yep.except, it's not going down anymore, ever.
>>59664519The errors on logarithmic charts are extreme.
>>59664717tell me about it
source?
>>59664532it will, just less2026 is still bearish, the bottom should be around 2 years from now
>>59664742Some anon makes it, he updates it once in a while. I just spread the message(chart). White line means sell, green buy
>>59664519>btcnow show me charts of the coins that matter (primarily DOGE)
>>59664717yes this chart is more about time, when the tops and bottoms are reached but doesn't say much about their pricesif you want a price prediction i think we'll see something like pic related, basically trading inside the red channel which reaches 200k in octoberbut things may be crazier, we may break the channel to the upside - in return, it's also possible that we won't reach 200k, meaning that if in october it's at just like 140-150k or even less, that's probably the top anyway and it may be good to sell even if you didn't reach your targets
>>59665054no way the bull run lasts until octoberthat would be a year long run. never happens.
>>59665086>never happens.you literally have the previous cycles in the same chart
>>59664862>it will, just lesstrue. no more -80% easy entries
>>59665054I am calling for $400k or $500k this year. Just because it got cucked last time under a supremely hostile admin... people are way too conservative. It's only one data point from the worst time ever. it does make sense from a diminishing returns perspective, but, this time is different
i.e. PlanB is finally going to be right, which people also don't expect
>>59665107different X-axes you faggot
>>59665168$450k is actually my target for 2029, then possibly 1 million in 2033i don't think anything above 270k is realistic for this run, a x3 from the last cycle's top which means like $207k would be reasonable
>>59665186not at all, the X axes is not log keksimply, they are aligned on their respecitve halving dateseach cycle is aligned with the others by overlapping them on their halving date, which is when it turns from red to blueit's pretty impressive if you look at how closely it does the same things at the same distance in time from the halving
>>59664519I needed some hopium after last weekend
>>59665250*from blue to red
>>59665217Who knows. everyone with big money has been frontrunning you, me, and they're also frontrunning all their rich buddies. S curve "adoption" calls for exponentiality. Plus, it's becoming the veblen good Of All Time. I'm diversified and not selling though. Only adding until >$1M. So it doesn't matter much to me.Always a good time in your threads. cheers anon
Keep posting these threads often, it strengthens my hands
>>59665480You can do it too and so can anyone watching this thread.
>>59665217> i don't think anything above 270k is realistic for this runlmfao, we are lucky to even see 150know i know who the people are that i sell my cryptos to LOL
>>59665250there was no halvening between Jan and July 2024 are you fucking retarded
>>59665589dude, the timeline is the one of the current cycle (2024), but the days are the samethinking as aligning all the cycles like day 0 is their halving date, so that's the starting pointbut of course the time on the bottom refers to the current cycle because that's the interesting one
>>59665589>Jan and July 2024wait what, i've misreadyes there wasthis halving was April 20, 2024, which is between jan and july 2024wtf are you even smoking
>>59665589He's just a brainlet, he is NGMI anyway
>>59666890Meant this for >>59665650I'm too sleepy 4 this shit. Gotta get my eurosleep
>>59665054Thanks
>>59664519That type of pic is the usual cope (engaged in by latefags) that we always see near the end of bullruns. It's a bearish indicator whenever they start getting posted. Signifies the bullrun is soon over or already over.Pics similar to that (not necessarily looking exactly like that, but performing the same function and serving the same purpose) are always posted during the end stage of every bullrun to "show" it's not over yet, when actually it nearly is or even already is.Picrel for example - posted in February 2018 with the intention of demonstrating that the situation at that time (the start of the bear market) was just a tiny little dip and a super powerful giga pump totally was imminent... because... just because anon wanted it to be. I'm using this pic and that time period just as an example here, to get the point across. The 2013 bullrun was featured in various pics (similar in nature to OP's) in Dec 2017 to "prove" how high BTC would go (way above 20k), with the price action from that bullrun depicted together with what then was the current bullrun. And then later in Jan/Feb, after the 19.8k top, the very same was done again but more as a copey reasoning for why it couldn't possibly be a bear market yet and a pump way above 20k was imminent.
>>59668930You should start posting biz archives of bears calling for 10k to prove your point more
>>59664862with under 1% inflation there is a very real possibility we won’t see a bear
>>59668930it literally hit a new ATH two days ago are you retarded
>>59665217Look at the price action, we have shitcoin-like accumulation tactics going on, this is EXPENSIVE for something as large as btc, this will be the last traditional cycle
>>59665086average bull run is about 500 days what are you on about
>>59665589are you retarded mate
>>59669732yeah. thats part of my, ahem, 'thesis'
Theyre not buying to sell it any time soon. They might not sell at all. What then? We didnt even get a 30% dip yet. Why would you even sell bitcoin if not to buy it back cheaper? It's really dangerous for bobos if these buyers actually understand what they hold.
>>59669721>i think OP's pic shows an upward movement of just 1k from 108k>i think the 1k pump from 108k to 109k was a "super powerful giga pump">that's what i think, but it's other anons who are retarded not me
>>59668930the pic in OP is simply the ultimate "this time is not different" narrativeit doesn't say anything, it just overlaps all the cycles starting from their halving date in a log chart and that's itif you think just doing that automatically produces a bullish outlook, well...
>>59665571270k wasn't a real price prediction, it was an answer to the anon saying 400-500ki prefer not trading using the Y axes, but the X axes instead, as i said here >>59665054 if it's at 140k in october, i think that will be the top anyway>>59670138i don't know, i personally don't think that chart is either bullish or bearish, it's literally just "this time is the same" - which works both ways. So yeah, "history" says that we'll start crashing in november and 2026 will be bearish. Probably we'll have like a 50% drop from the top instead of the usual 80%, since volatility will be lower. But saying it won't crash EOY is the same as saying that 108k was the top, it's "this time is different". We'll see, eventually it will really be different i suppose.Personally i won't bring much crypto with me into 2026, i want to have cash to heavily DCA all 2026 and 2027.
>>59665298>>59665255>>59665480>>59666890>>59667502thanks bros, i will post the next update mid febthe good thing about this is that it's easily falsifiable, each month we can see if the narrative holds or we are going in the opposite directionfor example if at any white line the price is lower than the previous green lines, or at any green line it's higher than the previous white line, then i was wrong and this time is differentso basically my feel is that it's almost a "cult" to "believe" in the cycles narrative, which means believing that the news follow the cycles instead of the other way around (coincidentally we seem to have bullish news exactly when we are supposed to pump, and stuff like FTX exactly when we are supposed to drop) - maybe it's just a self-fulfilling prophecy, people thinking it will behave like it always did make it happen by trading accordingly.But at least it's a kind of "faith" that can be falsified very quickly, just looking at how this chart holds up each month. So far it was never wrong - the first version of the chart was made just after the halving
>>59664519It is a fine chart.
>>59669755Up to 500 days after the halving people think march last year was a part of the bull run. Just etf front run.
>>59670882>the good thing about this is that it's easily falsifiable, each month we can see if the narrative holds or we are going in the opposite directionbump, i like these threads.
>>59670946the ETF frontrun may seem like an anomaly and maybe it was. But we can just remember that inflation is a thing and we can see we actually didn't reach a new ATH (in purchasing power terms) before the halving. When we overlap this cycle with the others, it wasn't that different from 2016.But the insane thing was bobos behaving like something like an ETF could be bearish and calling 74k the top, because it changed the cycle by frontrunning it (with a bullish news), like if the ETF was gonna disappear after its creation instead of staying there forever. Kek.Watch out, the same thing will happen now when we drop in april. I can already see them saying "it's over, 135k was the top". Not many people will buy this summer dip, many will sell the local bottom
