/sp/ - >arsenal are the biggest favorites to win both pre - Sports

Anonymous

09/30/25(Tue)04:43:43 No.151090008

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Anonymous 09/30/25(Tue)04:43:43 No.151090008 Archived

>arsenal are the biggest favorites to win both premier league and champions league

Anonymous
09/30/25(Tue)05:12:52 No.151090170

Anonymous 09/30/25(Tue)05:12:52 No.151090170

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>>151090008
Please stop doing this

Anonymous
09/30/25(Tue)05:14:24 No.151090185

Anonymous 09/30/25(Tue)05:14:24 No.151090185

>Source: ArseAnal fans

Anonymous
09/30/25(Tue)05:15:18 No.151090191

Anonymous 09/30/25(Tue)05:15:18 No.151090191

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>>151090185
Source: betting odds

Anonymous
09/30/25(Tue)05:16:47 No.151090200

Anonymous 09/30/25(Tue)05:16:47 No.151090200

>>151090191
How do you think those odds are determined?

Anonymous
09/30/25(Tue)05:17:42 No.151090207

Anonymous 09/30/25(Tue)05:17:42 No.151090207

>>151090200
By professional Asian syndicates.

Anonymous
09/30/25(Tue)09:00:12 No.151091344

Anonymous 09/30/25(Tue)09:00:12 No.151091344

>>151090008
>arsenal are the biggest favorites

Anonymous
09/30/25(Tue)09:02:32 No.151091367

Anonymous 09/30/25(Tue)09:02:32 No.151091367

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Betting odds do not depict what the bookies think will happen but rather what will generate the most action

Anonymous
09/30/25(Tue)09:03:22 No.151091376

Anonymous 09/30/25(Tue)09:03:22 No.151091376

>>151090008
Last time I checked the year was 2025, not 2006

Anonymous
09/30/25(Tue)09:07:03 No.151091404

Anonymous 09/30/25(Tue)09:07:03 No.151091404

>>151090200
Squad value

Anonymous
09/30/25(Tue)09:12:36 No.151091445

Anonymous 09/30/25(Tue)09:12:36 No.151091445

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>>151091367
Unless we're talking about very niche selections with low betting limits, betting odds depict what professional syndicates consider reasonable. And they're better at it than the bookies.

If you think betting odds don't depict the actual probabilities and you know better, you're either wrong or a millionaire.

Anonymous
09/30/25(Tue)09:37:16 No.151091580

Anonymous 09/30/25(Tue)09:37:16 No.151091580

>>151091445
Betting odds are determined to ensure the house always wins, they are not an objective measure of actual probabilities in any way. Lots of impulsive football fans will look at this weekend's results, where Liverpool got battered by Palace and Arsenal put in a dominant performance against Newcastle, and they will bet on Arsenal winning the league. As such, the odds of Arsenal winning the league will be lowered, since it means the betting companies will have to pay out less if Arsenal do indeed win the league. Odds are also influenced based on how likely a particular group of people are to bet. For example, England fans like to bet that it's coming home, so England generally have lower odds than most other teams in international tournaments (not because they're the best team in the tournament, but because more people bet on them).

Anonymous
09/30/25(Tue)09:43:47 No.151091613

Anonymous 09/30/25(Tue)09:43:47 No.151091613

they saw arsenal dominating city. that was enough for the bookies and other CEOs

Anonymous
09/30/25(Tue)09:47:15 No.151091634

Anonymous 09/30/25(Tue)09:47:15 No.151091634

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>>151091580
Possibly slightly true 20 years ago, nowadays wrong on literally every single sentence. Even England hasn't had grossly wrong odds for years.

If you think betting odds don't depict the actual probabilities and you know better, you're either wrong or a millionaire.

Anonymous
09/30/25(Tue)10:03:08 No.151091702

Anonymous 09/30/25(Tue)10:03:08 No.151091702

>>151091634
If you think betting companies can actually predict the future then you are not worth arguing with. There are far too many variables in football to determine "actual probabilities" when it comes to things like who will win the title. And even if statistical models and supercomputers can make more accurate predictions nowadays that the pure speculation of the past, the fundamental principle of "the house always wins" is always true, otherwise they would go out of business.

Anonymous
09/30/25(Tue)10:05:44 No.151091719

Anonymous 09/30/25(Tue)10:05:44 No.151091719

>>151091702
Are you wrong or a millionaire?

Anonymous
09/30/25(Tue)11:46:59 No.151092366

Anonymous 09/30/25(Tue)11:46:59 No.151092366

>>151091719
He is my associate in England.

t. millionaire

Anonymous
09/30/25(Tue)12:04:59 No.151092531

Anonymous 09/30/25(Tue)12:04:59 No.151092531

>>151090008
>Arsenal
are a banter club and always will be. End of story.

Anonymous
09/30/25(Tue)12:13:34 No.151092610

Anonymous 09/30/25(Tue)12:13:34 No.151092610

>>151091702
You don't need to predict the future to know a coinflip will average out at 50/50 in the long run. Betting odds are pretty much universally accurate and it's not the bookies giving them, they follow the markets of people who actually know what they're doing. The reason they make money is because they apply a margin to their odds, which they couldn't do if they didn't know the probabilities in the first place. Of course they're shit at their job and you can get a bet at longer odds than they should be but if you do it consistently they ban you.

Anonymous
09/30/25(Tue)12:23:15 No.151092700

Anonymous 09/30/25(Tue)12:23:15 No.151092700

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>>151090008
Again?!

Anonymous
09/30/25(Tue)12:26:31 No.151092727

Anonymous 09/30/25(Tue)12:26:31 No.151092727

/sp/ will lose its mind

Anonymous
09/30/25(Tue)13:46:47 No.151093868

Anonymous 09/30/25(Tue)13:46:47 No.151093868

>>151092700
Afraid so.

Anonymous
09/30/25(Tue)13:48:09 No.151093884

Anonymous 09/30/25(Tue)13:48:09 No.151093884

yes im sure psg and barcelona are really afraid of stoke fc and their swedish donkey

Anonymous
09/30/25(Tue)13:50:53 No.151093915

Anonymous 09/30/25(Tue)13:50:53 No.151093915

>>151090207
Binland gets it. Supercomputer models from Hong-Kong syndicates are the basis of all odds but retards still type shit about £2.50 Baz.

Anonymous
09/30/25(Tue)13:57:58 No.151094011

Anonymous 09/30/25(Tue)13:57:58 No.151094011

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>>151093915
Sometimes it might be supercomputers but at least NBA o/u lines are defined by one Finnish turboautismo mathematician who just does it better than anyone else.

He used to give his lines for free, everything would move within two minutes and then the Chinese gave him lots of money. But that's basically how it goes.

Anonymous
09/30/25(Tue)14:01:02 No.151094052

Anonymous 09/30/25(Tue)14:01:02 No.151094052

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>>151094011
To clarify, him giving his tips would move odds on every betting site that exists because that's how it works.

Anonymous
09/30/25(Tue)15:39:34 No.151095970

Anonymous 09/30/25(Tue)15:39:34 No.151095970

>the Finn ITT not understanding arbitrage

Anonymous
09/30/25(Tue)16:17:25 No.151096794

Anonymous 09/30/25(Tue)16:17:25 No.151096794

>>151090008
ESL

Anonymous
09/30/25(Tue)19:57:55 No.151100668

Anonymous 09/30/25(Tue)19:57:55 No.151100668

>>151090008
Shut down nasa fake moon rocks arsenal of jemocracy

Anonymous
09/30/25(Tue)20:31:29 No.151101312

Anonymous 09/30/25(Tue)20:31:29 No.151101312

>>151090008
They are DUE