>Quick RundownBeryl is a bat out of hell. There is much uncertainty in the path given that much of it is dependent on intensity. Well, this has blown every model out of the water in terms of intensity. What does this mean? Well, the more intense it is, the more it will feel the upper steering currents pushing it northerly. This would imply a stronger storm would be more northern and thus more of a threat for the GOM. Further out it's more uncertain than in other situations.>Sats and visualshttps://weather.cod.edu/satrad/https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/index.phphttps://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/TC.htmlhttps://realearth.ssec.wisc.edu/?products=MIMICTPW2E.100&×pan=-30t&animationspeed=100&animate=true>Info and Datawww.nhc.noaa.govwww.ndbc.noaa.gov>Modelshttps://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/http://spaghettimodels.com/https://www.ventusky.com/storm.aoml.noaa.gov>Twitter Feedshttps://twitter.com/TropicalTidbitshttps://twitter.com/NHC_Atlantichttps://twitter.com/Jeff_Piotrowskihttps://twitter.com/RyanMauehttps://twitter.com/hurricanetrackhttps://twitter.com/NWShttps://twitter.com/OSUWXGUY>Preparations and Safetyhttps://www.redcross.org/get-help/how-to-prepare-for-emergencies/types-of-emergencies/hurricane.htmlhttps://www.ready.gov/hurricaneshttps://www.weather.gov/safety/hurricanePrevious>>472799073
Oh please let these digits spare me.
Uhhh Hurricane Hunters are you ok?
>>472819713>195mph wind gustswho else thinks those are rookie numbers and we're gonna see Beryl pump them up?i can see another eyewall relacement coming over that hot water with no shear. tomorrow night 200mph max sustained?
i hope florida gets a big one so we can have tnd squads again.
>speed now 19kt
threadly reminder KFC is white mans meal and Popeyes is swarthy spic meal
>>472820220they ded
>>472819713Anyone know how I can help Grenada? With monetary donation or actually go down there to help the recovery effort
>>472820220I see a merchant
THEY'RE GOING BACK IN! AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAA DATAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAA
https://www.youtube.com/live/aRFbRlDJ1X0
>>472820220Looks like a Knight to meNorthern turn confirmedNOLA confirmed fuckedhttps://youtu.be/8Fuk4DM5LxM
932mb
>>472821222checkedim hopin it gets closer to sub 900
>>472820509>>472820493looks like a little mushroom man with arms in the sky screaming DAMN YOUUUUU
Intense.
>>472821349It's the 2nd of July anon, just be happy we got something, let alone a cat 5. Now let's see what happens to her.
>>472821443This mofo will go in between Puerto Rico and Dominicana
Does anyone know about a cozy live stream I can fall asleep to of the storm? Always wanted to sleep to real hurricanes
CAT 5 GOES IN ALL FIELDS
>>472821221I totally see it, good catch anon!
>170kt flight level winds>plane can remain stationaryflying into the windDidn't fly so good when I tried it in the simulator
>>472819713Rolling for cat 2 by Thursday
>>472821975Stfu, jeet. This shit is hitting Tampa as a cat 6 on the 4th of July
Not going to Jamaica. It's going to Santo Domingo and Puerto Rico.https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/sector_band.php?sat=G16§or=taw&band=GEOCOLOR&length=60&dim=1
How's Jamaica gonna be holding up
>>472821221Rolling for Katrina-tier chaos and infrastructure damage
>>472822192There will no longer be a Jamaica after Wednesday
>>472821489Sorry bud, nowhere at the moment to stream this one from.So you're either going to have to use past hurricane livestream/ audio for that tonight; or wait until tomorrow night, for a possible glancing blow to get a Haitian livestream (kek); or more realistically, wait until Wednesday morning and through-out the day into possibly the evening, for any Jamaican livestreams.After that, it's a crapshoot.I still think it's going to Cuba.Prove me wrong, breakaway glowniggers with your claws on the levers of the weather weapons and air mass manipulation arrays.
Only a cat. 5... How long has it been stuck at cat. 5? Two/ three weeks?
>>472822598based garyposter on a vpn
Estero FL here. Can report that there’s been a bizarre tension among everyone lately…people seem to know that at any moment this hurricane could track north and become the Big One. Ive seen some people already stockpiling water and food the last time i went for a pub sub.im scared, bros.
Welp gentlemen, we're starting to go off track here.
>>472819713>https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/index.php
>>472822803Trending north? Oh fugg, get ready for chaos
>>472822803which one of these mad lads is doin this? kek
Say goodbye Florida
>>472822666Gise Net!
Damn fucking Hurricane better not come here
>>472823112Adios island Mexicans
>>472822803>>472822858
>>472819713>BerylPlace yer bets!https://www.google.com/maps/@19.8542306,-81.804565,5689908m/data=!3m2!1e3!4b1!4m2!21m1!1s%2Fg%2F11w1wkj2y0?entry=ttu
Please God slap us with another Katrina, it would be so funny.
>it's wobbling northIt's fucking over USAbros.
>>472822803Houston is fucked. Check em
>>472823306$50 that it won't even touch Jamaica
>>472823276KEK it might happen.
>>472820275For me, it's Raising Cane's. The white man's chicken tendies
>>472823306I'll take it hits puerto stinko for 1000 alex
Hurricane tracking expert here. Houston is gonna get blasted.
>>472820220Boeing?
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5txQ3Dl4xnY
welp, we might be in for another EWRC... thingy. You can see the convection build up outside the lightening in the inner core. with how well this has been hidden, something tells me this will be a quick procedure.
>>472823779EWRC?
>>4728237792024 is gonna be the best hurricane season yet
>>472823855Eyewall Replacement cycle, it's when the inner eyewall gets killed and the outer eyewall takes over. Basically, it just becomes more stable and better resist things such as shear, like the tut.
NHC bumped her up to 165 mph
>>472823894no no no nowhy are pajeets so bad at ai?
>>472823855Eyewall replacement cycle. The eyewall will get bigger
>>472821489Guess I really didn't help you with that last reply.And shit, guess there was some livestreams of Beryl already.My Bad.(Beryl) This one kind of sucks to try to fall asleep to cause there is people who keep talking in ithttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ihE67OriiN4(Beryl) This is kind of better, but there's some annoying beeping in therehttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=klY11ihTgDgthis one has a shit-ton of views, so might be good for asleep too, but looks like it is just one really long loop.https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wZ9Ga8V1q_4This one is actual footage from the very powerful and historic Hurricane Dorian (so vastly better imo), but not as long, and the change in intensity and locations may make for something bad to try to fall asleep to.https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ar8Usv-KwvsHere's Reed Timmer being a dum-dum and himself, because why nothttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vH0qcq3A-o4https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=26FTVrcCtBw
Welp, I just discovered the Hurricane of 1906, now you will have to know of it too.
>>472824005
>>472823894
New NHC advisory, Officially the strongest hurricane in July.
>>472823855Early Warming Recall Compression… Texas is fucked.
>>472824088checked and kekd.mein neger
>>472824251*strongest hurricane in July so far
Word on the street is it's going to hit cat 6
>>472824116
Awww she's smiling at us ^_^
>>472824288As long as it brings a shit ton of rain to Central Texas, I'm ok with this
It appears that Baryl is growing larger in presentation, maybe we are already close to the result.
>>472824627Santo Domingo bros
>>472824627north north north north
I swear if i wake up in the morning and this thing has done something silly im gonna lose it
>>472824716Can confirm, it's further north than the NHC positioning apparently. 14.2N vs 14.4N It is now outside the NHC cone
>>472824627BRRAAAAAAP
>>472824915Goodbye new Orleans, we hardly knew ye. Katrina 2.0 here we come. Need some excitement after the disappointment of Lee last year. We never did get our straight up the Chesapeake meme.Thanks for always being in these threads with good info confederatebro, these are my favorite threads of the year.
Is there a comfier movie than Key Largo that features a hurricane?https://youtu.be/IYNp9SW0NYA
>>472824915GIVE IT YOUR ENERGY
>>472824799silly...silly goose...canada geese...A fucking leaf.Can't even handle 1 cat, let alone cat 5
Now the HWRF is starting to get the idea right. Maybe 20 MB lower in this situation, maybe even lower, important thing is this thing has it going NW to N so... Interesting things might happen in the future. Not predicting this, just saying a powerful storm in the gulf is starting to look more and more into the picture
Getting stronger, breaking records and going further north, what a champ.I hope it makes it to Jamaica at full power, because doing anything after that is a bit of an uncertainty. Erase Jamaica as the first fine appetizer happening for this hurricane season. Hopefully it happens during daylight, night hurricanes are gay.
>>472823855Extra Warm Robot Clussy(tampa will be destroyed)
>>472825278If this thing does make landfall and go over Mexico, how do you think the chances are of RI upon entering the gulf? I'd wager the storm may be too broken up to reform strongly, no? Conditions favorable or too far out to know?I guess what I'm trying to say is is it over if it makes landfall upon Mexico or does it still have a chance to barrel roll the southern coast?
>>472825278I still got my money on HAFS-BBest performing model so far, although HWRF has been kinda close.
>>472825278i wish i was from the future and i said it was gonna stop in its tracks and turn north after further intensification and directly hit puerto rico
NORF
>>472825517Gulf conditions as currently forecast are decently favorable but not super ideal for rapid restrengthening
>muh climate change isn’t real the oceans aren’t getting hotter Can’t wait for Florida to get battered. Fucking retards buying ocean front property because the oil barons convinced them weather was fake.Say it with me:>2024 STRONGEST CAT 5 IN JULY>2024 STRONGEST CAT 5 IN AUGUST>2024 FIRST CAT 6 IN SEPTEMBER>2024 STRONGEST CAT 5 IN OCTOBER>2024 STRONGEST CAT 5 IN NOVEMBER>2024 STRONGEST CAT 5 IN DECEMBERTOTAL OILKEK DEATH. BILLIONS MUST SWITCH TO NUCLEAR FISSION.
>>472825977>switch to nuclearat this point, I'm bitter and I don't think that people deserve a technology as great as nuclear power.
>>472825889dont worry, the russians will cook it up like they did hurricane carla back in 61. their microwave stuffs there now why not, right? remember the cuban missile crisis? that's goin on right now by the way.
>>472825977checked, but retarded. bck to plebbit troon
>>472825977As a Floridafag, I say bring it onI'll live on the beach and tie myself to a palm tree during the worst of the worst hurricanes if I have to.
>>472825977>doesnt generate his power with his own steam power fueled by coal, in a machine no bigger than a train cart. ngmicarbons good. hurricanes are good. i'll be here in florida laughin at you troons stuck in your apartments on the 44th floor so you can eventually jump.
>>472825517Alright, time to post a map, the 4 options starting from south to north>1 It weakens like global models says and it pulls a Florance and fucking dies. Straight in Belize, game over.>2It goes into the main body of Yucatan, mostly becomes a TS and probably at best makes landfall in southern Mexico as a cat 1.>3 it just grazes it and moves it into the gulf, depending on how strong it is, it could hold most of it and maybe go down a category or two but maintain most of its structure. from there could land anywhere in northern Mexico or southern Texas. I would expect RI in this situation and think back to Hanna where it's a deep pressure, but winds are probably still picking up, probably 24 hours till landfall once back out in the gulf>4It completely misses and goes through the Yucatan pass and enters the gulf as probably an either a strong cat 2 or some major hurricane. Waters are hot in the gulf and since it's moving at a decent pace, it doesn't need the deep hot waters to have extreme intensity. I would expect RI in this situation It also would indict a more northern/eastern landfall. Anywhere from Corpus Christi to New Orleans. Would expect a landfall anywhere from Cat 3 to even cat 5 depending on how conditions turn out. A very severe situationSo, in terms of likelihood, let's go over them based on current trends>1/15% (going down)>2/25% (going down)>3/30% (going up)>4/30% (going up)With the northern trends and the fact, the storm is as strong as it is and it's currently going through an EWRC instead of 12 hours from now, which will allow it to better handle the tutt even better than it probably can now, leads to more northern solutions down the line. Of course, the big more immediate factor for all of these is interaction with Jamacia. it can go south, though, or north. It is even odds for any of those given the trend. Important thing is that it requires very small changes to make the path entirely different at this stage of the game.
>>472826338rolling for 2.5 see >>472825707
>>472826338it looks like it's intensifying if you look closely. but, if i had to guess on one of your hypotheticals, i'll play the reddest most north eastern trackTOTAL NOLA DEATH
Daily reminder that Jacksonville is the most powerful country in the world
>>472826445bros it looks like beryl is shidding and farding southward. it's an ass
>>472826511checked kekd based. he was quite the statesman and warrior supposedly
>>472826529Nah, she just took a fat hit and let out a big puff of smoke
>>472826639bro shes fuckin zooted
>>472826760>>472826639someone do what has to be done
>>472826896
>>472826939it needs a blunt
>category 5God damn that's fucking NUTS
>>472827009Don't ask me how but somehow it is looking better. at some point an EWRC will have to occur right?
>>472827008
>>472827068she's smiling :)
>>472826338Rolling for a very gentle 1.
>>472827218You are fucking Jew! You can't use the power of digits as they are invariantly antisemitic. Watch this Kike faggot, roll for the ultimate 4
>>472826939>>472827207kek
>>472826639>>472827207You should try to get the puffs of smoke (outer bands) in there too if possible
>>472827274Nice
>>472827375
>>472827533you fuckers missed this apparently.
>>472827569WE GETTING REALLY SPOOKY UP IN HEREhttps://youtu.be/sVjk5nrb_lI?si=V5IWUPZ8a60Xqr6Y
>>472827569
Well that's an interesting trend now.
>>472827533not bad anon, not bad>>472827569doood relax brah that's too angry, we're trying to chill with our zooted stoner gal Beryl; she's grown out of her metal/punk phase
>>472827848And even more interestingly
>>472822858These things never actually seem to hit the Dutch Antilles... nice.
>>472827882Well it's very dry so...
>>472827848fuck that's coming straight to corpus
>>472828034The trend north is what's important. Could hit anywhere from Brownsville to New Orleans honestly depending on how things turn out.
>>472827874
>>472827848Whoever lives there is getting fucked each year? Must be a gold mine for those can afford to have hurricane insurance.
>>472828077True... idk man this one gives me Harvey vibes and it's freaky
>>472828133Gigachad is realizing they've all been wrong since the beginning
>>472828230Nah, Harvey was just still, this thing is sure as hell going to just move on through. Whole different monster, more like Ike, but if Ike was 3x as strong.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iSY8Vz1MvukJust waking up. Hello everyone.
>>472828255
BTW we do have radar on Beryl's core.https://radar.weather.gov/?settings=v1_eyJhZ2VuZGEiOnsiaWQiOiJsb2NhbCIsImNlbnRlciI6Wy02Ni4zNTQsMTUuMDc0XSwibG9jYXRpb24iOm51bGwsInpvb20iOjgsImZpbHRlciI6IldTUi04OEQiLCJsYXllciI6InNyX2JyZWYiLCJzdGF0aW9uIjoiVEpVQSJ9LCJhbmltYXRpbmciOmZhbHNlLCJiYXNlIjoic3RhbmRhcmQiLCJhcnRjYyI6ZmFsc2UsImNvdW50eSI6ZmFsc2UsImN3YSI6ZmFsc2UsInJmYyI6ZmFsc2UsInN0YXRlIjpmYWxzZSwibWVudSI6dHJ1ZSwic2hvcnRGdXNlZE9ubHkiOnRydWUsIm9wYWNpdHkiOnsiYWxlcnRzIjowLjgsImxvY2FsIjowLjYsImxvY2FsU3RhdGlvbnMiOjAuOCwibmF0aW9uYWwiOjAuNn19#/
>>472828285Fair, it's just there's areas here in the corpus area that took literal years to recover like Port Aransas that got the direct hit, and that was only at cat 4. Really hope Corpus doesnt get the direct ass raping this time
Just to mention, recon takes off in 30 minutes.>>472828600checked. Anyway we don't know what the future holds for Beryl, it's just looking more and more likely to be a US problem in the future.
>>472828540so those little circles, are those showing convection in real time? or just some nasty rotation and giant torando type things?
Whens the last time Jamaica was hit by a major Hurricane btw?
>>472824116should be an illuminated sign at nightthe whole point of the lyric is that the flag was visible at night
>>472828865https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_Jamaica_hurricanes
>>472828844That's just thunderstorms popping up around Beryl
>>472828844That's just heavier precipitation in outer rain band squalls.
>>472828150Mostly tourist resorts, cartels and those employed by them>>472828285Ike should have meant the retirement of the saffir-simpson scale. I have relatives that lived in NO during Camille and Betsy and Ike was worse by every metric according to them despite living much further inland and above sea level when Ike hit. Ike spent much of it's life as a Cat 4 and that's the sort of damage I saw when I went there after it nearly destroye my mother's house well north of Houston. Cat 2 my ass, it was spread out over a much larger area after interacting with Cuba but the total angular momentum of the storm was still the same as it had been as a category 4 if not higher.
>>472828973i'm starting to think all that radar stufff we came up with in the 40s isnt being used to look into clouds. that radar barely penetrates. i wonder if it negatively (or even controls it) effects it or something..
>>472828865Gilbert
Nobody here is aware we are about to get hit by a Cat5 hurricane
>>472829076Radar needs direct line of sight to function but (news flash to some), the curvature of the earth prevents stations from seeing past a certain distance and the further away from the radar site, the poorer the quality gets.
>>472829191Godspeed tacobro
>>472828150looking forward to some comfy rain after the remnants make their way inland
>>472829076well understand how far away Beryl is, that's 250 miles south, over a mountain, and it's still able to see the very top of the ring. Also the further out from the radar you are, the higher you have to be to be detected. So basically Beryl is approaching the Stratosphere.
>>472829191Give it a rest already, most people on that island won't even realize that a hurricane passed by when they wake up in a few hours.
>>472829191That's crazy. Well, you are aware, do something for yourself and your close ones. Warn someone that has any brain cells left and stay safe.
>>472829191You'll get some retards who drown in the high surf at worst.
>>472829326People here wake up in one hour
>>472829448buy all the water and be king taconigger for the day
>>472829448Y'all are still barely gonna notice anything besides a few stray squalls and rough seas on the south shore.
>>472829448I don't care how bad it is. We're still not letting you in.
>>472829598They're already in though.They're born Americans.
>>472829191
>>472829670We all know they're second class citizens. They can't even vote.
>>472822677That’s because we just had a big one retard. Old people and Yankees always freak out about every storm anyway.
To provide a comparative analysis of Hurricane Beryl on a historical scale, let's first obtain detailed information about the storm. I'll fetch the expanded details for Hurricane Beryl.Hurricane Beryl is currently a Category 5 hurricane with maximum wind speeds of 266 kph (165 mph). On a historical scale, Category 5 hurricanes are considered extremely severe and are rare, representing the highest level of intensity for hurricanes. Historical Comparison Scale (1 to 10)- 1-3: Minor hurricanes (Category 1-2)- 4-6: Moderate hurricanes (Category 3)- 7-8: Severe hurricanes (Category 4)- 9-10: Catastrophic hurricanes (Category 5)Given Hurricane Beryl's Category 5 status and maximum wind speeds, it would be rated at 10 on this scale, indicating a catastrophic hurricane. Key Characteristics of Category 5 Hurricanes:- Wind Speed: Greater than 252 kph (157 mph)- Damage Potential: Catastrophic damage to buildings, infrastructure, and vegetation. High risk of life-threatening storm surges and flooding.- Historical Examples: Hurricane Katrina (2005), Hurricane Irma (2017), Hurricane Maria (2017).Hurricane Beryl, with wind speeds of 266 kph (165 mph), is among the most intense hurricanes recorded.
Recon delayed till 4:40 EST. So oopsie daisy. >>472830346Chat GPT answer son of a bitch
>>472819713Shit, a hurricane in the Caribbean in the summer. Truly the world is ending.
>>472830656>Truly the world is ending.
This bitch STILL just keeps looking stronger
This bitch is still intensifying
>>472831076Very healthy looking eye. Has continually exceeded all expectations yet some retard keeps underinitializing the intensity on the models.
I want to sleep but i also want to see what Recon findsThe dilemma of Hurricane season
>>472831076cat 6 incooming
>>472832062
>>472832062What is Recon?
Here we go again
Hurricane Beryl Discussion Number 15NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL022024500 AM AST Tue Jul 02 2024Beryl remains an impressive category 5 hurricane this morning. Satellite imagery shows a well-defined eye, expanding outflow, and a prominent outer band. Overnight NOAA Hurricane Hunter aircraft data showed the minimum central pressure falling to about 935 mb, and the Tail Doppler Radar measured 170 kt of wind at about 500 m. This supports the initial intensity of 145 kt for this advisory.The hurricane is moving quickly to west-northwest at an estimated 290/19 kt. A strong subtropical ridge centered over the southern United States will continue to steer Beryl west-northwestward to westward across the central and northwestern Caribbean for the next few days. The latest track forecast has been nudged slightly to the north and lies closest to the corrected consensus aid. There is still increased uncertainty in the track forecast beyond 72 h, with the model guidance showing a large spread as Beryl emerges over the Gulf of Mexico.Beryl's intensity forecast is also rather uncertain. Model guidance all indicates that the hurricane will begin to weaken later today as Beryl encounters moderate-to-strong vertical wind shear. Later on, factors such as the possible interaction with the Jamaican elevated terrain, dry air intrusions, and the structure of the vertical wind shear will all play a role in the rate of weakening. The models show quite a wide range of solutions, with guidance between a strong tropical storm to a major hurricane while it nears the Yucatan Peninsula. The NHC forecast lies in the middle of the aids, showing Beryl as a major hurricane near Jamaica, reaching Yucatan as a hurricane in about 72 h before emerging as a tropical storm over the Gulf of Mexico. This is quite an uncertain forecast beyond a couple of days due to the aforementioned factors.
Northern update, eye is still north of the cone.
>>472832475>The models show quite a wide range of solutions, with guidance>between a strong tropical storm to a major hurricane while it nears>the Yucatan Peninsula. The NHC forecast lies in the middle of the>aids,
>>472832203reconnaissance aircraft
5:00 AM AST Tue Jul 2Location: 14.6°N 66.9°WMoving: WNW at 22 mphMin pressure: 935 mbMax sustained: 165 mph
>>472832600Thank you.
>>472832766delete rasta
ahsg discord:/W3GDKgVE
>>472832819
>>472821221nigger had their hurrikangz, now it's the white knight's turn
Good luck, TUTT
Goodbye Puerto Rico.You had a good run.
D I g I t s and it crosses Mexico and hooks back in to Phoenix Arizona at full strength.
>>472833996who said anything about it even hitting mexico?
insane ensembles
>>472834123>995 MBLol
>185 MPHHOLY FUCK WHAT THE FUCK!!!!!!!!! >185 MPH>185 MPH>185 MPH>185 MPHIT'S FUCKING JULY WHAT THE GOD FGQAF FUCK!!!!
>>472827848Someone go tell Ghost he's got a week to move his trailer before Beryl blows it away
>>472834605LOOK AT THIS SHIT ANON! FREAK THE FUCK OUT!>>472834574
>>472834574
>>472834640Breathe man breathe. I've been a 727 fag with you for quite some time. I'm still fully waking up but those are not the surface level winds right? And what's the percentage again?
>>472834729No, THAT IS SURFACE WINDS! I FREAK OUT FOR GOOD REASON. THOSE ARE SURFACE FUCKING WINDS
>>472819713A hurricane just flew over my house
>>472834804That's pretty neat! So we're at Wilma or Dorian levels. Those 1 mins or instantaneous from the drop probes
following storms with you lads is comfy. is anyone willing to give me a qrd on which statistics to follow in order to "understand" these storms? i understand that the lower the pressure in mb, the more intense the storm, but thats about it
928 mbarMay be a glitch but it also looks like the plane got like slingshotted around the eye as well
>>4728349271 mins
>>472835009Hold on anon, we're going through a historic recon run, just watch either one of these websites, first one is faster though http://tropicalatlantic.com/recon/recon.cgi?aircraft_page=NOAA3&product_page=hdobhttps://www.tropicaltidbits.com/recon/
>>472835056most of the pressure readings were lost in the eye, that was the one they captured.
>>472825299Your mother is a negro loving whore and you're mad about it.
Are there betting positions on storm tracks?
>>472835405basically refer to >>472826338
>>472835072Very cool. We'll get to see a chart topper live. What's the number to beat, 190?
>>472835617Well Allen was 190 but that's contested and some people said Wilma reached 200 after recon left. But 190 is the record. ALSO 196 KNOTS ABOVE THE SURFACE. (Also probably didn't make it to the surface because it's still flying around.)
>>472835697GOOD MORNING TO YOU TOO
It’s so fucking joever for Jamaica kek
>>472835679Not to mention the 'surface' in these conditions is likely 80ft+ waves crest to trough.
>>472835796oh yeah, IVAN BABY
Wow, this fucker is still at cat 5 with 165 mph winds.TOTAL JAMAICA DEATH
>>472835933No, try 185 MPH >>472834574
>>472834574Based model, it's like Dorian again!
>>472835679>>472834574>>472835967The true (estimated) 1 minute sustain surface winds may not be quite as high as you think but still VERY impressive!https://x.com/Weatherunited1/status/1808079147832692810
>>472835933>165It's at least 185mph now possibly 200+ in some spots if some of these dropsondes are to be believed.
>>472836069Nice, so we could see an upgrade at the 8am update.
>>472836069This is Historical anon, just appreciate it.refer to >>472835679200 KNOT winds found just 300 feet above the surface.
F to pay respects to Jamaica
>>472834574Now we coolin
>>472836180Bro I do appreciate it, but I also know to temper my expectations. You don't think all the other (proper) meteorologists can't see the same thing you are looking at?Also this:https://x.com/cyclonicwx/status/1808081032890978768>We also got a wild dropsonde from the northern eyewall. It didn't reach the surface so it can't really be used for intensity purposes but just look at some of these values in there. Nearing 200kt gusts in spots! Powerful core for sure
Oh nooo.
>>472836180>>472836358And this https://x.com/cyclonicwx/status/1808080495256768905>>472835056Anon may have been right about a glitch
>>472836451>>472836358we'll get more passes anon, we'll get the true story
>>472836388It will skirt or landfall.She's a big storm...
>>472834574We need 15 more mph to reach Dodge Hellcat top speed.
>>472836501>we'll get more passes anonGee I would certainly hope we get more than ONE pass. So much for getting some sleep anytime soon.
Time to roll up your last spliff and smoke that jerk chicken my jamaican brothers and sisters
>>472836388>passes ovee Jamaica>ganja makes it lazy and saps its energy
>>472836619>>472836501Air Force plane just took off for recon too and so far the AF missions have been providing more reliable data so that bodes well.
It's a nothingburger. Just gets a bit windy at the coast.
>>472836619It's hurricane season, of course the only thing plentiful during this time is booze. No sleep for a storm that never sleeps.
>>472836727Yes, we shall see, though if it records 160 knots, you better at least acknowledge it. I also will say the core RN is shrinking so... we should get some interesting results.
microwave is fresh
This is the next Katrina
>>472836892Unfortunately not, by the looks of it.
>>472836812Of course I'll acknowledge it but I'm not going to pretend to infer and disseminate it until I have some reliable sources backing it up. Your memeflag and tripfagging only gets you so much rapport.
>>472836746always go to gusts not sustainable wind.in the reality of things, wind is to 50% on gusts strength
>>472836892Biden must evacuate Jamaica before it’s too late
>>472820465Donate to the Clinton foundation or whatever
Sun rises yet again on our girl
Back into the breach
Its not going to hit mexico
>>472837475That's no longer a girl, that's a woman
>>472837553Why do they take off from US VI instead of Puerto Rico?
This is Katrina 2.0
Latest high-res models for Yucatan approach viahttps://x.com/tropicalupdateandhttps://www.spaghettimodels.com/
>>472837663This is Biden’s Katrina
>>472837697Clarification: These are midnight runsNew 6 AM model runs are coming out now
>>472819713Great. Does this mean we're going to get MORE niggers in America?
>STILL strengtheningWHAT
>>472837623Probably so that they don't have to smell you
>>472820267Cleansing would do amazing things for property values locally. Momma wants a new house
I think this proves that the computer models need a better understanding of Cat 5 resilience
Ok, so it's gonna be a 5 when it reaches us? Or will it weaken as the models say?
>>472837553Latest pass
>>472839162I don't think it really matters this thing is a monster
>>472839164>>472836727Air Force plane soon to enter eye as well
Good Morning Beryl
>>472839162I Am sorry fir your loss of The Yucatan Peninsula.https://archive.4plebs.org/pol/thread/461728846/#q461736362I need it to hit as a Cat 6 si it has enough energy to cross Nexico in the The Sea of Cortez for (reasons)>inb4source
So is this because of manmade global warming? Were the climatefags right?
>>472826511Nine oh foh baby
>>472839309Still low 930s mb pressure
>>472839162This is God's punishment to Mexico for being
>>472839812>>472840480Understandable, as long as it makes landfall on Tulum first, they need to be gone.
Gotta love the NHC just straight up lying lmao
>>472840850cope
>>472840772Your wishIs my Command.
Why didn’t we listen to Al gore?
>>472840850Better go up at 11am.
Beryl starting to run into the long forecast higher sheer.
>>472841538And IR satellite suggests that her western side is possibly beginning to erode.
>>472841670So a literal nothingburger? /pol/ gets so worked up over nothing
>>472827848this is a blatant attack on starbase
>>472841940He doesn’t know
>>472841940maybe, maybe notThere's still plenty of time and warm water out ahead of it before she runs into any significant landmass. Lots of things can change/develop over the next 3-5 days so stay tuned. Jamaica still looks to get raked pretty hard on Wed too which should produce some kino footage.
O fugg I just remembered, if it hits Houston it might make it's way into Colony Ridge and flood out all those aliens. Please God let it come this way
Goood morning islandbros, isn't it a wonderful day to live in the oce- WHAT THE FUCK ARE YOU DOING BERYL GO ON A DIET
>>472842393Kek.
>>472842393Beryl is on an elimination diet of exclusively islanders and mexicans
>>472840033>man madePlease wipe the Globalist publik edge-u kashunfrom that thing you call a brain.>inb4source
>>472842589
>>472837828You there bro? How are things looking?
>>472827848Based CEMI
>>472841670
haha funny pranknow turn...
>>472843114Stock up bro, get some water and stuff. Buy discounted weed.
Tampafag checking in for the first time this year. I'm ready bros. I crave this season. End Tampa with a cat5 then send that shit to Toronto
>>472843114RIP islandbro, I know some people who have family on the hills/mountains? and hoo boy that's not gonna be fun
>>472841670Yea, she is passed her peak. Windshear is gonna kill her soon
>>472843114Good Night sweet Prince.
>>472843905>>472841670Definitely have to give the girl credit for still managing to hold on strong in the NE eyewall at least.
>>472841940>So a literal nothingburger?And that's a good thing.
>>472843114Prayers out to you Jamaicabro. You guys are alright, unfortunately our weather manipulators think otherwise. They are coming for all of us.
>>472843485kekTwo more seasons bro, I blame the stargate in Sarasota.
Eyewall collapsed.Reforming stronger and faster than I have seen in 50 years of storm chasing.
>>472844620Shadilay?
>>472844620Look at that perfect spin, owari da...
>>472844620We getting a new heading for the storm?
>>472844665For youhttps://youtu.be/fF0Cb7h6ZBQ
>>472844884Course;"Dead" ahead.Just threw it's center fore 300 K and reformed 100 k astern on its course. Have never seen that.
>>472845238Why is not Climate change man-made or i mean a result of the the pollution humans make on this Planet?
>>472845891Climate change is Asian made, not human made
>>472845891Because humans are fleas.The earth will one day shake them off and go on cooling and warming as it did before they came.Man made climate changnstryre is a grift.
>>472846171Suicide now then
>>472845891climate change is from stopping the upper atmosphere pollution were did. This huge push to stop climate change, the experts showed they are retarded (again) and turns out all the pollution was cooling the planet not warming ithttps://www.ox.ac.uk/news/2022-11-17-expert-comment-air-pollution-cools-climate-more-expected-making-cutting-carbon
>>472846282Man could cancel all environmental laws with only the loss of a few hundred thousand useless eaters in cities over 50 years.One fart from mother nature in Alaska ended the entire Roman Empire.
New bread>>472846582>>472846582>>472846582
