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08/21/20New boards added: /vrpg/, /vmg/, /vst/ and /vm/
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previous >>157225361
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>>157645201
Basse Terre -> Going to Sky -> Sanono Greater is the easiest money you can make this week
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How are we holding up bet bros
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>>157649306
NFL season is finally here. Time to take the bookies to the cleaners.
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Took Alcaraz @2.50 down 2-1. Not watching the game
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>>157649645
He’s winning set 4, 4 games to 1 rn
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>>157649706
Nice
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>>157649714
Carlos won set 4, 6-1.
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>>157649306
I’m jacked and rich and banging hotties and I’m secure bro
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Lamine Yamal ATGS
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NFL Jadarian Price Over 0.5 Total Touchdowns +130
Seattle RB1 simple as
>>
Champions League
Stuttgart / Viking O1.5 Goals 1H
Stuttgart probably finds two themselves
>>
western kentucky vs georgia, western kentucky under 0.5 team total points in the 1st half @ 2.90
>>
>>157652217
Stuttgart Viking 7-2
stuttfart plays with two attacking fullbacks, one of them is actually a winger. and norwegian teams themselves learn to play a positive football (as opposed to argentianians for example) . so while Barca's game has goals on paper, 4+ is 1.39 there ....
So personally i took 7+ in this stuttgart game

also trying 7+ for Chelsea Leeds in the cup. cause leeds seems like an over team and Chelsea plays under Xabi Alonso (pic related). So since it's a meme cup could be goals, so this is the explanation here

another 7+ i'm trying is Sporting v Galata as mentioned in previous thread

trying 3+ and 4+ in Liverpool Atletico

and 5+ @1.95 in PSG v Slovan Bratislava, which could end as 9-0. they're from different world. also trying the 6+ and 7+ here
>>
I'm putting a lot of faith in this parlay :
Chelsea Leeds 3+ 1.60
Sporting Galatasaray 3+ 1.54
Liverpool Pathetico 3+ 1.58
PSG Slovan 5+ 1.95
total 7.59

damage dealing parlay ;)
>>
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>>157649306
Hit the long shot wide on Totsuka Kinen today, not bad.
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>>157649857
Cash this shit niggas.
>>
>>157652356
Wth took 4+ 5+ 6+ in liverpool game also. Highest stakes matter of fact
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>>157653441
Nicely done
>>
what if we get claude or some ai to build us a display that shows when the top10 monthly crypto whales on poly/kalshi are in a consensus position on some games betting market? then we just blindly follow their consensus bets with smaller wagers.
>>
>>157653855
Thank you.
>>
Btw stuttgart over was ruined by "deniz" undav. At 3-1 they were finding with ease their way into viking's box. And "deniz" undav missed from like 3 metres with the whole goal in front of him. For overs it's either you convert the chances or not. Liverpool could've scored in first minute and set the tone, didn't. They kick the woodwork as much as they want after that. Fucking wankers
>>
>>157653879
>claude
Which AI is best? I only use gemini
>>
Pats get revenge for the super bowl embarrassment
>>
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>
>>
NCAAF OSU @ UT Over 48.5 Total
NCAAF UTSA @ TXST Under 66.5 Total
>>
Aw geez sam darnolds out looks like SHITHAWKS are finner die who could've called that
>>
>>157654633
Lmao doo deleted his post calling out this prediction. What a faggot
>>
>>157654633
>>157661497
OH NO NO NO
>>
UFC Noche Saturday 9/12

Took a couple weeks off, looking forward to this card! Should be a lot of fun fights. Card starts earlier than usual because Zuffa is promoting the boxing match later Saturday night.

>Aldrich vs Tarin fight goes distance -285
Parlay piece. Aldrich has almost zero finishing upside. I think this goes to decision at least 75% of the time, play this at any number better than -300. If you can find a Tarin Finish Only line better than -350, play it.

>King -190 vs Rosas
Two debuting fighters. I'm not sure either belongs in UFC. King is undefeated in Fury FC, which is a decent regional promotion. Rosas has been fighting complete bums in 559 Fights and one fight in a Mexican promotion I had never heard of. I think King likely finishes Rosas. Keeping this to half a unit because there are so many unknowns.

>Garcia +145 vs Rongzhu
I think Garcia is underrated. The only thing he doesn't do well is finish. He's a decent striker, strong grappler, good top control, and very durable. Rongzhu is a better striker, so in a straight kickboxing match he wins, but I like Garcia to mix in grappling, clinching, and takedowns to get enough control time to cash as a dog.

>Gantt by KO/DEC -165 vs Klose
Most likely Gantt destroys Klose on the mat. I doubt he goes for a sub, more likely GnP elbows for the finish. Small chance Klose is able to stall and clinch his way to a decision loss, so I'll include that too.

>Belgaroui by DEC +200 vs Santos
Belgaroui is a far better striker, but Djorden has shown terrific durability and it's not like Yousri has devastating power. I think Belgaroui puts on a clinic and lands a ton of strikes to win on the cards. Everyone is picking Yousri by KO so I'll go the other way.

>Chairez vs Elliott fight ends by SUB +115
I think it's more likely Chairez subs Elliott. Elliott has enough crafty submission upside for me to bet this instead of just Chairez by sub. Both guys have sub ability and both guys have been subbed.

1/2
>>
>>157663515

>Waldo by KO +165 vs Blaydes
Blaydes used to be a wrestler, but now all he wants to do is stand and box. Waldo will be significantly faster with more pop on his shots. Curtis is coming back too soon from his war with Hokit, and he didn't have a great chin to start. Waldo finds the KO shot. I don't think Blaydes wins another UFC fight. He should hang it up if he loses.

>Grasso by SUB +900 vs Fiorot
Grasso shouldn't stand with Manon, she'll be outclassed on the feet. Grasso's best chance is to clinch and drag Manon down to look for a sub. Grasso has solid BJJ, her best chance to win is finding a choke. Fiorot will beat her if Grasso can't get it to the ground.

>McMillen -148 vs Rahiki
I think McMillen is far more skilled than Rahiki. There's always a chance Rahiki sparks Tommy, but I think Tommy controls distance, mixes in some wrestling, and wins comfortably either by finish on the ground or possibly a decision. Everyone's kneejerk reaction is this is a guaranteed KO, but the betting markets think this has a good chance to go past half way. It's only -220 to finish inside distance. All public money will be on the unders. Good spot to consider a contrarian over.

>Silva vs Delgado under 2.5 rounds -120
I'm going large on this one. Most likely Silva gets Delgado out of there inside 2 rounds, also a small chance Delgado lands some crazy combo to heem Silva. If I were setting this price, I'd have it closer to -300. Silva has too much power and is a threat to finish anywhere the fight goes.
>>
>>157663515
>>157663680
idk who any of these fighters are outside of grasso
>>
Champions League

Lots of value in draws today.

PSV vs Shaktar Draw @4.70
Fenerbahce vs Roma Draw @3.65
Parlay @17.15
>>
Took 9+ in PSV Shakhtar
7+ in Fener Roma
7+ in red star belgrade game
>>
>>157667041
If you only catch one fight watch McMillen vs Rahiki. Guaranteed banger

First fight: https://youtu.be/fGaEDwZ6RAE

https://youtu.be/d0O0ZRQRxFo
>>
Champions League
PSV 1H ML -115
>>
new orleans saints team total over 20.5 @ 2.10
>>
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i got the thing working but none of the polymarket whales are currently in a consensus position. ill have to try and expand it to include kalshi next. ill let you know if i see them on a line together once some games start later.
>>
Explanation for the overs is:
PSV has been a [super] overs team for a while now, an absolutely INSANE team, especially on home stadium and on these champions league nights.
They played Shakhtar two years ago and the bet is PSV will manage to create the same ammount of chances. If Traktor can contribute with one or two goals themselves the 6-1 , 7-2 prediction is on the cards.
PSV even had this season two games of this type, 5-1 to Groningen and 1-6 to Utrecht, where once they take the lead they don't stop and just want to score more. Ajax game wasn't like this, but being a derby, it's understandable that they protected the lead

Roma played a great game at home vs Atalanta, again look at the stats, and managed to win 2-1 in 88 and 90+1 so guaranteed spirits are high. Fenerbahce plays at home so that says it all, and they have Greenwood and co so both teams could get on the scoresheet several times. Possibly 3-3

Zvezda doesn't even play all starters and last time when they played here made their worst game of the season, a 0-0 in rain and mud, but they're Zvezda with nothing else on the schedule, hopefully Radnik scores as well and it's one of those 1-3 or 3-4
>>
>>157667980
Cool stuff
>>
>>157667963
alright lad fingers crossed
>>
Fml. It looks really fucking bad
>>
>>157668162
one might even say "it's over"
>>
>>157668188
FUCK MY LIFEEEEEEEEEEEE
i could tell after 1 minute of watching each one that these games are closed. 20 mins later still 0-0 in both
>>
>>157668201
we got movement in fener-roma (the only one i bet on)
>>
lingfield 1835 - boston run - win @ 5.00
>>
>peeesvee
>>
bloody benchod bitch psv sister fuck
>>
>>157668379
PSV betrayed. That whole first half was just shakhtar passing the ball around unable to do anything
>>
Makes no sense. They never played this bad
>>
>>157668343
>>157668343
shit came 5th
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>>157668399
I'm on a psv -1 handicap it's over unless I pray the /american talents/ to save the day
>>
>>157668316
refs had money on the under
>>
>>157667372
kneel before this TVRK
>>
anyone like BTTS yes in Utd-Sabah?
>>
I made around 170 euros in the last 2 days. I pissed them away today
>>
>>157668006
fucking retards psv I should have just stuck with both to score like I planned before but oh no I just had to get reeled by those juicy -1 odds
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>>157670310
Pff
>>
With literally me last goy points i managed to buy a 4€ free bet and put up this parlay: bayern 5+, manure 4+, slavia 4+ and como 5+ , and ended up with 300 ron which will go as such:
>>
>>157670691
I aimed the 5+ in Bolivar match, but didn't want to lose it all in case they only score 4. They play at home which matters a lot, they beat them away in the league 0-4 a week ago, and they usually don't even rotate in the cup, or even if they do, the bolivian football had goals lately
>>
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Steelers won’t be getting any calls going their way this season.
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$5 max bet on this promo, so I went full retard.
>>
NFL primetime underbros we are SO FUCKING BACK
>>
>>157671011
How do I bet on something reputation-destroying leaking about Rodgers?
>>
fucking cypriot shitters missing pens! that might be the last soccer bet. it was on a fucking tee!
>>
Tennis Frances Tiafoe Moneyline +250
>>
cs2 g2 esport map spread -1.5 @ 3.25
>>
Bath - 16:20 - Some Nightmare - win @ 4.33
>>
there is a william haggas runner at musselburgh today called extragalactic. haggas has an excellent strike rate in scotland and never sends horses there unless he is confident they are going to win. odds are 1.57, but it will most likely be an easy win.
>>
last three:

15:20 Chester - Rotelle - place top 3 @ 2.62
15:50 Chester - Impartiality - win @ 6.00
16:00 Lingfield - Solar Edge - place top 3 @ 3.10
>>
Bundesliga: Leverkusen ML
EPL: Chelsea -1.5 -170
>>
i fucking hate soccer
>>
i fucking hate horse racing
>>
>>157649840
Unfortunately, you're also circumcised.
>>
louisiana tech vs lsu louisiana tech team total points under 5.5 in the first half @ 2.35
>>
>>157663515
Gantt bet was extremely frustrating god damn it
>>
14:40 Longchamp - Bamako Beach to win 4.00
>>
>>157663680
Worst event in a while. Lots of decisions except the fights I needed a decision lol. Silva literally does nothing until it passes 2.5 them easily finishes Delgado. Fuck.
>>
NFL bets?
>>
NFL
Carolina Panthers +3.0
Minnesota Vikings -2.5
NFL Dallas Cowboys -3.0
NO @ DET Over 49.5 Total
>>
>>157684276
BRUH
>>
NFL Javonte Williams First Touchdown Scorer
NFL Dallas Cowboys -3.0
>>
NCAAF USC @ RUTGERS Over 56.5 Total
NCAAF Colorado Buffaloes +3.5

will post full results from week 2 tomorrow
>>
Lay literally fuckin any number with Ohio State next week

They will beat Kent St by 70. Maybe 80
>>
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>>157735115
26-14 through 2 weeks

NCAAF VIR @ WVU Over 53.5 Total
NCAAF Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders +6.5
>>
windsor 1712 - faustus. odds are 7.00, so I'm gonna go EW on this one.
>>
fucking useless
>>
Think I had my worst beat ever yesterday. I was too drunk all day to really feel it but now I'm just staring at my 12-leg any time touchdown ticket for 77k. Right on everything but fucking Jalen Hurts man...
>>
>>157744064
you didnt think to hedge?
>>
last one for today...

1830 kempton - rupert the brave ew 4 places 5.25
>>
>>157742288
good shit cfbanon keep it up
>>
>>157744213
hold on, are there anons in this thread who don't lay off their liabilities???
>>
rupert came 3rd, which isn't too bad I guess. at least it covered the initial bet with a tiny bit of profit.
>>
Chiefs laying points against Denver is mental
>>
i need a brondby goal
>>
>>157744213
How does one hedge a longshot bet like that? Genuine question, I'm a gambling novice strategy-wise.
>>
>>157744837
use another book to bet no on if hurts gets a TD
you can just google hedge calculator and find what odds/payouts you would be happy with
>>
>>157744837
Bet several thousand on the opposite outcome or use a hedging calculator like >>157744918 said but realistically for $77k you'd have to make a massive hedge bet to be optimal
>>
>>157744837
i would suggest laying off most of your liabilities on a betting exchange.
>>
any opinions on leeds-newcastle?



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