war never changes edition>I'm a poor bobo incel who wants to bitch and moan about the strait of hormuz and sandwars>>>/pol/>Educational sites:https://www.investopedia.comhttps://www.khanacademy.org/economics-finance-domain>Financial TV Streams:https://www.newslive.com/american/cnbc.htmlhttps://www.livestreamy.net/bloomberg/>Charts:https://www.tradingview.comhttps://www.finscreener.comhttps://www.portfoliovisualizer.com>Screeners: so you feel like in the movieshttps://finviz.com/https://etfdb.com/>Gambling:https://www.optionsplaybook.com/options-introduction/https://www.optionsprofitcalculator.comhttps://optionstrat.com/https://www.optionistics.com/quotes/option-prices>Pre-Market and Live data:https://www.investing.com/indices/indices-futureshttps://finance.yahoo.com/>Calendarshttps://www.marketwatch.com/economy-politics/calendarhttps://www.earningswhispers.com/calendarhttps://www.cmegroup.com/trading/interest-rates/countdown-to-fomc.htmlhttps://www.mortgagenewsdaily.com/data/building-permits>Boomer Investing 101: so zoomers with meme stocks can outperform youhttps://www.bogleheads.org/wiki/Getting_startedhttps://www.sec.gov/search-filings>Misc smg:https://www.financialjuice.com/homehttps://finance.yahoo.com/trending-tickershttps://market24hclock.com/https://www.dividendchannel.com/drip-returns-calculatorhttps://brokerchooser.com/https://www.chathamfinancial.com/technology/us-market-rates>NEW THREAD: Copy-paste the following when making a new thread:https://pastebin.com/GfB48W5Gprevious smigger thread>>62129635
time to buy Meta
dreaming of hormuz
>>62130462would that not be time to SELL meta?
>>62130467what does fucking a dead girl feel like?
>>62130471>>>/b/catalogfuckoff
>>62130462What is the bull case for meta in 2026? They're bleeding users on all platforms, the metaverse failed, and Llama isn't even the conversation when it comes to top AI models.
>>62130462Good for meta thinking about the shareholder
also what does "TACO" mean in this context
>>62130474Uhhhhh bots to artificially prop up hits for advertisers and Instagram
Do you guys genuinely think Donnyboy can keep lying his way to keeping the market from collapsing? Are we just playing along because we're invested?
>>62130474don't they own snapchat & instagram?i don't see instagram going anywhere, tons of rich kids use that & advertise their businesses/hustles/music/whatever there, etc>They're bleeding users on all platformsare they?
>>62130474the only thing Facebook has is a firm grip on marketplace. basically craigslist now. I can easily see them not existing in 20 years
>>62130481>THE marketjust buy things which won't go down xd
>>62130456please don't post in this thread either
i wonder to what degree these threads are a botnet dark forest, just bots talking to each other to trap niggers like me into somethign or other
> futures
>>62130462Long term (30+ years out) the situation is as follows:Non elites have never been less valuable in terms from a productivity perspective to the elite.But elites have never been as weak as they are now militarily with drones, automatic rifles, etc.Therefore you should invest in technologies based around soft power and making normies retarded, and short books and education.This is financial advice.
>>62130490how does the dog get off?
>>62130422>just learning to fucking program instead is worth your time instead.I can tell you are retarded, but damn dude, that retarded? In Excel VBA is the programming language, and there are dozens and dozens of add-in packages available in Excel. You never need to use a spreadsheet in excel, or you can use on if you want, or you can just the functionality (virtually unlimited), you can create your own user interface. Outside of Excel you can use Visual Studio to create your own custom functionality in visual basic or C# and there and hundreds of nuget packages to add to your solution. Anyone who tells you excel is just a spreadsheet is a special type of retard. Excel now also has (and has for years now) the M querry language and power model, which you can also customize. I know I am wasting my time with you, but for anyone else who may read the comment, or look at the ass pic, never some retard at work tell you what to learn or not.
>blocking a stupid river>not targeting reddit 4chan facebook/instagram X tiktok serversislamic terrorism is so lame I swear to god man no wonder muhammad gets joked on on fucking south park of all shows while jesus gets edits with guns. Holy shit man then catholics gotta act like they are on team shia islam standing up with iran cause they got dunked on by protestants and jews in the thirty years war.
>>62129917shill me on these
>>62130470no, AI is letting them clean house >>62130474fb, insta + reels, whatsapp, llama is the old model they have muse spark now
>>62130492>Therefore you should invest in technologies based around soft power and making normies retarded, and short books and education.FUCK MANFUCKTHE ARCHIVES ARE ALL GONNA GET DESTROYED, I HAVENT HAD THE MONEY TO ARCHIVE ANYTHINGFUCK
>>62130496if you write code in excel, you have nobody to call a retard but the man in the mirror. i cant believe i just read all that garbage
I HAVE NO CONNECTIONS EITHER & I DROPPED OUT OF HSHOW WILL I ACCESS THE LIBRARIES>>62130499>no, AI is letting them clean housethat's vague but alright
>>62130497>if you don't support fighting the Jews war for them you're on team shia
>>62130483bears will watch a stock go up their entire lives and then die broke. the end.
>>62130509this except the bears are me
>>62130513this wouldn't even be hard to fix, you could just fucking double-check everything the AI doesit would still only need like 10% of the manpowerEVERYONE IS SO FUCKING STUPID
FUCKING FAGGOTS AND NIGGERS AND INDIANS AND TRANNIES THINKING THEY CAN PROGRAMNOBODY CARES ABOUT DESIGNING ALGORITHMS ANYMORE, NOBODYTHEY'RE ALL STRAIGHT & WHITE & DEAD!!!
>>62130490>Built to run>Forced to ride
>>62130506imagine if your company could layoff 10% of its employees and do the same work or more work. you just saved millions of dollars.
>>62130496>Outside of Excel you can use Visual Studio to create your own custom functionality in visual basic or C#I did someting like this a while back and I'd share it here but I'd end up basically linking my /smg/ persona with my persona in another general on another board... and I dont want to do that
>>62130515Despite numerous articles about how AI is best to replace interns and every level workers people keep either acting like it can replace everyone on the team or that it's useless and can't do a single thing to help.
>futures
>tfw fired from job>tfw forced to get a seasonal job at an amazon warehouse because nobody else will hire me.at least Im making 32/hr cause I work 60 hours a week.What are some stocks for this feel?
>>62130518i suppose sothere has to be a catch, though, i feeli studied LLMs in 2021 but i haven't kept up too much, i'm surprised the companies are able to generalize them as much as they have but i can't see it continuing, and idk how sustainable it is now
>>62130522i don't think i've read a single "article" on AI, i can't imagine trying to decipher anything through all the noise/controversy/misinformation xdi have an idea of what it can do, and i have an idea of what the average programmer is like (a fucking lazy nigger who hates algorithm design)
>>62130505>i cant believe i just read all that garbagejust look at the titty pick then no excel retard
>>62130507>saudi arabia is team sunni>saudi arabia is israel with tires on their heads that like to poop on women instead of be landlords in the ghettoanon be real here its two team war. You are either in gang protestant-jew-sunni-pajeet or gang catholic-shia-chinese-russian. You gotta join a gang when ww3 goes down.
i don't think it's black and whiteclearly you can get some "productivity" out of thembut like i said, there has to be a catch to what >>62130518 saysoh fuck i misread your post sorry, you literally addressed this how it's not black and white...
>>62130526the catch is it requires a modicum of reason, understanding, and intelligence
im selling my etf and mu and buying back in when the war kicks off again.
>>62130513things that didn't happen for $400
>>62130537yeah apparently soi guess, in that sense, it's weeding out which companies are most functional/rational/useful & which ones are completely retarded/uselessto some degreebut i wouldn't know how to profit from this
>>62130532It makes sense that your upset the pope spoke against religious wars when that's your fantasy
>>62130494it takes a mighty force to make it happen
>>62130526it might be time to check back in. its been 5 years.
>>62130540>i guess, in that sense, it's weeding out which companies are most functional/rational/useful & which ones are completely retarded/uselessor maybe more specifically,the companies who focus on abstract performance metrics while doing nothing real will fall into the trap of using AI improperlywhile companies who actually get specific useful shit done on a regular basis are less liable to get tripped upsomething like that
>>62130538doesn't matter, if the war starts again we already won.
>>62130478>also what does "TACO" mean in this contextit's a reference to the BURRITO acronym, which means Bitches underperforming raging rallies into the openand TACO is a backronym of that, which means Technical Analysis Cope Overdose, from chartists who keep drawing more lines and squiggles when their prediction failsit's all wall street lingo from the 80s. kinda surprised people know about it
>>62130546i'm guessing if any major breakthroughs in the tech itself were found, i'd have heard about itbut i may be wrongif i'm not wrong, there's only so much you can get out of an LLM like i saidthey're limited by training data, quality & quantity of that data, and the sophistication of the way that data is organizedmore and more neurons generally leads to overfitting & makes things worse, but fewer might make things unpredictablerecurrent networks are interesting, i'm guessing that's what they use which is why there's a limited conversation history before it has to be "reset"
So it's been half a month now. Surely we now have fill-ins for Nancy or whoever are now the top traders in the political sphere. What did they sell lately?
>>62130550>it's all wall street lingo from the 80s. kinda surprised people know about iti wonder if something starting spreading it lately as a psyop xD>it's a reference to the BURRITO acronym, which means Bitches underperforming raging rallies into the open>and TACO is a backronym of that, which means Technical Analysis Cope Overdose, from chartists who keep drawing more lines and squiggles when their prediction failstyty
>>62130513This would be more sympathetic if his QA team didn't do their work while sipping chai from beanbag chairs, living their charmed lives on the back of the break neck output of SEAmonkey slaves transforming looted African raw materials into value using carefully saved Chinese money.Wiggercollars bitching about their plight when they did nothing to help their bluecollar countrymen since the 80s deserve to be beaten in a struggle session boss.Unfortunately for them capitalism will win in any case, despite their simian screeching.
>>62130496Kek bro lecturing me on how hes running power query garbage and VBA in excel. Back off plebian I load everything into azure and run it through fabric into power BI if you need charts, if I need anything only VBA can offer I can just run an office script through power automate to call it. Lick my boots spreadsheet monkey
>>62130544you told me size doesn't matter! babe!
>>62130555>>it's all wall street lingo from the 80s. kinda surprised people know about it>i wonder if something starting spreading it lately as a psyop xD>>it's a reference to the BURRITO acronym, which means Bitches underperforming raging rallies into the open>>and TACO is a backronym of that, which means Technical Analysis Cope Overdose, from chartists who keep drawing more lines and squiggles when their prediction fails>tytydont forget the ENCHILADA and QUESO acronymsbut you could google taco as well
>>62130559i dislike relying on google instead of people at this pointbut more importantly i thought it might've been too new/obscure of an acronym, or some twitter shit
Yep, looks like my quant is telling they will use scorched earth tactics on the markets.
>>62130563my quant doesn't even speak english, hindi only and he's a god damn cripple
>>62130552>i'm guessing>i may be wrong>2021>i haven't kept up too muchthats one way to live
>>62130569u write like a woman
>Boss did not submit my mileage and meal expenses claims>have to wait another two weeksMileage alone was like 1.2kfuck i might miss the next dip
Another week, another round of SOXL weeklies?
>>62130571yeah it's her, she's posting while skitzo is sleeping
>>62130571no woman would talk to you
>>62130579
i just hate spooky vagueposts mainlyespecially on /biz/this is supposed to be an autism website
>>62130572Just borrow money from yourself. You do have a cash reserve, right?
>>62130557>into power BIwoohooo we got a brainiac here talkin some hi level stuff fo sure lolololo
I just made and ate this. I'm so fucking full.
Is it just me or do you also see the right shoulder forming here?
>>62130592tasty
Still holding my norf sea oil play becausem....,
>>62130586Funny guy considering your arguing pivot tables and excel macros are more useful than real databases and actual API integration
>>62130580what a creepy pedo you are
Night 1 of wrestlemania confirmed to have barely 50k attendance. Down big from last year. Recession is coming soon bros
At what point does this war start to become real bearish for ZIM?
>>62130538it's literally just netanyahu tweeting for him at this point
>>62130598I feel the same way boss.>>62130582You don't ever borrow from yourself. You're either strong enough or not, borrowing from yourself to pay yourself later is so weak boss.
>>62130605oh shit...yeah when attendance for WWE and beatboxing competitions goes down, u know people are losing their money..how to profit from a recession?
>>62130615Puts. But you have to time it.
>>62130620>>62130620>But you have to time it.dunno shit about that
>>62130496Her eyes are far apart
>>62130490>Some dogs are doggos, others are puppers
>>62130615Leaps or short.
>>62130490god i wish that were me
>>62130525Amazon!
>>62130513The cuck QA goy probably did help them too
Bobros, we need to start a movement. We have to make everyone aware the only way this war stops is if the market crashes. We need people pausing their 401k contributions and no retail buying until the war is firmly resolved. Imagine a full quarter of no 401k buying pressure. Only selling no buying, no leverage shorting either.
>>62130637You increase buying during a crash.
traders have moved on!
>>62130637you want to buy the dip bro!
>>62130637the steady increase in 401k dominance is what's destabilizing the marketlet it ride
>>62130623Look its not easy, sometimes you get surrounded by women and even though you only have one penis the other girl makes you use your face and its not comfortable because while you're being used as a suck and fuck machine, people in Isreal are being bombed and invaded by people that went door to door through neighborhoods putting babies into ovens while murdering men on sight. Now I don't know about you, but I don't want to be targeted for my children to be placed into microwave ovens, or being shot by people who only believe they will get ahead by death through battle and get to score with 42 virgin women boss, but like in 5 years I could do 42 women, thats less than 1 a month boss.
i bought SQQQ on thursday, am i chilling?
>>62130637It’s not retail and 401k contributions that turned the market nuclear green the last 3 weeks>>62130646How does steady biweekly contributions destabilize markets?
>>62130471your little pecker probably won't penetrate through the rick & mortis bagina
>>62130640>>62130643>>62130646you're not getting the point, I don't care about what happens to the retards who'd fall for it. Imagine how much puts would print if it took off and people were pausing contributions until we were out of Iran.
>>62130633there IS a massive bull at my warehouse, in fact its our mascot. Is that a buy signal or a top signal?
>>62130659>>62130659>It’s not retail and 401k contributions that turned the market nuclear green the last 3 weeksno shit, but it'd encourage a drop back down to reality if people realized they have collective political leverage with that
>>62130651>people in Isreal are being bombed and invaded by people that went door to door through neighborhoods putting babies into ovens while murdering men on sight.t.
>>62130481considering the market is 90% vibes and a charisma skillcheckyes
>>62130664Charging Bull in NY is good luck. your bull is close enough lol.
>The sculpture was created by Italian artist Arturo Di Modica in the wake of the 1987 Black Monday stock market crash. Late in the evening of Thursday, December 14, 1989, Di Modica arrived on Wall Street with Charging Bull on the back of a truck and illegally dropped the sculpture outside of the New York Stock Exchange Building. After being removed by the New York City Police Department later that day, Charging Bull was installed at Bowling Green on December 20, 1989
movie nite starting soontonites movie is "Pusher" (1996)I think it's... foreign language...
>>62130689> in the wake of the 1987 Black Monday stock market crashWhy didnt he make it a bear?
>>62130686that one got cucked by a statue of a little girl though, ours has more SOVL
>>62130659markets are suppose to be capital allocating machines. but when everyone just piles in without thinking about it or doing any valuation, float decreases, less supply with more and more people lining up to buy an increasingly smaller amount of shares. all that float just gets locked away and doesn't move or respond to growth, valuation, risk free rates. so as it continues volatility gets wilder but the market trends higher faster and faster. because the shit piss is market cap weighted it also increases concentration. basic supply & demand, if everybody fights over less and less supply, the price goes up. price goes up and more people want to buy. until the whole thing becomes so illiquid it buckles.nobody is doing capital allocation anymore so it just leads to horrible societal repurcussions. we couldn't go two fucking decades without a real estate bubble & datacenter buildout is complete misallocation which will be a drag on growth for years to come. same with the internet, tech & productivity boon was real but laughably overbuilt because everybody was making enough money to afford to keep their heads firmly planted up their asses. we're sitting at like 60% of the market just being buy & hold which is insane and antithetical to the concept of capitalism itself. 401ks and sitting in quality beta is fine but if everyone (EVERYONE) is doing the exact same shit are you really diversified?
>>62130700buybacks are also hugely important in this equation
>>62130693wikipedia says>Charging Bull was intended to inspire each person who came into contact with it to carry on fighting through the hard times after the 1987 stock market crash.[9] Di Modica later recounted to art writer Anthony Haden-Guest, "My point was to show people that if you want to do something in a moment things are very bad, you can do it. You can do it by yourself. My point was that you must be strong.">>62130694Charging Bull is world famous. that other artist is nobody. it was removed years ago. i am glad other people disliked it for trying to ride Charging Bull coattails and lets be honest change the Bulls meaning.
>>62130692Ima too scared to click on that link
that gif reminds melast week i invested in some hot dogs and buns, but the buns started going bad, i saved what was still good and took it out and fed it to the ducks, i know i'm not supposed to feed bread to ducks, but it makes them so happy, and seeing them happy makes me happy, so it was a good investment i think
>>62130706>make positive message about carrying on even after bad timesOriginal artist seems like a cool dude. Also probably the only artist to ever think "wont someone think of the poor investor bros" lol.
>>62130711>it makes them so happy, and seeing them happy makes me happy, so it was a good investment i thinkenormous gainscongrats, anon
>>62130598whats the norh sea play that isnt BP i couldnt find it on US brokers. AT or something
>>62130700Well typically you’d have a correction that would help balance some of that out. But it’s not being allowed to happen. I agree with a lot of what you said.
>>62130714yeah lol. def visit our boy if you are ever in the city.
>>62130467too soon
>>62130515>you could just fucking double-check everything the AI doesyeah that's called doing QA work
>>62130641are those guys stupid? someone inform them they can buy stocks on their phone these days
>>62130742yeah i honestly hadn't caught that they tried replacing a QA team with AI, that's retardedi just saw "team replaced by AI"xd
>>62130700hypothetically what if was some monthly rebalance of value or momentum or both? would you have a problem with that? Like capitalization weighted but also with value and/or momentum in the equation if the S&P creates some kind of inefficiency you think you'd be able to exploit it somehow
jerome pleasestop this war please
>>62130621kino
>>62130757
>>62130641oh wow the wars over now. thanks traders! why didn't you do this week 1 though many died waiting
>>62130757>low intrest rates encourages investing>war is investment by other meansIn theory Jerome spiking the interest rates might stop the war, right?
Not my folio but holy rape why the fuck can't I just stick to one big boomstock. Instead it's a slow grind upwards and fear.>>62130474Shit just goes up, because.
ive been telling you retards on and off the bull market only goes up and bear markets are dead as long as the president keeps rolling nat 20s
>>62130746Just apply it to everything else. You just need a new team to make sure the AI doesn't fuck up. Does it save time? Who cares. It's AI!I can't wait for this fucking bubble to burst so we can buy RAM and GPUs again.>>62130481Reality will catch up eventually. You can't just shrug off supply chain disruptions. The market manipulation can't continue beyond a point.
>>62130785if by rolling nat 20s you mean printing 5 trillion in three months then yes i agree for now.
>>62130785until it doesn't... soon
>>62130456is this op supposed to be funny? be mean to people of concern? that part of the US is a top 5 target if nukes fly and all in that area would be dead
>>62130749looks that's been happening this year desu what with defensives and divvie stuff. any mechanism that rewards moving money to somewhere more deserved is good when the marginal buyer isn't doing that like right now. exploitable by just buying calls to frontrun the constant flows i guess. honestly thought the war was going to throw a monkey wrench into the works but apparently not
These last 2 weeks have been pretty taxing mentally. Hope oil just goes back up to 120, exit my positions happily and sit on my hands again. All I wanna buy is risk assets that are sure to dump while the war is still ongoing/oil crisis starts hitting (crypto) and physical pms. I'm hoping PMs will be like in 2008 if we really do get a recession/market crash. Should still have another 20-30% til they bottom in the case and I can have cheapest again. I like the Canadian silver dollars and maybe I can buy my first oz of gold. Only ever bought gold sovs, got 2 but had to sell them to fix my car a few years ago. Bought at 1,800 an Oz and sold at like 2,300. Feels bad. Glad I could fix my car tho
Questions:How are "activist investors" able to invest like 1% in a company and boss the CEO around? Nigga, it's just 1% ...Whys private equity a bad thing and is hated by R*ddit ? What good do they do?
>>62130801i bought an ounce at 1,200 and sold it at 1,850 thinking i was a gigabrain
>>62130801Also I don't know if any of you miggers have been following this, but it seems like russia and the Baltic states could potentially end up in some sort of situation as well because of ukie drones using their airspace to hit targets within Russia, and also european drone factories making drones for the war effort. I only mention it due to possible financial implications compounding with the current iran issue.
>>62130806Lol I feel you brother. Right after drumps became president i sold silver because I thought the economy was gonna be so good I'd go back down again. Pretty retarded. Only thing that made me feel better was i ended up needing that money not too long after anyhow.
>>62130806I sold NVDA in 2023 happy with a 2x
>>62130800yeah im just wondering how differently you'd feel about the 401k flows if they were directed to a more dynamic basket like that, it'd be weird if people were trying to front run value before a monthly or quarterly rebalance but it'd be a healthier market probably.if the largest fund was rebalancing all the time the market would be weird though. Like if the S&P 500 was the top 500 stocks monthly by some value criteria multiplied by market capitalization. idk it'd be weird. I'm not sure what passive flow mechanism would be best but all in S&P 500 probably isn't' best. gold and BTC investment should definitely be more common for passive flows though.
>>62130651bag bro, you know israel exaggerated october 7th attacks right?like jews always do. you know not to trust them. you're a blue eyed aryan man of thule
>>62130758based
>>62130785>>62130790should i buy out of the money SPY calls with a 1 week expiry
>>62130820good thing it's getting ready to crash hard with everything else
>>62130838>it's getting ready to crash hard with everything elsehow's that?
>>62130805do reddit mods still work for free even though RDDT is a 30B dollar company? i legit dont know lol. PE firms can make a lot of money... there have been some famous failures also where they add too much debt or cut costs too much and hurt the company (Kraft)
>>62130700>because the shit piss is market cap weighted it also increases concentration.no, this is absolute nonsense on a theoretical basis, and doesn't match the facts anywaypeople were piling into the mag 7 names, not blinding buying S&P500 index index fundsif they were, the concentration wouldn't change at all> but when everyone just piles in without thinking about it or doing any valuation, float decreases, less supply with more and more people lining up to buy an increasingly smaller amount of shares. all that float just gets locked away and doesn't move or respond to growth, valuation, risk free rates.the mag7 names were bought up like crazy. the other 493 stocks were not as much, meaning there is plenty of float left over for the rest of the stock marketfor the hyper scalers, not so much.>nobody is doing capital allocation anymoreYes, they are. They dropped the riskier tech stocks during a crash. Then went back to risk on during the rally. This is totally normal behavior, and is exactly the kind of capital allocation you would expect. risk off to risk on>we're sitting at like 60% of the market just being buy & holdlet the goyim deal in the real world. active stock traders can do price discovery. everyone else can just sit back and enjoy long term gains. Not everyone should be day trading
>>62130840DEMAND DESTRUCTION look it up
>>62130843i did & i think i understand the concept, what next?
>>62130845you looked it up in less than 2 minutes ?
>>62130785>ive been telling you retards on and off the bull market only goes up and bear markets are dead as long as the president keeps rolling nat 20syepstock market goes up, until donny fucks up biglynext stop is cuba, so I think that will be easyby the time he gets bored of dominating that country, it will be time for midterms. so probably a good thing. he'll be distracted by the political battle too much to do the war thingthen about 3 months after the election, ESPECIALLY if the stock market is stalling out again, he'll do some batshit crazy thingand if it works, he'll just move on and call it a very stable genius moveif it doesn't, he'll take it back, which will somehow magically jolt the stock market out of the sideways stall to new ATHthis will continue working, until suddenly it doesn'tremember, trump did the venezuela thing in january, right as the stock market started to stall out. It worked magically, to everyone's surprise. and the stock market didn't crash. Then he went crazy mode, and kept trying more risky shit.
>>62130849yes i type at 160 wpm, i have 4chan open on my laptop and a browser open on my desktop whose keyboard is less than 12 inches from my laptopi am giga schizo
>>62130851>32 pbtidI see , maybe it's time for a break
kill vaguepostersroundhouse kick a vagueposter into the concreteetc
>>62130671Need Khazar breeding harem
>>62130785>>62130850>rolling nat 20s?
>>62130856haha same but for 30+ ptbid
I refuse to trade in a market where the most effective strategy is to come every day and retardbuy calls at 9:30I'm outta here wake me up when there's a 30%+ dump
This is gonna be a crab Monday, won't it? A small decline on open that will recover by the close. It somehow seems to work that way for whatever reason.
I dropped $1300 on a shit stock only for it to shoot up to $14500 28 months later.Literally 1.84 and now it’s at $20.50. Why the fuck do I even bother trying to trade
>>62130867No crying in the casino.
>>62130864so as long as I am under 29 posts I'm okay?
>>62130869no sharting in the fartsino
>>62130867>I dropped $1300 on a shit stock only for it to shoot up to $14500 28 months later.I hate when that happens. I like it when inflation eats away at my ability to live a decent life. I would rather pay more taxes like Matt Damon so illegals and live for free.
Remember liberation day? Wha a fucking day that was
>>62130863Basically referring to a skill check in a game. In this context, The Don's ability to say shit and if being critically successful as far as pumping the market and suppressing oil prices go.
>>62130827i guess it'd be kind of better but i don't see how it would change anything much. if everyone buys the same basket and buybacks go on it's still the same dynamic. gold for sure>>62130842combination of bogle and buybacks. people buy S&P. NVDA big part of it. disproportionate money to NVDA with disproportionate supply. concentration.>there is plenty of float left over for the rest of the stock marketi agree. it's not illiquid yet and likely won't ever get there as the concentrated names will break before it gets to that point.i shouldn't say there ISN'T capital allocation just that now most marginal buyers are not really aware of what they're even buying. agency risk of overvalued equity. and i didn't even imply that people should be "day trading" lmao. the reason we have a market is because it's suppose to reward those who can allocate capital efficiently over time which is not happening in the biggest parts of the market. it's rewarding concentration in non-productive rent seekers. as for that RORO being normal behavior, blow it out your ass. 20% returns every year for six years, a 25% drawdown reversed in two months followed by a gigarun into a 10% drawdown reversed in two weeks? not normal. tape is telling you the same story i am.
>>62130864>>62130869;-;
>>62130878My schizo explanation is that loose monetary policy and money printing is just getting sucked into the stock market. The market is behaving like never before because never before has so much been printed so quickly.
>>62130878well what do you think is optimal for managing passive flows? the passive flow is essentially just the masses shorting the dollar, selling it for something that should hold up better. I agree blindly dumping into the S&P 500 isn't optimal but I don't know what's better.
>>62130883So you're saying that this time it's different?
>>62130886the market shouldn't be this passive at all is the point. nobody knows what's better because it's been working. makes it hard for anybody to outperform the index without just going leveraged long the index>>62130883my schizo explanation is people see the number go up and they hit the buy button. it's a theory i've been working on
My energy drinks went up to $40 for a case of 24.God damn you trump
BOGLEHEADS GET THE ROPEeventuallyhttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=J-HEwyokKOc
>>62130893gotta use caffeine pills at this point manfirst they came for the ciggies, and i said nothing
>>62130895Raise my tolerance too high. Thats why I switched to energy drinksI took 4 200mg pills all at once and thought I was going to have a heart attack.
>>62130893must be some cheap ass no brand energy drink
>>62130900Ghosts. I used to drink c4s but they kept giving me kidney infections
>>62130892>markets shouldn't be passivewell then what do you suggest? how are the unwashed and unthinking masses supposed to beat inflation and optimize wealth trajectory otherwise? it's only natural flows would huddle together like this imo and this would be form a self-fulfilling cycle. Wherever the passive flow is directed I'd think the same thing would happen..I can agree with the specific criticism that passive flow going straight to the top US equities 500 by capitalization regardless of value etc is a net negative for the markets, but there will always be demand for a vehicle of efficient passive flow capture and it seems like any passive flow is gonna get dislocated from the norm.
>>62130903you must not be US
>>62130892The only alternative I can think of that would keep the market non-passive would be if the 401k flow was directed to hedge funds and trading firms or something.. But that'd inevitably result in some very upsetting blowups.
>>62130842I wonder how the math works out on how much active traders influence the market relative to total boglebros.Like say you have 3 companies, and active traders value it at 1:1:1 ratio.If you have 100 active traders and 100 boglebros (assume equal investment weath for each person), and the active trades decide due to even X the companies values are now 1:1:2 instead, does the market values of those companies fully adjust to a 1:1:2 ratio? Or do the bogleheads prevent that happening? And does that retarding effect increase with more bogleheads? Thinking it out, with zero bogleheads the companies would immediately adjust to the new 1:1:2 ration of value as the trades all rebalance their portfolios. Meanwhile, if you have 1 active trader and a million boglebros, the 1 trader doesnt have enough weight to counter the inertia of the bogleheads (I think?) and the market is just perma stuck with companies at their current relative ratios. The trader (if he is correct) is rewarded with better dividend payouts, but the company that should be reward with higher valuation for being in a better profit generating position gets nothing. Shit, if I am thinking it out right, that actually seems pretty bad long run.
if this market was rational absolutely everything should have crashed 50% by now. EVERYTHING
You've failed
>>62130915not reading this schizo ramble
>>62130471Dry and cold
>>62130909It could be mixed maybe? So your investment portfolio is only allowed to have X% invested in index funds and the rest has to be directly investments?
rip
>>62130509Fuck bears
best tickers to short...
>>62130931>inside you are two bulls>one is the first week of April 2026>the other the second week of April 2027>you are a slutty little bobina
>>62130933I meant April 2026 for both im just so forward looking I forget it's only 2026 still
>>62130934In my neck of the woods, we call that being retarded
reminder, the market is in a short term rallyreality will set in soonthat we must rally EVEN HARDER
>>62130898>I took 4 200mg pills all at once and thought I was going to have a heart attack.yeah that's way too much xdi think people get misled by the "default" caffeine pill dose being 200mgyou can get a pill cutter and cut them into halves or quarters, a 50mg dose (keep in mind it's instant unlike a coffee you sip for 10-30 minutes) will hit about the same as a generic american cup of coffeethere are also fancy XR caffeine pills lol
>>62130948see, in situations like these, the hard part isn't predicting the start/end of ralliesthe hard part is predicting how many fucking tricks the fed is gonna pull out of its sleeve to try and control things, how many times they're gonna sike us out
A documentary of white excellence https://youtu.be/YtrVcOxVDls?si
how the fuck does ma ta shi ta get pronounced mata asta fucking mentally ill transliterators
>>62130960unless you're playing a longer game, i guess, then it's somewhat easier?fuck that though i'm broke
>>62130948JPow will prevent that on Wednesday. Combined with Iran's propaganda, we are taking down Donald Trump's influence on the markets.
>>62130973>JPowhe isnt your friendall you have to know
So what will happen with the oil shorts that us gov and jap gov made?
>>62130977oil is hitting 70s or maybe even 60s by june lol
>>62130637the most aquarian post i've ever read. hey babe, how's your night goin?
>>62130837if their realized volatility had been cheap for five previous days compared to those of in the money calls and those calls'd have been cheap maybe>>62130790>>62130492it's beyond over
>>62130496all of my suffering is because of the flesh
>>62130988fuck
what happen to swiftie?
>>62130992i saw him posting a couple days ago, he should still be alive
>>62130992blockaded by Iran
What dips are you buying on monday?
>>62130997>mondaybuying anything long after this rally before it cools down/gets a minor correction is flat out stupidmakes sense cause it is smg though
>>62130991that some trade desks would have bought options on opportunity costs on volatility alone would have been some use case to those trades. on occasion $abc puts at x dollars would have had volatility some $cde puts would also have had at eightypercentx dollars bots would have bought those latter puts automatically so retailers could have front run some otherwise "cheap" otm calls beforehand
>>62130994>should still be alivethat good?
>>62130973this is silly. waste of your time and brainpower. sad to see really. i love you and miss you, losing sight of why but i do. have a good night babygirl.
>>62130999I'm expecting the Iranian peace deal to fall through. I hope SOXL makes it to 100 thougheverbiet, that's my profit target. If so I score 10k. I need money. I want to start sugar dating.
>>62131000trips checked>>62131001perhaps
>>62131000if you have any recommended reading, i'd read iti'm going over what you wrote several times
>>62131007you just buy cheap otm calls or puts and pray to lord you coinflipped correct because volatility helps you beat out the theta boss
why this thread always so damn slow
>>62131027it was faster a few hours ago>>62131012that was my understanding more or less xdthe other guy said some shit out of my pay grade i wish i understood, hopefully i'm not missing anything
>>62130989almost all suffering>>62131007https://www2.oberlin.edu/physics/dstyer/StatMech/book.pdfdownload it and read chapter 4.9, summary of major ensembles at page 123 regardless of whether to have understood it or not. financial markets exist to extract "long term volatility" from the poor while the rich would have had to have sold "short term volatility" at cheap prices. that short term volatility could have made the poor rich is what financial markets try to suppress via the rich to have overbought or oversold intruments for example. those short term or long term volatility would have been cold or hot heat reservoirs which would have interacted via ensemble statistics. all financial markets are statistical physics. read at least that chapter
to have short interbank overnight rates would have been matters of style
>>62131035>overcomplicating not a single PM cares about these lol
>>62131035also how to have traded the vix 101https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Volatility_(finance)https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Option_on_realized_volatilityhttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Realized_variance
>>62131035fuck, i hate thermodynamics xDsounds like this might be the key though>download it and read chapter 4.9, summary of major ensembles at page 123 regardless of whether to have understood it or not.will do>financial markets exist to extract "long term volatility" from the poor while the rich would have had to have sold "short term volatility" at cheap prices. that short term volatility could have made the poor rich is what financial markets try to suppress via the rich to have overbought or oversold intruments for example. those short term or long term volatility would have been cold or hot heat reservoirs which would have interacted via ensemble statistics. all financial markets are statistical physics. read at least that chapterwilltyvm anon
>>62131041ty
>>62131035I desire the flesh and I want to be desired... Capitalism and technology has done wonders lifting millions out of poverty...but I fear this is an inequality that will never be erased.
>>62131039sure. go back to sleep>>62131042predictions on thermodynamics are actual iq filters
>>62131046you underestimated physics, chemistry and biology
>>62131059>ass droids
>>62131048need to learn it sooner or later i suppose
>>62131061how did you get those
>>62131061did you not see the vision though?
>>62131035>https://www2.oberlin.edu/physics/dstyer/StatMech/book.pdf>4.5>herd instinctBASED BASED BASED!>completely misunderstands the concept and application or mechanism of social contagion, the hard (original "gregarious" instinct)oh... gay!many STEMcels are embarrassing themselves like this!
>>62130866I suspect the crash will happen Wednesday or Thursday with the ceasefire ending and the bombings ramping back up. Then you'll get to read the cuckmarket headlines again. Traders retreat on fears of war lol bunch of chuds. I'm 100% convinced this war exists solely so faggot insider traders can profit off oil yoyoing. God I wish someone would fuck them over so hard they all ritualistically commit suicide like Epstein. I'm so sick of this fake and gay ass war and being forced to trade around it.
Gold/Silver mining stock bros over at /cmmg/ are becoming millionaires and yall are sitting here losing money.
>>62131071lol>>62131070:o
>>62131079oh really which tickers did they buy
>>62131071You have no idea when the short term crash will happen unless you work at JPMCThe pumping has nothing to do with peace or the lack of peace.
>>62131071>>62131083
>>62131070would npcs not have been predictable or predicted both in particular and general anyway? the masses would have had inertia in behavior for example
>>62131083basedased>>62131085she's reading right now
>>62131083The ceasefire is the only reason we stopped dumping. This war is the fakest and gayest bullshit I've seen in my entire life.
>>62131083>The pumping has nothing to do with peace or the lack of peace.fr?
>>62131087(sorry for multipost)
>>62131093
>>62130992found swiftie >>>/bant/24230132i think
Can the writers end the Iran war arc, it’s getting boring. Oh I know let’s prolong it by closing the strait again! Real compelling writing guys. We know you’re just trying to fill air time
I'm going to start investing...how should I start out? not an ideal time to start with al the crazy I know but I got to start somewhere
>>62131083Man I’m so glad you’re posting. The bull run is still on
>>62131082Snowline gold, or even if you're lazy buy the GDXJYou would have made a lot of money over the past 1.5 years and its going a lot higher
>>62131091The ceasefire has absolutely nothing to do with it.The changes in the SLR requirements which happened a day before is the cause.This effectively prints 2 trillion dollars conservatively and more likely 7 trillion dollars.It went into effect April 1.That is the cause of the pump,
>>62131101also in the US
>>62131108literal april fools prank?
>>62131108when you realize you're wrong and retarded you can remember I told you so. I don't even want to be right but the market literally moved on war hopes ending to the T.
>>62131108Until this money goes out into the wild and does its thing the short term pump will not end.And you cannot know where the banks are at in that process until either next earnings or unless you work there, and even then you'd only know your own banks situation.In addition to this the FED has been pumping to the tune of 300 billion, as has the FDIC and Fannie and Freddy for a few hundred more billion.There are other forces at work as well which I will not go into here.None of this will stop Mr. Bobo but as I have been telling you you should not be buying puts just yet.
>>62131035this is similar in spirit to how I model things, do you formalize any of this anywhere?
If the VIX is volatility based on a set of SPX options, could you theoretically arbitrage mispricings on volatility for the SPX constituents?
>>62131124yes, you can do it across the whole SPX complex and this is commonly done. vol surface arb
>>62131086can you reword your question plz?i do not understand what you're trying to ask me.
>>62131113the prank is that i can post about this every night and 95% of the retards in here don't understand middle school social studies concepts like what the fractional reserve system is or how it creates money.
>>62131100thanks
>>62131126I mean on the actual underlying constituents of the S&P, not options on the S&P. Shouldn't there be some relationship between the expected volatility of the underlying constituents and the volatility on the index they makeup?
bearish as deflationary?
>>62131130>>completely misunderstands the concept and application or mechanism of social contagion, the hard (original "gregarious" instinct)>oh... gay!wouldn't predictability in individual behavior in general have been gay as opposed to that example on changing names or how mass behavior would have had measures of when or under what constraints to have been predicted? for example how that "you will walk 29m tomorrow" to have been sixty percent accurate would have made the object of some such prediction gayer than to have issued how some "15% of market share would have had greater than five consumers would have bought x at some percentage chances"?>>62131108>>62131119yeah about that. something about those numbers would have yielded at least some borrowing volume thresholds or some quantity to have filed some short with. maybe. someway>>62131120somewhat, but it would take long to post on patebin or something. it was used on the brazilian b3 because price quotes have been public visticker,hist_ticker,statistic_mode,anchor_date,rms,cos,corr,lcs,n_trades,dedup_score,padded_rms,padded_corr,padded_score,hist_entry_price,hist_return,hist_days_held,lev_dist,mny_distWEGEO583,VALER321,cheap_grinder,2025-02-21,0.6768998990504878,0.8357871045623265,0.7709032633327199,7,21,5.846420714646776,0.6525482367191284,0.7870903993773782,0.1345421626582498,0.02,3.5,4,0.003979660433863403,0.09195827259753189from [....] df["realized_vol"] = (df["premax"] - df["premin"]) / df["close_price"] le_vix = ( df.groupby("date")["realized_vol"] .mean() .reset_index() .rename(columns={"realized_vol": "low_end_vix"}) ) return le_vixlater on realized vol would have been split into short term cheap vol, long term cheap vol and all combinatorics with intruments having been aggregates of each via parititon functions vis one stock would have had xyzw for short term or long term or cheap or expensive volatility and from then to ensembles
>>62131153## 2. Decomposition: where arbitrage entersIf you can even approximately decompose:* short-term variance contribution* medium-term variance contribution* long-term variance contribution* *and* coupling leakage between themthen you can detect situations where:> the index price reflects one mixture,> while the vix is already operating under another.
>>62131153The vix is the price people are paying for calls and puts on some SPX options. How does vix come into the picture here if you're trying to arb between SPX and constituents?But yeah I guess you could? You'd be taking the vol surface of the constituents, probably making your own projection of what it should look like under your model, and comparing to SPX current state?
>>62131167>You'd be taking the vol surface of the constituents, probably making your own projection of what it should look like under your model*composite projection
>>62131167>inb4 homeworkhttps://cdn.cboe.com/resources/indices/Cboe_Volatility_Index_Mathematics_Methodology.pdfhttps://www.spglobal.com/spdji/en/documents/research/research-reading-vix-does-vix-predict-future-volatility.pdf
>>62131160>“susceptibility” means “herd instinct”The analogy is bad even internally using the authors own poor understanding.If the goats run as a group and the cows refuse to do so as group, they are still in equal measure making decisions as a group.Herd instinct cuts both ways, it doesn't have anything to do with motion itself, but consistency of action among members.Inertia doesn't apply either. The herd instinct simply refers to the consistency among members of the the group, and how quickly consistency is achieved."Herding cats" is a popular colloquialism for example not because cats are slow or fast to react to a signal within a group, but because as solitary creatures they have no pre-programmed instinct to remain consistent in state with a group, so it is very difficult to get them all moving or stopped in one spot.
>>62131167specifically via how differences in expected long term volatility and short term volatility would have been priced different by indexes and their constituents. ticker abc could have had 20% iv for some time frame priced at 1 dollar while the same volatility could have been priced at 0.5 dollar for time frame plus something for example. that difference could have been paid for via >>62131041
>>62131176>groups are gayyessirski
>>62131059that'll probably happen long after I'm gone
>>62131137you have the same disease as penelope, which is also how i can tell you're a woman. you can't ever be wrong, and when you are wrong, you conjure an alternate reality where you're right and everyone else is wrong only some moronic/evil force is making it seem like you're wrong to everyone else, but only temporarily.... and on and on. grok what disease precisely is this?
>>62131186kys
>>62131120have funhttps://pastebin.com/Twnvcpp8
>>62131186in fact i am a giant man thoughbeit.and as of yet i have not been wrong.in spite of my bobopositing i have been consistent in saying we would see higher highs and not to shortRegardless, Mr bobo is coming.
there's nothing to argue anymore
>"Be greedy when Sunako Kirishiki tranny is fearful." - Warren Buffet
>>62130498just long AMCthank me l8r>and autoignore any tranny using smigger, dipshit
>>62131212He's our very own Jim Cramer
>>62131212The Celebration will begin once the liquidity I mentioned has been fully deployed.Tik tok Mr Mumu.
it's too late I'm already all in dividends
@groktell me best stocks!
Hi, I. Donald Trump and this.... IS JACKASS!!
>>62131228Ahaha okay loser so here are the best stocks uWu 1. Tesla2. Elbit Systems3. Raytheon Systems 3. Google 5. Facebook5. Microsoft There are 5 (five) w's in Microsoft. Mw(one)ikw(two)row(three)sow(four)ftw(five)
>>62131239>Facebooknice ticker boss haha
>U.S. intel estimates Iran still holds ~40% of its drone arsenal and over 60% of its missile launchers despite weeks of strikes.>That’s enough firepower to light up the Middle East all over again.uhm, we were told different
>>62130532Someone ought to inform the Chinese that they are part of this war, because they don't seem to be aware. The Chinese have had an arms embargo on Iran since the 1990s and there is no sign of them having ended it (despite various unreliable news outlets making unverifiable claims to the contrary)Trump having a public spat with the Pope because Trump wants to claim divine right and holy war doesn't mean there is a catholic vs jew and protestant war
>could've made money off of oracle and palantir but wasnt paying attention>could've made money off american and israeli defense companies before iran war but wasn't paying attention>could've made a shitton money off of covid but wasn't paying attention>could've made money off of nvidia and amd but wasn't paying attention>could have snapped up a cheap house during the recession but wasn't paying attentionAAAAAAAAH AAAAAAAAAHHAHAAHAAAAAA. God gives his most opportune world events to hs least intelligent investor
How the hell is MU still at late February, mid March post earnings level? I swear the entire market has pumped to shit meanwhile MU just keeps meandering around 430-450 for months (leaving aside geopolitical fuckery when the entire market took a dump).I honestly expected it'd break 500 by this point.
>>62131248>palantirthis has been shilled on this board since it was a single digit stock lol
>>62131248RTX and Lockheed Martin have gone down since the peak on March 2. The war has not been a great ad for their products
Pump and TrumpTrump and Dump
Posting google search trends as if they mean anything tangible to markets is the worst kind of autism, retarded.
There is a claim going around on social media that E-6 planes have been transmitting unusual long-wave radio messages. While idk about the veracity of this claim, if true I suppose it might mean that US submarines are being positioned to support planned attacks on ships carrying Iranian oil.
>>62131286OOOOOOOOO, I'm monitoooring the situation!!!https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2IsR06zf8nQ
>>62131280no there is signal in them, one of my favorite indicators is screaming buy still
Should be funny next week
>>62131292That's good alpha, unlike the doom posting anime gay ugly bear who smells awful and has no frens.
>>62131297>oooooooo, monitoooring intensifies!>I am not monitoring enough
>>62131248Yes anon, if you invested in companies whose stock went up you would've made money. Now stop being a retard and focus on the future and actually make money.
>>62131288>>62131307Just wanted to say how much I appreciate to your work.
I dont want to needlessly pump the obvious scam threads so I ask here but why does the mod-team here allow the sheer amount of xrp/chainlink/fotmcoin scam threads? They are all obviously created by indians and/or bots. I have been here for almost 12 months now and outside this general this board is basically unusable.
>>62131322and having fucking flags would been nice, this website is such piece of shit I'm about to quit
>bump limit reachedits over
BAKER WHERE'S THE BREAD MY KIDS ARE FUCKING STARVING OVER HERE
>>62131323>and having fucking flags would been niceagreedand range banning the 3rd world
>>62130552You are not very smart. Sorry man just have to be straight. Explaining how would take a lot of test/energy.
reminder next week will beTOTALMARKETANNIHILATIONact accordingly
>>62130594I believe macro induced head and shoulders are highly noisy
>>62131347I've heard that like.... couple weeks ago?
shut up and open the market
>>62131248you're missing gold minign stocvks mang
>Iran decided to fire bullets yesterday in the Strait of Hormuz — A Total Violation of our Ceasefire Agreement! Many of them were aimed at a French Ship, and a Freighter from the United Kingdom. That wasn’t nice, was it? My Representatives are going to Islamabad, Pakistan — They will be there tomorrow evening, for Negotiations. Iran recently announced that they were closing the Strait, which is strange, because our BLOCKADE has already closed it. They’re helping us without knowing, and they are the ones that lose with the closed passage, $500 Million Dollars a day! The United States loses nothing. In fact, many Ships are headed, right now, to the U.S., Texas, Louisiana, and Alaska, to load up, compliments of the IRGC, always wanting to be “the tough guy!” We’re offering a very fair and reasonable DEAL, and I hope they take it because, if they don’t, the United States is going to knock out every single Power Plant, and every single Bridge, in Iran. NO MORE MR. NICE GUY! They’ll come down fast, they’ll come down easy and, if they don’t take the DEAL, it will be my Honor to do what has to be done, which should have been done to Iran, by other Presidents, for the last 47 years. IT’S TIME FOR THE IRAN KILLING MACHINE TO END! President DONALD J. TRUMPBullish
>>62131387>pretty please accept my deal OR ELSEBearish, but the markets won't care.
>>62131354And that's when pms and crypto got annihilated
>>62131387>they violated the ceasfire, but we're still going to negotiate>they're blocking the strait, but we're already blocking, but by them blocking it they are losing money>i will commit le war crimeswho gives a shit at this point, bro is just yapping
>>62131387>They closed the strait >that I already closed >I want it to be closed >open it or I will bomb your infrastructure???????¿
>trump tard raging again
>>62131423this time he is really going to blow up bridges and power plants trust the plan1!!!111!!
>>62131423>Iran closes the strait because of blockade>Trump immediately announces negotiationsThey'll do anything to keep the markets from going down kek
I don’t give two fucks about oil unless it’s frying chickenif I see a dip I’m slurping QSR
Niggas finna find out international laws dont exist if we dont be enforcin em.
NEW>>62131444>>62131444>>62131444
>>62131186> you can't ever be wrong,Funny coming from a narcissist freak that thinks he always knows the best for everyone
>>62131344it wouldn't take that much energy, u just have to explain your understanding of LLMs and how it differsnot one person has done so when i bring this up
but you're right i'm not that smart, i was lucky to read about these things in 2021 before the hype/noise made everything retarded
>>62130933Awww... cant image edit? Kys ranjesh
