Pub edition
>>154130863Didn’t want romgod to miss out on potential revenge.Going to bet on NrL right now but I’ve lost almost every bet so far so not going to put it here
>>154131081Will tail bro. Do we take total overs or TBL goals?
>>154131569I think TBL goals is the right bet but will pepper in general super overs as well. It all hinges on Lyon being in goal tho if it’s luckkonen I don’t have the same confidence
>>154132515Would be based if there's "bad blood" between them now and they start the game in the same way with fights all around. If they are redditly peaceful i'd feel more betrayed than stuttfart dirtmund (which as you know ended 3-3 last time)
>>154131031made for my bbc
A little update. +1.5 run lines at plus odds are now 12-5 on the season.If you bet all favorites you are 74-65, down a whopping -12.54 unitsIf you bet all dogs you are 65-74, up a solid +4.38 units.Smash those bookies. Good luck to all, and don't bet what you don't have.
>>154134806Also, I believe the White Sox and Blue Jays are the best dogs on the board tonight. White Sox are in great form, just swept a series as dogs, won 4 of their last 5. Both teams are home dogs. Blue Jays are in an early desperation spot. Great bounce back spot for them. Revenge spot for the WS last year. 78% of the public is on Dodgers, everybody giving up on the Jays. Not me.
>>154132749It’s luukonnen unfortunately so i won’t bet much on this one. Just TBL-1.5 and over just in case
interesting thing about live betting with baseball right now. if a game goes to extra innings and a team bunts the runner over to third base to start the inning and now there is a runner on third and 1 out, the odds of them winning actually goes down slightly. not much, talking like 1.83 to 1.86, but essentially they lost 1% probability to win in the books opinion.
also baseball overs are pretty good bets right now. batters are quick to call for abs reviews and pitchers cant really get cheap strikes anymore. its a very offensive game now and the books still might not have fully factored the abs effect in yet.
i cant get into betting on team sports too much info i only bet ufc
>>154131031Real Madrid to win + Mbappe to score @4.20?
michigan -3.5 at halftime @ 1.83
For me it’s UConn +6.5. Line is too wide, it comes down to the wire
>>154137102uconn to win the championship has to be the books biggest liability tonight. +900 before the tournament started, and +270 dogs tonight, books are going to get hosed if uconn manages to win or even get this into a situation where people can start cashing out or hedging their bets. somehow doubt an industry run by accountants and actuators allows that to happen but i guess its college sports.
>>154137351Only 8% of ESPN brackets even had UConn in the championship game. Books will do just fine.
you could probably make a profit making 50 cent nba quick bets if you're fast enough
Ey yoi Romanian poster, bet Real Madrid tonight, you might brake even from last week
>>154137351Books already turned a profit on Duke failing to make the final four
>>154136449phew
Uconn to win second half
>>154137102Got a bit lucky but it deserved to hit. UConn shot horribly and got jobbed by the zebras all game
minnesota vs indiana, all on bet365over 229.5 @ 1.90over 230.5 @ 2.00over 231.0 @ 2.05looks like there could be some value to those lines. most books have over 231.5 as their 1.90/1.90 split
>>154134999All good straya
Are (You) ready for some HUNCHES ????????????
Plenty of games ahead. >>154137805Help me with some thoughts
Basically, Slovenia i need you to give me a result for each of these games, and i'll also try to post my predictions in the meantime.
We can make a ton of money with these games. I'm so proud i haven't went all in on sabres tampa bay. So i still have a budget. For these 50 games ahead. 150 ron i got. (30 €). So one by one only wins (or reduced losses), never all in, good staking. One more [attempted] run . Let's fucking goo
All relevant games. Let the predictions begin!
I see some good overs in there. Let's disect them one by one. Which one you like? You like this un' here Thun v FC Basel 5+ Or al hilal al sadd q'atar 5+>>154140574Elvsberg Schalke?All eredivisie gamesBoy oh boy are we in for a treat
>>154140592>>154140594I post here whenever I think I found some advantage anyway. Will try to look into all of these before they happen and consult with you. But first I need Real Madrid and Arsenal to win today. I bet all the 22x I made Sunday on that parlay. That will determine whether I will blow trough all of my current money on bet365 or gain considerably more.
What kind of brown Muslim bullshit is this site on that the op image gets deleted this shit is dead im about to leave it
I put a 5er on gyokeres to score 2 and kane to score 2I also put a safety bet on gyok to score 1 and kane to score 1So in other words boys I am needing 1 each from them to double up and 2 each to 50x.
>>154141025BRO why would you bet against HARRY KANE. The man is on a sun run to the balon dor. He gunna score 2+ against real madrid. its joever.
>>154141045legit incredible how much overwhelming faggotry, gore, etc is allowed but they delete a pic of a slampig with cleavage
UFC 327 Saturday 4/11Three excellent betting weeks in a row, trying to keep it rolling with a great numbered card in Miami. >Radtke -200 vs PradoLine isn't wide enough. Prado is tough, just doesn't present enough danger to be anything but a +300 level dog here. Radtke hits harder, grapples better, and puts it on Prado IMO. Puncher's chance for Prado, nothing more. Wouldn't be surprised to see Chuck Buffalo around -300 by fight night. >Luque by submission +1300 Small bet. This is the only way he wins. Luque used to have a granite chin, lost that when he suffered a brain bleed following his fight against Neal. Gastelum will batter him on the feet, I think Luque opts to grapple where he has a major advantage on the mat. Sub is worth a look at a big number. >Padilla -180 vs MederosPadilla has overperformed expectations in UFC, Mederos has underperformed considering how much hype he had coming in. Padilla lands more in a standup fight and wins via UD. >Suarez -155 vs LoopyFading Loopy has been profitable, especially when she's favored or a small dog. Loopy is a very small 115er, I think Suarez's physicality is too much and she wins a comfortable decision behind about 9 minutes of control time. >Gamrot -175 vs RibovicsYou might get a better price on Gamrot closer to fight night. Ribovics is an exciting brawler but has shitty TDD. I see Gamrot getting takedown after takedown, but struggling to hold Ribovics down. As long as Gamrot doesn't get chinned late he will win 29-28 like he always does. >Pico vs Pitbull fight doesn't go distance -130Pico is a prohibitive favorite at -350, and Pitbull just doesn't do enough to justify a ML bet here. Give me the fight to end violently. Pico has big time weapons and a terrible chin. Pitbull has been dropped and finished as well. 1/2
>>154142767should have known better. i made 22x over the weekend, put it all in this parlay. aside for the ninja turtle scoring, not real nor arsenal won. i will recover trough the night though. i found 5 euro in the kitchen and will soon be heading towards the city to a deposit accepting atm machine.
>>154145763>Walker vs Reyes over 1.5 +150Yeah, I know betting an over on two giant chinny strikers is dumb. On principle I'm taking as many plus money over 1.5's as possible. Could see Reyes grappling here and extending the fight...if he got past 1.5 against Jiri he can do it against Walker. >Blaydes -135 vs HokitToo much too soon for Hokit. He's a small heavyweight and I think he's overmatched everywhere except durability. In a straight striking match Blaydes will piece him up. In a wrestling match Blaydes is much larger and stronger. Hokit could def find Blaydes' chin and end it, but I like Blaydes to stuff takedowns and use his length to jab Hokit to death and win a DEC. >Murzakonov -205 vs CostaCosta sucks, super overrated fighter who hasn't been good for 5 years. Murzakonov has a huge speed and accuracy advantage, plus he's better defensively. Murzakonov wins 1-2 then fades a bit but holds on for a 29-28. >Jiri vs Ulberg over ladder Jiri has a reputation as a wild brawler, but his fights usually get past the halfway point (or close) and he cashes overs more than you'd think. Jiri starts slow and Ulberg will be content to jab, calf kick, rinse and repeat for the first 2 rounds. Taking over 1.5 -225, over 2.5 +100, ove r3.5 +150, and over 4.5 +205. Half unit each.
ok i made some money on Cruzeiro. I think Lamine is due to score tonight. He has played 4 games without scoring or assisting and hasn't scored in the last 3 encounters with Atleti, while Lewa, Rashy have. Raphinha is injured. I will combine this with a play on Togichi City, Betis and the copa libertadores matches into the night.
>>154140592Tigres Seattle is not overs at all for me, they are both under sides.I would have bet Toluca LA overs last season but not this early this season, so that’s unders for me too. Madrid game looks ok considering they lost today
>>154140594Red bulls cost me my biggest ever multi so I don’t bet them, especially as casuals overinflate Miami because of Messi.I like the Belgian one the best of these for goals
PSG win free money
>>154152690i have them on draw no bet, but likewise betis, who look like they ought to ruin my parlay before the main part starts
shohei ohtani under 4.5 pitcher hits allowed @ 1.66
>>154153819tailing
>>154152690Likewise Porto tomorrow.
Stricklands my dude but chimaev is choking him out on the next card
UFC bets?
MY ALWAYS 20 POINTS PER GAME GOATS!!!
>>154159587scroll up slightly
NRL tonightBulldogs less than 12.5 points @2.20Confidence is high on this one
>>154160550Ok ignore this jesus
>>154156941Im putting 20 bucks on porto and palace to qualify but not feeling it like yesterday. Yesterday PSG smashed livershit to bits
im gunna put a 5er on all 3 england teams to win tonightpalacenotts forestvilla.easy money.
CBJ buffalo should be overs, kid goalie for buffalo and it’s all or nothing for cbj
Porto defeating themselves already
Gamrot is old Ribovichs will beat him
>>154164355Ellis goes 37/37 ok
I think ulberg is scared/nervous/moment too big for him. Hes looking jittery as fuck.JiriHokitWalkerSwansonCosta
timberwolves vs rockets on bet365over 221.0 @ 2.00over 221.5 @ 2.05over 222.0 @ 2.10looks like there is some value to those lines.
There are some big (15+) handis in nba tomorrow, might multi a few of them
MLB dog system update:If you bet every favorite you are 98-90, you are down -20.74 unitsIf you bet every underdog you are 90-98, you are up +10.39 unitsTop 5 most profitable teams:1) Guardians: +6.10 units (43.6% ROI)2) Reds: +3.99 units (28.47% ROI)3) Cardinals: +2.73 units (20.99% ROI)4) Rockies: +2.68 units (19.14% ROI)5) Rangers: +2.37 units (18.20% ROI)Top 5 least profitable teams:1) Mariners: -6.56 units (-46.89% ROI)2) Tigers: -5.94 units (-42.40% ROI)3) Red Sox: -5.25 units (-40.39% ROI)4) Blue Jays: -3.57 units (-27.49% ROI)5) Royals: -3.31 units (-23.63% ROI)Good luck, and don't bet what you don't have.
Convinced the old sperg Romanian joined the jannies just so he could remove the op images for these threads
diamondbacks vs phillies under 8.5 runs @ 1.86
>>154173499No, you misunderstood. That one time i was celebrating winning a bet not getting your OP image down
>>154169585I know what you mean but whenever I think a fighter looks like a scared little bitch he wins. I think Jiri will struggle to touch Ulberg for the first half of the fight
west ham over 1.5 goals easy money
take the mariners under until they show they can hithancock is starting tonight he has been excellent thus far
MLB Brice Turang (MIL) Over 0.5 Total Home Runs +680 @ 0.25u
>>154175748Why
>>154173614Was going to tail you. I fucking hate lotto luckswing.
>>154175128>whenever I think a fighter looks like a scared little bitch he winsThis is very interesting. But scared! Not ego involved.
Oita to win versus Yamaguchi? @2.45
Really like costa to rip the hardest body kicks hes got into that fat roid cheat
kateller toyama +0 @ 2.15
Betting heavy (for me) on Macao soccer. This gorillas of the universe match should have plenty of goals
I took Salzburg-Admira O2.5 @ -112
>>154183702grand national
Literally fucking everyone is picking Jiri. The betting odds aren’t moving. That tells you everything you need to know.
city odds falling from 2.20 to 2.05. would have thought 1.90-2.00 range was closer to fair odds. city win to turn the pressure up on arsenal at bit more almost seems to easy for plus odds.
>>154145763Already up for the card no matter what. God bless Luque
UFC anon I kneel
>>154184505Betting odds only move if the bets are substantial enough to move it
>>154192966That’s what I mean Small bettors are on JiriReal money is on Ulberg
There is no single thing that undermines the spirit of sport more than gambling.U.R.A. fag.That is all, fags.
>>154194519Because they think the left hook is there and its really not. Jiri gets hooked by Pereira because Pereira can also KO you from any other position basically. Ulberg only has the left and a weak leg kick
4/5 so far on ufc get fucked murza you roid cheat faggot I knew paulo would kick you to pieces you have no kick defense
That fight is what you call le riggi scripti
ulberg tears his acl and still KO’s jiri. unbelievable
>>154198240Cause jiri had to follow the le script and walk into a check left while the ref didnt call the fight after ulbergs achilles blew
>>154194519It's called a reddit pick. Like mcgregor was against mayweather. And to no surprise, the redditor's fighter did reddit things (not punishing the injured foot). Borussia Dortmund players go and applaud their fans in away games. It's a reddit gesture. Cause it's not out of real respect, it comes from a place of ... moral superiority. For example, i was playing a lot of fifa 26 lately and Gemini helped me perfect my tactics. Then i remembered i was playing with a friend, and i scored for 2-0 and accidently my player ran to the cameraman, and did the "ran to the camera celebration", so after i lost 2-9 my friend told me that he lost his shit when i did that celebration. So ever since i was spamming the camera celebration at every goal online. But then i asked gemini if this pisses people off cause i can't tell and gemini said if it didn't it wouldn't be so many threads about toxic celebrations on reddit and running to the camera is always in top 3. So obviously i continued doing it. Jiri , the man who even has the reddit samurai haircut, cause that's why redditors were drawn to him, for his edgy style, Jiri is the kind of guy who specifically wouldn't celebrate in fifa, to not be toxic. Cause they have the protagonists syndrome, they have to be the good guys.
>>154198964And just so you see where the irony is. I only do the celebration to put him off his game. I do it when i score at 1-0. At 1-0. To set the tone. To show disrespect to make him run desperately to equalize, instead of playing calmly. And then at 2-0 i do it again, and at 3-0 again. And i even do it when i score for 7-6 in 86th , just to put him off his game, to make him sit through that dead space instead of putting the ball back into play when he's eager to score. (it even works if he leads 3-0 and i managed to get 1 back). But if he's already beat and i score for 6-1 in 85th i don't do it anymore. That's real moral superiority, cause i don't want to humiliate. Prochachka instead, the redditor, being the good guy, still beats me in the end. It's 6-6 and he makes it 7-6 in 90+ just before the final whistle. That's when he does the celebration. He didn't celebrate any goal until then, but when i can't even get another chance (cause the ref will blow the whistle after the celebration) that's when he does it. That's when he laughs to my face. And the whole reddit is feeling justice has been served. Evil was defeated. He paid with the same coin. He has the final laugh. When in fact, for me it was only business. Which reminds me of... EXACTLY: Khabitch Nurmagomedov, he was so fucking reddit in the Conor fight. He was the good guy, the protagonist in his head, defeating evil, while McGregor was just trying to promote the fight. Conclusion: 4chans taunts before and during the game/fight, reddit laughs in your face after they won
Be very careful of Derrick Lewis vs hokit. Lewis is trumps favorite fighter
Derrick Lewis is +205 on draft kings that is a lock. Ko is a lock. I will be betting 10k on this.
how much have you all made laying every Aiden O'Brien runner this month? I'm £180 up already.
Sad there are no golfers here we have no kwabsters bets
MLB Ryan O'Hearn (PIT) Over 0.5 Total Home Runs +490 MLB Bubba Chandler (PIT) Over 2.5 Total Pitcher Walks +140 MLB Gunnar Henderson (BAL) Over 0.5 Total Home Runs +588 MLB Rafael Devers (SF) Over 0.5 Total Home Runs +620
>>154204192results this season for dinger model
Bundesliga: Stuttgart/Hamburger O3.5 -110
I've been fucking around the last week trying to win 10 euro per day, betting horses/tennis flash bets etc with the bet sizing so that I'll win 10 euro or 10 euro plus X((X = losing stakes so far that day)How likely am I to get restricted doing this? And could I up the stakes slightly if I am betting too little to get restricted?
>>154204393With a VAR'd goal and a missed pen, huh?
>>154205089They'll take away price boosts if you constantly bet on them so you may as well max stake them. Just make sure to check the real price on an exchange to see if it's an actual boost or a scam boost.
>>154206578I'm not betting price boosts, just like winning next point on a tennis match or winning next game, or betting the fave on a horse and if it loses spinning it up on the next fave etc
most disgusting fucking week i've ever seen in my life for money line
Cristopher Sanchez (PHI) Over 6.5 Total Strikeouts +112Brandon Lowe (PIT) Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs -113Zach Neto (LAA) Over 0.5 Total Home Runs +440
anyone like the over in Lusitania-Porto B?
MLB Dog System Update:If you bet every favorite this season, you are 122-111 (52.4%) and you are down -26.9 units.If you bet every dog this season, you are 111-122 (47.6%) and you are up +16.7 units.Where are the seething weirdos at right now? Very quiet on the /bet/ front. Funny how that works out.Top 5 most profitable teams1) Guardians: +5.09 units2) Athletics: +3.64 units3) Twins: +3.45 units4) Nationals: +3.14 units5) Dbacks: +3.20 unitsTop 5 least profitable teams1) Blue Jays: -4.92 units 2) Astros: -4.70 units3) Red Sox: -4.68 units4) Mariners: -4.67 units5) Phillies: -3.98 unitsGood luck, and don't bet what you don't have.
>>154217635VAR'd and a missed pen right after it. what a shit show.
getafe +0 @ 2.10
LaMelo Ball (CHA) Over 7.5 Assists -120Averages 9.2 assists per 36 minutes, is playing the fastest team in the NBA at home, should see an influx of minutes that get him close to 36 minutes, and it's 7.5 at relatively modest vig? okay
Going for over goals in rangers vs Florida NHL
>Derrick Lewis was +413 underdog at my book>they removed the line almost immediately>3 days later its back at +235
>>154222045think it moves more desulewis sucks but it this is the matchup for himprob a snoozer of lewis looking for a counter shot and hokk trying to be busy enough to shoot takedownstrump likes lewis for whatever reason
of course every other ball game today gets 10+ runs EXCEPT the one where the team couldn't score more than 6 against the fucking ASTROS
I just lost 300 dollars and made ot back in under 6 hours.
big line mismatch in this kings vs canucks game tomorrow. most sport books have the moneyline around:kings @ 1.58 vs canucks @ 2.60polymarket has the same moneyline line at:kings @ 1.75 vs canucks @ 2.25this is actually an arbable moneyline which doesnt happen very often but there is a lot of value to the canucks moneyline. hard to say if the kings will take the game seriously since it looks like they have clinched a playoff spot tonight. maybe they try to win for better seeding, but polymarket seems to have quite a different opinion on this game compared to the books.
SF @ CIN Over 9.0 Total Runs -102>>154223771lots of sites out there you can line shop and you 100% lose money not doing it. they also show arbs (some make you pay though) and that does get you limited if you do it enoughhighly doubt any prediction market is the sharp for any sport/prop
LAA @ NYY Over 8.5 Total Runs -112
>>154214844start the new week off with a 6 game x16 hit
>>154222045Too fast a turnaround for Hokit after that war. Lewis sucks but he's very live to KO Hokit. Blaydes is not a power puncher and he hurt Hokit several times
MacKenzie Gore (TEX) Under 6.5 Total Strikeouts +120 Nolan McLean (NYM) Over 5.5 Total Strikeouts -125clv on both while i sleep i'd wager
>>154224426Hokits typecast himself as bringing the heat so hes got no choice but to bumrush lewis' nukes
Champions League: Barca/Atletico Madrid O1.5 1H -106
thoughts on the pirates -1.5? mikolas is starting for washington.
i'm broken. i got my salary 5 days ago. 500 euros. paid 2 persons 500 each. lost the rest on the first day. i lost 1500 more since. first overs on freiburg celta , mainz strasbourg , shakhtar alkmaar . all 4+ 3-0 , 2-0 since 15', 3-0lost 1k. put 400 on colorado avalanche calgary flames 4+ @1.60about a week ago was 9-2. thought then this game doesn't have goalsi went to sleep at ... 00:30 cause i had to work the next day at my cart pushing job in the supermarket parking lot. no capat 5 amavalanche started at 4:00woke up to 0-0 1st period min 18.then 1-0 . 1-0 first period.2-0 2nd period.put 200 over 4.5 @2.15 or sth . incl ot ! and over 3.5 @1.38 - 100 just to stay alive (in hindsight might've been just not worth it. and it's just fomo?)and passes 10 mins when i get to work. 2-0 3rd period 10'.f m lmin 18'. resigned with the losscalgary flames red dot2-1 .AND they play with an empty netso ofc with 2 mins left avalanche gonna scorebut flames do.calgary flames scores for 2-2 and you know what that meansi also win the over 4.5 cause it includes overtime and penaltieswhich means guaranteed.hits 100% of the time but the goal gets disalloweda player is after the blue lineoffsidegoal var'd in hockey.that's rare as a golden pepeand then several other lossesyesterday got 7 bucksall in river 1.60 when leading 0-1 racingmade 11.toluca scores 0.5+ at ht. 1.33 i knew they play reserves but saw the stats at ht. scores, not win. 1-0 min 72, 90+8 joao pedro from cagliari 1-1 (P)made 15. and then all in canucks 2.55 before ot at ducks. cause i hate the ducks. and in ot had powerplay and scored with 9 seconds leftcarried a huge momentumnext day G2 in cs vs gentle mates @1.75 , when losing the first map. won 1-2then put on kazan minsk 5+ in hockey67 to make 102was 1-0 1st prd. 4-0 second. with an inferiority goal cause minsk took the gk to play 6 v 4 on pp at 3-0 with 40 secs left.and 4-0 in third period no goal. they never took the gk
so now the plan is this. i have one more reload of 50.the plan is now.never going all inso whenever i put. 25 a day. not 25 a game. for ex for cl games25.and tomorrow 12the last strike is 2but i'll stay/be kept alive cause i got this BEAUTY of an account and my VIP status really shows it's weight, so i'm always getting 20 bucks here. 30 there. 10 bucks on barca10 bucks on psgchange of plansi'll do 10 bucks barca 5+ @3just for fear of fomoand the rest (40) on liv psg overs 4+ @2.05 -105+ @3.60 -106+ @6.60 - 107+ @12 -10
aaron nola under 17.5 pitcher outs @ 1.95
>>154226533>put 400 on colorado avalanche calgary flames 4+ @1.60Meant 6+
>>154226562if it wasn't versus the cubs I'd tail
>>154223944i do believe you can use prediction markets like kalshi or pm for certain markets to know insider information, but not really on major league pro sports. for esports, which i know /bet/ isnt really meant for, pm and kalshi can show insider information.lets look at this cs2 game starting in a couple hours:CCT south america ALKA vs HereWeGoAgainbet365 lines:ALKA @ 1.22 vs HWGA @ 4.00pm lines:ALKA @ 1.69 vs HWGA @ 2.27so this game has a potential arb return of (1/4)+(1/1.69) = 0.841... or almost 16%. but the books will never give you a return like that. when you see potential arb returns >10%, the game is more than likely going to be cancelled, but the traditional books and pm dont really close the line until like 5 minutes before the game starts. if you are willing to take the chance, HWGA shares are at 0.41cents on pm right now, when the game gets cancelled and the market gets resolved 50-50, your shares go up to 0.50, and you made free money for nothing. there is my free money hack for you. enjoy.
>>154226377ty
>>154226647good point on insiders using prediction markets for bets. since they have very little to no regulation that would be the sites those bets to avoid flags/limits>>154226696quick and easy on that
Second half gonna explode with goalsReback over 1.5 @1.62And specially 2.5+ @2.95And 7+ barca @4.85Where do i got more money? I also had another bet on an over in saudi Arabia and got 60 back. Actually wrote about it but somehow lost in copy pastaAnd still got 30 to end the day whatever happens ;)
Don't tell me the 2nd half of the 2nd leg of quarterfinals between arne slut's liverpool with reigning champions PSG ends 0-0. I do not believe it. I actually just checked the score to see if they haven't scored until i post this. Twice
Red dot anytimeMillion dollar question isIs it gonna be ... VAR'd?
Late game nuke!
Free rolling .25u on each with Barca money 1st H money Nolan Arenado (ARI) Over 0.5 Total Home Runs +730Jose Fernandez (ARI) Over 0.5 Total Home Runs +840
>>154226647game cancelled shares to 0.50 free money
>>154227506Moises Ballesteros (CHC) Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs +115Dylan Beavers (BAL) Over 0.5 Total Home Runs +800 Casey Schmitt (SF) Over 0.5 Total Home Runs +570 Kevin Gausman (TOR) Over 6.5 Total Strikeouts +135
46.50Lived to bet another day
I'm going all in.On FearX vs Nongshim Forest in LoL. 1.70 mlOr take maps?Could take both maps. Or you take nongshim but bnk fearx has been my team for a couple months and they're an insanely talented team
26.50 ml20 for live bets on the mapsWaiting for the drafts but i'll bet on fearx regardless
>>154227938which over do you like more? CLE-STL O9.0 or BOS-MIN O8.0?
Porto win looking good @3.5They dominated the first leg and should've won. Adding to that forests abysmal home form and I don't understand what the bookies are thinking here.
>>154238392If you want some insurance go for Porto to qualify. But I'm going for the win in 90 mins.
Alkmaar shakhtar 3+ @1.78 is the play (according to the algorythm)That 7+ @24 is winking at meTell me how this game doesn't end 5-2You know alkmaar will score. Can shakhtar get 1? They can. Can az alkmaar get 2 in opening 15 mins? They sure can.4-1So overs 3+ 4+ 5+>5+ is @5.45 btwBut lay the most on 3+ @1.78. yerr backbone 500 . Hell, 3+ always simplify to "btts or 3+" . 1.44And 4+ @2.90 - 5005+ @5.45 - 5006+ @11 - 5007+ @24 - 500I wish i had these money thou.I have 40 ron.I'm not gonna borrow or anything but i need to get money to land on this game these susceptible overs. I betted this game in the first leg. 3-0 shakhtar after 70th min one after the other. But in alkmaar gonna be different. And it's dutchies, who you know play football vs shakhtar (ukrainian defence brazilian attack) young players on both sides. All or nothing>5-2 Mark my wordsThis post might drop the odds until i deposit, but i hope there's still some value left, so go and make yourself sum fkin moneyIf i'd pick 2 goalscorersMijnans and obviously Troy Parrott3.45 and 2.15But i'm gonna teach a technique herePlayer scores OR assists 2.30 and 1.75For mijnans and parrottAnd also all alkmaar team is hereBrazilians might also sneak one inAlkmaar are getting 4 straight up. If not more. Just think they need to overcome a 0-3 deficit. It's the perfect stormPrepare your bankrolls
Four strong weeks in a row. Much less confident this week, I'm only making quarter unit bets on each fight because this card sucks and is full of no-names. UFC Winnipeg Saturday 4/18>Siraj -265 vs YannisYannis isn't very good on the mat. I think Siraj gets him down and likely taps him out or controls the fight and wins an easy decision. >Castaneda -130 vs Vologdin Vologdin had one of the craziest DWCS fights ever. Check it out if you have not seen it, amazing fight. He doesn't do a lot well besides jab and eat punches. I don't think Vologdin will win a UFC fight, guy is a damage sponge without great weapons or wrestling. >Nascimento -192 vs RaposoRaposo is extremely low volume, he just doesn't do enough to beat a decent fighter like Nascimento. >Croden vs Zhelezniakova u2.5 +180Croden hits hard but she's slow, and Zhelez has good hands but no ground game. I think this is a finish. Croden's wins are all by finish. Zhelez gets cut up and bloodied in all her fights, a doctor stoppage is very possible here. >Barbosa by DEC +600 vs Buzukja Everyone is glazing Barbosa for his power. Buzukja is durable, I don't agree with the -225 Barbosa KO line. I don't think Buzukja does enough to win, but I'd be surprised if he gets sparked as easily as the KO line indicates. 1/2
>>154239607>Moises +114 vs YoungI've been on the wrong side of Moises several times, so tail at your own risk. Young is live to KO Moises, but I like the submission upside of Moises to neutralize some of Young's wrestling and potentially reverse positions. Give me Moises at plus money. >Herbert vs Nallo u2.5 -160This is a fun fight. Nallo is all action, stay in the pocket and bang. I also don't trust his chin. Herbert has been violently KO'd a few times and is almost 37...someone gets heemed here. >Burns +240 vs MallottI was late to this line, Burns was a much larger dog a couple days ago. Money has poured in on Burns, who has only lost to the elite guys at 170 over the last few years. He was beating JDM until he got KO'd late. There's a chance Burns is done and gets finished easy, but I'm willing to back the guy with a far stronger strength of schedule against a dude who gassed and quit against Neil Magny.
This Friday I have something in common with someone of Jewish heritege. I need a fucking lock. I need at least $500. Any suggestions?
>>154239973Charlotte hornets to win whatever game they play
Lakers to win series over rockets +425
I have come from the future to tell you Collingwood Pies win tonight
>>154240075Heh
>bet on a - 6 spread>5 minutes later>they're almost even >cash out so i only lose 5 dollars>game ends>they beat them by 10 points
>all alkmaar starters are on the bench, for the cup final in 3 daysFml i'm so ending this today
Beats the world record of times a pig blows that cocksucking whistle in a match
>15 fouls in first halfYeah yeah
Well well wellImagine if they'd play the first team and went for itWas my last bet for a while. Blocking the account
I might reopen a website page. Like it was romanianbettingtips . And gonna post must-bet hunches that hold significant value. For example, there's a guy on youtube, michael talks football, basically the guy doesn't have a life, only watches football. And he said Q'atar will have troubles at this world cup, said they are abysimal defending and will lose all 3 games (in embarassing fashion) . Even when he said he was being nice he predicted swiss winning by the 3 goals. 0-3. So he thinks it's gonna be higher. Maybe 0-6 ? Also he obviously believes Canada will win, and opening odds , i saw with Fortuna, 1.57 for the leaf's win. That's tremenedous value. And i'll put there on the website these picks. These locks. These ev+ bombs. EV++ (if you allow me some fifa joke). Imagine alphonso davies will be there so a team at a different level and bookies have them ... 1.57 LOL
>Genclerbirligi v Galatasaray @1.39It's that time of the season where these must win fixtures become locks. No need to comment further
I think oilers puckline -1.5 is a good bet today. Mcdavid to score 2 or more as well
if will smith (sj sharks) can get 1 assist tonight, he will earn a $250k contract bonus.will smith 1+ assist @ 2.40will smith 1+ point @ 1.71this game is completely meaningless for both teams though.
>>154245218>conpletely meaninglessMy favourite type of gameI’m taking will smith assist thanks
>>154238392Red card in 8 mins means we will never know what mightve been. /bet/ curse strikes again.
Orlando Magic +3.5 Point Spread -105 Golden State Warriors +3.5 Point Spread -110Tossing a .25u on each
nfl draft 2026big 10 players drafted in the first round:over 11.5 @ 2.41 (pinnacle)under 11.5 @ 1.86 (bet365)almost a 5% arb there. draft is next thursday. in my experience with arbing, when pinnacle has something as a heavy favorite vs a heavy dog, while 365 considers the same matchup an even split, pinnacle will be right, and the under 11.5 @ 1.86 sharp line will win 9 out of 10 times. i dont know much about college football and couldnt even name the 11-12 players expected to be drafted in the first round, but that is a really sharp line 365 is offering.
Elina Svitolina free money?
what a game from will smith hes getting paid and we are getting paid
ATL @ PHI Over 9.0 Total Runs -110Jonathan Aranda (TB) Over 0.5 Total Home Runs +680 Cam Schlittler (NYY) Over 5.5 Total Strikeouts -110Boston Red Sox Moneyline -130Matt Wallner (MIN) Over 0.5 Total Home Runs +480Eric Lauer (TOR) Over 15.5 Total Pitching Outs +100
>>154248016Yeah nice one, I added Celebrini goal too Annoyed at mcdavid tho
Stephen Curry (GS) Over 4.5 3-Pointers +125Curry is going to absolutely chuck in an elimination game today, no? The greatest 3-point shooter of all-time? Even an off shooting night of 5-for-15 in as many minutes as he can handle would be a cash here
Would you cash out?
odds dropping a lot on this whitecaps game tonight. moneyline went from 1.20 earlier in the week to 1.15 last night now down to 1.10. even the -2.5 handicap went from 2.10 last night to 1.75 today. when the caps played them last year as the 1.40 favorite, it was complete domination, men against boys, 2-0 by half time, 3-0 full time. looks like the books are expecting a total throttling again tonight, just not sure if the odds are really worth it.
>>154256209books never give you a fair shake on cashing out it is always a scamthat said if the money would make a difference to you the decision is different
>>154240067uh oh
Pinnacle has lines for powerslap
Bundesliga: Leipzig/Frankfurt O3.5 -104 EPL: Leeds/Wolves BTTS Yes -112
Halftime AddBundesliga: Dortmund/Hoffenheim O2.5 -140
>>154264823>EPL: Leeds/Wolves BTTS Yes -112this was worth a shot even if it didn't hit
>>154266341wolves were useless
how are you all doing with your Aidan O'Brien April lays? Only a few more weeks left to cash in! After Albert Einstein's run today, I'm £276 in profit.
Cavs in 5Wolves in 6 Knicks in 7Rockets in 7Celtics in 5Thunder in 4Pistons in 5Spurs in 5Knicks are in real danger and I think Minnesota is live to upset Denver
i need another goal in this napoli match
>>154265475How did you know?
>>154267693follow bundesliga quite close and the pace was therehoff playing for their season
>>154267785I was joking cause you won with a 90+8 pen
>>154268220we take those
Not gonna bet, but who qualifies here?
>>154269530Colorado is clearly the best team, but that doesn’t always mean they’ll make the finals. Presidents trophy winner loses early a lot
>>154267328Not enough sweeps. Should be 3 sweeps
I love betting mls desu. Theres no league vaguely comparable how retarded it is. The goals. Idk how it happened. Only thing comparable is maybe norway or old chinese soccer
>>154274241There is no league in which goals flow so freely. So easily. It is beautiful and epic
>>154274284You're not wrong
fukushima united vs fc gifu both teams to score - yes + over 2.5 goals @ 1.90
>>154239607>>154239655Glad I bet small. Worst card in a while. Betting quarter units saved me.
>>154267328Nuggets in 4Lalers in 5
Anyone got any decent evening football tips? My brain is full of fuck today and I don't trust my own judgement.
slovak league, why is kosice +300 underdogs?
Garrett Mitchell (MIL) Over 0.5 Total Stolen Bases +240Brice Turang (MIL) Over 0.5 Total Stolen Bases +205Greg Jones (MIL) Over 0.5 Total Stolen Bases +205Brandon Lockridge (MIL) Over 0.5 Total Stolen Bases +296 Perez has never been able to hold batters and Liam is one of the worst catchers at throwing runners out. Brewers are going to be running every chance they get on base.
jacob misiorowski under 4.5 pitcher hits allowed @ 1.77
>>154285401At half time. Racing Club to score @1.70?
Orlando Magic +9.0 Point Spread -110Rust could be a real thing for this Pistons squad just getting back Cunningham before the end of the season; expect him to not be a 40+ minute playoff go right off the bat, especially in a Game 1.Magic team found a way to survive, plus should see more Franz Wagner minutes right off the bat
>>154288454sounds good to me. also the +2.5 @2.7 Also put a checky unit on Boca wining today.
>>154239226Oh look, everything happened (including goalscorers) but not in that game, in the cup final for which they rested all their starters for. FML
how are your Aiden O'Brien lays doing? i'm nearly up to £300. He has a load of runners next week, so hopefully I can get up to £350.
>>154288674Not gonna bet but let's see if river boca will have cards. The line is at over 8.5 and usually it covers
>>154290381is risky because their starting goalkeeper is injured, and the sub goalkeeper is shit.
>PSG taking a shit on my 8 leg parlay's chestTbr i still believe it ends 3-2
Made bank today by scattershotting with little to no thought. Really don't know why I bother even researching bets, always seems to go wrong.
>>154290133Qrd?
Farul FCSB is naturally high scoring. This time in particular cause they're both looking shaky at the back but have potential to score up front, even more so that it's played on Farul stadium, where the home team always delivers, especially against FCSB they always show up and FCSB also isn't afraid of this away fixture cause it's a small stadium after all , not that far away from the capital. Both play with 18 y.o goalkeppers. So over 2.5 @1.77 hits easily imo, question is if we go higher for 4+ 5+ even super overs 6+ 7+
Then, in 3 days, another super over might be Sabah Baku v Qarabag in the cup. They played in the league a couple days ago, ended 0-1 for sabah, it's true, but i watched the other game they played this month , the first leg from this cup, 2-2 at Qarabag. I watched it fully cause i had 4+ 5+. Why? Cause they had a 3-3 in the league earlier this year. And let me tell you, in this 2-2 the chances were back and forth. And you could tell the goals are coming because the rhythm was so good. Might be because it was a Cup game, such as this one is about to be. So there was no pressure. I'll say again: you could tell (cause if there's no rhythm i'm getting stressed, here i wasn't). Because the ball was always in play, and they were trying to create. So every 2 minutes there was a chance to score. Might be another 5 or 6 game thriller. Sabah Baku is winning the title btw so the rivalry is there
Other overs22.04Zeleznicar Pancevo v Red Star Belgrade maybe 4+ @2.22 cause with zvezda is always goals on the menu and they already played twice this year, in regular season, that 0-3 away and most importantly that 7-1 at home that might've been zvezda's best game this year. In that one they looked out of this world. Here i predict a 1-5
>Real Salt Lake v Inter Miami 4 5 6 7+ odds 2.15 on 4+ so bookies expect it ofc. I bet overs, and watch, every inter miami game so with them it's always messi scoring or assisting and at the other end conceiding easily. Now they play one of the better sides of mls, never watched them, but looks like it, with that guy Luna standing out, probably a starter in the national team as well. So Real Salt Lake will likely be able to punish Miami (several times) and hopefully Messi is in the mood to play, cause sometimes you have the feeling he's not even thinking about the game, even if he scored twice (one was a gifted pen, unironically)
>>154292280my most profitable bets are ones where i bet on differences between lines in sports i know little about, not the ones that i follow and think i know what ought to happen.
Twente v Nijmegeneven if they got gapped in the cup final. i mean especially ! they come tired but they could sneak one in and twente playing real good at home. It's a direct game for the 3rd place. NEC could lose the cup and the podium in 3 days, and look at them, 72 goals this season so they know what they're doing offensively. 3-3 previous game this season 4+ @2.15 here imo
>>154288674Hooray
>>154294057nice , but I chickened out and bet double opportunity on boca. @1.62. Still ok.
>>154294119Still good
Buffalo Sabres ML -166Like Buffalo in the series (-175 if you don't mind locking up money) and expect them to show it on home ice tonight. Always freaky when you have a team with no experience with all that nervous energy (Leafs in some ways) but they are electric. If they can find a way to keep pace I think they win tonight. If you don't want to eat the juice in regulation going to get you a much better line but you lose OT equity
>>154292543I added this to a treble but since I know very little about the Romanian league I only took o/1.5 Here's the treble Farul fcsb over 1.5 match goalsMoreirense estoril over 1.5 match goalsForentina double chanceEven money. I'd be surprised if any one of these lets me down desu.
>>154295319YOU BEAUTY
>>154292423historically, Aidan O'Brien has an absoultely terrible record for the month of April. He appears to use April to send horses out for a dry run. Since the start of April he's had 38 runs and 7 winners. https://www.racingpost.com/profile/trainer/7978/a-p-obrienBasically, the system is blindly lay all of his horses running in April.
bryce elder under 17.5 pitcher outs @ 1.90
>>154285375>full of degen day gamblers on horse racing saying they make hundreds a day
>>154303650horses are unironically fun to betnot sure about the money part
>>154297563We did our part. GL with the rest. Honestly this FCSB game went from nothing happening for 40 mins to raining goals. Until the first goal it looked like the worst football match ever played
>>154304020Even people who know their stuff about horse racing have described it as "roulette in motion". Without inside information it's almost impossible to get an edge.
>>154304241you can get an edge if you collect every piece of publically available information and analyse it. look for clues in what the trainer is doing, what jockeys they are using, where the trainers are based and where they are sending their horses to etc
>>154304241correctit is a huge dopamine rush to bet >>154304255>collect every piece of publicly available information and analyses itthe book you are betting on does that
>>154304240Great shout on the goals. I almost feel foolish for only doing o/1.5 now.
Dallas Stars Moneyline -134 Immediately buying back in on Dallas after Game 1 - score not indicative of the game or how the series goes. They'll answer tonight level it 1-1
>>154304341I feel the same for only doing 3+ and was praying it doesn't have 6 goals. But this is a flaw in thinking and it's important to recognize that (it's called metacognition i believe) . Trust me, at 0-0 in first half it looked like it'll end with no goals
>>154304325not always. if they did, then the favourite would win all of the time. sure, the book gives a rough guide, but a lot of punters throw money on highly tipped horses, football teams etc and this falsely shortens their odds. the horse doesn't know its starting price.
I'm rewriting my betting philosophy and one rule to follow blindly is:>never cash out ... on a lossI see daily people complaining they cashed out (for pennies) moments before the goal arrived in 90'. Not only you get robbed by cashing out, but you don't know where the rabbit jumps from. And if/ when it does, that feeling you won't be able to erase and it will eat you from inside. On the other hand, i'm an advocate of countering/ hedging a winning bet, even if in theory it's an ev- move, cause you have to protect your mental and not get equalized in 90+5'. Comebacks happen all the time, either hope for it until the last moment or protect yourself against it
Live EPL add0-0 at half in Crystal Palace and West Ham so diving in with a side to find the net Home Team O.5 Goals (Crystal Palace) -122
>>154304550Yeah I used to let this kind of thinking bother me but as I've gotten older I have learned to accept any win as a positive, even if I could've won more if I'd been braver. If youre viewing wins as losses then you have negative expectations and will be constantly tilted. Incidentally, fiorentina look safe and I just need one more goal in Portugal for my bet to complete.
Magic to win seriesLakies and nuggies win theirsSedrique Dumas +170 vs Jackson mcvey. Originally I was on mcvey when they first were slotted to fight but he lost his last two and looked super canny doing it so he should not be -200 even to a retard like Dumas
>>154304702West ham looked more likely to score going into the break.
>>154304729they can score as well bet is just for crystal to put 1 in
Regarding overs and this way of latter staking (for ex 200 on 3+ @1.60, 200 on 4+ @2.40 , 100 5+ @4.70 , 100 6+ @9 , 100 7+ @18 ). It happened way too many times that the game had ... 4 goals and i barely got my money back. It's true, when you land 7 goal your bankroll skyrockets. But, first of all, i betted 7+ latters on games that ended 0-0, and ignored games thinking they'd be slurpers and they ended 4-2. So, especially for luckpuck more than football, this is trying to find logic in chaos (this i learned from gemini). I first wrote 4 or 5 years ago about the flow of the game and being 'impossible' to predict. Even playing fifa online, you'd have with the same opponent one game ending 2-1, another one 8-6. So prematch might be 'impossible'. Live you could be able to get a feeling where it's heading.But my point is this: prematch i think it'd be better to just beat the line, at 2.5 or 3.5, and only that. One bet over 2.5 @1.8, no latter. Also i feel 4+ is tricky cause 3+ covers 2-1 and 3-0, for 4 goals only 2-2 3-1 4-0 are good, which are not that common , even in these games that bookies suspect of being high scoring and set the line at 3.5
porter martone 1+ point @ 2.10surprised this is at + odds, guy is on a 7 game point streak, 11 points in his last 10 games, plays on the flyers top powerplay unit, one of their top played minutes guys. skinner liable to disasters in the playoffs.
Minnesota Timberwolves +7.5 Point Spread -106
>>154304325I've had a fair bit of luck with dogs just looking if the one owner/trainer has more then one dog in race if they do - bet on the higher odds one
>>154305549finna based
>>154311281is dog racing not a bit random?
>>154304711Laptop nearly went out the window when the portugeese couldn't manager a 2nd goal with 70+ mins left. Managed to compose myself however. Felt tilted so put a limit on my account and then put a fairly big wager on inter and real to win tonight. If it loses I'll take a couple weeks off.
>>154304664Yeah I did this a few years ago, you can’t cash out losers imo. I think if you have serious bet just stake it twice and then you can cash out one if it’s profitable and the stakes are too dramatic for you.
>>154304714I think the nba finals are great value for the east dogs. The west is tough and the odds are massive for some of these low east teams. Magic beating pistons would be great
>>154313087East has a lot of fraud teams and magic are fucking pissed + last Florida team left
I just betted 3 units on 12 teams scoring at least 1 goal in the next 3 daysI may win 12 units so Wish me luck
>>154292795Just saw odds are up>1.95 for over 2.5Bookies clueless
houston astros vs cleveland guardiansparker messick under 16.5 pitcher outs @ 1.95
bet365 same book arbhouston rockets vs la lakersreed sheppard 10+ points @ 1.48reed sheppard points low under 9.5 @ 3.655.2% gain right there but they dont really like when you do that. but is it really my problem they are retards.
>>154315733You think there's anything in nhl tonight?
>>154315800underdogs tonightI’d expect at least a couple of them to pull throughRanked by most likely to get the upset>1.Bruins>2.Mammoth>3.Canadiens >4.Kings
>>154315800the book keeps turning the line on and off, not sure what they are doing. i bet on it yesterday, havent heard any reports of him being injured, guy was perfectly fine last game so i dont think hes injured in any way. if you can get rasmus dahlin 1+ point @ 1.90-2.00+, i would hammer that line.
>>154312813No idea how inter won that. Incredible comeback. The Gods smile on me this day. (Just waiting for Real to throw away a 2 goal lead now)
>>154316781>No idea how inter won thatSucic came on and had the best 30 mins he will probably ever play in a football match, that's how.
BAL @ KC Over 9.0 Total Runs +100HOU @ LA Over 207.5 Total Points -110
NHL Tampa Bay Lightning Moneyline -188Similar to the Stars last night I expect immediate bounce back from the Bolts tonightLots of juice could attached it to something else you like
>>154317480risky to trust vasilevskiy at those types of odds. 4-13 with a <.900 sv% in the playoffs since 2022. almost seems like a trap. dont think the lightning take a lead and just cruise to an easy victory like the moneyline seems to suggest.
>>154312616A bit fixed anyway
>>154315844Nice shout on the Bruins.
>>154317676looking like the juice was not worth the squeeze
>>154319670nm easy money
>>154317480You're 3/3 in playoffs
Remember (You) lold at my lakies
>spend some of my bet winning money on a foot fetish art commission>wait in queue for a couple days>suddenly get a pimple on my penis from gooning too much>right when that happens, the artist sends me a sketch of my commission>cant goon to it because my pimple will get worseSuffering from success, as they say...
>>154323258Coombling is a great time
>>154315844Not bad>>154316011Nice
>>154316011Yeah dahlin points are the right bet for buffalo every playoff match imo, should pay every match as long as they survive.MLS overs look good tomorrow I’ve got 6 matches marked and I’ll do romgods Romanian match for 2fhg like I do every match
>>154324477I mean the Qarabag match
Jonathan Aranda (TB) Over 0.5 Total Home Runs +600 Great spot for Aranda to go yard as Williamson has crazy-reverse splits in limited sample size in '24 and again so far in '26. Combined the two sample sizes, .440 xISO, .572 actual ISO, and a 21.5 degree average launch angle. Anywhere above +520
BAL @ KC Over 9.5 Total Runs +100Running it back at plus money again
Anyone betting on Finland to win the Eurovision? They're huge favourites atm
>>154324838I wanna cry
>>1543267943 var'd goals. Fair enough. But a clear CLEAR PENALTY in 90+6 and he doesn't give it. I had 4+.
What a great prediction. Stolen by the pigs. I was greedy perhaps going for 4+ ; even that red card at the goalkepper, instead of a goal it's a red card
At one Johor game again it was VAR ALL AROUND 3 var'd goalsA red card at VAR2 penalties given then overturn at VAR
I wanna fucking die. I wanna pull the skin off my face. You have no hope. Then it's 2-1 all of a sudden. Then it's 3-1. Twice And they take them both Then you see it's a penalty given 100% of the times , but here it isn't I went to sleep one night falling asleep thinking about TORTURE This is what these refs brought me to
>>154327462What game?
>>154327483The qarabag game bro
All in on zvezda game over 4.5 @1.62 at 2-1 min 51
I cannot stand the sight of a referee anymore
Goodbye
penquins -1.5 is the bet of the year
PIT @ PHI Over 5.5 Total -130 All in situation for Pens tonight - not sure they win but do think the game has pace
Chet Holmgren (OKC) Over 0.5 Total Double Doubles +150
What a shitty day. Had a really good month this month and burned through half of the profit in one fucking day. Stupid.
>>154327434It happens I guess but that’s a rough one
>>154336165Jamaican soccer in the morning because the odds are always wrong. Spanish town police vs port more for goals
MLB James Wood (WSH) Over 0.5 Total Batter Walks +103JR Ritchie is live to walk 4+ batters today in his major league debut. And while the stuff is absolutely there in a way you’d expect of the Braves’ #1 organizational prospect, this is a Nationals lineup that has established that it can/will hit righties. For prospects, that usually ends up in walking the entire planet, and with Wood north of a 17% BB rate + some situations he will absolutely be intentionally walked going forward as he is destroying baseballs
Ottawa Senators Moneyline -122
Had a dogshit event last week after being up about 24 units the previous 4 weeks. Silver lining was I made all small bets so only lost about 1.5 units. Another crappy card this weekend and I'm going small again. UFC Sterling vs Zalal Saturday 4/25>Alencar +220 vs PolastriValue play. Alencar probably loses due to striking volume but she's the better grappler and this is WMMA. I'll take the superior wrestler at +220 every time. >Valenzuela -140 vs GriffinNot high on Valenzeula but I think Griffin is washed. He likes to clinch and slow fights down. Valenzuela is more exciting, likes to throw and isn't afraid to get hit. Def possible Griffin controls most the fight and still loses cuz he doesn't do any damage. Give me the younger, hungrier guy to win on damage or possibly by KO. >Filho by SUB vs Durden I don't see a line anywhere yet. If this is anything better than -150, take it. Almost certainly Durden's final UFC fight before getting cut. Filho has a nasty submission game and goes for the kill. >Brennan +425 vs MarshallI think Marshall is pretty good, he's just one of those dudes you don't want to bet as a huge favorite. He's tough but hittable, has been damaged and opened up in fights before. His UFC/DWCS wins are over guys who are combined 1-13 UFC. You cannot lay -600 with Marshall. Take Brennan and the 5-1 payout, he's always live to grab a choke. 1/2
>>154349307>Vieira by SUB +200 vs McConicoMcConico isn't UFC level. Vieira might struggle to get him down, but once he does it will be over quickly. >Jackson -180 vs BarcelosFishy line. Jackson looked like dogshit against Figgy last fight, which is a fairly comparable opponent to Barcelos. The line feels too wide to me, but I'll go with the younger, more powerful, faster striker here. >Hernandez vs Garcia fight goes distance -190Garcia is super durable and doesn't have much finishing threat. Hernandez will try to stay on the outside and pepper Rafa with boxing while avoiding takedowns. I think Hernandez most likely wins a decision, but either way it likely sees the scorecards. >Grant -125 vs Martinetti Martinetti had the DWCS war with Vologdin a few months ago. Raised Martinetti's stock, but Vologdin doesn't present half the danger that 40yo Grant does. Martinetti is extremely hittable, I think Grant fucks him up and either knocks him out or gets a club & sub to ruin the UFC debut. Debuting fighters have done very poorly in 2026. >Edwards +190 vs DumontI think Norma is overrated AF. She has zero finishing threat. Edwards has been fucking up cans lately, def step up in competition for her. Still I like her to cause more damage and have a chance to win this. Will be critical for Edwards to keep Norma off of her. Dumont loves to grapple and clinch. At striking range Edwards will beat her easily, on the mat Dumont wins easily. Not betting the main event. I'm always wrong on Aljo fights. Only pick I like is over 3.5 rounds -295 as a parlay piece. Would be surprised to see a finish.
NFL Draft is always free money. Hope you all capitalized.
>>154349753Good job waiting for it to his before posting you stupid fucking faggot
korean baseball leaguekt wiz @ 1.80
nippon ham fighters vs orix buffaloes, most books have this as a 1.90/1.90 split, or the orix buffaloes as the 1.86 favorite, bet365 has the nippon ham fighters as the 1.86 favorite, and orix buffaloes as the 2.00 dog.will take a chance on the orix buffaloes @ 2.00 on 365.
>>154349753afterboom twat
>>154349753I checked at a point when the bets weren't up yet (or I didn't look hard enough) and then completely forgot to check again.
After a long break I'm back with some losing tennis picks. Fade everything I post. All picks are for Madrid today.De Minaur to beat Jodar @1.8Ruse to win a set against Rybakina @4Ostapenko to beat Waltert @1.6Mboko to beat McNally @1.3
>>154352479Ruse won the first set already. Maybe it's a sign.
>>154352479Was on Tauson but it got shitcanned Which bet about do you like the most
£400 up from laying Aidan O'Brien's runners. he only has 20 more horses running this month, maybe I can make it £500?
>>154353912Sorry for the late response but as you can see you shouldn't have tailed anything afterwards. Mboko and De Minaur lost miserably. At least Ruse and Ostapenko worked. I'll post some questionable stuff for tomorrow later tonight.
devin vassell points, assists, and rebounds over 21.5 @ 1.95
When did you realize sharing your bets gives you bad luck
>>154356686I share my money pix all the time not my fault u dont tail
>>154349753I have a +3000 surefire winner for round 2 tonight. Guaranteed lock. What’s that? Oh no I can’t share it. I’ll post a screenshot after it hits.
>>154349488Alex Hernandez last fight was canceled due to suspicious betting activity. Don’t bet on his fights.
>>154356686im 5/5 on the baseball pitcher prop bets ive posted in /bet/ so far
>>154356417Marozsan to win a set against Medvedev @1.5Paolini to beat Baptiste @1.6Kalinina to beat Osaka @2.2
All 3 a league matches today could be circuses since it’s the last round and these matches are meaningless. Might as well bet on stupid goal amounts
Utah Mammoth Moneyline -104
CHC @ LAD Over 9.0 Total Runs -105
>>154358367That looks good actuallyTailing
julian champagnie 10+ points @ 2.15
>>154360678lets get it oddly have bad luck on my MLB bets I post here despite being up ~15 units this year>>154360824wanna tag along but paying 30 cents more feels bad (and im on 6-7 books)
which j-league over do you like? i'm leaning towards urawa-yokohama or shimizu-nagoya.
Told u about lakers
>>154360894Never in doubt
>>154364393Kek I did both of them for first half over. Missed by one goalI’m focussing on a league and north district match in Hong Kong. I’ll bet Macau league if they let me but usually the bookies keep that unavailable until 30 mins before kickoff
tip for tomorrow - Race 5 Sha Tin - Ka Ying Rising to win at 1.04
why does this padres vs diamondbacks have an o/u of 16.0 runs? ive never seen an o/u that high for baseball before.
>>154374702Mexico City gameThink coors field where the air is thin and ball travels further, but it’s even higher altitude
>>154349307tailed alencar cheers ufcanon
>>154357485Got any easy picks? Asking for a friend
New York Knicks -1.5 Point Spread -115Gotta have it for NY I say they answer - like Brunson to have a much improved game 4
>>1543575581 win and 2 losses. Marozsan won a close second set. Paolini and especially Kalinina got destroyed.Sunday picks:Norrie to beat Tirante @1.75Kopriva to beat Rinderknech @2.15Ostapenko to beat Potapova @1.75
>>154349307Great start...could not have been more wrong about Filho or Brennan. Bad picks.
I had one of those serendipitous bet moments and took durden right before his fight but I only put 100 on it lol should've put 5
>>154379066Nice hit but you should not have bet 500 on cody durden lol. He sucks, Filho was worse tho
Pittsburgh Penguins Moneyline +115
I got 5 bucks to throw away, give me some reasonable longshot with a decent payout.
>>154379146It was a levels bet like aljo. Made a k this week. Next week I like prates to fuck up jdm. Prates is Kevin holland on steroids and jdm struggled with Kevin's lengthy game
seibu lions vs rakuten eagles over 5.5 runs @ 2.05game is practically starting now
>>154349307>>154349488Another winning week. Been a very good 2026 for UFC. Annoyed Jackson didn’t get Barcelos out of there but can’t complain being up a couple units
>>154383771Tend to agree. JDM is super overrated IMO. I think prates will find the shot to put him away
>>154385296Jdm is a little midge with a pug face he was fed to islam to be humiliated