pisspants tanking
cfb card so far - went 11-8 last weekend with a couple of dumb beatswill probably add some more depending on line movement tomrrow all bets were posted after they were bet
Shit thread, great job columbine.
and of course st. pauli scores
>>145131851Disallowed
Falkirk up 3-0 in the 1H.
going all in on eagles ML
>>145132348i want to take the jags, but -6 is a good size number.
>Excelsior-MVV 1-2 at halftime>bet 1X>saved by a hands penalwe are so back, I had three penalties in a row that couldve saved my bet but didnt go in, this is justiceTwente will beat RKC btw
>>145132348eagles are shit thoughever
eagles are aight althoughbeit
>>145132624i took den bosch, don't know if they will pull it out
Is Arsenal a safe bet this weekend?
>>145132697how the fuck are they in the 66th still
>>145132389those london games are always a mess>>145132656giants are worse
>>145132739there was some kind of interruption in the 1H
>dortmund -1.5>dortmund xG 3.07>dortmund 1-0
>>145132850yeah its fucking unreal they havent put another 1 in
>>145132697basado
>>145132879still a lot of game left, but i could use the win today
>pauli scores>vitesse scoresit's over for me
uh I meant cringe and yikes actually
den bosch bros we are so back
uh actually I clearly meant based keyed and redpilled
soccer is a gay sissy sport
>>1451166073 wins and 2 losses for today. The Lamens, Ito and Wawrinka bets worked perfectly. Ito and Wawrinka didn't just win a set, they even won the whole match. Auger-Aliassime can fuck off with that kind of performance losing 2-1 after winning the first set. Not too mad about the over 2.5 sets failing in Griekspoor - Ruud, it was a pretty close match. Just 2 close sets instead of 3. Really need to be better at identifying if a close match means they will play 2 close sets or if they actually end up trading sets. Maybe I just need to calm down with all these over 2.5 sets bets in general. Still did pretty ok today thanks to Wawrinka.As I already said in the previous thread I took Lamens to beat Parry @2.2 in the Osaka semifinal. Very slight line movement in favour if Parry which I find a bit weird but maybe that's secretly a good sign. Hate when an underdog I back has everyone backing them.Other picks for tomorrow:Under 2.5 sets in Andreeva - Muchova @1.55Kasatkina to beat Badosa @3.75Gasquet to win the first set against Lajovic @2Not going to bother writing up some reasoning this time, if anybody is curious about anything just ask.
>>145133033i took O24.5 games in ruud-griekspoor, so it worked out great for me.
the on that ass FCDB shirt sponsorship is GOATed
>>145133058Good stuff, sometimes being less greedy pays off. Although 24.5 is pretty high, you basically need two tiebreaks or a tiebreak and a 7-5 at that point.
>>145133123yes, that's what i was banking on. if it went 3, i'd be covered either way. tiebreaks have been happening left on right on these courts.
Does anyone here actually make money on their bets?
>>145133589Yes
>>145133620is this a specific software you're using?
>>145133677pikkit tracks all the books in my state, bets, and allows tagging to plug leaks
thanks to the saudi boys I made 900 tonight after beerschot won yay
>>145133620>1.5k on the 20thPost your NFL bets.
>>145133833I only bet +ev props
Newcastle Jets v Melbourne City O3.5 goals @ +150
Throwing it out there in case anybody can still get these odds: Kartal to beat Dodin. Think in most places the odds already dropped down to like @1.25 but if you're lucky you might still be able to grab @1.35 or even @1.4 which I think is definite value. Kartal has been insane in these tournaments this year. Just keeps winning match after match. Posted about her yesterday too and she won 2-0 again. Not too surprising for the odds against Xu but still. Would be pretty surprised if she doesn't win Shrewsbury.
>>145134720i grabbed her at 1.33
>>145134861Nice, I assume the line gets steamed even harder by the time they play tomorrow.
Keanu Hill (BYU) over 14.5 rec yards Brendon Lewis (NEV) under 57.5 rushing yards0.5u each
Dundee United -0.25 @ +110
BYU game looks iffy early
>>145139473I think it has already failed
fuck you aaron you son of a bitch.
friendly reminder to always practice unit size discipline. do not convince yourself something is a lock.
Hear me out...
>>145133033Lamens - Parry got moved to tomorrow due to rain.
>>145142301if you can stand to lose $100 (dunno why you're using american currency but go crazy, thaifag). But on the other hand if you win... I would be seething
>>145131636sorry anon youre going 9-9coach crime rate xauburn xmichigan x indiana x alabummer x tcu x ucf xcmu x
Fuck Gasquet, so careless
>>145143156I take it all back, thank you Gasquet. Right after I said this he actually starts playing. Breaks Lajovic serving for the set and breaks again afterwards to win the first set 7-5. Really not sure why Lajovic opened as a favourite when he just returned from injury.
Is connectcut a safebet ? Dont know why the odds
>>145132624twente over 1.5?
>>145142592cant be worse than yesterdayi got fucking rolled for $575props will save me inshallah
army to cover?
I think this has a chance...
>>145143753uconn football is not a safe bet
Kasatkina wins the first set after several rain interruptions. Then Badosa retires. Of course. Make a right call on a 3.75 underdog and get a push.
>>145144284they have every other game this yearunder 16.5 is worth a bet
arizona state +5.5? starting QB is out and sorsby is a much better QB than cam rising.
Great Saturday of betting lets get it started with some SoccerEPL: Newcastle ML -145 1.45UEPL: Southampton +115 1UEPL: Manchester United -145 1.45U
Garrett Greene o199.5 passingKevin Jennings o202.5 passingJustice Haynes o28.5 rushingLaNorris Sellers o25.5 rushingAthan Kaliakmanis o7.5 rushingCarson Hansen o62.5 rushingJacory Barney Jr. o26.5 rec yards Elijah Sarratt o65.5 rec yardsBru McCoy o21.5 rec yards Jimmy Horn Jr. o46.5 rec yardsJaylin Noel o63.5 rec yardsKobe Hudson o42.5 rec yardsDylan Wade o13.5 rec yardsGiddens o9.5 rec yards + ATTD
kartal making me nervous
>>145145044Kartal is so clutch. Saves 5 break points in a row and then breaks. She just keeps winning against these non-elite players.
leicester looks like they don't belong. some kind of injury in the kartal match i assume.
>>145145037Straight bets? Or is that a massive parlay lol
>>145145642staright 0.25u bets they are all bets where the projection is >30% of the listed line on sportsbooks
>>145144554You still confident in Manchester? They down 1
>>145145732Nice. I have been following this guy for about 4 weeks now. Usually win these. He sends an email like 4 hours before he posts. The lines are much higher by the time he posts.. hopefully this one's good.
>>145145988united doesn't really score goals. brentford does, though they give them up, too. i think united is tough to bet on generally.
>>145145988not really but depending on the odds might be worst a small stabmore confident in newcastle to come back
>>145146035ive got some really sharp people i tail on bets most people have to pay these dorks $100s a month to get them, but their software/site fucked up somehow when i made an account and get it free now.
>>145145503Yep, Dodin retired. Kartal was obviously going to win 2-0. That's the third retirement that fucks me over today. Muchova retired as well. Thought something was wrong with her so I went with under 2.5 sets because I suspected a straight-set loss but didn't want to get burned in case she was fine. 3 correct bets pushed due to retirements is some great stuff. Hope Kartal opens around @1.3 against Watson in the final. I think she should be like a 1.15 favourite tops with her current level. Usually don't say this kind of stuff but I would be very shocked if she loses the final.
love rutgers ML
>>145146332only issue is all the injuries of i'd play the -4considering it with them even
>>145144554>southhampton thank fuck for early up 2 payout
>>145143773not too sure, Twente can slurp a bit, but the odds are fair.
fearnley collapsing like nothing i have ever seen
me dodging Sparta and AZ (I am blissfully unaware that my main bet Twente will not win tomorrow)
>bet on less than 5.5 goals, lose bet>bet on over 1.5 goals, lose bet
Whats some good navy spread
>>145146793>>145144554Yank mug Called it last thread, Leicester 0.0/+0.5 was inevitable.
>>145149262got payed for being up 2 goals on 365 dork
This might hit
>>145150406With this odds i would be surprised if it didn't
Bakayoko you nigger
Arsenal ruined my bet Any tips to make a quick £10?
>>145151498Michigan -4
>>145149203I’d take navy up to -21
fukin rutgers shits
>>145151556Don't know what that means
>>145150800+121? Means it's less likely bud
South Dakota state -1.5 vs North Dakota state is absolutely free money
>>145151608the michigan dogman bro google thati'd go for a betbuilder on real madrid to win, have more corners, shots on target for mbappa and vini
>>145151614-200 isn't that like @1.5 or something?
>>145151846I have bet on Madrid :)
I see Kartal @1.5 against Watson tomorrow. Really not sure why these odds are so high. This is super value. I genuinely thought she wouldn't be higher than @1.3 or something like that,
>>145151972the problem today is that the ufc card is absolute dogshit bettingwise footie was not bad i got villa and manure united games over 2.5 and btts and some other bets but wasted my lead on some really stupid 2leg parlays on shit teams i should never bet on
Twentebros...
>>145152529i stayed away
despaigne was a terrible bet
Oklahoma just got rolled by South Carolina of all teams. That means Texas staying neck and neck with them till thev2nd half wasn't all that impressive. Remember we did this when Kentucky beat Ole miss before Georgia Alabama and I said georgia was being disrespected? This is the opposite of that with Texas being overrated. Now, it didn't work out last time, it was a disaster actually betting in Georgia then and most if the year. Thats why you should and I should back Carson Beck again getting 4 points.
michigan is a turd. waiting for the other shoe to drop for altmeir is going to take a while.
North Texas announces their arrival in the AAC after going unnoticed. They seize on an underperforming Memphis team. They get revenge for a 3 point loss last year. Getting 11 points.
Parlay 19 oddsCelta Real 2 and 2-4 goals (1-2 score won 2.55 odds)Juventus Lazio 1 (1-0 score won 2.15 odds)GA Eagles Feyenoord 2 (1-5 score won 1.95 odds)PSG Strasbourg 1 and 2-5 goals (4-2 score lost 1.80 odds, was 3-1 until 90th minute)OUCH
>>145145037>Jimmy Horn Jr. o46.5 rec yardsis he even playing? there are like 7 other receivers in the box score but not him.
>>145155313The games gotta open up 2nd half i see both teams are running too much but that was probably the gameplan now they'll both score because this wasn't suppose to be such a slurper.
>>145156530i don't think michigan can open it up. altmeir has been throwing just fine, even if it's short stuff.
>>145133033>>1451347201 win and 3 pushes today. Gasquet thankfully woke up and made a comeback in in the first set. Ended up winning the whole match 2-0. Badosa retired immediately after losing the first set and Muchova and Dodin retired in the beginning of the second set. Especially Dodin would have definitely lost but the others were looking like they were going to lose 2-0 as well. A shame about the Kasatkina bet especially but can't do anything about these fucking retirements. Maybe someone had a book that pays out bets after the first set has been completed but for me it's all pushes. Still waiting for Lamens to play Parry tomorrow. Already posted Kartal to beat Watson too.Other picks for tomorrow: You to win a set against Dolehide @2Starodubtseva to win 2-0 against Pridankina @1.6Dimitrov to beat Paul @2.2Eyeing Cazaux to beat McDonald but don't like the odds enough to go for it.
>>145151868It's a parlay. So +121 is 2.21
GenG 3-0 @1.49City & Atletico unbeatable combo @1.8Got Oly @1.30 https://youtu.be/Xp2ROiFUZ6w?si=_pXCU3ZXEnUwQlkmFCSB to win @2.05 don't even think about itI go 20 25 on each single now. Better than a roulette spin. On a 1k bankroll. All these gems here.Fenerbahce still ridiculously high @1.80+PanathinaikosCraiova winsSlavia PragaI don't even bother with cash-outs now, and there's no 2 goals advantage with this bookie, so i just let them run and there's no stress. But i do be making the ocassional reback live on them to score. Just trust them blindly. You're not watching the game either way. I might have made a lil all in the other day to BOOST me bankroll. @2.30 muahahahaha Congrats britbros. Leicester and anglomug on real. Also +100 today. Advancing like a juggernaut. I found what matters is only momentum. And what matters the most: recovering. Always recovering. Lost 100. Went 500 X2 500 more https://youtu.be/Xp2ROiFUZ6w?si=_pXCU3ZXEnUwQlkmAnd then you can play safe.
Just lost a k on aviator
>>145157619>>145157469I want to se you recover that kek
Yanks Guards under 4 first half. They're going to wait to the end to settle this. Like both pitchers. Like the spot.
I'm in a net profit of £1.48 today :)Could've been £13.98. Fuck Arsenal.
>>145156092he just shit it up it appears
Not hitting today wtf and i chicken out of the navy -20 @2Lamens its my only option left
>>145164141put something on lamens and then take a break for a couple days
>>145164296Should i commit the crime and go all in on her?
>>145164446no don't go all in.
>>145164660Ok
Free money to bet on Man City to win tomorrow Best value is Chelsea win/draw
>4 days straight with no hits>switched apps to rape the $200 promosAt least I can say I've only wasted $25-30 in the few days. Should I just give up? If I don't make $500 in the next two days I'm out.
>>145151617great call buddy
>>1451450379-5 on props 11-7 spreads/totals
>>145168583i think in hindsight, michigan was the only really bad read and i made it myself.
>>145168657i just thought that they had the better personal to make it an ugly grind it out game. really suprised how lifeless they looked when i watchedhonestly this season has been one of the hardest to get right. usually i roll in cfb but this year its a fight. think the transfer portal made it a lot harder to guage teams early in the year
Lamens with a dominant 2-0 over Parry. No idea why money came in on Parry. I got Lamens @2.2 and closing line when the match started was @2.5 for some reason. Clear best player of the tournament so far. Think she should win the final against Birrell as well. Hope she opens with slight plus odds.
>>145169317>>145164446Good callI took the 50 reais and spread across Kartal and Beavers,the rest its going to rest on my bank
No idea what the fuck Starodubtseva is doing. Might be time to start fading her if she keeps playing like this. This isn't the first time recently but I thought it was an outlier.
>>145157469>>145157619humiliation ritual
>>145169317Dominant 2-0 by Lamens in the final over Birrell. As I said she was the clear best player in the tournament. Bookies were giving her plus odds in almost every match. They learned their lesson for the final because she was the favourite there but that didn't stop her from winning again. Been a real money maker in Osaka. Let' see if Kartal gets it done as well later.
Stupid longshot for a match that starts very soon: Wang to win the first set against Martic @6. Martic has been injury ridden and generally struggling lately. Maybe she needs some time to find her footing against a local.
>>145173187Of course Wang just gets destroyed like you would expect with these odds. Seriously need to forbid myself from always going for these dumb longshots. No more unnecessary longshots for the the time being.
Romrom you okay buddy?
>>145173583Just to piss me off even further Martic starts struggling and Wang actually wins the second set. What was pretty much a right call wasted on the wrong set. Infuriating.
>>145173836I was going to go 2-1 but instead backed the first set on your guidance. I'll just back you but also doubt at the same time.
>>145173853I don't even do first sets bet that often but for some reason I was convinced it would have to be the first set if she wins one. At the end of the day it's not a big deal, a @6 longshot isn't something you can really be mad at for losing but it stings because Wang started putting up a fight afterwards. Another lesson in going for less specific bets if you can still get decent odds. Just Wang to win a set had nice plus odds.
Palmeiras today surebet @1.75For Nfl i take a Vikings and KC parlay for a 3.92 but you can do separetely
I can't for the life of me win A SINGLE BET! ONE FUCKING BET. ONE FUCKING BET. BEEN ON A LOSING STREAK FOR LIKE 7 BETS STRAIGHT.
>>145174077Bet on palmeiras or at least a draw no bet with a huge amount
Nerve-wracking game last night. I did not expect it to be tied up half the night then go to OT.
Kartal holds to love, immediately breaks Watson and easily holds consolidating the break to start the match. This is starting to look like a very quick 2-0.
>>145174219And a Georgia state spread win too
>>145174190I'm livid as fuck. I've been betting under 6 goals and losing. Over 0.5 and 1.5 goals and losing. Bet on arsenal over 0.5 and they get red carded in the 1st half. Nothing goes my way
>>145164717>Free money to bet on Man City to win tomorrow
EPL: Liverpool/Chelsea O3.5 -108 1.08ULa Liga: Atletico Madrid 1H ML -115 1.15U
>>145174232I jinxed it
>>145174342Over and under are tough bets specially overs betI stick with the simple money line
>>145174506Watson was serving for the set and got broken to love. Afterwards Kartal cruises through a service game and breaks again for the 7-5 first set win. So clutch. Every time it looks like she might lose a set she ends up winning it anyway.
>>145174743My bet got annulled wtfKartal clearly was going to win this reeks of bullshit
>>145175503Watson just gave up and retired. Absolute bullshit. Got denied 2 clear Kartal wins due to retirements. It's clear she's a level above these players. Even when she's struggling a bit she still finds a way to win the set. No idea what bookies were thinking with these @1.5 odds. As I've said like 10 times now Iwas certain Kartal would win Shrewsbury. The other players in the draw can't hang. Hope she starts playing some more stackrd tournaments soon so you can get bettet odds on her. I think she would do well against most of the top 100 right now. Maybe not the absolute top like Sabalenka, Muchova, Gauff and so on but almost anybody else would at least have to work for the win.
city is really going to draw aren't they
>>14517592015 min overtime incoming trust the plan
>>145175949not sure it would matter how much time they had.
let this be reminder number however many thousand that you should pretty much never ever bet on the very heavy favorite. the odds are bad and you take a bigger hit when you lose.
>>145176234well the point still stands
>>145176430Trust the plan
LIVE GenG @1.40 or will be "the single biggest surprise in LoL history" 1-2 down. Bo5
giants/eagles under?
Atletico over 1 @1.60
Leo Carlsson O0.5 points @ +120
>>145177368+0.5?my book is offering 1.35
>>145177495Thats underOver is -0,5
>>145177495Nah, it's over 1 asian. That's good too
>>145177694ah . My bookie doesn't offer asian.so on 1-1 you don't win neither loss right? and on 2.1 you get 1.6?
>>145177963Exactly
>>145178153well cheers, I didn't think Atletico would deliver.
Btw love geng draft for map 5. It's free money @1.22
i cashed out my jags bet too early. still profited on it.
>In garbage time, impossible to win, less than two minutes on the clock, Patriots blow all three time outs for no other reason than the blow the underSomebody on that team had a major bet on them. Guaranteed. There was no reason to use those time outs, they should be investigated.
>>145151617Lol
>>145178771it's funny i thinking the same about jacksonville when they didn't take the points at the end.
Thank you based StonesWanted to put more but ngubus fucked my previous bets, started to feel hopeless
>>145174342Mug
Any good bets for today?
it serves me right for betting on fenerbahce and not cashing out
>>145173972The model highlighted Palmeiras @1.75 as the best bet of today
Dinamo - FCSB 2-3I got the script
FCSB will score a lot of goals today
>>145182258>>145182202I'm on unders now because of this
Where are all the yanks with their coin toss tips?
>>145182365Take steaua to win man
Or smash FCSB to score @1.3
Or take the over 0.25 @1.06
Unders lad.
>>145181851not a lock but the odds are high: Talleres to win @3.2
>>145183410Thoughts on palmeme?
>>145183458They should win. also is a good overs match IMO.
>>145183122Hahahaha as if
>>145183513Are they quality wise much better?
I am the owner of a shoe repairing shop in one of the major cities in Romania. I understand one of workers is a tipster on this internet URL adress. Since I have no other way to contact, I wish to transmit here a message. Rares, you haven't repaired the old man's shoe from the other night. Please come in early tomorrow. Thank youPOJOW
>>145183667I quit
>>145183635Yeah, and the league is the only thing left they have. Is win or win.
I bet £2 Inter Milan to beat Roma :D
Guys i can't keep posting here if people from real life intervene. It's all on FCSB and Palmeiras tonight. Made 1400 + bets. I have some specific milestones. It starts with 22 make it 4 Make it 10Make it 20And from 20 to ... 400400 -> 1400 -> 2300 -> 3500 -> 5500 -> 7600 -> 9000 And from 10k 11k+ To 50KThat's the roadI'm at 1400Now i go 20 50 At 2300 go 50 1005500: 200 40010k: 200 1000
NCAAF Louisville Cardinals () -6.5 Point Spread -120 @ 1u
>>145184551DelusionalThink you might actually be insane.
>have money on inter scoring>still 0-0, start to worry>put on the game on the bookie website>the counter attack just started and they scoreB B BASED
>>145175642still on lamens vs bouzkova?
How the fuck did Verstappen beat Lando but lose the race to fucking Leclerc
>>145187421NCAAF Missouri Tigers () +14.0 Point Spread -110 @ 1u
>>145191637NCAAF LSU @ TXAM Under 54.0 Total -110 @ 1u
>>145192005NCAAF Buffalo Bulls () +6.5 Point Spread -110 @ 1u+7 offshore @ BetOnline
>>145189090I disagree, think this is the exact spot where she loses now. Lamens played amazing in Osaka but she's inexperienced and not used to making deep runs like this, let alone actually winning titles. Also had to play two matches in a row this Sunday due to rain delays. Bouzova is the kind of annoying pusher you don't want to face if you haven't prepared much. I assume Lamens is going to be mostly busy celebrating an unexpected win and won't like having to play a whole bunch of extra balls against Bouzkova. I know they play Tuesday but that's still only one day of rest. Only concern I have is that Bouzkova seemed under the weather against Bogdan but if she's already playing this I assume it wasn't anything too serious or otherwise she would have withdrawn. Going to share some more thoughts on stuff for tomorrow later.
any thoughts on jets/steelers?
>>145194090just put 60 bucks on the steelers
>>145188055You wish
>>145192732NCAAF Wake Forest Demon Deacons () -2.5 Point Spread -110 @ 1u
>>145194603NCAAF KENTST @ WMICH Under 59.5 Total -109 @ 1uAnalysis: u60 on BetOnline
>>145194195Actually just cashed out and put 25 on the jets first quarter instead
30 on the dodgers. they can't lose tonight. Not literally, but the mindset they have with a bullpen game.
This is sean mannaea forecast ARod's mars is trine the ascendant for 30 minutes to start the game I think the lose the toss.
Correction: Mets to score first or dodgers live
That is so annoying. How could the failcons drop their spaghetti like this against the seacucks?
>>145195966They finally faced a good offense. The seahawks weren't going to underperform for 4 straight weeks and become the saints. The falcons were already sitting pretty with their record and didn't have much to play for.
Over 7.5 runs on the dodgers game. Thoughts?
>>145196550How many timed Rowson... Stick to what you know.
>>145196717I am not romrom.
>>145196550it seems like that's how it has been going this series
are we getting a red card on palmeiras?
>>145157053Rough day aside from the double Lamens win. Kartal would have helped as well obviously if it didn't push thanks to another retirement. Starodubtseva was so abysmal I'm starting to think she has some kind of injury or sickness because this isn't her first awful performance in her last few matches. Or maybe there's something going on outside of tennis because it's like she's a different player compared to a month ago. Going to see if I can fade her in her next match or two. You was just bad, nothing much to say there. Thought she could get a set against a struggling Dolehide but that was too much to ask for. Dimitrov couldn't hold serve against Paul and lost in an uneventful 2-0 so that was a dud as well. Even my Cazaux lean was wrong but at least I didn't walk into that trap. Picks for tomorrow:Cobolli to beat Davidovich-Fokina @2.2Eala to beat Pridankina @1.85Sawangkaew to beat Seidel @2
Spainbro did you bet on palmeiras? Hope you did
Congrats boys
Lock(s) and loaded
Can you find the free money?
Roma beats dynamo kiev, cause they're playing 'traktorists' @1.50 hehThey need the win and shouldn't play abdulhamid. 5-0Galata scores a ton . Like 6 unironically. Osimhen zyiech icardiAtleti at home 3-0Real sociedad good good odds 0-3Ajax 0-4Chelsea 0-3Spurs 4-0all better and will school themGyokeresInterBilibili is free money @1.22, but against who in the final? GenG is the final boss for T1. Check their h2h since this roster, from 2023 only geng wins. They're like city. And T1 is like Real for worlds. With faker the goat. So 1.70 for geng looking good. FCSB 2.30 v rapid. About time they get a win back. Most in form team, best squad. Rapid in SHAMBLES but always shows up vs steaua. This time 2.30 on this stadium. Woow value. Should be 1.75U cluj (0) @1.60AtalantaFlamengo 95%Maybe live fenernahceOlympiakos. A classic. Will be their fans signing. 70% possession. >and Portoa LOCK
This was just not my week. Oh well. I'll try again in November.
>>145203403I cant believe Gen G managed to come back on flyquest. They had that deer in the headlights look those first few games. They might be cooked struggling against an American team like that.
I used up all my bonus bets on DK/FanDuel. Any other services I can get free money from?
>>145183513Based
Doing Jong psv vs excelsior as my 2fhg match tomorrow. What is the latest on cambuur dutchie??
>>145206650all of them
>>145205931Very interesting how map 4 and 5 (facing elimination) they said fuck the new meta and brought back tristana, smolder and ziggs. So who are you going for in the semis?
>>145208843what are you discussing here? we have to unload 500 boxes of oranges and you dissapear. now I see you on the forum
>>145208488They all pretty much give bonus bets? I tried signing up for bet365 but it's not available in NY
>>145197277Eala, Sawangkaew and Cobolli all with the 2-0 wins. Everything worked perfectly. Made up for the mess yesterday. I'm really confused by the odds for Sawangkaew in particular. Don't get why she was the underdog here. Feel like bookies have been disrespecting Sawangkaew a couple of times now. Took her against Diyas as the slight underdog last month too and she won that comfortably. Davidovich-Fokina is terrible right now. Might have to fade him a couple more times in the near future if the odds allow it.
Nottingham wins a cheeky 1-0 tonight
humbert is really going to go to 2 straight tiebreaks when i bet on him -2.5
>Sturm Graz - Sporting away win @1.40Portuguese champions withGyokeres, TrincaoNuno Santos, Hjulmand, CatamoInacioas the core of the teamBraganca/Morita, Quaresma. St. juste 90 speed in fifaDebast from anderlecht and belgium nt. Franco Israel, uruguayan gkHarder, best prospect from nordsjaelland or maximiliano araujo from uruguay nt. This new guy quenda, or ivan fresneda from spain u21. Or veterans like esgaio in second line. Big miss: pedro goncalves. or edwards, also matheus reisBest player and meme goalscorer can only be one: Gyokeres, anytime goalscorer. Sturm graz will have 1 or 2 chances at home, but this Sporting side is on a whole other level. Just like PSV was. Match played on a different home stadium? Even better. I say 1-3 or 0-4. Either way Sporting scores at least 2. Or whatever happens. They played last year. After sporting got the control, especially last third. WoahLast year was value 1.90 away, 1.60 at home. Win 1-2, and 3-0. Now 1.38 ; 2 units on the win. And 10 waiting for live. Also>1st game of the ultimate acca
>>145192732NCAAF Georgia Southern Eagles () +2.5 Point Spread -110 @ 1uNCAAF Vanderbilt Commodores () +18.5 Point Spread -112 @ 1uNCAAF Eastern Michigan Eagles () -3.0 Point Spread -115 @ 1uNCAAF San José State Spartans () +6.5 Point Spread -115 @ 1uNFL LAC @ ARI Under 44.5 Total -115 @ 1.15u
Check out this 10-fold
>>145209855His ranking might say otherwise but he's definitely not playing like a top 20 player right now. Might have to fade him in the next round or two.
And 350 in bets
>>145210505MUG
Forest, Paris and Miramar?
>Sporting & Galatasaray lethal combo
AJAX AT 2.20HUGE VALUEHenderson and Klaassen in midfield.Weghorst up frontSutalo holding the defence. The youth guys filling up the rest of the spots :taylor, godts, baas. Rensch. GK good too. Team on another level. And here is where Ajax thrives. In these kind of away games. To qarabag. Not even playing at usual stadium? Over 2.00 odds. Come on, man. AJAX ALL DAY. 0-4 BABY
Lost 400 on aviator. 800 on roulette in 2 minutes. FML
Mike Evans Anytime TD +140 Mike Evans 53.5 o53.5 ReYd -110 Rachaad White u27.5 RuYd -110Ladd McConkey Anytime TD +210 Analysis: Mike EvansRavens are allowing a league worst 276 PaYd/G and 8.1 Y/A passing. They're better than those numbers would suggest but they're also so dominant at stopping the run that teams always resort to the aerial attack. This feels like a buy low spot on Evans, especially considering the Ravens grade out as the best tackling team in football but have allowed 28 pass completions of 20+ yards on the season, which was tied for most heading into week 7. Only Diontae Johnson has more end zone targets than Evans on the season.Rachaad White:Todd Bowles already said he's going to deploy a three-man backfield with the "hot hand" approach. That's fine, but the Ravens are absolutely smothering opposing run games for 3 YPA and 59 Y/G. With Sean Tucker beginning to emerge, Bucky Irving playing well, and White coming off of a foot injury, both running room and opportunities could be scarce tonight
Lost on aviator my home...
>>145211007how is tampa's run and pass defense?
>>145211276top 10ish run defensenear bottom pass defense
I think I might bet judge and ohtani home runs individually for each game of the World Series.Obviously martingaling each game they don’t get it
>>145209233yes but everyone has different terms and you may want to wait until a marketing season turns over. usually 2 weeks before NFL starts is the best time. should be okay now with NBA starting. if theyre not at least insuring the first bet you should hold off.and be careful with casino bonuses. any playthrough requirement usually makes it not worth it. 2 recs to get on right awayfanatics - 10 days of $100 insured bets. there is some kind of promo every day after that. sometimes is shitty like a 10% sgp sometimes its great like $50 credit for $250 casino play. Fliff - they abuse sweepstakes law to operate in 49 states. theres a $50 withdrawal hurdle and the odds are very bad so but they give you $1-$2 free every day if your balance is under $5. you can do +5000 meme parlays or hedge against real books once you have $10+.
>>145211620costs 2540 if you start with 10 and they go 7 without. but HR props are all solid plus money so you wouldnt need to do a full martigale if you want to play it a little safer. 2 problems hereyou cant count on more than 4 gamestons of casual money surpressing the payout$10 $10 and a $2 parlay might be the way to go. alternatively you could try betting against them hitting HR and martingaleish that. game 1 parlays at -115 on 365 right now.
>>145211276>>145211465you need to look at specific matchups and scenarios and not team stats. does baltimore have the backs to cover solo with evans doubled all night?will tampa stick to the run if they get down 2 scores? personally i think tampa are frauds and theyre going to get blown out so evans will get a ton of targets and theyll bail on white early. but its monday night and the ravens love to come up short on the big stage so nothing would surprise me
La Liga: Valencia ML -115 1.15UValencia comically bad offense but if you want to spin a positive 4 of their 5 goals have been at home. Against an equally bad Las Palmas team ill call for them to grab all 3 points here
bodrumspor what a bunch of absolute bums
>>145210016NCAAF SMU Mustangs () -10.5 Point Spread -115 @ 1u
maybe michelsen/giron tiebreak @ +110
>>145212826hindsight is 50/50, but in the future probably better to bank on the team that can score better
>>145212826Valencia is based, they got a red card.
>>145212826what the fuckvalencia got the red card after the 1-2what happened to the Valencia that used to be in the top 5 every la liga season?
>>145209742Oh! Based me
>>145214485i took a draw. and O5.5 cards. just missed both.
you're stupid if you aren't putting schmoney on the ravens/bucs OVER
>>145214682I put it at over 44 cause I'm a coward. I feel like that's a safe bet.
>>145209693Lots of matches being played tomorrow. List of picks is a bit longer this time:Sawangkaew to win a set against Gadecki @1.65Fett to beat Bouzas Maneiro @2.7Joint to beat Jacquemot @1.6Hon to win a set against Boulter @2.4Noguchi to beat Paire @1.6De Minaur to beat Struff @3.4Norrie to beat Tiafoe @2.6
>>145215088>De Minaur to beat Struff @3.4I obviously meant Struff to beat De Minaur @3.4 instead. De Minaur is the clear favourite here. Rest stands.
>>145215123is struff healthy? i know de minaur just got bounced by some guy he should have beaten the other day.
>>145215255I'm not certain on Struff but I assume enough time has passed for him to be mostly fine now if he's finally playing again. 2 months have passed since his US Open match. He was also at Laver Cup but only as an alternate and didn't actually play there. He was actually scheduled to play in Beijing against Wawrinka but withdrew due to hip problems. However I suspect the quick turnover from Laver Cup celebrations might have also been a factor. The fact that he's playing now should mean he's mostly ready. Probably won't be at his best but I simply disagree with the odds being this wide when De Minaur himself has some kind of on-going injury issues. Ever since the Wimbledon withdrawal he has only played at the US Open and now in Antwerp and at both events he has looked sort of knackered. Really anemic performance against Gaston. Not going to be surprised at all if Struff loses but @3.4 is too wide for me. Wouldn't have taken it at like 2.6 but I suspect De Minaur's body still hasn't quite recovered.
>>145208843Usually in competition the up and coming fan favorite team versus an established dynasty falls flat in delivering expectations and their rise to the top is delayed for at least a year while the older team adds trophies to their legacy. Them freestyling their way to the semis doesn't give me confidence verse a T1 team thats solid in all aspects. So what strategy does Gen G come out with and how quick do they change it when it doesn't work out again? T1 at plus money feels like a trap, but they're dynasty is not ending to a team that struggled against Flyquest so T1 in 4.
>>145211007I took McConkey over 52.5 @1.90
for fucks sake got all of these right and valencia or draw @ 1.16 fucked up my paraley
Over chads report in
>Zay Flowers hurt>Mark Andrews taking TD's away from more important players>Bucs offense just eating up time of possession to keep Ravens stats downWhen you know you've already lost mid-way through the 2nd quarter.
Will it hit?
the one week i don't take O2.5 turnovers
>>145217470we're still in this
>>145219210I hate Mark Andrews so much.
>>145217793Cardinals @Chargers killed us anon.
>>145219726Well we're up 2. Let's gooo. +1730 odds btw. Pays 90 on my 5
is baker going to wreck this spread in garbage time
I can’t believe how much of a sweat his was
Bet 1>Stars win>Leafs winBet 2>Tatum 15+ points>Brunson 20+ points>Derrick White 1+ made 3>Sam Hauser over 4.5 points Bet 3>Timberwolves -1>Reaves 4+ assists>DiVincenzo 2+ made 3sI expect every one of them to miss though if course because fuck me right life
You have got to be fucking kidding me
>>145220353trusted the chargers?
>>145220415They were UP. What the FUCK HAPPENED.
>>145220491Refgods decided the match
>>145220491kind of got fucked on a no call PI kicked a FG to for upgot a really really soft call on marvin for roughing (im sure its all over sports sites; it was bad)let conner get a 40 yard screen passlost to a fg
Bet 365 has an NBA promo tomorrow. Bet $50 on an SGP with +100 odds or longer and win or lose get &50 in bonus bets. You can also do $20 and get $20. Davis in his last preseason game shot 9 3s and seems to have added it to his game in the season. Rudy couldn't stay on the floor for France because he could guard the arc. The 20 points and 5 boards for Randle are just to get it even money.
Can anyone help out with Knicks @ Celtics parlay? My bookie (actual guy not the scam app) scammed me. Gave me nothing but losing legs all week while he and his friend made over $11k
Anybody interested in joining PrizePicks who isn’t already on it? I have literally nobody irl to give this promo code to
>>145219959I was sweating Henry til the very end and I’ll be sweating again Friday
Multi’d this for tomorrow
>>145189090>>145193008Lamens completely struggled with Bouzkova. Called it. Quick 6-3 6-1 win for Bouzkova. Hope you stayed away.
These lines can easily hit if Anthony Davis' knees explode and Lakers have to tank for Cooper Flag
Celtics handi too easy
>>145208892trip on gangplank
>>145221360Not available in UK :(
>>145222546the 4 3's is very doable even off the bench
fuck griekspoor
Struff really cruised through the first set and then decided to take a long nap for the rest of the match. That shit always happens to the players I'm on when they win the first set. Great stuff.
at least my giron/michelsen tiebreak hit.debating whether to bet 2-0 rune or O2.5 sets because it's jarry
>>145223505I think Jarry wins a set, possibly even the first one.
Just made a safe one for UCL today What do you guys think?
>>145223997i think you shouldn't bet parlays
>>145223997Safe until the ref decides to dab on you
>>145224005enlighten me
>>145224044if one part of the bet fails, the whole bet fails. so you get tempted to bundle games or outcomes together because a small bet can pay big, but you're adding more opportunity for it to go south. and bookies are actually shortchanging you on how much these parlays should be paying out.
>>145224102>bookies are actually shortchangingwhat else would you expect from coinclippers
>>145224102I don't normally parlay because of these reasons, actually I like to place bets live, but as I won't be able to watch the games today I made an exception. Thanks for the heads up anyway
>>145224249He's mugged you off mate, you gonna take that?
>>145224308Holy fuck the welsh are annoying
>>145221368I couldn't use a site that uses some gay little emoji like that.
Both nba games are sitting at about 222 for point totalThis is an obvious hammer the over right?Both of these games are going to be higher scoring than 111-111 in my book
>>145224102That's part of why I don't even do parlays anymore. 20 years ago they paid like 3.5x more. Professionals #1 tip is always to not do parlays yet here we are: every daily promo is for parlays and prop bet sites like prize picks are a diamond dozen. It's kind of depressing how many people fall for that shit and keeps me from getting offered usable promos. DK sportsbook isn't even usable anymore.
Don't think I'm ever betting on Norrie again. Absolutely terrible and even more terrible picks today.
>>145223997no Aston Villa-Bologna?
Villa - bologna BTTS yes @ -110
>>145224614I made it too but on another parlay
>>145224503>20 years ago they paid like 3.5x more.What? 'parlays' are just all the individual selections multiplied together.
Cardinals Under broke the cold streak so back to business today.Champions League: Monaco ML + Real Madrid ML Parlay +100 @ 1UChampions League: Monaco/Red Star O2.5 + PSG ML -119 @ 1.19UShop these and not my favorite way to structure but the pieces fit nicely. If you don't want to you could lay O3.5 at +115 in Monaco game but I like this slightly more.
What kind of KYC is required for Stake? I want to bet ~$100 on a few games, but don't want my funds to get frozen if I win.
>>145224612i didn't take that one, though i did take noguchi or whatever. i played myself on griekspoor after i was the one talking stricker up the other week.
>>14522475320 years ago a 4 pick NCAAF parlay with the same specific odds would pay $325-350 where as now it will only pay like $90.
>>145224810I've been watching Paire lose every match in recent weeks and thought I'm missing out. Of course the one time I fade him he wins 2-0. Watch him lose the next 5 matches in a row again now.
>>145224440That just means it’s supposed to be an “easier” bet
>>145224861No, they'd be the exact same as today, the selections multiplied together to give you the final odds. The only way your post would be true is if they were offering a 400% odds boost on everything and then they'd quickly go bankrupt.
>>145224908Not in Vegas. The calculations were completely different. I'm not arguing over something I've witnessed.
>>145224923If your post were true bookies would not make money, it's the same as them giving you 3/1 on a coinflip every bet. Just complete mathematical nonsense. Of course you can feel free to post a single piece of evidence to back up your post.
>>145224978Why you trying to reason with a spastic anon.
>>145224978Yes, I have evidence from 20 years ago to argue with some bong that's constantly losing soccer bets. I give zero fucks to prove anything to you.
>>145225512I was humouring you on the proof front, there is none because what you are arguing 2+2 is 5 and to believe what you posted just shows you do not understand how betting works at the most basic level.>>145225224I wanted to see where he would go with it, turns out he just got angry.
Anyone hitting the Villa Superboost for most shots on target?
Milan by 2 goals should hit . PuliGOAT
>>145225621We used to have to use Euro betting sites or Vegas as our only options and your books have always been cucked live everything else English so I don't expect you to understand or even believe people could have once had it better.
>>145225836You’re having a spastic meltdown on the internetyou aren’t even typing coherent sentences anymore
NCAAF UNLV Rebels () +3.5 Point Spread -110 @ 1uNCAAF Syracuse Orange () +6.0 Point Spread -110 @ 1u
Halal Madrids troubles continue today, Dortmund or tie @ 2.00
>>145226638>Dortmund or tie @ 2.00>@ 2.00You sure?
>did an impromtu arsenal, villa and girona wini think this was a bad decision
>0-0 fest
>>145226396You're just an illiterate retard and probably brown.
>>145226730,+200 whatever bro. Lfg
>>145227398they are going to lose 2-1
>>145226638i should have put way more money on this
all in on real to win
>>145227439>>1452273983-2*
San Houston and Celtics ML for me
>>145227718just be aware that i think sam houston's QB is injured and not playing, so it will be the backup
Fuck Madrid
anyone watched the villa game? they are offering @2 for over 1.5 goals
>>145228063bad bet, I have villa to win and I doubt bologna to score two
>>145228021Is there a better option for today? I think FIU its horrible btw
>>145228174both games are greasy - staying away i thinklean SHSU and the over in the other game
>>145228212it's kind of coming down to who can stop the run
>>145228174maybe the dallas stars over the sabres? or the bruins over the predators? it's hockey, though. a bounce here and there and it all goes out the window.
>>145228333Yeah my hockey experience was not the greatest better keep it away
>>145228289all teams are just really bad and cusa is super volatilecan find better spots to get my money in
>>145228613>>145228212Its the Houston QB backup really that bad? The wide receivers are good tho he cant be really that much of a fuck up
>>145229069Just don’t bet CUSA Tuesday games. They’re extremely unpredictable. UTEP and NMSU are both among the very worst teams and they won last week back to back as significant underdogs
>be me>bet fiu over step because utep has been trash>utep wins
>>145227628Should have bet on this
>>145227531Did you?
>>145229388no, i was pissing and shitting my pants on this >>145227104
>>145227531How could i scroll by this gem.....
UFC 308 Saturday 10/26>Ige +220 vs MurphyNot a big fan of Ige, but he's durable and Murphy is untested. Feels like a fraud check spot for the undefeated Murphy who has mostly beaten lower tier guys. Give me Ige at this payout. If it drops below +200 I'd stay away. >Rakic +3.5 point spread vs Ankalaev (no line yet, I'm guessing +115ish)For the +3.5 to hit, Rakic needs to at least survive 3 rounds and win a round. Ank doesn't go for the finish usually, he's a cautious fighter. Rakic has great leg kicks, Ank is susceptible to leg kicks. I see Rakic taking a round and losing 29-28 to cover the +3.5 >Abus -150 vs FerreiraBruno Ferreira is as mediocre as it gets. Decent standup and kickboxing skills, fairly durable. I see this going the distance and it will take a minor miracle for Ferreira to win a decision against a Magomedov in Abu Dhabi >Rebecki +250 vs OralbaiThis is striker vs grappler, usually I like the grappler. In this case, the grappler Oralbai is overpriced. He'll get a takedown early and rack up control time until his gas tank fails him. I see Rebecki putting him away in the late 2nd or 3rd round when Oralbai is running on fumes. >Neal + Basharat + Ankalaev ML parlay -105I don't see any of these guys losing. Neal is too big and powerful for RDA to grapplefuck him, Basharat is a mismatch, and Ankalaev is significantly better than Rakic. Nearly even money tying these together looks good. >Whittaker +5.5 point spread +150 vs ChimaevWe've seen Khamzat in two third rounds and he slowed down badly in each. If he doesn't finish Whittaker inside 10 minutes he's in trouble. I could see Whittaker getting 10-8'd in the first or second then surviving and winning by TKO or a close decision late. Just need Whittaker to win 2 rounds for the +5.5 to come through. >Topuria vs Holloway over 3.5 rounds -120Strange line considering it's a Holloway fight at 145 and he always goes into the championship rounds. I don't see either finishing the other.
>lost this only cause of psg hurts double cause im a fan
>>145230005>Strange line considering it's a Holloway fight at 145 and he always goes into the championship rounds. I don't see either finishing the other.max hasn't fought anyone with topuria's power. volk went deep in a lot of his fights, too, until he fought topuria.
Once again I have access to someone who has better than almost all books predictive modelling for props. I tried posting them for WNBA but nobosdy here cares about making money so nobody took them. I'll post them for a week and see if anyone wants me to continue. All plays are 1 unit plays and the number (points, rebounds, etc) is the more important number. These are from earlier today and meant to be taken as a whole. NBA Jrue Holiday (BOS) Under 13.5 Points -115 @ 1uNBA Anthony Edwards (MIN) Under 26.5 Points -110 @ 1uNBA Anthony Davis (LAL) Under 24.5 Points -120 @ 1uNBA Austin Reaves (LAL) Under 15.5 Points +100 @ 1uNBA Julius Randle (MIN) Over 18.5 Points -105 @ 1uNBA LeBron James (LAL) Under 6.5 Rebounds -105 @ 1uNBA Rui Hachimura (LAL) Under 4.5 Rebounds -105 @ 1uNBA Mike Conley (MIN) Over 2.5 Rebounds +110 @ 1u
>>145230264Volk literally got headkicked unconscious 4 months before he fought Topuria lol. Topuria will not KO Max
I would like to formally apologise. When I said "Fuck Madrid", I meant "man I fucking love Madrid".
>>145230917>I'll post them for a week and see if anyone wants me to continue.let's see how they do
>>145231020im going to keep track of them and post how they did the next time i post them. I'm getting them from Alex Baker (AwesemoDFS) if you want to look at who they are from. he has posts of the stats from wnba posted (i made a lot of money on them too.
>>145191637Announced that Brady Cook's injury is a high ankle. I'm going to buy out of Missouri for now and get back in if he actually plays
NCAAF UTEP @ LATECH Over 49.0 Total -110 @ 1u
>>145231134you have any thoughts on illinois +21.5?
>>145230917On
>>145231472think oregon handles them but the 21.5 caught my eye but think illnois SoS is pretty weak. not sure how they stop jordan james. oregons pass rush is top 15 in the nation and illnois is ~100th in pass blocking. pace is slow in the game, but oregon should just run it down their throat. oregon team total is something that makes sense to me
>>145231512would be smart here are the stats for wnbax.com/AwesemoDFS/status/1848467057844555948
>>145231134High ankle sprains are a bitch. He won't be close to 100% if he plays.
>>145230917Should i make a parley with all of this?
>>145230005Adding Petrosyan +130 over Shara. Shara is going to be exposed one of these days, might as well be Petrosyan who has a far stronger strength of schedule.
>>145231899why i bought out had some clv so only a small hit, but if he cant go im lighting money on fire>>145231938no a static bet on each would be ideal. 1 unit for me is 1% of my bankroll
>>145230917Jrue already on 7 lol
>>145232397not 1 bet in a whole season! fuck!
>>145215088Basically all my picks were off. Only the Joint bet worked. Gadecki withdrew so the Sawangkaew set win was a push. She played Seidel again and won again. Definitely someone to look out for. But everything else was a complete failure. Starting to tilt again. Every time I have a good day I have to follow it up with an atrocious one where I make way too many picks.For the next day I'm only going for 2 things. If they both fail I'm probably taking a short break for a few days.Danilovic to beat Parry @1.8Over 2.5 sets in Andreescu - Haddad Maia @2.6
CUSA is something else
>>145233464awful and keeps getting me to bite since its on weekdays
>>145233505i took sam houston to cover and i'm actually worried that they won't score the literal 5 points they need to do that.
Wtf is this SH FIU game 0-0 halftime SH lost 2 field goals and 2 1 yard touchdown chance while FIU cant get over the middle field and they QB is broken now tooBoth teams with backup QBsI still think SH will win because they are the better team
>>145233565took the over in the other game and its just as much as a shit show
>>145233604yeah i am about to cash that one out for a half loss
>>145233650anything is live in cusa and cashing out is scamming yourself almost alway live o/u is 42 so not ideal but gonna let it ride
>>145233584>>145229159
>>145234347pretty muchsaid as much and still bet the over in the later gamedone with CUSA sun belt/mac/etc still alive to me
first NBA over hit. second one feel good?
surely sam houston will score this time
>>145234401My fav NBA bet is live under when the game goes over 60 in the first quarter. Especially if it’s like 35-28 with a minute left in the first. It usually slows down
>>145234457Told yaThe new QB of FIU its even worse than the houston oneI think they will make another touchdown after this FIU possession
>>145234518Fucking hell
>9/14 for 41 yards
>>145234834props gonna save that shit over bet for meawful conference
I swear if Houston doesn't win this i quit /bet/The game was handed to them and they are throwing away
>>145234917i think if the starting QB was playing they would have rolled
>>145234933Houston backup QB its retarded he runs for no gains everytime
>>145234917That’s CFB betting brother. Every week kids do stupid shit to cook your bets
PRO TIP BAYERN TO BEAT BARCELONA
>>145235139Its not even a big bet its just revolting seeing this game
i actually hope they miss this kick because a 3 point win won't cover
REFGODSThats why i prefer American football over football because the refs actually help us
never touching a cusa game again
>>145220740Easy $50Easy $50 in bonus bet
>>145230917Only like 2 of these hit. Some model you got there.
>>1452378603-5 on a 2 game sample that's going to be 800+ in a season. Don't worry I'll track my winnings of 10K+ for you.
>>145237860Fags like you are insufferable. You’re not going 6-2 every day
>>145230005You need to stop your bets are horrible you said the best bet last card was despaigne by ko/tko. Card before that you were way off as well You suck dude there was another ufc bettor on here from somewhere Europe always had good fucking bets all the time he really knew his shit. Idk what happened to him I think he was a Spain bro can’t remember.
>>145230005Don’t listen to this dude you will lose money. Murphy and Oralbai are locks. As well as is Neal, Basharat and Ankalaev. He’s got those right.
>>145238416I’m up 13 units the last 3 months on UFC. Despaigne by KO was the obvious pick and didn’t happen. Love little bitches like you who criticize then offer no analysis or picks of your own
Inter x Atalanta x City scores in both half @2,76
>>145230917Didn't hit but well done for posting. Maybe the source of these needs to weigh it based on model probability instead of 1u spread.
>TFW get a void in a $2000+ parlay>Cash out drops to $900
>>145232846Danilovic completely destroyed Parry. 6-1 6-0 win. Got that right at least. Danilovic is in great form right now. Hope this keeps up for a while before bookies truly adjust to it. Haddad Maia retired after being down in the first set so that's a push. You can tell the end of the season is nearing with all these retirements. Feels like every other bet for me right now is pushing due to retirements. Usually stuff that would have won if it had been played out of course.I am making one more play for today: Marozsan to win a set against Machac @1.85 since Machac just retired against Zhukayev in Almaty and I'm not sure he had much time to truly recover. Marozsan was atrocious against Coric but I think that was an outlier showing and he'll be a bit more stable now in his second indoor event. I also really want to take Goffin to beat Humbert but I feel like I'm going to regret it so leaving that out.
>>145215446I'm saying 3-0 GenG. Don't think struggling against Fly matters. If anything, might be a good thing. Argentina lost to Saudis and only beat Australia 2-1. T1 showed good form, but GenG had their number for the past 7 meetings or so, and i think it'll be the same
Why the fuck is the Leverkusen and over 1.5 odd so high? Yesterday i bet on it at 1.65, now its like 1.78Leverkusen is the much better team, i think it will be a game with goals.
>>145239563>betting against Brest
>>145239567Its because Boniface wont play. Meh, i know Schick is shit now but Leverkusen still has plenty of players capable of scoring.Brest lost to PSG, Marseille and Lens easily. They havent beaten a good team the whole year and the game is in Guingamp. I think they can score (Leverkusen leaks goals) but id be really surprised if Leverkusen doesnt win, just wish i made the bet today instead of yesterday
>>145239625Meme magic wills it, Brest shall stay at the top of the league
My games today:>Galatasaray @1.28v semi amateur dickheads. LOCK of the day . also galata 3+ @1.89>Atletico @1.57 & Inter @1.40Atleti strong at home. Lille maybe not that bad, but they're getting stomped here. Inter might rotate, still not even close. >Atalanta @1.40 & Leverkusen @1.57 Always going against Celtic away in europe. Shouldn't get a result here, and Leverkusen meme to continue. >Santa Cruz - Bolivar @1.50Game in bolivia. Another day at the office v last place
I think this is a good game for youÑublense @1,95it's a 3rd division (Puerto Montt) vs 1st division (Ñublense) match and we don't have league this weekendthey need to secure it before the 2nd leg game the next wednesday, since they want to get the copa lib/sud places
>>145239155Fuck Marozsan. Keeps it close the whole first set, takes a 4-0 lead in the tiebreak and then just falls apart. My fault for going for something else today.
>>145239924i took goffin for you. we'll see. also ruud 2-0, zverev 2-0, and mannarino/wawrinka tiebreak. i kind of want to take a tiebreak in tiafoe/berrettini, too.
kind of want to bet on leipzig but liverpool is plus money, too
>>145239948Good luck with the tiebreaks. I have the suspicion there won't be one in Tiafoe/Berrettini but I can't give any good reasoning. Just a dumb gut feeling.
Never betting on live tennis again. What an awful sport.
Did anyone bet solely on Dortmund yesterday? I took Stuttgart or draw and Dortmund or draw as a parlay @5. I didn't lose much but still very upsetting how they shit the bed that hard.
Cash out or nah?
>>145240426i put a small bet on them and cashed it out
>>145240405Its retarded. I'm guessing you forgot to adjust for slav mental midget meltdown and bet on Jiri. If the flag is slavic and they're a favorite and lose the first set in any bad fashion the second set is meltdown retard baby mode.
>>145239662any good 3 leg parlays on these? I have the moneyline for each one but i wanna bet like $5-$10 on a parlay for any players that are doing well or o/u on the goals
>>145240442I'm a pussy but free $800 on a +700 bet I'll take it.
>tommy paul
>>145240442>>145240604you only lost out on like $140, even if you cashed out a $14 profit itd be a win
goffin is goffining
>>145240670Still hate doing it. Its basically losing a $140 bet in the future to prevent a super rare event from fucking you over.
>>145240604>double chance draw/win +700Good win anon but how bad is that club? Those odds are crazy. Was it a leagues cup thing with a lower division side?
>>145238440oralbai is a take down merchant with no other skills he’s prime to get pieced up
>>145240471Lol almost prophetic how accurately you captured it. To make matters worse it was doubles tennis, I foresaw the choke and tried to hedge because odds swing so wildly in this sport, but the bookie didn't accept the hedge so I was forced to ride it out. It was the third tie break set and they were up by 3 with match-point, I walk away and come back to find that they choked 5 points in a row. Their opponents were +1300 when I walked away.
>>145240754Its a cup game between a mid-table 1st division Cypriot club and a bottom table 2nd division with a 2 goals in 5 games lelOnly reason I did it is because the 2nd division team scored a goal pretty quick and it was 1-1 with 41 minutes and the 2nd division team were attacking hard so I did that bet and a First half double chance at -145 as basically insurance for the +700Funny enough the first half bet that I thought was a lock lost. Didn't expect 3 goals either though
Wonder why Ajax gets a 2.2 to win tomorrow against Qarabag. Seems like a good bet.
Champions League time lets get the day started:Champions League: Atalanta 1H ML -130 @ 1.3UChampions League: Atalanta/Celtic O2.5 + Inter ML -114 @ 1.14USimilar structure to yesterday where I think Atalanta game has lot of action and like Inter to get job done against an inferior squad
Benfica/Feyenoord BTTS + O2.5 @ -105
>>145239662>Betting the away team in Bolivian football Mug
mannarino looking like he's going to get 6-0'd
>>145240561What did you take? These are my most confident bets >>145210505 don't know about goals. So i'd take atletico, inter and tomorrow: roma safest one. Ajax best one in terms of odds. Sociedad also looks good
>>145241115Agreed >>145210926 i think it'll be similar to when they played rangers in CL a couple years ago: 0-2 in first half, 1-3 final
It's that time of the year when Barca fans convince themselves they'll beat Bayern this time
>>145241476>Santa Cruz 400m above sea level>La Paz 3600m Oh shit. Does altittude work both ways or only negatively affects if you're going from lower to higher ground?
GSW ML all in fuck it
>>145242053Tailed
>>145242053Don’t do it. Warriors are old as fuck. They’re gonna win 40 games
>>145241890Don't try to unravel the mind dungeon of Bolivian soccer. Its like quantum physics.
>>145240711Goffin actually did it. Insane chokefest by both in the tiebreak. Knew Humbert deserves to be faded right now. Been going about this for a while now. His level and focus has obviously dipped a lot lately. Too bad I was on Marozsan instead and didn't trust Goffin but at least someone managed to profit from it.
Dijon -2.5 vs. Riesen LudwigsburgI have Dijon by ~20
>>145242256yeah, but i only put a small bet on him because i've really gotten hammered this week. football is the only thing keeping me in it.
>>145242270Also like the over a lot. Its 155.5 and wouldn't be surprised if Dijon break 100
soccer might be the gayest sport in the world
>>145242270i'm only being offered -3.5. you're saying you think they'll win by 20 points? based on what?
>>145242316
>>1452422081st game of the season agaisnt shitters of course they will win if they dont well thats a sign for me to stop betting for a while
CFB today Kennesaw State +26 - Liberty has Jax State next week, lookahead spot where they have a lazy win like the FIU win last game Jax State -20.5 - could use the same logic as Liberty look ahead but RichRod has been killing bad teams and MTSU is hapless against the run
>>145242301not when baseball exists
anyone have any thoughts on Utah State vs Wyoming? 2 really bad teams. Utah St is giving up the most points in the country, I think, but they are scoring almost twice as many points as Wyoming who struggles to put points up against bad competition, which Utah St does not. take away the game against USC when Utah St got shut out and their offense against low level competition looks even better.
Atalanta will score
>>145242465Wyoming looks like the better team playing at home its a advantage so them
The Atalanta match still being 0-0 is driving me insane ngl
>>145242862i tuned it off the 1st half was just them fucking up easy chances
>>145242862I stopped betting on european football altogether the odds are always awful
>>145242862Its making me smile
>>145242913What do you bet then?
SCATALANTA has always dissapointed me
>>145243004American sports and tennisHockey and Football always fuck me upFooball its a 3 way coin flip and almost always they pay you 1.4 or 1.3 for a game its a sick joke only pick football games wheres the odds are fair like 1.6/2.0 for both team or use draw no bet
>>145242438Hope you cashed out. I did like 30 mins ago.
>>145243159shit meant for >>145242690
I cant win a soccer bet to save my life the last week. For sure this is the start of a heaterChampions League: Barca/Bayern O3.5 -115 1.15UChampions League: Atletico Madrid 1H ML -105 1.05U
>>145243231>Champions League: Atletico Madrid 1H ML -105 1.05Unot touching this with a 10 foot pole
>>145243159I lost 200 and had a nervous breakdown
I thinking of throwing a cheeky fiver on Bayern dnb
>>145243001More easy moneyLimburg +8.5 vs. Porto starting soon is literal free money. I'd take the +250 moneyline too
this dijon game is pretty tight
Why are there so many Americans betting obscure soccer all of a sudden. VPN?
>>145243464Probably mostly me. I have an algorithm and sporadically come into here to share my winnings.
>>145243456and it looks like it's going to fail now
Inter look shit
Liverpool's odds look pretty good, worth a small bet?
>>145243925Wait until halftime they didn't shoot at the target yet by the time half time comes the odds are going to increase
>>145244031there goes your master planI've been there.
>>145244031>>145244081Thankfully I made a bet @1.85 for Pool right before they scored
>>145244081You can still do it with inter
>>145242270Are you the Guatemala basketball guy?
>>145244175I'm following benfica. Maybe there is a good double oportunity.
>>145243231easy as
Lel. I simulated the Bayern vs. Barcelona game a bunch and got a median score of 3-4 and a bunch of crazy scores and thought my shit might be miscalibrated because its based on 2 games. Ended up taking 3.5 as a compromise. Wish I trusted it.
>>145244214I'm pretty big on Benfica on O1.5. I had it as 80% chance pregame and took it live a couple minutes ago>>145244193Yeah but don't look up the results of the Dijon game I posted.
getting heemed left and right this weekmight need to tweak your model basketball guy
>>145244667Its based on like 3 games so its horribly undersampled. I'm super hot so I got a little excited and posted it early. I'm unironically winning on the shit I don't post which sounds like a monster cope but its true.
>>145244667hes posted like 7-8 points bets now but rebounds and assists come after pointswas going to post them all at once but if anyone did tail they might miss the numbers if i wait>>145244667false flag nog
>>145244706no, i believe you, but the actual book price was spot on.
tracking them now (bets, unitss roi( rebounds and assists still coming (maybe more points idk)
>>145244706Also proof so I don't look like a fraudaulent fag
>>145244627All good, looking forward to obscure basketball shit. I remember the Guatamala shit from like 2 years ago.
>>145244175Benfica is done, gonna throw an unit on Inter.
i don't know why i bet on bayern after they lost to villa. very good team, but maybe not up there with the very best this season.
I put 16 of these down (in norway you can max bet 50 euro pr bet so you gotta do multiple). Supre grateful to have it hit specially since feyenoord had a 0-3 goal disallowed.
Lanus O.5Lanus Double ChanceLanus To Win
>>145245350Think Inter is gonna fuck it up, Italian teams have been shit this week except Milan.
>>145245624what is this? nothing is coming up
and limburg start to take a shit right at the end of the gameof course they do
>>145245704Atletico Lanus vs. Cruzeiro in the Copa Sudamericana at 6pm today.I give them a 50/50 chance of winning outright but its +425
>>145245732They straight up brought it back to 4 then scored 8 points in the next 15 minutes.
Manifesting a Benfica goal rn
>>145245799yeah they were holding in the spread range pretty much the whole game. worth a shot.
Hindsights 20/20 but Dinamo being given +300 at ht against a worse team while dominating attacks was retarded.
>>145245868Woops
>>145246367>>145246367NEW
