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/pol/ - Politically Incorrect


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This is the easiest short in the history of markets. Absolutely nothing fundamental supports these prices. Real estate is collapsing, personal debt is record high, young people are poor, AI is a meme. etc. this market will easily see a 20% correction within 2 years.

My advice, gamble and put your life savings into leap puts on egregiously greedy outliers and indexs(QQQ..etc).

You’re welcome. Spend it wisely. The next collapse won’t be a meme.
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>>472790970
The market can stay irrational longer than you can remain solvent..(?)
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>>472793935
Theta decay is no fun. Why not trade instead?
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>>472794047
>Theta decay
>no fun
Well, depends on whether you're buying or selling that put...
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>>472790970
Stocks are no longer correlated with the actual value of companies. Inflation is so high that money is dumped into assets just so it doesn't lose its value.
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>RSI 71
>Tonguing the upper Bollie band
>Just YOLO all your money, bro
Please do not listen to OP's advice.
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>>472790970
Capitalism is a jewish pyramid scheme which runs on perpetual geometric expansion of the fiat money supply and inevitably periodically fails through either hyperinflation or massive depression and cancellation of large swaths of the fiat money supply, where the working class have their savings cancelled in bank "failures" or "bail-ins", like what happened during the Cyprus banking crisis.
Capitalism cannot afford to purchase its own aggregate internal production at a price which it is profitable to produce that output at, unless the money needed to make up the difference is constantly being introduced into the system, such as by creating fiat money (or more fiat money than is already in existence) or allowing counterfeiting or debasing of sound money such as silver coins, such as by reducing the purity or the weight of the coins.
However, the money creation needs to be continuous to enable continued capitalist production.
And because of the law of diminishing returns, the rate at which new money is created needs to accelerate over time (the money supply growth needs to be geometric). Otherwise, the rate of expansion of the money supply gradually approaches 0% of the already existing money supply over time, as the money supply grows.
For example expanding the money supply from $10 trillion to $11 trillion within a year is a yearly growth of 10%. But expanding it further, from $11 trillion to $12 trillion in the subsequent year is only a growth of 9.(09)%. For the money supply to grow another 10% in the second year, it needs to grow from $11 trillion to $12.1 trillion rather than just $12 trillion.
GDP is not economic activity but the estimated and imputed rate of exchange of money per year.
Inflation, including due to scarcity, inflates the GDP, deflation, including due to abundance, deflates the GDP.
Fiat money is not wealth but merely claims on wealth.
Wealth is what you spend fiat money on, not fiat money itself.
Capitalism is not a closed loop system.
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It, but call spreads in the VIX if it's $5 wide then you know the max payout is 5. So set a gtc order at 4.40 or something.
Ex: Wait until the VIX is around 12 and buy a 21/26 call spread, 6-9 months out. Create a gtc order at 4-4.50.
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>>472794230
It's okay, I don't have money to YOLO anyway
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>>472790970
>Absolutely nothing fundamental supports
Reality is completely detached from fundamentals, if you are trusting them to hold true you are a fool
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>>472790970
>Created illusion can't keep being an illusion
Nigga wut? The entire system of Fiat is an illusion dependent on believers.
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>>472790970
The financialjews have managed to create a post-capitalist economy where things like revenue and P/e ratio don't matter.
Stock prices today are based on speculation and how much the company supports wokeness and judeo-globohomo.
Even if the people who manage the investments made by the large institutional investors who drive the market think all of the woke DEI stuff is bullshit, it doesn't matter. They know that the other investors will invest in a company whose ESG score improves, so they do it too because they have a fiduciary duty to try to invest in things whose value is going to increase. And when everyone is buying shares of the woke ESG company, the value goes up, confirming that ESG increasing equals stock price increasing.
There is also speculation involved with things like people thinking that companies like Nvidia or Tesla will eventually become the top company in some huge, extremely lucrative field. So they price them as if they already are that huge, top company and the valuation increase gets baked into the price today. But if that company does gradually start to become that huge behemoth company, why would the price continue to rocket up? That future valuation is already baked in.
Also, inflation. Dollars are worth less so everything else costs more dollars to buy, including shares of companies. A lot of the "growth" recently is really just the effects of inflation. It's not any different than charting the price of Big Macs over time and seeing the line constantly going up.
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>>472794047
>Theta decay is no fun.
It's all gambling, but making money from theta decay means you are playing as the house.
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>>472790970
bump



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