>Quick RundownBeryl is a bat out of hell. There is much uncertainty in the path given that much of it is dependent on intensity. Well, this has blown every model out of the water in terms of intensity. What does this mean? Well, the more intense it is, the more it will feel the upper steering currents pushing it northerly. This would imply a stronger storm would be more northern and thus more of a threat for the GOM. Further out it's more uncertain than in other situations.>Sats and visualshttps://weather.cod.edu/satrad/https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/index.phphttps://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/TC.htmlhttps://realearth.ssec.wisc.edu/?products=MIMICTPW2E.100&×pan=-30t&animationspeed=100&animate=true>Info and Datawww.nhc.noaa.govwww.ndbc.noaa.gov>Modelshttps://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/http://spaghettimodels.com/https://www.ventusky.com/storm.aoml.noaa.gov>Twitter Feedshttps://twitter.com/TropicalTidbitshttps://twitter.com/NHC_Atlantichttps://twitter.com/Jeff_Piotrowskihttps://twitter.com/RyanMauehttps://twitter.com/hurricanetrackhttps://twitter.com/NWShttps://twitter.com/OSUWXGUY>Preparations and Safetyhttps://www.redcross.org/get-help/how-to-prepare-for-emergencies/types-of-emergencies/hurricane.htmlhttps://www.ready.gov/hurricaneshttps://www.weather.gov/safety/hurricanePrevious >>472846582
>>472874428Based baker.
>Let's just get this out of the way
>>472874428Sup anons
>>472874428Nigger.
total rasta death edition
>>472874659And this
Anyone know when we get new updates?
>>472874915roll
why does everybody hate Tampa?
>>472875337because Ybor
>>472874659>>472874915Since we're all here, I have an announcement to make regarding the status of the great city of Jacksonville...
>>472874915test
>>472875337Everyone loves Tampa. We just get teased every year with no direct hit. I want to experience a direct hit.
>>472875337As far as I know they haven't been hit by a major hurricane. Last season, there was a hurricane that looked like it was going to hit and we were rolling for TTD but it switched course and got blue balled. So we are owed some TTD.
if a tornado is the finger of god, what body part is this?
>>472875337Because it's full of niggers.
>>472875721The eye.
>>472875816
>>472875721I dunno manA tornado looks like a dick and a hurricane eye looks an awful lot like a bumhole
>>472874428She is getting fucked by some wind shear right now, sadly. Curious if after the shear and landfall over the peninsula if she will have enough time over the warm gulf to intensify.
>>472875721Titty
>>472876031>Curious if after the shear and landfall over the peninsula if she will have enough time over the warm gulf to intensify.That is the million dollar question
>>472874428Here's on for Carlos.Hurricane doing a beryl-roll.
I am taking a rest, see you tomorrow.
Here is Accuweather's current projected path
>>472876635Good night Bulgaria anon
>>472876635you need to be at work by 5am?
rolling for unexpected tampa direct hit
>>472875337niggers and kikeshttps://suno.com/song/4628610e-6e49-49dc-9585-868e72ef56e5
also hope this is live tomorrow https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=h0E93nmFO1A
>>472876690Category two buckos. Suck my dick, cosmologist anon.
>>472876766Such is life in Bulgaria
>>472876818As a former HH65A pilot, I'd like to have a word with you about this bastardized image of a Coast Guard helo
>>472877764cooooool
This thing is going straight up the Chesapeake!
I fell asleep before the morning update, did it go over 165?
I have this feeling that houston is once again fucked.
>>472875337Because we are invincible!
>>472879339yeah it hit 185
>>472879459already been a very wet year in houston, and they never handle rain well
frens
>>472874806cute
>>472876911isn't that every city?
Just got done cleaning up from that Mexican wind storm…I’ll be happy for some rain tho
>>472881596pretty
>>472881596lol why would you calk that and not just overlap the ridge panels. suns just going to bake that calk and peal it off eventually
>>472875337because cucks are mad we never get hit thanks to the native injuns building their burial mounds here
>>472875721whispering eye
>>472882218Lol I’m not a roofer dammit…I did overlap, and put it underneath…it was under the overlap originally so I just tried it redo it.
>>472882895
>>472882996put a strip of aluminum flashing over it if you want it to last a long time
5PM advisories are outhttps://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at2+shtml/203520.shtml?cone#contents
>>472881596Did Ray Charles caulk that with his feet?
estero FL here. theres a weird tension still in the air. everyone looks scared, as if we are all collectively thinking that this storm could take a turn into the gulf and be the end of us. hell i even saw some guys arguing over water bottle packages in Publix earlier.
>>472883615>still a cat 4Kek. What an absolute nothingburger
>>472876690Rolling for complete bypass of Yucatán and direct houston hit.
Latest HWRF showing a much stronger storm reaching Jamaica compared to yesterdays runs. There's been a persistent under initialization of intensity leading to an underestimation of how well it can fight the increased shear.
>>472883829I didn’t even know Estero survived Ian
>>472883615Does the "top left"/NW part of the storm contain the strongest winds? As in, if the eye goes over the southern edge of Jamaica, does that mean MORE damage will be done to the island since it's getting the top left part?
>>472884277What have you done anon?>>472884421I think it's the NE but I'm not sure
>>472884277Checked. Houston is fucked
>>472884277checked
>>472877377based tax evader
>>472884555Me? Check your own digits. It’s over for Houston
>>472884277>tfw houstonianbeen a while since we've had a comfy hurricane day, I'll welcome it
Harvey wasn't even a direct for Houston. The last hurricane that was a direct hit was hurricane Ike. Houston is over due for one
>>472884421This was the latest fly through and should give an idea of the wind speed in the different quadrants>>472884743Funny thing is that I am in Houston. I just hope we don't get a windstorm. My neighborhood has never flooded, so I'm not worried about a rain event.
Florida bros.... You have confirmed zero on your weapon optic this year.. Right?
>>472884421>>472884555Nearly always the NE when there's a nearly symmetric circulation.
Looking at the geography of Jamaica, it's going to be a water world once this beast makes landfall.There's a shitload of buildings that are built into valleys along with a lot of dirt roads and this is going to dump a ton of water in there.Then a good chunk of it will wash towards the already flooded Kingston that's getting fucked by the wind.It's going to get interesting.
>>472884277Rolling for Houston hit because it'll break the heat out here on the llano
Could Beryl hit Jamaica as a CAT 5?
>>472884923It'll be a windstorm dude.
>>472885321The lakes need it, my boat ramp is still closed.
>>472884821Bluestate niggers still don't realize we don't scare easy. Beryl could be made of fire and throwing 50 cals instead of lightening and we'd be out in our yards returning fire.
>>472884932i have not been shooting in forever. but.. i can still sling lead on target with the best of them.. i will get over to the range at some point here soon. been wanting to shoot. outside reading right now with Florida hurricane cat at the ready. still nothing to report, all is calm..for now.
>>472885426RIP. Such a wet spring and we're the same, fire bans and all.
>>472885242No Jamaican has started preparing yet either. If they were smart, they would set up shelter up on the Blue Mountains
>>472885378Maybe not. I figure we'll know for sure after the Yucatan.
>>472884923you get hit by that crazy windstorm in May? I live downtown, was pretty wild>>472885455I'll never understand why northerners are always so scared of hurricanes. unless it's a particularly vicious one, it just means a lazy day of drinking beer and reading books
Torontofag here. How fucked am I?
>>472885762>fire bans on 4th of JulyYikes. Must suck living in a 3rd world shithole
>>472886227>living in TorontoYou’re fucked no matter what
>>472886227extremely, but for many other reasons
>>472886226>you get hit by that crazy windstorm in May? I live downtown, was pretty wildNot too bad and it was weird. I am south of I-10 and that seemed to be some sort of demarcation line.
>>472886344Warm skies with a 100%of attempted rape with smelly hindu peepee.
>>472885842Have you ever been to Jamaica?They're on Jamaican time.
>>472885842>If they were smartYeaah that's not going to happen for melanin rich reasons.We got to remember that nigs exist on nigger time, which is just existing in the present.The future nig that has to die in a freak storm, is someone else and it's not the present moment nigs problem what happens to that guy.When the storm hits, these guys are going to go on a historical looting spree.They'll rob every shoe store blind and some of them might even steal a generator or two.It's going to be a shitshow.
>>472874915No days off for Floridians if any digits occur.
I wake
>>472875481I'll bite. I don't go in that shithole to begin with.
>>472886889Time to pull your dick out of your uncle and prepare for the evening.
>>472886953Jacksonville Beach area is pretty but i personally do not venture into that area unless passing through. >>472875481
>>472886889Give us the good news of TTD!
>>472887213No
news of total gridlock in mandeville with people trying to get gas and supplies
>>472887610How's the chalice situation looking?
>>472887610Stay safe mon
>>472886833Nigger time mixed with island and Jamaican time is a recipe for disaster
so the model was right after all
>>472886227Prepare for 100k hurricane fugees
>>472888789all from india
>>472884932Dialed in and ready if needed in 904>>472885501Swamp storm cat says Jamaica is gonna get REKT. Yea, she is very vocal and lets her thoughts be known
>>472888789Hawk Tua girl taught all these white girls what to do just in time
>>472890106ohhhh verrrry nice. she is pretty. that is your Bengal eh? coool
>>472890106not sure if you were here earlier, will repost this
>>472888475https://www.amren.com/features/2014/05/confessions-of-a-public-defender/ This, says the same thing/
>>472890290Yep, it's her. I crashed out early last night. I had her out back near the creek a couple of days ago and she treed a racoon lol
>>472884923If Harvey didn’t flood you this won’t
>>472885321>it’ll break the heat on the llanoIt’ll just turn it into swamp ass. It’s all I’ve been getting the last 3 weeks in OKC
>>472890409He's a handsome boi
>>472875337I visited Tampa once and I thought it was pretty nice.>>472875721Bergina>>472886297No, I'm in Texas. Not whatever third world niggerhive you're in.
>>472890567ugg i had to trap them here for a while. they are like mini grizzly bears when you are up close and personal. they would come back into my screen porch and fuck up the screen and get after the outdoor cat's chow. they are smart but a pain in the ass. the neighbors keep feeding them like morons. if you ever need to trap them use marshmallows. coon bait they cannot resist. pic attached is some milkweed for the butterflies and a pineapple plant i am bringing back to life.
>>472890900I miss bottle rockets so much. Give me bottle rockets and black cats and I am a happy camper.
>>472891076Nice, the coon she treed has kits in a big brushpile along the creek. I've heard the little ones chirping but haven't seen them yet. I had a momma coon last year that would come up on the deck and steal cat food while I was sitting not 5 feet away watching. Big thicc girl she was.
>>472876094Titties would be the big hurricane hot towers.
>>4728766902 full days over the gulf, if shes together like katrina, well 2 days got her from cat 1 to 175 mph.
>>472874428A fucking hurricane in hurricane season?How do you not believe in climate change yet?Welcome to the new normal I guess.
>>472884348Jesus christ, the surge into kingston will be 25ft.
>>472891996>cat 4 in JuneYou’re a retarded climate denier
What are we eating tonight gentlemen?
>>472891778I don't mind raykins too much in FL. Unless they're rabid they tend to stay away from humans. Sometimes you'll see a mama foraging for food during the day but that's about it. Cute little things.
>>472892128And when does Cat 4 hurricane season begin typically?
>>472888728More or less, idk what you were so worried about
>>472874428Gentlemen, has anyone has ever been so far as decided to run an analysis of Florida landfall locations and which pubsub was on sale at the time? I think this could be some promising research.
>>472886833Just imagine how many white women are on the island waiting to be raped by hordes of starving niggers. I am surprised flights are not full coming into the island.
Hurricane Beryl will scour Jamaica clean of all niggers, leaving it to become a new white man's paradise.
>will lose strength before impacting Mexico Dis zum bullshit
>>472876690me
update: it's hot as shit send the fucking rain now
>>472874659
>>472892145having a hungry man again eh? probably a salad. still waiting on my last grill part. it was delayed until hopefully tomorrow.
>>472892220August
>>472892528Didn't have one last night so I decided tonight was the night.
>>472892220Graphic is about a month old but you get the idea
>>472892260this could prove to be valuable
>>472892243>i dOnT kNoW wHy yOu wErE sO wOrRiEdhttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ae96xf293Dc
>>472876690dang that's coming right through my neighbor. Probably skirt thr coast and make land fall north of corpus.
>>472892837My parents live in brownsville and it looks like it's going to go right up their asses. They have good windows but the roof is what i'm worried about.
>>472892145Wife made me meatballs lathered in tomato pesto sauce. Shredded cheese for toppings along with hot garlic bread.
>>472892754Yeah but Maria was well forecast to affect PR ahead of timehttps://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2017/MARIA.shtmlJust like Beryl has been forecast consistently to pass well to your south.
>>472892998Good stuff. We are going to probably make swedish meatballs tomorrow night and see if our kid goes for it.
>>472892998>>472893126you guys ever do crockpot meatballs with grape jelly served with toothpicks? i just put them on my list. i love those things. so good. pic attached is a meal i made in the crockpot a couple weeks ago.
>>472892145YOU should get a crockpot. throw some cheap ingredients in, set it and forget it. easy peasy
>>472893519I've only had them at parties but never made them myself. I remember gobbling those up as a kid.
>>472893636I do have one and we do use it. My mom gave me hers. I just made the hungryman because webhave one night where i don't cook and I wound up making dinner. Tonight i'm taking it easy.
>>472893519You can also soak the meatballs in a mixture of current jelly and yellow mustard.
>>472893519grim
>>472886226Nothing is rated to stand tall in the face of god in the North.
>>472893853Shouldn't you be dodging street signs, coconuts, and the children you abandoned? Pot roast is good.
>>472893519Is that beef? And all of that in the crockpot together for how long? And did you use broth? or water
>>472893991Pretty sure I've been to that Publix shopping complex before
>>472893519I've had crockpot meatballs but never with grape jelly.
>>472894113its corned beef because it was cheap for a big hunk of it. probably about 2 cups of water, 6 quart crock pot. i want the 8 quart, need more space for the cabbage.
>>472894113about 5 hours on high
>>472893991haha, thats great
the last i looked on ventusky dot com it looked like the hurricane was going east of houston
>>472893519Now that's a mans meal. Good and hearty
>>472894429>ventusky dot comStick to the big boy models pleasehttps://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/https://www.spaghettimodels.com/
>>472894301>>472894256cool thanks.
NHC update should be out soon.
>>472894572>>472894429Just noticed that ventusky is linked in the OP but still it's only a fancy visualization of models found on tropicaltidbits where you can swap between the various ones albeit it iirc the site lags behind a little.>going east of houstonStill within the range of possible outcomes but uncertainty at this point is quite high.
Speaking of models here's a graph for intensity models and error means for Beryl so farhttps://x.com/tropicalupdate/status/1808248277827215680
>>472894602oh, you are going to need to set it for 6 hours. (one hour to heat up and get going) but the actual cook time is about 5 hours on high. so figure 6 on high, throw in the cabbage if you are making that part for the last 30 minutes to hour of the cook on top.so veggies, then meat on top, then cabbage above that, at the end.
>>472894931Further context to add:>Thanks to the invaluable @Weathernerds satellite & ensemble track overlay, we can see Beryl is already verifying in the northern end of the EPS ensemble envelope.>Which does makes sense - ensemble members that are farther south are also too weak vs. observations.>As latitude is generally self-correlated - a farther north short term track also remains farther north at Yucatan landfall - we can likely rule out the southern & weak tracks from the EPS.>The northern tracks also align with hurricane models bringing Beryl close to Cozumel.https://x.com/burgwx/status/1808285519786254725
>>472893991southern groceries are just simply better. publix, winn dixie, HEB
>>472894063the meat is fine but those potatoes are more neglected than my illegitimate childrennot to mention those wack ass carrotsdo better
>>472896440they are red potatoes and the carrots are normal carrots that i skinned and hand cut. do you ever slow cook anything? i can leave the potatoes whole but they take up more room in the crockpot even though they are small.
Stepping away for a bit but here's some fresh content another anon made in last night's thread.
>>472896897and w/ blowing some outer rainband smoke included
>>472896440Jamaicabro, you got your shit bolted down and ready for tomorrow?
Good luck Jamaica stay safe. Us Tampa anons can only imagine what you are going through.
>>472874428just a reminder they have created this storm to distract from the whole biden shit show
>>472896632desu I'm biased against crock potsI'm sure you enjoyed it>>472897577no we have a big fuck off glass window that no prep was done for so I'm rawdowding a minimum cat 3 with an excellent viewI fully expect it to get obliterated but it wasn't on me so fuck it we ball
>>472898878Stay safe man and update us tomorrow if you are able to.
>>472874806>no sauce evenThe fuck, why.Literally the only reason to have bagged spaghetti is because you can conveniently carry around an inherently messy dish without having to worry about the mess.Wasted.Just absolutely wasted. And she's using a fucking BPA (and their xenoestrogenic analogs) filled Ziploc bag too.I'm getting legitimately angry.>>472875721Well we've got titty nimbus' (Mammatus clouds).Tornadoes are all pricks and dickheads.Guess a hurricane could be construed as an anus, with the eyewall being the protruding prolapsed part.
>>472900621>no sauce evenAt least it isn't ramen
>>472892145oh anon........
>>472900621
>>472899815I'm thinking power will shit the bed around 12 tomorrowwill keep my phone tethered to a charger tillonly text updates because hiroshimoot blocked uploads from Firefox or something and I'm too lazy to use chrome
>>472900950why don't you just buy a generator?
I've been looking at the updates and haven't seen much new. This is from accuweather radar. Shouldn't be too long until Jamaica starts experiencing an uptick in wind and wave action.>>472900950Yes, I will be looking for your updates in the morning. The good news is that this one is moving fast, so it shouldn't last too long
>>472901015you got generator money, nigga?I do but I cba
>>472900950I'm assuming you're on the south coast. I've been to Ocho Rios a couple times. Beautiful place.What will Beryl do for the cruise business - anything out of Kingston?
>>472901015It's Jamaica. He might as well paint a target on his house and leave his bike unlocked and unattended outside. Generators are loud AF when the power is out.
>>472901463Just don't turn it on. Keep it in the shed and smirk at all the poor niggers don't have one.
>>472898878...dude.At least nail tarp or some shit behind it, so that glass shards don't get absolutely everywhere (I know that I tarp isn't going to last for shit in straight on 100+ mph winds, but if that's not the case and it's something like some other debris hits its and cracks a portion of it, at least it'll be somewhat contained You at least have another room that you can hunker down in and move shit into (food, clothing, sleeping items, ect..), so you don't have to worry about glass getting into everything... right?Fuck glass.It fractures conchoidally, it's sharp, and fucks up everything in even the smallest forms. And it gets everywhere once it's broken.
>>472901463Solar generators work fine. plus you can even just get some small solar panels to keep you internet and phone running the power usage would be minimal.
>>472896897>>472896990kek thanks for reposting fren
>>472901557Kek. I envisioned Jamaica anon in his shed alone, wiping down his generator with a WD-40 soaked rag and smiling to himself.>>472901618True, solar would be a good option.
>>472875337Fuck you Tampa bro here. I love it. You're just jealous because we are the only place to have an Indian blessing against hurricanes.
>>472881093yeah sadly
>>472900898He is a great man ahead of his time.And like all great men, extremely misunderstood.
>>472876818Rolling for New Orleans
>>472902025those (((seminole))) arent the real ones. the real ones didnt surrender, and disappeared in south florida, ol hickory said fuck that shit and turned around and left.
>>472902141go away
>>472902036I chuckled
>>472892145steaks, green beansmight have some eggs later too
>>472902371looks comfy
>>472902278Rolling again, Byrel will be the new Katrina.
Houston is fucked. This thing is entering the Gulf of Mexico as a hurricane. It's proven everyone wrong
>>472902431it is, fren. God bless Florida.
