nfl week 2 picks

packers (lol u bet commies)

cowboys
jets +
browns +
rasm
jags +
browns +
niners
steelers

pats
cards
colts
eagles
falcons

bucs
raiders

Report

>>150739207
who's this HWD whore?

File: nd676AiJ_400x400.png (39 KB, 400x400)

39 KB PNG

The winning edge come to this.

>>150739230
the second browns should be bears+. disrespectful to browns theyre the better team

>>150739253
Jordan Carver

got my first slip ready for europa league. the matches are few weeks away

You guys are not seriously posting itt

If i'm bullied off the board it could happen to anybody

>>150739440
your post had zero replies so i posted here.

benifac and marseille ml

did my first europa league slip. only playing 1€ wager per slip since im tweaking my system.

if anything hits i might increase the wager with the winnings. last season had 0 hits.

arminia and magdeburg slurping

>>150671058
>>150699043
Tjen with the convincing 2-0 against Eala. Started down a few games but then took control of the match. Complete domination in the second set. Not sure if anybody pays attention to my ramblings about futures here but it's looking very good. Don't want to jinx it too hard but if she keeps playing like this the tournament win seems likely. Will probably double down and take her to beat Haddad Maia in the final if we get that matchup.

Also going for Stakusic to win a set against Ostapenko @1.9 since I don't think that Ostapenko has fully recovered from the US Open yet.

File: 1748806079063691.webm (2.51 MB, 614x450)

2.51 MB WEBM

ahem, let me gather myself

booba

canelo by u dec

>>150740584
Stakusic wins the first set 6-4. Ostapenko couldn't get anything going in the return games. Not sure she's going to find proper form again in these next few tournaments.

is there a more pecho frio team than benfica?

fuck waalwijk

germany was diving all game in eurobsket. they got like 30 free throws.

their big player is a diving rat. tempted to bet on many free throws for germany in their next game.

didnt find an way to bet on free throws though.

>>150742286
getting outplayed by 10 man santa clara

>>150739207
I agree this is much better, I like the aryan babe with big fat titties. That Romanian anon sucks a big fat cock
No Romanians should be allowed to post /bet/ threads

>>150741492
Not that it matters for the bet but Stakusic won the match 2-1. Ostapenko pretty much capitulated in the third set. Will try to keep fading her if she keeps playing like this.

One more play for tonight: Lehecka to beat Tiafoe @1.65 in the Davis Cup. Not 100% sure but think Tiafoe might still be suffering from some kind of back injury.

>>150742961
I hate them. I absolutely despise this team. Pure trash.

giving up a goal to 10 ten men in extra time. benfica is a bum squad. they always do this.

>>150743303
plus some players are "tired" after the "international break".

>>150743049
Who the fuck are you lol. You talk like a cuck gtfo

>>150740584
Haddad Maia actually lost to Zarazua which is even better for Tjen. Jones in the semi-final and then probably Zarazua in the final should be very doable.

Is bet365 glitching for anybody else lately? I sometimes check it just to see draws and odds and whatnot but lately I keep getting a blank screen when I try to go into specific sections or events. Probably just an error on my part but wondering if anybody else has noticed anything.

File: 9nc6jx[1].jpg (12 KB, 250x226)

12 KB JPG

>Jordan Carver
Patiently awaiting for her clone to come into my life.

File: via-s-2024.jpg (202 KB, 1280x720)

202 KB JPG

Australian thoroughbred racing multi
Kembla Grange R5) 6. Super Sugoi
Doomben R8) 1. Ducasse
Flemington R8) 5. Via Sistina
Should get 25-1 about it

Didn't want to go for another pick today but Stakusic spent a lot of time on court today and just finished playing 3 sets. Has to play against Arango now. Match should start very soon. Taking Arango to beat Stakusic @1.6 since Arango's level has been insane this tournament.

>>150743217
Tiafoe is getting destroyed. Quick 2-0 for Lehecka.

>>150739207
Square jaw, bleh!

>>150745225
>looking at the jaw

arsenal + ajax + porto moneyline @ 2.02

Dont bet any of these, very close games in j3, I did an hour research last night and want to compare with the eventual results if Id be in profit single betting them.

Sagamihara @2.55, Yamaga@1.88, Fukushima@2.48, draw in Nara- Kagoshima@3.50 (possibly 1-1?)

>>150748601
Sounds good

File: angelacupcake.jpg (189 KB, 900x1200)

189 KB JPG

>>150739207
I'm just here to say that I love big naturals and I want them in my mouth.

File: Screenshot_2025-09-13-11-(...).jpg (76 KB, 1079x305)

76 KB JPG

Buddy of mine who's a pro player specialized on shady leagues. We chat this morning and asked for a lock. He said Corvinul for tomorrow

>>150750465
>liga 2
>shady
Do you think the goyim are this stupid?
I hope you both lose and go broke

File: LYO82Y3.jpg (72 KB, 708x762)

72 KB JPG

>>150748601
>Arsenal

Worst feeling in the world is when you have a bet on in some obscure game in Guatemala or somewhere, you see a goal has been scored, but it gets disallowed. It happens so often bros. Why am I so unlucky :/

>>150751076
I have a feeling you're the bum who bet on Simion and you're still mad about it. Stfu and never reply to me again

>>150744272
Didn't watch anything but Arango won 2-0 and the scoreline wasn't even close. Yesterday went pretty well. 3 wins and one loss. Only De Jong lost. Stakusic, Lehecka and Arango worked out perfectly.

Going for Arango to beat Jacquemot @2.4 tonight. Maybe I'm overlooking something but don't really get why Jacquemot is this much of a favourite. She's a moonballer who's been getting lucky against older players who ran out of steam.

File: 16ebcd8d16b3458272b7cc702(...).gif (817 KB, 400x396)

817 KB GIF

>>150751895

Dawgs -4 or tt 27.5? or both?

>>150739253
Hope Solo. She has nudes.

>>150745391
>pleb perspective
Now I know how some men are so easily tricked by transexuals, geez

>>150739207
цици

Tjen with another convincing 2-0 against Jones. If she ends up losing the final now after dominating all week I'll be pretty pissed off.

Also going for Lehecka to win a set against Fritz @1.75 in the Davis Cup.

need a volendam goal but they look awful

>>150753370
Just so you know, because of you, because you insulted, i havent posted my friend's picks on the Championship. He had double chance Leicester.

100& never ever betting on soccer again. they absolutely cannot ever score or hold a lead. they just can't do it.

>>150758986
Lmao playing the victim
You are a pathetic whining pussy beta cuck

>>150752036
Arango with another 2-0 win. Not a super convincing win but still didn't lose a set. Hasn't actually lost one all tournament so far. Assuming that Jovic makes the final I'll definitely take Arango at plus odds to beat her.

>>150758818
Lehecka wins the first set 6-4 so that's another win. 2 out of 2 today.

Picks for tomorrow:

Zakharova to beat Seidel @1.85 in Seoul

Waltert to beat Juvan @2.5 in the Ljubljana final

Obviously waiting for the Jovic match to finish too so I can go for Arango. Tjen future looks like it should be hitting as well. Don't think she's losing the final at this point. Wasn't even Zarazua who made the final but Rakotomanga Rajaonah instead which is even better. What a name.

>>150740710
Lol

liverpool + buffalo bills + baltimore ravens @ 2.05

File: IMG_8420.png (545 KB, 1284x3018)

545 KB PNG

Bet 1

File: IMG_8421.png (539 KB, 1284x2809)

539 KB PNG

Bet 2

>>150770115
Zakharova lost 2-1 and Waltert lost 2-0. Was due for some misses I suppose.

Going for Arango to beat Jovic @2.5 in the Guadalajara final.

>>150779934
Ravens r losing

>>150782250
Bills and Josh Allen look solid

>>150784626
>gets sacked

Special teams/defensive td in the eagles chiefs game @3.60, mahomes is getting picked again today

anyone like BTTS in milan-bologna? if this was last year i probably would have taken it already. not sure early on.

>>150739253
>>150739322
Boring ass chick who never showed the nips on her massive fakers.

Rip bengals superbowl bettors

>>150790722
VAR'd already

haaa fuck the giants AHHHHHHH

>>150797872
WHAT THE FUCK I CASHED OUT. NOOOOO

File: chrome_screenshot_14 de s(...).png (2.11 MB, 1080x7796)

2.11 MB PNG

Crazy day

Btw betting eagles and hurts td

File: Screen.png (78 KB, 750x349)

78 KB PNG

Life is simply unfair

>>150770115
Haven't been this disappointed with a loss in a longer while. Tjen played like absolute shit and lost 2-0 in the final. Really didn't see this coming with how much she dominated all week. Was a @1.2 favourite and thought she had this. Didn't get anything going all match and lost every second serve and break point. Terrible effort. Sorry for peddling the Tjen future all week just for it to lose this miserably in the end but I still think it was a good shout given how far Tjen made it in comparisons to other favourites. Then again I don't think anybody pays attention anyway just like how nobody paid attention to my Mboko shouts during Montreal. Definitely going to highly consider hedging futures if the player I need to win is a clear favourite in the final. Lesson learned.

Hoping that at least Arango can do something today.

>>150799595

More than I've won today. Ha.

>>150739207
Anyone else have dreams of just betting it all but they are middle class and would be crushed if they lost?

Fuck my life I was <this> close to doing 4100$ life savings on Tennessee to miss the field goal, then Georgia winning in overtime to make 33000$. I just knew if they hit the FG that would have ruined my life...sigh. I just have this evil wicked side of me that just wants to do it some day just put my entire lifes savings on something great.

To be honest maybe 4100$ is more like poor bitch but you know what I mean, I got investments too.

>>150775331
>>150751076
I lost everything on wcsb if it makes you feel any better.

My friend, the pro, lost 1 unit on fcsb as well. But he's still up 32.000 ron for the weekend. Also his wife gave birth to their second child, AND his 98 y.o grandma, who everyone thought was dead, woke up in the coffin hours before the burial.

>>150800258
There is no such thing as thoughts, only action, in betting. If you can handle some truth

JK Dobbins useless ass sealed my fate for today with those awful goal line carries. Marv Jr. could have saved me but he wasted the one target he was going to get in the endzone already.

>>150800528
what do you care?

File: 1737406619760.png (194 KB, 584x520)

194 KB PNG

>>150739207
I want to fuck her tits.

>this schizo twain samefaggin
The hell its his problem?

>>150799805
Arango seems to be sick. Has some kind of stomach issue and cramps or something. Clearly in pain. Great stuff. Really hope she retires soon. Been bad enough of a day already.

>>150801919
Literally puking in the middle of the match. Going to have an aneurysm if she plays it out. But she probably will because it's the final. Bullshit. Clearly sick and not fit to play.

took O2.75 in some MLS prospect league. we got 1 own goal scored by the team with the negative goal diff. and the better, home side has been playing a man up since the 35 minute of the 1H and haven't fucking scored.

>>150802512
Of course she didn't retire. Sick as shit and could barely stand on court but just had to play it out. Haven't had that happen in a while so was obviously due. Was also due in general for a really shitty day because last week went relatively well aside from today. Realistically shouldn't be too upset because Arango has been a real money maker all week and I genuinely think she had a good shot at winning today if she hadn't been sick. There are just few things I hate more than when a player I'm on refuses to retire even if they clearly can't continue with proper play. Sorry for crying so much in here. Not going for anything tomorrow. There's some stuff that looks interesting on Tuesday but I'll shup up for now and maybe post something tomorrow.

>>150802869
honestly the worst performance i've ever seen

>>150798524
Another w for the biggest retard in the thread
To finish off small bet on Vikings and over

>>150804562
Good thing it was a small bet
The jews really targeted my bet

File: IMG_5165.jpg (9 KB, 187x220)

9 KB JPG

>>150809497
>he bet the favourite and the over
>in Primetime
flag checks out

>>150809694
The over would be a hit if the vikings want so fucking gay,but then again they would win too

>>150809958
Wasnt*
Time to sleep

Broncos are going to start 1-4

jj mccarthy under 29ish passing attempts is practically free money. if they dont adjust the line down quite a bit, look for it again next week.

>>150810107
hes so bad

Chargers @ Raiders? Who you got?

>>150810403
Raiders

I have chargers losing next two to the raiders and broncos. The raiders win the next two against chargers and commies. The chiefs lose against giants and the ravens. The broncos win against the chargers and the bengals.

File: Screenshot_20250915_091404.jpg (87 KB, 1080x442)

87 KB JPG

not enough slips in these threads lately

free roll update: jihad edition
>fanduel
absolutely the best for sports and casino. multiple straight boosts every week. casino rewards easily pay for themselves. only thing i dont understand is why all the other books are such stingy bastards
>draftkings
value has picked up signifigantly with the return of football. more straight boosts. more 10 and 20 max bets. casino deposit credits and some free play. free pools generate a few bucks a month.
>ESPN
weak sports promos and inconsistent but $50 bet max makes up for it. casino promos are also inconsistent but sometimes fantastic value
>MGM
great sports promos but quick to restrict. but they arent total cunts about it like other books. still get some decent promos and consistently profit in the casino even with their 5-10x playthroughs
>caesars
theyve been getting a little more generous with promos lately but still the stingiest book. odds suck for most in game markets but can find good pricing on the main lines. casino playthrough is almost impossible.
>bet365
restricted me last week and now they suck because they are pussies and turned off all the promos. great book if you can stay in good standing. but their NCAAF btts markets are still broken so I will still make a couple bucks a week even with their gay ass stakes restrictions.
>Fliff
still give $1 a day and can spin that up to the $50 minimum withdraw once or twice a month.
>Fanatics
great promotions but they restrict players so severely its hard to utilize for free rolling. if youre just starting out you can easily generate a few hundred to get the roll going.
>Ballys
casino only in my state but sportsbook is coming and should be great value. casino promos are pretty reasonable with lots of 1x playthroughs and free game for $1-2 per week.

i can taste the key lime pie already

>Ctr+F “mug” – 0 results found
>Ctr+F “slug” – 0 results found
>Ctr+F “shrewdie” – 0 results found
>Ctr+F “tears” – 0 results found

Give it up lads, /bet/ is dead all the shrewdies left and you are here making mainstream accas that are so muggy the bookies are laughing at you.

>>150814269
Yeah a lot of people left after the website was hacked. Honestly /bet/ /fit/ and /co/ are the only boards I frequent.

>>150814269
It would help if the people who come here to only complain about the state of the thread ever actually bothered to post something useful beyond complaining.

what do you guys do about the taxes
i've had a great year betting but i'm terrified about the IRS, I read any time you win over $500 in a year Draftkings sends a w2 to the government
and not only that, they tax you on your winnings, not your net profit, so you're just fucked solid because tax law hasn't caught up with how popular this is

>>150816783
The best way to not pay taxes on gambling winnings that I have found is to not live in the USA.

>>150816783
i dont win enough to get reported

Knew city and psg wouldnt let me down
Im thinking of going for real madrid tomorrow, but depends heavily on the lineup

>>150816783
you can deduct losses. you need to document all your winnings and losses. there are several ways to do this, but you lose a lot of cash at the physical casino and dont use their rewards progams so the IRS will have no choice but to accept your diary.
>You must keep an accurate diary or similar record of your losses and winnings.
>Your diary should contain at least the following information.
>The date and type of your specific wager or wagering activity.
The name and address or location of the gambling establishment.
The names of other persons present with you at the gambling establishment.
The amount(s) you won or lost.
In addition to your diary, you should also have other documentation. You can generally prove your winnings and losses through Form W-2G, Certain Gambling Winnings; Form 5754, Statement by Person(s) Receiving Gambling Winnings; wagering tickets; canceled checks; substitute checks; credit records; bank withdrawals; and statements of actual winnings or payment slips provided to you by the gambling establishment.
>This information is found in Publication 529, Miscellaneous Deductions.

File: 1752787773283811.png (56 KB, 600x600)

56 KB PNG

Best way to win in UCL week is not to bet.
Save it for the league matches on the weekend

>>150803110
Going for Back to win set against Haddad Maia @2.7 in Seoul tomorrow. Surely this will work out better than all the Sunday picks.

>>150810403
Chargers and Texans

>Rachaad White completely taking over the drive when I needed Bucky to finally do something

It's over

gayfield isnt getting to 200 passing yards... why didnt i just take the bucs moneyline.

>>150819593
big /bet/ tip for nfl.
fade this brazilians picks. if hes picked ur picks u fucked up and need to go hedge

>>150822237
Go all in on the raiders then
And post the bet here

>>150821777

Wow, that went 10x worse than I could have ever imagined.

cashed out a +odds bet early to break even that ended up winning again i cant bet on games im going to watch

I'm $400 down

>give zoomer brother sharp tips
>batches everything in parlays then calls my tips shit because I go 3-1 with +220 and +125 wins in there and loses money off it somehow
why can't any legal newfag gambler make a normal bet?

>>150825220
Everyone wants a home run

>>150825220
Winning 1 underdog by luck (or rig) its the same as winning 2 with favourites by being rational
So if you pick two favorites to win and making a parley its better than betting on 1 underdog

File: 1748167601937320.jpg (91 KB, 1080x941)

91 KB JPG

I keep losing props to dumb bullshit. The chargers apparently drafted a bust that lets fucking Nnaje Harris steal his touches and Geno couldn't stop being retarded long enough to kill the clock

>>150826533
props are bad unless you /know/ they are hitting

>>150739207
are those the superbowl trophies?

jayden daniels is hurt. raiders win next week. the line went from +220 to +150

carson wentz is starting for the vikings against the bengals. the vikings are missing a shit ton of pieces including the starting center. take the over because wentz is going to throw dragons to jj all game. i can see either team winning.

rams offense is going to put up numbers on the eagles defense. take them to cover or if u have balls straight up.

aaron rodgers hurt his wrist against the seahawks. take the pats and the under.

cardinals will take care of business against the hobbled niners. +105

broncos are going to stampede through the chargers defense after their riggi loss take the ML +120

chiefs humiliation ritual continues with russlel wilson beating them on sunday night football +210

and the most bizarre line of all. cowboys +100 at bears. bears are so fucking shit that the only way dem boyz lose is if they riggi this and after that offensive explosion last week + the bears injuries not sure how +100 is the line here.

put a 1000 dollars on the colts to win the superbowl and then get ready to venmo me your tithe in february

>>150818851
Play was cancelled today due to rain. Looks like I'll have to wait until tomorrow for Back to lose in a quick 2-0.

>>150823929
Put 100 on Dortmund today to win it back

Arsenal DnB @1.36
They have plenty of basque players from real sociedad, bilbao's biggest rivals. And bilbao have also udnerperformed against basque clubs at home (loss to alaves and osasuna).

>>150825513
no wonder you’re always losing

any insight as to why the odds are so good for dortmund-juve over?

Lost PSV bet
Win Arsenal bet
Just need Real Madrid to win to break even

Thank God I cashed out while Dortmund was ahead kek
Not letting Guirassy take the penalty to keep his streak going brought bad luck for Dortmund

>>150832430
betting on real madrid is such a good thing in ucl. just look at how cheap that penalty is overall.
and then secondly, the refeere in the 6th minute gives marseille freekick, they take it clean, he stops the play to give a yellow card. 30 sec gone, then marseille take the freekick and 15 sec pass and he blows the whistle lmao

File: 1749440680804291.png (48 KB, 675x372)

48 KB PNG

why is shang not an underdog?

Comments on J2 games a few days in advance. Just as with my J3 comments last time i dont advice betting (yet), just looking to test viability of J2&J3 which tend to be close scorelines with some randomness & high odds. My last 4 J3 games went 2/4, with odds @2.48 and @1.88 resulting in a 9% profit if every game was flat bet.

Ehime (bottom) vs JEF Chiba
Chiba is @1.65 on Stake, @1.61 on bet365. Some random websites out there even have JEF Chiba in the 1.50 area. Seems like Chiba @1.65 or around there is a good deal, looks like odds might be heading down closer to kickoff unless some surprise injury or lineup change occurs.

Tokushima Vortis vs Hokkaido Sapporo
Sapporo, former J1 club, lost 5-1 their last game because of two red cards. Meaning Sapporo will be missing a central defender and a defensive midfielder for this game, plus 4 already injured defenders out, and 1 other card suspended player from prior to last game.
Stake has Vortis @2.06, bet365 @2.01. Things are probably priced into odds already, but might end up even lower by match time. Vortis fewest goals conceded (17) in j2

Iwaki vs Mito
Iwaki have 4W in last 5, last game much thanks to the 2 red cards for Sapporo. Mito despite being top of the league have 3D & 1L in their last 4. I lean homeside @2.55. Trmarkt says 3 injured Mito forwards, only watanabe left.

Sendai vs Yamagata
Sendai drew 1-1 to bottom team Ehime and also drew to top team Mito. Yamagata have put in 3 goals two games in a row and are offered at around 3.40, any value seems like it would be there. Least appetizing game hof these.

Fujieda MYFC vs Iwata
Iwata is looking to return to J1 league, which means theyll have to win games like this (@2.22). Iwata has been missing vice captain S Nakamura for a while, he was reported to have recovered a few weeks ago but did not feature in their last game so he might still be training or returning any day now. Iwata won their last game 1-0.
Fujieda got an injury to Mori on Aug 23, return unknown.

>>150836342
Bergs just played Davis Cup matches in Sydney so relatively little time for Bergs to get adjusted. Think bookies generally rate Shang as someone with higher potential if he's healthy and Chinese players seem to find form again when they can play in China.

>>150739253
HWD is a myth

asian champions league
vissel kobe +0 @ 1.50, i would even take them right on the moneyline @ 2.05, but that is more of a value pick than a guaranteed lock. vissel kobe with a 55% win rate overall, and a 53% win rate on the road. they thrashed shanghai port 4-0 in last seasons asian champions league. vissel kobe is 2-0-0 with 6 goals scored and 0 conceded in their history playing against shanghai port in the champions league.

>>150836734
i dont think things are priced into the line for asian soccer games like they are with top level european soccer games. j league and j2 league especially, the odds will move sharply for some lines as it gets closer to game time. that is a good line for the tokushima vs hokkaido game.

>>150783014
>betting against my jovic
how'd that work out for ya

>>150842242
Did you see the final? Arango could barely stand on court throughout the match. Bending over and puking. Still kept the first set pretty close. Not saying Jovic couldn't have won if Arango wasn't sick but definitely think it would have been very winnable. Arango was playing pretty well throughout the whole week and suddenly became sick.

>>150842650
i saw
still won :-)

>>150842788
Some players just refuse to retire. Always makes me lose my mind and it's usually the player you pick. Not the opponent.

>>150843012
my theory is players are doing that on purpose because they know if they retire it will void bets and they want people to lose money after all the hate messages they've received from bettors

Slavia Praha-Bodo BTTS+O2.5 @ 2.0

>>150844780
disgraceful refball. should have been a penalty for prague

Today was a great day, betbros. We are so back.

File: Screenshot_2025-09-17-23-(...).jpg (289 KB, 1264x1322)

289 KB JPG

thoughts?

>>150829954
Back did of course lose 2-0 but it wasn't a convincing showing by Haddad Maia at all.


Guaranteed losses for tomorrow:

Seidel to beat Haddad Maia @2.15

Krejcikova to beat Raducanu @2.3

Jamrichova to beat Dart @1.8

>>150850124
Just posted that I went with Krejcikova to win. Raducanu looked terrible against Cristian in the previous round and was lucky to have won 2-0.

Once Caldas plays tonight. Take Double Chance or +.5 or whatever. They always cover. They are constantly underrated its crazy. Also I'm the DK guy and its been 2 months and I very obviously got 160k for free at this point so that is the conclusion. I even still have my account

>>150851910
Up 1-0 already. Its one of the most consistent easiest bets out there desu

>>150852305
Why do bookies think they suck?

>>150852438
They had a bad run and are at the bottom of the Colombian table so public retard money is against them constantly especially in international competition but they always cover. For the past couple months they've been performing super well but the line doesn't adjust because if you're a basic doing "research" you'd think they're bad.

>>150851910
>>150852523
Indpendiente got a red card so this is basically won. I also like Golden State Valkyries +10.5. They were +13.5 last game and got blown out by 30 points. Anytime this happens and they get a better line the next game they cover. I bet its even within 5 points desu.

Giants beats chiefs Sunday night. Mahomes humiliation ritual season continues

>>150851910
Thanks bro I just won 40 bucks
Decided to cash out because I added a river goal and I'm unsure if they're gonna score

>>150851910
wow they just scored again thank you anon wish i had the balls to slam several k down like you

Week 3 picks
Last week had a nice 5/5 on the afternoon

Bills -
Browns +
Rams +
Jets +
Falcons
Colts
Raiders +
Steelers
Vikingz
Jags

Seahawks
Chargers
Cowboys
Cardinals
Giants +

Ravens

>>150852900
>>150852925
Np glad to help

>>150853028
After some thought change jags to texans. Vikings to bengals. Ravens to wions.

Bills -12
Rams +3
Falcons -5.5 (this line is a steal idk how books are still valuing Bryce Young)

>>150854609
cause teams go into vanilla defenses so lil brycey gets his cope points.

shnaider bottling it

>>150854813
and of course she just gives up

>>150852573
Damn bang on with Valkyries

File: Screenshot_20250918_07512(...).jpg (114 KB, 1080x571)

114 KB JPG

this is how you do it

well krejcikova is done

>>150856315
we're back

>>150856927
i sure hope so. i need the money since i am losing because lviv wants to slurp

>>150857100
lmao what a choke by raducanu

>>150850124
>>150850613
Thanks, bros.
Second set was nerve-racking and I put a desperate second bet on Barbora when she was @4.40 kek

>>150857276
>I put a desperate second bet on Barbora when she was @4.40 kek
i was thinking about it as well but i always lose money doing that

>>150850584
3 out of 3 wins. Jamrichova won in a 2-1 that should have been a 2-0. Luckily falling asleep in the second set didn't matter as the third one was really dominant. Seidel pulled off a big comeback. Haddad Maia was up 5-2 in the third set but lost 5 games in a row. Really bad choke. Knew both Haddad Maia and Raducanu weren't playing well despite winning 2-0 in the previous round. Posting stuff for tomorrow later today.

>>150857235
>>150857276
Shit like this is why I love fading Raducanu. So unclutch when things get uncomfortable.

>>150854681
I still think -5.5 is an impassable gap for that Panthers offense

>Barcelona at 2.8
Why????

>>150858935
just be careful. arizona had them crushed and the league manufactured a nice spread cover

>>150856162
Just put all your money in
Its free money
>>150859043
Either because of yamal or its bet mafia ploy for a slurp draw

>>150856162
>not only betting that but getting the absolute worst of the number
Lmaoooo where did you even find these odds every book has -800-900

>>150851910
I got once caldas @2.3 when the match was 1-0. I guess bettors thinks altitude affects once caldas (it doesnt), and overrate I. del valle.
>DK guy
congrats. with 160k I would never wageslave again.

File: Screenshot_20250918_16301(...).jpg (434 KB, 1080x2876)

434 KB JPG

>>150860797
>>150860865
its Fliff. they abuse sweepstakes law to operate in 49 states. i dont fully understand it but it requires them to take a lot more vig when theres a heavy favorite.
anyway, they give you a dollar and change a day for free but you need $50 to cash out. Billies are the only sure thing i saw on the card today and it gets me to $50 so I dont mind the horrid odds.
now watch those faggots lose and waste this beautiful 3 stepper

newcastle saves the bet at the last minute

>>150861809
I lost my parlay because City couldn't get 3 goals against 10 men Napoli kek

>>150862068
Haaland couldn't get 2 Shots on Target for me.

>>150861809
that was actually 3 late wins today, with krejcikova and the leverkusen match

>>150857499
Picks for tomorrow:

Lamens to beat Siniakova @2.65

Knutson to beat Snigur @3

Seems like books aren't accounting for new kickoff rules jacking scores up enough and the totals are too low in the nfl, and it got further obfuscated by offenses stumbling out of the gate in the first week from lax training camps. Week 2 12/16 games went over the recent league average scoring avg and they still have the avg game pegged at 44.5 and didn't move it. Think a standard over/under should be 48 or so now not 45

Watch me drop $300 on the Bills and they choke at home to the Dolphins.

I’m not doing crazy parlays like Allen 300+ yards + random TD props. My play: Bills at 88¢ is fine. If Phins climb near 50¢, I’ll hedge $160 and average down or just eat it.

Games:

Packers > Browns – Don’t touch the spread, 22¢ is trash. Browns are only worth a 4th-quarter comeback shot.

Cincy .41¢ – Love it. Vikings are overrated.

Colts -4.5 – Try the spread. They’ll smash Browns by two TDs. Home field overstated.

Raiders vs Commanders 63¢ – Jayden Daniels won’t get outdone at home. Fine line.

Indy vs. Tenn – Feels like a trap. 35¢ is steep. Maybe skip.

Rams vs Philly 64¢ – Solid. Eagles can lose, but Rams aren’t it.

Houston > Jax 47¢ – Too pricey. Jags look like they want to tank, but meh.

Tampa 74¢ – Lock.

NE > Pitt – Rodgers too old for NE weather. But 47¢ for underdog is rich.

Atlanta > Carolina 31¢ – Fine price. Spread looks playable.

Denver > Chargers – Wait till 4th quarter, too risky at first.

NO > Seattle – Could be a lock, but Seahawks always screw it up. Maybe half bet + cover.

Dallas > Chicago – Lock. Bears are garbage.

Arizona vs SF – This is the game of the day, I cannot take AZ at 44 cents but will peek at the score.

KC at 73 cents is a lock and if they can't beat the Giants here they will probably not even see the playoffs which is unreal. Sometimes you just gotta throw in your stack and grab your sack.

Detroit at 32 cents is fair, Baltimore at 70cents also fair. Pretty epic game. If I am up for the weekend will throw profit into Detroit but down make it back with the Ravens.

>>150862584
Daniels is hurt. Don't trust chiefs they are being humiliation ritualed.

>>150862536
what information do you have that you think the books and betting public do not have?

I like to peek into the future to look for this week's bets for the nfl. It's all gay and riggid so I like the "storylines".

For example next week the buccaneers play the eagles. They are both 2-0 so of course they will both be 3-0 next week for the battle of the undefeated + baker beat them last year so the intrigue is maxed.

So that's an easy 2 winner.

Then there's the chargers who have swept 2/3 afc west already and the storyline next week will be omg the chargers swept their rivals the 1st 3 weeks they are going to the superbowlllll.

So thats another 1.

The Dublin game is next week and thats the Vikings steelers so they both have to win this week so the hype is established for the Dublin game no one wants to come see a bunch of losers. This is also why Carson wentz is the vikings qb now so he can throw dragons to their was. Steelers win that game because viking invaders get repelled

So there's 2 this week and 1 next week.

Then finally I think the chiefs aren't going to win a game until after the bye so im taking gnats because every kc games going to be cope out the ass

How we felling about the over on the bills game

>>150862727
Under

cubbies gonna score some runs. bank it

>>150862707
manning to the chefs

>colts
>packers
>bucs
>falcons
which ones of these teams chokes and ruins my teaser parlay?

>>150863463
how many points you buy?

>>150863463
None desu, pretty solid for a 4 leg

>>150863463
none

>>150863532
this was a 6.5 point teaser to basically get every team to pickem or better
packers -0.5
Bucs +0.5
Falcons +1.5
Colts +2.5

>>150863940
i like it but titans usually surprise somebody early in the season and falcons are barely better than panthers so anything could happen there

>>150863269
i meant the cubs suck and will get no hit

phins score first. its gonna be like 17-20

>>150863463
add the chargers eagles seahawks and giants +6

>Had Ollie Gordon/Ray Davis ATTD double our before kickoff
>Got nervous and didn't place it because Jaylen Wright is back and they misuse Ollie Gordon anyway

Boy, I sure hope Ray Davis does not score now. Gonna be pissed about that missed opportunity all weekend if he does lol

>>150864376
classic cashout trap. bills roll

>>150865156
serbian jew doublebluff they still cover

did u see how they shanked the kick then played 3 feet off the wide receiver on the goal line for the tie lol

How does Allen have zero rush yards?

>>150866332
;)

any thoughts on giron-sonego?

File: chrome_screenshot_19 de s(...).png (275 KB, 1080x1045)

275 KB PNG

>>150866332
He could have made with that 3rd td but he passed the ball before crossing the line for some ((((reason)))

How foolish am I to put $1k on Purdue beating Notre Dame?

>>150869999
quads confirm winning bet

>>150862467
Knutson with the 2-0. No idea why Snigur was this much of a favourite. Still waiting on the Lamens match. It got moved to tomorrow due to rain. There's a chance some matches will be played indoors if it keeps raining.

>>150868603
Did you end up betting anything? Only saw this after the match was already over. Really don't like betting on either of these players.

chiefs lose sunday

>>150874778
>Did you end up betting anything? Only saw this after the match was already over. Really don't like betting on either of these players.
no, i passed. i was thinking maybe a tie break bet but they've both been shitty lately so i was like, nevermind.

what i really need right now is a fredericia goal but they don't look very good.

>>150876117
well there you go. danish league comes through again.

>>150869999
Pretty fugging dumb. I can't see Purdue scoring more than 14 points. Their QB is an interception machine and public money is probably against an 0-2 Notre Dame so I bet the real line is around -30

Just saw someone say St Pauli +265 is a lock in a Barstool sports chat so put your life on Stuttgart +115 moneyline. Its a good tell that retard money is on St Pauli

>>150876547
Thanks I got in before Stuttgart scored.

>>150876380
Maybe at +2500, at +1300 absolutely not.
ND could win with an FCS O and D Line based on their skill players and mismatches available.
Odom is the kind of guy that can get a team up for that kind of win though.
However even if Purdue's LB's and 2ndary can hang with ND all it takes is one mismatch for 6 points.

>>150876685
Yeah but you're putting $1k on it. Its not like its some once in a lifetime bad line.

>>150876698
Nvm I didn't actually read your post

>>150876663
>>150876547
I swear a viable strategy would be finding the dumbest guy you know and asking for picks and fading them

why are they playing a bolivian league match in romania?

Is anyone betting on CFB tonight?
Is Ok St about to become the next VT/UCLA? They looked awful against UT-Martin.
I lean Iowa the other game.

>>150877072
I like Iowa a lot. Rutgers has a shit defense. Think Iowa's going to score more than usual like 30+ potentially which they'll likely easily win with

File: Screenshot_20250919_16242(...).jpg (181 KB, 1080x686)

181 KB JPG

>>150877072

>>150877174
what site is that, anon? I decided to try to get into it more because I ended up up about 1k last year after the season on fan duel, but I have never really talked to any other bettors or read anything about betting. just a cfb autist

>>150877288
>>150877288
that is bet365. they have a lot of great promos and ingame markets but i got restricted for being too good at them. fanatics has the best new customer value right now and caesars is really good too. at least $500 in free money if you know how to work it.

>>150862467
Picks for tomorrow:

Wu to beat Korda @2.75

Zhang to beat Svrcina @1.55

Krejcikova to win a set against Swiatek @2.4

Quevedo to beat Iatcenko @1.7

Wouldn't have gone for the Krejcikova set win without the rain delay. Think the extra rest should help Krejickova recover from the match against Raducanu. Seemed to have a bit of a problem with back pain but that didn't matter because Raducanu pretty much gave up after the second set. There's also a chance they play indoors due to on-going rain which would probably hurt Swiatek.

>>150877882
I saw caesers offers those profit boosts, what's the strategy on those? I have been jumping to places for the free bonus bets so far, the deal 365 has. I guess I didn't recognize it because I mostly use laptop.

>>150878319
havent looked too closely at the math because Im not eligible but I would probably use the caesars boosts to cover fantatics no sweats. could also use the boosts to buy a few points and double dip on a spread or total hedge.
365 new customer deal isnt great but they do early payouts in major sports and have 2 or 3 decent promos every week.

if you do caesars be careful with the casino promos, their playthroughs are criminal

>>150878588
ty anon
enjoy the games tonight everyone.
that's a big reason i do this, because otherwise i could give a fuck about games that involve my teams.

>burnley vs nottingham forest @2.22
Burnley just dont do well against brutal presses, and postecoglou's tactics ARE brutal presses and high lines

>brighton @2.35 vs tottenham
Brighton seem to be sort of a bogey team against spurs, besides, they always do better at home against the big 6

>west ham vs crystal palace @2.38
West ham are dogshit right now, and they actually play worse at their "home" stadium which the fans hate

All of these are high-value but also somewhat risky bets. I would personally put a draw no bet on each of them and still get decent value. But if you want to be brave, then go ahead and pick some of these.

Also liverpool will probably get YET ANOTHER late winner against everton, so dont fret if you bet on them and by the 80th minute its still 0-0.

interesting line in the j league tonight

tokyo verdy hasnt scored a goal in 4 straight games now, and are the lowest scoring side in the j league with only 16 goals scored in 29 matches played. they are the books slight favorite in this game (2.25 or 44% implied probability). fagiano okayama enters tomorrows match on a 2 match losing streak, failing to score in both of those matches. fagiano okayama is very strong defensively, tied for 4th least goals conceded in the league. fagiano okayama has beaten tokyo verdy in 6 of their last 7 visits, 6W0D1L. tokyo verdy won the first leg of the seasonal match up between them, and i dont think tokyo verdy has what it takes to pull off the double against them here.

fagiano okayama +0.5 @ 1.650 or even under 2.5 + fagiano okayama or draw @ 2.05

New England Patriots ML is free money.

the giants will win :)

look at the sporting kansas city starting lineup tomorrow before game time and if they are playing a guy named andrew brody at right back, bet on the whitecaps moneyline. guy was absolutely walked like a dog for the full 90 minutes the last time the whitecaps played them and that was before the whitecaps had muller.

File: IMG_8474.jpg (266 KB, 807x671)

266 KB JPG

>>150883626
Looking to get my $200 new customer promo on 365. I had a parlay on tomorrows games but I remembered I can bet on other stuff to get it early so I cancelled it. Hopefully cashing out early didn’t cancel the promo. Anyway is this a good pick?

>>150888063
Whoops didn’t mean to respond

Has anyone won big off those online casino apps?

took grimsby +0.25 @ 1.875

>>150888063
doesnt matter what you think of it, when its boosted over 100% you have to take it. might be able to find MD not to score in both halves on another book if you want to hedge it for some free money

File: Screenshot_20241223_07195(...).jpg (1.29 MB, 1080x2340)

1.29 MB JPG

>>150888365
there are people who get lucky and hit a jackpot or crazy craps run but theres no way to win big if you play a lot. youll get some big wins along the way but the loses will always balance out over time.
but if I refuse to play the way they want me to and grind promos for free play and sometimes ill hit a nice slot win.

>>150877174
they thought the could restrict me.
they thought i wouldnt bother betting to win less than $10.
they dont know how much i enjoy squeezing pennies out of dollars.
i will bet every god damed game on the card and these motherfuckers will pay.
total bookie death

>>150890884
can someone who’s better at math than me explain the value of Asian handicaps like quarter goals?
0.5 is simple, but why 0.25?

>>150892270
youre betting on 0.0 and 0.5
ex o1.25
if 0 goals are scored you lose entire stake
if 1 goal is scored you push half your stake and lose the other half
if 2 goals are scored you win the bet

>>150888063
cashing out will most likely cancel promo. worth checking with customer service.

File: IMG_8492.jpg (208 KB, 1284x911)

208 KB JPG

>>150892429
Luckily it’s still active. First bet just has to settle.

I'm putting by entire life savings ($ 50) on Chelsea beating manU because
A) dropping points to united is a long term curse
B) they need to catch up to top 4
C) they got a new goalkeeper

Cons:
A) Chelsea respects United too much
B) they have already dropped points to weaker sides
C)just played against bayern

Thoughts?

i need a southampton goal

>>150892484
i was eyeing it, too. not sure what to make of it. this chelsea team has given up a lot of goals over the last year or so. but united not the highest scoring team.

>>150892467
lmao bro these promos are fool proof, you literally need any combination of $5 dollars of bets settling in 30 days. also 365 is scandalous where I am they offered $300 for this deal. Maybe it went down from last week to this week,

>>150892533
can't get one off one of the worst teams in the league

>>150877156
I was dead on but honestly didn't expect 28 from Rutgers. Iowas defense is cooked this year.

Like Utah to beat Texas Tech by double digits desu. Utah is a sneaky top 10 team this year and TT has played complete trash teams so far. Thinking they're overvalued to attract public money

Impressive
Not even mad

>>150892484
>>150892545
well there goes that

File: 1524444171233.jpg (75 KB, 804x805)

75 KB JPG

I seriously picked UNLV. And quit fucking around Utah.

>>150893946
Fade unlv this year

>>150893946
Same. The trend of UNLV being 0-12 playing in EST continues.

Well looks like I'm getting my bad bet out early with Utah. Trying to rebound with adding a Syracuse ML to my already Syracuse spread at +17.5, and Oklahoma -7 later today. John Mateer is legit I think.

>>150894712
Wtf happen to Clemson????

fulham to win y/n?

need another goal in the cologne match

i had btts+O2.5 in the united game and i cashed out before casemiro got the red

>>150894890
professionals dont give a fuck about culture

>>150894893
i was thinking BTTS

>>150894712
I don't think its over. Both teams have been complete trash offensively but Utah can easily get momentum.

Also based on nothing but a lot of experience betting college football but Nebraska moneyline looks good to me. Big name bias probably giving Michigan extra points in the spread

UNLV comeback

>>150897317

>UNLV gives the lead right back and then doubles down with a pick 6
>Utah is still fucking useless
>Offense in the TCU/SMU game died
>North Texas choking

Yeah, I'm done for the day. I don't care if there is still 100 games left to go.

Well, unlv won. Other leans were army ml and mem +7.5

just need a lille goal and it will cap off a pretty good day.

File: IMG_8507.jpg (1.06 MB, 1284x1413)

1.06 MB JPG

Which one do I pick? Are are there any available promo codes worth using?

>>150899509
the 10 $100 nosweats

>>150899667
Why specifically?

>>150899682
if you lose half your bets youll habe $500 in bonus which you can reasonably expect to convert to $250. plus you get $100 bonus. $350 is more than $250

Chelsea losing to man utd is sort of expected yet a giant anomaly
A freak accident caused the chelsea goalie to get sent off at 5 MINUTES
And maresca made some legitimately retarded subs
Chelsea is not gonna have a good time this season. Dropping points to brentford, refballing against fulham and their only legit win was against a southamtpon-tier west ham

Dont worry /mug/ bros
United always goes back to earth after they get a good result
They will definitely drop points to brentford and sunderland. Seen it happen with ten hag

Please let fulham-brentford end 3-1, it will be a giant boost for potentially getting a fuckton of money in my bookie's special challenge

>>150878243
Only thing that worked was Wu who won 2-1. Some great picks. Particularly proud of the Krejickova play when I even pointed out she had back pain and still went for it like an idiot.


Picks for tomorrow:

Wu to beat Medvedev @3.8

Alexandrova to win a set against Swiatek @2.8

redpill me on toronto bluejays

>>150894712
>Oklahoma -7
i took this too. not feeling great about it, but i was originally going to take the over which looks worse.

>>150900694
i think with the way bieber has been pitching, i do like them on the moneyline tonight. i don't think it's a lock, i think their hitters have cooled off lately.

Survived UNLV just to watch Oklahoma's offense turn into the Utes offense. Damn.

Tonga Canada starts soon. Redpill me pls

>>150899908
my brother in christ to get the 350 you describe having to lose $250 dollars.you need to add that into your math

File: kirkalwayswins.gif (974 KB, 432x270)

974 KB GIF

>>150901266
i arb everything

>>150901266
Where do you think you're losing $250? In a hypothetical scenario where you place 10 $100 bets at even money, you'd win 5 returning $1000 and lose find returning $500 bonus money. The only thing he got wrong was converting the 500 into 250, it should be about 400 with the right game.

Just made so much money on Oklahoma going for two and failing lmao

I got green bay indy tampa seattle and chargers on my parley am I retarded?

>>150904751
Moneyline or Teaser?

>>150904854
Moneyline

File: walker.png (549 KB, 660x441)

549 KB PNG

trying to decide my survivor pick. leaning towards seattle or atlanta. i liked the idea of seattle's backfield carrying them through a rainy game where they control the clock, then saw zach charbonnet is doubtful. still feel like kenneth walker could handle it. i'm iffy on atlanta because i think carolina is looking for a shootout and penix has only thrown one touchdown this year, don't know if they do so well in that type of game. probably locking seattle. thoughts or ideas, fellas?

almost think its worth betting piastri + norris podium finish @ 1.90. qualifying was in damp conditions yesterday and was interrupted by many crashes. that wasnt the true pace of the car. the mclaren has been winning races by an entire lap+ all season, they will be picking cars off down the mile long start finish straight with drs all race. there is no way the williams or racing bull is holding them back for the entire race. hard to catch max for sure but the other shitters have no chance unless the mclarens choke here.

>>150906901
even the mercedes too, countless times this season the mclaren has basically just driven around the outside of the mercedes to pass it with its raw pace advantage. obviously with baku being a narrow track they wont be able to force an overtake like that, but the pace advantage they have over the cars ahead of them is staggering.

>>150739207
All California's have a good site to bet on. They all seem to have complaints. Wondering what's the least sketch.

Get this F1 onions out of here its American Goyball time

Falcons -5 (penix might be legit + v. >panthers)
Raiders ML (>mariota)
Bengals ML (>wentz)
Jags -1.5 (texans are stuck in mud and coming off a crushing loss)
Pats ML (not high confidence, just being a homer and I think Maye found a new gear beating Miami. Steelers def has been underachieving and I believe pats can pressure slow rodgers early)

>>150907343
Any*

get a load of this low test cuck who is going to wait another 12 hours to see if he's a winner

>>150900672
What a comeback by Wu. Had already given up hope when he was down a break in the second set and struggling in every service game. Was clutch on a lot of break points and thankfully didn't choke away the tiebreak after giving up a big lead. Then was the clearly superior player in the third set and finally converted a break near the end. Medvedev is so out of form and overrated it's ridiculous. Love fading him and will continue to do so in the next tournaments as well if I see a good spot. Alexandrova lost the match but won a dominant first set so that worked perfectly. 2 out of 2 high odds winners make up for the rough showing yesterday. Will post stuff for tomorrow later tonight.

I used the sign up cash on 365 to make 22 bets. Most of them focused on the 1pm games. The one in particular I have my eye on is buccs jets, I expect Baker to cook especially with Brandon Stephens on the other side. I have some leverage offsets so I’m guaranteed to get at least $30 back if nothing pans out. I haven’t used any of my fantastics cash yet. Ideally I want to take the winnings from 365 and use fanatics fancash to make a 100% profit booster which I can pour into the cowboys bears game since that should be an easy win.

File: IMG_9168.jpg (269 KB, 505x640)

269 KB JPG

>>150739207

File: no time.jpg (51 KB, 827x614)

51 KB JPG

cam on Villa score a facking goal

Not touching the chiefs giants game with a ten foot pole. That could go anywhere.

File: PNG image 2.png (3.08 MB, 1224x3383)

3.08 MB PNG

Post touchdown parlays

>>150918931
Just two desperate teams. If I really wanted to make a pick, itd be low units on the Giants ML. Just think Mahomes doesnt have anyone to throw to, and don't look yet, but he's low key declining.

I didn't want to pay $20 to get the Ghost Leg token on Thursday but the Falcons are making me wish I had taken it after all.

Rip atlanta. At least,packers,colts and tampa covered my lost.

>>150908166
>ACK
>ACK
>ACK
>kino
>ACK

I saved the day though with a late live ML on the browns

Colts are winning the superbowl

McLaurin's slow ass getting tackled at the 0.01 yard line was the cherry on top of this shit weekend of hooks. I thought Schwarber yesterday was bad.

Dak and the cowgirls are going to fuck up my $600 parlay

>>150929769
calm yourself

>>150923641
if a book offers gimmicks like ghost legs or injury protection you are paying for it with shitty odds

>>150919128
giants arent desperate. the suck and winning 4 games is worse than losing 17.

>>150916023
Picks for Monday:

Tararudee to beat Gracheva @2.35

Lepchenko to beat Jeanjean 2.5

Paquet to beat Cocciaretto @2.65

All 3 in Beijing. The Paquet pick is mostly a Cocciaretto fade. Don't normally like betting on Paquet but making an exception here because I imagine that Cocciaretto will be busy celebrating the BJK Cup win where she also played in the final. Very little turnover time to immediately playing in Beijing.

>>150931474
If anybody feels like wasting some pocket change on a stupid longshot I also think Shao to beat Arango @17 looks interesting. Too scared to go for it myself since I don't really know Shao but I'm not quite sure Arango has had enough time to properly recover from her sickness yet.

File: Screenshot_20250921_19221(...).jpg (98 KB, 1080x839)

98 KB JPG

>>150739207
go chefs!