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File: 1684936020614861.jpg (33 KB, 400x240)
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>Suicide Hotline
Help is available
Speak with someone today
988 Suicide and Crisis Lifeline

>Educational sites:
https://www.investopedia.com/
https://www.khanacademy.org/economics-finance-domain

>Charts/Screeners/Data:
https://www.tradingview.com
https://finviz.com/
https://www.investing.com/indices/indices-futures
https://finance.yahoo.com/

>Live Streams:
https://www.newslive.com/american/cnbc.html
https://www.livestreamy.net/bloomberg/
https://tvpass.org/channel/fox-business

>Options:
https://www.optionsprofitcalculator.com
https://optionstrat.com/
https://www.optionistics.com/quotes/option-prices

>Calendars:
https://www.marketwatch.com/economy-politics/calendar
https://www.earningswhispers.com/calendar
https://www.chabad.org/holidays/default_cdo/jewish/holidays.htm
https://www.cmegroup.com/trading/interest-rates/countdown-to-fomc.html

>Boomer Investing:
https://www.bogleheads.org/wiki/Getting_started
https://www.sec.gov/search-filings

>Misc smg:
https://www.portfoliovisualizer.com
https://finance.yahoo.com/trending-tickers
https://www.dividendchannel.com/drip-returns-calculator
https://brokerchooser.com/

Previously on /smg/: >>60135990
>>
TRUMP GAVE YOU CHEAPIES; IF YOU REFUSE TO TAKE ADVANTAGE, YOU ARE JUST BITING YOUR NOSE TO SPITE YOUR FACE
>>
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>>60138903
>>Suicide Hotline
>Help is available
>Speak with someone today
>988 Suicide and Crisis Lifeline
Grim.
>>
What would this recession be named?Surely it wont be names the great Tariff recession.
>>
i'm a tourist just watching the show. pre trading futures start sunday?
>>
guys should I do a bear put spread
>>
>>60138934
AFTER 4 PM
>>
>>60138903
>Suicide hotline that Trump defunded
You can't make this shit up.
>>
>>60138935
>/SMG/ CONTEMPLATING SHORTING THE BOTTOM
CLASSIC. NO! BUY SOXL
PARABOLAS
PARABOLAS
PARABOLAS
>>
So did we bottom? Can it really go down more?
>>
>>60138939
He took crashing this with no survivors literally
>>
>>60138924
BIDENOMICS
>>
>>60138942
>the bottom
delusional
>>
>>60138953
KEK TOP
>>
>>60138943
Half of retail has given up but the other half is still talking about buying the dip. We keep going down until 98% of people give up.
>>
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>>60138967
USA
>USA
USA
>USA
USA
>USA
USA
>USA
USA
>USA
>>
>>60138967
Alright, I'm capitulating and selling everything on open.
>>
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Tariffs are good in the long run. You midwits can only think at a microsopic level
>>
>>60138975
>SELLING THE BOTTOM
YOU DIDN'T REMEMBER YOUR TRAINING
>>
I’m already all in with leverage and it’s too late to sell so I’m riding this straight down to hell, fuck it
>>
hello, retarded tourist from /tv/ here. i have some 15000$ on the side that i dont need in the near future.

1. what would be some good ETF / index fund or similar financial vehicle to put my dollaridoos into to profit from the current dip?
2. in your expert opinion should i buy now or wait for the stonks market to dip even further

any advice much appreciated. kind regards
>>
>>60138997
SOXL
>>
>>60138967
putGODS keep winning
>>
>>60138967
lol? the baseline tariff only just hit today and the reciprocal tariffs are wednesday.
>>
>>60138979
>bottom
His approval rating was the only thing that was going to stop this from dropping to the earth core
>>
Bought $40k worth of Intel yesterday and am currently sitting at -$1k I will nut if it recovers back above $23 on Monday.
>>
>>60138997
>1. what would be some good ETF / index fund or similar financial vehicle to put my dollaridoos into to profit from the current dip?
If you're putting it into a post tax account and just want boring index funds, put it into XDTE. It tracks the S&P500 and beats SPY/VOO while also having excellent tax benefits. Just remember to set the dividends to automatically reinvest until you're ready to retire and collect them, then you'll get 5ish years of tax free dividends because they're return of capital dividends.

>2. in your expert opinion should i buy now or wait for the stonks market to dip even further
DCA. If you've got $15k, then buy one stock of XDTE every day the market is open for the next year. This way no matter if the dump is over tomorrow or continues on for months you end up with a great deal on your cost basis.
>>
>>60139000
>SOXL
im not sure a leveladged stonk is really the right choice for me, a fiscal retard but i do appreciate the suggestion
>>
>>60138967
qeq, there is zero chance this tariffs are getting rolled back and trump might rule the US until he dies
>>
>>60139021
SEMICONDUCTOR ETF
>>
so black monday incoming right?
>>
>>60138997
If I had any money left I would just stay in cash and see where this is going
>>
>>60138977
To be fair pretty much everyone I followed this decade was wrong. Bears and bulls both. Except for maybe Joseph Wang. It's a fed market, only a former spook knew how to play it
>>
>>60139026
Fakeout monday, gonna close about 0.5%-1% green, then Tuesday the slide resumes. Wednesday / Thursday will be the worst, worse than even last week.
>>
>>60138997
I like TQQQ because it's broad enough and is basically just the best companies of the SPY but with 3x leverage.
Reminder that leverage cuts both ways.
Reminder that /biz/ is full of retarded degenerates. especially me.

There's a few different ways you could look to begin entering the market.
One way is you could buy some amount now to establish a base position and buy more if it goes lower. Have set amounts like $3k since that gives you 5 buying opportunities.
Another strategy would be to wait until the market begins to recover.
You lose out timing the absolute bottom which you won't ever do anyway but you also mitigate your risk of losing even more money which is more important.
I had $8k sitting around and I bought $5k of TQQQ yesterday and I'm a huge retard so do what you want with that information
I think now is a good time to at least establish some baseline position without going all in. How you want to approach buying is your call.
>>
>>60138924
It's already called the Trump Tariff crash, the possible recession that could come later doesn't need a name
>>
>>60139058
Too long, just call it the Trump recession.
>>
>>60138903
Guys, I am very impressed that SMG biz is alive again, who saved it?
>>
i will call it now, it wont bottom until all of the effects of this are felt ie mass layoffs and unemployment rates spiking, company's going bankrupts or massively downsizing, a massive decline in consumption level and so on...
>>
I'm buying Leonardo and Khyssenkrupp for 5000$ each and selling after a few % upturn. That'll be my play for Monday.
>>
>>60139118
of corse unless the regime chickens out of all of this and it is all for nothing and blumpf decide to roll it back (would still be bad)
>>
>>60139045
> bought 5k of TQQQ
for the love of cheese at least protect it with puts or a stoploss. unless you genuinely believe line will go up and are willing to wait years, in which case good luck
>>
>>60139067
sounds good
>>
>>60139067
I'm going with Trumpocalypse
>>
>>60139119
why the fuck would you buy export stocks before the EU has announced their retaliation
>>
>>60139020
thanks this seems like sound advice. i'm gonna look into setting this up.

>>60139045
i appreciate the advice but i think im gonna stay away from anything leveraged. i just dont have much beyond the most rudimentary basic understanding of markets and financial instruments and it seems prudent to take it slow and easy to begin with
>>
>>60139157
It is trailing both ways so my gains are low but unless the stock spike pumps and then instantly dumps I won't buy into another downturn. Plus I only intend to hold it for a day.
>>
>>60139041
monday is dropping another 6%
>>
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Hey, I've never invested before and have no idea how the stock market works but I have some spare cash and was thinking of investing in some mining companies. How dumb is this decision?
>>
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This chart shows my "runway", aka how long I can survive if I stopped having an income. It's a relatively conservative and rough estimate. Yellow line is surviving only on my cash holdings, green is also on investment accounts, and black is also including 401ks (not counting early withdrawal penalties). The green line lost about 9 months in 3 months
>>
>>60139283
>he thinks this is the bottom
>he thinks it will recover in 2025
>>
>>60139293
Well, the lines in the future aren't my thoughts. They're excel formulas that average returns on my accounts and other indices to make a best guess.
>>
>>60139130
I don't think we are in a bear market I think the tariffs are an overreaction and when I see the fear and greed meme index on extreme fear + /pol/ posting multiple threads about the market selling off for what feels like weeks then I go and see QQQ down 20% I'm like fuck it I'll take a bite of this.
I am looking at it as a long term hold even though leveraged products are specifically designed for short term trading.
>>60139168
>staying away from leverage
yeah that's a good idea.
Just buy QQQ then. All roads lead to TQQQ eventually.
>>
>>60139010
Relax it's just one poll. His average has been trending down. But this poll is interesting because other polls showing him worsening on almost everything other than immigration which lines up with all the recent special elections. We'll see how this goes.
>>
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>>60138915
This.

Have consumed cheapies, and if it dumps, I'll just buy more at a cheaper price. You know and I know, it WILL PUMP something will happen. In 2020 no one expected the printer to go brrrrr, No one did, don't pretend you saw that. Something is going to save the market. Trump won't let it slide into oblivion. Something dodgy will happen maybe the printer goes again, some FED decison, trump throws the world an olive branch, maybe he delays the tariff but something WILL HAPPEN just like 2020 just like 2022 2025 won'tbw any different. Cope and seeth and change your gender you sissy bobos, kys
>>
>>60139342
market will literally collapse to 2000, trump will be assassinated for real, republicans will lose the house and the senate for 100 years, and americans will go back to eating spam so they can realize what actual paycheck to paycheck means
>>
>>60138915
S&P is still 10% higher than the all time high 4 years ago. This is not cheap.
>>
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>>60139354
DELUSIONAL ABSOLUTELY DELUSIONAL THAT WONT HAPPEN

it might happen to you specifically because you sold the bottom
>>
>>60138924
trumpcession is catchy and fitting because it can be solely blamed on one man, unlike most other recessions
>>
>>60139362
I'm not selling tho, I'm buying puts and moving the profits to slurp
I'm simply describing what will happen
>>
>>60138924
personally, I'm gonna call the crash Red April
>>
>>60139373
Ok but listen, but the bottom. Any one that is doing to sell HAVE SOLD ALREADY they won't sell Monday. It's stupid to know. They've lost the chance to sell. They'll hold or buy.

SPRING SUMMER BULLRUN VERY SOON
>>
>>60139392
no, slurpnigs already blew their load slurping last week
their balls are dry now
>>
>>60139410
We've slurping every load that has been dumped into n out mouths. We cannot slupr anymore
>>
>>60139392
we won't be hitting the bottom until the EU retaliation is known, which is going to be a long-time given their typical bureaucratic bullshittery. In the mean time, it's going to be nothing but institutionals selling their bags while bullish retailers try to survive in a knife shower.
>>
>>60139058
The Trumptardation.
And how come no one, NO FUCKING ONE, politician, journalist, whoever, call that retard exactly what he is: a retard. How come the Dems retard are completely silent. How come there's not a single newspaper headline "WE JUST ELECTED A PURE RETARD" in capital letters with a nice picture of the S&P500 line crashing like it's 1929.
I swear even the fucking Soviet Union had more free speech.
>>
>>60139392
This might be hard to understand, but for every seller there is a buyer. Every transaction is symmetric. The market will never run out of sellers or buyers.
>>
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my dad thinks that if trump doesn’t cuck, this could be worse than the great depression because trade is a lot more global than it was 100 years ago. how true is that?
>>
>>60139441
>which is going to be a long-time
it's literally mid until end of april
>>
This recession needs to be traumatic. I want to see the middle class at food banks, mass retail layoffs, foreclosures, funding crisis. I want this whole system to implode so that Trump voters can learn how fucking retarded they are.
>>
>>60139442
>How come the Dems retard are completely silent
they are so flabbergasted they don't know what to do
>>
>>60139442
This is what's frustrating me to no end. Nobody in the media will call him a moron even though they're all thinking it.
>>
>>60139449
yes but no. it's not like in terms of lifestyle things will ever be anything like the great depression, modern technology and industry isn't going away, but in relative terms many could potentially lose a lot.
>>
Everything I've heard coming out of the White House has been Trump doesn't care in the short term what happens to the stock market, but I wonder how long that lasts. Since this seems to be a long term plan that will take years, if the DOW hits 20k will he change course?
>>
>>60139489
Trump has been a nonstop money printer for news agencies, why do you think none of them stood up for the AP? Because it would've meant getting kicked out of the press conferences and losing the viewership (and ad revenue)
>>
>>60139501
He's gonna have to be forced to change course kicking and screaming
>>
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Slurped a ton last week, looking to slurp more and reach max slurp next week
>>
Okay. Lets say a black monday event happens. what are we buying
>>
>>60139442
>>60139478
>>60139489
They've been calling him a moron for about ten years at this point, maybe they're trying to come up with a new plan since it's not worked out great.
>>
>>60139518
>He's gonna have to be forced
Nobody forces Trump to do anything. Like Putin, he's surrounded himself with nothing but yes-men. Expect things to get far... far worse. This is just the beginning.
>>
>>60139529
canned beans, a gun and ammunition
>>
>>60139529
Monday is dead cat bounce
>>
>>60138924
The Great Trumpression sounds catchy enough to me
>>
>>60139548
That's turn around Tuesday
>>
>>60139529
why would we buy the top
>>
>>60139540
Bullshit. I regularly read finance news and they all tiptoe around his retarded polices calling them "unusual", "unorthodox", etc and not for what they are, fucking retarded. It's a new form of political correctness.
>>
>>60139557
whoa
>>
>>60139529
calls
>>
Retail thought they could slurp last week. Oh no no no, get ready faggots.
>>
>>60139529
nothing, wait for the tuesday fakeout to lower IV and buy puts
>>
>>60139540
they probably want to play this slow and smart, the retardation level took them by surprise this time
>>
>>60139548
Since the close on Friday we've only had defiant language from officials and I doubt Sunday will bring any relief. Monday will be bloody.
>>
>>60139563
to be fair I don't think any of his previous acts of retardation caused a stock market crash. this is unprecedented
>>
>>60139041
>>60139574
All trump has to do is hold one (1) press conference at his villa on sunday and state that the tarriffs are a way to negotiate deals, not as a permanent solution. Then all will be green and good again
>>
>>60139283
for me its 160 months with no investment, just pure cash. I could probably stretch it out to 200+-250 months with some safe investments. life wouldnt be "fun" but I would survive.
>>
>>60138855
Now I get it
>>
>>60139609
Do you mean you have 160 months of cash right now? Or 160 months if you went 100% to cash right now?
The second is what my chart shows. If I liquidated, how many months could I go... (it doesn't include interest on savings accounts)
>>
>>60139597
That will involve other countries having to negotiate and for Trump to make clear what he wants. Some of the tariffs make no sense. Why are we tariffing Madagascar vanilla? We can not produce vanilla locally. We do not have the climate for it. Same for coffee.
>>
>>60139631
>What's Hawaii and Puerto Rico
>What's Guam
>>
>>60139631
I think he really tried to make it appear "fair" by doing a flat tariff on the world
>>
When did /smg/ become the reddit thread?
>>
>>60138924
it is the Trump Dump everything else is wrong
>>
when did polnigs get out of their containment subreddit?
>>
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>>60139650
it's always been a lil bit reddit-ish
>>
>>60139628
I am sitting 100% on cash rn. I could survive for 160 months (rent, food, etc.) just off that cash.
>>
>>60139643
Yeah, good luck farming out Hawaii enough of their pricey vanilla for the metric tons of vanilla ice creams gulped down by turbolards.
That will be fun to watch.
>>
>>60139645
i don't think it's fairness. the main problem is that bilateral tariffs don't really work to the full degree that you implement them, because you can always run proxy-trade through a third country. putting a base tariff of 10% on everyone ensures that the countries that you want to enforce tariffs on are subject to at least 10%, + epsilon for the cost of running proxy-trade through those countries.
disclaimer: i still think that these tariffs are utterly fucking retarded
>>
>>60139680
Real vanilla is almost a luxury item and indistinguishable from synthetic vanilla, which is incredibly simple to make and cheap. The only people eating real vanilla nowadays are splurging richfags.
>>
>>60139707
Yes but thats a rational thought. Its not about that for MAGA, thats why he used two terms in his "tariff equation" that cancel out. Its all about how fox news viewers view the tariffs, and those viewers think a flat tariff rate, like a flat tax, is fair
>>
>>60139449
Not going to happen unless something breaks badly in the financial system like in 08. We are overdue to a big correction though. SP500 PE is still higher than it should be and we're probably retracing GDP 2 years if tariffs go into full effect as drawn. Markets will need liquidity to catch up which Powell won't provide until he sees how tariffs impact inflation so I think we could be hitting 4000. This could be a repetition of the 70's two-shock wave across markets through that decade now that Trump introduced this new dynamic factor.

>>60139475
You're mentally-ill and deranged. Imagine orange retard living 24/7 rent free in your head to the point you want massive chaos and poverty to prove your point.
>>
>>60139643
Hawaii doesn't have enough land to grow coffee/vanilla to scale. It's also several times more expensive than coffee/vanilla grown abroad.
>>
IT’S UP!!!
https://strawpoll.com/X3nkPBv4jgE
https://strawpoll.com/X3nkPBv4jgE
https://strawpoll.com/X3nkPBv4jgE
>>
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>>60139766
pack it up
>>
>>60139660
I may be retarded but I legit think this is risky. Like, having all your wealth in one single thing, doesn't matter if it's cash.
>>
>>60139766
Reformulate your question. Only 2 digit IQ potatoes are going to say yes.
>>
>newfags asking if this is a good time to buy
massive sell indicator, no bounce
>>
>>60139776
he should just put it in a money market fund
>>
>>60139776
I got out of my etf/stocks/btc a month ago. I will buy myself back in once the pain is over.
>>
>>60139783
I assume that's what he's doing. Either that or Tbills. My point stands.
>>
So, no new retarded statements or whatever from the clowns at the WH? Nothing? Not even a tweet? Have they gone silent or what? I expected at least a little something from them, trying to make the market do a desperate little bump.
>>
>>60139814
>>
>>60139828
Pretty sure I've read that one a few days ago. He didn't lie, it truly did go boom, can't fault him on that.
>>
Dubs and Monday is worse than 1987
>>
>>60139680
>>60139749
>Blablabla excuses
Point is, we can, if needed. We don't have to depend on anyone for anything
>>
Finally, back to my home board. This is a wonderful time to buy that fucking dip.
>>
>>60139889
close enough, I can settle for 2008
>>
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>>60139828
>"market is going to boom"

>the boom
>>
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>>60139904
why did biden do this
>>
Held these through the weekend. Thoughts?
>>
>>60139896
This, but MFs here need a personal invitation to buy a sale
>>
>>60139911
Ticker scrabble score maxing?
>>
>>60139781
to what
>>
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Are you guys winning? Full portws into calls and short volatility for a dead cat bounce on Monday
>>
>>60139889
dubs and the ride never ends and we make 1929 look like a walk in the park
>>
>>60139917
That was a good one it took me a second
>>
>>60139889
-2% I think
>>
>total silence from the White House after one of the largest market crashes in history
If you think we're going anywhere but further down, I've got some SOXL shares to sell you.
>>
>>60139931
I think the bounce isn’t going to last an hour, not touching that shit
>>
can $soxl hit $2
>>
>>60139991
It can hit $0
>>
>>60140028
I think once it hits $0 I'm gonna buy 100 shares.
>>
>>60140028
I don't think it actually can.
>>
>>60139929
"can these tariffs be used to negotiate a better deal for the US" or something like that. I doubt anyone in this administration, including orange man, really think employing it in chat GPT formula is a good idea. It's so outrageous that's probably why he picked it instead of more sensible that were presented to him by his cabinet.
>>
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>>60139889
Golden bull confirmed
>>
>>60138967
>people like seeing traders and companies suffer
I guess the people were ready for communism just don't want to lose their land rights
>>
>>60140058
If the combined underlying securities go below -33% what do you think happens?
>>
>>60140091
How short-sighted do you have to be to think that all consumers aren't going to be affected by this? Do your average schmuck think tariffs have no effect on the goods they themselves purchase?
>>
>>60140098
They believe its levied only on the companies/foreign countries, and that companies will be forced to just absorb the costs.

They also believe that companies are making huge enough profits that they will do this without job cuts or such.
>>
>>60139743
Sp500 pe went DOWN to 17. That‘s higher than a 5% low risk return rate. Spy wasn‘t due for a correction. It was due for a massive increase you retard
>>
>>60140108
>and that companies will be forced to just absorb the costs
>A company choosing to eat a cost when they can just pass it onto the consumers
Lol? In what fucking fantasy land.
>>
cash gang when are we buying? I've had blueballs for 4 years now because I listened to retarded bears.
>>
>>60140121
You have to realise that the average person has no idea how tariffs actually work, or how the economy works. They pretty much believe the government can/will just force this to happen or something.
>>
>>60140093
But they rebalance daily.
>>
Can you believe it guys? My cost basis, just 200 points away. Cost basis is at 5300! Woohoo! I am so happy about this information. Cost basis! Just a 200 points away, oh wow. Can you believe it? My position! Just 200 points! We got here so fast! 5300! Just 200 points away!
>>
>>60140110
Where are you getting 17 from? I don't see a single source below 25.
>>
>>60139099
>who saved it?
Trump
>>
>>60140182
Sorry meant forward pe
>>
>>60140127
>when are we buying?
too moar weaks
>>
>>60140232
Isn't forward PE going to tank with the recession? Don't think that's a good metric to use right now.
>>
>>60138903
Okay so why would anyone invest in factories here when another president might revoke the tariffs and they're now stuck with a completely uncompetitive factory?
>>
>>60140254
Maybe the higher profit margins make it worthwhile. A 20% tariff of an import is, after all, carte blanche to raise your own price.
>>
>>60140254
Well then you could sell off the machinery, convert the factory building into loft apartments, and probably still come out ahead
>>
I'm tempted to go all in on VIX. Tell me why this is stupid.
>>
Nvdia put on monday: y or too late?
>>
>>60140141
So what if you see a 34% drop in a single day? Granted, unprecedented, but things are getting weird. Things could get interesting if a bunch of leveraged ETFs go tits up all at once.
>>
>>60140261
The problem is that the tariffs will be gone by the time the factory is actually producing goods. It's just an EO, and there's no way republicans win 2028 if they sink the global economy, so those tariffs are going away on January 20th 2028.
>>
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>>60140254
>invest in factories here
Ayo ramjeet - we looking for dose hitek factory jobs makn them chips, nomwat I say'n
>>
Oh you haven't had enough?
>>
>>60140302
I don't know exactly what they invest in, but even if there's a cataclysmic drop like that in the NASDAQ, the derivatives TQQQ invests in probably wouldn't all go to zero. A lot would... but not all. They aren't investing in 0dte options, so there would still be some residual value in the assets that they could liquidate and use to rebalance. The actual TQQQ price would be near $0, but that's what reverse splits are for.
>>
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guys quick question. like i've be yield curve examining.. does this still work with tariff quackery? or is it now ineffective?
>>
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>>60140288
Premiums are high because of volitility. Far less risky to be short volatility. If you're still bearish, look into writing call credit spreads on the next green day or rally.
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>>60140336
Every dip is caused by something different so yes
>>
I'm now a SOXL baggie. I need it to go to 21$ to be in the green. I'm going to not look at the market for the next year and hopefully it'll be up by then. Otherwise I rope I guess lol.
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>>60140276
>buy high sell low
Amazing strategy
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>>60140372
But the party is just getting started
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>>60139118
>i will call it now, it wont bottom until all of the effects of this are felt ie mass layoffs and unemployment rates spiking, company's going bankrupts or massively downsizing, a massive decline in consumption level and so on...
basado
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Most of you guys are tourists right?
That explains the influx after the crash. Thank god /bant/smg/ is still comfy, even if we are all moderately suicidal.
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>>60140384
People want this to be over very badly even though nothing has materially improved beyond better US nonfarm payroll data, which is a lagging indicator
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>>60140384
Aren't those hiring numbers from last month/quarter?
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>>60138903
>>Suicide Hotline
>Help is available
>Speak with someone today
>988 Suicide and Crisis Lifeline
is this bait or are we rebbit now?
>>
>>60140302
This is incredibly unlikely for SOXL, but the answer is that shares should get cancelled. Due to circuit breakers 33% is pretty much impossible, but it could get redeemed for pennies on the dollar after a massive collapse. It's happened to several other leveraged products such as UWT/DWT/VMIN/TVIX.
>>
>>60140412
That screencap was taken May of last year.
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>>60140394
>People want this to be over very badly even though nothing has materially improved beyond better US nonfarm payroll data, which is a lagging indicator
People are accustomed for number go up in perpetuity and in the off chance number go down they are also accustomed to number going back up to where it once was in a very short amount of time.
If there isn't at least a 50% retracement of the move from the previous SPX ATH to Friday's close within the next two weeks, people will treat it as the greatest depression, the end of the world as we know it, or literal armageddon. Proclaiming that something like this has never happened in their lifetime; which in reality only lasts their memory, which is severely impeded by the average retardation of the average person, which amounts to a memory of less than 5 years I assume.
People really are this retarded.
Also, the likelihood of SPX retracing 50% of that down move within the next two weeks is greater than "the sell off" to continue much further from Friday's close, I guess.
Because line always goes up eventually, right?
>>
God bless GOD EMPEROR TRUMP
He always crashes the market and gives me a good entry point for a pump and dump
>>
recommend everyone to add "bant" to the filter, you won't miss anything (i just remembered the filter exists)
>>
Has META hit the bottom yet and also how long do you think until it beats it all time high again of 736 usd?
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>>60140549
Why would Meta go up?
>>
It's so stupid that we are letting a retard induce a stock market crash and recession
>>
I bought spyu at 55 bucks.
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>>60138903
So what is QQQs bottom? Not sure when to go TQQQ. I’m thinking being all in after a 35% QQQ crash isn’t a bad strategy?
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>>60138952
Winrar
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>>60140549
It's not going up anytime soon bro Meta and X are the most likely candidates to get hit by the EU.
Zucc won't turn the tide unless he releases and god tier AI model.
>>
>>60139009
I keep hearing Wednesday the 9th will be a big day on the market but can’t figure out why?
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>>60140756
Both EU and Canada wanted a 3% revenue tax prior to this bullshit. I feel like that’s probably a gaurentee, I’m curios how’d that actually impact those money printers though.

Debating if I want to go TQQQ or UPRO when things feel bottomish.
>>
I keep seeing people gloating that China made a mistake creating tariffs of their own as a response? Why?
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>>60140789
Because they're retarded and choking down the state propaganda.
>>
>>60140789
Because people that have never heard of game theory or even went to college think it’s a own to point out if tarrifs are bad why would a country respond with them.
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>>60140789
trump said it
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The number of people here who are butthurt is hilarious. "Trump's a retard", "Trump's a moron", "Blumpf". If you really thought that, you'd have shorted the market and celebrated as it went down. Since you didn't, you actually expected that he'd be good for the economy, and now all you can do is think to call him mean names, as if that's worked for the last decade. It's like baby's first time hating trump.
>>
>>60140901
> If you really thought that, you'd have shorted the market and celebrated as it went down
That would work if he was actually consistent and didn't constantly flip flop on everything.
>>
>>60140901
Why can't we short and be upset about the long term consequences for the economy even if we make money in the short term.
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>>60140901
Here is a picture on why you will always be miserable and why no one will ever respect your opinion. Most of us don’t see the world in a binary nature like you clearly do.
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>>60140901
I think all that and I'm currently up 30% via going full bear ETF last week. Sure, I'm making money hand over fist, but the incoming depression is still going to fuck me over like everyone else.
>>
>>60140913
You don’t get it.

Fuck Trump talk though. I just want to know where QQQ will bottom out and if TQQQ or UPRO is better?
>>
>>60140901
It's going to go up monday
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>>60140901
No I expected reciprocal tariffs not a retarded calculation made with an equation Lutnick pulled out of his massive jewish nigger nose, the market did aswell seeing it went up briefly while trump was rambling about nothing
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>>60140964
This. There were analysts out there modelling the expected outcomes based on exactly what he was telling them, and he pulls this shit out of his ass. You can't invest off random bullshit like that.
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>>60140929
No :)
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of all the supporters of these tariffs, what percent are shills and what percent are just plain retarded
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>>60140823
I just lost half of 5 years of mostly long term investments. Is that bad? According to Trump, maybe in 10 more years recoup my losses for just today LMAO (cries if laughter, really. REALLY!) man I feel for how Trump fucked hs fellow boomers who were planning to retire this year, but had to postpone, likely work for another 10 years, likely to die while still employed, never getting a year's rest, working ALL their lives while zoomers and millennials have wasted 1.5 to 2.5 decades beings NEETs, living off their parents, some of which are late-stage boomers
>>
>>60140982
They are the same
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>>60140982
hard to calculate, all shills are retarded but not all retards are shills
>>
>>60140388
>Thank god for all the pedos on /bant/smg/ is still comfy pedo lounge
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>>60140994
>I just lost half of 5 years of mostly long term investments. Is that bad?
No, I still feel great. I went to mostly cash with all the news about tariffs.
>>
You retards are gonna open a short on Monday, aren't you? LMFAO
>>
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>>60138903
>be me
>hope for a dip
>a dip happens
>can't bring myself to buy
Fuck.
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>>60141017
Yes if we open green
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>>60141020
Be patient, markets are going to be bleeding for a while. Trump isn't going to back down on the tariffs.
>>
>>60139258
You should look into Australian rare earths
China has stopped selling to the US because if the trade war which conveniently leaves us sitting on top of the world's second largest reserve of all the most critical minerals the USA needs for its army and stuff
>>
>>60140994
> employee loyalty - your performance booster!
i can't express in words how much i loathe linkedin parasites
>>
How do I short stocks on Robinhood? I am retarded and need to have my hand held
>>
>>60139342
>Trump won't let it slide into oblivion.
Trump can't stop it, the fatal blow has already been struck and now we are just waiting for the walking corpse that is the US economy to finish bleeding out
>>
>>60141050
just buy bear etfs if you can't do options
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>>60139442
>How come the Dems retard are completely silent.
What the fuck do you expect them to do? Trump controls all three branches of government and the republicans will burn America to the ground before they turn on him
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I'm a habitual gambler, so tomorrow won't affect me at all.
We all meet up at the same finishing line, huh?
Uhh, good luck, though.
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>>60141020
>can't bring myself to buy
just buy a little, no need to go full retard. If it dips harder buy a little more, just go slow.
>>
>>60141077
if you keep buying the dip you'll be buying every day for the next 4 years and make nothing
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>>60139563
The technical term is "sanewashing"
The media has been sanewashing Trump for a good ten years now, but you are only noticing it now because its being done to cover up something bad that is happening to you specifically
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>>60141068
>the republicans will burn America to the ground before they turn on him
I'm not so sure about that. I think the special elections have scared them a bit. I've seen a surprising amount of public republican resistance to these tariffs. But it will probably be too late when/if it happens.
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>>60141059
Alright. I'm on AAPL right now, do I do a Limit order or what?
>>
>>60141041
I wish we had a poll. Could see where Anons think SPY will bottom. I think this won’t be that bad and bounce before 430 (30%) but who knows.
>>
what happens if trump sticks to his tarrifs until the end of his term?
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>>60141081
you make it up on volume
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>>60141135
Depression. Possibly global depending on how the rest of the world reacts.
>>
>>60141120
I don't have robin hood.
But a limit order is safer than a market order since you can set what you sell it at.
Then buy what you think is best.
>>
>>60141112
Well it must have happened in the 80's. There was a NYT story about how he lost an auction for the piano from Casablanca to a japanese bidder and after that he went to congress demanding they tariff Japan and to force Japan to revalue the Yen more fairly against the dollar.
>>
>>60141112
This, it took for me to see the Trevor Milton Nikola pardon to finally see it. It was just something so rarely black and white that even the biggest Simp couldn’t defend. All for 1.8 million which is nothing. So little it’s not even corrupt, just a clown show incompetentence.
>>
>>60140789
Because ppl parrot what the talmudvision tell them. Ofc they'd retaliate, it's a question of honor and dignity. Every country on earth will do the exact same shit, nobody want to look like a pussy ass bitch. But it wont have much of an impact, US exports to China represent 10% of China total imports. And it's quasi exclusively from "US companies" with their factories in China importing parts lel.
>>
>>60139118
I work in water heater parts manufacturing. We've been overtiming.
>>
Are protests bullish or bearish?
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>>60141152
or when he pardoned the founder of Silk Road just to appease the extreme liberaltarians
>i'm going to be tough on drugs. execute drug dealers
>i'm also going to pardon a guy who ran one of the largest illegal drug markets in the world
>>
>>60141153
What’s weird is both Switzerland (whopping 34%) and Australia (10%) have said they won’t. So I’m curios if more countries will follow suit.
I think you are correct but Switzerland through me for a loop.
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>>60141156
>Are protests bullish or bearish?
good for employment, only jobs retards can get is to show up somewhere and walk around with pre-made signs. They don't even know what the protest is for. You can just walk up and join them and hit on any easy girls in short shorts.
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>>60139475
I like how people get mad at trump voters and not realize the difference between what popular and electoral votes are
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>>60141164
I've seen it said that he will take off the tariffs from the EU and it's individual countries if they start buying American natural gas, but who knows.
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>>60141020
why would you buy the almost-top tho?
>>
Right before market close yesterday I shorted Russell 2000 >:)
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>>60141163
Yea, but at least there was an argument to be made. Some people supported that. I like the Trevor Milton one as no one on earth said this was good. You either hated it or didn’t know about it. Not even the most deranged supporter could defend the Nikola Trevor Milton pardon in return for 1.8 mil.
And if he was clearly, clearly retarded/wrong there, how many other grey areas is he equally retarded and yet getting the 5d chess treatment.
How much of this crash is the tarrifs, or how poorly done it was done ie the penguin colony / US army base.
>>
Tell me why would it go down more?
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>>60141170
I’m betting on this too, but I also know there is a good chance I’m wrong. I’ll be 95% out of powder and fully leveraged at qqq down 30%.

Watch it crash %82…
>>
>>60140245
Forward p/e is a very bad imaginary number for turbulent and uncertain times. 2007 forward p/e made valuations seem reasonable and then p dropped like a brick. At the same time in march 2009 p/e was like 100 (this is all from memory haven't checked any numbers) because e was mostly negative. But that was the best time to buy for the long term.

I fully expect a bear market rally next week. But the medium term trend is down down down down.
>>
yall ready for orange monday
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>>60141185
Yeah the DOGE thing just feels like a distraction when they had a chance to make meaningful change to the size and spending of the government. Supporters love it because anything govt = bad. I'd like to see military spending absolutely gutted but I'm probably alone in that. It's also annoying how they call everything they don't like fraud when it's mostly just wasteful spending.
>>
>>60141170
>>60141193
bros...

>European Union firms will try to export goods via Northern Ireland in an attempt to get a reduced tariff rate when exporting to the US#.
>>
>>60141191
they're called Black Mondays for a reason
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I'm just looking for somewhere to store my money at this point. I think a generic Latin American etf might work, lots of money in Mexico and Brazil that might still prosper better than a lot of the world. Assume that Mexico and Brazil can stay off Trump's shitlist.

UK, Australia and Singapore might do well too. Working as transit points for other countries.
EU and Canada seem sensible for a different way in that there just moving in a direction to deal with the mess.
China seems to have gotten stupidly strong since it looked to be struggling in 2021-23 too, shame I don't invest in dictatorships.
>>
>>60141164
Switzerland may be still completely buck broken about all the villainous shits the US administration did to them the past decade : ending the banking secret, FBI meddling with their offshores & franco de port revenues, Wall streets kikes making Credit Suisse into the scapegoat and blowing it up to smithereens, force DEI-ing UBS near extinction, forcing them to end their neutral stance to confiscate russian assets and then organize a propaganda meetup for NATO, etc...
It's just next level how Washington bullied the swississies, i wouldn't be surprised if they are simply like a trauma victim facing their torturer.
But it may be something else, and swiss are quite sneaky and long term thinking, so i'm not familiar enough with the matter to tell with certainty if it's fear or 5D chess.

For Australia, their admin feel like they are in a permanent dick sucking competition with the rest of the anglo world for US approval, so i'm not surprised.
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>>60141219
Dutch overseas
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>>60141191
why wouldn't it? trump loves tariffs. he tariffed the world. that's the end of the USA and current economic system
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>>60141227
lol
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>>60139716
Just get a vanilla bean and soak it in vodka. You can make your own vanilla extract very easily at home
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>>60141207
Not going to happen. Northern Ireland has corridors flowing both ways, everything that has a risk of leaving Northern Ireland goes into the red corridor and is treated like an international product.

The problem is really going the other way - when the EU imposes tariffs then Northern Ireland has to add whatever is tariffed onto its red corridor list too which will bring it further out from UK trade policy.
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>>60141233
you're only laughing right now if you are holding short positions.
the dysgenic brownoid mutts of the states have decided they want to become a sweatshop, only they'll be tariffed and too expensive to export anything.
unless they reverse quickly the rest of the world had moved on.
there's only been a blip of 80 years of US hegemony, it couldn't last forever
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>>60141204
True that. Still, I want to keep my eye on the prize. How do we profit maximize so we can be on a beach leaving this silliness behind. I’ve decided I can’t beat social media retardation but I might be able to build my own paradise without it.
>>
>>60141207
It is time to lay the hammer on the Irish Protestants. Traitors to the Emerald Isle.
>>
why did smg suddenly get so active
no i mean i kind of know but where is every1 coming from even

like who goes to a crypto board to talk about stocks
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>>60141284
stocks are shitting the bed, thats when people talk about stocks
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>>60141264
I used to wear orange every St Patrick’s day, no Canadians got it but I had a few bar fights with Irish tourists in college.
Than our Native Americans took the colour and now when I wear orange I just look like a Indian lover protesting North American colonization. I’ll never forgive those prairie niggers.
>>
>>60140731
I dont want to hear a single one of you call the "americans are stupid" heuristic a baseless stereotype ever again
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>>60141260
>80 years of US hegemony
More like a century, their hegemon status started with UK & France losing their oversea influence after WW1's extreme exhaustion of capital (at least that's the official theory, the reality is much more /pol/ish : jewish bankers simply decided the US would become their new HQ). Still, that was a good run, no regroots. Now* the jewish overlords decided China would be their new host, so they are sabotaging and looting what remain of the current host asap.

Now * : it was decided back in the 70s that the next migration would be to HK, but it took few decades to completely infiltrate the CCP and move all their assets/patents/critical infrastructures down there.
>>
>>60141284
>>60141304
Retard
>>
>>60141284
This is a stock board, crypto invaded
>>
I slurped already
But I have like $700 left. Should I buy some puts Monday morning to hedge?
>>
>>60141340
Well, technically /biz/ was created because /g/ spent their times whining to the mods that bitcorn gamblers were shitting up their board non stop. We are a containment board. That said, total shitcoiners death, it should be a bannable offense to have threads about altcoins.
>>
>>60141164
Our treasurer, shadow treasurer and the head of the RBA are all in agreement that retaliatory tariffs will do more harm then good due to our trade deficit with the USA.
Since the government, opposition ad the bulk of the general public all tryst the expert advice provided by the public service, and also because this is the exact same strategy we used to remarkable success against the chinks when they launched thier little trade war against us a few years back, there is currently no political impetus for reciprocal tariffs in Australia
>>
>>60141164
US makes up only about 5% of our exports in Australia, and most of that are goods we can easily sell elsewhere, we won't retaliate because there is nothing to gain from doing so.

Tariffs hurt your own country. So it would only be beneficial to retaliate if you needed to protect your own exports.
>>
>>60141364
Why are aussie """leaders""" such extreme incompetent losers and petty autocrats? They might be the most mediocre government to have ever existed.
>>
>>60141284
>no i mean i kind of know but where is every1 coming from even

Vultures looking to make a quick buck off the decaying corpse of US hegemony
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>>60138997
>dip
consider the following
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>>60141385
What would you have them do? Just retaliate for the sake of retaliating?
>>
If all countries have to make every product themselves then what is the point of races and countries?
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>>60141403
>Just retaliate for the sake of retaliating?
Exactly. At 100% no less.
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>>60141385
Looks like Australians actually believe that tariffs the are bad
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>>60141403
Really a political response more than an economic one, but they could look into fining US tech.
>>
>>60141219
>China seems to have gotten stupidly strong since it looked to be struggling in 2021-23 too, shame I don't invest in dictatorships.

If the country is still making their billionaires randomly disappear, I wouldn't even attempt to make China stronger
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>>60141410
The countries ignoring the tariffs will do the best
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>>60141414
We literally went through this exact scenario with China a few years back. By doing nothing we were able to sell elsewhere at a higher price, and after a while the Chinese just lifted the tariffs and apologized.
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huh... this means Monday we crash again right?
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>>60141422
That's yet to be seen, with Trump we don't even know if tariffs will still be there by next week.
>>
Aus traders here, thoughts on BBUS?

https://www.betashares.com.au/fund/us-equities-strong-bear-fund/

Already in for a few thousand before Thrusdays crash. But debating putting in a few thousand more on Monday.
>>
>>60141426
No, Tesla, Apple and Nvidia sellers are just meme stock rats who are finally selling their overvalued trash.
We're not at the top yet. Rates are going to be cut next week or next month and then we'll hit all time high
>>
>>60139655
why do you have my post saved?
>>
>>60141455
Why would rate cuts be taken as a bullish sign when inflation is on its way up already and you're adding more fuel to the fire that way. Tariffs are the problem here and the fed can't solve that.
>>
>>60141430
I just can't see him backing down at this point. He may lower the tariffs on some countries which don't mean much. But for the markets that matter (China, EU, Vietnam) they will stay. The end goal is to force manufacturing back to the US
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>>60141467
Powell already stated we are in a wait and see mode. I guess the real question is, what will Trump do when Powell raises interest rates.
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>>60141456
I thought it was worth screencaping
I have a few others
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>>60140388
Probably redditards after all their shitty stock lost 3x value from ATH
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>>60141473
>what will Trump do when Powell raises interest rates.
With what monies? Trump admin is going so radical exactly because the US are too broke to finance the national debt. If they raise IR it's a death sentence, not sure the Fed will do it just to spite the current administration. But who knows, after all the Fed do not serve US interests.
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>>60141473
He can't raise rates that will cause the second great depression
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>>60140325
kek
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>>60141494
kek
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>>60141507
>>60141507
His only job is to keep inflation low.
Any consequences of that are Trumps problem.
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>>60141515
How can he keep inflation low when it's our fault?
>>
Nothing ever happens
>>
So what are the chances of a legitimate, actual depression? Wondering how much I should lose in a sell-off
>>
>>60141507
Raise rates -> Great Depression
Lower rates -> Inflationary Spiral

It's a lose lose situation
>>
>>60141521
Who exactly is The Atlantic's target audience?
>>
>>60141284
losing 10% of stock valuation in two days is pretty fucking bad. we don't hit breakers anymore because algos do everything in their power to crab around it ever since 2020 happened
>>
>>60141533
Trumps plans will almost rely on a depression to force the kind of changes he wants. So it depends on if he backs down or not
>>
>>60141455
>rate cuts with tariffs
sir, your dobson tier monetary inflation? the only thing that can ameliorate trump's retarded play is raising rates, not cutting them
>>
>>60141185
he didnt do it for the 1.8 mill retard, he did it because Pam Bondi knows the guy and his wife, they're all aquantances irl. He did a bunch of finance guys at the same time, who cares. It sucks, but anyone investing in meme-tech trucks like that deserved to lose money. Green tech is for the rich scamming the government and gullible retards.

The silk road guy deserves prison, but at the same time, he could be extremely useful to various intel agencies from a tech-skills standpoint and should have been recruited into the fbi/CIA years ago.
>>
>>60141546
Are they capable of threading the needle of only triggering a recession?
>>
>>60141546
To add to this I don't think he will. His people are convinced backing down now would just render the sacrifices already made worthless. They keep saying this just needs to ridden out and that they are fighting a war. Moreover they think they can sell the public on dealing with the short term pain for supposed long term benefits.
>>
>>60141585
If they had competent and professional economic experts designing policy maybe.
>>
>>60141592
The media blitz of Stephen Miller and co to all the media outlets repeating the same slogan of short term pain and that the previous economy under Biden was fake and we were heading toward a catastrophe if they didn't do the things they are doing makes me think there is no turning back. They are all in.
>>
>>60141618
Yup this weekend has only convinced me that this isn't a temp thing. Will be doubling down on shorts Monday. There may be a few bounces along the way, but we aren't at the bottom
>>
>>60141626
If the EU joins China in retaliatory tariffs then the real bloodbath begins.
>>
>>60141191
news, fake news triggering programmed selling, everything is inter related via the central banks, big banks and hedge funds, the lower the prices the more the super rich can buy (the went to cash early as they always do). This is just part of the manipulated economy/financial industry.
>>
Which broker should I use? I am a newfag. I own 0 stocks and idk anything about it
Willing to learn.

People IRL recommend Robinhood but people here call me a faggot for it. So what do I use then?
>>
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>>60141674
they all do the same job, robinhood at least has a fairly intuitive UI for a beginner and locks things like options at first so you don't go and fuck your account up.
>>
>>60141674
>Which broker should I use?
Do you have a 401k, or an IRA? If yes, they may already have a connection with a brokerage for the self directed investment option. If not, you can pick one. I use Schwab because it was the only option for a 401K self directed option. I like it. I have not used any other. Schwab does not automatically give you options trading, you have to apply for it and they may or may not grant it (for your own protection) based on your finances and experience. I recall when GME was mooning Robinhood blocked its used from buying GME, they could only sell. If a brokerage blocked me from making money I would never use them. The two biggest are Vanguard and Schwab, you can choose anyone and leave one for another if you want. Go to their website, watch vids, even call several and ask them questions see if they will meet with you discuss your needs.
>>
I hope I have the self restraint not to make any moves for at least two days.
>>
So what is the lowest you think the DOW will go? 30K? 20K? 10K? 5K? Lower?!
>>
>>60141878
35-40% off ATH. 27k to 29k.
>>
This the new thread ? >>60141837
>>
>>60141897
new thread ? >>60141837
new thread ? >>60141837
new thread ? >>60141837
new thread ? >>60141837
>>
>>60141418
There are plans afoot in that direction, and the situation will escalate rapidly if trump tries to interfere in the PBS like he keeps saying he wants to
>>
>>60140388
You should go back there then



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