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Winning edition
previous >>144015191
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Daily reminder to avoid Albanians, even on proxy
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Malik fucking Willis is starting for an NFL team in anno domini 2024 and the line is only -3 against him. Put your house on that.
>>
St. Pete incl. OT@1.65. First and only bet i like so far today from KHL. I think they have the best squad in the league with the new additions from CSKA, particularly Grigorenko. But overall the squad has been cleaned from those who made mistakes last year and looks much stronger now. Expecting a 4-1
>>
>>144368690
please don't do it bros, it's no good
>>
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Yaroslavl looks good too. Added 50 bucks on combo loko ska @2 in KHL. Also someone said a few days ago it's rigged for Tig to win, but don't bet this
>>
200 more on ska @1.60
>>
minimum odds for 1X2 should be 1.33 regardless of who plays who. Bookies need to be regulated.
>>
>>144369836
There wouldn't be any bookmakers if such a stupid regulation was forced.
>>
>>144369933
Good then. Bookies have infinite growth otherwise as they cannot lose long term. This way they would be on their toes the whole time. There is no excuse for Liverpool to be at 1.20 odds every time they play at home, fuck that
>>
>>144369444
So you're saying they won't completely choke and look like one of the worst teams in the league like they ended the season last year? Seems legit. What could go wrong ?
>>
>>144370146
Even if i lose 300 on them i still am one of the best with the back against the wall bettors in the world
>>
Last 700 on Yaroslavl over 1.5 and SKA over 0.5 Total @1.36 fml
>>
2 goals. Easy work
>>
Grigorenko with the open net miss. Last time i ever praise somebody. Should've been 1-0 right now. You can't really see the difference in quality. The only thing you can see is they're playing at home. Hopefully SKA scores in the third or it really is last time
>>
>>144370563
you should have learned your lesson with Ilves last year (yeah I remember that random day)
>>
>>144370585
I'm cashing out
>>
>cashout refused
Wtf
>>
I called support. Waiting to be transferred
>>
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>>144370563
Gotta put that one through. I think st petersburg is too rich and buttoned up of a franchise for the tougher and smaller Russian towns that are named after tractors and steel factories. For sure has to be part of it.
>>
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Arizona State has been a punching bag for power 5 schools as of late. Theyre better than that and its time to show their dominance against an up and coming texas state who probably isn't ready for the big time.Their flashy transfer QB probably comes out unhinged and trying to do too much. Meanwhile ASU just ran the ball at will versus an SEC defensive front that id say is comparable to a Sunbelt texas states'.
Arizona State -1.5

The bills won last matchip by controlling time of possession. They ran it well last week and can lean on it today. Also the cardinals controlled possession last week so they're not connected on offense and passing. The dolphins missing Mostert is big because they'll have to throw it and that means 3rd and long. Tua will get sacked a ton. Add some first half rain and I think you have an Under here. Not just because ot's primitive because I think we're due for a correction this year, but a short week and important game, sure.
Bills - Dolphins under 48.5
>>
>>144371111
Holy get
>>
Shibahara breaks Garcia to bring it back to even. Looking doable now.
>>
>>144372778
Rough tiebreak loss. Shibahara too weak on second serve. If she can win some more second serves maybe there's some hope but that's a big if.
>>
>>144372900
Shibahara was doing really well on serve the whole set just to lose in the tiebreak. Underwhelming, especially the second set should have been won.
>>
lille and dortmund for tomorrow
>>
Bass missed the FG haha please no more but a td in 8 minutes please
>>
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Is ChatGPT a reliable source of information when it comes to placing over/under bets?
>>
>>144382165
The odds are taking this into account already so you're still getting beat by the vig. You'd have to look at the Shenhue offense and see how many shots on goal they make versus goals to see if theyre getting off easy shots or not. Then you have to make sure it's trending that way going into this match. And if it is you may have an edge. So the Chatbot can't do everything but it can point you in the right direction - is how I see it.
>>
>>144382484
Interesting. My friend and I have been losing many PrizePicks bets lately and have been trying to get smarter at this. We are doing test runs using the AI suggestions to see how accurate it is.
>>
Today I like LOSC and eventually Bastia
Awaiting the weekend though
>>
Over 2.5 sets in Bronzetti - Ruzic @2.4
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>>144384825
>both players win a set @2,05
>3 sets in the game @2,3
>
For spiciness purpose i will take Bronzetti 2-1 @4,1
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>>144385013
Both players to win a set for these odds is absurd. Different betting options having different odds even if they describe the same outcome isn't that weird but how can these odds be this low? I guess not having to worry about retirements is factored in but I still would never take what is essentially over 2.5 sets for odds of @2.05 pre-match.
>>
>>144385479
French odds tend to be low (muh taxes and shit i guess)
>I guess not having to worry about retirements is factored in
it's not for you

I'm indeed not surprised too by differences in odds for the same outcome, although here it's quite big, we're talking 0,25, not just 0,05
>>
Ended up going low on LOSC x Bastia @ 2,89 total
Bastia is farmers league 2 so it's a shitfest and LOSC has maybe the cl in mind already

>>144385512
>it's not for you
I meant you lose the bet if the player gives up?
>>
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>>144385512
What do you mean it's not for you? I meant your "both players to win a set" bet should win even if there is a retirement in the third set because the condition of the bet has already been met whereas "over 2.5 sets" or "number of sets: 3" could theoretically be voided. Obviously depends on the rules of the bookie but that was my theory.
>>
>>144385544
Was for you >>144385978

I thought you mean maybe my odds are low because of my bookie rules, while maybe your bookie is ruthless but gives higher odds
w/e, french odds low in general. Sad!
>>
Katie swan looks american. Like Midwest or somewhere there. Rural town countryside girl maybe
Also like Kate Hudson?
>>
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I lost everything again, all my accounts reached 0.
This is the third time this happens
>>
Feeling bullish on Excelsior/Draw and Excelsior-Telstar O1,5. Value on Jong Ajax/Draw and Helmond/Draw - follow those at your risk. Bad value bet on Venlo that I have to pray works out.
This KKD year has been ass-backwards so far, with Volendam reaching the bottom spot and Eindhoven, Helmond, Telstar and Young Utrecht performing well. Expect Excelsior and De Graafschap to be contenders.
>>
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how is it legal for sportsbooks to limit players?
anyways heres a good bet

Real Betis + U4.5 Goals -116 DK 1.16U
>>
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>Helmond ahead
>VVV ahead
Lots of early promise, cant wait for my dreams to get crushed
>>
Woke up after losing everything on russian hockey, league of legends, and brazil. All i had left was 1k in the bank, and 500 to survive, with bills to pay. Deposit 500 for bets, but consider roulette. All red on one spin. Comes black. And i feel like my back is broken. I feel like falling to the ground out of sickness of myself. That i sweared that i wouldn't touch the roulette anymore, but i kept visiting it for a while and always denying it to myself. I wanted to feel that rush. There were 7 non-reds in a row. One was a 0. Thought i'd make a quick boost of 500. And so i finally knew how it is to lose to bogdanoff at the casino. I deposited 500 for sports bets for the big weekend ahead. it was 07:00, awaken by a mosquito. Woke me up, in 5 minutes made the "final" deposit of 500, and then the money was gone on 1 spin. So i deposited again 500 to have for bets and forget about the misfortune at roulette. But went again. 3 blacks in a row, 4th still black, 500 on red.
And then glitch. Something with the stream but we were stuck in loading and couldn't see the table. All you could do is wonder. And then big on the screen. You won 1000. (basically just 500 profit) . Got very happy. Got the kick. And then 1k on the match at 11:00 KT - FearX , LoL. 1k @1.30, and now i received this bonus of 500
400 went into this 7 leg acca @5.83
Sporting, Liverpool, City, Bayern, Atletico, Inter, Palmeiras
50 on River, Leverkusen, Feyenoord, Chelsea, Real Madrid, Benfica @14.67
50 on Bayern, Galatasaray, Real Madrid, Chelsea, Fenerbahce, Inter, Atletico, Palmeiras @19.91

200 real money on Sporting @1.25
>>
>>144390347
>7 team parlay
>5.83

Betting sites love him! Find out why!
>>
My thought on Feyenoord is that the bet is probably fair value but Groningen is a lot better than people reckon especially at home, they're more of an upper mid table team who happened to demote by one bad season
>>
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Not gonna lie, I lied about the Excelsior-Telstar O1,5. I went for O2,5 but didnt want to make a recommendation that would lose people money - my recommendations are relatively risk averse.
Cashing now though.
>>
Nice showing by Ruzic. Quickest 2-0 ever.
>>
>>144384825
Probably my best bet of the month. Amazing how absolutely atrocious Ruzic was. They could have played 10 sets and she wouldn't have won one with how things were going.
>>
UFC 306 picks

>Rosas by SUB over Aoirqileng -185
I see no way this fight ends other than a Rosas RNC. Significant grappling advantage and we all know Rosas' gameplan. UFC is giving him a good matchup for the Mexico card.

>Shevchenko +120 over Grasso
I don't believe Grasso is on Valentina's level. IMO she has lost 6 of 8 completed rounds they've fought. Had a nice choke to win the first fight she was losing 3-1, then got a complete gift card to get a draw in the 2nd fight. Shevchenko is getting old, but plus odds is terrific in this spot which is a coin flip at worst.

>Ortega +165 vs Lopes
Lopes is flying too close to the sun. Ortega is ultra durable and should be able to negate Lopes' BJJ. Lopes can overextend on the feet at times. With a pro-Mexico crowd I'm expecting him to fight a little wild and run into a trap to get finished by Ortega either on a counter shot or a slick submission

>Ribovics +185 over Zellhuber
Zell is the correct favorite, overpriced though. Give me Ribovics at nearly 3-1 payout. Guy has power and a terrific chin. Neither guy has ever been finished, should be a fun fight that probably goes the distance

>Jauregui vs Souza under 2.5 rounds +240
Jauregui got KO'd immediately in last year's big Mexican card in front of a home crowd. She'll want to put Souza away to atone. She either gets the finish or dies trying, I'm taking the under.

>Merab +115 over O'Malley
Not overthinking this one. Grappler vs striker, I'll take the grappler. Definitely a chance Suga KO's Merab with a knee or uppercut, but I like the wrestling and endless gas tank of Merab to get the decision win. Defending takedowns is exhausting, wouldn't be surprised to see O'Malley fade in the championship rounds and concede a ton of control time.
>>
>>144388425
I missed it this week but keep posting this shit i like betting on goals in that league and I think you hit on all these, right?
>>
>>144391503
All of them, even the Venlo one.
>>
>>144390347
Yeah don’t do the roulette thing anymore Romgod
>>
>>144391509
Good shit, congrats.
What’s up with cambuur? they were one of my best ones last season but they can’t score anymore
>>
>>144371111
>muh SEC defensive front
the SEC is just as shitty as every conference outside of UGA and Bama
>>
>>144368864
>laying 3 with Anthony Richardson on the road
Bookies LOVE him
>>
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>>144391561
They changed their system late in last season because they conceded so much; forgetting that the system was also why they scored so much. Absolutely fucking cringe. In the KKD, you need to play with no sense of tactics, mano a mano. You cant win by strategy, you win with passion and stamina. Normally it's stamina, passion and your bankroll, but this year is absolutely ass backwards
>>
>>144391665
I'm a dumb American who doesn't follow soccer closely. Is this the Dutch 2nd division? Is there more betting value in this division than the Eredivisie?
>>
>>144391719
>Is this the Dutch 2nd division
Yes
>Is there more betting value in this division than the Eredivisie?
Not more or less than the Eredivisie, every league has value if you know where to find it; but the Keuken Kampioen Divisie is so much fun. The Dutch leagues are special in that almost every team from the highest to the lowest ranked plays for the win with open, aggressive soccer. The KKD is known for surprises and upsets.
As a general rule, when betting Dutch soccer, bet the over/BTTS, and prioritize being on the right side of the bookie's line (in other words, safety your bets).
>>
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>>144388645
i win and you only had to listen

MLB

Cleveland Guardians () -1.5 Run Line +120
MLB Minnesota Twins () -1.5 Run Line -105
MLB Boston Red Sox () +1.5 Run Line +140
Austin Gomber under 3.5 Ks -120
>>
lille bros...
>>
>>144392150
They did not put the best team, it should have been enough but it wasn't. Predictable fr but there was no way I'd bet un favori of those greens shitters

>bronzetti too stronk
>>
>>144391836
>every team plays for the win with open, aggressive soccer
so Dutch leagues are the anti Serie A. Sounds fun
>>
>>144391567
Deep down I know but I've been brainwashed by Disney and my redneck uncles into believing they weren't as bad as the depths of other P5. Texas St got to the quarterback all game but thankfully the Sun Devils were a tick better in every aspect. I have put south carolina, Kentucky, and Arkansas on my blacklist for now.
>>
>>144392115
Austin Gomber will go off tonight like the cy young he is.
>>
Reminder that the Colts are FREE money this week. Malik Willis is compete shit and the Packers will lose by 20+ points
>>
Amerifats diss soccer meanwhile they are arguing whether or not Sneed will beat Likma Willis
>>
>>144392740
too obvious
GB will run a lot, eating clock and limiting colts oppportunities. defense will net +1 turnover. final score 16-13 GB. collapse starts next week
>>
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>>144392719
17% K with 5%BB with all underlining metrics shit
guy is terrible and it should be more than -120

here is another play

Kansas St ML + Vanderbilt ML -127

>>144392927
do people here not bet to make money?
>>
>>144392941
>coming back from Brazil without your qb and putting in a known bust
>don’t worry the collapse won’t start until next week
it’s unironically joever for the packers
>>
>>144392927
we diss soccer betting because you retards are always losing you bets on it
>>
>>144392684
A major conference school playing a weeknight game on the road against a literally who school is always a trap game. Don't read too much into that result
>>
>>144392927
I just don't enjoy watching soccer
When it comes to /bet/ Euros lose at least 60% of picks. You lot are far worse than a coin flip.
The only bettors worse than Euro soccer bettors are the >muh FREE MONEY fags like the guy pushing the Colts -3 ITT
>>
>>144393059
this is a line read for me. should be -250. all the casuals see the same thing you do. must be some big smart money holding it down around -150
>>
>>144391665
Ok. They will be great value when they give up on that strategy then.
>>
>>144392614
You should look in your own backyard, MLS is like that at the moment. USL typically does the same in another month too once they stop taking themselves so seriously.
>>
>>144393303
nta but im not going to waste my time following a sport that features fucking draws when i can find an actual edge following NCAA football and basketball conferences
>>
>>144393282
Very much so. Their underlying statistics are still really strong even with the current system. It's a combination of bad luck in finishing, selling their striker, and the aforementioned tactics. But the underlying xG, chance creation and possession are still really good. Taking them vs Roda is a matter of taste (Roda is also playing subpar for their skill) but there's five straight games after that where I'm heavily considering them.
>>
>>144393334
you can find edges in soccer the same way you do ncaa
lots of meme leagues and lots of books have bad lines
>>
Bronzetti to beat Sramkova @1.5 tomorrow looks good to me. I'm not just saying that because she destroyed Ruzic although her current play does definitely reaffirm it. Sramkova spent a lot of time on court playing Jacquemot, Burel and especially Sorribes-Tormo and she's not really used to making deep runs like that especially on hard court. I wasn't paying super close attention to her match with Sorribes-Tormo but I think she also took a medical timeout and was starting to look a bit hurt but played through it and won in a close third set. She might have reached the point where she's starting to run out of energy so if Bronzetti plays anything like she did against Li and Ruzic I expect her to get the win tomorrow.

Think the odds for this are going to drop further. The opening was @1.6 and now it's already @1.5. Didn't take it @1.6 because I don't like rushing my decisions but I think this is the correct play here. If you're lucky you might still be able to grab @1.6 somewhere.
>>
>>144393356
Ok like i said keep posting, I will follow you blindly haha
>>
>>144393366
best i can find is -185 or 1.54
too much juice to lay on a ML for me but ill add it to a vanderbilt ml to get even money

cheers
>>
>>144393127
I understand and agree what I'm taking from it since Tx St. played so well the top of the MAC/Sunbelt/AAC etc. are going to match up better than xpected vs P5 schools especially since they're guaranteed a playoff spot. Like Coastal next week at Virginia even though Virginia looked good against Wake, CCU is a live dog there.
>>
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>>144393145
theres only room for one free money fag in /bet/ and Im leaning packers but could be very pleased with a colts comeback
>>
Kansas State -7 tonight vs Arizona
Rough Big 12 welcome for Arizona
>>
>>144393719
Over or under for Zona @ KSU?
>>
The only book available in my state consistently gets the start times wrong for lower level and international MMA events and I've been winning by simply watching it live and betting on whoever won before they close the line. Could I get in trouble for doing this? I'm making a free $100 every weekend by just betting $10 on each fight and don't want to get too greedy with literal free money
>>
>>144393840
What bookie?
>>
Am I going crazy or can you not see pre-match odds of live matches on flashscore anymore until the match has actually finished?
>>
>>144393840
i very much doubt your claim so i will not answer your question
>>
Now that Kartal seems to be beating Starodubtseva I think she's winning Monastir. Should be at plus odds against Lys in the semis so looking forward to these odds.
>>
judge finally hit a hr that faggot
>>
I bet 350k on Ricky Garcia over Devin Haney. Needless to say it paid out well.
>>
>>144393077
i really don't know how we didn't beat Indonesia tbqhwy
>>
>>144393840
Why lie? This has never happened and we all know it. Stop being a stupid faggot.
>>
>>144393719
cheers anon i was gonna grab the over but i took ksu-7 instead
>>
>>144393366
As I expected Bronzetti's odds dropped a lot. I see her @1.3 now.

>>144394355
Thought Kartal would open at plus odds but she's @1.7 so it looks like bookies giving her a lot of respect. Makes sense with these showings. Kind of still want to take her to win. Hope some money comes in on Lys.
>>
>>144397479
Took him long enough that bum
>>
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>>144370662
>>144370959
>>144384852
>>144385344
>>144385749
>>144387193
>>144388660
Moar pls
>>
EPL: Brighton 1H +100
Bundesliga: Leverkusen/Hoffenheim O3.5 -122
>>
>>144401194
Decided I'm taking Kartal to win the first set @1.75 instead of the ML. Also on Garcia to beat Frech @1.9
>>
>>144393719
Thanks, bro.
>>
>>144392950
stick to football. baseball is impossible no matter how sharp you are.
>>
>>144407525
baseball is probably best left off this gen since the variance is so high
roi wise im up decent this year but it swings too much when you are chasing 10 cents or better
>>
>>144393303
I’ve bet some MLS, usually BTTS. Haven’t paid attention the last couple years tho. Shit got too political for me. I just wanna watch a game
>>
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Help me pick 3 of these:

Akron -13.5
UCLA +3.5
UTSA +35
Washington -6
Nevada +17.5
Missouri -14.5
UCF +2
Pitt +2.5
Troy +23.5
Houston -4.5
Morgan St - Ohio over 46.5
Indiana - UCLA over 47.5
Georgia - Kentucky over 44.5
Western Michigan - Bethune Cookman under 51.5
>>
>>144393719
Oregon -16.5 vs Oregon State
Beavers are not on Oregon’s level. Won’t be close. Don’t let the Ducks slow start fool you
>>
is there anywhere I can place a bet on the hawk tuah girl being an invited guest at the next nba all star game
>>
>>144407649
Nevada +17.5
Missouri -14.5
Pitt +2.5
i like pitt outright
>>
>>144407649
Bethune cookman is consistently one of the worst FCS programs. Western might hit the over by themselves.
>>
>>144407678
Good call. I believe that it's good timing to put it together week 3.
>>144407690
That's good you like pitt. That h2h usually alternates. Missouri and Nevada I'm just worried about a letdown spot.
>>144407697
I didn't know if western was any good themselves
>>
>>144406043
1-1 broke even but thing brighton wins the game
only issue is paying the juice for it
>>
>>144407686
yes
>>
>>144407649
Update:
Houston has no depth, UTSA D is lacking/ who knows if they cover, Pitt freshman QB/ not crazy about it/ Wash St. revenge, Sonny Dykes probably wins at home at night..

Just going with Oregon and Michigan to get the ship righted. Maybe Buff maybe Missouri
>>
>B A Y E R N 3+
and
>R E A L WIN
COMBO @2.97
>
Come get your combo in odds 2.97
Bayern scores 3 goals and Real Madrid takes the win
>
>
>
>>
A risky call but high odds:
+2.5 on San Lorenzo v Velez @ 3
>>
>>144393366
Correctly called odds dropping and had big closing-line value. Of course it fails miserable and Bronzetti loses 2-0. If Kartal and Garcia fail as well I think I'm done for now.
>>
>>144406462
Kartal went up 5-1 in the first set before Lys retired so that's a push despite obviously being the correct call. Even went with the first set instead of the ML. Feels like a bad joke.
>>
>>144409894
>first goal @ 4'

noice.
>>
Feyenoordbros...
>>
fucking fuck liverpoop
fucking cunts
>>
Michigan sucks take USC as soon as you can. Can't even cover for your fans. Pull the QB just to have the next guy hand the ball off a million times. And that secondary. Anytime a D line is considered good make sure its not just because they're good as a whole. A pass heavy team will neutralize any effect by going over them because they don't have game wreckers but are "good as a whole." I just feel bad for Michigan fans who lost money on their team. Last year was really special. Shouldve bet Bama. Ain't even mad. USC next week.
>>
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>>144412228
>good match
>2 hits in the bar
no more goals.
>>
Going with Georgia. They look prepared. Just gotta lay 20.5 because I feel it.
>>
And Jax St. beats E Mich. Rich Rod isn't going 0-3
>>
>>144413332
i feel ya mate watching that shit live was painful
>>
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Volumes.
>>
managed to win back what i´ve lost again. any american or anyone really has tips for mls?
>>
>>144418740
was supposed to bet on villa while they were still at a draw too. would have another 200 if famalicao won
>>
>>144418740
BTTS is the bet for MLS but it's usually like 1.4/-250. Most games have 3+ goals
>>
>>144418740
My tip is don't bet soccer.
Bet UFC
Bet CFB
Bet tennis
Bet rugby
Bet literally anything besides soccer
>>
>>144407678
Hope y'all followed
Total mismatch
>>
>>144418871
i don´t watch any of these except for tennis occasionally and i haven´t bet anything on that since swiatek fucked up my shit. only ever made anything on football with some handball and volleyball. wouldnt bet on anything im not familiar with. are you the same guy who hates parleys?
>>144418781
i´ve noticed there is lots of goals over there, gonna do some research and try my luck tonight for like 10pln
>>
>>144419819
I don't hate parlays but I rarely bet them. Too hard to win and bad value. Single bets are better. The one exception is NFL teasers, which are a type of parlay that you get to adjust the handicap in your favor. NFL teasers hit a lot.
>>
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I won £50 on football today
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>>144419651
I did. Wish I bet moar. Any other winners tonight?
>>
>>144391490
>Jauregui vs Souza under 2.5 rounds +240
based ufc bet
>>
>>144420700
BYU -9.5 over Wyoming
Wyoming is possibly the worst team in D1

Cal vs SDSU under 49
poor offense for both, won't be many points
>>
>>144424746
Thank you.
>>
Time of possession: UGA 10:26 UK 19:34
Jax St: Gives up first down on 3rd amd 21 from a HB Slam
>>
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We are so back bros
>>
>>144424746
Absolutely based
>>
>>144419978
Here's a tip, when planning to bet on the NFL. Bet a team with the worst QB rating.
>250 under passing yards
>20 under completed pass
>>
Krk B
>>
>>144391490
>>144393719
>>144407678
>>144407697
>>144424746
It's fucking unreal how much better Americans are at sports betting than Euros
>>
>>144436432
No joke, the most success I've had betting NFL is taking what seems like the worst possible ATS wager. Whenever a line is fishy AF, you should take the perceived weaker side
>>
>>144438108
It’s a burger world and they’re just living in it.
>>
>>144409982
Garcia lost 2-0 despite having a lead in both sets. Typical. Going for one more bet and then I'm probably taking a bit of a break because I'm getting tilted again: Over 2.5 sets in Frech - Gadecki @2.3
>>
In Nascar Alex Bowman, a solid road course driver in a good car, is starting is 4th in a match up with slow Chris Buescher who is starting 24th. Only way this non playoff Ford gets in front is by a hail mary strategy call because points mean nothing to him. Bowman (-130) vs Buescher on DK.
>>
>>144440832
have you posted nascar pics before?
>>
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Porto 10 shots on goal 80% possession against last scoreless team and they can't score one shitty goal
>>
>>144449948
In first half, they will score 3 in second, fuck first half betting always ruins the parlay
>>
>Colts -2.5
Colts have the better coach, better QB, better RB, and better defense. They're just all around better. Ain't nobody worried about muh Lambo field.
>Chargers -5.5
Panthers are the worst team in the league. It's really that simple. Herbert is over-hated by the media for no real reason (probably because he's white). Harbaugh is the far superior coach.
>Cowboys -6.5
Congratulations, Saints. You smacked around the worst team in the league last week. Now you have to go into Dallas where dem boiz are 29-11 since 2019. Dallas should handle business and win by double digits.
>Daniel Jones over 0.5 interceptions
Jones has thrown 41 interceptions over 62 career games played. You can damn near take this prop every week and you'll be profitable over the long run.
>Bengals +6.5
Joe Shiesty is 15-3 as an underdog in his career and he's consistently owned the Chiefs. I dont know if the Bengals win this game, but I think it will be tightly contested at the least.
>Texans -6.5
Texans are just the better team head to toes, hands down. Its that simple.
>>
>>144450425
>laying points with Richardson
I tried to warn you anon. You just wouldn’t listen.
>>
>>144391490
Way wrong on Ortega, he got humiliated. Rest of the picks were dead on including 4 plus money winners.
>>
i'm going to be a professional gambler
>>
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>>144450425
Made a parlay with your calls on chargers, cowboys and texans
>>
>>144450963
you are a professional gambler. success is not a requirement for the title
>>
>>144451649
1 unit tail
lets go /bet/!
>>
Regret not betting on Kartal. She's been insanely clutch this tournament. Just got the 2-0 win over a Sramkova who never gave up in any game. Think it won't be long before she starts challenging top 50 players, at least on hard court.
>>
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>>144216952
Fuck you retard
>>
why did i bet on the jets?
>>
Anyone else hammer bucs ml? Lions are so overhyped had to take +300
Parlayed with chiefs ML for some free cash
>>
my 20 odds parlay ruined because Porto couldn't score a goal at home in first half against last team on table with 0-9 goal difference
>>
>>144455348
always the same shit
>>
cowboys suck. absolutely hopeless
>>
>>144455038
typically we only post about live bets when we are losing
>>
>>144438108
It’s almost every thread too. Soccerfags lose and lose and lose while burgers win at least half
>>
going to get cucked by the patriots it looks like
>>
Some NFL bets from the Americans, please.
I wanna bet and try to watch a game
>>
>>144457441
No one in this thread makes any profit. You arguing over which -EV shit you bet on is hilarious.
>>
>>144458440
Tbf I'm 11 greens and 3 losses today.
Still on green with 140€ profit
>>
>>144458440
I’m 4-0 CFB and 4-2 UFC with four plus money winners ITT. I won $1800 this weekend.

Stay mad soccerfag
>>
>>144458541
>>144458555
Doesn't matter how much you've made in one day if they were shit bets. It's the equivalent of claiming you won on the roulette. Let's see the last 6 months of bets, you're all down as fuck.
>>
>>144458373
over 48.5 points CIN vs KC
good game to watch and rooting for points is easy
thetvapp.to
>>
>>144459062
a good share of my betting profit comes from roulette
t. freerollfag
>>
>>144459172
Tailed
Thank you
>>
>>144392941
i dont usually toot my own horn and i wont toot it now because jacobs had 32 for 151, packers won 16-10, and I didnt even put a unit on it
>>
what are we thinking for PIT/DEN? avoid? fields as QB makes me nervous.
>>
>>144459062
t. Hasn’t had a winning day in months because he exclusively bets soccer
>>
>>144461063
Nix is worse than fields by a lot
>>
Colts are FREE MONEY
>>
>>144392941
Extremely based prediction.

ALWAYS fade faggots who call anything free money
>>
>>144440832
i am glad i didnt like this more than a hand of baccarat
>>
>>144459172
feeling a little unsure about this one
>>
>>144462618
points can show up quick with these teams but it does look like the fix might be in on the under. barely 3 drives in the first quarter is rough
>>
>>144440832
Sorry, he won the race. And it was worded a bit deceitfully. I don't know why I posted this.
>>
>>144459172
>>144462618
>>144462732
>bengals need 7 downs for 2 yard
>should go for 2
>missed xp
>mahomo throws a pick
>refs bail him out
>he throws another pick
live number is still over 50 but im not feeling good
>>
>>144466319
i figure you posted it because you felt like -130 was fucked up. good news is your were right. bad news is you were wrong about why it was fucked
>>
Atalanta saved my bankroll
I really need to stop in lower division games
>>
houston to cover?
>>
>>144466742
you can tell if you should be ignoring a market by the vig. if even props are worse than -110/1.9 you cannot win
>>
>>144466850
should cover very easily so bears is the play but i also hate 3-6 spreads.
like the over because bears offense is more likely to do well than the defense is likely to stop the texans. also like bears outright because it should be texans -7.5 at least and week 2 is when the bears are still hopeful.
>>
any american can recommend me something happening over there to bet on for the night
>>
i have 400pln to roll over till 18th 10pm. i´m actually such a dumbass cause it´s a bonus 100% from deposit, if i deposited an hour later i would have been able to use it on CL matches on wednesday at 9pm
>>
>>144466521
Buescher was always going to be good over the long run based on practice time. The faster cars up front decided to lock in winning stages for playoff points instead of pacing themselves for the end. Sometimes they post really bad matchups and I think sharp money went on Buescher at the end because I saw it as a pickem on my book but both at -115 because they like to squeeze us when they're not sure of it themselves. Buescher was +2800 and Bowman +1500 but Bowman wasn't even trying to win basically. SVG and Hocevar got top 5s despite having worse equipment. Just more crap from modern NASCAR.
>>
>>144467362
texans bears over 44.5 points. scored 53 points combined last week and texans gave up 27 points to the colts. its week 2 and this means nothing but theres nothing else going on in US sports tonight
>>
>>144461745
>Colts lose to Greenbay
>Cowbois lose to Saints
>Ravens lose to Raiders
>Lions lose to the Bucs
Everything is a lost.
>>
>>144467849
I'd personally go under if I we're betting. I don't like that Odunze is injured. He's a downfield threat for Williams. Stroud should be able to solve the bears secondary, but not until some stalled drives. And either the bears are rushing a lot chewing clock or their offense stalls and it's a punt fest. There may be a chance to wait for the total to drop live after the first couple drives and then go over because I don't doubt that it could be a shootout once they get settled in.
>>
>>144468552
i think youre right. bears look a mess. cant even count on garbage points.
>>
any thoughts on stearns v raducanu?
>>
>>144471132
I'm betting that it opens up now. The texans should cover now too so I'm Livebetting Over 47.5 @-115 and Texans @-6.5 -123
>>
>>144440621
Frech wins the final 2-0. Nice choke by Gadecki after taking a lead in the second set. Just what I love to see. Think I'm taking a break. There's some interesting matches in Thailand and South Korea but I'm probably just picking all losses even if they have closing-line value. Been on the wrong side of some infuriating chokes lately.

>>144471875
Stearns to win the first set looks interesting to me but as you can see that probably means Raducanu easily wins.
>>
Epic fumble at the goal line by the Texans.
>>
>>144475055
Should've stuck with Mixon
>>
>>144472198
RIP
Don’t bet NFL overs
Don’t lay more than 3.5
>>
>>144450425
Don’t lay more than 3.5 bud. Simple as.
>>
>>144458373
I’d strongly recommend betting CFB instead of NFL. NFL is extremely hard to bet
>>
>>144368864
hope you’re ok pal
>>
For me it's
Devonta Smith first td scorer MNF
Pats +6.5
Saquon Barkley 2+ tds MNF
Eagles -5.5
Kirk Cousins O 0.5 INT MNF
Chargers U37
Saints ML
Raiders -7
Over 48.5 Saints Eagles
Feel free to ask for reasoning or call me a retard
>>
>>144475893
I cannot fathom a world in which I willingly laid a FG with Richardson on the road
>>
>>144476069
Many such cases, its a learning experience. Im learning myself so I do 1 unit on every bet no matter how confident I am in it
>>
Dutchie tell me what to bet on cambuur vs roda
>>
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Kinda just want to quit while I'm ahead

Or gamble all the winnings away
>>
>>144476087
This is a game I genuinely can't call. Even the BTTS doesnt have the right risk-reward imo.
>>
>>144476937
All good ill multi overs for excelsior/Utrecht/psv matches
>>
>>144477857
trailing
>>
>>144476077
Same unit size is key for long term sustainability. You’re just as likely to lose the game you think is >free money as you are a random coin toss. I bet 3 units max if I love a pick. Nothing worse than having a good weekend but losing a 10-unit bet and finishing in the red
>>
CL lets go nerds
>>
>>144387516
it's alright mate. you'll win it back :)
>>
juventus is -125 at home vs psv. any thoughts on this?
>>
>>144476058
pats are +6.5? i get they are on the road but thats an easy bet to make
>>
>>144479318
jets are going to get it together this week. dont like 6.5 might take it at 7.5
>>
free roll update: quick update edition
everything is going great because books love promoting football. keep blowing money in the casino and random sports bets but its okay because its free. decided to start tracking everything in excel so ill have better stats if you guys ever decide to engage with me.
$379 bet today. min profit $8.30. 2.19% gain.
new rankings
MGM
Draftkings
Fanduel
Bet365
ESPN
Fanatics
Fliff
Caesars
>>
>>144479508
You haven't made any deposit?
>>
>>144479508
Fanduel is trash for props and anything besides spread/ML on major sports. I saw a NBA prop on there a couple years ago that was -130 both ways
>>
>>144479567
i make deposits but use promos to cover both sides so there is no risk.
example >>144393688
i usually leave the profit in my account and play around with that. been netting 100-200 per month usually, sometimes a lot more but I always blow most of it when I get up big
>>
>>144479318
Just having watched a lot of Jets Pats matchup its usually the pats winning except for last year at the end. Seemed to be beyond just QB or coach or whatever, Belichick had a streak running from Sanchez to Zach Wilson in terms of Jets QBs. I saw the pats passing game finally struggling to life after a dark week 1 and I think the defensive mistakes will get ironed out with another week of camp. Seahawks got a 10 point swing off a total defensive miscue leaving DK alone and a field goal block later so I think that game was more winnable.
>>
>>144479723
Based nevertheless. Also i like this >>144478445 but you'd need a big bankroll to play like this
>>
>>144479783
Just have small units desu. I do 10 cents lol. I only have to go 50% to break even anything above that is profit. Ill go up to a dollar once I actually know what im doing
>>
What's the best ongoing betting vids on Youtube right now?
>>
>>144479657
youre right about fanduel odds but sometimes theyre okay for live stuff. main odds arent bad but i can usually find better. main reason i rank FD high is because they still do some deposit bonuses and reasonably convertable casino promos.
>>
>>144479843
while on the subject
ATL PHL
FD -225
365 +210
>>
Colombia anon said Flamengo & River Plate have a free road to the semis in Libertadores.
Flamengo is 1.28 to advance vs Penarol
And River 1.30 v Colo Colo

will be settled in 2 weeks thou
>>
CS tomorrow
Team Spirit @1.22 v FURIA
FaZe Clan @1.55 v Complexity
combo 1.89
>>
Galatasaray @1.27 v Gaziantep
Mlada Boleslav v Slavia Praga @1.50
Real Madrid @1.30 v Stuttgart
Sporting @1.70 v Lille
Queretaro v Tigres @1.50
>>
don’t bet on soccer
>>
>>144480779
Do you have to post that everytime, asshole?
>>
>>144480779
thanks, bro. was thinking about betting soccer but thankfully saw your post first. think ill check out some WNBA. got a hunch that home teams overperform because chicks care about that shit
>>
feels like shakhtar @ +360 might be worth a shot
>>
>>144481186
just bet live ping pong if you need action. at least you wont fool yourself into thinking you found an edge
>>
>>144479814
My mentor :
https://youtu.be/3VrFyp8xgTA?si=BQeUf1Qe2pf4Nyum

Daniel Negreanu interview with Lex Friedman , and i recommend the book Zen and the art of poker, which i've studied througouhly and translated to betting. Tbh i started to hate betting lately. And now i have to live from it cause i got no other income. From the first time ever I want to ask for help from everyone here to share their gambling methods. Last year i had deposited 3.5k ; from 1.4k made 38k while withdrawing the initial deposit. But then surviving here under 10k. Sometimes it's 7k then it's 1k. Then 3k , 5k, 7k and back to 1k. For months. Why do i win and lose? Why do i grow fast and drop sudden? Because i keep making 1k bets @1.3 - 1.6 ; but one time i made 20 winning bets on a saturday. 50, 100 ron, 200 reback live at most. On a 4k roll. And made 2.5k AND got 500 on fortune wheel spin at slots. Had 6k. and the next day i lost 1k 1k 1k on verstappen to h2h hamilton when they crashed, on lol, on slavia praga to score in the only game they didn't score this season. And 3k on river plate to score. Made it 4k. Again on anyone to score. Made it 5k . But then i'm not cool. Then i fucked up bad. Lost 1k on bolivar, wnd then 4k on G2 to fnatic. In a match that didn't matter.. Then deposited again 5k. Made it 8k. Withdrawn 5k. And the remaining 3k is what it is today: 1k (profit)
>>
>>144481535
>On a 4k roll. And made 2.5k AND got 500 on fortune wheel spin at slots. Had 6k.
Math doesn't add up here because i had another bet of 500 lost in the morning. And also 500 on verstappen h2h with hamilton, norris and russell and won 2/3 . W/e
>>
>>144481535
you should try placing 100 12 leg parlays at 10ron instead of your next 1000ron bet.
>>
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Downside: didnt bet for Excelsior like I originally planned. Upside: dodged Cambuur. All in.
>>
>>144482511
Yeah goals going ok
0-0 ht for cambuur seems obvious now
Going for a run, expecting 3 green ticks when I get back
>>
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Thanks for recommending the under (Aussiespeak for over)
>>
paul skenes 7+K vs cardinals @ -105
>>
>>144482817
careful with that. its business decision season. he might be innings/pitch restricted already.
>>
>>144479814
pickdawgz and kyle kirms
>>
Falcons +5.5 tonight is free money. No chance Philly beats them by a TD
>>
>>144482789
Hehe I did over 2.5 which hit at $3.55
I also did 2fhg @$12.25 which almost got there.
Hopefully cambuur fires their coach or something
>>
>>144484307
already took the iggles
>>
got a 200pln bonus. need a parley of at least 4 games with @ over 1.40 to use it, valid till wednesday 10pm. any suggestions?
>>
>>144484307
Have you seen how shit Kirk is? He's done. Theyre going to philly and they dont have a quarterback
>>
>>144485768
> they dont have a quarterback
They have Michael penis jr.
>>
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>>144402899
>>
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>>144485883
>>
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>>144485901
>>
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>>144485919
>>
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>>144485947
>>
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>>144485976
>>
>>144485861
>eagles D knocks cousins out of the game
>penix goes off
is plausible. usually dont like +5.5 but if its close at all the eagles like to act like andy reid and play for last possession & FG instead of 2+ score win
>>
>>144485947
greek volleyball does sound pretty comfy
also still looking for someone to bet jai alai with me
>>
>>144486018
>penix dies too because hes made of glass
>Return of the Heineken
>>
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>>144476910
are you trying to make money or have fun?
i do both, its been a wild month but im a winner, as always.
>>
>>144485768
I'll tell you one last time
Falcons +5.5 is free money
It's your own fault if you don't accept the free money.
>>
>>144407525
90% of baseball betting is taking starting pitcher matchups. Pro bettors bet baseball a lot
>>144438108
We have better sports. Soccer is the worst sport to bet by an order of magnitude. The better team frequently fails to get a result. That almost never happens in American sports.
>>
primetime underbros...are we back? 2-0 this week after a couple losers week 1
>>
>>144486521
you remind me of a faggot who agressively posts picks and refuses to post career stats.
nobody is buying this broken clock shit either so Im not sure what youre even trying to do
>>
>>144486613
eagles are my home team. confidence is very high locally. nobody worried about AJ brown being out. overconfidence usually indicates underperformance to me. also the falcons have to play KC this week and cannot go 0-2 with Tampa 2-0 and playing the fucking broncos. together this tells me the +5.5 is probably a better play than the total
>>
i took cubs -1.5 @ +110
>>
>>144486651
Guess you're on the Eagles then. Sorry for your impending loss bud
>>
>>144485751
cmon help me with this
>>
>>144486790
i am, because i am >>144486747 and i dont bet against them when theyre competetive. i could see it going either way but +5.5 is never free money. its less than a td in OT for fucks sake
>>
Champions League /bet/bros what do you think are safe options for today? Real Madrid didn't lead at half time any game this season (only scored 1 goal) so I'm thinking they will win first half, game, plus score over 1.5 goals
>>
lost about 150 during last night on dumb live bets but made it up twice, was about to cash out before that tennis game too, thanks god i didnt. now just need an idea for that 200pln bonus
>>
>>144487081
I’m thinking you shouldn’t bet soccer
>>
>>144486521
ACK!
>>
I have a budding hypothesis that first time td scorer is never the one thats favored. Saquon was favored by a shitton but I picked smith and it was him. Same when I picked Breece Hall first time td for the jets 49ers game, he wasn't first he was like 3rd. This isnt me bragging im a retard
>>
>>144482817
hit
>>144486769
looking real good
>>
>>144486651
>>144486992
>>
>>144485751
>>144486878
For baseball. Add Phillies and Dodgers MLs as sure things. Then jd suggest the Cubs too but not as sure. Then go to Japan and add the Yomiuri Giants at home and buy a run +1.5 to make it more of a sure thing if you can. They play the Yokohama baystars on Wednesday afternoon.
>>
never betting on the eagles again
>>
>>144484307
Hope /bet/ listens next time
If you want to win NFL bets, take unders and underdogs. Simple as.
>>
>>144491730
this. it's not essentially 50/50 over the long term. nevermind the overwhelming body of evidence.
>>
>>144491520
Never betting on Hurts again. Dumb fucking nigger can’t pass for shit.
>>
>>144491520
Lol never bet on black qb
>>
>>144491948
That nigger just needed to get into FG range.
>>
I kneel desu
Still good because I got Devonta Smith First time td and Jalen Hurts O0.5 ints
Thats why I do 1 unit on everything and do small units I suppose
>>
>>144491800
TNF/SNF/MNF games the last couple years have been unders at a 59-61% rate

Don't let that keep you from seething about your over and eagles -5.5 bet tho
>>
>>144479508
ended up with almost 510 bet and net $19 profit on the day. 3.82%
blew it all and more on eagles ML, as is tradition
>>
>>144492167
And Judon O0.5 sacks
I like that guy he pretty much got a sack a game for us in New England
Solid bet until about december he tapers off by the end of season idk why
>>
>>144492446
Judon was a great signing for Atlanta
>>
>>144492603
Hated to see him go especially with the injuries to the pass rushers, ultimately he was too old for the window and went to a competitor glad hes winning
>>
>>144492212
didn't bet either of those. eagles fan and generally don't lay on this team, and 5.5 was too much after their run defense last week. figured there would be too much running to feel comfortable with an above average total. My board is generally split evenly. Though I appreciate that you just pivoted from "NFL bets" to primetime after you realized you said something really stupid.
>>
For me its
Vikes +2.5
Chiefs -4.5 (regretting this now desu)
49ers -7.5
Hawks -5.5
Buccs -6.5
Eagles Saints O48.5
Saints ML (got this in at + money)
Raiders -7
Steelers U37
Pats +6.5
>>
>>144490728
Actually Phillies is a no go because Brewers can clinch. Cubs are a sure thing practically. Maybe at Mets? I'm sure there's a CL you can add. I hope my Nippon league thing is legit but maybe thats bad too idk.
>>
>>144492212
after a nice win i like to post career stats on /bet/ but Im not a faggot
>>
>>144492984
you are out of your mind if you think there is any such thing as a sure thing baseball bet, especially single game. im not even 40 and ive seen almost everything imaginable.
>>
Also going to do Packers +3 (i love the pack at home always) giants +6.5 i think theyll fight hard to not be 0-3 and they had a 3-0 td margin last week
Commanders +8 I think the bengals are done, jamarr chase is so pissy this season they all look given up
And finally Jayden Daniels O0.5 int hes a rookie hasnt thrown one I think hes due for it against a bengals secondary thats been the only part of that team really functioning
>>
>>144492691
I’m sorry you lost all weekend!
>>
Can we be nice
>>
>>144492212
source on the 59-61% stat? I genuinely would like to know.
>>
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>>144493544
Careful with this info, you might upset the burger who got his ass kicked betting this weekend
>>
>>144493241
this made more sense in your head. I got absolutely demolished in week 2/week 1 and clawed almost all of that back this past weekend
>>
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holy shit, bet is back? time for the NFL parlay god to return :D

3 (You)'s and I'll share the other picks.
>>
>>144493018
I grew up on the Red Sox coming back from 0-3 in the ALCS against the Yankees to break the curse. I saw Freese's walkoff against the Rangers in the World Series when they were 1 strike away in the 9th. I've seen my team lose on the infield fly rule on a flyball to leftfield. I know how baseball is often determined by thin margins, but so is football. If you sat and watched the things I saw this past weekend in football: targeting, roughing the passer, DPI, blindside block, all these things called on the better team becuase refs perceived them as the superior athletes which is precisely why I backed them just for a ref to take pity on the otherside because they can't keep up with the pace of play. On top of that you have missed drops, bad snaps, missed PASSES, because no young athlete understands fundamental football because every coach is a schizo data analyst. Maybe a pitcher is throwing gas and a lineup is hot so you should bet them. At least you don't have to worry about getting screwed by the most heinous and ticky tack occurences. Seriously, baseball never pretended to be predictable. I'm sure the lines are correct across all sports because bookies are the modern day priest class and can use quantum supercomputers that can time travel. Dodgers and Cubs aren't a sure thing, but there's no way the Marlins and A's can avoid pitching to their superior lineups. In other sports the lesser side runs from their competition and hides behind layers of meme magic in order to win or make the spread. I still believe in the purity of baseball until it is completely destroyed by the bookies evil and corrupt influence.
>>
>>144494255
>>144494255
>>144494255
>>
>>144493552
yeah cheers. 60% rate on line bets is not THAT big of an edge, given that the odds will be like $1.85. What it really means is to not bet on overs.
My NFL bets this week were all underdogs straight up. And it's paid off nicely this week.
>>
>>144494255
>betting against the Mutt
Another bust.
>>
>>144487081
Madrid, Bayern, Sporting should be free wins
>>
Roll Tide
>>
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I haven't opened a /bet/ thread in years but I can't believe the Romanian is still kicking. Godspeed brother, know that I love you as much as the bookies do.
>>
>>144368690
Other romanian better here

Tip of today: milan 1-0 liverpool @16
>>
>>144496554
Thanks, yeah, i'm VIP with most books i use now
>>
>>144496585
>>144496969
uh oh
>>
>>144496969
Then post them?
Whats the vip of Amir for today?
>>
>>144497209
I think this is >>144496303
I put spirit, galata, faze and sporting. Real looks like the best bet thou. But to pair with which one? Sporting?
>>
>>144497379
Im staying away from real and juventus

Sporting and goal bayern in first half
>>
Champions League: Juventus -130 1.3U
Champions League: Bayern/Zagreb O3.5 -126 1.26U
>>
>>144495342
It’s 1.91 odds. 60% is profitable long term
>>
Where's osimhen? I didn't want to put my money on yunus akgun
>>
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>>144495197
>>144495694
so close lads, just one more (You). you know my dubs will be a dubs. I'm also stipulating that it must be 3 separate flags. Sorry brit and canada bros.
>>
>>144497730
playoff games are 48.7% over during the past 5 seasons. across the same time frame, the closing under hits 49% of times when the line moves lower. The primetime football thing is definitely interesting, though I would love to see that broken out by Thursday, Sunday, Monday. Regardless, the playoff record and the sharp-driven moves indicate that the markets are pretty efficient, and anyone saying "just bet under on NFL games and you'll make money bro" is bein silly. One step beyond the most casual bettor, but completely unaware of how much they don't know.
>>
>>144498096
>"just bet under on NFL games and you'll make money bro"
betting unders is pretty much how +ev betting works and ive made $20K doing it since march. the public is retarded and more people are betting than ever. people like betting overs.
>>
>>144498138
pros bet overs and unders. I don't know how many times you have to be shown numbers to know that unders across the board are unequivocally not +ev when you pay a vig. Not from an average error perspective or a win percentage. unless you're admitting that you're only betting on prime time NFL games?
>>
>>144498138
also
>$20k since march
lel that's probably good (I have no idea on attribution or unit size), but that's also not something to brag about unless you are actively attempting to show how novice you are.
>>
>>144498166
I bet overs and unders. Mostly props but sometimes NFL. NFL ML and over under are very efficient. The point stand that people are retarded and only bet overs letting people get value on unders.
>>
>>144498213
unit sizing 1% of my roll i use kelly criterion
>>
>>144498245
that doesn't help to understand whether $20k is impressive, tard.
>>
>>144498256
its impressive in the fact that i started with $200 and deposit matches. its not impressive that i actually have to work to get the money. also im getting limited now so its pretty much over
>>
Can you bet russian hockey? Check for Irbis U20 live. They have 2-0 going into the 3rd period. You can take as many goals as you want. Irbis two more is @1.50 ; 3 more @2.70 ; it's a team of 19 y.olds against a 16 y.olds one. 9-0
>>
>>144498277
if that were a fact you would post career stats from the book to prove it. its so easy and harmless the only reason not to do it is because you are lying.
>>
>>144498528
sportbetting became legal in my state in march
sure looks like that adds up
>>
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>>144497674
>>
>>144498528
>the book
im on 6 books because i shop odds dummy
that app is called pikkit and tracks all books you link to it
>>
i got juventus @ +105 13 min into the match
>>
>>144498546
>refuses to post stats
liar confirmed. thanks for helping us ignore you.
>>
>>144498650
whatever loser i posted the 2 soccer plays that are gonna both win too
>>
>>144498620
then post the one that shows youre up at least 3300.
>>
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of course everyone that I wanted to bet on are delivering
>>
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Are you tired of struggling on a small bankroll? Join me on a one week crusade where we win every game one by one and then get out, and by the end of it you will either have a healthy bankroll to work with, or lose 20 quid.
First game is River Plate (to qf*), who play tonight the first leg in Chile. Was gonna take them to score @1.36, but then initiated the acca and the logical choice was taking what they're ultimately playing for: to qualify. And the return leg is in a week. 1.30 river shite to qualify.
vouching for them: Colombia. and myself. and probably every sudacca agrees.
Second is Flamengo @1.28 (to qf...) as mentioned.
vouching for them: Colombia
Return leg is on the 27th, which would probably make it the last game on the accy (if we make it there)
Would go for Tigres live (to score). It's away at 1.70, but it's away. Still it's against the worst team .
I like PAOK to beat Volos .. away @1.28
I LIKE AEK away at atheneos kallithea @1.36
FCSB to beat Petrolul @1.55 3-0
Ceske Budejovice - Sparta Praga @1.22
Panathinaikos @1.20 - Panserraikos
Besiktas @1.48 - Eyupspor
Rayo Vallecano - Pathetico @1.85
careful with the last two. and plenty other games that show up. The beauty of this is we're not actually making a long parlay, but playing each individually while increasing the stakes
>>
>>144498096
You literally cannot do better in NFL than a 5-year sample size that hits at 60% lmao
>>
dont bet soccer bros
>>
>>144499201
but im winning money and the over 3.5 goals in the bayern game is free
>>
MLB Frankie Montas Under 17.5 Total Pitching Outs +120 0.5u
>>
So Real , Sporting, River qf/to score tonight for HUNCH® readers
>>
the chiefs have won the superbowl 60% of the time over the past 5 years. can get it around +450 right now. literally free money.
>>
>>144499628
>dudequeefswinlol
Gooddell really needs a new script
>>
>>144499201
I like to bet major international tournament games under 2.5 and 1.5. Many of those games are 1-0 or 0-0. Euro this summer was great for under bettors
>>
took BTTS connah's quay/caernarfon town in welsh league @ -155. a hit.
>>
AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAA
>>
>>144499216
Looks good
>>
>>144499628
If Mahomes gets hurt that line goes from +450 to +1200 overnight
>>
>>144499171
Legendary Romanian poster
>>
>>144499628
The real value is AFCCG/Super Bowl hedge value. Chiefs will be favorites in both of those games if they make it
>>
Should have put more on sporting, but betting against my team already felt bad
>>
anyone have any thoughts on the SFG/BAL game tonight? SF has won snell's last 5 starts. ML is -118 for SF
>>
>>144499246
Is this legit?
>>
>>144502226
i took it for +115
>>
>>144502267
fuck it, we ball.
>>
>>144502226
if you can get it near that number its a good play
>>
>>144502378
Cool, will do.

>>144499216
Thanks, Anon!
>>
>>
if anyone has 365 i can post wnba bets that beat their prop markert

>>144502452
philly should roll out a bunch of lefties and his last 2 were veresus shit teams. that and the +120 tag makes it nice
>>
i'm taking the dodgers -1.5 @ -135 against the marlins, too.

considering astros ML @ +100 vs padres, as well.
>>
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I won 15 bucks from CL free bet what bet?
>>
>>144503121
Bet against CFB Wyoming. They’re really bad and bookies have not yet adjusted. Game is Saturday.
>>
>>144503258
Spread or ML?
>>
>>144503258
what sport is that?
>>
>>144503433
College football aka amateur handegg.
>>
>>144503433
american college football
>>
>>144503313
I’d lay the spread against them until they cover. In 3 games so far they’ve lost ATS by an average of about 16 points per game
>>
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if you are betting cfb this is what is have for this saturday. if you cant get the same numbers since the line has moved its probably not a good bet outside of oklahoma state up to 52

usc -5.5 and flordia -4.5 as well
>>
>>144503468
>>144503474
odds are shit you need to parlay this shit or take the handicap i guess idk anything about that sport
>>
>>144503586
mostly people bet against the spread (difference in score) to get better odds in football
>>
>>144503586
Do the handicap -9 points. It’s 1.91 odds
>>
>>144503576
Purdue will get killed by ORST. Beavers have an excellent rush offense. Purdue can’t stop the run. Beavers win by 17 or more
>>
>>144503741
yeah thats how people ususally do it in footie too
if i didn't buy a new rig for my office i'd be up a thousand this month maybe even more
You guys in any telegram groups that do well?
>>
all CL favs won, no upsets today, should´ve put more
>>
>>144503773
check the injury report for them
>>
Young Boys lost me the bet for today
What are we thinking for tomorrow?
>>
>>144504554
didn't bologna get gutted from the team that qualified last year?
>>
>>144504737
Not gutted, but yeah arguably the 3 most important people for that season are gone.
But ucranian teams are the hardest to rate properly in Europe
>>
MLB Brent Rooker (OAK) Over 1.5 Total Bases +115 0.5u
MLB Bryan Reynolds (PIT) Over 0.5 Total Home Runs +600 0.25u
MLB Rowdy Tellez (PIT) Over 0.5 Total Home Runs +675 0.25u
MLB Arizona Diamondbacks -1.5 Run Line +105 0.5u
>>
ajax and man city are keeping me from 1700 win from a 200 bonus. will they do it?
>>
>>144503956
I keep posting winners and /bet/ keeps questioning me and disagreeing with every pick lol. Bet ORST -6. Purdue matches up poorly with ORST.
>>
>>144505353
Will do.
>>
>>144505353
yeah i am going to take it
>>
>>144505353
i already bet it and didnt see anything about them. Most books have it +4.5 now outside of 2 that I use. I'm getting CLV on my bet which usually means im on the on the right side. I think the beavs win but also think the number is wrong. As soon as markets for CFB open I place bets to try and get number I think are wrong. You cannot get a +5.5 -110 anymoe the lines are juiced to move off it towars +4.5
>>
got a 100pln no risk bet, it can only have 2 games on the parley tho, any suggestions?
>>
>>144505445
River Plate over 0.5 and Tigres
>>
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Proof i ain't talking without a coupon.
>>
>>144505399
I'm telling you anon.
Beavers by 17+
Final score in the 34-17 range
>>
>>144503844
>You guys in any telegram groups that do well?
You looking for the UnderdogKing's picks?
>>
>>144505258
>MLB Brent Rooker (OAK) Over 1.5 Total Bases +115 0.5u
i took this one
>>
>>144496969
I used to work for a large bookie with a big EU presence (think top 5) until they got rid of my ass last month ago. We used to laugh at the VIPs. It's not something to be proud of. If you were actually making money, then we'd put restrictions on your account
>>
>>144502452
unfortunately montas is cruising
>>
>>144506720
The bet cashed
>>
>>144499187
you responded, but didn't read?
>>
>>144507381
yes, just barely. i needed it, too.
>>
>>144499246
Finna based. Pooa, Rayne, Patrick and Jalen really fucked me over on Week 2.
>>
Betis Getafe 1 (2.02)
Club Brugge Dortmund 2 (2.10)
PSG Girona 1 & over 1.5 goals PSG ( 1.80)
Ajax Sittard 1 & over 1.5 goals Ajax (1.85)
I quit if I lose this Parlay
>>
any thoughts on edmund vs stricker stephen on thursday?
>>
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Tokyo, Japan 18/9/2024
6:00 PM JST
SUN: 25 DEGREES VIRGO
MOON: 29 DEGREES PISCES
MARS: 7 DEGREES CANCER

Baystars vs Giants (1.74)
GIANTS SP GRIFFITH: NATAL MARS OPP. TRANSIT MOON + NATAL SATURN
BAYSTARS SP JACKSON: NATAL MOON CONJ. JUPITER / VENUS CONJ. NATAL VENUS / SUN TRINE

****.75U Baystars ML @2.15

Chiba Lotte Marines vs. Rakuten Golden Eagles
MARINES SP KEUCHEL: NATAL MARS QUINCUNX MARS / NATAL SUN SQUARE MOON
EAGLES SP FUJII: NATAL MARS CONJ. ASC. / NATAL MOON CONJ. MARS / JUPITER SQUARE ASC.

****.75U over 7 @1.95
***.25U LIVE UNDER 9.5 AFTER FIRST 3 INNINGS

Nippon Ham Fighters vs. Fukuoka Softbank Hawks
HAM FIGHTERS SP ITOH: NATAL SUN SEXT. MARS / SUN CONJUNCT NATAL SUN + MIDHEAVEN / NATAL MOON SEMISQUARE MARS
HAWKS SP : NATAL MARS + VENUS TRINE ASC. / SATURN CONJ. ASC. / SUN QUINCUNX NATAL MARS + VENUS / NATAL SUN OPP. MARS

***.5U Ham Fighters ML @2.10
*** .5U over 7 @1.95

Hiroshima Carp vs. Yakult Swallows
YAKULT SP YAJURE: NATAL VENUS + JUPITER CONJ. MOON / NATAL MOON SEXT. SUN
HIROSHIMA SP KURI: NATAL MARS OPP. MOON / URANUS TRINE NATAL MOON / NATAL MOON SEXT. MOON / NATAL MARS CONJ. SUN

***1U under 7.5 @1.91

Hanshin Tigers vs Chunichi Dragons **.5U over 4 @1.87
>>
Orix Buffalos 1.68 to even out the payout. No astrology but its a get right spot.
>>
>>144505500
God fucking damn it

>>144506641
Pretty sure i'm one of the good vips
>>
Fujii let 2 on with 1 out and struggled to find his pitches just like his negative Uranus and Neptune placements signifying miscommunication and dissascociation but Saturn on the first house allowed him to strike out Soto and the clean up hitter. Dallas Keuchel started strong with the same Saturn.
>>
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This was a strike because it hit his bat. In my favor. Pitcher got out of the jam.
>>
BTTS Bologna
BTTS Sparta Praha
PSG & over 1.5
>>
>Man City
>Erling Haaland anytime score
>2.5 over runs
Free money?
>>
samsunspor v basaksehir in the turkish super league, basaksehir unbeaten in 8 away games and some how priced at 3/1

any reason i shouldn't lump on this?
>>
>>144511668
>any reason i shouldn't lump on this?
I personally hate betting on turkish clubs, seems like they are all retarded and will disappoint you
Only acceptable bet is on goals
>>
>>144510137
>>144510178
3-3 and a push. Orix are 0-7 now. Turns out the get right was a get back for Seibu's Sudima who took a L a few weeks ago and went 8 innings 1 ER. A lot went as expected. Andre Jackson pitched great like the planets positioning indicated and World Series winner Dallas Keuchel fell apart for the Over. Didn't get the 9.5 live like I should've. Might go with Hiroshima Carp tomorrow because they went back and forth with Yakult.
>>
>>144512203
well gl me brotha i stuck £100 on the win at 3/1 and £50 on draw or win at 1/1
>>
>>144512502
If you put 25 on the other guys you simply cannot lose
You may have solved betting
>>
Champions League: Bologna -105 1.05U
Champions League: Celtic -1.5 -142 1.42U
Soccer/CFB: Paris St-Germain ML + Nebraska ML -135 2.02U
>>
>>144507456
I gave you a 250-game sample over 5 years of something that literally is “just bet the under and you’ll make money bro” and you still question it because you have to feel smart.

I’m done with this retarded site. Bye /bet/ hope you cashed on my selections the last year.
>>
>>144513398
See you tomorrow bud
>>
treble parlay sparta, betis, bologna 10€ @ 7.28
simple as
>>
>>144513398
no one is saying it isnt an intriguing stat. we just dont like the free money nonsense because its nonsense. if there was really a 14% blind edge on unders the books would be getting killed and juice everything to -120 like they need to for ingame props. so we need more info to decide how to approach it.
25 of those games happened in a season with empty stadiums. also didnt say which under hits 60% open? final? some sort of average?
any nothing about game circumstances. players can be ruled out at the last minute. weather. player dies in the middle of a game.
>>
Boca x riber?
>>
>>144514192
primetime unders hit like 11 weeks in a row or something like that last season
>>
Ucranian farmer retard missed a penalty right at the start. Fucked the whole game up for goals
>>
Haaland needs to score one goal to break Ronaldo's record (fastest to 100 goals)

I think him to score at anytime for 1.67 are alright odds
>>
>>144514593
yup. they are slurping now.
>>
>>144513398
you're bad at reading, which makes me suspect that you're also bad at wagering. Nobody questioned your stat, but I did question your explanation of the stat, also citing a large sample size to do so.
>>
>>144514361
33 games went under in a row?
>>
>>144514901
or it might have been 11 straight prime time games
>>
City PSG @1.82
>>
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Unbeatable parlay of the week
>>
>>144515729
>unbeatable parlay of the week
>involves 2 of the most corrupt leagues in the world
Im not against betting on those leagues per se, but to call it unbeatable is a stretch. You never know when a farmer is going to rig the game
>>
anyone keeping an eye on the brighton wolves leage cup game?
>>
>>144515790
odds are awful but the teams really favour Brighton imo
>>
am i just grumpy or did kits in like 07-09 look alot better?
>>
i would like 1+ goal for man city, please.
>>
Stoppage time Lausanne goal makes the money i lost in the CL back
>>
nothing but slurping.
>>
>>144516755
Might throw a cheeky fiver on PSG at halftime. Anyone watching?
>>
>>144516032
i hate soccer so much
>>
>>144368690
Bet?

Give me Shin Bet
>>
>>144516896
Its opener for cl nobody sane bets these games, nobody sane bets on cl anyways
>>
PSG and inter CL matches are always under goals
>>
>>144516755
>>
>>144517641
killed me. i'm not betting soccer again.
>>
>>144517717
2 left. Now is the time to unload
>>
C'mon man city and psg with the winning goals
>>
Doku to the rescue
>>
Anyone watching the stats?
>>
fuck dembele
>>
>>144512850
i win again
>>
New England /montreal >1.5 first half goals @$2.25
I’m betting on 5 matches but this is the best one imo
>>
CITY YOU MOTHERFUCKERS AS IF I DIDNT HATE THEM ENOUGH BEFORE
>>
reminder #23434234: never bet on football
>>
Girona's brave Gazzaniga saved the day
>>
>>144518211
But its fun
>>
i could´ve won 2000 from 220... fucking city, i was already celebrating, havent been this mad in a while
>>
>>144508074
24 shots
>>
partial hedge with man city dc and btts. broke even. soccer is such a waste
>>
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It's over I don't know what to bet on anymore, everything sucks and is gay, football is the gayest, Before I could simply go back to CSGO matches and make money, now I can't because CS2 is random and teams are randomly generated switching players every tournament
>>
if they eliminated draws and instead tiebreaked by first goal i think it would fix almost every problem with soccer. the 0-0 problem is solved by awarding both teams with a LOSS and fining players and owners for unsporting behavior
>>
anyone wanna go and burn etihad stadium with me
>>
>>144518468
There used to be European leagues where there was no draw, if you drew after 90 minutes you take penalties, and who wins penalties takes one point
>>
>>144393967
Seriously guys, does anybody know what's going on? Up until very recently when you checked a live match on flashscore it would still show you the pre-match odds. Now I can't see anything but only for live matches. When a match has finished or if a match is happening in the future than you can still see the odds section. But for live matches it has disappeared? Does this happen for anybody else?
>>
>>144518596
*then you can still see
>>
>>144518144
not falling for it anymore
>>
going on my angry light night lost bet walk to not destroy my house
>>
>>144519063
LATE
does anyone else accidently type words that sound similar but are not at all when write them down
>>
Minn/Cinci O2.5 Goals + Both Teams to Score -125 1.25U
>>
>>144519223
I love minny but Cincinnati always fail me
>>
i am VERY disappointed in the individual who told me to bet on river plate
>>
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>>144518144
>>144519223
this is how i /bet/
>>
>>144518445
it is gay but you made a good bet, just got unlucky
Betting is 90% mental and bankroll management, you cannot let the outcome dictate if your bet was good or not
>>
over 4.5 corners for the strongest 4/10
>>
Betting on the Yankees
>>
>>144518445
NFL
NBA
NCAA football and basketball if you pick a conference to follow closely
NHL if you follow it extremely closely and are patient
everything else is worse than craps
>>
>>144519223
i win again
>>
>>144521935
would have won even more if you parlayed it like a true /bet/sman
>>144519442
>>
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>>144519442
I pussed out and cashed the 5 legger
MLS is pretty hot atm
>>
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>>144520898
You vill vatch our sport
Yankees are good just look out for in the postseason theyve underperformed, tho if theres any year to win its this, everyone but the phillies and dodgers looks weak desu

Also im following that anons advice to take the under on primetime nfl games, got Jets U37.5, Falcons U46.5, Bills U45.5, Bengals U48.5. Jayden Daniels hasn't thrown a pick yet somehow so I like him to throw one against a good bengos secondary. My big confidence bet of the week is Saints, ML spread whatever you want I think that eagles team has major mental issues and Saints are gonna run all over them
>>
>>144523502
One more thing if you're bored and want some Thursday action
I like hunter henry first time td against jets. Jets struggled against TEs the last 2 years and one of their starting LBs just tore his achilles and the other is questionable. This Pats van Pelt offense is following the old Belichick trend of loving their tight ends, and Henry had more catches than all the WRs and backs combined last week
>>
.75U Over 7.5 Horishima Carp vs Tokyo Yakult Swallows --113
>>
LIVE Hiroshima Carp -1.5 -110 or lesser
>>
Over looking rough don't live bet it in case you're reading.
>>
SKA beats Sochi @1.28
>>
RED ALERT!
fanatics has the jets at -210
365 has the pats at +225
>>
>>144525244
only thing is they opened at 1.50
>>
Atletico Madrid
BTTS & X/2 Leverkusen
BTTS Monaco
BTTS Atalanta

Today is the day for goals, surely
>>
>>144525423
now -225/+225 365 does early payout
>>
>>144525463
Incl. OT
>>
How we feelin about ULM +44.5 at Texas? Arch is kind of a nepo babby who wasn't very good in high school, but he sat a while and all his success comes from busted coverages downfield and there's no doubt he's being overhyped in this line. ULMs not great but they're no slouch. Handled a UAB team when nobody thought they could. Seniors on defense and lots of upside on offense with a confident QB. I think I found my best bet.
>>
-210
>>
>>144525531
What does BTTS mean, Gambler-kun?
>>
>>144525793
Both
Teams
To
Score
>>
>>144525687
You saying this game? Louisiana to cover?
>>
>>144525806
What about X/2
>>
>>144525821
X/2 is double chance, basically im saying that team wont lose
>>144525814
Wait, Betano has those games to bet in Romania? Here they only open those lines in the live market
>>
-275
will let you know how the regrade goes, lel
>>
Thoughts
>>
>>144525853
I like it but i wouldnt trust Arsenal to win the game
>>
>>144525853
id drop the parlay to 1 and do 1 on each leg
>>
>>144525814
That's the one. Let me get back to you on it.
>>
>>144525865
I dont know what that means anon
>>
>>144526304
>>144526304
do 1 bong dollar on each of those legs and do 1 bong dollar on the 4 fold
same 5 bong dollar bet, win a lot less if everything hits but you wont lose if 3 hit.
really depends how you like to bet. if it doesnt bother you at all to lose a fiver then dont worry about it and good luck
>>
>>144526440
Do you recommend?
>>
>>144527160
i recommend you stop betting soccer and migrate
>>144527198



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