Reality TV host turned convicted felon Donald Trump's third presidential campaign is surrendering in Virginia, New Hampshire, and Minnesota, and focusing entirely on stopping the bleeding in states considered safe red pre-Trump like Georgia, Arizona, and North CarolinaThey're hoping this will lead to a less humiliating defeat than the one Trump, the first incumbent to lose his reelection bid in 28 years, suffered in 2020 to Joe Bidenhttps://www.theguardian.com/us-news/article/2024/sep/05/trump-swing-state-harrisDonald Trump has quietly wound down his presidential campaign in states he was targeting just six weeks ago amid polling evidence showing that Kamala Harris’s entry into the presidential race has put them out of reach and narrowed his path to the White House.The Republican presidential nominee’s campaign has diverted resources away from Minnesota, Virginia and New Hampshire – states Trump was boasting he could win while Joe Biden was the Democratic candidate – to focus instead on a small number of battleground states.Money is being poured into the three “blue wall” states of Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin, which were all carried by Biden in 2020 and are seen as vital to the outcome of November’s election.Special attention is being paid to Pennsylvania, which has 19 electoral college votes, and where a new CNN poll shows Trump and Harris tied at 47% each.Resources have also been transferred to southern and south-western Sun belt states – namely North Carolina, Georgia Nevada and Arizona – where Trump previously had healthy leads over Biden that have been whittled away since Harris replaced the US president at the top of the Democratic ticket.Maga Inc, a Trump-supporting Super Pac, has recently spent $16m in adverts in North Carolina as polls have shown Harris close to drawing even in a state the Democrats carried just once in presidential elections since 1980.
The tactical shift is a graphic sign of how the dynamics of the electoral contest have shifted since the Republican national convention in July, when euphoric Trump campaigners talked confidently of winning Minnesota, Virginia and New Hampshire.Democrats have carried all three in recent presidential polls but Biden’s support showed signs of serious erosion following June’s calamitous debate performance in Atlanta – prompting bullish Republican forecasts that they would be “in play” in November.An internal Trump campaign memo even before the debate posited ways that the former president could carry Minnesota and Virginia – partly helped by the presence of the independent candidate Robert F Kennedy Jr, whose campaign was initially thought to pose a greater threat to Biden before contrary polling evidence changed Trump’s calculus.As optimism surged, Trump and his running mate, JD Vance, held a rally in Minnesota shortly after the Republican convention, while the campaign said it planned to open eight offices in the state and build up staff.Since then, Harris replaced Biden and chose the Minnesota governor, Tim Walz, as her running mate – helping her to shore up local support – while Kennedy has suspended his campaign and endorsed Trump.Harris’s ascent has also infused the Democrats’ supporters with fresh enthusiasm, leading to a surge in popularity that has propelled her into a small but consistent national poll lead and a fundraising bonanza that saw her campaign raise $540m in August alone.
The predicted rash of new Trump offices and hires in Minnesota appears not to have happened, Axios reported.In Virginia – the site of Vance’s first solo rally after being appointed to the ticket – Trump has not staged a rally for six weeks and the campaign has stopped citing memos claiming it can flip the state. Its apparent slide down the priority list is a far cry from 28 June, when the former president staged a rally in Chesapeake a day after his ultimately race-changing debate with Biden.The clearest evidence of the switch in campaign’s thinking has come in New Hampshire, which a former Trump field worker said this week that it was no longer trying to win.Trump has not appeared there since winning the Republican primary in January and has not sent a major surrogate since the spring, despite New Hampshire being identified by Michael Whatley, chair of the Republican National Committee, after the June debate as one of the states the Trump campaign was targeting to expand its electoral wining map.Recent polls have shown Harris leading outside the margin of error.“This election is going to be won in those seven swing states,” Lou Gargiulo, the co-chair of Trump’s campaign in New Hampshire, told Politico. “That’s where the effort’s got to be put.”
Don’t care still voting Trump
>>1338903If only you were american
>>1338896I'M OUTRAGED!!1 HE OUGHT TO APOLOGIZE!!11
Didn't they also fire their head of election in New Hampshire because he said Trump was going to lose the state since he wasn't putting any resources into it?
>>1338913https://www.nj.com/news/2024/09/did-trump-just-fire-a-campaign-worker-for-telling-the-awful-truth.html
The past several elections I could call beforehand pretty easily. It was obvious Obama would win in 2008 and 2012. I thought Trump would win in 2016 because Clinton was such a dogshit candidate and Trump at least had a slight populist factor. I knew Biden would win in 2020 since Trump botched the handling of Covid so badly. But this election? I have absolutely no idea of who is going to win. I could easily see it going either way. Trump has the advantage of having a religious base of supporters who basically worship him but he’s also one of the most hated people in America to everybody else and that will motivate people to show up just to vote against him. 2024 is a coin flip between Kamala and Trump.
>it was easy to call Starmergeddon on 4th July: because of Labor being 20 points ahead of Conservatives in polls way before then>Harris vs. TrumpIt's easy to call that:>>1338859Eight reasons why the Democrats will win. Republicans will have to flip off an orange dodo on 6th November. 'MAGA' will be dead then. Good.
>>1338906You don’t need to be American to vote in American elections.
>>1338896Isn’t New Hampshire considered one of the freest most constititionally based state in the country?
>>1339114This is wrong and based on clickbait headlines about migrants voting in local elections.
>>1338896>Reality TV host turned convicted felon Donald Trump's third presidential campaign is surrendering in Virginia, New Hampshire, and Minnesota, and focusing entirely on stopping the bleeding in states considered safe red pre-Trump like Georgia, Arizona, and North CarolinaIs this bait? How bad are things going for Kamala that VIRGINIA and NEW HAMPSHIRE and MINNESOTA are considered swing states. Fact is Kamala is campaigning in those states now, which shows she is in serious trouble. FYI>last time a Republican won Virginia: 2004 (Bush)>last time a Republican won New Hampshire: 2000 (Bush)>last time a Republican won Minnesota: 1972!!! (Nixon)
>>1339170>How bad are things going for KamalaBad enough that they're running election propaganda from British tabloid news and trying to reinvent the "Muh Russia" conspiracy againThis upcoming debate is going to sink Kamala's campaign like it did with Joe's and they know it.
>>1339123I’m voting multiple times for Trump and you’ll do nothing.
>>1339170>>1339175>>1339186TIDF is here
>>1339188TDSS is here
>>1339188>TIDF is hereI mean, sure you can cope. But the OP story is quite telling. None of those states have been swing states in 20 years, and Minnesota has been a solidly blue state since the 1970's. The fact that the race is so close in all three suggests that Kamala is in deep, deep trouble. FYI she campaigned in New Hampshire yesterday (I believe).
>>1339192>deep blue states are now sing states>here why this is a good thing
>>1339193Yeah, its a good thing for Trump. Although it doesn't matter as his campaign wont waste time or money trying to win them. Virginia may flip by itself but the other two are going blue.
>Virginia may flip by itself but the other two are going blue.And if they don't?
>>1339193also although I said here >>1339195 it doesnt matter as Trump wont waste time/money on those states. It does matter for Kamala as she does have to spend time/money on those states to defend them even though the Trump campaign isnt attacking there. She wont have to spend much but a day campaigning in New Hampshire has the opportunity cost of her not spending that day campaigning in PA. Campaigns be weird like that.
>>1339198See for yourself https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/president/create_your_own_president_map.html
>>1339202>literally "create your own map"Ahhh, I see. Delulu land.
>>1339203>What happens if those states flip>Here is a map where you can see the effect on the race to 270>[mindless insult]
>>1339205>a literal customizable election map that you can make say anything you want is proof of my claims>if you point this out I'll just claim it's a mindless insult and go back to making up other thingsOkay
>>1339037I could easily see it going either way. Trump has the advantage of having a religious base of supporters who basically worship him but he’s also one of the most hated people in America to everybody else and that will motivate people to show up just to vote against him. 2024 is a coin flip between Kamala and Trump.None of that matters. If Israel wants Trump in they will get Trump. If they want Kamala, she will win. Personally I suspect they will choose Trump and crash the economy quickly so they can get on with a new cycle.
>>1339224You asked what the effect of those states flipping would be. I provided a tool for you to see for yourself. You're now throwing your toys out the cot for reasons that I cannot understand. >>1339225>Trump has the advantage of having a religious base of supporters who basically worship himThis is such a mindless cope.
>>1339231>I provided a tool for you to see for yourself. You provided a "build you own adventure" map and got mad when no one wanted you continue your "adventure" into delulu land.>You're now throwing your toys out the cot for reasons that I cannot understand. Because you're a simpleton who confuses idioms for intelligence and "create your own map" tools as objective information.>This is such a mindless cope.You're right, DNC supporters are far more volatile and fanatic
>>1339241>You're right, DNC supporters are far more volatile and fanaticSo when Trump loses to them you're not going to be here crying about it, right?
