Mugs editionPrevious : seized by the bank
Good afternoon I lost 10 bucks on the hockey game last night
I am going for argentina and portugal
The threads keep dying with all these Euro + Copa matches
Rescue bump
Going to post tennis stuff for tomorrow soon. Yes, this is another bump.
>>142057745We're dead
bookies won
I lost £90 today :P
Im at - 200€ loses with al those euro matches. I give up now
>>142059037Walton to beat Jubb @2Starodubtseva to beat Tikhonova @1.65Muchova to beat Linette @2Over 2.5 sets in Ostapenko - Boulter @2.3Pegula to beat Raducanu @1.8
i've lost all my euro games today. thought france, England, netherlands was a safe bet....
>>142063181kek you and me negerI keep losing these euros, the big teams all suck
>>142063214yeah, it's pissing me off too. i'm trying to play safe and what do i get from that?? now i've got a 50 freebet on canada, hope they save me
>More than double my account since the start of the euros and copa america>lose everything todayThere it is, my whole life has been like this with betting
>>142063414kek I bet on Canada too. But considering how it's been going, I will be disappointed again.
>>142063576we got the same mind. i still have some hope and then i hope argentina will not disappoint
>>142063632are you my lost brother? My combo bet is canada and argentinia, however I just put a cheeky 5er because I know in phases like these I won't win shit
>>142063672>are you my lost brother? My combo bet is canada and argentinialmao so is mine, i might be. i just used a 50pln freebet so it's really nothing to lose. the site i've been using has been really generous with freebets and bonuses during the euros, I'm still gonna be pissed by a loss tho
>>142063672RED FOR PERU we still got a chance bro
>>142048604>don't dead open inside
CANADA LETS GOOO
>>142064116>>142064727Holy they actually will do it, now watch the argies draw I can feel it
>>142065141man i'm gonna lose this shit just cause i put over 4.5 corners for this game, i'm pissed
Had a solid betting card last week, let's keep it going! UFC 303 Saturday 6/29 >Robertson -185 over WatersonWaterson is flushed. She's approaching 40 and lost her last 4. People have her style figured out. You can't kick a wrestler without risking a takedown. Robertson takes this to the mat and grinds out a 30-27 win if not a choke. Good chance Waterson hangs up the gloves after her 5th straight loss. >Simon -250 over Oliveira I don't like laying more than -200 usually, in this case I love it. I'd have Simon closer to -400 if I'm setting this line. Flashy, exciting prospect in Oliveira will get taken down and wrestlefucked by the durable veteran Simon. Vinicius is stepping up too far, Simon wins easy. >Arlovski +200 vs BudayThis is likely a boring ass point fight, which is where Old Man Arlovski excels. I don't see a "fight decided by split/majority decision" prop yet, but take that if you can get +500 or longer odds. Arlovski's style lends itself to split decisions, he basically fights like he's sparring these days. >MVP +120 over GarryI'll admit I dislike Garry and that's part of the reason I'm fading him. MVP's experience and unorthodox striking will be difficult for Garry, who finds success via pressure. MVP is hard to hit. My only concern is MVP's wide karate stance, that front leg might get chewed up by Garry's leg kicks. Also sprinkling a few bucks on MVP by KO/TKO when I get a line, hoping it's +350 or shorter. Garry is hittable. >Bueno Silva +100 vs ChiassonMacy is one of those fighters who does well as a dog and struggles when there's higher expectations or a bigger spotlight. I think MBS beats her soundly on the feet and the canvas in what should be a title eliminator fight. >Talbott-Ghemmouri under 1.5 roundsNo line yet, hoping for even money. Ghemmouri is a punching bag handpicked to get heemed by the prospect Talbott, who UFC wants to be a O'Malley clone. On the flipside, Talbott does not move his head, might get sparked. 1/2
>>142066780>Smith +120 vs DolidzeI'm not high on Dolidze, especially fighting up 20 pounds against a super experienced, more well-rounded guy in Smith. Always a chance Dolidze wins by KO, but I like Smith to make this one grimy and beat Dolidze on the ground.>Ortega +120 vs LopesSimilar to Vinicius, I think this is too big a step up for Lopes on short notice. Ortega won't get submitted and he's unheemable. When two BJJ specialists fight it usually turns into a shitty kickboxing fight, I think Ortega outpoints him for a decision/TKO win. Love Ortega at plus money here. >Barriault +260 over PyferSmall bet on this one, I just don't think Pyfer is good. His gas isn't great and if he doesn't get the finish early (which he very well might), Barriault will be able to win 2 and 3 to get his hand raised. Pyfer is like a 185lb version of Pavlovich...great power but overall he's not a great MMA fighter. >Jiri-Pereira over 2.5 rounds +130I've done horribly on main event picks this year so maybe fade this one lol. Jiri is a smart fighter despite his all-action style and knows what he needs to do to avoid the traps and bombs from Pereira. His best chance is to make it a clinch/wrestling fight like he did at times early in their last fight. I think Jiri will shoot for takedowns early and often. Pereira is more competent than he gets credit for on the ground, but his defense is mostly bear hugging his opponent in guard/half guard and trying to ride out the round, knowing he has the nuclear option even if he gives away a round or two. I think Jiri will have several minutes of control time in the first couple rounds, just needs to survive long enough to hit the halfway point of round 3. When everyone expects a highlight KO, bet the over. 2/2
How much money did you make today, fellow gamblers?
Portugal MUST win today
>>142075822Could be a draw? Is it possible like poland did?
>>142076445georgia is bad, they got completely dominated by czechia which is underperforming
I can't believe those argies saved my day after a disastrous euro streak of constant fuck ups by france and the netherlandsSame for canada, they kept me back at broke evenAlso watching the replays and argentina scored in the 88 minute holy fuck
>>141904902Vgh.. the free money on non-gay sports.. I kneel to americhads
got a over 0.5 bet on kyoto sanga match... follow at ur own risk
>>142078156The shame of /sp
god damn nips, it's over...
glorious nippon
Daegu and Ulsan shouldn't be semen slurping, 1 of em should score HT
>>142078369Why is the dragon checking the var for?
kpop niggas need to score now
holy based
the Japanese mafia should be making urawa reds score another one
ok the jews intervened with a red card, it could be a draw now
that red card threw a wrench in my plans, now its rigged.i'll do a final one of shonan bellmare match over 1.5 goals
yolo bet for kashiwa reysol over 3.5, they can draw this
final bet for north korea Seoul/Gangwon over 1.5
>>142079662holy niggers
BelgiumDraw in Slovakia-RomaniaUSAUruguay and over 1.5I NEED this one. Please betting gods
>>142079832What do you think about Portugal - Georgia?
>>142079868I think we win but probably no value in itBTTS could happen and the odd is probably goodRonaldo to score would be my play
>>142079748good thing kim Jong un threatened to nuke kpop land if they didn't score another one
Haven't been to /bet/ in years but apparently the ec/wc rules have gotten lost. And I am too late to inform that a greasy small on own goal is free moneyAlso whats up with some of the lines for who starts in possession? Have the rules changed or am I getting over even odds for a coinflip?
>>142063121Muchova with a convincing 2-0. Now that this happened twice in a row I think bookies will sadly stop underrating her due to the long injury break.
K LEAGUE 2 is even more rigged than la liga somehowAnsan Greeners over 3.5 if you'rr insane
>>142075822100%>>142079880>Ronaldo to score would be my play>1.70i like it, after we know the first 11. did they announced the starting lineup? pretty sure they're gonna play all reserves like spain did, with danilo perreira, pedro neto, conceicao jr, joao felix, goncalo ramos etc. and still would be enough to steamroll georgia. not that they need it, just cause they can
>>142080107coach said he is starting, yes
this is my dumbest bet yet i doubt the china mafia will break the barrier but shenzhen shenhua over 2.5
>>142080076>>142080325Stop randomly picking live games and betting on goals
>>142080375He is me but with random basketball games with over and under bets
>>142080375to each his own poison
>>142080325based chinese mafia, they threatened to kill all dogs
expecting a 4-2 from Qingdao Hainiu
>>142078156why's it in gay?
>>142080680close enough
>>142080254Portugal will win the euros, mark my words
>>142081522either spain or portugal
>>142082022And argentina copa america
>>142081522The lower bracket is sure weak, maybe a meme winner
I should probably cash out by now
>>142081522Are they gonna do it like 2016 and score 3 total goals in the knockout stage lol
>>142078156Fuckin lol. I’ve posted some bad tips on here but never anything this retarded. When you see “free money” it loses 90% of the time
>>142066780>>142067101Cheers UFCbro. I don’t want to make this many picks tho…who are your three most confident?
>>142083085Probably more than 90% if you actually look at all posts. Really need to remember to fade these kind of posts.
Slovakia is winningMeaning Ukraine can't park the bus and have to go for the winTherefore ez win for Belgium
Venezuela-Mexico really feels like it's going to be a 2-1 game, one goal first half, and 2 on the second. First goal Mexico, last Goal Venezuela (screen cap this)Tell me I am retarded before I waste 10 bucks on a parlay.
>>142086716Copa games have had very few goals.
>>142087955kek
might finna wager my next paycheck on france to advance vs belgium
>>142086716This copa is a disaster waiting to happen mexico. they kicked the can down the road vs Jamaica but Venezuela is coming off a good win probably hoping to take it to Mexico who will prefer to play scared and leave with a draw. Venezuela +0.5 @1.75 is the play.
>Ronaldo all in @1.65go go go
>France - Belgium
>>142088643>>142089971Agree
I would advise against underestimating georgia. Portugal wont care about winning and they have fielded their B team aside from ronaldo. The only team that didnt need to win and still did anyways was spain and that goal would have been offside if it wasnt for the albanian player stretching his leg back.Georgia will likely bus park and go all in on the counter. They probably have learned their lesson and will keep mikautatze on so he can score and not mess up like the other guy in the czechia game.
>>142090752Just bet on Tsu-man scoring a pen.
+1 on portugal looking juicy
>>142090752Holy dooleyMaybe i should cash out now. But i have faith on georgia and my boy mamardashvili...
why do i still bet on winners? of course poortugal had to ruin the bet and this shitter ACKvarchelia NOW scores a goal
>>142080107>>142075822Im very sorry
fu penaldo
I have yet again lost money
LMAO
>>142099462Cunt
>>142100004GGYOU ARE A TRAITOR BTW
>>142100299I knew they wouldn't play to win when they decided to switch half the team
I wish one day i'll escape this fucking disease
>>142100349Everyone knew it, but I would never bet against my country even for €1000 as a matter of principle. You lost your Portuguese soul for 40€... You're probably a Brazilian or a nigger.BUT GG
Gambling chads... I have discovered free money
>>142063121Wins: Muchova and StarodubtsevaLosses: Walton, Pegula and the over 2.5 setsNot much to say about Walton. He was just terrible. I thought he was starting to seperate himself a bit from other challenger players but maybe I'm a tad too high on him. Pegula was a bet that went against one of my "fade players after they just a tournament" mantras and of course it failed. Insane choking from both sides. I've said before that Raducanu seems to be finding some form again and I was on the wrong side of that. Ostapenko has been on a huge downward swing for a longer while now. I thought at first it was just one of those typical Ostapenko dips because she's the kind of high risk high reward player but it's starting to look ugly. Definitely on my fade radar going forward if she can't find any sort of form going forward.Next picks:Muchova to beat Keys @2.8Todoni to beat Parrizas-Diaz @1.8Only going with these 2. Trying to cut down on unnecessary ones. Think Muchova is a bit too wide here even if Keys is good on grass.
>>142088643Smells like penalties to me. France has underperformed just like Belgium
>>142083189In order of most confident:>Simon ML -250>Robertson ML -185 >Talbott under 1.5 +165
>>142104265Based tennisanon. Appreciate the insight and effort! Can’t win them all brother
>>142086716>>142088087Tried to warn you lad
Wish you could bet on players to not score with these ridiculous odds for players to score but obviously they would never offer an opposing market so they can fleece everybody with these shit odds
>>142115274>that specific ngubu to miss an open goal
>>142112897Lol you sure did. It's OK I still made a profit on a side bet.
>wake up>venezuela actually did itkek
Acc betSpain to winPortugal, Netherlands, Austria will go through @2.36
>>142048604k I will try again:best app/website/whatever to bet?
>>142116338based I bet on them at half time @5.70 before sleeping
>>142104265Todoni completely dominated. Bookies messed up with those odds. Closing line was like 1.45 for Todoni. Let's see if Muchova is ready for the first real test since the return from injury.
>>142120950Apparently Muchova withdrew. Will be interesting to see what her Wimbledon draw looks like. In retrospect I feel like an idiot for not taking Kasatkina at plus odds against Raducanu. Such an obvious "upset" especially after the long 3-set match with Pegula.
>>142115759Get back on track with the USA under 2.5 today. We’re gonna win 1-0 or draw 1-1/0-0
>>142116338>>142120847shocked Mexico was favored so heavily. Mexico sucks these days. USA is far and away the best concacaf side
>>1421042651 win and a push today. Pretty much waiting for Wimbledon draws to be finalized and the odds for the first round to go up.Picks for tomorrow:Harris to beat Purcell @2.3Keys to beat Fernandez @1.5
>>142124715tailing
>>142127095Also leaning Tomova to beat Vekic if the odds get any higher than @2.8 but I'm a bit worried about her just having finished a long match with Blinkova. Might be something to sprinkle live.
USA red vs PanamaPanama to win at 3.40it's a fucking steal
>>142130731USA just scored lolnever fucking mind
ty USA for the red card
>>142134635Based underdog enjoyer. The two tournaments right now have been great for under dog degens (not me unfortunately)
Won back the money I lost earlier with USA like a degen. Need to quit this shit
Briben went from 2.25 to 3.5. Democrats can't help themselves to start infighting because they thrive off toxicity. Now Gavin Newsom went from 50/1 to 12 or lower. Is that anon who was going to put 15k between Trump and Biden still around thinking it was a sure thing still around? Curious whats your next move here?
>>142127095Pretty careless performance by Keys. My fault for going for these kind of bets this shortly before Wimbledon.
Went for Bodo Glimt today
Not an expert by any means but thinking over 2.5 goals in Oulu vs. KuPS is looking pretty nice. Any knowers here to corroborate?
finna join another bookie for a 100€ first bet reimbursed in cash instead of freebet like every other damn bookiemight put a few games of the euro in a parlay, might as well take riskthoughts
Paragay vs Brazil Colombia v Costa Rica Thoughts? I got the first being a low score given how ineffective Brazil is and how paragay needs to at least get a point. Second might be O2.5 but Colombia left with me doubts after their second half v paragay
>>142148379Everyone is down on Brazil right now after their recent showings so I assume they're actually going to dominate.
>>142149353It was an effort level thing which is easily fixable. They got the winning goal called back on offsides. So that's 2-1 for them. Colombias playing well but could be in a letdown spot in game 2 so that's 1-1 imo.
>>142127095Both lost 1-2. Going to focus on the Wimbledon draw now that the first round matches are confirmed. Posting my picks tomorrow evening probably. No bets for tomorrow. I'm leaning Shnaider to beat Vekic but not enough to actually bet it.
Created the account >>142148190Thinking of doing France x England x Netherlands x Germany x Spain x Portugal @10so i left out italy - switzerland and austria turkeysurely none of those 6 teams will go to extra time waste energy to beat shitters, right?
>>142152024yeah but the bet is reimbursed so i'm unsure what to dodon't want to bet just on one game
>>142152040Take out England Spain and Netherlands. Otherwise I think the ro16 is favorites galore. Then you can add Brazil vs paraguay
>>142152250yeah it's ML, it's low but french odds tend to be shiti know it's risky but i don't see any big outsiders win and bet with conditions feels dumb on such games, idk>>142152252fuck brapzil and spain is freenetherlands and england not as much
>>142152334Hate Brazil but don't sleep on Georgia led Kvaradona versus a tepid Spain side
Staying away from the Euros teebeeaych
>>142151921>Created the account hehehe
Going to bet under 1.5FHG for all remaining Copa America/Euro matches.Let’s see if it works
Spain's odds aren't worth it especially if you remember their shitshow against morocco in 2022.And also, paraguay may win. Brazil is in all out crisis and after that draw with a weaker costa rica side, paraguay will feel confident and park the bus. But they also have a better defense and offense than costa rica do
>>142153139so you're on paraguay double chance or what?
i thought we were friends, chilli. panathinaikos @1.40 and all that. and then you go on betting underdogs and celebrate every loss i got for the past week
>>142153139>paraguay may winabsolutely zero chance anon conmebol is corrupt as fuck. if it’s a close matchup brazil will win via refball
>>142152989you’re too late brother. bet the other way. market has adjusted. law of averages
>>142152989>low scoring copa under 1.5 FHG what does that pay? 1.3?
>>142155524costa rica got a draw because brazil got stolen a goal, + bus parking & corrupt mexican ref blowing the whistle for every "foul" stopping the brazil attacks, allowing time wasting and giving only 5 mins of extra time. anything is possible in a game because if the pig blows the whistle he's literally stopping the play, and they can VAR your goals for bs offsides etc.
bus parking can neutralize the opponents for 90% of the game, but not enough to escape with a clean sheet. for that it needs ref intervention. even the most famous example: mourinho's inter qualifying at camp nou. not only did they lost the game 1-0, but they also conceided a 2nd bojan goal in around the 90th min which got stolen
>>142153901Sorry lad, but underdogs have oftentimes been successful for me.I still bet on favorites sometimes but i just keep getting fucked over. Maybe i will do it more once club football returns.
>>142156965All good man. And sorry for cursing you the other day. Thoughts on the game with canada? I'm thinking on taking chile to win
Chile>legendary goalkepper>solid defensive shape>copa america winners with alexis sanchez up front>dirty Canada>pacey ngubus>mls defenders>reddit tactics
>>142157571played argen and netherlands well. or passed the eye test. chile a bunch of manlets
>>142155701Yah like 1.4>>142155550U might be right
>>142157404I dont trust them. We did held up well against argentina but im not so sure.If you go with it, id recommend a dnb or double chance.
>>142160748ALSO sanchez is not that good anymore. He did screw up some chances in the peru game. Also our manager wont be there in the field due to a ban.
Ufc bets when
>>142162012Already posted them
Is Switzerland even good?
>There’s an excellent chance this game goes to penalties as well, but Draw and Under 2.5 are auto bets here for me. Donnarumma has arguably been the best player at the tournament so far and should make it tough for the Swiss to score, despite defender Riccardo Calafiori missing the match. It's not like Italy has been great on attack either, needing a 98th minute goal against Croatia to secure the knockout rounds. >I like 0-0 or 1-1. Let's get this thing to extra time! >PICK: Italy-Switzerland draw (+190)>PICK: Italy-Switzerland 0-0 (+500) (½ unit)>PICK: Under 2.5 goals
>>142152562what's funny dear Rommy?
>>142165455It does feel like a slurperSo meh here goes nothing
>>142151455Of course Shnaider won 2-1. Every time with matches I have a read on but don't feel like betting.
>>142170491Geopolitically Switzerland is the world economy and Italy is western religion and both a declining so yes a VAR fueled draw is a possibility
>>142167496It just reminded me of the many accounts that i created over the last couple years and i imagined you verifying your identity and all that
UFC 303 tonight.>Ricky Simon v Vinicius OlivieraSimon is a very good wrestler. Oliviera is coming off an explosive flying knee KO. But Simon won't gas or put himself in as bad a spot. However, I do think Vinicius Oliviera will look good. Probably a steer clear altogether fight... although as a 2/1 underdog I wouldn't be surprised if people won with the dog bet. Oliviera does seem to have a little something about him, has the special touch maybe. I do favour him against Simon's experience, but outside of a cheeky fiver I shant be putting any actual money down on him >Rei Tsuruya vs Carlos Hernandezhyped youngster vs middling pro. Tsuruya probably wins, as reflected in his short odds, but unless you have a particular read on this one (maybe you're convinced it's a first round submission, for example) probably steer clear. Seen too many next big things get stopped by unfashionable roadblocks. Although I do think Tsuruya gets it done.>Andrei Arlovski vs Martin BudayArlovski 45 years old, Buday a bit shit. Buday probably wins a decision but it won't be a good fight. Either way, I think the safe bet is over 1.5 rounds, because I don't see Arlovski winning anything but a decision, and if Buday does get a finish, I don't see it coming before the halfway point>Payton Talbott vs Yanis GhemmouriTalbott W. Does it come inside the distance? Probably. Talbott is excellent, and he needs to finish a guy like Ghemmouri, because I don't think he is that high level at all. Talbott is terribly priced for a reason. Probably wins by KO but I could see a sub too.>Charles Jourdain vs Jean SilvaJean Silva has a touch of the tism, mixed in with a hyper aggressive style, and skills and physicality. He was my underdog pick of the card. However, he missed weight and Jourdain looks good. I'm still going with Silva, but it won't be one-sided. I also quite like Jourdain, but I think Silva is better all over, and as long as the weight miss wasn't due to illness, I'm still on him.
Got a 72 hour cooling down period after I removed my gambling restriction and I missed out on the bet boost ffs
>>142176054 >Cub Swanson vs Andre Filisimilar styled fighters, standers and bangers. But Swanson is 40 and looks it, whereas Fili still has a bit of youth to him. I see Fili pulling away as it goes on and winning via decision>Joe Pyfer vs Marc Andre BarriaultBarriault will stand in front of Pyfer and allow Pyfer, who hits very hard, to hit him in the face. However it ends, I expect a Pyfer win (I think KO but wouldn't be amazed by decision or even a club and sub)>Ian Garry vs Michael Venom Pagethe "smart" money is on Garry (unbeaten, more UFC experience, younger, well rounded) but I like MVP. He has more overall experience, and a unique style/elite striking game, awkward to deal with. Page by KO or decision. Although I dislike Garry so much that may be giving me a bias>Mayra Bueno Silva vs Macy ChiassonMBS has a good submission game and is crazy. Chiasson is long, decent, and probably more dependable, as MBS can be hit or miss. I think MBS might win via submission but I'll just pass this one by altogether.>Anthony Smith vs Roman DolidzeDolidze is slow at 185 lbs so I expect him to be even slower at 205. I have made good money betting against Smith before, because he is limited, but I think he will have slightly too much for a slow Dolidze. Smith by decision, but there are better fights to bet on>Brian Ortega vs Diego LopesI'm riding high on Diego Lopes and I am convinced he will beat Ortega. He has a power advantage on the feet and is just as good on the ground. Also, Ortega looked like a warm bag of shit at the weigh-in. I think Lopes will KO him, but he has too many ways to win for the definite KO selection >Alex Pereira vs Jiri Prochazkatwo absolute warriors. I love Jiri, he's a mad man who probably beats up 99.9% of the people in the world. But Pereira is something else. He truly does have hands of stone, and I expect they'll land on Jiri's exposed chin, because Jiri's game of letting himself get tagged won't work out. And still. Pereira by KO/TKO
>>142176054>>142177004I forgot one fight >Michelle Waterson-Gomez vs Gillian RobertsonI think Robertson will get through the Karate Hottie's decent takedown defence. I think this fight goes to the ground. And I think once they're on the ground, Robertson will have too much, and could sink in a submission. However, I don't think it'll be a one and done. Robertson might have to get Waterson-Gomez down to the ground repeatedly to find a finish. I think she will. If she doesn't, I think she still wins via decision. However, I have seen people tip Waterson-Gomez, and I have seen Robertson fights where she doesn't look amazing. Yet I do think this one is Robertson's. Inside the distance? Maybe. Her ground game is very good. But this is WMMA so betting a finish is always a risky move.
>>142067101following several of these but hard disagree on pyfer...the leaf is a punching bag and pyfer will put him away in the first
>>142170491welp it;s over
>>142172179BasedAlso god damn i felt swiss would win but betting in their favor felt weird
/elite/ chads I kneel
That's one down in my bet, got all the favourites to win apart from Swiss beating Italy and Romania beating Holland, could be an ez 4k from a tenner bet
>cucked by 1 cornerFuck Italy. You should have been spamming shots the last 10 mins.
>bet on tokyo verdi>bet on swiss to advancenow all I need is Germany to win and I'm 100%
>$5 on Italy (vs Switzerland)>$5 on Austria (vs Turkey)>$5 on England (vs Slovakia)>$5 on France (vs Belgium)>$1.50 on Austria winning the Euro ($27 payout)>$1 on Georgia winning the Euro ($200 payout)I'm going to lose every bet.
>>142182959>betting on georgia to wintheres no way you thought that was a good ideaGeorgia will not upset four games in a row and if they upset the way you envisioned you get an effective quote of 3.76 per game (fourth square root of 200)Georgia to advance is 8.25, just the win-draw quote alone is 4your bet is ridiculously low value
Is Germany safe? Im placing a huge bet on them and Chile right now.
tenner on harvetez musiala or sane scores @2,5
fuck it im putting 10 on denmark
>>142183438betting is never safe. Are they value? they seem well oiled contenders for sure but I am probaly the only guy in the thread who didnt rate them and dodged their lossthe bigger point is that denmark is shite
>>142183757Then Ill put all my money on them
>>142165455lol this guy is the worst handicapper on ESPN he's always on GameDay and he misses 60% of his picks
>>142157571We've reached the point in the Copa where CONMEBOL asserts dominance. Chile win 2-0
>>142165455>>142183966He was cooking about the goal total which is the third bet I made but you only bet the draw if its good value, not to predict it. Romanian gypsy magic lesson one: In principle, never bet on something the players dont aim for.
Canada went head to head with Argentina and should have almost won their match if their shitters had scored in their 2 1v1s they hadThen Canada also beat Peru, not convincingly but they did anywayYou would be out of your fucking mind to bet on Chile
>>142183398Thats why i put 1 dollar on them to win the entire thing before the euros even started. (Pays 500 times)
>>142184135>you would be out of your fucking mind to bet on the favoriteMake sure to post your Canada slip to back up the big talk
>>142184161That bet's a lot fairer
>>142182959Austria, England, and France will advance.Turkey could barely handle 10-man Czechia and Slovakia/Lelgium aren't on the same level as their opponents.
Basically every big international tournament in the past 20 years has had enough draws in the knockout rounds to either guarantee a profit or basically break even at worst. World Cup 2022 and Euro 2021 wasn't any different. Yes, that assumes you blindly bet on every single match to end in a draw even in ones where it seems unlikely.
>>142184306I don't know a lot about soccer matchups or tactics. If you bet under 2.5 goals at international tournaments you'll be profitable.13 of the last 16 matches have had 2 or fewer goals
>>142157571Our starting goalkeeper is likely not gonna play tonight. Its over.
5 bucks in Germany under 2
Bet the under 2.5This is basically a reset and both teams will be rested.
>>142184069>You've completely ruined my 1+ in first half you fucking trash
>Adverse weather conditionsMuslims?
>>142183966He's easy to make fun of so they put hom on GameDay to laugh at him half the time but when betting became mainstream they brought in Stanford Steve. Speaking of that because college players are so self conscious these days that segment might be one to look at and go the other way.
>>142151455Bump, going to post Wimbledon stuff in about an hour.
It's almost heem time lads. I'm excited
I am 2 for 2. Lets go baby!
4 for 4 on bets, almost out of the hole and with freebets left to farm. Let's fucking go.
was there ever an update from that guy (i think from cz) that was betting 10 on every underdog in the euro?
>>142151455>>142195678I tried to limit it to not more than 3 picks for each draw since I noticed I've been going overboard with early round picks in slams:Arnaldi to beat Tiafoe @2.3Shevchenko to win 2 sets against Humbert @3.3Navone to win a set against Sonego @2.2Todoni to beat Danilovic @1.9Muchova to beat Badosa @1.8Alexandrova to beat Raducanu @2I have some other pretty clear leans but I'll try to just stick to this for Monday. If anybody is interested I can talk more about my leans or general thoughts on any matchup.
>>142200002He was spanish. I believe he's working as a food courier on an electric bike at the moment
>>142200308Surprised you haven't mentioned Wawrinka @1.6. Isn't that Broom guy really bad or sth?
>>142066780>Simonawful start. poor performance from simon. got the takedown he needed and let oliveira up right away...odd
Argentina win @1.60 and chile to score @1.28 combo for evens No messi and no coach for chilli, still
>>142200423Broom isn't that bad on grass. His losses to people like Harris or Fearnley are also not that bad given the surface. He's obviously not amazing but he has played a lot on grass this year and he will obviously have home crowd advantage. Although you could also argue that having to play in front of the big Wimbledon crowd will make him nervous since he's not really used to that kind of audience. Wawrinka is getting old and hasn't played since the French Open. I also get the impression that he has reached the point where he only cares to win if it's not much of a "hassle" if it's clear what I mean. Realistically he should win this because he's obviously the better player but it's hard to say he should be favoured that much given the circumstances so the odds seem pretty accurate. If I absolutely had to place a bet I would still take Wawrinka but very hesitantly. I think it's the kind of match where it's best to stay away.
>>142200830Thanks. I'm just looking at favourites against players i don't know so if you have any thoughts on: Struff @1.22, Sinner 3-0 @1.30, Djokovic 3-0 @1.36, Ruud @1.39, Ruusuvuori @1.70, Etchevery @1.65 ? Kotov looks like value @4 , no? Osaka@1.27 and Azarenka @1.37, and i specifically like your Alexandrova @2 to beat the meme Emma Raducanu, which btw i was also gutted to miss Kasatkina @2.4 against her fcol
And the premium tip from this paid telegram group. Wasn't supposed to share with anybody but whatever, i'll pay the fucking fee. Home win
>>142202056No shit,you pay for that ? Lol
>>142066780>arlovski fights like he's sparring these daysprescient. you fucking called it
>>14220231450 euros to sign in to the group, on sale from 179/month so i think i got a pretty good deal. Was fortunate too i was amongst the last 9 places available
>>142066780Split decisionbros we did it! Got +475 on my book
>>142201880I could have sworn you said you don't bother with women anymore but whatever, I'll go through the list.Struff is probably fine although I do think he's a big short since Marozsan has beaten better players before. Sinner 3-0 seems fine. Have a hard time seeing Hanfmann win a set. Same with the Djokovic 3-0. Ruud seems really high for these odds? I seem him @1.25 but maybe they have dropped. If you can actually get him for @1.39 then yeah, seems good. Ruusuvuori is someone I would avoid. Concerned about his fitness in a bo5 and he his very prone to choking. Not that I have any more faith in McDonald. Etcheverry I'm unsure about, haven't looked very closely at his grass matches. My first instinct would be to say he's going to beat Nardi but can't say the odds seem valuable. Kotov seems like value, but the problem is he has very little grass experience and the little he has played last year hasn't looked too convincing. Obviously he's a different player this year. Could definitely be an upset but not something I'm going for personally. Osaka is overrated on grass so I would be careful with that especially since Parry isn't that bad on grass either. Azarenka seems fine since Stephens is a mess right now.If you ask me a good low-odds but not super low bet is Machac to beat Murray @1.35 given that Murray wasn't even sure he would play until very recently because of a back surgery. If Machac doesn't freeze up and remembers he's not playing against a Murray from 10 years ago he should win this.
>>142202458I mean its just a big team playing at home agaisnt a small team.How its that premium ?
>>142066780>Robertson takes this to the mat and grinds out a 30-27 win if not a choke. Good chance Waterson hangs up the gloves after her 5th straight loss.accurate wow
>>142184215here lol
All this gloating makes me think Chile win 1-0
Silva nice
Its fucking over. The ref fucked us and canada are perfectly content with a draw.
Tomorrow im gonna drop 2.5 dollars on slovakia and the other 2.5 on georgia. Whos with me? Or will i ride alone this time?
Where can I bet a couple pesos in a site/app that lets me cash out here in Argenistan? I wanna bet some coins tomorrow
>>142219523I use 1xbet and BinancePay for both deposit and withdrawal
>>142219848Sign up with ARS or USD?
>>142066780>>142067101not my night. Arlovski fight split decision saved the day, would have been ugly otherwise. Bueno Silva was a tough loss due to the cut in a fight she was winning. No idea what the fuck Jiri was doing and both Smith/Simon looked like shit.
>>142204837respect for posting canada sucks
>>142124737Funny way to spell Canada
>>142176054>>142177004>>142177345>9 wins>3 losseswins included underdogs in Oliviera and Jean Silva. Of the 9 winning picks, I made 6 method of victory calls, all with varying levels of confidence with 5 correct (Buday decision, Talbott ITD, Fili decision, Pyfer KO, Pereira KO). Robertson couldn't find a finish.>Lopes bet voidhe also won, also would have beaten Ortega, would have made it 10-3For me... From just this card, a total stake of £120 returned a few pennies under £1120. For a rough on the night profit of £1000.Winning parlays included a couple of eight-folds and a couple of six-folds (one was £5 returning £250)
>>142221075would have returned about £400 if Ortega had made the fight and Lopes got the inevitable victory
>>142221075the £120 doesn't include this £30 for 304 (£150 was my total stake for the night including this)
>>142221287I also have a different one running for UFC 304, which takes the total for these four fights to £1000 from two £30 bets. And I'll be there in person to watch. Pretty hyped. Thanks for reading my blog
Yah good UFC tips USA and Britbong flags, thanks
>canada
>>142200308>Alexandrova to beat Raducanu @2I swear raducanu will start winning if i take that bet fr frany bet you're especially confident in those 6 ?
>>142223279If Muchova is truly fit which I think she should be since her withdrawal from Eastbourne was supposedly just precautionairy, she's my most confident pick.
Matches today have absurd odds you just know I'm going to go bankrupt
>>142200308Kind of want to sprinkle Bellucci@3.5 over Shelton since Shelton's game looks really off right now. His serve is less reliable maybe due to some shoulder issue? Rest of his game isn't consistent enough either to make up for it. I'll wait to see how some of the earlier picks go before being too greedy.
