every dip is fake edition >Educational sites:https://www.investopedia.comhttps://www.khanacademy.org/economics-finance-domain >Financial TV Streams:https://www.newslive.com/american/cnbc.htmlhttps://www.livestreamy.net/bloomberg/ >Charts:https://www.tradingview.comhttps://www.finscreener.comhttps://www.portfoliovisualizer.com >Screeners: so you feel like in the movieshttps://finviz.com/https://etfdb.com/ >Gambling:https://www.optionsplaybook.com/options-introduction/https://www.optionsprofitcalculator.comhttps://optionstrat.com/https://www.optionistics.com/quotes/option-prices >Pre-Market and Live data:https://www.investing.com/indices/indices-futureshttps://finance.yahoo.com/ >Calendarshttps://www.marketwatch.com/economy-politics/calendarhttps://www.earningswhispers.com/calendarhttps://www.cmegroup.com/trading/interest-rates/countdown-to-fomc.htmlhttps://www.mortgagenewsdaily.com/data/building-permits >Boomer Investing 101: so zoomers with meme stocks can outperform youhttps://www.bogleheads.org/wiki/Getting_startedhttps://www.sec.gov/search-filings >Misc smg:https://www.financialjuice.com/homehttps://finance.yahoo.com/trending-tickershttps://market24hclock.com/https://www.dividendchannel.com/drip-returns-calculatorhttps://brokerchooser.com/https://www.chathamfinancial.com/technology/us-market-rates >NEW THREAD: Copy-paste the following when making a new thread:https://pastebin.com/GfB48W5G Previous smigger thread>>62117391
so it turns out oil is actually worthless, it's everywhere and nobody needs it
STOCKS GO UP FOREVER
Made 3 trades today and I wound up making exactly $1. Weird day.
>>62118953UP AND TO THE RIGHT
>futures
>>62118948Mr Bobo is so close, I can hear him!He’s claws are scraping the walls!
buy the chip
The worst part is that, as a goy who is forced to deal in the real world, there's no way to hedge against losing my job from oil shortages as long as the market is rigged to only go straight up to protect jewish billionaire portfolios at the expense of literally everyone else. I guess I'll just become homeless.
>>62118968>Top Strategist: Buy Every Chip
If SPY opens above 700 tomorrow that will be the third 5 figure account I've blown up in 3 years
oh oh oh ugh ugh ugh I’m aboutta I’m aboutta GO UP AND TO THE RIGHTTTTTTTTTTAAAAAAAAAAAaaaaa phew
>>62118969what job are you losing to oil shortages
>>62118967once you capitulate I’m going to sell
how do i short 4chan?
>>62118975It's okay, I blew up a $70,000 roth IRA in 2 weeks by going all in on SOXL and selling the bottom during the nip carry trade fiasco
>>62118948Hello working class, how was work today?
I just paid $60 for dinner for one at a fast casual place. Thanks long nose oligarchs, I'm glad that at least you made money today.>>62118980I work in the aerospace industry. No fuel means no flights, no flights means no airliner orders, no airliner orders means I'm another goy sacrificed in the name of enriching jewish oligarchs.
>>62118968I bought a can of pringles today. Bearish for my health.
test
Be honest. If I put all my dry powder into an S&P500 ETF tomorrow it's going to immediately pop the bubble, right?
>>62118983>Fakes his own capitulation.>You sell, his shorts print.GGs.
No seriously how the fuck is it still going up?
Its over oil brethren
>line go up>line go downCan't explain that
>>62118975live laugh love babe
>>62119001>The source did not say whether Iran would also agree to clear any mines it may have placed in that stretch of water or if all ships - even those linked to Israel - would be allowed to pass freely.Lmao. "yes, feel free to use this exact passage where there may or may not be mines"
where my HIMS homos at? I'm blasting 3mg of tesa off a fresh vial to celebrate. If we hit $35 this week I'm gonna bite the bullet and order the MOTS-C/SS31 stack I've been wanting to try since last year. Gonna give all my mitochondria a shiatsu massage with the happy ending.
>>62118983A once in a generation celebration Mr. Mumu. No one alive today remembers the face of Mr. Bobo.He has been gone a very long time.And he is on his way.Thread theme: https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=1tNXhF9nLp8
>>62118948this vid is ai btw
>>62118999more buyers than sellers
SO ALL THATS LEFT THIS WEEK IS TO FIND OUT HOW BROKE BOBO WILL GO TRYING TO SHORT INDICES LMAO. MAYBE THEY CAN GO INTO THE NEGATIVES
>>62119013you don't say
STOP DUUUUMPIIIIIIIIIIIIING
>>62118999SPY +2% ytd is no big deal
>>62119026delete this
>>62118997Yes, and if you dont buy, it will keep going up. This prison gets many people, including myself.
WTF is being front ran or chased after?
>>62118975>>62118988im gonna actually take the caps off for a while. this shit sucks guys. its time to stop this shit. im going to give you guys the playbook to stop losing money for the next three years.what i want you guys to do is stop trading. just quit. take all the money you have, and everything you make over the next year or so, and just start putting it into general mills. sell some covered calls if you want a little extra free money. and just keep your capital preserved and safe in a stock that will for sure double in the next 3 years. just trust me on this. you are getting a great entry and it will go back up or at the very least the downside is extremely limited. i dont care about >muh economy and everyone buying walmart brand shit. stop it. do this shit, get your act together, work your jobs, save that money, put it into general mills, and in 3 years you will be happy that 1 you didnt blow all your money and 2 you will likely outperform any trading you wouldve tried to doand secondly heres the most important part. stop looking at the market. stop caring about the news. get back into activities you like to do. maybe take up some new ones. be free of this shit. get your lives back on track and stop throwing money away. please guys. its gonna get a lot harder when you get older so you need to break this cycle of incinerating your money now
what idiot would put money into this market at this time, every red flag and warning is blaring
guess the spy is going to 710 tomorrow because this retard >>62119035 still hasnt gotten the memo yet
lol
SOXL TQQQ. I swear I don't know why I bother with literally anything else.
>>62119032>WTF is being front ran post-crash stimulus. Leverage now, HODL, sell high in like six to twelve months.
>>62119039>5 Year Returns QQQ vs TQQQ86.37% vs 99.11%>5 Year Return SOXX vs SOXL172.91% vs. 101.08%>yfw when you are an index investor with more vol sensitivity for no reason
>>62119029I think I'd rather have it sitting in a high yield saving account while the market goes nuts than put it into the market and have it bleed.
The cause of this war is South Korea. South Korea is famous for Samsung and K-pop. Because South Korea smuggled strategic materials into Iran, Iran was able to acquire weapons of mass destruction, including biological weapons. South Korean Firms Violate International Controls on Shipping Materials for WMDs to Iran and Syriahttps://japan-forward.com/south-korean-firms-violate-international-controls-on-shipping-materials-for-wmds-to-iran-and-syria/S. Korea should clearly explain fire-control radar incidenthttps://mainichi.jp/english/articles/20181228/p2a/00m/0na/017000c
>guess the spy is going to 710 tomorrow because this retard >>62119035 still hasnt gotten the memo yet
>>62119019Good
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wyK7YuwUWsUone of those remarkable moments in time when everything felt exciting.bears will never financially recover from this.
>>62118786
>>62119033>>62119033>>62119033Your concern for smiggers is appreciated, but I must ask that you go into a little more detail as to why you are so convinced GM is going to rebound so. Their ATH was in 2023 and they dropped well before the Iran war. Doubling their current price would put GIS higher than it was before the war.
What in the talmud is happening right now?
>>62118975>>62118988>>62119033BEHEAD LARPING JEET KIKE NIGGER TRANNIES
>>62119041Huh, that's interesting. I might start buying USD and QLD. Always liked 2x better.
Test
>>62119054Poetry would be -10% in the next 10 days, making for back-to-back 3-sigma events
>>62119038Its only "disgusting" because he sold. Otherwise he would be skipping in the street and laughing. His bad choices and paper hands led him to his fate, and, most likely, will lead him to another loss later.
>>62119033>Caps lock bro is kind and humble?Trying to help others Typical based bull bro behavior
>>62118786>>62119058what changed?
>>62119033So what do you think? Markets going up til at least Wednesday? Two more weeks? Calls have been free money. It feels too easy.
>>621189864chan mumbai is good concern saar, do not redeem
>>62119038>Makes a move>It goes bad>This is your fault actuallyLike clockworks
Tech is back!
>>62119033I Liked you better with all caps I'm not reading all of that
>>62119054good
>>62119033Faggot
>>62119037YOU'RE THE RETARD !!!!!
Test.
Things are very jewish rn
>tfw had the best trading day of my life but couldn't respond to the ding ding ding anon because 4chan posting is shit
>>62119041Shouldn't the leveraged etfs be higher?
I just need it to down please god
Wtf i tried posting and 4chan just eats up my post what a dogshit website
Why should I even bother with dividend stocks?
>>62119058what changed?
>>62119061if you know anything about fundamentals you can look at its numbers for about 2 minutes and see that it meets all the criteria to start buying it pretty deep and imagine getting to enter at the bottom instead of spending 3 years getting punishedmarket cycles change. its not going to the moon but its being overly punished and it will end. if you dont know how to price a company dont buy it idc. im going in on it bigly for my long term folio. smg is really bad at directional bias and ive called buying 0dtes on the indices for over 10 days straight. im better at this than basically all of you
>>62119064Why would I LARP about losing money?
>>62119061>go into a little more detail as to why you are so convinced GM is going to rebound soFood companies are cycling down. Pic shows four, smallest yearly decline is 20%, highest about 40%. All four have good dividends, but divies could be cut if there is a real problem wiht their business. I am starting too look into these companies now as I am interest in 'fallen angels' - once good companies that fell on hard times for various reasons, looking for that one, or few, that have the assets and ability to turn things around. Is this just a normal cycle? Inflation shock from Iran war has not hit yet, but its coming. If Trump pumps out $2,000 checks again to help with food I think one or more of these could rebound, better to buy some of the best one or two for dividends and potential price appreciation also. My oil stocks are high now, but at some point when the war ends and oil price will stay high for a while then start to trend/cycle lower (but summer is coming in the norther hemisphere so there is likely more fuel consumption), so might start to cycle out of oil into food.
I tried to tell you autists to buy BDC's last week, didn't I
Yeah, that won't do. At all.Time to build temporary harbors or something.
you guys need to read this shit>>62112306
What was that
If you're confused, it's because you bought into anti-Trumpism and derive your information from reddit and pol. Here is what's happening and what will happen:>the Islamic Republic is in the deepest crisis it has ever experienced from a combination of pre-existing pre-war economic crises, being bombed for 40 days straight that also involved economic infrastructure targets, extensive self-imposed nationwide internet blackout that's ravaged its digital economy, heavily disrupted trade revenues as much as it has inflicted trade disruptions on everyone else, and now a targeted naval blockade>it has pissed off all of its neighbors, and Iran needs their cooperation to survive the post-war recovery>the Islamic Republic needs sweeping sanctions relief and a massive injection of funds just to stay afloat in the short term >in other words, Iran doesn't have the cardsThis is the actual state of the only regional player currently menacing the Strait of Hormuz. What will happen is:>there will be no restart of major hostilities and the war is over over over>absent being bombed, any justification Iran had to keep the SoH closed evaporates>no country on Earth will ever observe Iran's claim of sovereignty over the SoH or subject themselves to willingly pay imposed tolls, thus Iran will face pressure from all of their so-called "friends" to return to the status quo, which they will, because they have no choice>the reopening of the SoH doesn't rest on the passage of a US-Iran deal; this will happen>whether Iran becomes the Middle Eastern Venezuela or charts a new path forward depends on their acceptance of a US-Iran deal>the conclusion of all of this is within the monthI don't get paid hundreds of thousands of dollars to write a report for the big boys. If I can see something so obvious, so can they.
Is the captcha still AIDS?
>>62119113Beta slippage
>>62119037>Precious, finally all mine!
What the fuck is happening to 4chan? Did gookmoot hire a bunch of Indian coders that fucked everything up?
ok I have capitulated and will switch to calls tomorrow
>>62118980Literally everyone from freight forwarders to uber drivers is eating shit right now
>>62119156>they didn't audit their code with ai
>>62119119This is the part where you post your 9 figure portfolio.
>>62119116Heckin' love my divvies. Every one's like a little advent calendar surprise to look forward.Currently shovelling them into Nintendo.
> futures
>>62119160My daily food delivery hasn't been affected in any way?
>>62119061
I hope we at least get a warning before they take the site down for good.
>>62119135good call babe.>you autiststakes one to know one. love you.
>>621191304shit would not allow the post with the financial data comparing the four companies. Maybe 4chan needs new tranny administrators to get the site running again
>>62119176is weaponry the only kind of manufacturing america can't offshore? whats the downside to becoming an mgs-tier war economy
rip
>>62119176is this why TSLA pooomped today?
What do I do now?
>>62119038many such cases
>>62119193Are you full port SPY or something
you all make fun of oil baggiesbut i am holding fart bags of natural gasi don't even think its female gas
so, will this shit site ever start to function properly again?at least my stocks are doing good
another oil bagholder
>>62119033sanctimonious niggeryou spent every waking moment for the last 10 days on smg spamming for attention.you are NOT anonymousi know because I spent 10 days watching YOUyou're a CHILD and a PSEUD and EVERYONE KNOWS ITPost your portfolio if you're so smart. You won't because it's embarassing. You're a scared little retard.Go ahead and (You) me I know you can't resist.
>>62119203he admitted to getting blown up and lusts for trannies
>>62118953FROM THE TOP TO THE BOTTOMAT THE CORE I'VE FORGOTTENTAKEN FAR FROM MY SAFETYTHE MEMORY WON'T ESCAPE ME
>>62119201>Make it make sense.Priced in.
I like how even the fake and gay oil price is still like 50% higher than what it was a month and a half ago and the market just does not give a shit kek. Always bet on the irrationality of the market I guess you'll be right 9/10 times
are we back oilsisters?
>>62119215it is not disconnectedthere is some volume due to earnings season lol
Oilers get the burn
>>62119213also Lebanon doesn't produce any oil lol. someone can correct me if thats wrong.
>>62119017hello spooky posterI hope you're having a good day
>>62119223Hahaha
>>62119229Ceasefire in Lebanon is a Iranian demand for peace and without peace the pool will be closed
>>62119223Oil is overNo one users oil anymoreUnless you're cooking and then you can use some olive oil
what can I do if I am all cash?Everything is just going up and up
I sold my SOXL weeklies, can it go down a bit so I can load up again?
>>62118948alright boys, for all the people who think "it can't just keep going higher" like me, who thinks this is a giga retard pump, you're right.it is a giga retard pump. but it can keep going higher. and usually a massive rally like this is a good sign for markets 12 months forward.in other words, this is cope for all the people like me, who couldn't believe the massive retard pump and didn't buy, and now feel like you can't buy now because surely it's already over? Not really.So you STILL have time to buy, you didn't miss the ship, it is still sailing and it will sail onward and upwardAny volatility over the next months is just an opportunity to maximize your gains.A long bear market like dotcom bust or 2022 could happen, but that could always happen, and the point being made is that a massive giga rally (10%+ gains over 10 days) is NOT a bearish signal. It is actually a very bullish signal for the next 12 monthsSame for SPY and QQQin other words, we're all gonna make it
>>62119235well we saw how that turned out for markets and oil. that post was from 7 days ago.
>>62119237>what can I do if I am all cashget a fucking position maybe? lolwait for tomorrow's market open or the day after if you are getting into techget in with 30% leave rest 30-40% for dip buying the next 2-10 weeks spend the rest for a bigger dip in the medium term 2-6 monthsride it out surefire way to make money with simple long positions with ok dca
>>62119237there is always stuff to buy. BX and ARES look like they have room to run.
>>62119146>Is the captcha still AIDS?and anal warts
>>62119239oh and I said this in a post that got eatenbut the SPY 700 resistance will become support, if it breaks throughand I think it will break through, once all the call wall is exhausted and people just give up and let it pass. Then it will shoot through 700 like nothingtoday we saw it get right up close to that 700 wall and stay there, and kill every single person with a strike price at that level. it was not a firm rejection or bounce off 700.so once all those people are exhausted, it will shoot through 700 and it might not ever go back there again. well, not until next year's april fools taco tuesday parade. haha.... hah. hahaha. Yeah it's not funny.See you in 12 months!
>>62119135you seem less upset today and i'm glad, want to see you at your best again soon. you are my dreamgirl and i love you with all my heart, and i'm so ready to make up and move forward.
>>62119239>alright boys, for all the people who think "it can't just keep going higher" like me, who thinks this is a giga retard pump, you're right.>it is a giga retard pump. but it can keep going higher. and usually a massive rally like this is a good sign for markets 12 months forward.oh, an apparently this kind of rally was a 99.7% percentile move for any random 10 day trading period.so I don't feel so bad about not seeing it coming, and not believing it when it just kept going up. No one thought this would happen.but now I don't feel so bad about "missing" it. I will be slurping cheapies.... SOON
>>62119201The oil as a "market" is dead at the moment since both the US and Japan are already confirmed to be pushing the scales for short term political fallout reasons. It would be naive to think more countries aren't doing this.>>62119237Why, lmao
>>62119239>picSure, momentum is by definition autocorrelated. But right now, what controls momentum is a bunch of misrepresentation and misdirection coming form the White House concerning what's taking place in Iran. PPI was high and the lid is gonna blow on energy soon. I agree it can still retard pump and us bears may never get our day, but there's still a chance this rugs. OPEX is this Friday and might reset the momentum going into next week.
>>62119196VOO is my major holding but no, VOO/SCHD/QQQM are roughly 50% of my holdings
>>62119259>>62119254And you can't just keep looking at so few data points and extrapolating so much from it, you did yesterday too with the election year stuff.
>>62119267> It would be naive to think more countries aren't doing this.it is hard to imagine an oil cartel. if it existed i would name it something like Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries. (OPEC)>oil as a "market" is deadthat reddit poster may be dead.
>>62119268>OPEX is this FridayWhy does that matter at all?
oh shit I run out of non-retirement money in 15 years
>>62119277Yes, you can literally watch mms battling over options strikes at close.
>>62119201There's a pretty big learning curve to the stock market stuff. HYSA's are where it's at for normies and bobos. they don't need more.
GUYS ROARING KITTY JUST POSTEDWE'RE FUCKING BACK BROS
>>62119267>Why, lmaoWarren Buffet is sitting on 373B in cash, fucktard.
>>62119284Wrong. Sgov.
>>62119259>"it can't just keep going higher"The Fed has endless fiat currency and their own trading desk, they can just buy the entire stock and bond market, and all the gold and real estate under any combination of facilities and by funding big banks and hedge funds.
>>62119276Sure, fair. But now both the "supply" and "demand" side are nation state cartels.Any fag complaining about "but X is happening why is ..." really just needs to understand it as a battle of the cartels.>>62119223No
>>62119277I meant options expiration btw not operational expenses. It can lead to new market mechanics since dealers reposition and what not, so the underlying structural forces guiding price can change. Hopefully we see a meangingful uptick in volume since it's been so light relative to how insane the rally has been.
>>62119291lfg>futures
>>62119294He's 95 and has 300+ billion dollars. Would you still be shitcoin gambling at that point?
>>62119274>And you can't just keep looking at so few data pointsthere's a lot more data points than thatI'm not posting every single thing I'm looking at in here, that would be spam
>>62119294>373B in cashretail thinks he has the same scope, also excludes any positions they already have please do not post
>>62119271>VOO/SCHD/QQQM are roughly 50% of my holdingssounds good brotha
big back herewhat are some stocks to complement my lifestyle?
>>62119033i dont have anything else to do my life is empty
You can see the golden line in this is the 30 day rolling VWAP, it really highlights how dislocated price is from where the volume was buying.
What is the post-crash AI Chinese kung fu robot economy supposed to do with people like this?I mean really…Bussy is a gay man who was a protege of Soros and worked at one of his funds… what do you do with someone this stupid? Hook them up with UBI and have them do watercolors of elephants or something? Feed them grains through a hose and harvest the BTUs for energy like the Matrix?
>>62119271>VOO is my major holding
>>62119309>retail is scared shitlesswe know desu
Is everyone enjoying the pump?
>>62119302I'm just saying that curve fitting by cherrypicking data points like that isn't a good habit and correlation isn't causation of course. It's just overfitting basically.
>>62119315What about that indicates retail? Retail probably bought the dip like always.
>>62118948Why are the stock markets so gay? Nothing has changed since the strait closed, oil shortages will still be a thing at this rate in Asia but the markets are close to all time highs. The USA keeps building up troops in the area, Iran might close another strait, the USA is turning to a was economy and the markets don't care. Why?
>>62119326MarketsAreForwardLooking
>>62119320>I'm just saying that curve fitting by cherrypicking data pointsit's not really cherrypicking data points thoughthe move is statistically significant, a massive rally over 10 days. Then looking at what happened in history, when similar sized moves happen. At all the similar data points. That's not cherry picking at all.It's not curve fitting either. since the data is sampling from many time periods, which sample them at set intervals, which lets the chips fall where they may, including data points which are negative.So it's just looking at what the curves are, in history. There is no curve fitting whatsoever.Do you have a counter point, or your own data, or what? Or are you just trying to say nothing can be known and no one can predict anything, and looking at historical data is useless in general? Not a fan of epistemological nihilism.
>>62119326>If this was serious then the markets would've crashed already. The tariff crash was a giant nothing burger as well. Covid recovered in 12 months. Might as well buy more.
>>62119316Naturally.
stop being greedy
I can't believe I didn't buy any calls
>>62119336Look forward to this, shillbot >>>/pol/533226818
>>62119326There is a non-zero chance the government is working with big players or something here in the interest of national security to bid price up to counter Iran's attempts at economic damage.
>>62119326how will any of that effect the earnings of american companies? i'm sure it will but by how much? will they miss estimates? post losses? how will it effect liquidity in the financial markets? how do you know the market was right when it was going down and wrong now? couldn't it be the opposite case?all rhetorical questions but the point is the market doesn't care about your feelings, doesn't have them in the first place, and it's not a democracy either. it goes up in response to people dumping cash on it, down in response to people dumping shares on it, that's all.
>>62119336Did you not read what I said? How forward looking are they if they don't discount oil shortages? If energy prices are 50 percent more expensive in just a month? How does that not change anything? How forward looking are they when they don't realize the second order effects of this? The average person has become retarded and with a very short attention span and I think you're starting to see that in the stock market too
>>62119338
goddamit who told me to buy spy puts at close i need to blame someone>>62119344dont euros have trains and walkable cities thothe germans laughed at trump when he told them to get energy independence. they'll be fine, none of them had electricity where they were born in the middle east anyways. Damn arabs that's probably who forced me to go all in puts at close
>>62119236India does saar>>62119237Ease in slowly. Spread your cash out over a 2-5 year window
>Japan’s Nikkei 225 hit a record Thursday amid a broader rally in Asia markets
>>62119336Markets are forward looking, but sometimes they look way too far ahead and over-buy. The market priced in a peace deal and the U.S leaving, but none of that has happened yet, and when shit gets exploding again the market will dump itself until it correctly prices itself inIf you look at chart >>62119309 this is a rare event, and in all events that this happened, it later dumped harder then the previous dump.Market over bought, or, i should say, was overly optimistic hoping on a Trump Tacoim just a mad as fuck bag holder tho so don't listen to me lol
>>62119348Like I said, markets over bought, another dump is coming. They were too overly optimistic, and priced in peace when peace never happened.
>>62119346>couldn't it be the opposite case?Woyuldn't uncertainty increase the risk premiums at least? And I know the market doesn't care about my opinions. That's not the point. I understand I'm trading with the market and I'm a price taker. I'm just saying that given the risks and potential bubbles out there, I rather put less money into it. Just pay more of my mortgage instead
>>62119339>the move is statistically significant, a massive rally over 10 days. Then looking at what happened in history, when similar sized moves happen. At all the similar data points. That's not cherry picking at all.That's exactly cherry picking though... You picked all the cherries that look like this one.>It's not curve fitting either. since the data is sampling from many time periods, which sample them at set intervals, which lets the chips fall where they may, including data points which are negative. So it's just looking at what the curves are, in history. There is no curve fitting whatsoever.The whole thing is curve fitting though. You're selecting data points and fitting a curve to them to determine estimate behavior...>Do you have a counter point, or your own data, or what?I'm just saying I find the approach kind of backwards I guess. It's the same thing people do when they grid search indicators and find something like >when RSI is over 70>and MACD is bullish>and the fibanocci is retracing>and the DXY is trending up>then it's bullish Like yeah you'll find things that are highly correlated with what's happening historically, but whether or not that's predictive is another matter that this doesn't inform.
>>62119362>It's the same thing people do when they grid search indicators and find something likeCab you elaborate? I fear Im wandering into this trap
>>6211935490% of Iran's economy flows through the strait they are completely and utterly cucked and will capitulate soon
>>62119309>You can see the golden line in this is the 30 day rolling VWAP, it really highlights how dislocated price is from where the volume was buying.if you look at the volume of the SPX, meaning the volume of all the individual stocks in the spx, it was actually not lowerbut the SPY etf did have lower volume as it went highermeaning people ditched the etf and went back to buying individual stocks. it freaked me out too until someone pointed out the SPX volume was not lower during the up swing
>>62119345Perhaps.We all but confirmed the treasury was fucking with oil futures (futures contracts at a 33% discount to physical last I heard), why not equities?
>>62119350>thinking this is just a European problemThis is happening EVERYWHERE you dumb faggot. There is no more fuel for ANYONE. There's no more petroleum left to manufacture all of those goods that we import from overseas, and there's no fuel for the container ships to transport them hete either. Because the jewish oligarchs that run our government keep manipulating the market to paper over the crisis, instead of high prices you're going to get NO PRICES. The essential commodities that we all depend on to live are GONE.
>>62119323>Retail probably bought the dip like alwaysno most of retail gets scared and doesn't buy during these dips lolthe assume the world is ending/it will all get worsethey assume the dip is only the start of a bigger bottom so they miss out
Respect the market, close your shorts, open longs, and enjoy the green. Wait for actual resistance to form before shorting again. We in price discovery now, and it seems there are still unliquidated bobos.
>>62119363>Cab you elaborate?Naturally.
>people are so stupid. >why cant they see what i see?>everything is so obvious. why cant they see what i see so clearly?>why are markets not acting the way i expected them to? its so obvious how they should act.will these people ever stop to ask "am i wrong?", "is my worldview wrong in any way?"
Trump said 5-6 weeks, trust the plan
>>62119368lol yea that's a completely rational and realistic take and you don't sound mad at all
>>62119362>That's exactly cherry picking though... You picked all the cherries that look like this one.um... noThat's not what cherry picking is.Looking at every single point in history which matches this pattern, then letting the chips fall where they may, and just looking at the data, is not cherry picking.That's literally the opposite of cherry picking. Cherry picking would be doing this entire test, then removing any negative data points because "they didn't count".>The whole thing is curve fitting though. You're selecting data points and fitting a curve to them to determine estimate behavior...Wait a second, are you saying you literally cannot look at a cloud of data points and fit a trendline to it, and call it a pattern and then make predictions about the future?Okay so that's just full blown epistemological nihilism.>I'm just saying I find the approach kind of backwards I guess. It's the same thing people do when they grid search indicators and find something like>>when RSI is over 70>>and MACD is bullish>>and the fibanocci is retracing>>and the DXY is trending up>>then it's bullishYeah I agree if you add a bunch of stuff together, it gets more tenuous. This is not that. It's just looking at what happens when you have a massive giga rally, and what usually happens after that in stock market history. Pretty basic stuff.It's not like this is drawing 15 lines on a chart to go full blown schizo finding patterns that aren't really there
>>62119197bro you're not suppose to trade natural gas fart bags if you don't know what you're doing. those indexes were created with the intention that anyone trading underlying derivates would at least have the sense to hedge with bath water inflation swaps.>>62119144lmao. this is true for a couple months at best>>62119176people will think global banker war 3 is good for earnings. full clownmode until the IPOs
THIS IS A FAKE NIGGER MARKET RUN BY JEWSTHE END
>>62118965I dont know if its making fun of those who got vaccinated or the retards that thought she'd be dead in 2 more weeks? I dont get it anymore.
Do whatever you want with your jewish casino, I don't give a shit. The world already walked off an economic cliff and no amount of hebraic corporate baseball cards will be able to keep your stomache full or fuel your car. SPY will be at 10k while you're literally starving and without power.
>>62119363>Cab you elaborate? I fear Im wandering into this trapjust don't add 15 indicators together to convince yourself of somethingIf you don't get a clear and obvious signal, then you add more and more shit to convince yourself of something, the more likely you are basically hypnotizing yourself. The more complicated story you tell yourself, the more likely it is nonsense.
>>62119192Yes, TSLA will mass produce tasers
>>62119387True
>>62119371>Wait for actual resistance to form before shorting again. We in price discovery now, and it seems there are still unliquidated bobos.yepit will blast through 700 and we'll see what the price is after it all shakes out.QQQ and SPY were just going up up up. I did not want to short that shit.
>>62119390>Ultimate chud award
>>62119375>>people are so stupid.>>why cant they see what i see?>>everything is so obvious. why cant they see what i see so clearly?>>why are markets not acting the way i expected them to? its so obvious how they should act.>will these people ever stop to ask "am i wrong?", "is my worldview wrong in any way?"I had to go through this todaysold all my shorts. I can short the market again, once it's done going upIt's a giga retard pump, but it is what it is. I don't need to stick around for all that pain riding the wave upward.I can just start buying longs insteadespecially since, when it breaks through 700 it will go crazy. and 700 will likely become the next support because it was the old resistance.we might not even get back down to 700 again. Think about that. Crazy! the markets changed so fast
- A massive fire broke out at the Viva Energy refinery in Australia, which leaves Australia with only one operating refinery. The refinery processed around 120,000 barrels per day and supplied around 10% of Australia’s fuel supply. Notably, Australian Prime Minister Anthony Albanese has already called on citizens to ration fuel amid a global oil shortage following the closure of the Strait of Hormuz. The cause of the fire is still under investigation, with officials ruling out intentional malice.
>signals
So the market is up because everyone thinks that Trump is absolutely retarded and all he's going to do is taco, taco, taco.He's right. I am tired of winning
>>62119384Yeah, cherry picking was probably the wrong word, but like when you did the midterm year analysis thing. That's cherry picking a context to look at within, and it wasn't discarded because it was supportive of your bias. I could see what Chinese New Year animals correlate with forward returns, but it'd be useless. What you're doing is cherrypicking the causal factors and evidence that you believe may be predictive of forward returns. In the end I'm just saying you want to avoid this kind of selection bias.>Wait a second, are you saying you literally cannot look at a cloud of data points and fit a trendline to it, and call it a pattern and then make predictions about the future?I'm saying how well the curve fits doesn't imply it's predictive ability, see overfitting.>It's just looking at what happens when you have a massive giga rally, and what usually happens after that in stock market history. Pretty basic stuff.Yeah, I just don't think that's good analysis as it immediately massive reduces the number of data points you can even consider.Basically this just isn't how I'd go about forecasting 1YR returns or macro stuff if that's what I was trying to do, the approach seems way too prone to picking up spurious correlations. I like the data driven posting though it's just not how I'd do it personally but more power to you.
THIS SHIT BE CRAZY YOWE FINNA GET BIGGER WEEDI FEEL IT
>>62119405the market is up because Iran is impotent and on the verge of capitulation
>>62119176yeah duh to rebuild what they lost not for Iran, ya dingus
>>62119384>Wait a second, are you saying you literally cannot look at a cloud of data points and fit a trendline to it, and call it a pattern and then make predictions about the future?And yes you should not do this to be clear. You need sufficient reason to believe the correlation has predictive power, otherwise you'll be trying to make predictions off of spurious correlations.
>>62119239and I think some people aren't getting this, but the point is that if you see a huge giga mega retard pump, that doesn't mean it's guaranteed to go down or that you "missed it". The data clearly shows, with proof by contradiction, of all the times the market didn't die after a giga pump, and actually it went up a lot if you bought AFTER the super rally.In other words, this is cope for the people who didn't buy before the giga rally. You didn't miss anything, and in fact, giga rallies like this are usually very bullish over 12 months. We're all gonna make it.
You can have ten million dollar portfolio from all this gay talmudic market rigging, and it literally won't matter because all of the store shelves will be empty. We import all of our products from Asia, and they're completely without fuel to either produce the goods we need to live OR ship them to the United States. So take comfort in those large numbers on your computer screen, because you sure as shit won't find any comfort during the supply shortages.
>>62119409That's just not true, they just need to send 10 drones a day and block the strait
>>62119375I have the opposite problem where I end up being right but I lacked conviction and held back from going all in.
>>62119416Implying I won't move to Asia. Fuck the US
>>62119414>with proof by contradictionlmao stop it you pseud you have to be trolling here
>>62119348what shortage? Governments released emergency reserves and let sanctioned countries sell. Obviously the strait being open is better but for short term it’s not a big deal. You’re only right if the war doesnt end very soon
>didn't make generational wealth with BIRD today
>>62119416>We import all of our products from Asia, and they're completely without fuel to either produce the goods we need to live OR ship them to the United States. So take comfort in those large numbers on your computer screen, because you sure as shit won't find any comfort during the supply shortages.america gets 90% of its products from its own production, and canada and mexico.asia is a small percentage of the stuff we use.
>>62119375they need to go one step further>why did i think that way?ie. why was my model of reality wrong? (the media they consume misrepresented reality to them)
>>62119417and how many are they sending?the market is forward looking and expects Iran to soon capitulate as they have already seemingly ran out of fight and will soon run out money to pay their soldiers
>>62119417
>>62119428>source: I made it upJust like how we import all of our steel from """"""""""Canada""""""""""", right?
>>62119435I thought the CLF tranny made it all
>>62119433yeah nice headline but China is also on Iran's side supporting their sovereignty over the strait
>>62119435this isn't news my friendamerica plus canada plus mexico is basically all we need. that's NAFTA, or as it is known now, USMCARank Country % of U.S. Market Supply Primary Goods1 United States 65.6% Food, energy, aerospace, machinery2 Mexico ~5.3% Vehicles, auto parts, appliances3 Canada ~3.8% Crude oil, lumber, automotive4 China ~3.1% Electronics, furniture, textiles5 Taiwan ~2.1% Semiconductors, computer parts6 Vietnam ~2.0% Footwear, apparel, furniture7 Germany ~1.6% Medical supplies, industrial machines8 Japan ~1.5% Cars, high-end electronics9 Ireland ~1.4% Pharmaceuticals, chemicals10 South Korea ~1.3% Steel, vehicles, semiconductors>Just like how we import all of our steel from """"""""""Canada""""""""""", right?it's a good point, and we need to remove china from our supply chainsbut in terms of "everything we have comes from asia" is simply not true.
Who else got bobo blasted when the cease fire dropped? me? I lost about 15k and I cut that shit the next day lmao. Anyways, the whole long side has worked out great and everything's okay now.
>>62119430it doesnt really matter what theyre sending, what matters is what they can send>will soon run out money to pay their soldiersisrael hasnt even beaten hamas in gaza. iran is a 90 million population country being run by 1 million MUSLIM BELIEVERS who have guns
>peace deal in two more weeks, goy!
>>62119453ngl kinda has me in the mood for some hearts of iron
>>62119453so what do they just kick the can down the road until after midterms? Is Bibi cool with that?
>>621194552 or 3?
>>62119433China is sending iran weapons and gave them satellite targeting of bases in the gulf. They love this shit because every missile we give the gulf is a missile we don't have for China taking Taiwan
>>621194604 cause im a retarded faggot
>>62119456All of the current volunteer forces will die in the drone meatgrinder until this November, followed by a draft to send all the non-volunteer goyim to die in the drone meatgrinder after November. You get to deal in the real world in Iran while the Fed prints infinite money to pump the (((oligarchs'))) portfolios.
>>62119467sounds like a plan boss
I mean why is Asia up 2%? They're running out of oil and it's up. This shit is actually insane
>>62119237oh no no no now the smug faggot that tried to time the market comes crying while boglehead chads kick back lmao
>>62119461>China taking over Taiwan Will be peaceful.
>>62119470you would know better than the locals
>>62119414>>62119421here's the actual dates so you both can check the charts if you really wanted towhen the event is so rare I can point to any one of the handful of charts there and say "this time is like that". could be like May 1992 or 1990, could be like 2009, could be something different from all of them. problem is this time isn't like that time unless it really is, which isn't 100% clear until it's all over. I suppose whittling down the list to draw connections is helpful but I didn't see >>62119414 do that yet
>>62119456>do they just kick the can down the roadI member being 11 on dial up and metal hobby casting groups and the older guys talking about bush and them just kicking the can down the road with the national debt. It went over my head a bit as an 11 year old but one or two of them were kind enough to point the problem out. I found it kind of interesting wondering about if that process can be repeated indefinitely.That was 30 years ago.Ze can VIL be kicked. For now.I think it's still got a few decades of kicking available.
Silver bros ...
>>62119473I saw a Spirit plane boarding in Philly that was 100% black
screaming bottom signal
>>62119441no they arent retard Iran never had sovereignty over the strait only half of it>>62119452how many times have true muslim believers turned on their rulers after not being paid faggot open a history book>>62119461china is watching their weapons systems getting BTFOd by Big American Innovation
>>62119473holy fucking based. keep tripling oil prices.
>>62119482Eliminating that IS a good thing
>>62119476>when the event is so rare I can point to any one of the handful of charts there and say "this time is like that"That's been my point, you can't just filter down like that, look at the ten remaining data points, and really draw meaningful conclusions from it. This rally was very unusual given we're in a Trump clown regime driven by Truth social posts and short coverage, so I don't think it meaningfully relates to anything else especially when the volume isn't there.I just personally don't see much value in searching for price action correlations on an outlier event like this, everything is bound to be spurious and if anything it'll embolden bad decisions. >>62119486>no they arent retard Iran never had sovereignty over the strait only half of itYes they are and yeah I meant their half obviously...
>>62119486>Big American InnovationIs that what we're calling blowing up all of our bases and aircraft? The shill propaganda doesn't work as well when we're losing, does it?
>>62119474Hopefully yeah. But it happens in 20 years after China stops being run by xi xing pooh bear
>>62119416Hahah I love coping bears, market is gonna keep rising
>>62119485>disability slurthose lame retardsreally dumb! and... and... PARAPALEGIC!hah. gottem
>>62119486It doesn't matter if we have higher quality bullshit if China can outproduce us 10 to 1
>>62119440what ever happened to him? Did he become a millionaire? Did he 41% himself?
>>62119470>Asia up 2the yen and won are both collapsingthey are forced to partake into the stock market due to their local inflationno worries I'm here to provide free education
>>62119499>10 to 1You forgot a zero.
>>62119492Robert McNamara - Project 100,000. Put those retards to work again.
where's the guy who said he lost his house any updates from him
>>62119508good news: he found his house
>>62119485>screaming bottom signalalso, what is this a bottom signal for?>>62119492>Is that what we're calling blowing up all of our bases and aircraft?chang adveltised theil anti ail-claft radawl system as being able to shoot down american stealth jetsit didn't do so good.and we were flying a swarm of F35s over tehran for more than a month. same for venezuela.looks like chang was lying about their velly implessive systems
lmao he bought puts at the close
tsmc earnings in 2 hours god bless semis
>>62119486>how many times have true muslim believers turned on their rulers after not being paid faggot open a history bookPlease purge my ignorance. How many times have Muslims turned against their rulers and won when their overlords have guns and they dont
>>62119493Even with him, the peaceful resolution is on the table as was proved by the visit of the Kuomintang leader.
>>62119492it wouldn't if we were losing but uhh remind me who's leaders and major source of income are fucking dead?>>62119499china is and alway has been a paper tiger. You don't spend 5000 years getting raped by horse niggers because you're strong
>>62119512where was it
>>62119518the niggers with the guns are the ones who get mad about their rulers dumb dumb. Thats why saudi arabia deliberately has such a shitty military
>>62119523>china is and alway has been a paper tigerLol
>>62119516can't stand earnings>pre pump>post dump>every time>no matter what
>>62119513We've already lost two F-35s, to say nothing of all the other aircraft that we lost. They're still being forced to use standoff munitions because of Iran's anti-air. Just wait until we put boots on the ground. It will be like that failed uranium snatch and grab op, but with tens of thousands of dead soldiers who lived a bit too hard in the real world. Their deaths and a US military defeat will send the SPY to 1000 (the cost of one Big Mac)
Great now the market will crab in the same spot for 3 months before it goes down $5
>>62119529You should honestly stop posting
>>62119523HEY LOOK EVERYONE ITS PETE HEGSETH
been looking for a picture in particular for over an hour now but i can't find it.
>>62119523>b-but we killed more of the Viet Cong!Have a good, long read you FUCKING RETARD:https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/McNamara_fallacy
>>62119531I have a feeling it will be like nvidia earnings pumps a bunch into back to current levels
>>62119538I've been looking for a picture for a few years, it was an intergalactic wizard alien frog kinda thing. The art style was completely different than most pepes, wasn't really a Pepe at all just an intergalactic alien wizard frog. if anyone has it please post it
>>62119539We won because now Vietnam makes our clothes and their immigrants put nails on obese americans all day.
>>62119539mcnamara was a patriot and did nothing wrong.
>>62118948God I hate AI trying to pass as real. TrAInny slob.
>>62119546Yeah, except losing the Vietnam War.
lotta chank shills working the board today. Trust me China doesn't want / can't handle the responsibility of exorbitant privilege
>>62119552Cool opinion, Mr. 1PBTID Eglin bot. Too bad it's FUCKING RETARDED.
UP AND TO THE RIGHT BROS WE ARE WINNING
> nows
MSFT +1.5% in the overnight after 4% today. MSFTs recovery is a big reason the SP500 is positive for the year.
>>62119428Illiterate and mentally retarded post.The real work of the world is done by sinosphere slaves, Canadians and Mexicans just assemble shit according to the IKEA diagrams. >>62119453>let’s run up the national debt 20x building the Maginot line in 1944 AFTER we’ve seen the tank has made it totally irrelevant but before we have a new design paradigmBrilliant!
>>62119565>JeetGODS
>>62119546Mac was the greatest retard of the last 1000 years and he and the retards at RAND nearly ended all life on this planet.He is extremely lucky the glowies and joint chiefs didn’t take him out like they did Kennedy for nearly causing a nuclear war in Cuba.
>>62119559> Doomposter> 15 posts> FagMany such cases
>>62119582I don't know, they look kind of doomed to me, but maybe they just haven't converted their engines to run on paper oil futures yet.
>>62119019I knew it was fake, that pitbull woulda tore his ass up
Ford is gonna start building weapons. Goodbye, friends. I'm 290lbs and suffer from gout. I can't join you in the front. WWIII has begun
Bros, I need a quick easy short, what stocks do I invest? Some cute Indian girl in my neighborhood asked me out for a date. She's got a HUGE fat rack(like I cups) but I don't have any spare cash for dinner or anything good...
>>62119530remind me of china's last military actionbeating up indians in the himalayas with literally sticks lol>>62119539can't hear you over the sound of all our bunker busters see you next week when Iran admits defeat with the US putting 0 boots on the ground cap it for real
>you can invest in the OTC market exchange (ticker OTCM)
>>62119514Everything is fine.There is no cause for concern.Return to your accounts and continue providing exit liquidity for some guy with 4 houses.
>>62119595I wish I was fucking retarded
>>62119598>bro could read the WFC, JPM, BAC earnings reports that just came out>or not
>>62119598Maybe they do it like Ashes of Creation CEO who stated loans are revenue
>>62119603what's your ytd?maybe you should be retarded
>>62119595Wow, I'm sure using more of the bunker busters that already failed to penetrate over two thousand feet of solid granite will work this time. Especially after Iran brought their air defense out of hiding since we depleted our standoff munitions.
>>62119594post the tits first
>loses money
>>621191936 figure hell
>>62119402>10% of the fuel supply just gone>during a global shipping crisis>during a middle eastern war>during an existing oil shortage>lol bro it wasnt maliciousYeah right
>>62119595we need to go back to melee combat,restart a whole new warfare industry
>>62119193put it all on black
>>62119447>USMCAWhat? Its the CUM Alliance
>>62119595>remind me of china's last military actionOperation Wish It, Will It, Mandate it.
>>62119615Russia is desperately trying toUkraine is just answering with robots
>>62119615been feeling like i should rewatch this
>>62119612such is life.
>>62118967BIRD put options now or wait until tomorrow? This turd cannot possibly stay this high right based on the a pivot that makes zero sense.
>>62119615i prefer flying lawnmower combat actually. more entertaining.
thikn of all cool gear that can be salvaged, they need to come up with a robo-corpse-looter for clearing up battlefields after
>>62119619wish deez nuts in ya mouth nerd
banan status?
>>62119624>imagining it's the sexualiser control and she's setting it to 17 when 10 is the maximum and usually fatalHnnnnnnnnnnnnnn
>>62119621then iti s deemed, you shall do so
>>62119633all time high, you retarded nigger.
>>62119643>yeah, so what if the global economy is collapsing and a billion people are going to starve??>the number is going up!!
>futuresabsolutely crumbling right now, pray for a red day tomorrow to start the blow off top formation
Nothing would please me more than to see Israel and Iran exchange nukes and all the Mumus get liquidated.
>>62119627imagine the drone battle footage we'll get in 10 years, pure kino
>>62119594We need more visual information on this.
>>62119644Oh no not my heckin overbreeding turd worlders
>>62119636the red dial controls the analator
>>62119645It just V'ed, shut up
>>62119646praise be to allah
Is the site working?
>>62119652I hate to break to you, Mr. 1PBTID shillbot, but those starving third worlders are the ones who make the medicines that you need to live.
>>62119629There's a non zero percent chance you're a ccp mouth piece. Enjoy yourself
>>62119657not really
told the guy who bought puts at close
>>62119662those who bless deez nuts posters will be blessedthose who curse deez nuts posters will be cursed
>>62119659Whatever you say Sandeep
feels gay and retarded posting here past a certain net worth but if it helps one or two incels it's worth it in my book.
Bakking
last 25 mins till record AI, semis and dram stock prices
>>62119662yes ccp shills are well known for shitting all over the chinese military theres a 100% chance you're fucking fucktardedwhat's your ytd again?oh that's right
Come on over to new thread>>62119681>>62119681>>62119681
Did TSMC just leak? It was set to report in 30 min
>>62119667>just print more medicines, bro!I am relieved by the fact that half of our geriatric zogressmen will die at the their own hands, having cut off the medicines that they need to animate their decaying corpses well past their natural lives.
>>62119646Your sick! You are a sick man bobo
>>62119688Post your gains you tiny little man
