hoes edition
>>151254917Only true if you're a mug (everyone ITT especially Americans). The sharpest bettors in the world do not work for the bookies. The bookies are actually clueless and just copy the exchanges most of the time. All their money goes into to finding profitable customers and limiting them.
>>151255089Thanks for bake dude
>>151255180The best bettors in the world have like 55% win rate and they are like 1 in a million people.
>>151255517its not that hard. it just doesnt pay as well as stocks for the time it costs
>>151255784>stocks>pay well>gambling doesn't pay as well as stocksHere take this (You) earned it
>>151254917They do not employ expert analyst they just copy and paste what their odds provider give themWhat they do its fix matches its funny cause its illegal but there its zero repercussion for them and if someone whos an insider slip or fix matches for their own gain they get fined or jailed or sometimes nothing happens,like paqueta or bruno henrique. Its not a coincidence that crazy games and outcomes are happening every week while there are several advertising for numerous bet houses on the stadiums,tv,team t shirts and some times even the league it self (Brasileirao who its sponsored by betano who also its the biggest sponsor of flamengo)The other half of their expenses its to find lucrative bettors like the other anon said
>>151256308>Yes — Bet365 does employ expert analysts — often called traders or trading teams — as a core part of how they set odds and manage risk. I found several sources confirming this.
>>151256352Who are you quoting?
>>151256432Chatgpt
>>151256634Now ask chat gpt to give you bet advise and fade everything
Been trying to figure out how to work the MLB/NFL scripts/rigging into EV calculations
>>151257501>amplifying the vig for no reason
After I pointed out that the bruins are not the favorites tonight it switched to the maple leafs Grok loves the oilers to cover the puck line tonight
>>151257542sheldon keefe hasnt coached the leafs in over a season now
>>151257542You have to use the "think harder" mode
>>151257600think harder yielded the same results
eagles -7jets mlcolts-panthers mlsteelers -rams -dolphins +saints +seahawks mlraiders -packers -niners mlchiefs mlfalcons mlbears +
why do gamblers only post their wins and never their losses?
>>151257834I mean you have to use that mode so it can accurately pull current odds/favorites etc
>>151256308There was a fix in league of legends meaningless tournament today where the vietnamese underdogs beat 2-0 a chinese team. 2-0 would've paid like @16
>>151258063I post both in this thread
>>151255517>55% win ratemy cousin dale has 80% win rate on average odds 1.10
>>151258180If you find out somehow that the bet you placed has 90% of backers or that a huge amount of stake was laid on (like 1k when most bets are double digits) just withdraw the money its not worth the effort most of the time the odds are lowTheres a reason bet houses dont share the amount of money its being shared on a bet
>>151258063darnold cost me 5k last week
>>151258281Just to be clear, i'm sure games that are high profile are not fixed. Real Madrid's game at Levante won't ever be fixed even with 90% of money on them. For table tennis for example or especially those fifa games they most definetly are
>>151258151I did, and it gave me the same bets, but with more accurate odds
>>151258466my nigger>After I pointed out that the bruins are not the favorites tonightIf you use Think Harder you don't have to tell it that XYZ team is the favorite
>>151258063I took BTTS ManU-Valeranga women's @ +110 and it's not going to hit
Bosnia @1.87 is the bet lads
capitals to win in regulation time @ 1.86
>>151258063>losses is that when you dont win?
>>151258063>>151261584because i dont believe in a no win scenario
>>151257378i have over 200 open futures parlays like this so I dont have any regets about not betting more. its just rounding off balances so i dont miss it and usually im able to hedge in the playoffs to at least break even. even if i could afford to bet more and thought i could play it sharp enough to profit i wouldnt do it because the first win would be my last win. shitters like me dont get to win 20k twice
>>151255043stinkees aren’t even going to win tonight
yankees free money bros...
>>151264111kek they’re losing tonight
based jizzum ruining the stinkees
anyone like the O21.5 games in bergs/djokovic?
jays probably win it all
Skattebo will probably get a lot of check down yards tomorrow vs the eagles with Dart. Did in their first game together and I don't see how the need will dwindle going from the Saints to the Eagles defense
>>151268568i don't hate it
>>151256651Heh, nice
saquon against gnats i expect a blowout
what about nhl tonight? panthers avalanche combo?
>>151268568damn, just one off
1.38 is decent as fuck here Vitality has been the best team this year
Romania (vs moldova) and Poland(vs new zealand) have good chances to win their friendlies today. @1.89 in a combo
Bosnia, now at 1.90, remains a solid bet for today. They know it's the easiest match remaining out of the 3. If they win they're almost qualified and could even get 1st place. We know cyprus are piss poor, they play for nothing as usual, people don't even attent their games so it wouldn't even be a surprise if there's more away fans, and most importantly bosnia has a decent team with several players in europe.
>>151268568That's rough, Bergs really sucks on serve sometimes. At this point Djokovic will probably win 2-0 against Vacherot as well. I knew Vacherot was likely going to beat Rune but was too tilted to go for it.
>>151271544happened to me with the munar handicap, too.
>>151272584If you ask me Rinderknech - Auger-Aliassime is an over match. Medvedev - De Minaur is an under match.
>>151272712I had a bet on medvedev the previous time he played tien and, despite seeming like i was about to lose, i burst out laughing when meddy was limping, literally dragging his foot on the court, refusing to retire. Like "look who i betted on" . Eventually he did retire as you know, and yesterday i took him also because of a personal vendetta against this chinese gayboy tien. I was of the belief that medvedev has to be the winner in this matchup. He was yelling constantly at his coach "the guy is everywhere, the guy is EVERYWHERE. what can i do" because the chinese was running endlessly from one side to the other, and all his plan was to just return the ball on court, never attacking. History repeated itself and meddy dropped the lead in 2nd set, from 1-0 3:0 to 1-0 3:4 with a break down , and even thou he came back to force the tiebreak, cramps hit again and he simply gave away the 2nd set. Odds were 1.35 tien 3.00 medvedev at his point, at 1-1, btw. But he pulled it off. He managed to fight back. But if this is the level of his stamina now, i can see why de minaur is favourite. Medvedev is on my permablacklist now. How do you see the de minaur match going?
is schick not playing for czech republic?
Inshallah In cymru we trust
>>151273101I expect De Minaur to win 2-0 but I'm also biased because of my future I've been talking about all week. Auger-Aliassime wins 2-1 against Rinderknech I'd say.
>start studying sports betting>3 days later>"ok but what is the EV on this loaf of bread"
Bosnia or bust
>>151274682depends on the bread and what the bread is being used foryou have to look at the match ups
>>151273750The power of /bet/
PAY UP BET365 SISSY
we want 4
>>151273750bro likes losing money
if i added number goals it would be around ~1.6 odd
[live 67'] Over 0.5 in morroco friendly @1.33
Of course I pick the one game that goes 0-0
>>151275718Where’s the value in betting like this you’re literally risking more money than you could win
>>151274689Early payout or ?
>>151271517Will go for this deadly combo mentioned above
>when I lose a game automatically says I lost>when I win, I wait an hour for idk whatbetting mafiosi love to fuck around with people
On sunday, for odds 2 comboLithuania v Poland @1.43Feroe v Czechia @1.40hunches that just scream at you
gotta use a $15 bonus credit tonight, what are we feeling bros? NFL preferably since i'll actually be watching it
>>151276960based combo romaniagoatcombo anthemhttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Kx6AaUxj_tQ
Its olgb down for you guys too? Really weird horse betting its gone from my bet sitrs and so its this old ass site that gave me the best tips
>>151277090Really i cant find horse race category in both bet exchange and bet365And now olgb its giving me ddos error
>>151277028Thank you for the unlimited support across the years, unironically
Not trying to brag or anything, but i may be the man who has bet the most on mexico's national team in the world. Like, literally every time they played. So the obvious question that arrises is "are they gonna have another over in the friendly against colombia"? And that's exactly what i was thinking also. Over 4.5 @8.20. meaning to reach that you can stake pyramidal on the over3.5 @4.10 , and on over 2.5 @2.27, or better "over 2.5 OR btts @1.71". The mexicans score, but they need a stupid, undisciplined team that goes back and forth with them, neglecting defence, like the swiss were in that one. Not what the japs did, staying compact and being clueless in attack. I think colombia has a ton of firepower, and they could score 3 goals themselves. It's a friendly so no pressure to stay back. To predict overs is predicting the flow of the game, and that can be a gamble. Even playing fifa, sometimes, very rarely indeed, it's 0-0. Sometimes all hell break lose and it's 9-8. Helps if there's no VAR also in friendlies. Like i see over 2.5 in romania moldova here >>151276920, with var moldovia's goals is disallowed. When i won that mexico swiss over the 3rd goal was a km offside, the african ref didn't see God bless him. Also, with goal storms, sometimes all you need is 1-0 at half time. But you do need that 2nd goal soon after the break. So for mexico colombia btts OR over 2.5 @1.71 sounds great for the base, over 3.5 and over 4.5 to inflict damage
The other national team i follow closely in friendlies is Russia. And that's all they play so they do take them somewhat serious. At least when they play at home they always attack. The other international break they played twice. First against jordan, at home, they created 0 chances. But they played somewhat the second team. Then they put the real starters, with Golovin etc, in qatar, and they had 0-3 at half time, with several another chances. I think they beat Iran at home today @1.67 , depending on the starting 11 to decide the confidence level
Also i believe the odds for brazil to score 2+ in the friendly with south korea at @1.69 are value. And even more, like brazil 3+ @3.10, or brazil 4+ @6.50, or brazil 5+ @15Or smashing total overs ... Over 2.5 @1.85 in case SK scores. Which they could. This game ends 2-5
Niggles are collapsing like 2 years ago the lions are winning the nfc
alright I'm actually done with this shit. fuck gambling, TKD
Spartak Moscow incl ot @1.34 in KHL. Their opponents lost their 4 best attacking players, it's the reason they're dead last this year. You can parlay it with >>151271646 to form a lethal combo @1.80
How we feeling about the OU-Texas o/u?
>>151286879id just take texas. yes arch sucks but theyre going to be on fire for OU
