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/pol/ - Politically Incorrect


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It's over. The keys failed him and now he is abandoning the internet.

https://x.com/AllanLichtman/status/1859086736145740085
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>>489001527
TWITTER NO AAAAAAAAAAHHHHHHHHHHHHH
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>>489001527
Who is this faggot?
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>>489001527
>Lost his keys to Twitter
Faggot
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>>489001537
You know this is fake, right?
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>>489001527
Welp guess I'm officially done with X now
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>>489001680
bullshit
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locked
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>>489001527
>>489001537
You fool...he's jumping away to reforge his keys
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>>489001680
What do you mean?
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>>489001527
the biggest irony about this retarded faggot is that his keys were completely correct, just he personally was wrong because he's a biased retard nigger in a bubble worldview, and probably too old to actually see the bigger picture because much of it can't be accessed from his gay faggot nigger television
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>>489001707
>>489001747
It's clearly some kind of AI or video editing.
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>>489001946
It's not the keys turned on him and defeated him
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>>489001727
They key master has retreated to the workshop to recraft his keyforge..............a storm is brewing..............
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>>489001527
lmao what a cuck
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>>489001527
Musk can't stop winning.
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>>489001823
Anything subjective which the keys are, are never a good system.
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>>489002691
he even got actually objective things wrong when applying his own use of his keys tho

he's a dumbfuck TDSfag
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>>489001527
>(((Bluesky))) is where the creepy trannys are migrating to
kek
>Twitter is shit too
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>>489002980
Yup Bluesky is the worst
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>>489001527
>MSM going bankrupt
>leftards are banning themselves from the mainstream platforms
Complete and utterly dismantled.
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>>489001823
Everyone kept saying this leading up to the election but it's not true. He only definetly misassigned one of the keys, military or foreign success. He also could have gotten away with assigning differently or choosing to leave unassigned the key about primary contest for the incumbent party due to the unique circumstances of Biden dropping out.

But even if you switch these two keys then the model still would have predicted a Kamala win because the model is shit.
People say that the economic keys should have been given to Trump. No shit. But the model uses the metric of short and long term GDP growth, and using those metrics the keys go to Kamala. People say he should have given the hero/charisma key to Trump, and the scandal key should have been a fail for the Biden admin. But the model uses a fairly strict critera of bipartisan acknowledgement for these keys to be assigned as true.

If you start messing with the model to better reflect reality in 2024, then it is no longer the same model. It wouldn't have it's claim to fame of retroactive predictive success anymore. You'd have to go back and reapply the model to all past election to see if it still had predictive power overtime, and almost certainly it wouldn't anymore. It was originally tuned using historical information and data to be as accurate as possible.

So yeah Lichtman was bias this time round, but even if you remove his bias this election still proves that the model does not have reliable predictive power. It is still useful to think about the issues the model raises, but the whole theory behind the model, that the American electorate does not respond to political campaigning and that an election result is determined by the context and performance of the incumbent administration, is bunk. Elections have always been more complex and dynamic than Lichtman claims.
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>>489001527
every couple of months libs try to astroturf an alternative to X but then they remember that they haven't successfully managed to astroturf anything at all since Elon took over X
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>>489002980
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>>489003636
Bluesky is trash agreed
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Nobody is there. Its another cardboard cut out that just suddenly appeared. People are done with new SM.
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>>489001537
Very lynchian
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>>489001680
I asked my dad and he says it's real
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>>489001527
>abandoning the internet.
>moving to Bluesky
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>>489001527
We're watching the 4Chan effect in real time. They can't handle open debate and so are fleeing to a new venue they hope will censor dissenters.
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>>489001680
Excuse me, Sir. I was there when this happened.
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>>489001527
I deleted my X account yesterday. There is only neanderthalers left on X, it's really terrible, so agressive and dumb, especially dumb, very very dumb. Sad
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>>489004962
Come on, X is a shithole currently, and it will never recover.
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>>489001527
This man is an absolute lolcow.
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>>489001527
Maybe he was right and they rigged the election for TRump? How come trumpsters were constantly saying they witnesses ballots fraud but once Trump won they went silent?
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>>489001527
To be fair, you have to be certified retard to be on twitter in the first place.
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>>489001527
>getting bullied off twitter
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>>489001680



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