>>141001313
Medjedovic, Siegemund and Samsonova all won. Marozsan lost. 3 wins and 1 loss so far. Waiting for Munar - Tiafoe to finish tomorrow. Also Parry predictably lost 2-0 but as I said that was a longshot anyway >>140981799


Lots of matches being played tomorrow so the list of picks is a bit longer:

Over 2.5 sets in Wong - Kypson @2.7

Hassan to beat Molleker @2

Samsonova to beat Fernandez @1.7

Errani to beat Li @1.5

Capurro Taborda to beat Marino @2.4

Carle to beat Rus @1.85

Wang to beat Zhu @1.95

How to write a blog
>open /bet/
>blog

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i bet because i wanted them to choke their 3 goal lead
not make 18 cents profit
what was gary bettman thinking -__-

I should've bet the Stars and Panthers to win game 6. I should've bet Xander Schauffele after round 3 @3.4. I should've bet T1 to beat G2. I should've bet the Timberwolves +5. I should've not cashed out after the 2nd period when I saw the other goalie pumping his fists when they tied the game. I should've bet my lacrosse parlay. Cant say what I'm paying for really. You'd think experience helps but every day feels different and every play is so I can see what happens. I really don't know what, but sometimes I feel like I do. They say time is money. You know from a certain previous point in the day from another in the near future you'll either have it or not. I wonder what game I'm playing with myself. I know it has nothing to do with sports betting but making up for something else that went wrong in my past. Was it a single moment like a puck ringing off the post or was it a long futures bet at a critical time I had to rise to the occasion, but didn't realize it? The minute they give out more bonus bets is when you'll see society has truly fallen. Then the trials and tribulations that make us stronger will be gone entirely.

>>141026230
any reason for samsonova and wang to not try here?

>>141035173
Not sure I quite understand your concerns. You're worried that these 2 particular players won't try that much since RG is right around the corner and they will try to save energy for that? But the same thing should apply to their opponents.

1 ufc card for the next month, thanks daner

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Is there any reason not to take this bet for Monaco?

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Easy money :)

Djokovic to win 2-0 against Hanfmann @1.35 in Geneva tomorrow looks worth considering. I do not think Hanfmann is the kind of player who will keep it close even if Djokovic has been pretty off lately. Going to keep an eye on it to see if some money comes in on Hanfmann.

>>141037766
>easy
lol, you pussy footed around until the last moment and then disappeared until after game 7
you’re a faggot and your shit’s all retarded

>>141037766
I agreed with Nuggetsanon, didn’t think Minnesota had a chance. I kneel

Any UFCanons here? Is Dustin Poirier +400 a good bet? I’ve seen him fight a few times and he always looks good

>>141036265
I’d rather have an off week than a shit Apex card

>>141026230
5 wins and 2 losses. Only things that didn't work were the over 2.5 sets and Capurro Taborda bets. Munar did end up losing to Tiafoe after the delay but still pretty good day overall.

Been looking at tomorrow's matches but not fully decided on some calls yet. Definitely liked today's list better. Will post what I've decided on later.

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>>141043262
>lol, you pussy footed around until the last moment
That was actually your broke bitch ass who said you would post a slip when you went to the casino tomorrow then waited two hours before tipoff
>and then disappeared until after game 7
I posted about it multiple times, posting my live bets through the first couple games
Why are you such a salty broke bitch?

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>>141045218
Its okay, I thought it was a toss-up lean Minnesota. It was a see-saw series. That was the whole point before schizo bitch had a mental breakdown that someone disagreed with him and asked him to cash a check his ass couldn't cash. Nobody even posted about this series after the first two games lol, this general is sadly done for good.

>>141045251
Definitely worth a sprinkle. He has a legitimate punchers chance, not large but its hard to pass dog money that wide on DP even if you thinks it's not his fight

>>141045251
he always gets submitted, pisslam submission would probably be like -150

is anyone playing anything live? Like basketball, football etc?

>>141043086
Djokovic's odds have actually dropped so I'm staying away. 2-0 might still be playable live if he has a slow start to the match but not going for anything pre-match.

>>141045606
Wolf to beat Kypson @1.75

Griekspoor to beat Shapovalov @2

Humbert to beat Koepfer @1.55

Sramkova to beat Fruhvirtova @1.6

Lys to beat Sun @2.2

>>141036569
A team who knows they can't win but wants the pole anyway for points can set the car up to go fast for a single lap knowing it'll fall off in the longrun. The gap between Max and the field has narrowed significantly over the past few races. He knows he's going to have to use his racecraft to win now. This includes focusing on longrun speed and managing tires. Winning poles are for ferrari and mclaren now. The trend is that Max is going to have to pass people to win now not only on the start but in the race.

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Taking this bet for the Europa League
Pussied out and made it so I don’t have to get everything right

>>141045251
I like the overs. I think this gets to the championship rounds. You can get plus money on over 2.5 and over 3.5

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>>141058453
>betting players
>betting shots
>betting shots on target
And bookie says "too bad goy, that was a pass aimed at the post so doesn't count"

Just take the tie, its a final the losing team will do everything to score an equalizer.

>>141050483
Based
Already made a profit with one match and a parlay remaining

>>141045251
Makhachev is not a good matchup for Dustin. Puncher's chance and nothing more. The best bet is Islam by sub

>>141065347
NTA he's using a 'daily fantasy' app which doesn't allow you to wager on the outcome of the game. all you can bet is player props like the pic he posted

>>141037766
Going wolves again?
I am
4-1 id say and ML today is a lock

Tenniskraut and UFCanon are the two stars of /bet/ tbqfh

>>141051015
Interesting.
Maybe a Lando pole then

>>141050483
Wolf, Sramkova and Lys all won. Humbert lost after winning the first set. I think he's on a big downward trend. Really anemic play lately. Could just be trying to save energy for RG but I think he's starting to slump. Might be an early round fade at RG but have to see the draw first obviously. Shapovalov - Griekspoor got interrupted by rain so it's continuin tomorrow. Griekspoor down but I hope the delay let's him regain some momentum. Definitely still winnable for him.
Also hope someone took Djokovic 2-0 >>141043086 because these odds were generous for a win over someone like Hanfmann.
Picks for tomorrow:

Vacherot to beat Harris 2-0 @2.15

Mpetshi Perricard to beat Gaston @1.85

Over 2.5 sets in Burillo Escorihuela - Teichmann @2.6

Montgomery to beat Jeanjean @1.4

Samsonova to beat Haddad Maia @2.1

During 51 games this season I didn't bet on Bayer Leverkusen.
Guess what I did today?

>>141068253
I like that. Maybe 6 games but I'd go Minnesota. I'm hoping they drop Game 2 to get some decent Game 3 value. I made up a lot just live betting ML during the games

>>141067052
Nice, what parlay?

>>141025955
I'm new to betting, and after talking to coworkers about sports betting I decided to give it a shot. But 30$ in to start, quickly realized that I suck at guessing who will win games and quickly gave up on sports betting after dropping to 25$.

But then I discovered roulette on the app and I became a god who fell down the rabbit hole far to quickly. I was up 40$ at 70$ in my account last night after slow grinding upwards using the nightingale strategy, but then I woke up this morning and decided to try again while I was still really tired. I lost all 70$ after grinding nonstop for the last week. split 1$ across the left and right dozen, leaving the center open. In the hundreds of games that I had played to that point I had never seen the middle column get hit 7 times in a row which destroyed me and brought me down to a few dollars.

I managed to climb may way up from 7 dollars to 28 using the Romanovsky strat but then lost it all as I couldn't stop wagering even though I knew I should have. I was addicted. Now I have 0$ in my account and -24.50 overall since I cashed out some winnings.

I'm done... Because the next time I do play I'm going to put in like, 300-400$ in order to give myself more buffer space for low bid nightingale strats. Fuck this shit I hate how addicting it is but fucking love it all the same.

>>141070851
Just ml on your picks in that post except Humbert I was too late to add that one. I cashed out on Griekspoor so I made 15 bucks on a small 4 leg cashed out
I know nothing of tennis so I played it small but made some solid change from straight ml on the others thanks bd

>>141070761
I obviously don't know anything about your betting habits but try to stay away from "chasing streaks". Not betting on them all season implies you don't follow the league so you just tried to chase the on-going streak which is generally not a good idea. Try to catch teams/players on a potential end of a streak or try to see if you can tell a streak is starting to grow and develop.

>>141068315
I dont think Lando can get it done at a street course he's never qualified better than 5th for. Even his car is faster now. He tends to press and over drive corners. Last year Max sent it into the last corner in a risky move and got the pole. But I dont think he can do that move again. That leaves leclerc whos gotten the pole at Monaco in 22 and 21.

>>141068253
Mavs are winning lol biggest grift in history i feel like I'm the only one who sees they need a feel out game while mavs can just pick them apart. That GET YA ASS mentality won't fly for a conference finals if you're the wolves.

>>141025955
hey /sp/, i'm looking into expanding my online betting but my friend in the UK has all these cool casino games

I know i'm a sucker but i don't just want to toss him my money and beg him to play with it, how can i play UK based casino apps from the US? Will a vpn set me up enough or do i need to get a ukie account

>>141072408
Fair enough
>>141073515
Yeah god damn mavs couldn’t buy a 3 and still got it done. Think I might have to fade this series

>>141045251
don't do it. take the -550 and enjoy your 18% ROI

>>141078895
I think they got a dose of reality and know how important the 2-0 lead was for them vs the nuggets so they'll make up for their mistakes. Apart from the looks from 3 I didn't think they looked that bad.

>>141070761
i had boosted odds for over 2.5 so i bet that

Griekspoor with the comeback over Shapovalov. Definitely think the rain delay helped. Shouldn't have cashed out man >>141071035

>>141070647
Adding Griekspoor to win a set against Djokovic @2.5 later today.

>>141070647
Wins: Vacherot 2-0, Mpetshi Perricard and Samsonova

Losses: Over 2.5 sets Burillo Escorihuela - Teichmann and Montgomery

Pretty mad I didn't just take Burillo Escorihuela to win a set. I was initially eyeing the ML and thought that would be too greedy so I went with over 2.5 sets expecting a close match. Of course it was Teichmann then as the clear favourite who didn't in a set. Need to be more careful with over 2.5 sets and just take the underdog to win a set if the odds are lopsided enough. Too greedy again. Was also too greedy with Griekspoor who lost 2-0 to Djokovic >>141084619. He should have won the first set. Had the perfect opportunity to break late in the set. Didn't use it and lost. Match was over after he lost that first set. At least Griekspoor did end up beating Shapovalov. Still kind of ok day because of Samosnova and Vacherot thankfully.


Picks for tomorrow:

- Wolf to beat De Jong @2.1

- Lys to beat Zakharova @1.5

- Starodubtseva to beat Stakusic @1.7

- Over 2.5 sets in Errani - Ruse @2.4

- Samsonova to beat Keys @2.25

>>141091243
Lots of first round matches for RG are up. I have some clear first impressions and leans but I need to take a better look at everything. Will likely share some initial bets tomorrow evening.

>>141094468
thanks anon, i'd really like a breakdown of your bets and i'd consider mirroring you once i see a bit of histroy

>>141096473
One thing I will share now I just noticed. I usually don't recommend futures bets but Djokovic seems to have booked a practice session at RG on for Friday for 5pm. You can check on the official RG site under the practice schedule. He would be playing the Geneva semis against Machac tomorrow. I assume he has made the decision to withdraw from Geneva but hasn't officially announced it yet. If he were to play the Geneva semis and win he would have to play the final and that would be too close to his first round match for him. So he would rather withdraw before the semis. Keep in mind this is speculation but what's not speculation is that his name is listed under practice sessions for Friday on the official RG site.

So to sum it up if your book features a "Machac to make the final" futures bet I would definitely take that. It's not the same as Machac to beat Djokovic obviously because this is banking on his withdrawal. Ruud seems like the obvious Geneva winner with Djokovic out so he's also an option to bet on before the official withdrawal announcement is made.

>>141096946
thanks man this is really fascinating information on how a "side channel" attack can reveal the future predictions before the market!

>>141096972
Can you check what odds you're getting for Machac to make the final if you have that option available? I only see the winner of the tournament option.

>>141097026
There are probably some bookies somewhere that have it available but I don't see it and don't want to bother searching around too much.

Next option would be to simply throw some money on Ruud to win Geneva (he's most likely beating Cobolli) and then a little on Machac's long odds. If the final really is Machac - Ruud then it's a guaranteed profit regardless of outcome. That of course assumes that Djokovic withdraws and that Ruud really does end up beating Cobolli but I think both of these will happen.

>>141045251
Listen to the anon below he's on the right track. Most likely Dustin gets choked out in the 2nd-3rd and hangs up the gloves after the loss
>>141068111

UFC 302
Hafez (-290/1.35) will crush Gall. Gall's only hope is to land a meme sub from his back. Hafez is stronger than Gall, really good wrestling. Won't be close.

Maddy Keys win a set -650 / Notre Dame lacrosse -750 / Oscar Piastri Top 10 -750 / Tony Finau golf top 20 = -108

>>141100909
seems unnecessarily sweaty

>>141097354
Just checked the practice schedule again. Djokovic not listed anymore for the day. Also no news on any potential withdrawal. He must have decided overnight that he's still going to play in Geneva. These practice sign-ups aren't things that happen by accident. Guess tournament directors let it slide because it's Djokovic. They also didn't schedule him for Sunday so maybe Djokovic actually thinks it's fine if he stays for the semis and final. Might still see some tanking if his opponents trouble him too much but the withdrawal seems to be a pipe dream.

Looks like Machac is advancing even without Djokovic's withdrawal. Hope someone took him to make the final.

on both teams to score is it generally better to bet on yes or no? they all seem like a 50/50 to me

>>141109869
If both teams are going to score, then bet yes
otherwise bet no

got 50 to my name and need to bet to make rent
whats the play lads

>>141110319
Salt lake to win vs dallas up 2

Salt lake top league Dallas shit tier rank 10

>>141025955

New /bet/tor here just bought 3 books on horse betting.

Betting on the ponies popular here?

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What do you think? Feeling good because I bet under 6 for the stars and oilers and won last night.

>>141110956
A must win for the Rangers doesn't favor the under . They found their offensive zone structure at the end of the 3rd after Florida strung them along holding their lead. Rangers won't let in much but Panarin and them are going to score a lot on Bobrovsky tonight.

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>>141111295

>>141111461
Its okay idk shit about whats happening the panthers are the better team i just can't imagine MSG not rocking tonight but the conference finals are trending under. The over would be breaking a trend. Playoff hockey has a tendency where goals don't come easy. They're trying to outphysical each other. But the Rangers can score in bunches. Still doesn't mean the under cant hit if they do. 3-0 Rangers is in play.

>>141111461
>>141113034
Just let it ride is what I'm sayin

>>141113034
>>141113068
I will never financially recover from that 10 dollar bet if it goes over

>>141113498
Ayy gotta fight for every penny out here

>>141091243
Wins: Lys and Starodubtseva

Losses: Wolf, Samsnovoa and Over 2.5 sets in Errani - Ruse. Pretty mad about the over bet. Like usual wanted to just take her to win and decided to go with the over instead. To be fair it was a really close match. Just didn't go to a third set. Wolf and Samsnova were just bad picks, happens. Not the best day but at least Machac did advance to the final. Let's see if Ruud does the same for the finals prediction.


Here are some bets for the first round of RG:

Munar to beat Bautista-Agut @1.8

Navone to beat Carreno-Busta 3-0 @2.15

Wawrinka to beat Murray @1.5

Atmane to beat Ofner @2.3

Zidansek to win 2-0 against van Uytvanck @2

Kudermetova to beat Bouzkova @1.85

Bouzas Maneiro to beat Fett @1.5

Mldadenovic to beat Martic @5

Also wanted to go with Altmaier to beat Djere but the odds have been pushed down too far. He's @1.5 now which I don't like enough. There still some other stuff I'm eyeying but tried not to go too overboard for now. That's 8 picks already.

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So no one is into An Athletes?

>>141114942
i've tried horse betting maybe 10 times in my life and i lose, lose, lose. even doing simple stuff like making WPS bets on one of the top 3 picks, i just lose. horse betting is impossible

Are we still doing Mariners unders? Tough sledding the last couple weeks

>>141115026
Sorry about that

I've gone to track 2 times and just bet based on names and numbers etc... I hit the trifecta and now I'm hooked and trying to learn more. Its a really fascinating sport. As I read more ill pass on what I know to fellow anons.

>>141114651
Boulter to beat Badosa seems tempting given the recent relationship drama that Badosa has been involved in just recently. Broke up with Tsitsipas and just got together with him again. Doesn't seem like tennis is her number one focus right now. My only problem is the odds for Boulter aren't wide enough for me to actually go for it. @3.4 for a British player with few good clay performances seems about right even if she has been in good form lately. Might be something to consider if the odds keep rising.

Rangers scored early.. everyone will settle in.. good time to get under 6.5

Aaand it's gone

Minnesota is mush. Dallas is dimes.

>>141097354
Ruud just beat Cobolli. There's the Machac - Ruud final. Ruud needed 3 sets and a last set tiebreak to win. Think Machac will win the final. If he's anything above 2.3 I'm betting on him to win the final.

>>141128256
See Machac @2.5 right now. Lots of money coming in on Ruud because I saw 2.2 just a while ago. I think 2.5 is high enough so going with Machac to win now. Final will start pretty soon so that doesn't give Ruud much time to rest from the match with Cobolli.

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>>141110956
Feeling good right now bros

>>141129562
Great choke by Machac. Pretty much had the first set, then started getting nervous and double faults to let Ruud win the set. Afterwards the match was obviously over. Whatever, he made the final so can't complain too much but always disappointing to see these kind of set chokes.

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Bet 11 bucks that Piastri will win Monaco tomorrow

>payout is like 60 bucks

Just need Ferrari to have a Certified Ferrari Moment™

>>141114651
Adding Evans to win a set against Rune @1.8 and over 0.5 tiebreak in Hurkacz - Mochuzuki @2.25

>>141115081
Yes as long as you get under 7.5. They had 5 games in a row that played over 7.5. Last two have been under and today is another under most likely with two good pitchers. Mariners can't fuckin hit besides a solo homer or two. They never go on rallies like good teams

Doing this early because I'll be traveling for work all week leading up to the fights. Odds are from Draft Kings

UFC 302 Saturday 6/1

>Poirier +425 vs Makhachev
Pure value play. It's unlikely Poirier wins, IMO it's a 25%-30% chance not a 19% chance like the odds imply. Islam is hittable, Poirier has hands.

>Morono + Hafez ML parlay -112
Hafez will maul Gall, who has no business in UFC. Morono is less of a sure thing but I still like him to outpoint Price and get the UD. Hafez is a great parlay piece.

>Hafez + Almeida ML parlay -120
Romanov is a fatter, slower, worse version of Almeida. Pure grappler with no gas tank. His only chance is to spark Almeida like Blaydes did.

>Strickland vs Costa over 2.5 -180
Neither guy is a finisher, both have solid chins. This will be a typical Strickland/Costa fight that finishes by decision with a few meme moments

>Zaleski dos Santos +145 vs Brown
These guys are both underrated, solid fighters with good UFC track records. Brown is a lot longer than ZDS and will need to keep him at range. I don't think he'll be able to for 15 minutes. ZDS will swarm Brown and put a beating on him for the late KO or decision win.

>Kopylov -125 vs Cesar Almeida
Two kickboxing specialists. Almeida waited too long to transition to MMA. Kopylov's speed will be the difference, I see Kopylov winning by KO with his bullet of a left high kick

>Rowe +130 vs Matthews
Matthews' recent wins are over tomato cans and he's lost to the good guys he's faced. I am not a Rowe fan but I think he does enough to win a decision with his giant reach advantage. This will be a boring point fight, which suits Rowe. Rowe should be -120 IMO

>>141116546
See Boulter @3.75 now. Would go for it if I didn't already have 10 bets going. Need to draw the line somewhere especially with a longshot. But if the line shifts even further I'll have to go for it.

>>141144220
>1-1 in the 7th
based mariners under bettor

>>141144860
I hate Morono's gas tank. Also have memories of their first fight where Niko slumped him at the first round buzzer. But I don't think Niko has gotten much better if at all.

>atalanta @3.05 vs torino
Why tf is it so high?
Do people think they will get cocky and overconfident from their win on the europa league?

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Did a cheeky "bet on the team you want to lose" thing this morning and it was such a kino 7-3 loss
Leaf poorfags shouldn't be given this much power

>>141139944
Following

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Feels good man

I think a Toyota will win the nascar race but can't find it posted yet. They have Truex, Gibbs, and Reddick. Chevys only have chase elliot or chastain in my opinion. Larson will be off his game and Byron spun in practice. I also like Alex Bowman for top 10. All that said I'm feeling a Truex win +700.

Humbert on a big downward swing. Hope he keeps being a bigger favourite in the near future but I don't think he's going to be doing as well as he has earlier this year. His play seems very anemic and careless. Maybe he has something going on his private life. Either way, he's starting to become really inconsistent again like he was for a long stretch 1-2 years ago. Need to take advantage of that before the bookies adjust too much.

>>141149914
they will still be in a drunk state and they don't really have anything to play for

Bouzas Maneiro was up 4-1 in the third set before the rain delay. Then completely fell apart after they returned. Laughable performance. 3 losses so far. Can already tell with the way things are going this is going to be some 8 out of 10 losses stuff.

>>141171001
jack draper sucks ass
making bank rn off reds and tigers

>>141173708
I know it's easy to say now that he lost but what made you confident in Draper? Didn't see any value in his low odds on clay and given his fitness issues. Was honestly eyeing De Jong but decided against it because I wasn't sure if he would be able to handle the big stage with his lack of experience.

>10 bucks on atalanta @2.6
>5 bucks on napoli-lecce draw @5.5
>came out with 53 bucks
Feels good man
Now that the leagues are over, its time for a break. (Will consider betting on dortmund vs madrid)

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Bet under 5.5 for rangers/panthers and under 5.5 also for oilers/stars

>>141151500
I’m seething like you wouldn’t believe

The red flag fucked me, I was unironically betting on a shitty Ferrari pit stop

The bets you don't make will infinitely hurt more than the ones you lose

>>141114651
>>141142747
Kudermetova, Bouzas Maneiro, Zidansek 2-0, over 0.5 tiebreaks in Hurkacz - Mochizuki and Atmane all lost. Absolutely infuriating throw by Atmane. He was up 2 sets and a break in the third one and then just stopped playing properly. Only thing that worked was Wawrinka to beat Murray.

Very rough day. Not going to do anything for Monday. Just letting the remaining 4 picks ride and hope I can sort of break even. Will also stop going overboard with the amount of picks for these early round matches. Need to narrow it down to 3 or maybe 4. Will probably post some stuff on Tuesday if I haven't already scared away everyone with this terrible start to RG.

Fade all yuropoors

Livebet the Timberwolves

>>141189575
Just did lad

>>141190058
Who wouldve thought it'd end like that?

hello, have any of you begun regularly betting on mtf athletes? I've never gambled before, but this seems like a clear instance of the bag just sitting there, waiting for someone to take it. What would be the best way to go about finding events where I can take advantage of this?

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>>141189575
LOST 100 ON THIS
LUCKILY MY PARLAY HIT AND I RECOVERED

>>141191502
hit this also
fuck me i just wanna make a couple grand off this shit and dip
I keep just breaking even

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>>141191519

>>141189575
lol
Minnesota will not win a title in any major sport for at least another decade.

>>141149903
Morono’s gas tank is fine. He gassed and got finished late in a short notice fight last year. Price sucks

141190802
shut the fuck up

Okay, I'll keep the strategy a secret

>>141025955
Olympiacos Fiorentina predictions?

>>141195220
Well for starters, its gonna be played on OPAP arena, greece.
But its not olympiacos' stadium, its AEK athens' stadium.
Also, we dont know the injury list yet, so its still quite unclear.
I will most likely place a cheeky bet on dortmund though

>>141195220
>Csikszereda Miercurea
>that name

historyfaggs told me your language was romance, but this doesn't make any sense.

>>141200685
Lots of brainwashed hungarians live there

Keeping this thread alive so I can share more questionable RG plays soon

Back to back nights hitting statline parlays in basketball. NBA has been my lifeblood this year

one of the worst days in sports history

>>141211739
get raked, fagget

>>141211853
oh i had a great day, but for sports on may 27th easily one of the worst days in history

Lively out
Surely Gafford 10+reb is a good bet @$2.85- fuck it’s already changing it’s $2.70 now
No way Dallas give substantial minutes to Kleber. Also likely that minny give up on Gobert playing many minutes and try some kind of smaller rotation. Perfect gafford storm.
I’ll do some block and point combos too but 10 Reb looks so good to me.

>>141211702
I think Vegas is giving out easy prop bets to hook people into playing them because they know down the line they can start manipulating players via media mob tactics. Need Devin Booker to under his points one night? Turns out his gf Kylie Jenner was getting freaky with some guys the night before. Ja Morant under? Someone just pulled another gun out on his live again. Not to mention other MKUltra things they can pull. Micah Parsons on his podcast could say he's not feeling at his best then get 3 sacks the next day. It's easier to rig player stats than teams now. It might be easy now but the rug will be pulled soon and everyone will have to fade the public. Not sure if you aren't already, but prizepicks, underdog fantasy, and all that is taking over traditional betting. I'm sure its for a reason. /rant.

>>141205891
wakey wakey hans
I'm gonna bet on bublic because i love gambling

>>141213425
Not even saying he will lose but taking Bublik as the favourite on clay is brave. Not something I would ever consider myself really. I really wonder why Errani is the 2.1 underdog against Schmiedlova. The more I look at it the more I think she will win this.

Betting on bublic is pure coinflip, the odds seemed juicy enough for me.
i know i'm a mug but i generally stay away from betting on the slags.
I think the rune evans match won't be straight sets and djokovic might have a slow start too.

>>141213831
Is it a case of Errani being good or Schmeidlova being bad? You have to make sure the underdog has the game to finish it through and you're not just underrating her opponent.

>>141214573
Despite her age I think that Errani has been a sneakily good clay player this season. She knows she's on her way out so she seems to give it her all for her last few serious events before she really is too old. Thought the same in qualification matches where she kept being underrated by bookies. Schmiedlova just strikes me as the kind of player who can't really bring it when it matters on the big stage. She did make the 4th round at RG last year but if you take a closer look she basically took out a seed who wasn't ready to perform (Kudermetova) and then 2 shitters who aren't really worth talking about. It's probably going to be close but in a close situation like that I trust Errani more on clay. Schmiedlova also just won a title which makes me think she will fall back on that as a comfort if things aren't going her way.

Etcheverry or Cazaux? Interesting match.

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>you can actually bet on the golf match in Happy Gilmore 2

>>141218586
Limit is what, 20 bucks?

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Bet it’ll go over 5.5 tonight in the rangers game

>>141218796
1250 on the negative odds and like 60-80 on the positives

>excelsior bet is gonna lose due to a red card (fully deserved)
ex-cels... its over for us...

>>141214741
Errani with a dominant 6-3 6-2 win. They were both atrocious on serve but that was to be expected. Still not sure what made Schmiedlova the favourite here but not going to complain about bookies underrating Errani recently. Too bad that one single Errani win does not make up for the atrocious losses from
>>141114651
>>141142747
8 losses and the only 2 wins were Wawrinka and Munar. Thank you in particular to Navone who somehow managed to throw the first set just to completely dominate afterwards. Way smaller selection of picks for tomorrow soon.

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>>141220123
>a second red

Boulter was @3.75 pre-match and is now defeating Badosa in what looks like 2 sets. Always the bets you don't take.

>>141220626
For tomorrow:

Ostapenko to beat Tauson @1.5

Vekic to beat Kostyuk @2.5

Anyone gonna go for dortmund?

>>141224690
Cheeky fiver at most

Gafford cardio session wahhh

>>141144860
I saw Poirier at +500. Expecting a late flood of cazzie money on Poirier as the fight approaches. Middle might be possible

>>141144860
Strickland-Costa is a 5 rounder. DK voided my over 2.5 bet and I’m taking over 4.5 +105. This is a decision

All these rain delays in Paris. All the big matches played under a roof which should help players which like indoor conditions more. So far the skill gap between most players on the big courts is too wide but in another round or two things will probably start looking differently if it's still raining by then.

>>141219270
Aren't you 2-3 now?

>>141234592
It wasn’t a good night

>>141234523
All sorts of matches being played under a roof tomorrow. By Friday it's probably back to the regular schedule.

Conference league final to end in a draw

>>141239039
0-0 even, nice

Stupid longshot that will probably lose but have to take it: Errani to beat Navarro @5

>>141144860
>its unlikely poirier wins
understatement. the odds should be -900 for islam he has a 90% chance to win

>>141239039
Americans will bet on football and will love it

These rain delays are going to tire out players who aren't on the main courts because they have to keep restarting and have less rest before the next match. Will keep that in mind for the next few days.

>>141224032
Vekic won and Ostapenko lost. Underdog win so I'll take it. Let's see if Errani can pull the upset.

>>141256212
Of course Errani lost 2-0. Still think she's being a bit underrated on clay so hope she plays some more clay tournaments later this year. For tomorrow I like Kotov to win a set against Sinner @2.6 since I think he's the kind of player who can trouble Sinner a bit more than the odds indicate.

This place is so dead. Maybe I scared everyone away with my tennis ramblings.

>>141260508
This place has been dead. The original /bet/ fled to discord then so did the revival. Unfortunately any other attempt has gone down with a peep.

>>141260559
It's a shame. Feel like I'm wasting my energy and mostly just talking to myself. I imagine anybody else doesn't feel like saying much either because they're not even getting any real feedback. Not sure what could be done other than just giving up on the general altogether.

>>141260639
Guess is because euro football leagues are over, so 3d world football experts don't post their failing bets. Romanian is the soul of bet.

>>141260861
eurofootball leagues dont matter this place has been dead for a couple of years, good bets go unnoticed, nobody tracks shit, poorfag spirit

Ant Edwards is going to drop at least 30 so over 27.5 is a lock

Shoot the ball and stop running things through Rudy.

Alcarez -1.5 sets vs Korda / Sinner -1.5 sets vs Kotov / Tsitsipas ML vs Zhang / Connor McDavid 1+ points = 1.78

> Uruguay vs Costa Rica
Only local players are playing for Uruguay plus Bielsa will be absent. Costa Rica has already shown they can score against a better team but not even they're using their starting players. U2.5 seems to be the play

Kotov sucks

Any /bet/tors wants to buy a money making opportunity from me? The info is legit and I'm strapped for cash

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My last 3 or 4 bets didn’t win so I’m seething desu

>>141272631
What are you even trying to say?

>>141272631
Are you prostituting yourself anon

>>141272731
I'm selling free money

>>141272877
Interesting, you would think if it was free money you would just use that information yourself to make money.

>>141272949
Yeah but I've been BTFO trying to gain this information. I'm like one of those guys who has almost had a million in his palm but let it slip every time.

Anyway I've decided that I should sell the info but I'm probably just gonna get a job or stick with what I'm doing.

Thoughts on champions League final tomorrow? Split looks suspicious just like Leverkusen and Atalanta did

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>>141276611
Pic related

>>141276611
took +2.5 @ 1.7.

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>>141260639
That's how i felt a year ago. Despite having our differences in the past i think you have a great characther. Maybe you take this place too seriously desu. Bulgaria is also right. It feels like nobody is tailing anything, which is the reason why anyone would be posting. When you post a winner you want to know someone tailed and acclaims you. Anyways... i lost again, this time everything. First around 65% of my bankroll on some ridiculous misses in two soccer games. Then my plan was to recover the next day with Medvedev @1.30. And you know what happened. Kecmanovic, which i hope will suffer each remaining day of his life as i did, retired at 1-6 0-5. Couldn't play one more game on Meddy's serve. My bookie would've paid if any set ends 0-6, regardless of the outcome. Instead the bet got voided. What looked like a stomping was in vain. I lost my shit completely and eventually threw it all away at 4 in the morning on river plate to score in first half against tachira (which was again ridiculous). Now my final deposit of ~200 euros is on real madrid to lift the trophy @1.33 and it'll be the last time i ever bet if it goes wrong (this time for good)

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Or should i cashout and put it on medvedev first ?

Medvedev, Zverev, Rune, Djokovic
Total: 1.90
?
Possibly each live for better odds

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Hunch® special
If altitude isn't a problem, Internacional clear favourite and in need of points
Remember this game if i don't make it past tomorrow, men

>>141144860
>Hafez will maul Gall, who has no business in UFC
And seems like everyone in the superbet chat also agrees this hafez guy is "money on the ground"

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Alright. Check this out
Medvedev 1.28 , Real qf 1.33, Hafez 1.25
@2.12

>>141280275
Zverev and Rune yes, but I would stay away from Djokovic and Medvedev. Not saying they're going to lose but it's risky. Machac has been in insane form and Medvedev often disappoints on clay. Djokovic has been pretty shaky all year now even if he cruised past his first 2 opponents but they were too bad to challenge them. If Musetti fins some momentum this could be scary.
I would replace Djokovic with either Rybakina or Struff to win a set against De Minaur for similar odds. Medvedev is a bit harder to replace but maybe Nys/Zielinski to beat Eubanks/King works. Yes, rare doubles pick but I'm pretty certain they should win this. I'm actually surprised they're not bigger favourites.

>>141281000
>Djokovic and Medvedev. Not saying they're going to lose but it's risky.
Yeah i see where you're coming from. I'll keep it small on the Meddy treble above and leave my main bet on Real as planned. Later

>>141280455
Gall always has a chance to grab a sub but there’s a reason this line moved from 1.38 to 1.24. Hafez will take him down early and often and control him

>>141271741
Check their lineups they're mostly kids. I'm doubling down on this

>>141273243
Just post it

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UK General Election: Get on Alex Easton to win North Down. 5/1 on Bet365 but he's the clear second favourite for the seat behind Alliance. He's already been endorsed by the DUP who are currently second favourites even though they aren't standing anyone

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>>141272631
bet royalty here, i will have government security services skin you alive you poorfaggot bum piece of shit, go beg somewhere else you nasty turdsmelling jeet shitskin pederast piece of excrement

>>141273243
lol

post ufc and CL final bets, are you guys /dead/?

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>>141291733
Here you are, /bet/tard.

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>>141291733
Using my bonus for a cheeky Dortmund win

>>141291733
Vini anytime goalscorer +115. Was something like +175 at one point

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>>141291733

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>>141291733
Draw/Real
Handicap +1.5 Borussia
Bellingham to score at any moment
Vinicius more than 1.5 shots

>UCL final
>into Boxing
>Into UFC 302
Comfy day bros

They're not starting Reus they might actually have a chance

i slammed under 10 corners idk why

>>141276611
I knew the line was suspicious

Everything is going according to keikaku

>>141292170
What is Almeida’s surname in Russian? That doesn’t look right but I suck at reading Russian

I bet a long for 2 contracts on nasdaq mini futures. What am I in for?

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I was gonna put 500 on Madrid to win the cup but the line scared me

>>141306019
Thats bulgarian, "russian" doesnt exist but they're too prideful and stiffnecked to admit they're illiterate goycattle so now you have "russian"
It says Jailton Junior, Jailton Almeida would be Джeйлтън Aлмeйдa

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>unibet is unironically down
Millions must toto

>>141306975
DO IT

Welcome back to the land of the living, gypsybro

>>141308152
I was shitting my pants to be honest after the chances dirtmund missed in first half

Jabeur to beat Tauson @1.6 tomorrow

I’ll try Lima/perez @$2 to start ufc bets

De Minaur to beat Medvedev @2.65 also looks tempting but haven't fully decided on it yet.

Djokovic won but he probably shouldn't have. Way too close for comfort. Will be interesting to see how he does against Cerundolo. Might be some value on Cerundolo to win if the odds look alright.

Betting is easy when you have a lot of money

Taking cows +16.5 against roosters
Bookies are tripping with that line

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did this tonight
still in shock

>>141331484
Show the legs brudda

>>141331479
Gotta be the safest bet itt
I’m getting hot at nrl will post more often now

>>141331484
good, all i got is a small parlay on first 2ufc fights and wilder getting ktfo, shit ufc card, shit boxing , shit cl final , the trifecta of diarrhea is complete

Any opinions on UFC Fight Night June 9th ?

Cannonier vs Imavov
Reyes vs Jacoby
Rosas Jr vs Turcios
Ferreira vs Stoltzfus
Marquez vs Reese
Baeza vs Soriano

These are the ones I can bet on through my app

My picks :

Imavov
Jacoby
Rosas Jr
Stoltzfus
Marquez
Soriano

>>141331484
Well done.
Show us the whole betslip now.

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>>141332825
>>141336407
it was a much bigger stake than I'd usually put on something like this (I'd usually only put £5 on that) so I ended up cashing out quite a bit of before it finished, mostly out of nerves

I have what I think is a very good read on next week's card too if anyone is interested

>>141336947
Nice
>>141336947
>>141336947
Nice
>I have what I think is a very good read on next week's card too if anyone is interested
Please do

>>141336947
>I have what I think is a very good read on next week's card too if anyone is interested

I'm also interested in your picks

>>141336947
distance calls
>Andrea Lee vs de la Rosa
classic women's decision fight for me, absolutely going to the judges' scorecards
>Brad Katona vs Butler
Katona is very durable, and has a solid mentality, with good conditioning, but he's not explosive or technical enough for a finish. I think Katona wins on points. Tbf I have to watch more tape on Butler before I place this bet though
>Cannonier vs Imavov
both guys are very good and composed. Neither one is going to make a silly mistake in the first couple of rounds, so this is over 2.5 for me

picks
>Bruno Ferreira (vs Stoltzfus)
this is my confident Inside the Distance call of the card. Ferreira is a menace who is a real finisher. ITD is the call, but specifically... he wins by KO before the end of round 2
>Charles Radtke (vs Prates)
I think Radtke is underrated and will big brother Prates, probably to a decision, but I will just say "moneyline" on Radtke. I could see a finish being possible so not worth a decision call
>Ludovit Klein (vs Moises)
the tightest call of my bets in my opinion, because Moises is very good. But I think Klein is excellent. Top tier striking, amazing accuracy and shot selection and speed/power, and I think he's got the mentality and physicality to beat some names. And I consider Moises a name. I'm going with Klein, either a decision win or a late KO (although I would understand somebody going for a Moises win because he is a high level fighter too)

>need more tape study
Lapilus is a decent boxer, decent range, decent points fighter. I'm gonna watch/rewatch Stamann fights before properly making this call, but I imagine Lapilus v Stamann goes the distance, probably to a Lapilus decision, but I'll decide after tape study

where is the tenis guy? i need to make some quick money with tennis picks

>>141337008
>>141337137
and then the week after
>Jeka Seragih vs Westin Wilson
Jeka wins via KO and I expect round 1. I would be surprised if it goes on as long as the third round desu
>Aliskerov vs ??????
Aliskerov was going to beat Muniz, but Muniz is injured now. But whoever Aliskerov gets matched up with... ANYBODY outside the rankings at 185 and I'm backing Aliskerov, and I'm probably backing him Inside the Distance.

In fact, even when it comes to the rankings, the only middleweight I'm picking without hesitation over Aliskerov is Michel Pereira, cos he can KO anybody. Aliskerov is a serious problem for the 185 division and I think he runs through most people. His only career loss was to Khamzat, before both of them were even in the UFC. He's the real deal for me

>>141337282
Thanks, I feel I also need to put some more thought before placing. I usually watch few youtubers and just place bets on MMA.

>>141337282
>>141337627
>odds
forgot to include the odds but almost all of these picks will be minus money. Ferreira is 4/11 (1.36, or -275) and just at a guess, I imagine his ITD call is still minus money, probably something like 4/7 (1.57, or -175)

however, Charles Radtke is 13/8 (2.63, or +163) and Ludovit Klein is just under evens at 4/5 (1.8, or -125). I don't know what the prop odds would be, but I imagine decision wins for Katona and Lapilus would both be just over evens

>>141337739
AJ de Vito and Mike Finch are both good. Finch has better picks but AJ has a fun accent to listen to, and he always has some form of decent reasoning/argument for his picks. For example, Finch gives 5 "locks" a card, and last night 4 of them hit. And the 1 that didn't hit, that was against what you'd expect from that particular fight. Whereas AJ gives a definitive pick for every fight, so a few are always wrong (for example, last night he went for Rowe over Matthews despite everything suggesting Matthews would win a decision victory. He also got a couple more wrong, but they were more or less forgiveable errors in my book). You can find them at MMA Experts.

Guru actually has good insight a lot of the time. Sometimes he chats shit because he's an insane edgelord and he gets too wedded to a particular dislike/call and it clouds his vision. But he's worth listening to, to see his opinions at least

Main Card Minute is good for over/under bets, but be careful with the dramatic unders (never bet under 0.5 rounds no matter how tempted you are, for example)

>>141337452
What are your bets?

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Bodo glimt to score @1.30

Atlanta a good bet today? at home ground in great mood against a team that just lost 2 finals in a row with not much to play for.

>>141310394
Jabeur won in a pretty straight-forward 2-0. Definitely should have been a bigger favourite. RG has been rough so glad that worked at least.

Also decided I'm taing De Minaur to win now >>141314291. Not super confident but I do think that now that it has stopped raining the open roof and the less damp conditions should help De Minaur a bit.

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Over 1.5 in game @1.36

Took sinner @1.22 all in

Do you guys have any bets for the euros and copa america?

>>141343990
You are starting to cook rom rom.
What’s next?

I was about to make so much money but then colo colo lost at home against the worst team in the league

>>141347243
Bet for Chile. We are extremely underated.
And bet against Ecuador and Colombia, those teams are extremely overated.

>>141350111
Don't know yet, my dear australian friend. I'm trying to let the games come to me, and not force anything. As sergio ramos would say: now it's the time to play "intelligente"

>>141340070
De Minaur is up in the third set and has all the momentum now. Medvedev had some issue with his foot and took a medical timeout at the end of the second set. Might even retire if things get worse but it's still too early to say.

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Stanley Cup Finals over 5.25 games @1.09

>>141357444
>1.09
What?

>>141351687
What do you think of coquimbo vs palestino this thursday?
>>141351703
So paraguay to win vs colombia, and venezuela to win vs ecuador?

>>141351703
Also chile pays well vs peru but they finally got rid of reynoso so they might be tougher to beat

Gibraltar line went from +51 to +34. I'm guessing they're gonna start the benchwarmers. O2.5 @-340 should be good though

>>141357356
Ok, Medvedev is not retiring. Starting to worry because he was starting to gain back some momentum. Hope De Minaur closes out this set now that he broke again.

>>141357830
>Gibraltar line went from +51 to +34. I'm guessing they're gonna start the benchwarmers
Literally makes no sense. Why would their odds get shorter if they're starting a second string? Also the real price is 90-100.

>>141357921
I meant to say Scotland might be starting their bench

>>141357843
Worried for nothing, De Minaur convincingly won 3-1. Was the clear better player after the first set. These odds for Medvedev were definitely off. Should have not been this much of a favourite on his worst surface against someone who has troubled him on hard courts before. Glad Jabeur and De Minaur helped with the early round bleeding a bit.

I will be forced to watch the mavericks vs celtic game on friday. Why are the Celtics such huge favourites?
I want to bet on the mavericks. 3.10 seems like good odds.

Why not someone create a telegram channel and we all move on there?
Communication here is slow and this captcha is bad.
Also,
>> England to score in both halves
>> Germany to win/score two goals

>>141360996
Because then the community stagnates and slowly dies. If you guys stay on /sp/ you will always get new posters.

>>141357538
Sorry just found out about the Asian handicap. Before I'd look at soccer and get confused about what +.25 was. I know now its when you win outright you get the full amount and when it ties you get half the payout and half back as a push. This thing is just an arb or hedge along the same lines.
In that regard it's probably something like 1.07 (-1400) because the $9.50 could be $4. The prospect of free money no matter the cost is something in interested in. Though i know in sports both sides go into it thinking they're even no matter what the odds say. For a tennis match like Swiatek she's 1.055 (-1800) vs Vondrousova. That's no guarantee for 3 sets like they play. I'd much rather do a series futures bet like here. Mostly because the Stanley Cup is the most sought after and mythological trophy in sports. For either side there's a level of play this stage calls for to not allow either side to get swept. But I dont know the idea of betting that is kind of absurd I guess.

>>141361393
>The prospect of free money no matter the cost is something i'm interested in
from copa america in 2 weeks brazil @1.20 vs costa rica is free money. probably 5-0 correct score

/elite/bros its coming home (it = single leg on a freebet parlay)

>>141360996
There was already one for sure bets and this anon >>141361312 its right

>>141360759
Celtics had a good run all season
I doubt they will choke now

>>141360996
this man out here deliberately trying to get dunked on by the burgers

Been eyeing this all day and decided I'm going for it: Jabeur to beat Gauff @4.35 tomorrow. Obviously a longshot and I'm not super confident Jabeur will actually win but I do think the odds have drifted a bit too far. Think Jabeur has been a little underpriced lately in general even if she has had a lot of bad showings.

>>141366938
Thoughts for dimitrov - sinner and sissypants - grug?

>>141367141
No real thoughts on Alcaraz - Tsitsipas. Expecting a fairly comfortable Alcaraz win. Maybe Tsitsipas wins a set. Not seeing any value in any odds here. My score prediction would be 3-1 for Alcaraz but obviously not betting on that. Dimitrov - Sinner is a bit more interesting I think. There might be some small value on Dimitrov if Sinner's body is still bothering him which I think it sort of was in the beginning of his match with Moutet. But odds aren't wide enough for me to bother with Dimitrov. Maybe I'm just reading too much into some of his back holding gestures against Moutet and he will be totally fine in which case he shouldn't struggle too much.

>>141367267
Alright, thanks. I'll maybe take live alcaraz and/or sinner if odds improve

>>141357612
>What do you think of coquimbo vs palestino this thursday?
Ill bet on coquumbo
>>141357612
>So paraguay to win vs colombia, and venezuela to win vs ecuador
No, after groups stage depending on who they play against
>>141357627
Peru is garbage right now

>>141368341
Alright. I will also bet on huachipato against gremio tomorrow. Its @3.85 for some reason.

>>141357612
Coquimbo game: over 2.5 @1.75

>>141367141
gringogoy finna lose

>>141374016
Sinner?

>>141374551
grigoat wins

>>141366938
First set was promising. As usual should have been less greedy and just taken Jabeur to win a set. Think the other 3 women favourites will all win as well.

>>141374784
Almost lost everything yesterday on djokovic @1.21 ; how do you see this next match vs ruud?

>>141374864
Now that he made this comeback against Cerundolo in a match he should have realistically lost I think he beats Ruud but this is a tough match to call. He seems to have knee issues but then again if it really is that much of an issue I don't think he would show up to play. Don't have a confident read, think it's best to stay away. I suspect this is a match where you might be able to get both Djokovic and Ruud at + odds live so that might be something to look out for.

>>141374898
Obviously these odds of 2.00 on djokovic are based on him coming not fully recovered, but if he does they're too good to pass. Anything else? Zverev @1.42 over Minotaur?

>>141363384
100 to win 20 isn't bad. I know Brazil is trying to return to dominance going into the next WC. Only this is its played in Los Angeles and concacaf teams have pockets of fans you wouldn't expect all over the USA. This international break could be tricky as you never know how teams are feeling.

>>141374898
>>141375035
From his post match conference it sounds like he's tapping out blaming the grounds crew and everything.

>>141375212
Nah, really, it can't be another result. Odds will fall to 1.10 or sth thou. I also posted this game >>141280416 at 1.63 and it's now 1.18 but i haven't seen it coming so i haven't bet in time. Would you be interested in more value picks / free money / hunches / premonitions?

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Not much going on for the next 2 weeks. One gem that stands out is River Plate at Deportivo Riestra on the 13th this month. River could sent a couple of players to Copa America, but still last time they've played here they were completely in charge of the game. The colombian also tipped it live on river to win first half and full time at even odds iirc, and they had 0-3 in 45 minutes. Personally i had them to score @1.15 ; 1.45 to win prematch, possibly live some 1.25 on them to score for huge stakes against these newly promoted bums

shut up you loser lol

>>141375287
I'll give it to you. You're not bad at identifying wins in that 1.15 to 1.35 range. Okay, maybe you could be better. What matters is you're active and trying. So yes i would appreciate value picks. If I can work them into getting 3-5% ROI (or 56% win percentage @1.90) then they could be just as useful as the 50/50 pick ems. But generally thats where I want to live. In theory every 1.20 bet should be followed up by a 6.00. But hopefully Brazil can come through I agree with you the more I think about it, but why not take -1.5 goals or something?

>>141375798
Of course i'm a loser cause you convinced me to bet on "grigoat" and now i'm losing my bankroll

>>141376318
Saturday. UFC.

Moura beats Gomes.
Ferreira beats Stoltzfus + he finishes him, likely with a KO.
Lapilus beats Stamann, likely on points.
Lee vs de la Rosa - hard to say who will win, but it's going to a decision either way.
Katona beats Butler, and I would say by decision, but Butler actually could get finished because he's not that good, despite Katona's lack of finishing ability.

I also like Klein against Moises, but Moises is very good. I'm going with Klein but I wouldn't be amazed if Moises got the win.
And to a lesser extent I like Radtke against Prates. I probably wouldn't bet Radtke if he was the favourite, but he's the underdog here, so may be worth a couple of quid.
Rayanne dos Santos should beat Tomar, but might be a sticky wicket, probably steer clear of that one.

>>141376450
I like the idea of sprinkling Stamman or Lapilus by split decision. Lapilus will probably score a bunch while getting controlled for large portions without absorbing much damage. Fights in Kentucky which means local judges could go apeshit with the scoring.

>>141280416
Where did you get this tip from? I know you didn't identify it yourself. What group are you a part of?

>>141376313
>why not take -1.5 goals
>@1.55
sure, if i believe the game ends 5-0. there's value in that cause the odds will also drop. the -1.5 will probably be around .. 1.30 ; except this doesn't comply to the theory of betting what the teams aim for (the win) and brazil would be ok with taking the 3 pts on a 1-0 win

>>141376506
ok, you got me. my model identified it . well, tehcnically it's not "my" model since we stole it from the modelling professor at the betting uni (a story i've told before)

>>141375035
I like Zverev to beat De Minaur, yes. I generally expect the remaining favourites to win their matches.

>>141334800
Cannonier Imavov over. Decision I like Cannonier's power to be scored higher, he throws at a high enough clip to offset Imavov's volume but its a year break for an older Cannonier, but he keeps in good enough shape I think he nabs a decision.
Reyes is washed. He might survive a decision but Jacoby is gonna be too sharp, Reyes always has athleticism but its been too much. Jacoby by ko
Rosas to overpower Turcios likely decision, but Rosas still really raw, Turcios could take it, I like Rosas grappling to win it
Ferreira itd, ko, too much for Stolzfus on the feet

>>141376318
i was talking about the other guy, also i personally would never bet on grigoy or bulgaria lol

>>141376535
>go for what the team aims for (the win)
I knew you would say that. You know I've seen too many good teams go into games and forget thats what they're there to do. Usually teams with good but not great players waiting for the next guy to do something while the clock runs out. Vini is great, but will he be distracted by the CL win is the question.

>>141376313
>not bad at identifying wins in that 1.15 to 1.35 range
in round 1 Uruguay @1.33 over Panama also looks good
the opening game of Argentina @1.36 to beat Canada is another must bet

round 2
Colombia @1.47 v Costa rica another solid pick; basically costa rica looks like shit atm imo

>>141376803
hey relax i was taking the piss. i took sinner @1.22 all in and already cashed out since my ptsd kicked in after medvedev kekmanovic match

>>141376858
i know. nothing is certain. djokovic won the first set like he was alone on the pitch and then an injury came out of nowhere. i'll try to post more value thou since you guys seem to like it

from Euro
for @1.55 a dnb on Ukraine to beat us . i feel they're meaner than us and they won't be afraid. i think we'll freeze and as i said before, red-pilled people in the country expect us to dissapoint in all 3 games. some of them predict a 0-3 v hohols. but 1st round is sometimes full of surprises.
like Portugal @1.50 over Czechia. normally it's a win. maybe it's a 1-1 draw and then they win the next two games v turkey and georgia and qualify.
Italy @1.38 v Albania ; should be in control and secure a strong start
and probably France @1.50 defeats Austria. i know they're all public picks. a serbian said in another thread he's expecting England to hammer them 5-0 . thoughts?

>djokovic retires from french open
i bet against djokovic like 2 minutes before they locked the bets kek. what do you think boys, will they void the bet? or will they pay me since technically i bet on the guy who will go through and win.

>>141377433
It's obviously a push. Unless you specifically bet on "Ruud advances to the next round"

>>141377335
Ukraine is losing Kharkiv and donetsk why should they win a soccer game

>>141334800
I really, really like Soriano as a dog because Baeza has zero chin and Puna has decent power

>>141336947
incredibly stupid and incredibly based. never make another multi like this cuz you're not going to win another lol

>>Sweden women to score in section be half ATM @1.30

[LIVE 26']
Romania to score @1.36 in the friendly with Bulgaria. Few promising chances already. We're playing the first 11, not sure if they are. Seems like we're trying, probably will be lots of subsitutes in 2nd half thou

>>141381392
As a bulgarian, I second this.
We are playing with full roster but still a goal for the Romanians is very likely to happen. Gonna wait for at least @1.50

>>141381596
Fucking piece of shit missed a 1 v 1 with the goalkepper. I knew it was a bad idea and I'm on the verge of crying

Kek rommy missed a penalty

>missed penalty

>>141382187
AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAA

I'm sorry. In so much pain

>>141382995
Thats a tough pill to swallow. Backing your team and they let you down is just extra pain. They had plenty of chances but Bulgaria wasn't letting then get easy runs and when they did it was offsides. I'm telling you these flag vs flag matches are going to throw a lot of bettors off. I wish I could contribute a sure thing here for everyone but still looking.

>>141383101
They had 0 chances to score after the penalty. It was plain stupid to put 1k on these losers in a friendly. Sorry again to who tailed... If you're interested how i did after my return. So i started with 1000 RON (money which i borrowed) to put on real in the final. After that, i withdrew 1k and returned them. With around 400 i made it with a few all ins to 1700, lost 1000 now, and made back 300 on portugal to score one more goal. So now i have 1k in my account (200 euros) . Would've had 2k if not for the missed penalty . How do you deal mentally with this? All i think about right now is going all in to get back to 1.7k

>>141383338
Just look back at what worked and what didn't. Mentally you say don't be the guy to telegraph and bounce your shots 5 kph across the grass and expect to get it past a real goalkeeper. There's always life lessons within sports that can make the suffering worthwhile if you learn from them. If you weren't invested you might not have watched it so you wouldn't know how to identify bad playing and what it looks like so you can fade it in the future. You don't have to change what you're doing.

>>141383693
That's good advice, i like it

Feel like a mug for even considering this but going for a favourites parlay of Rybakina + Sabalenka + Zverev for pretty much even odds tomorrow, regardless of any lack of value. Don't really see any of these 3 losing. Maybe Zverev but he should be able to get it done on clay.

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>>141384338
ON

How is the total for Imanaga and the Cubs vs the White Sox 9 runs? Maybe the Cubs run it up. But then they're runline is -1.5 @1.64 which is fairly good value.

Does anyone know if there are sites in the US where I can bet on how many playoff wins a team will have in the next 3-4 years? I also would like to bet that a team will have more playoff wins in the same time frame than another team. Its easy money.

>>141385143
>go to Vegas, specifically the Westgate
>tell them exactly what you want to bet on
>????
>profit