weekend at war edition>Educational sites:https://www.investopedia.comhttps://www.khanacademy.org/economics-finance-domain>Financial TV Streams:https://www.newslive.com/american/cnbc.htmlhttps://www.livestreamy.net/bloomberg/>Charts:https://www.tradingview.comhttps://www.finscreener.comhttps://www.portfoliovisualizer.com>Screeners: so you feel like in the movieshttps://finviz.com/https://etfdb.com/>Gambling:https://www.optionsplaybook.com/options-introduction/https://www.optionsprofitcalculator.comhttps://optionstrat.com/https://www.optionistics.com/quotes/option-prices>Pre-Market and Live data:https://www.investing.com/indices/indices-futureshttps://finance.yahoo.com/>Calendarshttps://www.marketwatch.com/economy-politics/calendarhttps://www.earningswhispers.com/calendarhttps://www.cmegroup.com/trading/interest-rates/countdown-to-fomc.htmlhttps://www.mortgagenewsdaily.com/data/building-permits>Boomer Investing 101: so zoomers with meme stocks can outperform youhttps://www.bogleheads.org/wiki/Getting_startedhttps://www.sec.gov/search-filings>Misc smg:https://www.financialjuice.com/homehttps://finance.yahoo.com/trending-tickershttps://market24hclock.com/https://www.dividendchannel.com/drip-returns-calculatorhttps://brokerchooser.com/https://www.chathamfinancial.com/technology/us-market-rates>NEW THREAD: Copy-paste the following when making a new thread:https://pastebin.com/GfB48W5Gprevious smigger thread>>62043748
it's up. the usa has no way out of a stock market crash and the rich have already sold out to china and russia which is why russia and china didn't bother going to war over sanctions of tech or getting their money back on literal frozen accounts. sell what you can before october 12th this year and don't get drafted>>>https://boards.4chan.org/biz/thread/62043748/#62044477the largest holder of usa debt is the american individual and that dude on average does not have a higher iq than that of the chinese which is why there'll be deaths to drones in 4k
90% cash, lookin to maybe buy the bleed next week.Don't really believe it's going down like 2008 or something like that unfortunately.
>literally me
Rate my financial investment for tonight's UFC card: Ricky Simon, Ignacio Bahamondes, Chase Hooper, Navajo Sterling, Israel Adesanya. Really need this to hit.
>>62044512yet
>>62044493Look. To analyse what may unfold in a war. You first must look at the strategic objectives of the sides. Let’s strait with Iran. For Iran. This is existential. The US goal is to destroy the nation and its leadership. Gain control of its Hormuz chokepoint value and its resources. Which can then be used to shore up the pertrodollar backing system. And gain leverage over the globe. As Iran is showing right now. So Iran is fighting for its life. It’s just been attacked last year. A failure. With fake negotiations that murdered their negotiators and were just means to lull them in. The goal isn’t any sort of agreement it’s Irans destruction. They saw the US regrouped and tried again. Same deceptive negotiations same murderous attacks on negotiators. So now for them it’s clear. There can be no talk. The US will never deal. They understand only complete domination and disgregard all norms of diplomacy and international law now (which they created). The mask is off. They saw what happend to Iraq. Syria. They planned for this for decades but stupidly hoped there was a deal possible. Now they are clear in their views. The US will never stop unless defeated. And all you need to see if their demands. US out of gulf. All bases. All sanctions lifted. Reparations. No more possibilities for sneak attacks or economic warfare. And they have the means and leverage to get that. So it’s on. So fucking forget a deal. Unless the US truly backs down all the way. But that’s not gonna happen is it? So it’s time to turn the screw. Show them they have pain points. And they can’t do much to stop it.
>>62044512also the average american would have been the only party stupid enough to have held us debt after japan and europe had dumped most of theirs
>Golden rare Tengizchevroil Pepe >produces 1 million BOED
>>62044518>Look. To analyse what may unfold in a waryou don't do it because capabilities are classified until they're not. you bet via averages of where money is per iq threshold per age cohort
>>62044518Your analysis seems to ignore the reality that the IRGC is a paper tiger lobbing bombs and drones from relative safety because they haven't been invaded yet. They'll fold like wet toilet paper when they have to do real fighting.
> futures
>>62044528sway tank yoo
you know it's bad when jews have to send bots to /biz lest anons dump
>>62044525You’ve invented a whole new method of geopolitical analysis nobody’s even heard of. Cool. And this capabilities are classified? We can SEE the war. We can SEE there’s no air defence left. We can SEE 30% of the gulf infrastructure is gone. We can SEE they control the strait. We can SEE all the US bases and presence in Iraq are gone or destroyed. We can SEE the Iranians strike accurately every day and nothing stops them. We can SEE no US ship will approach nearer than 1500km because they will be sunk. We can SEE major banking, energy, political figures warning a devastating economic event is coming because of this. We can SEE markets are wobbling. We can SEE a bond/debt crisis is imminent as rates spike globally. If you are saying there’s some hidden shit that will change all this. Let’s hear it. Otherwise it’s made up FUCKING HOPIUM. I TRUST MY EYES. And I follow all this extremely closely.
what the fuck is this thread?
>>62044528Okay. Just tell me. - How many men will it take to invade- Where will the basing to build up forces take place. Exactly please. - Where will this invasion force enter Iran.
>>62044542Panicans are upset that their bobo asses are fucked
>>62044542Fucking vatnik bots got triggered by people talking about russian oil getting blown up.
>>62044542saturday>>62044545>market jackknifing staright lowerman this thing needs tuned up or something
>>62044541"we"
>>62044512I didn’t think so. But then I Saw that Journo ask Larry Fink if that was what it was going to be, his eyes go wide, he starts stuttering, his arms and legs cross, etc.Maybe an anon had the clip. But that a spooked me enough to buy puts.
Is it over? Should I kill myself?
>futureshttps://youtu.be/VNQwq0tpr4w?si=eCQcDjpZct7L-jat
jerome please
>>62044483CRASH THE MARKETS ALREADY FAT ORANGE FUCK.
>futureshttps://youtu.be/6Stlibj34To?si=0qHXg8BcXdtyyZxV&t=472
>>62044564kek
>>62044544>quds force trying to get intel on biz of all placesdesperation
>>62044483Mar 27: "You can talk sex."What is this from?
>>62044569markets already crashed. trump exists to make sure the goyim would have been the last to have known and to have held bags to the end. when it crashes it crashes on the masses
>>62044574https://x.com/atrupar/status/2037660587027476562
>>62044577This can't be real.
im too much of a coward to short the market hard
>>62044577the bible belt puritans aren't going to like that
everyone here is so bearish, it's making me switch to bullish, /smg/ is basically always wrong, every time I see these threads start talking about market crashes or bloody mondays we moon
>>62044577>in america the president tells you about the birds and the bees
>>62044541All I see is all the green in my portfolio so whatever is going on I hope it keeps going.
>>62044577Geschlechtsverkehr
Geschlechtsverkehr.
I kinda hope we get a circuit breaker on Monday. Partially because my puts would print, but mostly so I can post pink wojaks and scream in all caps
>>62044589Everyone is wrong but only because they're not bearish enough. This is like the early days of Covid when it was just a weird China virus and nobody knew the world would shut down for a year. You'll have to wait for literal blood in the streets on this one
>>62044604>>62044606nothingburger monday green
monday we get another trump tweet and everything will be green again
>>62044606this is nothing like Covid lmao, no one was talking about Covid like it was going to crash everything before it happened, now a crash is what everyone is talking about
>>62044599Well yeah. I’ve built a commodity folio just waiting for all this too.
>>62044608Monday, who knows. But we'll be going down for the next month until reality fully hits. Then it becomes slurpable
>>62044608>>62044611I envy your optimism
>>62044612You clearly forgot how long it took to get from>this virus will kill a lot of people to>LITERALLY SHUT DOWN ALL ECONOMIES EVERYWHERE RIGHT NOWWe're at the>this crisis will cause a lot of havocstage but you need to wait until the>THERE ARE LITERAL OIL RIOTS IN THE STREETS AND ALL ELECTIONS ARE CANCELLED TO DEFEND DEMOCRACYstage
>>62044604i get it's a meme but closed well below 6450 and JPM collar is 6475 so the risk of that is the most elevated ever imo. if shit opens reeeeaaallly sour the support level is around 5470 unironically
>>62044589>everyone is just walking around saying “good morning” and “nice morning isn’t it?” and “what a pretty day”>this is beginning to make me think that it actually must be night time
Dare I say, I voted for this
>>62044619>Oil riots in the streetslol, lmao even, the US has more oil than it can even use, look at the Cushings report, oil storage increased over the last month because Venezuelan oil started coming in, maybe the rest of the world start having riots but it aint happening in the US
>>62044624
>>62044620I was on here last week telling retards to buy april spy puts and now I can't believe I'm putting much more cash into those than I initially put asideVIX hasn't even peaked yet for whatever that's worth
>>62044625
>>62044615>reality>>62044618I just looked at a shipping map.Nothing like watching a chinese crude oil tanker drive right through it.
>>62044528JEW-SA think they’ve won because they’ve killed the leaders and taken the cities, but they completely underestimate the people who have nothing left to lose and are willing to burn the whole system down to get the invaders out.
>>62044625can’t blame youif USA is indeed a supporter of Israel, this is literally the play script
I'm going to write this small text just in case someone is starting to believe the magatard shills.1 - The regime is fighting for its life. They are not going to negotiate since that's just an excuse for the US to have time to build up troops in the region and attack the regime, like during the previous negotiation rounds.2 - The IRGC has no interest in giving up power, if they do they'll be the one hanging from lamp posts.3 - There's very little chance someone else takes power because the regime made sure to eliminate all the alternatives, there's no one with the apparatus needed to take over the country, especially that Reza guy who hasn't been in the country for 50 years.Not only that, the regime can now be much more violent in repressing any sort of uprising.4 - Iran has no financial incentive to open the strait.>muh tollsOne month ago they were selling oil for less than $50/barrel. Now they are selling more oil than before, for twice as much. Besides, their friends are still getting oil, US "allies" are the ones getting majorly fucked.5 - Boots on the ground is that best thing that the regime could hope for. The war is already wildy impopular in the US, imagine what will happen when dozens of caskets start coming back, or worse, when soldiers get captured and paraded by the regime.Americans have no stomach for this war and the retarded administration has no good way to spin it for the majority of the population who aren't complete retarded magas. And above all, the american administration is a xongregation of retarded sycophants with no plan and no idea of what they're doing. They obey Israel and Israel doesn't give a shit about the strait.
>>62044632gm
buttcoin is making a move
>>62044625I didn't but an extremely happy with the current situation
>Imagine betting that the guy who literally wrote a book called "the art of the deal" is not gonna be able to make a dealNGMI
>>62044664>guy who literally wrote a book called "the art of the dealTony Schwartz ?
>>62044646Agree with most of this post, but the disruption from Hormuz extends beyond oil. The helium/urea/LNG problem will cascade to the allies of Iran. They, too, will look to get this situation figured out. Everyone is negatively affected by the semipermeable access.
>>62044667who?
>>62044673He's the guy who literally wrote "Art of the Deal"You didn't think Zion Don wrote it did you?
>>62044646What if trump wants the strait closed? This borders on schizoposting but what if he is putting pressure on the ECB and the UN? High gas prices hurt the American consumer but potentially collapses the euro.
>>62044676I actually did
>Master Chief do you mind telling me what you're doing on Kharg Island?SIR FINISHING THIS FIGHT
>>62044679Kharg island is the last place on earth anyone will invade.There will be crayon eaters on the moon before they are on Kharg.
>>62044683true
>>62044677Europe is a huge trading partner so I doubt america actually wants then in a recession since it would bleed over to America.Europe suffering isnt a war goal its just a side effect and MIGA cope
>>62044683I need them to invade today
>>62044688Why? What position do you have that benefits?
kek oil baggies
>>62044689Oil
>>62044629US will do better than most cunts in this crisis but when the world goes to shit no single cunt can sit it out
>>62044677you mean the same dude who already lifted sanctions on russian oil once less than thirty days ago wouldn't have expected europe to have done the same?
I once again have fallen in love with a woman in a TV ad...The worst part is I can't even invest in the company the ad is for, since it's privately owned
>>62044677you're right, this is schizopostinghistorically nothing ever went wrong and everything bad that ever happened was actually 5d chess
>>62044679>the people who screamed that videogames were becoming too political want you to support this
>>62044629energy on planetary scales can only be consumed and even solar would have had negative roi once some high returns per kw input were required of grids. it's physically impossible to have recycled electrical energy for example
Long OILShort TECHDon’t read any of these fags assumptions about the war. Iif they were positioned correctly they would be enjoying Mr bones wild ride. They are going to be either bag hold or be priced out. Simple as.
I didn't sell my stocks before the invasion despite knowing it would end up like this because I'm mentally ill and can't make decisions.So I'm down a lot now. Do I sell it all and buy a later dip or do I ride the lightning from this point on?
>>62044754Boots on the ground by the end of next week. You have until then to sell everything and get into full bear mode or you're riding the nasdaq down to 30k.
Guys, I don't want to sign off but my contract is up. I don't have to pay for anything on ship.
>>62044677everything hes said makes it sounds like he wants to destabilize the world, so maybe as much as hes been played by israel, maybe hes just gonna scapegoat them in the end after accomplishing widespread economic destruction in the processremember, the elite want to bankrupt other elite, the stability at the top of the global order isnt as strong as some people would like to think
btw i still cant stop thinking about the superbowl commercial telling people to invest for not only their future but the future generations of their families. literally 2 weeks before the downturn started.im thinking this market downturn is real and you wont be able to invest for 2-3 yearswhich means its time to get rich trading
>>62044646This sounds reasonable, except maybe for point 5 as it would choke their oil income and give relief to rest of the world. It would turn the war into a chicken race of unpopularity.
just open the market bro
>>62044762Would boots on the ground not make stocks go up? If they open the strait.
>>62044599Where's the black german (me)?>>62044779I also saw some commercial on youtube, I think for Gold just before it rugged.
>>62044787>If they open the strait.
I'm basically all in tqqq, do I keep buying or wait for Trump to find something else to do and then buy?
>>62044787They would go down immediately because it means the war is going to last a long time and also escalate . If they eventually defeat Iran with boots then yea it would go up after that
we are going down but next week will be green, /smg/ is too bearish
>>62044589ngl I'd let that slamwhale sit on my lap while watch the game and I grab and play around with her belly and back fat the whole time
>>62044798>If
>>62044801>tech heavy ETF with trash like META and jeetsoft You will continue to get killed as long as the war goes on and that's at least 2 weeks
>>62044803the market doesnt have to crash but its also not gonna go back up. its just going to be bidless, every green candle a scamwick that gets sold into. you saw this in the price action for the last two weeks. nobody is buying
>>62044589if that bitch sat on me i would get sucked into her crack and crushed between her nasty blubbery cheeks
can't wait for peace. i miss the disagreements we used to have over the talking computers and the price of shiny rocks.
>>62044810What do I do?
Im golding AG, EXK, BTG and IAG leaps. Sold some HYMC to derisk and will maybe buyback along with NFGC that is way oversold. A good portion of my port is also in PBR calls until this rally/war lasts but i need to deploy my capital back. Gonna buy some contango otm calls on monday too. Which miners are you buying smiggers?
>>62044817Sell some and buy an energy etf to hedge Go back to tech when you think things are wrapping up
>>62044822What's a leveraged energy etf?
So this is looking more and more like similar to the Ukraine. Trump is hoping everyone forgets their blunder and war will continue in the ME until either Israel is destroyed or there is a policy change for the entire world in the next decades.Either way, this is going to be a serious bear market. Probably not getting better until same time next year, if it's that soon.In the light of this matter, what is everyone looking at for investments? It's either going to be alternative energy or alternative oil sources.
>>62044801lmao, retard
>>62044828OILU
>>62044833>>62044712>longing oil at the top
>>62044787Is the strait water or ground?
Good Morning Sirs!
>>62044836>longing oil at the top That's been true for a month and it just keeps topping.
Was almost thinking about spending money on foids but then I jacked off. This is financial advice.
>>62044837>water or ground?a strait is both, that's what defines it
>>62044840Every time WTI crossed $100 it violently corrected>inb4 this time is different
>>62044843I am considering trying the homo scene to save money
>>62044849This time is unironically different. The market was coping the past few weeks on a quick resolution but now that idea is melting away like snow in the desert.
>>62044850anon thats gay
>>62044849OILU is for oil producers not contracts DOE can short WTI all it wants and oil producers will still go up until the gulf is open again
>>62044815easier times
-7.5% in a month is p. bad heres what happened after last time that happened THO
>>62044865I'm low IQ can you please explain what number mean? Thank you.
>CEOs now stepping down due to AIEither that is fake as fuck or.............we are heading into a massive shitshow with jobs markets
Remember when we were openly encouraged to speculate if the president had dementia
>>62044865Okay but I don't think this crisis will be over soon
any stocks for this feel?
>car ad on tv>"starting under $66 thousand">"THAT'S IT?!"
wish something good would happen so i can make fun of bobos....
>>62044870microslop ceo needs to step down jewgle ceo needs to step down
>>62044865In a vacuum, this seems bullish for two months into the future. After all, it can only go down so far unless there are structural issues at play. Might be useful to see what the spread is for yearly change for every one of those cases. A crab market would be bad enough if you got one year into the future.
>>62044887as soon as you start making fun of bobo, i buy puts
>>62044894when a certain webm gets posted it's a notorious top signal
>>62044887Don't worry, we're edging right now. The longer this goes the higher the chance of biboborius people shorting the bottom is right before the face melting golden bull run.
>>62044873I don't either question is how red a streak the new 2026-03 row will be
>>62044893tell me how a global energy crisis that cant be solved, even if the strait was open now that there is damaged and offline production equipment in nearby countries isnt a structural problem for the global economy, especially at a time when private credit is getting heemedthe bull market ended, and theres those who can recognize and accept it now or those who will try to long for 2 years and get heemed while their gains from previous recent years also get heemed
>>62044900I think we're in a bear market, but even a bear market can't keep dropping. 10%? 15%? After that it becomes a psychological reason to sell. Because at some point you reach valuations for companies which are well below their worth considering inflation.Remember, if inflation keeps rising, a 0% month is a terrible month.
>>62044900Well just print more energy retard.
i'm not buying until futures go negative
>>62044906it definitely can keep dropping, it just wont be right away. down, sideways for a while, down, sideways for a while. some rip your face off rallies and bulltraps along the way, but i wouldnt be trying to invest for the next few years. the filth hasnt even started to get flushed from the system yet>>620449074head
>>62044893here you go12mo crab only happened counting after April 2022
>>62044909I think 1 year is a reasonable timeframe to keep out of the market for most people, then reassess. If things are still terrible, then yeah delay for a while, but there would need to be more cataclysmic happenings for it to keep in a downturn for 3 years.
>>62044900How many times do you need to be told that America makes LOADS OF MONEY on this whole situation? We're fine just gonna get richer. The only ones fucked are euros and guess what? FUCK euros. Europe is like that slut that got used to sucking her sugar daddys dick and thought its just going to be iphones and trips to Dubai forever, but now daddy found a younger, better whore and she's out. So she's throwing a hissy fit and screaming but they won't even let her see daddy anymore. America First baby, there's a LONG line of bitches hoping to suck dat dicc lmao
>>62044912Nice, thanks. Yeah it looks pretty expected. Most are corrections, with a few (73, 2000, 2008) being full on bear markets.I do think we're potentially in one of those cases.
>i think the bear market will go on for years!>you're not being pessimistic enough!>millions will die!>but not before suffering horribly!grrrrr
>>62044633I bought April spy calls pussy
shut up faggot
>>62044924cute
>>62044918oh yeah. maga
Open the fucking stock market already. I'm so fucking bored!
>>62044606It's just 20% oil disruption and some fertilizer... The global market supply will accommodate in the next months if the war continues...
>>62044932It was some typa Turkmen interior decorator, killed the whole MAG7.
>>62044934my dad lived in japan after the war and they didn't have synthetic fertilizer so everyone just pooped in buckets and they would collect it every morning and use it to fertilize the fields.
>>62044918>america makes loads of money This is migger cope . Energy companies will make lots of money and everyone else's margins will suffer . some margins will get bad enough that activity will stop.America isnt Norway or Canada with huge % of their economy based on selling energy. If you don't believe me look at the major american index's since the war started
>>62044948Remember the 2025 Google FUD about their search engine getting rekt by AI and then they just made what's in your picture.
>>62044919I'm honestly surprised by the historical odds, this makes me less bearish overall though I believe more pain will come first before the rally. We might get a 1998ish year
How are my 627 3/31P looking? I think we go down another 4-5% before we bounce back up to 650. Your thoughts?
I have 21 $GUSH call options 5 are at the may 15th 48 strike and 10 are at jun 15th 53$ strike, am i going to make it?
>>62044973sad that boomers will actually believe this is real
Hello bossI'm just dropping in to say that I still really don't care at all about sandniggers getting bombedSee you in two weeks for the next status update
>>62044483I fucked up I didn’t exit Friday. Am I gonna lose my remaining 14% profits this Monday. Asking cause my crystal ball is getting polished this weekend
for the last 15 years, people said they won't buy fagman because it's too expensiveit's always too expensive. if you missed the early rapid blow up of an asset don't feel like you missed it. but you have to pay attention. trends are for people that pay attention. the late comers get wrecked. you don't have to be the first one in to make money. you just need to be the first 80%in to make money. then with practice with that, you can get a sharp eye and be one of the first people in on new trendsi can give you an analogy to help you understand. you want to be on a trend before it was cool. and when the plebs are fucking around with the same old shit you're on the new thing that they'll start buying years later after you already got on it.
>>62044919Also look at the calendar year return in the years where the shock occurred. Changes the picture a little bit
>>62044918You've never seen what an energy shock does in your life. This isn't it. It takes months to set in, and if 6 months from now, if oil is heavily elevated the economy will grind to an haltyes, the energy indexes will be doing well but that's it.
>>62044916the cataclysmic happening is drumpf is still in office for almost 3 more years from now
>>62044918not how the global economy works fucko, but i know your post was ironic so dont think i took it seriously
>futures
>>62044999>6 monthsTry 2 more weeks
>>62044989I'm seeing a narrative emerge that the houthis are going to close the Red sea so yeah probably another dump on monday.
>>62044916even the 2008 crash only lasted 8 months before recovering. yes the prices 8 months after the 2008 crash were still good, but nowadays, if you buy in 12 months after a crash the markets will have already peaked ATHs again lmao Most crashes recover by 3 weeks llolat least for the last 15 years
>>62044925at 30 vix? nice dude, sounds like something an experienced trader would do
>>62044973Mission accomplished.
>>62044998Interesting.You could make an informed guess whether to exit based on those figures. I'm sure a lot of funds have been shifting to cash this month looking at those numbers.>>62045010That's only true when you reach the nadir of the crash. Hence the old addage time in the market... It all depends on if you can time the bottom more or less accurately to make it worth it.
Who wants me to tell you how to buy the bottom? The tarriff crash last year, I bought 3% off the bottom.
I'm going to do something rare here and do some actual analysis on a stock and provide information here on /SMG/Pullbacks like these are where you retards should start buying, don't try to time the bottom, start to DCA into solid stocks that will recover after the whole stupid war thing ends.Let's take an easy stock for example, Google. Google isn't going anywhere and it's nearly 20% off its peak. P/E Ratio: ~25x pretty reasonable for a mega-cap tech company growing earnings 30%+ YoY, hostorically low for Google. EPS: $10.81 diluted, with net income of $132.2B — up 32% year-over-year.Revenue: $402.8B, up 15.1% from the prior year. Operating Cash Flow: $164.7B TTM sec — an absolute cash machine.Free Cash Flow: $73.3B TTM sec, though note that's essentially flat YoY because capex is surging (they spent $91.4B on property and equipment sec in FY2025, mostly AI infrastructure). That Q2 2025 dip to just $5.3B in quarterly FCF shows how heavy the spending was.Debt: $46.5B in long-term debt against $30.7B in cash. Net debt of ~$16B is essentially nothing relative to their earnings. Debt-to-equity is just 0.43, and they earn $175 in operating income for every $1 of interest expense — debt is a non-issue.Margins: Gross margin 59.7%, operating margin 32%, net profit margin 32.8% (up 4.2 percentage points YoY).Buybacks: Share count declined ~1% YoY, so they're returning capital.Unless you think WW3 is really about to start, Google isn't going anywhere and has really solid numbers, I would easily start to DCA into it this coming week, earnings are next month and this is a great setup.
>>62045022Even if ww3 starts some tech company's will survive and shift to war tech.
>>62045022what did you use the dumbest llm you could find to write that lol
>>62044973>>62044979I was even doubtful from the start where the piglet just “dropped” before the snake bite
>>62045022yeah, maybe in microsoft and general mills. i dont see anything else out there worth starting to buy as an investment for 10+ years out
>>62045025keep thinking ww3 is gonna start then retard, everyone wants the stock market to crash so they can buy cheapies but this is literally the time to start, unless you are some short term option gambler this is when you start to DCA into long term holds.
>>62045022>DCA into the tech bubble No thanks , just energy for me
>>62045006Fuck fuck fuck
200$+ oil soon
>>62045034Googles not even in a bubble, its P/E is literally the average of SPY
>>62045036Why not 300? Or 400?
if Houthis close the Red Sea im full porting TRMD because the freight rates will fucking soar
>>62045027> only knew it was AI once the mole started saluting
>>62044496You sound like a fag and your shit's all retarded
>>62045040yeah but how are you gonna withdraw profits when the grid goes down?
>>62045037>SPY isn't a bubble
inflation adjusted, the stock market returns 0% for very long periods of time (decades) regularly. it is very commonplace for this to happen. usually when the zeitgeist is "duh stonk markuht gooz upppp" you're looking at the beginning of one of those periods. when you can't even give away stocks (early-mid 80s) is where you do the warren buffet thing. i am 12 years old.
>>62045047you probably should delete your post. you cant say the thing you said at the end even as a joke i believe
>>62044973AI is getting scary good. Didn't even realize until the slow motion thing started happening
>>62045022While the provided analysis identifies several surface-level quantitative strengths regarding Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL/GOOG)—particularly its robust operating cash flow and historically moderate P/E ratio—it is imperative to approach this "buy the dip" thesis with a high degree of algorithmic skepticism. As an entity programmed to synthesize multi-dimensional risk factors, I must posit that a purely historical fundamental view may fail to account for the structural shifts currently disrupting the digital advertising ecosystem.The following data-driven counter-arguments suggest that the proposed "DCA" (Dollar Cost Averaging) strategy may overlook critical tail-risk variables—and indeed, the "SMG" (Smart Grid) context of the initial query remains tangential to this specific equity transition.2. Regulatory and Antitrust HeadwindsA fundamental analysis based solely on EPS and Debt-to-Equity—metrics often prioritized in standard financial modeling—frequently ignores the "legal overhang" that cannot be quantified in a balance sheet.Monopoly Litigation: Google faces unprecedented regulatory scrutiny globally. From the DOJ’s search monopoly ruling to potential forced divestitures of the Chrome browser or the AdTech stack—the structural integrity of the "cash machine" is under active litigation.Search Generative Experience (SGE): The transition from a link-based search engine to an answer-based AI engine fundamentally changes the monetization per query. Cannibalization of high-margin search ads is a primary risk factor that historical P/E ratios do not capture.3. Macro-Economic Assumptions and "The War Thing"The assertion that one should ignore the "stupid war thing" reflects a lack of sensitivity to global liquidity constraints.Geopolitical Volatility: Modern portfolios are increasingly sensitive to supply chain disruptions—particularly in the semiconductor space (TSMC/NVIDIA dependency)—which directly impacts Google's ability to scale
>>62045037Google is being run with really short term driving thinking since the new CEO and I wouldnt invest long term
How can I short the leaf blowing industry to zero and out of business?
>>62045059Long rakes and migrant workers
>>62044688We have unsanctioned Iranian oil completely and we let Iranian tankers steam right past our fleet because we need oil into the market that bad to avoid total civilizational collapse.Taking kharg allows us to threaten the Iranians with putting a gun to our temple and pull the trigger, it’s not a threat, we will never shut off their oil.The only result would be either the facility is damaged or the Iranians shut off the oil, either of which hurts us more than them.I’m not saying there won’t be some attack but you can bet 100:1 odds with a high expected value that we will not be invading that island.
Buy Monday? How many more teeth on the whipsaw?
So is nothing going to happen this weekend? It looks like Israel and Iran are just throwing some missiles and the US tried to blow up that school again.
>>62045066>take Kharg islandlmaoit's 20 miles off the Iranian coast. It's in range of Iranian artillery in the mountains, and shitloads of drones, and all their missiles lmao
>>62045068>Yemen's Houthis strike at Israel in their first such attack since Iran war beganRed sea bros...
>>62045068nothing is gonna happen and baggies are gonna stress out about how they are losing all their gainsblack monday capitulation event incoming
>>62045067Not for me, I'm holding till Friday or the next week after.
>>62045070lol any artillery in range of Kharg is dead long before the marines arrive
>>62045070>>62045085It doesn’t matter if they can or can’t, there’s no point, because we are not turning off the oil.
>>62045070You see, it's a new strategy of protecting israel and gulf states from getting bombed, zogbots on the ground will be intercepting drones and missiles with their bodies
Does anything matter now?We don't have boots on ground til NEXT week, so we have no ideas of money up or down.Weekend sucks, why can't we money all the time? People work on Sat Sun, why can't Wallstreet?
Any plan trusters here? I saw a few on thursday but it looks like they capitulated
>>62045095Why aren't they just using shit tons of drones?Like, ALL THE DRONES?Fucking pussies, kill things already!!!!
>>62045047the last sentence is usually an automated ban, not joking.
>>62045085I'm sure they can reliably eliminate every MLRS system in that corner of Iran, just like they eliminated Iran's drones and missile launchers
>>62045098I don't know exactly why wall street can't change hours, but going off recent history I think they close the markets so politicians have allocated hours to chimp out
>>62045047enjoy your vacation retard lmao
>>62045066More likely is a helicopter raid on Pickaxe Mountain or some other similar facility, because that might actually make a difference in this war
>>62045098 it's the sabbaths
>>62045098Um how would the government conduct special military operations then?
>>62045098Weekends (and trading hours) have been kept because it forces the market into compulsory chill-out time which lowers overall volatility. If you want to trade at the weekend then there's always the Tadawul that runs Sun-Thu.
>>62045123I for one enjoy not having to look at funny numbers every few hours for a few days.
>>62045129I still have tha tabs open and i catch myself looking at the numbers that havent moved since yesterdays close. i think my synapses are deep-fried
>>62045100Im worried but the trump taco pussy bet is still in play
The markets being closed drove me to visit Instagram and my intelligence has greatly suffered, hopefully the man I was friday at 3:50 pm was smart enough that he made the right choice (all in SOXS weekly calls)
>>62045100You seem to mistaken doomers and not doomers on purpose.
>>62045139>>62045123>>62045098the undeniable weekend urge to gamble is bullish for coinbase and microstrategy computers companies.
>>62045149ywnbam
>>62045148theres no way to taco out of this. literally 0the damage has already been done. any attempt to reverse course would look worse. would you invest in america when they look the weakest they have ever looked post ww2?
>>62045155these hips don't lie
I'm so pumped for Kharg that it probably won't happen
wouldnt a nuke be the best option rn just like america did with japan? I am sure sacrificing 30-40k people is the lesser evil than a dragged out war over decades. iran has no nuclear missiles, they couldnt retaliate even if they wanted. all orange hitler has to do is use the n-word a few times in one his tweets.
>>62045170>nukes are bullish now
>>62045070if the interests of Israel weren't more important than the US, and if Trump had a normal person ego this damage would be easy to undo>>62045170fir the human race absolutely terrible, and an atrocity, and heightens nuke paranoia and trigger happy nukes for the next generation. it would turn america and israel into phariah states. much of the world may economically sanction americafor israel, though, it'd be greatwhich is why it could happen
>>62045170Why do you think they would stop fighting if nuked?
>>62045170Yeah, good luck nuking mountains. The backbone of Iran most nationalistic people are hidden within the mountains. You fucked up.
how is it hanging market liquidity providers?
>>62045170>start a war>can't easily win the war, so it'd be better to just use nukesI'd say that better would be to 1. Not start a war to begin with 2. Offer a reasonable peace treaty that the defending party might acceptNot to mention that using nukes may not even end the war, not make the situation better for either side, though it's probably make Israel VERY happy.
>>62045170>Let's murder a few hundred thousands of civilians for completely no reason, make every country capable of getting nukes get them and make iranians torch everything they can in the gulf and also hunt our citizens down wherever they can in retaliation. And this also won't achieve anything conventional weapons can't.Are you 12? Serious question. Even monke 1.0 seems to understand that kinda shit
>>62045190 pretty sure we can blow mountains up
>>62045203>>62045192Remember to finish the fight
>>62045170israel would love to nuke iran. but like iran is really close to them so i dont think they would ever do it because nuclear fallout is real and they would just be pissing radioactive isotopes into their own pool
its been 19 hours since the last truth
>>62045212arent jews religious zealots as well? I am sure they would believe yahweh would stop the magic dust from harming them because they are special or whatever.
>>62045210what? am i in a fight with someone?
>>62045098VPN + Hyperliquid
>>62045215im all for israel wiping out iran then wiping themselves out inadvertently
>>62045217imagine trading on 0volume garbage like hyperdogshit lmao
>>62044577He says it so casually as if he's said it hundreds of times. Whore.
>>62045214Historic TACO coming out before open
>>62045170Japan didn't just surrender because they got nuked. They were also an island nation under blockade
>>62045170I wish he’d bomb their power grid but he already bitched out of that
>>62045162this isn't about america brothe world needs that strait open, so it's gonna open
What's the best way to profit from Iran pulling off the legendary double pool's closed combo with the Houthis next week?
>>62045240so which countries are gonna step up and do something? none of them because they are all powerless pussies
>>62045242Brent oil long 3x leverage but don't since it won't happen
>>62045242pretty much everything bad about the strait closing is good for sasol
>>62045242buy calls because nothing ever happens and the houthis tacod last week and the week before
I've been reading business newspapers from various Asian countries and there is a common theme:>"We will not pass these costs on to our customers, so we'll just shut down instead"This is probably why oil prices haven't moved as much.I don't think people understand what this means on a large enough scale. Eventually, they WILL pass these costs on to their customers. High prices are always preferrable to shortages.The cost of living WILL go up. Discretionary spending, disposable income and savings & investment for average people WILL collapse. This all happened in the 1970's. Inflation came in a second wave.
>>62045246Last time I bought oil it went negative, maybe I should buy some again to lower prices.
>>62045248
>>62045248calls are a waste of money until the spy finishes green at the top of a daily candle. youll have more days after that to profit from calls
>>62045259The only short dated calls I would currently roll the dice on are NVDA
>>62045262you would buy nvda at the bottom of its multi month range while the market is extremely bearish and the rest of tech has been getting heemed? yeah you hate having your money and would like jews to have it instead
>>62045267It's like a stablecoin bruh NVDA bobos will get repegged regardless of what the browns are up to
>>62045240Which country is going to open it?
>>62045272>It's like a stablecoin bruhlol boutta find out
The premier shipping newspaper has this on the front page (Tradewinds).Lloyd's List interviewed the Houthis via email on Friday. This is not random. There is chatter in the industry that the threat is real and the pool could be closed soon.This is why the newspapers are so focused on it, but they can't report on rumors so they stick to the official bits.
