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08/21/20New boards added: /vrpg/, /vmg/, /vst/ and /vm/
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File: 1776216040949703.mp4 (1.2 MB, 484x270)
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Global fuel crisis spreads throughout Asia edition.

>Educational sites:
https://www.investopedia.com
https://www.khanacademy.org/economics-finance-domain

>Financial TV Streams:
https://www.newslive.com/american/cnbc.html
https://www.livestreamy.net/bloomberg/

>Charts:
https://www.tradingview.com
https://www.finscreener.com
https://www.portfoliovisualizer.com

>Screeners: so you feel like in the movies
https://finviz.com/
https://etfdb.com/

>Gambling:
https://www.optionsplaybook.com/options-introduction/
https://www.optionsprofitcalculator.com
https://optionstrat.com/
https://www.optionistics.com/quotes/option-prices

>Pre-Market and Live data:
https://www.investing.com/indices/indices-futures
https://finance.yahoo.com/

>Calendars
https://www.marketwatch.com/economy-politics/calendar
https://www.earningswhispers.com/calendar
https://www.cmegroup.com/trading/interest-rates/countdown-to-fomc.html
https://www.mortgagenewsdaily.com/data/building-permits

>Boomer Investing 101: so zoomers with meme stocks can outperform you
https://www.bogleheads.org/wiki/Getting_started
https://www.sec.gov/search-filings

>Misc smg:
https://www.financialjuice.com/home
https://finance.yahoo.com/trending-tickers
https://market24hclock.com/
https://www.dividendchannel.com/drip-returns-calculator
https://brokerchooser.com/
https://www.chathamfinancial.com/technology/us-market-rates

>NEW THREAD: Copy-paste the following when making a new thread:
https://pastebin.com/GfB48W5G

Previously on /smg/:
>>62115963
>>
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>>62116546
>futures
>>
First for SOXL at 85 per barrel
>>
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required post
>>
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some say it was the greatest bake ever, the greatest bake of all time.
>>
>>62116550
Nwords tongue my anus
Last 2 weeks have sucked for me if I had grabbed the market low I'd be way up but I was too drunk that weekend to catch the bottom fuck me fuck my shit and fuck america.
>>
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ASML earnings tonight SOXLbros letsgooo
>>
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>>62116552
>>
>>62116550
>he doesn't take delivery of 100% pure semiconductor
>>
bobos, we love our bobos don't we folks
>>
>>62116555
i love bangs so much bros... checked
>>
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hmmmm
>>
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>>62116555
>>
i had a guy come to me, very smart guy
named bobo
he's so smart, he knows all the indicators
he said to me it's gonna go down, it has to go down... i said i don't think so
>>
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Oil approaching an 80 handle
>>
Reminder to never bet against America
>>
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new moon on friday
>>
Whats the best deodorant for traders? Nothing works ever since i started taking testosterone.
>>
>>62116565
bump
>>62116574
consider the years 2007 and 2008
>>
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>>62116579
i saw a post on twitter a while back that buying the s&p on the new moon and selling on the full generated some pretty good outperformance. things change though. for the last year there's been volatility during every mercury retrograde though, which if not meaningful is at least amusing choreography.
>>
>>62116565
>>62116589
OWL is up too.
>>
>>62116587
alum crystal
>>
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Is posting slow for everyone else?
>>
i am once again making too much money
>>62116589
*buys the dip and gets rich*
>>
>>62116587
Every other day, shower with this. Then wear normal deodorant. Works great.
>>
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>>62116593
no it's just you
>>
>>62116593
ya
*took 5 mins to post this*
>>
>>62116593
It takes me 1 minute to load captcha, 1 minute to post something
>>
>>62116593
yeah its sucks!
>>
Realistically speaking, is SPY 705 on the table end of Friday or should I set a more realistic 700 target?

This week has been insane so far but market doesn’t seem to care about being overbought (rsi etc).

>>62116593
It’s unusable
>>
>>62116593
I like the slow posting. Feels like each post has more thought put into it. Less spammy.
>>
>>62116603
i will drag that average down
>>
Now I really regret getting four new tires in march just so I wouldn;t have to think about them.

Every time I've thought "I should go in big on this stock" I've been right. There has not been a single time in 3 years where I've been 100% certain a stock will be big in the near future where I've been wrong. I'm not a good trader but I'm a good predicktor if Only I trusted my fuckin gut.

>>62116587
estrogen
>>
>>62116592
sounds fake
>>62116595
i think my biggest issue is actually antiperspirant. I was trading in my underwear all morning pouring buckets of sweat out of my pits.
>>
>>62116593
cloudflare interns had too much fun yesterday for sure
>>62116603
returns on spam would have increased in time on screen and time before being pushed up on threads as well though
>>
how high does silver have to go so I can get out of AGQ at 314?
>>
>>62116606
if you were 100% certain you would have made the trade. also its impossible to actually predict the future so idk how you can be 100% certain of anything.

>3 years
weird posts man. invest in some therapy.
>>
>>62116610
It would have to go past its ath (~$133) and that's assuming it goes there in a straight line. You're gonna be bagholding for awhile
>>
>>62116607
alum crystal is natural, cheap and lasts forever if you buy anything else it's a mental disorder
>>
>>62116614
>its impossible to actually predict the future
ngmi
>>
>>62116614
cope faggot. You're exactly the type of ultra-gay poster that fuds people out of Life Changing Money (TM) while shilling the worst retarded garbage to ever be posted on this dumb thread.
>>
Are the "buy the dip" retards "backing up the truck" on a true /smg/ meme CPB or have those retards always just been momentum traders?
>>
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Finally, world peace and eternal bull market
>>
>>62116620
i knew you were going to say that
>>
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>>62116615
I literally took out a double reverse mortgage and did an inverted layaway on the wife to afford this one share tho. Are you saying I should go all in with the kids college fund?

>>62116614
>he doesn't know
>how to read the turtle bones
Qin Shi Huang promised me silver would hit 200 eoy 2026 5000 years ago
>>
>>62116624
smg only has vix traders. no one here trades on numbers the goyim can see on google look ups, it's all bespoke volatility metrics and var thresholds on options
>>
alright boys
here is some bear cope
midterm years usually have a drawdown of -15% on average
and the market is pretty crappy and sideways until november, when they then recover and start going up
>>
>>62116628
>Are you saying I should go all in with the kids college fund?
Yes, and make sure to use margin when you do it
>>
>>62116627
touche, you beat me
>>
Just did my NW calc.

$280k stocks, $80k Crypto, $10K PM.

Fuck me, i'm 31 I ain't making it in time aren't I?

I wanna retire by 55, but I feel like AI gonna fuck me over at 45.
>>
>>62116633
here is the chart of the performance over the year
"sell and may, then go away" is pretty good advice.
then start buying in november or maybe october

anyway, the -9% drop in SPY makes me think we could go back down to retest those lows, but not in a big way
and a predicted -20% will now be a -15 because the oil shock flushed a lot of people out
if the number was really -15, then that will now be a -10
so I think we could revisit the lows, since there is a long time to go until november.
but I won't be betting on any big drawdowns. retesting the lows of -9% is it.
>>
>>62116634
mom won't let me use margin anymore

>>62116633
sell in may and go gay for pay (GRNDR) then jump back in for the midterms after GRNDR posts a massive earning beat due to all the republican conventions?

>>62116636
debtmax and rely on AI to save you
you are a white male right?
it's not AI if it doesn't have free will
>>
>>62116640
what is interesting is that the advice to avoid midterm years, then buy in november after the election is reversed for non midterm years.
average 7% gain in midterm years, and 14% gain if you buy at the end in november
but 14% for non midterm years, and a 7% gain if you buy in november
>>
>>62116636
buy AMD and retire in 7-10 years.

or MRVL, AVGO, MU, CRDO, etc
>>
>>62116636
how long did those 280k take to have been come up with apropos of calculations please? also cash out on an apartment and go to college for maths, physics or chemistry
>>
>>62116625
since we have constant weak hand shake outs/corrections/invented terminology designed to explain obvious lies, we are due for a sustained long term bear shake out on the order of going up for a month straight or more but it won't happen as nothing ever happens and everything is fake and gay. I have a pink id which means the illuminati will crash the market if I don't stop posting. the board is slow because they're rigging the system again. have a day.
>>
here's the website if people are interested
https://www.ftportfolios.com/Commentary/Insights/2024/4/8/midterm-election-client-resource-kit---march-2024

>>62116642
>average 7% gain in midterm years, and 14% gain if you buy at the end in november
>but 14% for non midterm years, and a 7% gain if you buy in november
nvm, it's 7 and 17% for midterms, and 14 and 7% for non midterms
but you get the point
forgetting about any buys in a midterm, then buying in november is good. Very good!
but non midterm years are the opposite. buy through the year, but forget about buying in november

what's interesting is that year 4 quarter 1 of a presidential cycle also has the same volatility. Just in the front of the year, rather than at the end, for year 2 quarter 4.
>>
>>62116648
omg
>>
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>>62116587
Africa.

>>62116593
Must be too many new members checking this hot new site.

>>62116579
Would love to shnaffle her stink hole.
>>
so does japanese not have genders? like sensei desu means they're a teacher or is there another word to throw in there to clarify the gender?
>>
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Goyim dealing in the real world are going to get laid off because of fuel shortages while the Fed and Treasury bail out the stock market to protect G*d's chosen. They call it the "Financial Passover". We're going to make bank while you cattle end up jobless and drafted to go conquer our promised land for us. Goy lives don't matter.
>>
>>62116651
here;s the same shit, from lpl
https://www.lpl.com/research/blog/do-midterm-elections-matter-for-markets-a-historical-perspective.html
looks like their chart is even more bearish for midterm years. not sure why
much more downward sloping line over the year, with a bottom in october, leading to a big rally through november.
so that means buy in october basically. not november
>>
>>62116633
and here is their chart for what happens when you buy at the election. the returns for the next year.
and they say you get 15% average for buying on the election, in the 12 months following. and the other 3 out of 4 years get 7.8%.
>>
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>>62116661
I know this is /smg/ but charts like this must have the BTC fags getting real excited. October is the prophesized bottom and that aligns perfectly with this stock market astrology.
>>
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>>62116660
jews better hurry up and make it happen human soldiers are on the brink of obsoletion
you'd think they'd reign in ukraine if that was their plan
>>
>>62116636
>AI
might as well worry about cancer or getting stabbed on the street
>>
>>62116662
and here is the classic chart of each year, with its max drawdown, and the total year to date return of the calendar year.
and despite there being big drawdowns, most years have a much bigger return than you would think even with a big drawdown.

okay, that's it. I feel better now. My shorts will be sold at a profit, and the year will end on a positive
I will see the volatility. It will be a wave that I ride, up and down. I will see the right opportunity to sell, and the price will hit my perfected calculated limit order. All according to keikaku.
Then, I will use the lowered prices to buy up longs, and go back to a 100% long portfolio.

I will especially remember the NOVEMBRU IHAN TIMINGU. The special timing, known only to the sages. I will buy in october, when all others fear all is lost. But I will smile in november. Then I will profit. I have become the ultimate creature, the bear-bull hybrid, able to profit in any market condition. My portfolio will surge with plenty and abundance. And I will remember... until the next midterm year in 4 years. I will remember.
>>
Anyway I'm now determined that my gut feeling is and was right and I'M going to trust it on my next BIG trade and if I get raped without lube then LOL whatever at least I tried.

>>62116661
sexy chart
>>
>>62116663
>I know this is /smg/ but charts like this must have the BTC fags getting real excited. October is the prophesized bottom and that aligns perfectly with this stock market astrology.
yes, and it is for the same reason. bitcoin basically follows this midterm cycle and business cycle thingy/liquidity thingy
more or less exactly
and remember brotha. Bitcoin is a stock now. we have many ETFs from the fine bitcoin ETF emporium.
>>
SPY will hit 700 by Friday because 700 is a nice number.
>>
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https://www.juniorminingnetwork.com/junior-miner-news/press-releases/1934-tsx-venture/bhs/201161-bayhorse-silver-announces-brokered-life-offering-for-gross-proceeds-of-up-to-c-4-0-million.html


Yet another dilution... WOW i'm not sure if I can hold this stock much longer smg... This was supposed to be a top silver pick
>>
>>62116674
Buying calls now
>>
>>62116670
>my next BIG trade
Biz rules clearly stipulate that when a power pounce or full chimp in is declared the target must be stated.

None compliance summons a bogging.
>>
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>>62116671
So long-dated IBIT calls in September and October then? Going out 2 or maybe 3 years if they're available?
>>
>>62116633
>>62116640
>>62116642
>>62116651
>>62116661
>>62116662
>>62116669
thanks for listening to my ted talk. Posting pictures on the interwebs made me feel better about my portfolio and the shorts in it.
I will make money, and I WILL time the market. And we're all gonna make it.
>>
The cause of this war is South Sudan.

South Sudan is famous for Sudan-sung and S-pop.

Because South Sudan smuggled strategic materials into Iran, Iran was able to acquire weapons of mass Sudanese destruction, including Sudanese people.

South Sudan Firms Violate International Controls on Shipping Materials for WMDs to Iran and Syria
www.gay.com

S. Sudan should clearly explain fire-control radar incident
www.sex.jp
>>
>>62116677
me fucking your mom.
>>
>>62116680
some more stuff
looks like I was only missing out on 5% gains anyway
though the other websites said midterm years get 7%, but whatever. Not as much as non midterm years for sure
>>
>>62116680
why are you thanking me? I didn't read shit.
>>
>>62116680
why were no value at risk numbers posted?
>>
come on ya old bitch pump my CSP bags
>>
and it turns out we haven't seen anything yet. midterm years usually have more volatility starting in june. the whole "sell in may then go away" comes back
with volatility finally decreasing in october/november
so I have plenty of time to sell my shorts, and start buying longs

>>62116678
>So long-dated IBIT calls in September and October then? Going out 2 or maybe 3 years if they're available?
This IS financial advice, and yeah going long on bitcoin in sept/oct sounds good. I will be doing the same
bitcoin is currently in a massive bear flag, trading in that slowly ascending channel, and I am waiting for it to collapse again just like the last bear flag did.
to like 50k. Then I will start buying. it will probably do chopsolidation until october ish. so I will have plenty of time to buy in around that price range.
>>
>>62116702
but volatilititty is where real niggers make money
>>
>>62116678
>So long-dated IBIT calls in September and October then? Going out 2 or maybe 3 years if they're available?
the bear flags in question
>>
>>62116704
>but volatilititty is where real niggers make money
yeah and I will be buying in that region
>>
My dad gave me €20k as a deposit for an apartment… but honestly I’m thinking of just yoloing it on options and trying to run it up to 100k. SNDK and Micron calls? toughts /smg/?
>>
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>>62116702
>>62116705
I was hoping we'd see it under 40k. Following previous cycles we should. Is it too risky to hold out for that price?
>>
>>62116710
>SNDK and Micron calls
100% you lose money
they already ran up expecting the war is 90% over and all the tech good news
there is no more upside in the short term
>>
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will it... will it go up again tomorrow?
i hope so, i like making money
>>
>>62116702
in response to your other post as well correlation is not causation, few data points and we’ve already had a 10% drawdown. I wouldn’t make any trades based off any of that information personally. Trump being an anomaly renders most that historic data moot too
>>
>>62116675
anon this is a meme from like 6 years ago kek what are you doing
>>
>>62116711
>I was hoping we'd see it under 40k. Following previous cycles we should. Is it too risky to hold out for that price?
it could flash crash down to 40k or even 35k but I won't count on it in my own plan.
I think it will drift around 50-60k for some time and my plan is to buy it in that range as it does a shitty sideways motion for months
if you want to wait for the big flash crash to 40k then yeah you can try it. but yeah I think that could be a little risky
>>
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I'M LOCKED IN
I'M STILL LOCKED IN YEAH
I STAY LOCKED IN
I'M REAL LOCKED IN YEAH
https://youtu.be/pnM-N2kLdBY
>>
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My stocks futures are red but they ran up so hard these past few weeks so it’s ok :)
>>
anyways
did bobos go extinct yet?
>>
>>62116715
evonik and cisco will probably pump if you really need the money
>>
>>62116726
Yes. No line will go down ever again
>>
>PDT reduced from 25k to 2k
they shoulda never gave smiggas money
>>
Market is fake and gay
>>
>>62116738
>Market is fake and gay
not only that, it has become the fakest and the gayest
but it will all work out
>>
>>62116736
>we gotta stop people from losing all their money really fast, quick ban day trading!
>you want 1000, $100 strike put options on spy dated for 4pm today? Go right ahead!
>>
>>62116742
what would prices have been on those puts real quick?
>>
another day another potentially buying new/close to ATH's while the normies are scared shitless they will miss out on more gains
>>
>>62116680
So basically ride up the rally until May, sell, then buy the dip in October/November...?
>>
Market will be mildly red tomorrow.
>>
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>connection error
>>
>>62116736
then why does my gambling account still say
Day Trade Equity Call: $21,377.99
riddle me that
>>
>>62116749
>So basically ride up the rally until May, sell, then buy the dip in October/November...?
more or less
the timing of course could vary by a month or two. in other words, I would be selling now since I think we're already at the peak. we are close to ATH again, so that's a little freaky
>>
>>62116751
>mildly red tomorrow
more like it either crabs for a while or even slightly up
no bad news is good news
it just shows that the markets were right in assuming the war won't escale/will be over soon
>>
>>62116752
stop gangstalking me
>>
ASML TANKING AAAAAAAAA
>>
>>62116751
Hope so. I mildly gambled on a 0DTE put spread for tomorrow.
>>
>>62116751
Nope rally will continue.
>>
>>62116756
Nah, IMO it will mark the beginning of it water falling back down and becoming sensitive to bad news / fearful. A little overdue for incorporating some reality into the markets and I think we’re gonna see some news selling regarding the war, earnings, etc.
>>
>>62116759
the market is beginning to outsmart itself
>>
>>62116766
they need to bait retail to go long before the shift down.
>>
>scared when stocks are falling
>scared when stocks are pumping
you guys never participate in the stock market and just post?



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