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08/21/20New boards added: /vrpg/, /vmg/, /vst/ and /vm/
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MY bronkies edition
>>
Year of the Horse
Broncos win superbowl
Everyone else is gay
>>
tony pollard needs 66 rushing yards tomorrow to reach a $250k contract bonus. his rushing yards prop is 67.5 yards tomorrow. i like him to cover it. first of all, you should realize this isnt just any game between two "no name" franchises. the titans and jags are big time rivals with some of the jaguars most heart crushing defeats coming to the titans. the titans have been in the place before, 2023, last game of the season, jaguars vs titans, jaguars win the game and they win the division, but instead the titans manage to play the role of spoiler that day and the texans end up winning the division while the jags miss the playoffs entirely. yes the jags are much better this time, there is no way the can miss the playoffs, and the titans are much worse, but tony pollard is a local tennessee boy, and i expect him to want to play the role of spoiler over their biggest rival.

the bills can move up to the 5th seed tomorrow, but they need the texans and chargers to both lose. im not sure if they are just going to rest their starters tomorrow and just accept the 7th seed, or will actually try to beat the jets and see what happens in the other games. either way, khalil shakir is 1td away from a $150k contract bonus. the jets have one of the worst passing defenses in the nfl.
khalil shakir any time touchdown @ 3.60 not a bad bet. with bet365, if he doesnt play in the 2nd half, they will refund you your bet as a bonus bet. this one might be worth a small bet.

saquon barkley needs 86 rushing yards to reach a $250k contract bonus tomorrow, but bet365 hasnt released any player props for this game yet. the eagles head coach has said he plans to rest starters for this game, but his list of players he was planning to rest didnt include barkley. this one is probably the riskiest of the 3.

do with this information what you will.
>>
>>152793116
won
void - raducanu withdrew
lost - got destroyed
the 4.00 won that's all that matters
>>
i have 500 on niners and 500 on pats to win the owl
feel kinda shaky about it after this ass niners performance
>>
>>152805945
Retard its broncos seahawks
>>
my bets today

Leeds vs Manchester - BTTS @1.62
Sevilla vs Levante - Sevilla to win @1.8
Real Madrid vs Betis - BTTS @1.57
>>
>>152803269
Romanian delusion is getting into you
>>
>>152800792
Blucifer's true purpose, blood for the blood god
>>
man city + real madrid @ 2.60
lets seem which falls 6+ points out of the title race
>>
fiorentina is the books favorite tomorrow. the book must know something to be confident enough to have them at anything less than 1.90 odds given all their struggles. are you crazy enough to bet on it?
>>
Naples x Sevilla for the early afternoon @4
>>
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2 lazy 2 type that many
>>
>>152807363
You say to win, moron?
Ok, then Levante will win or draw.
>>
>>152807869
can't see the odds tho so i will write it out
uchijima 1.61
danilina/krunic 1.44
jovic 1.25
eala/jovic 2.10
korpatsch 3.00
korneeva 1.44
bucsa 1.50
sakkari 2.75 (expecting a void desu)
find out the results next time on /spee/ betting z
>>
Good time for over bets in NFL imo, going NO/ATL IND/HOU for the early ones and Dallas -3.5
>>
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I'd often envision this idea of a prisoner who is allowed to gamble on his phone but he can't deposit. He only has time. So therefore every 24 hours he spins the daily fortune wheel at his bookie. Since he never deposits he rarely receives anything, thus making challenging his attempt to acquire the minimum requirement of 2 ron for a bet. I was left yesterday with 0.00 balance and i refuse to deposit, only that at today's spin i only receive 1.30 ron (could've been nothing), so i had to play the roulette for 1 ron and i succesfully did, so now i have 2.30 to operate with.
Next step is placing the first bet, which will be an acca of today's games that we are going to go a bit more in depth after this post.
If this is succesful what we have do, Anon, is make more winning bets until we hit a thresold, like between 300 and 1000 where we have to land a "guillotine". This is a term pros use to describe an all in bet that propels your bankroll. Like ... 800 on odds 3.00 on over 3.5 in a CL game. Once you have your bankroll into ~2.000 - 4.000 range you integrate bankroll management. Like 1% small, 2% med, 5% BIG, 10% Special, 15% Monster , 25% HOUSE BET. From here using the unit sizing strategy you have to ride this invincible momentum towards the 50k-100k mark where you retire your winnings.
>>
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Here it is. Don't like bappe isn't playing and almost pulled out of this game. Don't wanna rely on monicius. And santa clara will be parking the bus but we have to go Porto, right? Marseille is a good team this season and they're serious at home. PSG ? It's 5-0
>>
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>>152808246
>>152808377
Porto is the most worrisome imo.
gl rommy
>>
>>152808397
Froggy i betted 0.46€
>>
>>152808413
I knew it wasn't much, but you gotta start somewhere.
How many comeback with the very end of my bankroll...
>>
>>152808452
True, i meant i'm not sweating it. Most likely one game losses as always.
>>
me? i'm starting with $5... not sure if i'll get anywhere but let's find out
>>
>>152808499
>Most likely one game losses as always.
This is a technique called the reverse jynx shield
>>
>>152808510
GL la
>>
>>152808517
u2
>>
NABUUULLLLL
>>
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Sevilla, don't fuck this up.
>>
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who /shaggar/ here
>>
>>152809073
My bookie don't have such leagues, for the best probably.
>>
>horsey and doggy tracks surrounded by snow
womfy watching
>>
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>>152809104
countless ways to lose money on Bet365
>>
>>152809500
I guess it's good if you have info and when they fuck up the odds
i already avoid balkanic leagues
>>
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I betrayed myself. I haven't gambled in 2 years and in 10 days I lost $1000. I do not care about the money as much as that I betrayed myself. How do I feel better /biz/ anons?
>>
>>152809548
you bet $2000 on a 1.50 and win your $1000 back. simple.
>>
>>152804681
Great call with Osuigwe. Didn't think she would win this.
>>
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>>152808834
>>
Wions steelies
>>
>>152798891
Lamens and Arango got destroyed but at least Cobolli won in a close 2-1. First win after like 9 losses in a row I think. The 1.4 odds obviously make up for all the previous losses.
>>
>>152809828
It's a team with one goal per game average suddendly scores 3 away against a better opponent
i should have just trusted nabul to win and get bigger on them only, it crossed my mind but i'm a sucker
naples odds were better but the confidence was also much stronger
sevilla did not feel value but come on, fucking levante
>>
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>Marseille
they won't let rommie get a crumb
>>
I wonder if all matches will be BTTS or not
It would make me feel a little bit better
>>
this thread is CURSED
>>
>>152810906
All bets VILL lose until my bronkies win the superbowl
>>
>DK not showing any receivers or rushers for the Colts
Yeah this games gonna be a slaughter
>>
Fullham to score over 1.5 at @2
Feels like the risk is worth it
>>
leeds 7 games unbeaten
next game against newcastle
to score
to score over 1.5
safe bets

united next game is against burnley. They should win that game, therefore they will draw
>>
>>152810474
Can't win them all, huh?
>>
>>152811061
Houston -11.5 for me. Rookie qb for the colts made my decision. Also fucking lmao at the soccer bettors in the thread why bet soccer ever
>>
Houston's offence is way too unreliable you people are crazy. They'll win but it will be ugly and close.
>>
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STOP FUCKING GAMBLING!!!!
RIGHT FUCKING NOW!!!!!!!!!!!!
>>
>>152811668
Reject fun, live your one chance at life as a robot because, just because.
>>
>>152811745
only fast food and junk food are FUN from the things he listed.
>>
Geniunely pissed
i had stoke and middlesborough on the teams i wanted to bet if the sevilla parlay passed
because it did not I hesitated, easy 7 odds
stoke odds were so good
FUCK
if middlesborough played earlier than sevilla i would have made the parlay differently
>>
>>152811822
This is why yo need to stop gambling. TODAY!!
>>
>>15280954
Was it sports or casino?
>>
>>152809548
Was it sports or casino?
>>
>>152811947
Sports, anon. I never do casino. Anyways, my biggest profits came from Dota 2 matches, I made $4000 with $100 in a single day betting on Dota 2 maps. Football is much harder to guess right and the odds are usually lower. Dota 2 maps you can have 1,9 odds for both teams on a map (equal teams) and one of the teams might have insanely superior draft (heroes they picked). Today I slapped myself out of anger, I will be depressed tomorrow for a few weeks but won't bet anymore.
>>
>>152812496
At that time I had just 10k euros in my bank and had recently made 8k euros profit in a week of betting. My thoughts were if I won 8k euros, I could win 50k euros and buy a Bitcoin and with the rest Ethereum but no 2 weeks later I had just 5k euros in my bank balance, the profit was gone too. I had to gamble on tier 5 tennis matches because it was summer and there was nothing to bet on.
>>
>Parker Washington 3.5 receptions
This is very easy money. He's the best receiver on the Jaguars.
>>
>>152812496
>Sports, anon. I never do casino.
Then you're good because you betted. If you would've gambled on casino it would've been a sin.
>one of the teams might have insanely superior draft (heroes they picked).
I'm a lol bettor, son https://archive.4plebs.org/sp/search/text/league%20of%20legends/country/RO/
look what i said
>"every game is unique based on what champions they select. And if an underdog has 2.60 premap, but then pick a considerable advantage, odds will drop to 1.50 or sth, but they win 90% of the time, cause they're all skilled players and if their champions do more damage they will simply win the fights"
>all drafts are different. And when a team get a lead they usually win. A semi sigficant lead
. And all players are pros, the best of the best. So if they have better champions they win. Imagine playing 1 v 1 fifa. If two players of similar level, if one has ronaldinho overall 91 he's gonna win every time against an overall ...84;
>Today I slapped myself out of anger
I picked up this "habit", when i was really angry with a mistake i made, and i'd hit myself over the head multiple times. like 10,12 times with the left and the right. but not when refs robbed me, usually if it was a mistake I MADE... like betting on Ekitike and muhammed salah
>>
>>152812582
GL i had to fade that game not sure what to make of it
>>
>>152812631
Gambling is not for me, I am a compulsive gambler, I can't stop when I lose. I have like 20k dollars now in Trump memecoin.
>>
>>152812548
>tier 5 tennis
that's also "slots". so basically if you play any casino, it's a "sin". and that includes betting sports on ... table tennis. but if you stick to your dota plan imo you're free of guilt. you made no mistake, bro. just that you didn't win the game. imo make a new bankroll of 1000, but don't risk it all. starts slowly with bankroll mng (50, 100 on a game) and just consider it a game. don't put too much one game. if you're shaking, means it's a mistake. and you'll probably make a bit a profit. you don't need to make a tragedy out of it. seriously, bet small and med (ocasionally go bigger) and you'll be alright
>>
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i need some quick cash mates
>>
>>152812772
>I can't stop when I lose
same. btw i'm only good at GIVING advice, not even i follow it. but in theory it's correct imho
>>
>>152812691
He has 2, one for a TD
>>
btw if you guys think i'm not learning anything from this you're mistaken. i mean i had to try everything, right? i betted 50 cents and 1.500 euros. and i reached this conclusion. that compulsive style is not working. cause you're draining yourself mentally AND you eventually lose it all when it lands on a red (a loss). so only with unit sizing. and i remember this guy on youtube who said if you only put like 1% on a [single] bet you'll be amazed how long it takes to lose your bankroll. IF you lose it. cause you'll also win games. and probably, most games. OUR problem is staking too much. that's fucking it and everybody knows it. we lose half our bankroll today, then lose everything tomorrow and we're out of the game for the next 5 games that we would've won. i was about to say that... i'm 30 now.. in a few years i'll raise a bankroll of a few thousand euros and i'll be unstoppable and i realised i sound like those gambling addict bums who have no front teeth and talk about past wins of thousands of euros. i'll still give it one more shot. might even make a deposit when i get this month's paycheck, probably will. after all these upsets at the start of the year, guess what? what's the #1 rule that governs our world? the law of averages. the sun will shine on our arse one day, boys
>>
>>152813120
Nice
I was mostly worried about the jags building a lead and shutting it down
>>
>>152813120
>gets hurt
Lmao
>>
>>152811453
Ack. It was between this or Jax spread should have done Jax.
>>
>>152815478
>Mills in
Holy shit its over
>>
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>>152807990
>>
>>152810296
Picks for tonight/tomorrow:

Vacherot to beat Korda @2.5

Wu to beat Marozsan @2.2

Starodubtseva to beat Boulter @2.1

As always, fade all of these if you want to make money.
>>
>>152813838
>gets hurt
>on a jet pass sweep for reception #4
>>
fuck atletico. what a cowardly match.
>>
My raidies WILL beat the chiefies
>>
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>bet city and porto win
>both are winning
>Deep into injury time, surely it's in the bag
>City concede in 96th minute
>Lose
>Tilted
>Double stake on inter and atletico
>Inter take lead
>Atletico take lead
>Start celebrating, surely they will hold on this time
>They concede almost immediately
>Look out window
>Pic related
>>
Got 11 ron this time and i put them on Colorado Avalanche double chance @1.80 [at 1-0 for panthers]
Currently trailing 2-1 going into the 3rd period
>>
steelers vs ravens first half total under 20.5
on pinnacle you can get this line @ 1.96 but bet365 only has this line @ 1.86
>>
>>152821141
What do you think of >>152821126 ? I can see panthers ending their win streak, at the same time i like these odds for avalanche being behind, to win (incl ot) is @3, while it's still a 1 goal game. Even X2 is now @2
>>
For the love of everything holy win this game steelies
>>
>>152822758

I'm the worst bettor in this thread and I bet on Pittsburgh to win as a contingency plan since I want them to lose so badly. I'm sorry anon.
>>
Packers
Panthers

Jags Eagles patriots Steelers
>>
>>152824645

And there it is. Absolutely automatic. If I didn't lose every single other bet this weekend, I'd actually be happy.
>>
>>152829243

.....Nevermind. Lol.
>>
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>>152829385
My steelies :)
>>
>>152810117
Told u
>>
>>152810117
>>152831485
Thanks mate.
>>
>>152807121
This
>>
>>152817177
Vacherot threw both sets to lose 2-0 but at least Wu won. Starodubtseva actually play tonight so still waiting on that.
>>
>>152833479
No im retarded its steelers panthers
>>
>>152808003
won
won
won
won
plays tomorrow
plays tomorrow
won
got scared and cashed out (25 cent stake, cashed out 46 cents)

tomorrow:
korpatsch 3.00 (now at 2.50)
korneeva 1.44
eala 1.72
>>
>>152835397
Not sure I like Korneeva for these odds but tailing Eala.
>>
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>win
>feel nothing
is the cure for gambling/betting simply to be sufficiently depressed?
>>
>>152835726
Ur not winning bigly
>>
>>152833379
Glad someone's taking my /elite/ picks
>>
tempted to raise my eala stake but i'm scared vekic will somehow win
korpatsch is now 2.20.... i mean it's vs snigur of all people
tldr i'll leave my stakes alone
>>
>>
Fraud playoff lines
Rams Panthers. Panthers already beat them, rams are gay as fuck, Panthers at +475 is ludicrous at home.

Jags bills. Home underdog jags so the money floods on them and then Josh allen wins so he can lose the denver revenge game.

Packers bears. Packers are -300 theyre going to kwab the bears having them at -105 is RETARDED.

Steelers home dogs against Texans. Whenever you see Steelers as dogs you take them. If Tomlin gets underdog the entire playoffs he wins the owl.

Chargers should also get blasted by the pats. But due to Justin herbert gay LA riggi expect a close game
>>
>>152836306
So you're saying safest bets are
Patriots 1.48
Packers at 1.92 with great value
and Bills 1.82
As dogs:
Steelers at 2.50
and Panthers at 4.75 for value
>>
i just bet my paycheck on bills super bowl
>>
One battle after another - best picture / Best director

Hamnet - best actress

Blue Moon - best actor

Sentimental value - best supporting actor

Sinners - best supporting actress

Sinners - original screenplay

One battle - adapted screenplay
>>
>>152835153
Opelka to beat Majchrzak @1.8

Kraus to beat Jones @2.3

Keys to beat Kessler @1.7

Joint to win the first set against Krejcikova @2
>>
>>152839316
i think keys is a question mark, i was tempted to take kessler, she played very well in her previous match i thought.
>>
>>152840388
I know Keys is iffy right now but she was so good on the fast Australian courts that I had to go for it with these odds.
>>
think its worth a small bet on czechia @ 2.10 in the wjc hockey gold medal game tonight. surprised its not a 1.90/1.90 split here tbqh. these two teams are very very familiar with each other. this will be the 5th straight year they have played each other in the semi-finals or later of this tournament:

2022 bronze medal game: sweden wins 3-1
2023 semifinals: czechia wins 2-1 in overtime
2024 semifinals: sweden wins 5-2
2025 bronze: czechia wins 3-2 in a shootout
2026 gold medal game: ??

yes if you follow the pattern, it looks like sweden should win this game. but sweden is a historic choker in the gold medal game. 0-4 in the big game since 2012. and czechia coming off a dominating victory against canada last night. you might have to look under u20 world hockey championship to find this game. but czechia looks to be a good underdog here.
>>
>>152840933
i get that 2012 is an arbitrary year. in terms of actual choking they are 1-6 since 1996 when the tournament started using this knockout round format to determine the medals.
>>
Steelers are +4500 this is the last chance for you suicide stack
>>
>>152835397
destroyed
also destroyed
it's up to eala now
>>
Total gambler death
>>
>>152843267
You cannot kill me I become sharper with every loss like goku and vegeta
>>
year in review
bros that was aw ild ride there for a couple of weeks, iw as really in the depth sof degenaracy with you
havne't thought about gambling since.
fucking nuts
hope u all r doing good
ill check in time to time
>>
>>152846541
where ever i go, i touch the hearts and minds of people, so i like to come back to let them know i have not abandoned them.
the world is my family
>>
>>152846547
Usually when i smoke weed i'd just be playing fifa online and take each win or loss way more symbolic than i should
>>
>>152843176
it was a battle but eala won
>>
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>>152839316
Keys won in a fairly convincing 2-0 and Joint lost 2-0. Starodubtseva also got completely destroyed. Still waiting on Opelka and Kraus.

>>152846623
Yep, nice. It's getting harder to fade Vekic with some of these odds.
>>
>>152846963
Spanish is such a shit tier language
>>
>>152846600
i used to play fifa. i used to have an xbox. i miss those days.. one day agian, soon i hope
i tend to make it to d1, but i have never lifted the d1 trophy in seasons. i dont play ultimate team or any of that shit
>>
just the 1 for me
jovic 1.40 but i still have my always bet on jovic rule in place
>>
>>152841161
+5000 everywhere for me.
might put a couple dimes on the panthers too at +15000
>>
>>152847849
Don't wanna brag or anything
>>
Have a parlay como x algeria
como did the job
i get cucked if algeria qualify after extra time or pens
if congo qualify, the seethe will be worth it
>>
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>>152848686
All in on Algeria…it’s over
>>
>>152848686
>not to qf
You break every rule
>>
damn, congolese niggas are fierce
could swear it's algerians that took kivu
>>
>>152849089
A bit of greed
But if you can't trust a team to score 1 (one) goal, don't bet on them at all
i choose to have some faith, and for the meme too
>>
painful to watch such shitters
>>
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>>
>>152849471
Kek
>>
>>152849475
and the time wasting right after is sooo bad
they can't even pretend
i knew the risk , it was a small fun bet that's ok
but from the moment i placed it i could feel this shit coming
>>
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>>152849475
me in the middle
>>
>>152849707
Kek'd out loud
>>152849490
It's ok
>>
>>152847423
Mpetshi Perricard to beat Hijikata @1.65

Wu to beat Rublev @2.4

Gadecki to win a set against Andreeva @2.5
>>
>sporting
Just nuke Portugal.
>>
Tonight's pick, won my Hornets parlay last night
>>
>>152847988
won
>>
>>152803269

Decided to look up how Tony Pollard did in the last game after reading your post

65 yards…1 short

Hahahaha that is tough
>>
>>152837173
Y tho lol
>>
almost feel like the perfect circumstances to bet against united. maybe not the full burnley moneyline, but burnley or draw @ 2.20 seems tempting. good chance for a united clown show tomorrow.
>>
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whew thankfully managed to recover
>>
>>152851126
i agree
had a 6 fold where everything else won but sporting choked in the final minutes of ET. dogshit moor cunts
>>
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I love waking up to ameribets winning.
Made up this one myself
>>
>>152857582
Nice but I dunno how you got 1.92 for the sabres. I got their handi (-1.5)at about that.
NHL tomorrow I’m doing over for DAL and SJS matches and under for CAL and Mamoth matches
>>
>>152857652
Strange, I first thought you'd be saying that my odds are too low. My bookie and French bookie overall (because of all the taxes in this communist hellhole) have low odds
took that yesterday evening idk

gonna check what is there today for the night, and post what i saw in football
>>
>>152857652
damn dal and sjs feel relatively equal and yet those odds for sjs
>>
Mostly interested in Aston Villa
Montreal Canadians

Interested but dodgy : Fiorentina, Manure, Chelsea
>>
>>152857748
You specializing on NHL now? For a mug treble i'm thinking Napoli, City, Inter @2.90 shouldn't fail today. Like i actually have that good feeling about it
>>
>>152858034
nah, just trying my luck
i'm a full mug
>>
>>152857711
Yeah SJS ML is value against LA if that’s what you mean
I’ll put a little on it
>>
>>152857652
>I got their handi (-1.5)at about that.
>wins with an empty net
Funny
>>
>>152850775
Wu lost 2-1 but Gadecki won a set. Opelka with a disgusting choke to lose 2 tiebreaks to Majchrzak. Kraus fell apart after winning the first set. Great stuff so far. Hijikata match is tomorrow.
>>
mirra 1.50 - noskova was basically dying during her match today
>>
>>152858969
Smol on this because why the fuck not
>>
>>152858034
did that but got cheeky and added united+newcastle. united will surely nab a win from the new "manager" bounce and newcastle havent lost at home in 11 games, though that one could very well end in a draw
>>
Fullham to score
Leeds to score
Tottenham to score
@2

Brentford over 1.5
Chelsea over 1.5
United over 1.5
@6

Villa DC
Newcastle over 4.5 corners
Joelington yellow card
@6
>>
napoli handicap 1-0 win
chelsea, man united to win
benfica - braga btts
>>
>>152860110
>napoli handicap 1-0 win
well this one is tanked already
>>
>>152860268
F
Heaven gained an angle today (me)
>>
Napolisisters...
>>
>>152860268
>>152860273
>>152860289
wtf
glad i wasn't on this
just believe and they might make a comeback
>>
>>152860310
i think they very well may come back to tie it, but they aren't covering -1
>>
>shatoli
the italian league really is a joke. i should stop betting on it
>>
to be fair, verona was kind of a sneaky scoring team last season that would sometimes play up to their competition. in hindsight a more straightforward O2.5 should have been obvious
>>
cursed thread
>>
>>152860537
Panthers ML
>>
I did not have enough faith to take Atalanta.
Let's see how it goes
>>
not even our fault. imo you couldn't win in 2026 with the upsets so far
>>
I couldn't imagine betting soccer
>>
hold your horses
>>
>>152860635
not finna happen Romania anon. tell me how much have you lost since 2022 cuz I remember you from here
>>
>>152860673
You're not gonna believe me but i don't think i lost [that much] cause i've also had winning months. Didn't keep track desu but by my estimations i'm around breaking even, yeah. I lost a lot of time on this though
>>
is it going to be 3 straight disallowed goals?
>>
That time we won with a 90+ pen? Yeah, we paid with 15 disallowed goals. That's the official ratio
>>
Okay, let me jinx it

Aston Villa to win draw no bet is the safest bet today
>>
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>>152860988
Oh no you don't
>>
the government needs to step in to prevent me from placing terrible bets
>>
should i live bet fulham right now? chelsea right on par for a typical disaster january.
>>
>>152858808
Marcinko to beat Eala @2.35

Muchova to beat Alexandrova @2.2

Keys to beat Shnaider @1.65

>>152858969
Didn't see that but I'll trust you on that call.
>>
of course i bet on a brutal slurper
>>
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This was my last bet for this year and hopefully for the rest of my life
>>
>>152861594
Did u ween
>>
>>152858632
It was a funny empty net goal too if you check it out.

Also man united will win from here imo they are paying $3.40
>>
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>>152860110
i must kneel at how badly these bets turned out
>>
>>152862430
Are you fucking serios? People are losing serious amounts of money and youre kneeling
>>
>>152862370
agreed i see a win here
>>
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Just bet on BTTS
>>
how do I into soccer on robinhood
>>
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>>152862370
>>
If you can, LIVE, always instead of "team to win" take "team to score" , instead of "team to score" take "any team to score" . So at 1-0 burnley take Utd over 1.5 @2.30 or better (safer) over 2.5 @1.70 ; this was the difference maker for me countless times already between a loss and a win, but one day this will save your life... literally.
Good night



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