
I can't tell who wins map 3 (yet)
Taking also IG Map 3 @1.75
Even if they lose map 3, they qualify. So they win map 4 at probably... 2.00 . So prepare your bankrolls.
Good odds on IG now at 2.07I took 1.75...
IG draft better. Theshy will be immortal. They have a hyper carry , jayce is good for poke. And they have the annie engage.
¯\_(ツ)_/¯
>>158485115>Leaf or claude anon , help me with a script.A script that cashes out automatically at certain points/thresholds
Now should've cash out while also taking the comeback cause TES just made a play
So basically you'd have a bet on IG at 1.75 and 2.07 cashed out at 80%. And a comeback bet at 3.75 The trick is to cash out (and place the comeback bet) exactly a minute before the choke/comeback begins. But unironically.
IG seems to be winning map 3
Everybody cashed out, yeah? And an opportunity now waiting on a miracle comeback... taken at 3.75(on TES Map 3)
And if IG win this map we cash out the ml and bet only for map 4 a new winner based on draft.
It seems IG is winning this map .>>158485190I pictured this correctly in my head. I seem to understand the champions and meta very well despite never playing the game. Only cause i saw a lot of matches and been very focused. Basically learned like in school. IG taking map 3 right now. You like this strategy?
>>158485372how good is the meth in romania
Map 4 Top Esports @1.97
Just started
Min 10:00
LostIG won 3-1
>doubting TheChaddeserved
