Insider Info edition >Educational sites:https://www.investopedia.comhttps://www.khanacademy.org/economics-finance-domain >Financial TV Streams:https://www.newslive.com/american/cnbc.htmlhttps://www.livestreamy.net/bloomberg/ >Charts:https://www.tradingview.comhttps://www.finscreener.comhttps://www.portfoliovisualizer.com >Screeners: so you feel like in the movieshttps://finviz.com/https://etfdb.com/ >Gambling:https://www.optionsplaybook.com/options-introduction/https://www.optionsprofitcalculator.comhttps://optionstrat.com/https://www.optionistics.com/quotes/option-prices >Pre-Market and Live data:https://www.investing.com/indices/indices-futureshttps://finance.yahoo.com/ >Calendarshttps://www.marketwatch.com/economy-politics/calendarhttps://www.earningswhispers.com/calendarhttps://www.cmegroup.com/trading/interest-rates/countdown-to-fomc.htmlhttps://www.mortgagenewsdaily.com/data/building-permits >Boomer Investing 101: so zoomers with meme stocks can outperform youhttps://www.bogleheads.org/wiki/Getting_startedhttps://www.sec.gov/search-filings >Misc smg:https://www.financialjuice.com/homehttps://finance.yahoo.com/trending-tickershttps://market24hclock.com/https://www.dividendchannel.com/drip-returns-calculatorhttps://brokerchooser.com/https://www.chathamfinancial.com/technology/us-market-rates >NEW THREAD: Copy-paste the following when making a new thread:https://pastebin.com/GfB48W5G Previous smigger thread>>62037868
war over by next weekTTPS&P 7500 EOY
place your bets folksdoes he go full ground invasion friday night or saturday morning?
>>62038512Nothing happens until markets close for long weekend at Easter.
>tfw TLT to $150 by eoy
>>62038515>Nothing happens until markets close for long weekend at Easter.bomb bomb bomb, bomb bomb iranan easter miracle!just as jesus intendedalso, posts about bulls are bullish. market up 20% by december confirmed... probably
>>62038514 #>subsidizing Europe’s defenseIt's actually Europe who has been funding your wars but you keep telling yourself we benefitted from your 50% contribution.The other 50% we paid? You spent on war after war after war. .
I'm getting hungry what sounds good
>>62038536steamed hams
>he early baked
>>62038540I mean >earlybaked
why so boring I might go to sleep
>>62038536Boiled trotters.
>>62038526brotha, america spending 2% of its gdp on the military from 2000 to 2020 was more military spending than the entire rest of the world COMBINEDwhy? Because we had the biggest gdp in the world.And throughout it all, europeans criticized it or even mocked it and refused to get to that level. Just 2%. They mocked greece for meeting their 2% goal in the 2010s by increasing their navy when greece was having budget issues, a little after the greek debt crisis.europe still hadn't gotten to 2% spending by the end of obama which is 2016, and there are STILL today some european NATO countries which have not yet gotten to that point. That's after trump 1, biden, and now we are in trump 2. Most are at or above, barely, some higher (like poland) but some are still below.The amount of spending between US and europe is not even comparable. Especially when you look historically.sure, europe buying some american equipment helped here and there, but it was a drop in the bucket. Poland buying half their shit from us is not really moving the needle. And most NATO countries don't buy a fuckload of their equipment from uncle sam like poland does. They are the outlier.
There's a chud on my soup
PLEASE LORD LET TOMORROW BE BULLISH AND I WILL NEVER GAMBLE AGAIN
>>62038512He has to do something soon.Right now he's bleeding about -2% every week in (air) war support among (R) voters.Boots has never had any support to speak of (7%), not even spec ops (33%).That will hit baseline of course at some point of people who just love war and him, but it will be a very bad spot to be in.ORHe could listen to me and fire Heggseth and get someone in there who can actually convince the American people it's a good idea. But short of that, he's running out of time. Send them or leave. Don't just sit an wait for the end.
I had a nightmare that it V'd 10% and I was sidelined forever.
>>62038549>he boughted the top (ramen)
>>62038556he can just tweet everyday to keep oil prices low; we dont even need hormuz open anymore. just let him dictate reality on truth social.
>>62038540>>62038543thread sucks baker f'd it up it's boring
>>62038560It’s doing that right now
>>62038560>I had a nightmare that it V'd 10% and I was sidelined forever.what I'm worried about myself honestlysold everything at about 1% to 2% from the highs. sitting in cashnot sure when to get back in. worried it won't play out how I think (won't drop as much as I think) and I'll just be sitting on the sidelines waitingthough to be fair, that would be great since the economy would be better off if everything just recovered so easy and fast
>>62038555I'm never gonna buy again (calls), greedy fingers ain't got no timing
just 10 more days imagine that
Insider here war ending soon. Big downturn tomorrow, followed by massive insider futures buy early Monday morning and peace declared by market open.
The US budget is very simple0.70 cents on the dollar goes to old people.And maybe a few brownoids committing medicare fraud, social security fraud, etc.0.15 cents goes to things actually in use (military, natural parks, etc)0.15 cents goes towards interest on the debt already accumulated from the current arrangement. for now.
>>62038585I'TS THE FINAL COUNTDOWNhttps://youtu.be/9jK-NcRmVcw?si=zfwCQttRv5Rn70bw
is it time to ALL IN soxs?mu and sndk fags bother me
>>62038564Turns out that Trump tweets are more real than the physical oil (not) being shipped and sold. Its pretty funny how easily the market gets whipped around by his schizo boomer posts. Have to respect it desu, even if it is bad for the economy>>62038574I sold on monday's BS pump, I guess I'll start DCAing back in slowly just in case, but really I am waiting till American troops are in Iran, I figure that will be the low point. Especially if we get any video footage of the troops getting killed by missiles and drones
Oil Barons and techNO gods eating good on a Friday
>>62038586that's not a bad short term play
>>62038586one can only hope. Looks like it's pretty much about pool opening, so if that can be forced it's mostly over.
>Futures>https://youtu.be/gML0PukI5rI?si=8ZdjK2BctZHIdAoT
>>62038596>Have to respect it desu, even if it is bad for the economyyupJPMorgan:>I see, the president has tweeted something, it must be the truth! The war is over for the 8th time, buy up!
be funny if 10 days go by and he tweets ww3 has now officially started how funny would that be
>>62038603and the next day tweets I have decided to delay ww3 for two weeks
>>62038603That isn't his decision, Netanyahu would have to give the order first.Financially speaking I'm long shekels and short foreskins if you catch my drift
>we still have people shitting up the thread with mumu tweet rhetoric as memes but they are actually buying>there's not a single respectable (not even AI hail marry) bull case left that anyone can articulatethis is how you know we're not even remotely close to the bottom.
>>62038569This is a little baby cyck V
Joumanna, the milf of Arabia :3
>futureshttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=r86BJkLZp9w
why did orange test NATO and basically say they failed the test and will regret it in 3 months? what happens to NATO in a few months
>>62038618-_- wrong linkhttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fdixQDPA2h0
You guys getting one?https://youtu.be/iXqGcZbEgAQ?si
looks like markets are likely to bottom about 80 days after a ground invasion, on averagethat's not after the war starts, but after the ground troops actually do the invasionhttps://x.com/Bluekurtic/status/2037258299457102220
>>62038620Bold to assume Trump will remember any of this in 3 months.
>>62038617No wonder they fuck goats :0
>>62038623The probably depends upon the effect of the invasion. If it's just to open the pool and it succeeds I'd expect markets to not go down, but up instead.
>>62038622used to get picked up from school in one of these and i can still smell the upholstery
>>62038620Hopefully we leave and let Europe fund it themselves.
>>62038632Nice
buncha panican skywalkers
>>62038602>>62038596>I'm not wrong, oil should be 300/BBL, buy BP stock!
>>62038620Probably nothing. It's probably just Trump lashing out that everyone didn't just jump on the USA waging war bandwagon like they did with Iraq. It's ridiculous.
what if orange is right about everything ?takes control of all oil flowing out the ME....cucks NATO and either forces euros to pay big time for protection or fend for themselveshe might actually do it
>>62038526so you're not a european or an american. Canadians do not have a seat in this conversation because you are gay.
>>62038648Bad troll
>>62038623mid june, so right on schedule.
>>62038620*big think*In order to fund the iran war the US will probably cut support to european militarizes and Ukraine to a minimum since Hohols continue to refuse to make peace without annexing all of russia (which is impossible) and they are also gay and retarded.
>>62038653What's so troll about it? Trump's always about posturing, threats and saving face, so him acting like NATO's going to reap what the sow is right up his alley. Remember "lock her up"? It's the same thing and nothing will likely come out of it.
>>62038653No, he's absolutely right. At least back then there was technically more reason with 9/11, if we assume it to be done by arabs/al-qaeda. But then what has Iraq to do with that. And where are those WMD
>>62038592The asians have their wires crossed but yeah I'm game
>>62038668Iran's nuke = Iraq's weapons of mass destructionSame old song. At least with Iraq there was general panic beforehand and at least part of the due process was followed.
XOMGODS are we eating good rn? $200 EOM INSHALLAH
What's the bottom on SOXL?
>>62038668>And where are those WMDthey WOULD have had them in two weeks, we had to
>>62038677>SNDKmovingtoXOMGOD
>>62038555not likely.
>>62038615it's funny how mumus get so cocky whenever the market ((( pump ))) and litteraly disappear when it dumps. We bobos are always calm and collected because we're not fighting the trend and have been profitable all year.
>>62038615>saying we're just getting startedBottom signal fuck
>>62038682in two weeks since when?>>62038676It still was completely wrong and unjustified. And back then Europeans helped. Why should they help now, when not even asked beforehand? That would be literally "cleaning up the mess of the US"
>>62038683google heemed us. we went from SNDKGODS to SNDKsissies
>>62038677quit posting that fagg
>>62038687you lose badly 90% of the time here's your scraps lol
>>62038689That's part of the "due process being followed". While it was based off of lies and deception, at least it was done in panicked situation in which general public was more inclined towards the war and agreements were made beforehand. Now it's just "We've pre-emptively hit Iran for Israel without ever consulting anyone and claimed both that it's a regime change and that it's not a regime change". Being mad for nations not jumping in immidiately is just silly.
>>62038693>me when the salmon only run once per year
>>62038692you have to admit... he has that rizzle...
>>62038710He lost all his aura after sounding like Kyles cousin in South Park.
I had a dream today in which I had a dream about butter prices going up, and I yelled at fellow smiggers to invest in it. We even went shopping and bought all butter from the local store.Bullish for butter I guess.
>>62038706yeah well day trading is a badly losing strat for the vast majority so GL with that
>>62038716It's not wrong. If the crop turns out poorly due to lack of fertilizer, they have nothing to feed the cows either. A burst of beef on the counters as they thin the herds, but decreased dairy supplies, then less meat and other foods all around.
whats going on over at MU?
>>62038727Yeah, I pretty much expect food pricess to shoot up accross the board in the next few years.
>>62038731Nothing. I'm out until this goddam war is over and the market settles down and starts responding to things like fundamentals instead of rumors and moods.
>oil already at the pre-tweet priceToday feels fairly red. Might be the best time to buy. Weekend seems to likely cause huge moves.
>>62038738no... not you too...well too be fair i also sold and went all in on oil, its not as huge gains as i had with MU but damn do i love having some positive income during this shitfest.do you have any number youre looking for when slurping MU?
>>62038735just eat less bro
Buy VIXY on Friday close or is that already priced in?
>NVDA nearing the 3-months lowestUndo the 10x at this point ffs...
>>62038632Looks like ole furniture on wheels.
>>62038747the pain will continue until helium supply is unfucked.
>ICYMI | Trump Leaning Toward Ground Invasion, Convinced Iran Will Then Capitulate - Times Of Israel
>>62038630>The probably depends upon the effect of the invasion. If it's just to open the pool and it succeeds I'd expect markets to not go down, but up instead.yeah I agreewait a secI think I have this figured out. why it's 80 days for the stock market hit, if it goes wrong.the president has 60 days to do a "police action totally not a war" before congress must declare war, and 90 days at the max.So if this is not going well, dragging on longer than usual, it will officially become a war in 60-90 days, which is about 80. When congress officially declares war because the operation is failing and must continue to achieve its objectives, then people will get pretty demoralized.Maybe that's it then.so a key date to keep in mind is april 29th. 60 days after feb 28th. that's actually coming up soon! in one month basically from today march 27th.and if orange man wants to finish the special maduro operation before that time, he has to do it before the deadline.The "2026 Iran War" (coded as Operation Epic Fury) began on February 28, 2026, with joint U.S.-Israeli strikes on Iranian military and leadership targets. Conflict Start Date: February 28, 2026.Reporting: President Trump submitted the required 48-hour notification to Congress shortly after the initial strikes.60-Day Deadline: The initial 60-day period is set to elapse on April 29, 2026.Potential 90-Day Deadline: If a 30-day withdrawal extension is certified, the absolute deadline for unauthorized operations would be May 29, 2026.
>>62038649>what if orange is right about everything ?>takes control of all oil flowing out the ME....cucks NATO and either forces euros to pay big time for protection or fend for themselves>he might actually do itthis is the bull case yesmost especially china
>>62038738told you repetitively the top was in the last few weeks
>>62038764>most especially chinaidk not sure china is going to just sit and watch the US take control of the worlds oil supply
>>62038758doesn't make sense. usa has plenty of helium of it's own. no supply chain concern there. it's really just overblown reactions to trump and nothing else
>>62038689>in two weeks since when?brotha iraq would have had WMDs in 2 minutes if sadaam hitler-ssein ordered his islamabad jihad terrorist-nazis to do soWhy? Because he hated freedom. And the american way. Just like the nazisAnother group of people who ALMOST got nukes!Coincidence? Heh. I think not. America saves the day once again. You're welcome, eurofags. AGAIN. Thank you for your attention to this matter.
Can't sleep again black friends. Good thing I quit my job
>>62038768someone said our helium sucks just like everything US
>>62038741>>oil already at the pre-tweet price>Today feels fairly red. Might be the best time to buy. Weekend seems to likely cause huge moves.I got all my buys set up automatically, at the exact price points I want. The amounts aren't big, but I can come in and react based on what the markets do, on those key levels.that way I sort of have a system, and the buys will trigger even if I'm not paying attention. plus, in a way it avoids all the weekend drama. assuming trump tries to taco every monday morning
>>62038764It’s not a matter of if but when boots on the ground, interceptor stockpiles will be out by mid April.
>>62038767>>most especially china>idk not sure china is going to just sit and watch the US take control of the worlds oil supplytrueif they are gonna do something to stop usa, it would be now, finally after all the shit we have done recently. if not then, then they really are a paper tiger
>>62038769has NATO and euros even said thank you 1 time to us for preemptively saving the world again?it's going to be tough doing business with them
oilchuds where you at
>>62038775>It’s not a matter of if but when boots on the ground, interceptor stockpiles will be out by mid April.if only there was a country called ukraine who had spent the last 4 years making interceptors to shoot down shahed missiles, which are cheaper than shahedsfor some weird fucking reason, we never copied that tech from them. stupidthough the ukies are sending the anti-drone teams to the middle east. at least the arabs have some self preservation instinct. So they... kinda sorta have some sort of cost efficient interceptor at least in small numbers. still not great though.
>>62038777>has NATO and euros even said thank you 1 time to us for preemptively saving the world again?So true! and you know what, come to think of it, they haven't!the bastardsit's hard saving the world all the time. would be nice to get a thank you every now and then.>it's going to be tough doing business with themit's like they don't even support the mission for peace and freedom any more. Many such cases. Sad!
>>62038774Seems reasonable. The trend seems to be oil up, market down whenever nothing changes and the current state of being seems to be rather unfavourable to Trump and the USA, so I'd assume USA will try to do something to lower the oil prices long-term sooner, rather than later. When exactly and whether it'll succeed, that's have no idea. Maybe they'll drag the situation further or fuck up massively, but then I'm not sure how much it could effect the market, seeing how negativity is already being priced in somewhat.
>>62038658>US will probably cut support to european militarizes and UkraineKeep up with the news gramps, US support to UKR has been cut since Feb. 2025
>>62038745>holding anything leveraged over the weekendhope you enjoy getting fucked in the ass
Is Trump just not letting glowies do their jobs?I mean, this whole thing is just awful awful shit. There's no plan. They're transparently pumping. They're resorting to fucking viral marketing and outright lying. Leaks from the Whitehouse every 2 seconds.It all looks so incredibly desperate and pathetic.Is it really that hard to get a decent PR man in the Washington to get an actual PR strategy going and sell boots instead of just desperately using every gimmicky trick in the book to buy yourself 1 more day?Get your fucking shit together Donald. Fire that cokehead and put someone who can do the job in the seat. I don't know why Israel is putting up with this.Embarrassing, desu.
are you guys invested in any robotic companies or indexes?
>China Starts Trade Barrier Probe Against US- Probes US Supply Chain Barriersraggie
>>62038800arkq.
why are futas dumping what happened?
>>62038801>heh, don't you know only americans pay tariffs? China numba wan>but also we need to find a third country that has free trade with the US to get around tariffs, for reasons
>>62038812I bought
>moves from overnight to pre-marketshit starts dumpingAmericans.
Nvidia exports getting banned because of banksHUH
>>62038812Market took its meds.
>"Serious fear remains in the market, with our panic index registering a 9.14 / 10 as of the close yesterday, led by a small uptick in S&P 1m put-call skew" - GoldmanPffft retards panicking from a slight correction
>>62038812The market is healing.
>>62038812Still working on rug pulling perma-bulls/bears to scare them out of the market. Next is crabs so us vultures can come in and get our meal.
Give me one reason why are you not going all in CANE right now
>Google creates new tech>doesn't pump>causes others to dumpI love Google
>>62038818their shit is all getting bought up regardless. why would they bother with a scam?
>>62038779Right here baby
>oil keeps climbingI'd be pretty surprised if USA won't do something pretty radical by Monday close.
>>62038834Right here bae bee
>>62038836Like what? Capitulate?
>>62038844Invasion, mass bombing, radical Trump tweet. Tough to say precisely, but something seems likely to happen soon.
>>62038849None of those would improve things whatsoever.
>>62038852In the short term, maybe, but neither would doing nothing. It's not like I'm a military strategist that's going to come up with the precise order of action to solve the issue of rising oil prices due to pool closing.
CODE RED, CODE RED!
>>62038852And…interceptor stockpile is running out. Estimated by mid April. What do you do then?
Any smiggers in PBR? has been a good value play even before the war, but right now it just seems like a no brainer. Their valutation is unbelivable, as are their energy reserves.
>>62038855>but neither would doing nothing.Retard don seems to be perfectly happy to do just that out of fear paralysis.You cant face 1million troops with 50,000You cant make a deal without a ceasefire.Instead of doing something, anything, he's tweeting out scam campaigns of pixelated WH photos of himself holding an iphone stalling for 1 more day, maybe 1 more day and iran will rise up. It's unreal.
>>62038860little bit but ssl has performed better during all this and i own more of that now and i'd still buy ssl over pbr. not quite peers but it's a foreign energy company thats going up while the strait is closed.
OUTTA MY WAY MUMU FUCKING SHITS
why are you still awake
>>62038872shill me your ssl, i might put some dough in
>>62038875Disclaimer: This bobo could be an actual CHILD
>>62038876Yes?
>>62038865Well, he certainly seems to have gotten himself into quite of a pickle, but by the time he's realized it it was probably too late, so now he's scrambling. My guess was that he'd try to install some sort of puppet as a leader of Iran or maybe take the strife militarily. The thing is that if he won't resolve the high oil price, he might be toast politically. Not only from possible impeachment, but also from pressure from other states, so my guess is that he'll feel like he has to do something, but I could be wrong as I would not anticipate this conflict and it unfolding this way to begin with.
I’ll be lighting up this weekend faggots.
>>62038877they turn coal into oil, and then into other refined products, it's a whole integrated process, south africa has abundant coal, with high energy prices it is very profitable, when they're low though they can't compete. so it's feast or famine as you can see by the chart, if the anti-coal climate energy reduction regime comes back it can get squashed again, but it is "too important to fail" almost, doesn't mean it won't go bankrupt but it's a major strategic asset for south africa, big value add for the coal deposits. you never know though, a progressive regime might realize that a childhood spent digging coal is good for the character and help their margins for when hard times come again.coal mining musichttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=B9j91-18Kb4
Can trump back off or will they hit all the power plants this weekend?Personally I think Israel's plans were leaked yesterday and it looked like they'll be airstriking the biggest power plants this weekend. The only reason they wouldn't is the astronomically low chance that they'll listen to america.
it's insane how much I need to smell the asshole of a beautiful woman right nowbuy (female) natural gas
>96OIL? oil.
>>62038893I just thought about how 200$ OIL might be possible but when I read your posts it became clear to me that it'll just go back down.And I want to make it absolutely clear that it was because your post is retarded wich means you are retarded and everything about you and your life is retarded and you should kys.
AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAA
>antijoo-oil-schizo didn't kill himself or get placed back in the happy room>you will now be subjected to 50 posts per thread of him saying the exact same thing over and over in different ways
>this is what you voted for
>>62038898Look at how panicky the Trump administration is getting about oil prices. They know they fucked up. This was supposed to be a quick military operation lasting a few days, and they shorted oil with the idea that there would be only a brief price spike before it would go back down prior to futures front month expiry. Futures expire next Wednesday and they have to come up with $100B of physical oil by then. Prices are still high and supply is still constrained. The military operation this weekend is a last ditch hail mary attempt to crash oil prices and loosen supply, but if it fails, there *WILL* be a short squeeze as they're forced to cover their short position before expiry.
Glad I bought the last taco dip on oil. Im a poor fag so im only making 200 bucks but via USO purchases but at least I can say im making money. Gonna use it to help me become less poor when crypto goes back up.
>>62038903The kikes don't care about trumps ceasefires, they consider themselves a superpower in their own right. They think they have a population equivalent to half a billion people. That's why I'm pretty sure they'll hit the power plants tomorrow.
I'TS OVER
>>62038903You know I'm right, nigger. You'll see by expiry next Wednesday. They're out of time. Get in oil and oil accessories or stay poor.
>>62038905>((they)) are making moves>because ((they)) manipulate the price>ignore the facts source just trust me bro>I know what ((they)) don't want me to know because I so smart
>>62038911YOU CANNOT AFFECT THE PRICE OF THE MOST UBIQUITOUS ASSET ON PLANNET EARTH BY SPAMMING SMG 24/7 YOU ANNOYING FAGGOT KILL YOURSELF IMMEDIATLY
oil almost completely given up its ceasfire TACO dump, fully expect a full court TACO press today to try to recreate it
>>62038914No, but Trump can tweet out a lie and do it.
>>62038911Not everyone is dealing with oil commodity, most of us just have oil company stock/ETF. Just admit you fucked up when trading futures.
this bond market is fucked
>>62038912Yo, why only 2x( ? What's up with that. Are you afraid?
>>62038928I wasn't being antisemitic I was just explaining the schizo mental state to (((you)))
>>62038912I was one of the first people in the world to recognize that SMCI was fraudulent two years ago, even before the Hindenburg report came out, and profited bigly on my OTM puts. Then after that I correctly timed the Liberation Day crash down to the month, six months in advance by looking at yield spreads, and once again profited bigly. Then last summer I told all of you to buy precious metals and precious metal accessories, and profited bigly AGAIN. Now I'm telling you how to play this hyperinflationary oil shock, but *STILL* you refuse to listen to literally and unironically the highest IQ person in /smg/. Stay poor.
>>62038914Trump has been manipulating the price with tweets all month long brother what're you on about
tl,dr: Hey mongo Don, nobody listens to your fucking bullshit any more, fuck you.
>>62038930i was the fastest crab-walker in my town. and not by a little.
>>62038930Alright let me ask you something ser. Since oil price has obviously been manipulated down to an uncomfortably high but still purchasable level, one would presume with all the writing on the wall with this war for oil supply disruption everyone (govs) are currently stocking up on cheapy oil as much as they can, buying while it's still at this current level. So short squeeze aside, what can reasonably be assumed about price action for oil and oil adjacent assets once the tag catches up to the newly not only disrupted, but now government level slurped, oil supply which still is on the market? Im holding uso to make pennies right now and I'm not banking on a short squeeze but trying to figure out the right time to sell once we're at a nice peak so I can get as much as i can for me money. So got a time line fof peak price?
No more gifts>#OOTT Three Container Ships Of Various Nationalities Were Turned Back From The Strait Of Hormuz After Warnings From The Iranian Revolutionary Guards' Navy - Iranian Media>>62038929That would require me having read what you wrote. I only saw the 2 ((
>#OOTT | #Iran's Revolutionary Guards: The Strait Of Hormuz Is Closed And Any Transit Through The Waterway Will Face 'Harsh Measures' - Iranian Mediauuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuh
>>62038950It's actually open if not for their fact that it's closed.
>>62038944Why respond to something you didn't read?
Reminder that he said this unironcially two weeks ago. [UNEASE BEGINS TO INTENSIFY]
>>62038930I probably made more money long on SMCI than you with your puts.You are suggesting there will be an OIL SHOCK where it goes to like 500$ otherwise it will be a NOTHINGBURGERand your argument is basically that whatever we do now doesn't matter because the SHOCK element is already happening.But the strait of homoz being like a parking lot you can obviously see how this is gonna resolve just like all of these shipping problems as long as there is light on the horizon because traders will anticipate the price into the future wich actually looks good right now. checkmate.
>>62038953I saw the 2 (( ín the greentext which means he was imitating in some way or form the position of the post that is being replied to and I glanced over said post and there was an even larger wall of text, but I read the "they" (like the they in between the 2x( ) and I saw the Israelflag in picture, so what else was it about
I voted for this, seethe more, incels
>>62038960he has to go, i dont know what the fuck they are doing, he has to go. get that fucking retard out of there.
>>62038960Might sound stupid, but it's a fine thing to say if you want to just fill time.
>>62038962I don't know about a 500 dollar a barrel situation, but everything I've seeing is that 1, this is the largest disruption of oil supply ever (le hormuzzy closed) 2, that a sustained tag of 125-150 dollars a barrel (sustained as in 3+ months at that price) will lead to global recession 3, a significant portion of persian gulf oil production infastructure as been damaged already thus far, and 4, persian gulf produces have already significantly cut down oil production, since they can't move their oil as they once did. And this is all preliminary oil production cut back, as I have been reading that once oil reaches a particularly high price tag, 125+ above, there should be over time a reduction in oil demand because of various factors. Essentially since its so expensive/supply is so low, there will be rationing as we're starting to see in the global south already, shortages as in Australia and parts of Asia, and as there will be not enough money to buy the oil and people get into this state of reduced oil consumption there will be less buying, and production will grid down. Which should drop the price perhaps? I don't really know too much about it, just my thoughts and what I've been seeing.
How do you people not understand we are starting a 2000 or 2008 style crash at a minimum?Pic related is just 1 of many datapoints pointing towards that.
>>62038984>1, this is the largest disruption of oil supply everwell that would be nice to have source on that because to me it seems not such a long time for a tankers that will probably take months to reach their destination anyway
>>62038988two more weeks
who else is accumulating commodities right now?
>>62038984All correct medium/long term assertions.Demand destruction isn't an absolute thing either. Some sectors with smaller margins suffer much more from the prices.
I'm eating good, based Ukies
if XOM shit the bed im gonna lose all my money
>>62038994like what
>>62038984Essentially I'm saying what has already happened this far will be very rough very many places and gets worse every day, no even counting what has yet to be destroyed. There's the risk that an attack by the US on that island everyone keeps talking about could result in further Iranian strikes on economic energy infastructure, not to mention if the US does manage to capture it, it would only really be a symbolic victory as it's more a shipping hub than the heart of their production industry. It could significantly hurt them financially for awhile, but it could be months of attempting to strangle them with it via that island, if that could even work. The US would have to divert resources to keep holding it, planes and missles to defend the men there. Whereas the Iranians could just continue hammering isreal's face in all the while, or attack more energy infastructure, etc. It doesn't seem like a well thought out plan to me.
>>62038988hehe funny lines
is this the biggest blue balls bear market of all time?3 months of grinding downward, VIX above 25 for a month, "extreme fear" sentiment for 2+ weeksyet the shit and piss 500 is only 7% off ATH
>>62038997why??
>>62038991I'm just gonna give you one, if you google search it you have a wide variety of sources to choose from, whichever you prefer reading. https://www.reuters.com/business/energy/biggest-global-oil-supply-disruptions-history-2026-03-13/
>>62039002my biggest fear is not that the market falls more it is that it'll squeeze to an insane price level (bubble) and I won't sell the top
>>62039002The clown market is completely delusional. Can't expect anything else out fo dip-buying zoomers that never experienced a real downturn market and think you can just print oil molecules in the FED's printers.
>>62038998>>62039001cocoa and silver and palladium for now, looking to get into more foods if the prices dipan inflation crisis (which might be triggered by high oil prices) will cause commodities to skyrocket
>>62039009Already found it. Horrible article that actually states that the gulf crisis was a third while strait is only 8%
>>62039005x10 leverage
>>62038984the king of /smg/
>>62039000how about muh dees lines
i listened to the king of /smg/ and went balls deep on OIL
>look what the guy who lied is lying about now and how that should affect ((you))
>>62038992>two more weeksAlready underway, buddy.
>>62039028great. you might think about getting a trip in the next couple of weeks
I wish brother. My only traditional commodity is USO right now and only because I wanna make a few more bucks so I can buy into the crypto bear market. Only posting here because youre the only good thread on biz left. If you guys haven't been seeing, military build up has been happening this entire week and Iran has been outright denying any negotiations (as they should, since theyve been attacked during negotiations w the US twice already) So we're definitely gonna see more happen but I'm not sure how its gonna end. Trump is doubling down like a gambler to get back his losses but the casino is about to close as someone put it. I dont think the US can take much more of the pressure at home and abroad, but I also can't see us accepting Iranian terms. Our war goals going in was regime change in the form of the collapse of the current government of Iran but they just replaced everyone, and now the war goal is to close the strait that was open before we started. The war will probably end in a max of 3 months assuming it doesnt escalate beyond the region, if only because Iran has a strangle hold on us because of the uzzy
BROS THE STRAIT OF POO MIGHT BE BLOCKED
Remember when the US ending its dependence on foreign oil was a major political talking point? Obviously nothing ever happened there lol.
>>62038930>>62038942This nigger needs to come back and answer me right now
>Thai container ship burns in Strait of Hormuz after trying to pass without permission>The Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps said any attempts to pass through the strait would be met with a "harsh response."HORMUSSY STILL CLOSED AND UNDER HER HIJAB
>>62039042The U.S. is a stable functioning country and the world is in good hands right?
>>62039046it would be open today, if Iran would allow it
>>62039053>tfw just want to play with cuba
so...what is trump plan now?the markets arent beliving the delays anymore
>>62039049remember that crowdstrike thing from a few years ago that broke millions of computers worldwide? life as we know it is so incredibly fragile.
>>62039060they will let the markets tank for a while, then they will "end the war" and we will have a gigapump just like last April
>>62039060why? he just doubled the 5 day cease fire to 10 days, that's 10 more days of we already won. oil should be dripping like a boomer rock
Starting to think the whole "superpower" thing is just bullshit
>>62039060drop bombs on their head until they consider the option of bombs not dropping on their head. i'm not saying it's certain to work but that's the plan.
>>62039068>remember that crowdstrike thing from a few years ago that broke millions of computers worldwide? life as we know it is so incredibly fragile.qrd
>>62039076>The markets are going to "gigapump" during the biggest oil crisis in historyLOL
EXIT LIQUIDITYPUMPNOWAAAAAAAAAALET ME OUT
Hey smiggers, I know times are tough right now and you are full of doubts. But keep your lil chin up and just remember, the real gains are the frens we made along the way.:3Also NTR is in the handle of a cup & handle, its free money teehee.
>>62039060hopefully suicide
>>62039089I LOST 7K OUT OF 25 SINCE LAST YEARAAAAAAAAAAA
>>62039083sounds like you need an emergency we have already won pre open tweet.
>>62039077It's not a ceasefire he extended bud. It 48hours, 5 days and 10 days were for strikes on civil energy infastructure, US on Iran's and Iran on Isreal's/Persian Gulf states. He's been amassing troops all week, and be can't open le hormuzzy with baiting them into an actual ceasefire. They're gonna try shock and awe with boots and more bombing. That said he might post something to make it go down for the weekend .
cash
>>62039089use the prompt "pierced by spears" or "struck by javelins" instead of "spears sticking out of it"
I demand hourly TACO's as reparations for Trump's earlier TACOs.
Quite a bit volatile but bullish formation
Just put the last of my life savings into Oil.
>>62039082>during the the biggest oil crisis in history>that never was
>female ass farts
>Investors are rebuilding cash positions in a pattern reminiscent of 2022 as geopolitical and policy uncertainty persists, according to a note from JPMorgan on Thursday.>Quant strategist Nikolaos Panigirtzoglou said investors have been “abandoning equities, bonds and gold all at the same time, preferring instead to raise their cash allocations” since the start of the Iran war.>“The inversion at the front end of core yield curves has raised concerns about central bank policy mistakes in a similar fashion to 2022,” Panigirtzoglou wrote, adding there is still “little evidence of de-anchoring of long-term inflation expectations.”>JPMorgan said investors fear that the energy shock “will compound an inflation problem, inducing central banks to tighten policy this year, and raising the risk of a policy mistake.”>Rate markets have priced out earlier cuts and “priced in significant rate hikes … over the coming three quarters,” the bank added.>Equity positioning has fallen sharply, with JPMorgan’s overall indicator now at the 62nd percentile, down from 81 percent in late January.
>putting money into oil right before another inevitable Trump induced dumpNever gonna make it.
>>62039104Based and fearless pilled
>>62039109He will make Israel stand down all weekend?You can't talk down to the world's superpower like that.
>Trump calling NATO out for their failings>Russian-Ukranian war in fourth year>Iranian conflict ensuingWhy the fuck are European defence stocks doomping like Rheinmetal?
>>62039109I was just thinking about that. I’m gonna put my stop limit very near the market price, just in case bullshit happens.
Herr Donald Trump please save memy wife's immigrant beste friend wants more money
>>62039089Times couldn't be better for the cash gang.
>>62039046>entire deck nuked and on fire>some pleb ran to front and dropped anchoridk whatever
>>62039046Holy fuck, what did they launch? A ballistic missile?
>>62039105>30% to 40% of Gulf energy infrastructure severely damaged>Ukraine severely damages Russia's Baltic oil export dock responsible for 40% of their total exports>Qatar's LNG facilities severely damaged which accounted by 17% of their production>War not anywhere near over and Trump sending more troops to the regionEven the IEA has said it's the worst oil crisis in history, governments are downplaying things while markets are in denial
>>62038999So what are you doing?Keep cash to enter the market after the crash?
>>62039133Don’t forget the Houthis. They can definitely fuck up the market if they block the Red Sea.
>>62039129nah that ship was just carrying extra flammable pocket pussies
>>62039133damn I forgot about the russia thing all my arguments about the strait being a nothingburger are invalid now
>>62039046NO WAIT MY POCKET PUSSY
never ending quagmire
>>62039136I'm surprised they haven't already
>>62038999>There's the risk that an attack by the US on that island everyone keeps talking about could result in further Iranian strikes on economic energy infastructureThis. I have no idea why everyone thinks taking kharg island is some sort of automatic win condition for the usa. Its literally existential to irans continued existence and is guaranteed to cause a MAD scenario where they go all out on energy infrastructure Buckle up bros
>>62039139How much oil does Russia put up percentage-wise? Is it comparable to the gulf nations? If the capacity is the same, wouldn’t that mean the oil should stay below $100?
Quick reminder he WILL launch an operation to take Kharg. He wants it since the 80s.
>>62039145They’re waiting for America to put boots on the ground, to really fuck them up good.
>>62039139Ukraine also just attacked one of Russia's largest oil refineries, the Kirishi oil refinery in Leningrad yesterday, Ukraine is targeting Russian oil infrastructure because the with the increase in oil prices Russia can once again fund their war in Ukraine
>>62039155That's his Holden Bloodfeast-tier dying wish>please G-d let me set foot on Kharg Island just once
>omw to short every rally today
Natural gas fags (because I love you), if the US increases oil production that will lead to excess NG. Natural gas could go NEGATIVE from over production. Thank you for your attention to this matter.
remember that Trump will make brutal threats tonight and then TACO sunday evening
Mr. President it's time for your daily TACO.
get rooooaaaasteeeeeeeed smiggies
>>62039155huh, its as if those Battlefield games are just Pentagon / DIA training psy-ops for young potential recruits
>>62039135I'm tentatively DCAing while everything dumps. As I said up there I'm doing crypto and most of the big names are already down 50% from the high in october. Dont wanna shit up the thread with crypto stuff but essentially according to le halving market bottom for b-coin (and everything else) is this October, so plan is to dump in around then. Probably DCA same amount whole time, dump half my cash load april or may, dva more then dump rest in fall.
>>62039170That's been the patterns, but the markets aren't responding as much anymore. Trump may need to up the ante.
>>62039152Russia is 20% of China's oil imports and up to 40% for India
>>62039159Trump is doing everything he can to keep the oil price below $100, and these UN assholes are making things worse for the global economy by seizing Russia’s shadow fleets. Are they retarded?
>>62039174Thanks for the answer anon
getting dumped on pre-market with Palantir
>>62039174That's ok, bitcoin is an S&P derivative.
>>62039152Ukraine has reduced Russia's oil capacities by up to 40% and rumors are that the moment negociations stop between Russia and Ukraine, Ukraine already has plans to strike very sensible targets
>>62039145escalation cardthey have played things incredibly well so far given what they have... no need to do it all at once, this is causing enough pain as it is, everyone knows they have more they can do so it's really put the US and Israel in a bindtaking out strategic points in israel and the gulf at just enough pace they aren't using up all their missiles whilst at the same time running down all the interceptorsThats why trump has TACOd on boots on the ground or hitting their power plants.... what can they do from here?Iran could have just gone all out at the start... but making it long drawn out, causes issues in the global economy without actually doing much but the threat of doing it, perfect for them
>>62039136The big issue with the Houthis is the major pipeline going through Saudi Arabia. If they fuck that up, it will be hard to downplay.
>>62039155He has really been this Dilettantish since the 80s. Talking about the same things in the exact same ways, literally no development in knowledge or anything. Its like he doesn´t have a concept of what a regime, a sphere of influence or even geopolitics broadly is.
>MUdogshit pumps 5 % every Goddamn day>dont buy thinking this has to be the top everyday>repeat, repeat, repeat>it keeps pumping>fuck this shit this dont come down at all might get in then>it was the top>baggy nowDEATH TO JEWSSSSSSSSS
>This morning, following the lies of the corrupt president of America regarding the openness of the Strait of Hormuz, three container ships of different nationalities moved toward the designated corridor for the transit of ships with permits, which were turned back with a warning from the IRGC Navy.>The IRGC Navy announced that the Strait of Hormuz is closed and that any movement in this strait will be met with a harsh response.>The movement of any ship “to and from” ports of the allies and supporters of the Zionist–American enemies to any destination and from any corridor is prohibited.THE HORMUSSY IS CLOSED BITCHES
My 3x oil is finally green. Please no tweets saying the war is over for the next couple of hours
>>62039192What a scummy move. As expected from a Jew.
>>62039200even Iran could target that pipeline with missiles though right? I'm honestly surprised they haven't done that yet. Such pipelines are impossible to protect anyways since they're hundreds of km long and vulnerable on 100% of their length
>>62039205trump is still asleep
>>62039200Don't need the Hothinis for that. Just a Shahed on the pipeline in some random area in the desert. Easiest infrastructure to blow up, really. Oil terminals and complexes are infinitely harded to hit as they're easier to defend, and yet they hit them regardless.That meme pipeline is just that, a meme.
>>62039205Will the market fall for it for the umpteenth time though? How many more times will the markets believe the war is over and they're begging for a deal? How much longer will they stop believing their eyes?
>>62039202He's a rich guy with celebrity. If you can afford to be wrong all the time then nothing matters and you'll never learn anything
is the market FINALLY starting to price in the war?
SROP DUMPING ORANGE NIGGER DO SOMETHINGGGGGGGGG
>>62039214The market IS fucktarded. And as long as boomers on Fox News believe the lie, they will buy the dips. And you have zoomers believing you can print oil through the FED printers so they too will buy the dips like they've been conditionned to for all their short lives. You have them here in these very threads.It's fucking grim, really.
Can someone sell everything so the market magically turns arround with completely unexpected news? Thanks in advance!
Iran could use this opportunity to defacto lift financial sanctions on itself and fuck up the petrodollar. Just announce that ships are free to move through the strait as long as they route oil payments through the Iranian financial system in non-US dollar currencies. Asian countries are afraid of US sanctions, but they're way more afraid of their economies collapsing so I think they'd come around.
The real thing we should be worried about regarding the Houthis is closure of the Red Sea strait. They have already done it, and for those who remember, are capable of keeping it closed despite US efforts to stop them. You can see articles about this from 2025.
>>62039218Or global recession. Fuel shortages are no joke, and they already hit a few countries.
>>62039222I'm sorry, Anon. I'm afraid I can't do that.
>>62039219he already TACOed for 10 days I don't think he can do more
Since everything else looks like shit right now someone post proof of the Treasury's short positions on oil, please. With expires if possible. TYIA
>>62039224aren't they already doing that? I think they're forcing the ships they let through to pay in yuan
>futures
we were doing so good this week man, how long until this worthless orange faggot and his party are out of office?
So, spy spx down today too?
>>62039230IT DIDNT HELP I AM FUCKING DYINGSHOULD I SELL EVERTHYING WITH 40 % LOSS OR WAIT SOMEONE HELP ME
>>62039242Sell what?
>>62039236leave this little guy alone he was managing 5 private equity software companies
>>62039235I don't think so, no.
>>62039238Still got til January of 2029!AHAHAHAHA!FAGGOT!
Honestly at this point you should just hold til it goes back up unless you can't pay bills without that money. Maybe just pull enough out to cover what you need. Maybe trump will post an exit for some of your stuff today
>>62039224This is such a good idea that Iran is already doing it
>>62039250grimgrave, even
Where are you fucker! Come on. Step forward. We have questions and we want answers asshole!!
>>62038556Trump is the best media manipulator by far, he could end the war today and unironically frame it as an embarrassing american retreat. Then run weekly psyops until November and nobody would remember
>>62039053>if Iran would allow itThe taco says Iran is defeated.
The Nasdaq is going to be down by at least 2% again today, you can tell which way it will go based on if BTC is up or down by market open and BTC is down 4%
>>62039257I dont know how to tell you this anon, but that was none other than Trump himself. He personally fucked you. This man's message embodied fhe spirit of the TACO in its essential form.
>down , down ,down, we're only going down from here
feeling pretty good having gone all cash and locking in my 50% gains for the year when the war started, some stocks are starting to look pretty cheap now, but I am just gonna be patient and wait for a good slurp to show up.
>>62039275sucks for you OIL shits
No offense but if like 75% of the posts here aren't bots then you guys are a bunch of faggots. Not just the people making bad posts, but the people not going out of their way to call the bad posters retarded faggots who should kill themselves are just as much to blame.Keep shorting APP and RDDT. They both have 50%+ downside from here.
>>62039278Energy is the only sector that will continue to have gains . maybe defense
>>62039280want a downvote button on /biz/ retard?
>>62039284Ur a bot bot or retarded NPC faggot
>>62039282Commodities will eventually explode. All of them.
Guys disregard my previous posts where I said everything was gonna be ok.I think I'm gonna fucking do it.
>>62039287It will take a serious global population correction to reduce the demand for energy and if you really feel like that you should be buying ammo , fuel , canned food and pottable water .
>>62038797there is no one left who can actually do the job, they were all fired for telling trump things he didn't want to hear, which in practice means anything except "yes sir right away Mr President"
>>62039282defense is starting to shit the bed too due to energy prices
Who's excited for the SpaceX IPO as early as April? OpenAI and Anthropic are going to rush to do an IPO before the market crashes
All crypto in general is dumping pretty hard today, don't know what y'alls stocks look like.
kek baggies
I just know that Trump is going to say something stupid today after the market is open. I can feel it in my bones.
>>62039310He's going to wait until market close, because he's a nigger like that.
>>62039307crypto is in its final bear market btw. they are going to and have been extracting all of the money out of it. crypto has always been a scam. they waited patiently for many years for people to get foolishly invested in it, and now they will harvest it down to the last penny because its not even worth thatremember, crypto is not widely adopted, used for anything regular people do, and is majority owned by institutions and other misc kikes
>>62039129it was carrying energetics, probably oil, maybe ammonia or somethingIt really doesn't take much to set a cargo vessel ablaze, the oil tankers in particular are essentially giant seaborne variants of the stereotypical red barrels in a videogame
We should offer peace with Iran by giving them Trump and bibi
Looks like the insiders already got the info that dump is coming soon. Brace yourselves for the impact.
>>62039307My brother-in-law must be seething and is probably being beat by my sister kek.
>>62039310>>62039315I cant wait until the market ignores him entirely, his bitching and moaning will get really funny then
Dear God..
>>62039145they got bombed pretty hard last time and probably aren't eager to go through that again, especially not with both the Saudis and the UAE breathing down their necks
>>62039307Remember telling a buddy of mine who got 2 bitcoin from some relative as a present, to sell at least one of them when it was above 100k.Wonder if he ever did that.
And just like that OIL will never be above 97 dollars again
>>62039307stocks? I just buy ETFs, although right now I'm 40% cash and 50% treasuries
where is OIL NIGGERS IN SHAMBLESKEK PUTS BAGGIE
If Japs are seething now because their nation has become the new #1 destination for sex tourism imagine how much worse it will get in the next several months when their currency collapses completely
This is going to be a historic green day, the start of a new bvll market. Except for oil, KEK BAGGIES
>>62039331Its possible Raj has been killed in fuel riots before his puts could expire OTM
>>62039338is dying a cheat to get out of margin calls?
>>62039341Yes but only if you have no assets to seize
who the F is in charge of baking herequit being stupid
>>62039344All the bakers roped, we are running on interns right now.
>>62039344/smg/ is rationing postsplease refrain from needless baking
>>62039344Famine fren, all the bakers left these parts months ago.All we have is gruel and losses to snack on.
>>62039324Can't wait for this ponzi shit to finally collapse to its true value of $0.
>>62039354just like your value. interesting
https://x.com/CNBC/status/1076472926965284865?s=20
I'll save you the anticipation >situation doesn't change over the weekend >WTI hits just a little over 100 before being aggressively knocked back down>monday SPY jumps at least 1%
>>62039355Your internet funny money is worth nothing. Facts don't care about your feelings.
>>62039354Where is the money coming from to prop up crypto now? I don't even have to talk my parents out of crypto scams anymore so normies are wise . Investors hate it now after all the crypto bank investors scams . Are thirdies keeping it afloat?
Yeah Don? We're gonna need another tweet. Yes I know that makes two in a day already.
>>62039364There is gonna be a tweet and it will be the most glorious tweet. It will fix everything. Maybe something about electrolytes but that is just me randomly guessing.
>>62039364where were are going we don’t even need tweets
>>62039364should he break out the WE ARE GOING TO WIN WIN WIN WERE GOING TO WIN SO MUCH YOUR GOING TO ASK ME MR. PRESIDENT WE'RE WINNING TO MUCH CAN WE PLEASE STOP WINNING AND IM GOING TO SAY NOOO WERE GOING TO KEEP ON WINNING tweet?
>>62039247paper silvermumstrcircle
Yup, I'm about McFucking done with this life.Hopefully the next life is better to me and us.But, it is the hope that kills you.Goodbye all, I hope you have a good day.
I'll bake, but it's the last time I do something for free here.
reminder that a bunch of illiterate spanish farmers produce more bell peppers than the united statesamerican farming could be so much more efficient
>>62039382Trade MU for MUD until sub 280
>>62039280Responding to bots is a waste of time, engagement is what they want
>>62039384how does one XLM sound
>>62039383No don't, the markets are guaranteed to rally if you do.
>>62039280terrible post take your own advice
GIVE ME BACK MY MONEY YOU STUPID ORANGE MIGGER REEEEEEEEEEEEEEEE
Embrace bibi Long oil
PWAHAHAHAHHAAHAHA
STOP LAUGHING
>>62039406>STOP LAUGHINGno
>>62039338"you are fucking, you are fucking bloody basterd bitch"
new>>62039407>>62039407>>62039407>>62039395sounds like one of those crypto things. I will consider it after talking to my female broker
>>62039203>>MUdogshit pumps 5 % every Goddamn day>>dont buy thinking this has to be the top everyday>>repeat, repeat, repeat>>it keeps pumping>>fuck this shit this dont come down at all might get in then>>it was the top>>baggy now>DEATH TO JEWSSSSSSSSSwhy did you buy after all of that...chasing it. you should know betterbaka
>>62039202I’m surprised the fucker even knows what Kharg is. But apparently he said it.
>>62039307My microstrategy shorts are printing
and just like that im gonna watch jurassic park rn
>>62039183>Oil is $120>Seize a Russian tanker by the pussy.>Oil now $0 (free)Idk seems like their plan is working to me.
>>62039672how can I short free oil ?
>>62039680By shorting shipping futures of course.
